As part of The Treaty of Utrecht that ceded Gibraltar to us, didn't the deal also give us exclusivity on the slave trade in Spanish colonies in the Americas?
If so, a bloody shameful deal, out of embarrassment we should give Gibraltar back.
As part of The Treaty of Utrecht that ceded Gibraltar to us, didn't the deal also give us exclusivity on the slave trade in Spanish colonies in the Americas?
If so, a bloody shameful deal, out of embarrassment we should give Gibraltar back.
Not shameful at all. If we hadn't had exclusive rights then we wouldn't have been able to ban it
(Or to have been able to afford to build Liverpool but the jury's still out on whether that's a good thing if not)
TimFarron's tactics are certainly unconventional - at every utterance from the EU he jumps out in front of the camera to reiterate that the EU has the whip hand and puny little Britain is about to get shafted.
"Commenting on the release of the draft European Council negotiation guidelines, Liberal Democrat leader Tim Farron said:
These guidelines show the strength of the EU in these negotiations, and the carelessness of the UK government in isolating themselves from our European allies."
Is this some sort of genius or is he ordering a taxi for the LDs ?
It's a dumb position. If he's right he'll be hated for it, and if he's wrong he'll ridiculed for it.
LD 14 (+7)
he'll => he will
Note: future tense.
I don't doubt they are hoovering some remainer/protester votes right now.
Eek – Labour losing its dominance in London could be as bad for them as Scotland GE2015.
Just One Poll.
Labour are in an odd position. As loyal Brits they will want the government to get the best deal possible for the country, but the quickest way for the tory dominance to end woukd be for may to cock it up.
I came to the conclusion based off national polling the other day that there is a straight
Labour -> Conservative swing (And a big one, 5-6% or so) nationally
It appears in London, and so we can extrapolate to other "remain" areas (If my Sion Simon bet was to be trounced, this may provide further evidence) that there is a big Labour -> Lib Dem swing going on as well.
So Lab -> Con in provincial Brexitshire & Lab -> Lib Dem in metropolitan Remainia
Just let this sink in. Corbyn trails May by 53% IN LONDON.
I am sure all the moamentum tw@tterai think that it is all fake numbers created by the Tory establishment illuminati in order to destabilise the supreme leader inevitable landslide victory in 2020.
"India’s Gujarat state has toughened up the penalties of its existing cow protection law so that anyone convicted of slaughtering a cow can be sentenced to life imprisonment, up from the previous seven years’ incarceration."
It is actually quite important!
The value of a bullock in India is about 15% of a cow - that differential will have widened. Should be positive news for Genus Plc given the relative pricing of sexed semen vs conventional semen
Just let this sink in. Corbyn trails May by 53% IN LONDON.
I am sure all the moamentum tw@tterai think that it is all fake numbers created by the Tory establishment illuminati in order to destabilise the supreme leader.
No doubt. Even real election results may not be enough to burst their cultist ardour.
But their number is dwindling judging by membership figures.
As part of The Treaty of Utrecht that ceded Gibraltar to us, didn't the deal also give us exclusivity on the slave trade in Spanish colonies in the Americas?
If so, a bloody shameful deal, out of embarrassment we should give Gibraltar back.
I think you're trolling.
No, I'm giving PBers a history lessons.
Britain's role in the slave trade is a national embarrassment and we should help rectify that vile error because one of Britain's finest achievements was helping end the slave trade.
Are today's ramblings a sympttom of a rather severe bout of heseltinitis?
Just let this sink in. Corbyn trails May by 53% IN LONDON.
I am sure all the moamentum tw@tterai think that it is all fake numbers created by the Tory establishment illuminati in order to destabilise the supreme leader.
No doubt. Even real election results may not be enough to burst their cultist ardour.
But their number is dwindling judging by membership figures.
I am Justin Short Straws will be along shortly to tell us the polling in the 1896 London local council elections show labour can still win a majority in 2020.
If, as Pulpstar notes, there's an overall 5% headline Lab --> Con swing, and if there's only a 3% swing in London, and there's very little Labour vote to actually swing across much of the South, just imagine the swings in the Midlands and North.
At the 2015 GE in London Labour were 9% ahead of the Tories, now they are only 3% ahead.
Take a bow Jeremy, take a bow
Changes since the GE
Con 34 (-1)
Lab 37 (-7)
Lib Dem 14 (+6)
UKIP 9 (+1)
Greens 5 (nc)
With a possible UKIP squeeze to come as well?
Con theoretically re-gain:
Ealing Cent and Acton Brentford and Isleworth Ilford North Enfield North
and also gain:
Hampstead and Kilburn Harrow West Westminster North Tooting (haha!)
But lose (to LDs) - again a bit theoretical with double incumbency bonuses:
Twickenham Kingston and Surbiton
I would expect the LDs to regain Twickenham, but I doubt they're in the running in Kingston. (If they perform particularly strongly there in next year's locals, I reserve the right to change my mind.)
On those numbers, the LDs would also gain Bermondsey & Old Southwark from Labour (where the demographic trends probably also favour the LDs longer term), but I think that's it for London.
Comrades, listen not to the neo-Osbornite numerological depravities of the capitalist propagandists!
Chairman Corbyn's popularity goes from strength to strength. Who has received a standing ovation from Islington South's Manhole Inspection Association? None but he!
If, as Pulpstar notes, there's an overall 5% headline Lab --> Con swing, and if there's only a 3% swing in London, and there's very little Labour vote to actually swing across much of the South, just imagine the swings in the Midlands and North.
Corbyn is pure toxic radiation in Midlands and Northern marginals imho.
Comrades, listen not to the neo-Osbornite numerological depravities of the capitalist propagandists!
Chairman Corbyn's popularity goes from strength to strength. Who has received a standing ovation from Islington South's Manhole Inspection Association? None but he!
Mr. Pulpstar, your jest does raise an interesting question. Obviously we have the enormous issue of the EU, but will we otherwise see a swing back to the governing party? Likewise, has the stigma of voting Conservative disappeared, which might reduce/abolish the shy Conservative factor?
Is anywhere safe from the corbyn surge? At this rate labour might have to start worrying about those well known Tory targets such as liverpool....
The Merseyside mayoral result will be somewhat flattering for Labour by having the popular Steve Rotheram as a candidate there. Still, I reckon there'll be a decent swing away from Labour there when he wins compared to the GE2015 aggregation
Good to see the DT jumping on the Nicola invoking Maggie line - you'd almost think that she'd set this up just so Ruth & the MSM would dutifully remind everybody in Scotland of Maggie - and that Ruth is actually a Tory !!
As part of The Treaty of Utrecht that ceded Gibraltar to us, didn't the deal also give us exclusivity on the slave trade in Spanish colonies in the Americas?
If so, a bloody shameful deal, out of embarrassment we should give Gibraltar back.
You're really not a fan of Gib or self-determination, are you....?
We don't have songbirds here in the UK any more anyway, because cats and because the RSPB has narrowed its own remit to the protection of raptors. In the circumstances I can't get very excited about the Cypriots harvesting some of theirs, though their methods do seem a bit harsh. Learning of the existence of the EU Birds Directive is one of those things that make one think Brexit isn't all bad.
You're moving onto a subject you clearly don't know a great deal about, and I do.
We don't have songbirds because there's hardly any habitat for them. Have you actually looked at what the countryside contains these days? Field after field containing one crop species, be it rye grass, oil seed rape or wheat. None of it much cop for the vast majority of wildlife. Big fields with little cover, good for big efficient machinery but not much cop for most wildlife. Vast use of insecticide, good for prophylactic farming but not much cop for wildlife, whose foodchain is being eradicated.
Predators will only survive if there is sufficient prey in the landscape. It's density dependence, a fundamental ecological principle. That's probably why predators like kestrels and barn owls have declined. Like songbirds, the countryside is not an especially friendly place for the small mammals they eat. Think about how the countryside has changed from a diverse, intimate landscape to a hugely modified, simplified and still pretty but ecologically denuded one.
However, yes a few predators have prospered, partly due to less persecution but also because the shooting industry feeds them and on a vast scale. By releasing millions of pheasants every year and providing all the associated feeders and crappy maize margins, this has provided a fabulous source of food for rats, foxes, buzzards, kites and various other omnivorous predators and scavengers. The scale of pheasant releases has increased massively since the 70s as pheasant shoots have become business. I suspect the net negative impact of the shooting industry on wildlife (which has not been quantified) is as devastating as that from agricultural intensification.
Yeah, cats eat songbirds, but by and large the ones they eat are not the ones that are declining: blackbirds, dunnock, blue tit etc. It's more specialised species that have declined the most.
Reading across Labour's 2010 and 2015 results, combined with a spread of regional polls or subsamples they will be:
Scotland: Tory support levels 1997-2015 Wales: lose one in ten of 2015 voters North: lose one in four of 2015 voters Midlands: lose one in four of 2015 voters London: revert to 2010 result South and East: already hollowed to core at around 16-18%
Comments
Lucas: +13
May: +9
Farron: - 8
Nuttall: -34
Corbyn: -44
[March 2017]
http://bit.ly/2nD15Py
(Or to have been able to afford to build Liverpool but the jury's still out on whether that's a good thing if not)
CON 34 (+4)
LAB 37 (-9)
LD 14 (+7)
UKIP 9 (-4)
GRN 5 (+1)
Eek – Labour losing its dominance in London could be as bad for them as Scotland GE2015.
he'll => he will
Note: future tense.
I don't doubt they are hoovering some remainer/protester votes right now.
Lab 37 (=)
Con 34 (-1)
LD 14 (-8)
UKIP 9 (+7)
Green 5 (+3)
Jezza's Labour as popular as Gordon Brown's with Londoners.
Labour are in an odd position. As loyal Brits they will want the government to get the best deal possible for the country, but the quickest way for the tory dominance to end woukd be for may to cock it up.
Labour -> Conservative swing (And a big one, 5-6% or so) nationally
It appears in London, and so we can extrapolate to other "remain" areas (If my Sion Simon bet was to be trounced, this may provide further evidence) that there is a big Labour -> Lib Dem swing going on as well.
So
Lab -> Con in provincial Brexitshire
&
Lab -> Lib Dem in metropolitan Remainia
A heady mix for Corbyn.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/31/outrage-spain-given-effective-veto-future-gibraltar-eu-plans/
The value of a bullock in India is about 15% of a cow - that differential will have widened. Should be positive news for Genus Plc given the relative pricing of sexed semen vs conventional semen
Internals, leader ratings & models are beyond disastrous. Their position has markedly deteriorated post-Brexit.
But their number is dwindling judging by membership figures.
On those numbers, the LDs would also gain Bermondsey & Old Southwark from Labour (where the demographic trends probably also favour the LDs longer term), but I think that's it for London.
I believe there is a student bedsit somewhere in Cambridge.
Chairman Corbyn's popularity goes from strength to strength. Who has received a standing ovation from Islington South's Manhole Inspection Association? None but he!
NEW THREAD
Edit - curse you, MD, it was an obvious joke, but it was my turn!
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/30/nicola-sturgeon-signs-letter-theresa-may-demanding-second-independence/
We don't have songbirds because there's hardly any habitat for them. Have you actually looked at what the countryside contains these days? Field after field containing one crop species, be it rye grass, oil seed rape or wheat. None of it much cop for the vast majority of wildlife. Big fields with little cover, good for big efficient machinery but not much cop for most wildlife. Vast use of insecticide, good for prophylactic farming but not much cop for wildlife, whose foodchain is being eradicated.
Predators will only survive if there is sufficient prey in the landscape. It's density dependence, a fundamental ecological principle. That's probably why predators like kestrels and barn owls have declined. Like songbirds, the countryside is not an especially friendly place for the small mammals they eat. Think about how the countryside has changed from a diverse, intimate landscape to a hugely modified, simplified and still pretty but ecologically denuded one.
However, yes a few predators have prospered, partly due to less persecution but also because the shooting industry feeds them and on a vast scale. By releasing millions of pheasants every year and providing all the associated feeders and crappy maize margins, this has provided a fabulous source of food for rats, foxes, buzzards, kites and various other omnivorous predators and scavengers. The scale of pheasant releases has increased massively since the 70s as pheasant shoots have become business. I suspect the net negative impact of the shooting industry on wildlife (which has not been quantified) is as devastating as that from agricultural intensification.
Yeah, cats eat songbirds, but by and large the ones they eat are not the ones that are declining: blackbirds, dunnock, blue tit etc. It's more specialised species that have declined the most.
Scotland: Tory support levels 1997-2015
Wales: lose one in ten of 2015 voters
North: lose one in four of 2015 voters
Midlands: lose one in four of 2015 voters
London: revert to 2010 result
South and East: already hollowed to core at around 16-18%