Since the PB Brexiteers' estimates of a poor show for this march seem to have been creeping up incrementally from 10k - 20k - 25k - 40k, I'd suggest their/your definition of a wet fart may be somewhat elastic.
As far as you thinking that Scotland's huge Remain majority meant this was the issue which was going to put fire in the bellies of Yes this time round, can I ask which specific statements propelled this idea into your (no doubt pretty) little head, or are you resorting to setting up your own proposition so you can say it's failed? I'd wait for the council elections in May to see the lie of the land, since we're told by no greater authority than Tessy herself that they'll be a proxy poll on the desire for a 2nd referendum. You should perhaps note that in Glasgow yesterday the SNP & Sturgeon were launching their manifesto for the GCC council elections and large numbers of members were pounding the streets, which should give an indication of current priorities.
If the SNP get 51% or more in the local elections they have a case they would win an indyref2, if not, they won't
'Introducing the party conference, May writes: “We will also be looking forward to the local elections in May, when voters across Scotland will have the chance to send a clear message to the SNP that they do not want a second independence referendum, by voting Scottish Conservative and Unionist on 4 May.”'
If the Scottish Conservative and Unionist get 51% or more in the local elections they have a case they would win an indyref2, if not, they won't.
Except Labour and the LDs and UKIP are still all Unionist parties too
'A Panelbase poll of 1,028 voters found 14% of those who were likely to vote planned to give their first preference to Kezia Dugdale’s party in May when “don’t knows” are excluded.
Support for the SNP was at 47%, the Scottish Conservatives were on 26%, the Liberal Democrats 5%, the Greens 4% and Ukip 3%'
Since the PB Brexiteers' estimates of a poor show for this march seem to have been creeping up incrementally from 10k - 20k - 25k - 40k, I'd suggest their/your definition of a wet fart may be somewhat elastic.
As far as you thinking that Scotland's huge Remain majority meant this was the issue which was going to put fire in the bellies of Yes this time round, can I ask which specific statements propelled this idea into your (no doubt pretty) little head, or are you resorting to setting up your own proposition so you can say it's failed? I'd wait for the council elections in May to see the lie of the land, since we're told by no greater authority than Tessy herself that they'll be a proxy poll on the desire for a 2nd referendum. You should perhaps note that in Glasgow yesterday the SNP & Sturgeon were launching their manifesto for the GCC council elections and large numbers of members were pounding the streets, which should give an indication of current priorities.
If the SNP get 51% or more in the local elections they have a case they would win an indyref2, if not, they won't
'Introducing the party conference, May writes: “We will also be looking forward to the local elections in May, when voters across Scotland will have the chance to send a clear message to the SNP that they do not want a second independence referendum, by voting Scottish Conservative and Unionist on 4 May.”'
If the Scottish Conservative and Unionist get 51% or more in the local elections they have a case they would win an indyref2, if not, they won't.
Except Labour and the LDs and UKIP are still all Unionist parties too
'A Panelbase poll of 1,028 voters found 14% of those who were likely to vote planned to give their first preference to Kezia Dugdale’s party in May when “don’t knows” are excluded.
Support for the SNP was at 47%, the Scottish Conservatives were on 26%, the Liberal Democrats 5%, the Greens 4% and Ukip 3%'
Do the math are our Septic cousins might say.
Yes get 47% in Indyref2 and still lose, indeed
Lol!
'Except Labour and the LDs and UKIP are still all Unionist parties too'
The big story of today is not Russia, or Brexit or any of that boring stuff. No, the big story is the Saarland elections in Germany. Last fought in 2012, the Saarland was once the home of Germany's heavy industry: it was the home of coal, and steel, and lots of manufacturing.
But the decline of coal, and Germany's focus on integrating the East has meant that the Saarland is one of the poorer West German Laander. (Bonus fact: back in 1999, I was the analyst at Goldman Sachs who took public the Saarland's only meaningful tech company.) The Saarland is majority Catholic and has been run by a CDU-SPD coalition since the last elections.
Both the AfD and Linke had been polling well in the Saarland until quite recently. The AfD has, of course, done very well in former East German state elections, and it will be interesting to see how they do today.
Worth noting that last time around the Pirates got something like 7% of the vote, and are likely to be all but wiped out this time around. Everyone should see a small bump, one would think.
Agree that this is today's most interesting event. The Left did well here because of a quirk - the former SPD leader Lafontaine from the state defected to them and brought lots of voters with him. He's still their popular local leader but they're seemingly suffering from the SPD revival.
The polls locally don't show the big SPD surge shown elsewhere, though, just a little bump, and the local CDU leader is quite popular. It'll be unusual if the SPD as junior governing party does well - normally, as we know, that's a suicide pill. But with three parties near the 5% threshold, there's plenty of scope for surprises.
Carswell again refuses to say he won't be standing as a Tory at the next GE on Sunday Politics
By his own past statements, he has to call a by election or be seen as a complete hypocrite. He advised Labour MPs to quit and join ukip or go independent, but said they had to call a by election
Presumably he could defect back just a couple of months before an election.
Whether he would be selected as PPC for the Tories in Clacton may not be certain. Some there may well be pissed off at his previous antics.
They had the same candidate at the 2015 GE as at the by-election and he’s a local councillor.
One thing is for sure, Douglas Carswell's description of his leaving UKIP amicably wasn't exactly true.
'I'm not like all the other self serving politicians who game the system for their own ends.. and you can find out why in my new book available in all good book stores from tomorrow'
Carswell again refuses to say he won't be standing as a Tory at the next GE on Sunday Politics
By his own past statements, he has to call a by election or be seen as a complete hypocrite. He advised Labour MPs to quit and join ukip or go independent, but said they had to call a by election
Presumably he could defect back just a couple of months before an election.
Whether he would be selected as PPC for the Tories in Clacton may not be certain. Some there may well be pissed off at his previous antics.
They had the same candidate at the 2015 GE as at the by-election and he’s a local councillor.
Plus he used to be an actor and was in the TV sitcom 'Bread'
Since the PB Brexiteers' estimates of a poor show for this march seem to have been creeping up incrementally from 10k - 20k - 25k - 40k, I'd suggest their/your definition of a wet fart may be somewhat elastic.
As far as you thinking that Scotland's huge Remain majority meant this was the issue which was going to put fire in the bellies of Yes this time round, can I ask which specific statements propelled this idea into your (no doubt pretty) little head, or are you resorting to setting up your own proposition so you can say it's failed? I'd wait for the council elections in May to see the lie of the land, since we're told by no greater authority than Tessy herself that they'll be a proxy poll on the desire for a 2nd referendum. You should perhaps note that in Glasgow yesterday the SNP & Sturgeon were launching their manifesto for the GCC council elections and large numbers of members were pounding the streets, which should give an indication of current priorities.
If the SNP get 51% or more in the local elections they have a case they would win an indyref2, if not, they won't
'Introducing the party conference, May writes: “We will also be looking forward to the local elections in May, when voters across Scotland will have the chance to send a clear message to the SNP that they do not want a second independence referendum, by voting Scottish Conservative and Unionist on 4 May.”'
If the Scottish Conservative and Unionist get 51% or more in the local elections they have a case they would win an indyref2, if not, they won't.
Except Labour and the LDs and UKIP are still all Unionist parties too
'A Panelbase poll of 1,028 voters found 14% of those who were likely to vote planned to give their first preference to Kezia Dugdale’s party in May when “don’t knows” are excluded.
Support for the SNP was at 47%, the Scottish Conservatives were on 26%, the Liberal Democrats 5%, the Greens 4% and Ukip 3%'
Do the math are our Septic cousins might say.
Yes get 47% in Indyref2 and still lose, indeed
Lol!
'Except Labour and the LDs and UKIP are still all Unionist parties too'
Since the PB Brexiteers' estimates of a poor show for this march seem to have been creeping up incrementally from 10k - 20k - 25k - 40k, I'd suggest their/your definition of a wet fart may be somewhat elastic.
As far as you thinking that Scotland's huge Remain majority meant this was the issue which was going to put fire in the bellies of Yes this time round, can I ask which specific statements propelled this idea into your (no doubt pretty) little head, or are you resorting to setting up your own proposition so you can say it's failed? I'd wait for the council elections in May to see the lie of the land, since we're told by no greater authority than Tessy herself that they'll be a proxy poll on the desire for a 2nd referendum. You should perhaps note that in Glasgow yesterday the SNP & Sturgeon were launching their manifesto for the GCC council elections and large numbers of members were pounding the streets, which should give an indication of current priorities.
If the SNP get 51% or more in the local elections they have a case they would win an indyref2, if not, they won't
'Introducing the party conference, May writes: “We will also be looking forward to the local elections in May, when voters across Scotland will have the chance to send a clear message to the SNP that they do not want a second independence referendum, by voting Scottish Conservative and Unionist on 4 May.”'
If the Scottish Conservative and Unionist get 51% or more in the local elections they have a case they would win an indyref2, if not, they won't.
Except Labour and the LDs and UKIP are still all Unionist parties too
'A Panelbase poll of 1,028 voters found 14% of those who were likely to vote planned to give their first preference to Kezia Dugdale’s party in May when “don’t knows” are excluded.
Support for the SNP was at 47%, the Scottish Conservatives were on 26%, the Liberal Democrats 5%, the Greens 4% and Ukip 3%'
Do the math are our Septic cousins might say.
Yes get 47% in Indyref2 and still lose, indeed
Lol!
'Except Labour and the LDs and UKIP are still all Unionist parties too'
SNP 47 + Green 4 = 51
Scon 26 + SLab 14 + SLD 5 + UKIP 3 = 48
Do the math, dude!
You can't add the SNP and Green totals as has already been pointed out a minority of SNP and Green voters oppose independence. SNP 47% almost exactly matches their 2016 Holyrood total, until the SNP get 51% they do not have a Yes majority
Carswell again refuses to say he won't be standing as a Tory at the next GE on Sunday Politics
By his own past statements, he has to call a by election or be seen as a complete hypocrite. He advised Labour MPs to quit and join ukip or go independent, but said they had to call a by election
Presumably he could defect back just a couple of months before an election.
Whether he would be selected as PPC for the Tories in Clacton may not be certain. Some there may well be pissed off at his previous antics.
They had the same candidate at the 2015 GE as at the by-election and he’s a local councillor.
he came within a couple of thousand of unseating Carswell too as I recall.
Sounds like Labour are pivoting to oppose Brexit when Theresa May fails to deliver on their impossible demands.
That's absurd. Even full membership of the EEA wouldn't deliver that.
Indeed. Iimpossible and absurd. Labour's tests for supporting Brexit are precisely those promises made by the Leave campaign: end to Freedom of Movement and no interruption to trade.
Hannan wanted us to be in the EEA. Therefore, Freedom of Movement as well. Boris was in favour of the single market if I am correct.
Whatever. Hannan is the most disingenuous of all Leavers. I prefer David Davies, who is sincere, even if he isn't one to let facts get in the way of a genuinely held belief.
Since the PB Brexiteers' estimates of a poor show for this march seem to have been creeping up incrementally from 10k - 20k - 25k - 40k, I'd suggest their/your definition of a wet fart may be somewhat elastic.
As far as you thinking that Scotland's huge Remain majority meant this was the issue which was going to put fire in the bellies of Yes this time round, can I ask which specific statements propelled this idea into your (no doubt pretty) little head, or are you resorting to setting up your own proposition so you can say it's failed? I'd wait for the council elections in May to see the lie of the land, since we're told by no greater authority than Tessy herself that they'll be a proxy poll on the desire for a 2nd referendum. You should perhaps note that in Glasgow yesterday the SNP & Sturgeon were launching their manifesto for the GCC council elections and large numbers of members were pounding the streets, which should give an indication of current priorities.
If the SNP get 51% or more in the local elections they have a case they would win an indyref2, if not, they won't
'Introducing the party conference, May writes: “We will also be looking forward to the local elections in May, when voters across Scotland will have the chance to send a clear message to the SNP that they do not want a second independence referendum, by voting Scottish Conservative and Unionist on 4 May.”'
If the Scottish Conservative and Unionist get 51% or more in the local elections they have a case they would win an indyref2, if not, they won't.
Except Labour and the LDs and UKIP are still all Unionist parties too
'A Panelbase poll of 1,028 voters found 14% of those who were likely to vote planned to give their first preference to Kezia Dugdale’s party in May when “don’t knows” are excluded.
Support for the SNP was at 47%, the Scottish Conservatives were on 26%, the Liberal Democrats 5%, the Greens 4% and Ukip 3%'
Do the math are our Septic cousins might say.
Yes get 47% in Indyref2 and still lose, indeed
Lol!
'Except Labour and the LDs and UKIP are still all Unionist parties too'
SNP 47 + Green 4 = 51
Scon 26 + SLab 14 + SLD 5 + UKIP 3 = 48
Do the math, dude!
You can't add the SNP and Green totals as has already been pointed out a minority of SNP and Green voters oppose independence. SNP 47% almost exactly matches their 2016 Holyrood total, until the SNP get 51% they do not have a Yes majority
Careful, when you move from the head to the point of a pin, you get pricked.
It's missing an s. It reads like only ten, out of thousands who could have, joined the march. I was jokingly accusing the bbc of pro Brexit bias because of a typo.
More importantly, the BBC should have asked - where were the missing 16 million who could have joined the march? Maybe there'll be a Panorama special....
It was a good spirited march by all accounts, and a particularly high standard of placards. Protest placads have definitely become wittier over the years:
If they've managed to find 12 tasters who can't tell the difference between Sussex sparkling wine and a decent champagne I really suspect the tasters are not actually tasters. I'll see if I can find more details on this 'blind' tasting but it sounds very suspect to me.
(I should add I've tried some good English sparkling wines but they'd have to be almost frozen to fool even me that they're champagne)
The tasters found a difference, the English wines were superior. I know you must find this radically shocking.
Putting a bit of carbonation in is a fairly straightforward way to make an acidic thin white wine saleable. Mind you, I am not much of a fan of proper champers either. I leave it for the ladies.
Champagne and traditionally made sparkling wine is racked, it doesn't have 'a bit of carbonation' put into it.
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
The Mail quotes the Star as its source so it may not be entirely reliable. I shan't be pulling on my betting boots just yet.
It's a fairly open secret that the Hereford Boat club have a base in London.
I used to live by Tower Hill. Every now and again, a convoy of identical top spec Range Rovers with extra aerials would charge over Tower Bridge. In each vehicle 4 men in tshirts. Lead vehicle with a blue light. Basically about as subtle as a Jerry Bruckheimer movie.
It's missing an s. It reads like only ten, out of thousands who could have, joined the march. I was jokingly accusing the bbc of pro Brexit bias because of a typo.
More importantly, the BBC should have asked - where were the missing 16 million who could have joined the march? Maybe there'll be a Panorama special....
It was a good spirited march by all accounts, and a particularly high standard of placards. Protest placads have definitely become wittier over the years:
If they've managed to find 12 tasters who can't tell the difference between Sussex sparkling wine and a decent champagne I really suspect the tasters are not actually tasters. I'll see if I can find more details on this 'blind' tasting but it sounds very suspect to me.
(I should add I've tried some good English sparkling wines but they'd have to be almost frozen to fool even me that they're champagne)
The tasters found a difference, the English wines were superior. I know you must find this radically shocking.
Putting a bit of carbonation in is a fairly straightforward way to make an acidic thin white wine saleable. Mind you, I am not much of a fan of proper champers either. I leave it for the ladies.
Champagne and traditionally made sparkling wine is racked, it doesn't have 'a bit of carbonation' put into it.
yes it does. The carbonation is yeast derived in bottle. The yeast gives a bit of flavour as well as carbonation to a thin wine. Cheap fizz is artificially carbonated in bulk, like keg beer. Booming prossecco sales show that people will drink anything as long as it is fizzy.
The big story of today is not Russia, or Brexit or any of that boring stuff. No, the big story is the Saarland elections in Germany. Last fought in 2012, the Saarland was once the home of Germany's heavy industry: it was the home of coal, and steel, and lots of manufacturing.
But the decline of coal, and Germany's focus on integrating the East has meant that the Saarland is one of the poorer West German Laander. (Bonus fact: back in 1999, I was the analyst at Goldman Sachs who took public the Saarland's only meaningful tech company.) The Saarland is majority Catholic and has been run by a CDU-SPD coalition since the last elections.
Both the AfD and Linke had been polling well in the Saarland until quite recently. The AfD has, of course, done very well in former East German state elections, and it will be interesting to see how they do today.
Worth noting that last time around the Pirates got something like 7% of the vote, and are likely to be all but wiped out this time around. Everyone should see a small bump, one would think.
Agree that this is today's most interesting event. The Left did well here because of a quirk - the former SPD leader Lafontaine from the state defected to them and brought lots of voters with him. He's still their popular local leader but they're seemingly suffering from the SPD revival.
The polls locally don't show the big SPD surge shown elsewhere, though, just a little bump, and the local CDU leader is quite popular. It'll be unusual if the SPD as junior governing party does well - normally, as we know, that's a suicide pill. But with three parties near the 5% threshold, there's plenty of scope for surprises.
Since the PB Brexiteers' estimates of a poor show for this march seem to have been creeping up incrementally from 10k - 20k - 25k - 40k, I'd suggest their/your definition of a wet fart may be somewhat elastic.
As far as you thinking that Scotland's huge Remain majority meant this was the issue which was going to put fire in the bellies of Yes this time round, can I ask which specific statements propelled this idea into your (no doubt pretty) little head, or are you resorting to setting up your own proposition so you can say it's failed? I'd wait for the council elections in May to see the lie of the land, since we're told by no greater authority than Tessy herself that they'll be a proxy poll on the desire for a 2nd referendum. You should perhaps note that in Glasgow yesterday the SNP & Sturgeon were launching their manifesto for the GCC council elections and large numbers of members were pounding the streets, which should give an indication of current priorities.
If the SNP get 51% or more in the local elections they have a case they would win an indyref2, if not, they won't
'Introducing the party conference, May writes: “We will also be looking forward to the local elections in May, when voters across Scotland will have the chance to send a clear message to the SNP that they do not want a second independence referendum, by voting Scottish Conservative and Unionist on 4 May.”'
If the Scottish Conservative and Unionist get 51% or more in the local elections they have a case they would win an indyref2, if not, they won't.
Except Labour and the LDs and UKIP are still all Unionist parties too
'A Panelbase poll of 1,028 voters found 14% of those who were likely to vote planned to give their first preference to Kezia Dugdale’s party in May when “don’t knows” are excluded.
Support for the SNP was at 47%, the Scottish Conservatives were on 26%, the Liberal Democrats 5%, the Greens 4% and Ukip 3%'
Do the math are our Septic cousins might say.
As Independents will poll 10-12% of the vote in the local elections compared to less than 1% in this poll , the figures are as useful as a bucket of sick .
So the SNP may even have a majority since the above adds up to only 85%.
yes it does. The carbonation is yeast derived in bottle. The yeast gives a bit of flavour as well as carbonation to a thin wine. Cheap fizz is artificially carbonated in bulk, like keg beer. Booming prossecco sales show that people will drink anything as long as it is fizzy.
No it doesn't. Nothing is 'put into it', the bubbles, as you acknowledge, are a part of the fermentation process, and are therefore of a much smaller and finer quality than in carbonated wine. I also don't know what your problem is with Prosecco, other than the fact that, like the unfairly maligned Chardonnay grape variety before it, it varies in quality and has become adopted by the proletariat, and therefore must be sneered at by the Guardianista faux wine snobs as they pile on to the next thing.
Any self-employed tax experts around? This new Making Tax Digital for Business (MTDfB) quarterly thingy from HMRC has got me slightly confused.
Anyone with turnover less than £10K is exempt. Period.
But it is unclear what someone just above that will do.
HMRC says:
"Businesses, self-employed people and landlords will be required to start using the new digital service from:
April 2019 if they have profits chargeable to Income Tax and pay Class 4 NICs and their turnovers are below the VAT threshold."
So, what happens if you have a turnover slightly above £10K, but don't earn not enough to pay Class 4 NICs (which have a starting rate of about £8K of profit?
An example might be a rental property that brings in £7K and say £5K of self-employed work.
It is Sunday, so I may be being thick due to hangover. Have I missed something here?
The big story of today is not Russia, or Brexit or any of that boring stuff. No, the big story is the Saarland elections in Germany. Last fought in 2012, the Saarland was once the home of Germany's heavy industry: it was the home of coal, and steel, and lots of manufacturing.
But the decline of coal, and Germany's focus on integrating the East has meant that the Saarland is one of the poorer West German Laander. (Bonus fact: back in 1999, I was the analyst at Goldman Sachs who took public the Saarland's only meaningful tech company.) The Saarland is majority Catholic and has been run by a CDU-SPD coalition since the last elections.
Both the AfD and Linke had been polling well in the Saarland until quite recently. The AfD has, of course, done very well in former East German state elections, and it will be interesting to see how they do today.
Worth noting that last time around the Pirates got something like 7% of the vote, and are likely to be all but wiped out this time around. Everyone should see a small bump, one would think.
CompuGroup?
Isn't Koblenz in the Rheinland-Palatinate?
It was IDS Scheer, an IT services company that was acquired by Software AG.
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
yes it does. The carbonation is yeast derived in bottle. The yeast gives a bit of flavour as well as carbonation to a thin wine. Cheap fizz is artificially carbonated in bulk, like keg beer. Booming prossecco sales show that people will drink anything as long as it is fizzy.
No it doesn't. Nothing is 'put into it', the bubbles, as you acknowledge, are a part of the fermentation process, and are therefore of a much smaller and finer quality than in carbonated wine. I also don't know what your problem is with Prosecco, other than the fact that, like the unfairly maligned Chardonnay grape variety before it, it varies in quality and has become adopted by the proletariat, and therefore must be sneered at by the Guardianista faux wine snobs as they pile on to the next thing.
I pointed out that I don't like Champers much either! Mostly I drink beer, either real ale or bottled IPA. I am partial to a Barolo, Beaujolais, Burgundy or northern Rhone, and some new world copies of them. Sparkling wine is pretty poor value IMO, but the ladies seem to like it.
While it is possible that Len McCluskey has realised that Corbyn is a dud, I suspect that this has more to do with the timing of the Unite the Union leadership election.
McCluskey has probably realised that sounding to committed to Corbyn was likely to cost hi votes, in the election that opens tomorrow (I think) and goes on for a few weeks.
Any self-employed tax experts around? This new Making Tax Digital for Business (MTDfB) quarterly thingy from HMRC has got me slightly confused.
Anyone with turnover less than £10K is exempt. Period.
But it is unclear what someone just above that will do.
HMRC says:
"Businesses, self-employed people and landlords will be required to start using the new digital service from:
April 2019 if they have profits chargeable to Income Tax and pay Class 4 NICs and their turnovers are below the VAT threshold."
So, what happens if you have a turnover slightly above £10K, but don't earn not enough to pay Class 4 NICs (which have a starting rate of about £8K of profit?
An example might be a rental property that brings in £7K and say £5K of self-employed work.
It is Sunday, so I may be being thick due to hangover. Have I missed something here?
I would read that on a prima facie basis as meaning you only have to do it as of that date if you meet all three conditions (income tax, NICs, VAT). As you don't meet the Class IV NIC, you don't.
But I am neither a lawyer nor a UK based small business, so others might have better advice.
What makes you think he will ever quit? His removal involves getting the parliamentary Labour party to organise a contest. A group who have conclusively demonstrated they couldn't organise drowning in the middle of the Pacific.
I could easily see Corbyn announcing, after losing the next election, that he will stay on.
Where? Where? Thanet? Rochester? Clacton? Incidentally that’d be fun.
In other news former UKIP (sort of) MP, UKIP candidate for PCC and all round odd-ball Bob Spink is up before the beak next month for, as I understand it. forging the names of assenters to UKIP candidates in his former constituency's Council Elections.
While it is possible that Len McCluskey has realised that Corbyn is a dud, I suspect that this has more to do with the timing of the Unite the Union leadership election.
McCluskey has probably realised that sounding to committed to Corbyn was likely to cost hi votes, in the election that opens tomorrow (I think) and goes on for a few weeks.
Call me cynical. but we will see
He is clearly rattled. Now he's been forced to let the catout of the bag. May now has an 18 month window to call an election and win big. If she doesn't she may come to regret it.
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
For the record, I am hoping he is impeached and the sooner the better. But I hate it when my hopes are got up only for the tiniest bit of internetting to burst the bubble. TSE can, and should, do better.
While it is possible that Len McCluskey has realised that Corbyn is a dud, I suspect that this has more to do with the timing of the Unite the Union leadership election.
McCluskey has probably realised that sounding to committed to Corbyn was likely to cost hi votes, in the election that opens tomorrow (I think) and goes on for a few weeks.
Call me cynical. but we will see
Are you suggesting that the Unite vote maybe close enough for LM to need to say this ?
Any self-employed tax experts around? This new Making Tax Digital for Business (MTDfB) quarterly thingy from HMRC has got me slightly confused.
Anyone with turnover less than £10K is exempt. Period.
But it is unclear what someone just above that will do.
HMRC says:
"Businesses, self-employed people and landlords will be required to start using the new digital service from:
April 2019 if they have profits chargeable to Income Tax and pay Class 4 NICs and their turnovers are below the VAT threshold."
So, what happens if you have a turnover slightly above £10K, but don't earn not enough to pay Class 4 NICs (which have a starting rate of about £8K of profit?
An example might be a rental property that brings in £7K and say £5K of self-employed work.
It is Sunday, so I may be being thick due to hangover. Have I missed something here?
I would read that on a prima facie basis as meaning you only have to do it as of that date if you meet all three conditions (income tax, NICs, VAT). As you don't meet the Class IV NIC, you don't.
But I am neither a lawyer nor a UK based small business, so others might have better advice.
Not another bit of the budget not thought through properly, surely?
While it is possible that Len McCluskey has realised that Corbyn is a dud, I suspect that this has more to do with the timing of the Unite the Union leadership election.
McCluskey has probably realised that sounding to committed to Corbyn was likely to cost hi votes, in the election that opens tomorrow (I think) and goes on for a few weeks.
Call me cynical. but we will see
He is clearly rattled. Now he's been forced to let the catout of the bag. May now has an 18 month window to call an election and win big. If she doesn't she may come to regret it.
She has boxed herself in to a corner on an early GE. Said 'No' and will have to mean 'No'. Might just get away with spring 2018.
The other factor is the McDonnell amendment on % of nominating MPs. Len wont force Corbyn out if that doesn't pass at Labour AGM in September/October.
Any self-employed tax experts around? This new Making Tax Digital for Business (MTDfB) quarterly thingy from HMRC has got me slightly confused.
Anyone with turnover less than £10K is exempt. Period.
But it is unclear what someone just above that will do.
HMRC says:
"Businesses, self-employed people and landlords will be required to start using the new digital service from:
April 2019 if they have profits chargeable to Income Tax and pay Class 4 NICs and their turnovers are below the VAT threshold."
So, what happens if you have a turnover slightly above £10K, but don't earn not enough to pay Class 4 NICs (which have a starting rate of about £8K of profit?
An example might be a rental property that brings in £7K and say £5K of self-employed work.
It is Sunday, so I may be being thick due to hangover. Have I missed something here?
I would read that on a prima facie basis as meaning you only have to do it as of that date if you meet all three conditions (income tax, NICs, VAT). As you don't meet the Class IV NIC, you don't.
But I am neither a lawyer nor a UK based small business, so others might have better advice.
That's how I read it. So why stick in an additional clause about below £10K you are exempt?
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
A lot of the mud will stick regardless. That is why his approval rating is 37% having received 46% in November 2016.
Any self-employed tax experts around? This new Making Tax Digital for Business (MTDfB) quarterly thingy from HMRC has got me slightly confused.
Anyone with turnover less than £10K is exempt. Period.
But it is unclear what someone just above that will do.
HMRC says:
"Businesses, self-employed people and landlords will be required to start using the new digital service from:
April 2019 if they have profits chargeable to Income Tax and pay Class 4 NICs and their turnovers are below the VAT threshold."
So, what happens if you have a turnover slightly above £10K, but don't earn not enough to pay Class 4 NICs (which have a starting rate of about £8K of profit?
An example might be a rental property that brings in £7K and say £5K of self-employed work.
It is Sunday, so I may be being thick due to hangover. Have I missed something here?
I would read that on a prima facie basis as meaning you only have to do it as of that date if you meet all three conditions (income tax, NICs, VAT). As you don't meet the Class IV NIC, you don't.
But I am neither a lawyer nor a UK based small business, so others might have better advice.
Not another bit of the budget not thought through properly, surely?
And they say Corbyn’s incompetent!
As I understand HMRC wanted no exceptions, but accounting profession pushed back and won some delays to 2019 for a lot of smaller businesses. If you are VAT registered it will start in 2018.
I think this is a ticking bomb for May's government. It is going to massively unpopular with the smaller end of the self-employed grouping.
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
A lot of the mud will stick regardless. That is why his approval rating is 37% having received 46% in November 2016.
Trump's skin is both thick and thin. He will rankle at it unnecessarily and like a three-year old, but then also use it against his 'enemies'. He won't let a little thing such as public opinion change him or his plans.
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
For the record, I am hoping he is impeached and the sooner the better. But I hate it when my hopes are got up only for the tiniest bit of internetting to burst the bubble. TSE can, and should, do better.
Any self-employed tax experts around? This new Making Tax Digital for Business (MTDfB) quarterly thingy from HMRC has got me slightly confused.
Anyone with turnover less than £10K is exempt. Period.
But it is unclear what someone just above that will do.
HMRC says:
"Businesses, self-employed people and landlords will be required to start using the new digital service from:
April 2019 if they have profits chargeable to Income Tax and pay Class 4 NICs and their turnovers are below the VAT threshold."
So, what happens if you have a turnover slightly above £10K, but don't earn not enough to pay Class 4 NICs (which have a starting rate of about £8K of profit?
An example might be a rental property that brings in £7K and say £5K of self-employed work.
It is Sunday, so I may be being thick due to hangover. Have I missed something here?
I would read that on a prima facie basis as meaning you only have to do it as of that date if you meet all three conditions (income tax, NICs, VAT). As you don't meet the Class IV NIC, you don't.
But I am neither a lawyer nor a UK based small business, so others might have better advice.
Not another bit of the budget not thought through properly, surely?
And they say Corbyn’s incompetent!
As I understand HMRC wanted no exceptions, but accounting profession pushed back and won some delays to 2019 for a lot of smaller businesses. If you are VAT registered it will start in 2018.
I think this is a ticking bomb for May's government. It is going to massively unpopular with the smaller end of the self-employed grouping.
It is a significant hassle for my modest private practice next year. Another cost to pass on.
While it is possible that Len McCluskey has realised that Corbyn is a dud, I suspect that this has more to do with the timing of the Unite the Union leadership election.
McCluskey has probably realised that sounding to committed to Corbyn was likely to cost hi votes, in the election that opens tomorrow (I think) and goes on for a few weeks.
Call me cynical. but we will see
He is clearly rattled. Now he's been forced to let the catout of the bag. May now has an 18 month window to call an election and win big. If she doesn't she may come to regret it.
She has boxed herself in to a corner on an early GE. Said 'No' and will have to mean 'No'. Might just get away with spring 2018.
The other factor is the McDonnell amendment on % of nominating MPs. Len wont force Corbyn out if that doesn't pass at Labour AGM in September/October.
By next year I would expect Corbyn to be defeated by any serious challenger - regardless of McCluskey's views.
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
A lot of the mud will stick regardless. That is why his approval rating is 37% having received 46% in November 2016.
Trump's skin is both thick and thin. He will rankle at it unnecessarily and like a three-year old, but then also use it against his 'enemies'. He won't let a little thing such as public opinion change him or his plans.
Will not his base support simply regard it as more f... n....?
In terms of Scotland I'm surprised at how quickly folks are to write off any hope of Indyref2 succeeding.
The early responses of SCON, SLAB and SLID are predictable - in summary slagging off the SNP and the Greens - and in effect the 50% or so folks currently supporting them.
The most bizarre sight is to see SLAB, Gordon B and Corbyn tying themselves up in knots. SLAB focusing on the need for super federal devo-max is interesting - as they'll never be in a position in the foreseeable future to deliver.
If SLAB's dwindling band of supporters want more sovereignty and decisions taken in Holyrood there appears to be only one way of achieving this in the short term - I think the SNP will quietly marvel at SLAB's final act of Seppuku !!
Any self-employed tax experts around? This new Making Tax Digital for Business (MTDfB) quarterly thingy from HMRC has got me slightly confused.
Anyone with turnover less than £10K is exempt. Period.
But it is unclear what someone just above that will do.
HMRC says:
"Businesses, self-employed people and landlords will be required to start using the new digital service from:
April 2019 if they have profits chargeable to Income Tax and pay Class 4 NICs and their turnovers are below the VAT threshold."
So, what happens if you have a turnover slightly above £10K, but don't earn not enough to pay Class 4 NICs (which have a starting rate of about £8K of profit?
An example might be a rental property that brings in £7K and say £5K of self-employed work.
It is Sunday, so I may be being thick due to hangover. Have I missed something here?
I would read that on a prima facie basis as meaning you only have to do it as of that date if you meet all three conditions (income tax, NICs, VAT). As you don't meet the Class IV NIC, you don't.
But I am neither a lawyer nor a UK based small business, so others might have better advice.
Not another bit of the budget not thought through properly, surely?
And they say Corbyn’s incompetent!
As I understand HMRC wanted no exceptions, but accounting profession pushed back and won some delays to 2019 for a lot of smaller businesses. If you are VAT registered it will start in 2018.
I think this is a ticking bomb for May's government. It is going to massively unpopular with the smaller end of the self-employed grouping.
It is a significant hassle for my modest private practice next year. Another cost to pass on.
It will also hit self-employed journos and sub-editors. We have been here before with Hammond have we not?
Janet Daley is already kicking off about it. I expect the number of papers having a go will increase as we get nearer the deadlines.
It looks like Trump is starting to be critical of the GOP re failure of the AHCA. He tweeted yesterday that everyone should watch Judge Jeanine Show, and she called for Paul Ryan to resign as speaker. He's tweeted within the last hour or so a little dig at the HFC.
Any self-employed tax experts around? This new Making Tax Digital for Business (MTDfB) quarterly thingy from HMRC has got me slightly confused.
Anyone with turnover less than £10K is exempt. Period.
But it is unclear what someone just above that will do.
HMRC says:
"Businesses, self-employed people and landlords will be required to start using the new digital service from:
April 2019 if they have profits chargeable to Income Tax and pay Class 4 NICs and their turnovers are below the VAT threshold."
So, what happens if you have a turnover slightly above £10K, but don't earn not enough to pay Class 4 NICs (which have a starting rate of about £8K of profit?
An example might be a rental property that brings in £7K and say £5K of self-employed work.
It is Sunday, so I may be being thick due to hangover. Have I missed something here?
I would read that on a prima facie basis as meaning you only have to do it as of that date if you meet all three conditions (income tax, NICs, VAT). As you don't meet the Class IV NIC, you don't.
But I am neither a lawyer nor a UK based small business, so others might have better advice.
Not another bit of the budget not thought through properly, surely?
And they say Corbyn’s incompetent!
As I understand HMRC wanted no exceptions, but accounting profession pushed back and won some delays to 2019 for a lot of smaller businesses. If you are VAT registered it will start in 2018.
I think this is a ticking bomb for May's government. It is going to massively unpopular with the smaller end of the self-employed grouping.
It is a significant hassle for my modest private practice next year. Another cost to pass on.
It will also hit self-employed journos and sub-editors. We have been here before with Hammond have we not?
Janet Daley is already kicking off about it. I expect the number of papers having a go will increase as we get nearer the deadlines.
You wonder why they’re doing this immediately ahead of the Taylor Report
It looks like Trump is starting to be critical of the GOP re failure of the AHCA. He tweeted yesterday that everyone should watch Judge Jeanine Show, and she called for Paul Ryan to resign as speaker. He's tweeted within the last hour or so a little dig at the HFC.
He's Canadian, so that may contribute to his views on GOP's swing rightwards since 2009 and the Tea Party. He's been pretty critical of Michelle Bachmann et al in the past as well and has some unusual views on guns for a Republican!
While it is possible that Len McCluskey has realised that Corbyn is a dud, I suspect that this has more to do with the timing of the Unite the Union leadership election.
McCluskey has probably realised that sounding to committed to Corbyn was likely to cost hi votes, in the election that opens tomorrow (I think) and goes on for a few weeks.
Call me cynical. but we will see
Are you suggesting that the Unite vote maybe close enough for LM to need to say this ?
Possibly, I don't know. I'm not in unite and don't have any inside knowledge, but from the outside it dose look as if Red Len, and his team are taking this more seriously than normal for internal union elections. I've looked but have not yet found any poling on the election.
In terms of Scotland I'm surprised at how quickly folks are to write off any hope of Indyref2 succeeding.
The early responses of SCON, SLAB and SLID are predictable - in summary slagging off the SNP and the Greens - and in effect the 50% or so folks currently supporting them.
The most bizarre sight is to see SLAB, Gordon B and Corbyn tying themselves up in knots. SLAB focusing on the need for super federal devo-max is interesting - as they'll never be in a position in the foreseeable future to deliver.
If SLAB's dwindling band of supporters want more sovereignty and decisions taken in Holyrood there appears to be only one way of achieving this in the short term - I think the SNP will quietly marvel at SLAB's final act of Seppuku !!
SLAB today is a bunch of jokers ! They can only begin the long haul back by supporting independence.
Any self-employed tax experts around? This new Making Tax Digital for Business (MTDfB) quarterly thingy from HMRC has got me slightly confused.
Anyone with turnover less than £10K is exempt. Period.
But it is unclear what someone just above that will do.
HMRC says:
"Businesses, self-employed people and landlords will be required to start using the new digital service from:
April 2019 if they have profits chargeable to Income Tax and pay Class 4 NICs and their turnovers are below the VAT threshold."
So, what happens if you have a turnover slightly above £10K, but don't earn not enough to pay Class 4 NICs (which have a starting rate of about £8K of profit?
An example might be a rental property that brings in £7K and say £5K of self-employed work.
It is Sunday, so I may be being thick due to hangover. Have I missed something here?
I would read that on a prima facie basis as meaning you only have to do it as of that date if you meet all three conditions (income tax, NICs, VAT). As you don't meet the Class IV NIC, you don't.
But I am neither a lawyer nor a UK based small business, so others might have better advice.
That's how I read it. So why stick in an additional clause about below £10K you are exempt?
Isn't that just a phasing:
Below 10k - never
April 19 - if you meet all 3 criteria
Some other date - above 10k but not all other criteria
It looks like Trump is starting to be critical of the GOP re failure of the AHCA. He tweeted yesterday that everyone should watch Judge Jeanine Show, and she called for Paul Ryan to resign as speaker. He's tweeted within the last hour or so a little dig at the HFC.
In December 2015, weeks after Ryan became Speaker, Bannon wrote in an internal Breitbart email obtained by The Hill that the “long game” for his news site was for Ryan to be “gone” by the spring.
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
For the record, I am hoping he is impeached and the sooner the better. But I hate it when my hopes are got up only for the tiniest bit of internetting to burst the bubble. TSE can, and should, do better.
Wait, what? You want Trump impeached? Really?
Sure, I've been an anyone but Hillary or Trump since the beginning. Kasich was my man. I said that repeatedly and clearly on this site. My wife and I joked ahead of the election that we should have bumper stickers made up saying 'Vote for Trump. He'll be easier to impeach" I think I even posted that on here.
In terms of Scotland I'm surprised at how quickly folks are to write off any hope of Indyref2 succeeding.
The early responses of SCON, SLAB and SLID are predictable - in summary slagging off the SNP and the Greens - and in effect the 50% or so folks currently supporting them.
The most bizarre sight is to see SLAB, Gordon B and Corbyn tying themselves up in knots. SLAB focusing on the need for super federal devo-max is interesting - as they'll never be in a position in the foreseeable future to deliver.
If SLAB's dwindling band of supporters want more sovereignty and decisions taken in Holyrood there appears to be only one way of achieving this in the short term - I think the SNP will quietly marvel at SLAB's final act of Seppuku !!
SLAB today is a bunch of jokers ! They can only begin the long haul back by supporting independence.
If SLAB take the suicidal position of supporting independence having lost almost all their independence supporters to the SNP they will lose their remaining Unionist supporters to the Scottish Tories and LDs too
It looks like Trump is starting to be critical of the GOP re failure of the AHCA. He tweeted yesterday that everyone should watch Judge Jeanine Show, and she called for Paul Ryan to resign as speaker. He's tweeted within the last hour or so a little dig at the HFC.
I'm loving that he is identifying the 'Freedom Caucus' (Libertarians that call themselves republican for tactical reasons) as his opponents within the Republican party. Going forward this should give us more recognition and credibility. Hopefully
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
A lot of the mud will stick regardless. That is why his approval rating is 37% having received 46% in November 2016.
Trump's skin is both thick and thin. He will rankle at it unnecessarily and like a three-year old, but then also use it against his 'enemies'. He won't let a little thing such as public opinion change him or his plans.
Will not his base support simply regard it as more f... n....?
I think his 'base' is already crumbling at the edges. If he goes after Heritage, the Freedom Caucus and Paul Ryan (and we know his views about the Establishment), then he has no vestige of a base left in the party. He becomes purely a populist.
My guess is that if Trump does not rein it in vs the various bits of the GOP apparatus, the party will start to distance itself from him (sooner rather than later) and start focusing on things that will limit the damage in 2018. They need to keep the House.
Sounds like Labour are pivoting to oppose Brexit when Theresa May fails to deliver on their impossible demands.
That's absurd. Even full membership of the EEA wouldn't deliver that.
They appear to be the words of David Davis... Who knew that the main opposition to Brexit would come from the Brexiteers?
I think David Davis is surprising many with his pragmatic consensual approach and he is turning out to be the success of the three Brexiteers. I do not think he is taking us to a hard Brexit and neither do I think Theresa May is. I have said several times that I believe a fair deal will be agreed and it will not be a hard walking away exit
If you are right they have managed expectations brilliantly.
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
A lot of the mud will stick regardless. That is why his approval rating is 37% having received 46% in November 2016.
Trump's skin is both thick and thin. He will rankle at it unnecessarily and like a three-year old, but then also use it against his 'enemies'. He won't let a little thing such as public opinion change him or his plans.
Will not his base support simply regard it as more f... n....?
I think his 'base' is already crumbling at the edges. If he goes after Heritage, the Freedom Caucus and Paul Ryan (and we know his views about the Establishment), then he has no vestige of a base left in the party. He becomes purely a populist.
My guess is that if Trump does not rein it in vs the various bits of the GOP apparatus, the party will start to distance itself from him (sooner rather than later) and start focusing on things that will limit the damage in 2018. They need to keep the House.
I certainly can't see Trump voters turning out with much enthusiasm for Ryan in 2018 but expect large Democratic turnout in protest at Trump, Pelosi is not yet polishing the mantelpiece for the Speaker's gavel but she is getting close!
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
For the record, I am hoping he is impeached and the sooner the better. But I hate it when my hopes are got up only for the tiniest bit of internetting to burst the bubble. TSE can, and should, do better.
Wait, what? You want Trump impeached? Really?
Sure, I've been an anyone but Hillary or Trump since the beginning. Kasich was my man. I said that repeatedly and clearly on this site. My wife and I joked ahead of the election that we should have bumper stickers made up saying 'Vote for Trump. He'll be easier to impeach" I think I even posted that on here.
So not sure why this is a surprise to you.
Maybe I'm confusing your stance with TimB.
I liked Kasich in the debates as well. I thought he came off as the most reasonable candidate.
I must have the missed the thread re you saying 'vote for Trump. He'll be easier to impeach.' Did you write in Kasich in November 2016?
Out of interest, what did you think of AHCA and what the Freedom Caucasus' behaviour?
What makes you think he will ever quit? His removal involves getting the parliamentary Labour party to organise a contest. A group who have conclusively demonstrated they couldn't organise drowning in the middle of the Pacific.
I could easily see Corbyn announcing, after losing the next election, that he will stay on.
I have always thought a GE loss was no impediment to the continuation of the Corbyn project. The old fucker is going to have to be physically dragged out of the LotO's office. Probably in a straightjacket.
It looks like Trump is starting to be critical of the GOP re failure of the AHCA. He tweeted yesterday that everyone should watch Judge Jeanine Show, and she called for Paul Ryan to resign as speaker. He's tweeted within the last hour or so a little dig at the HFC.
I'm loving that he is identifying the 'Freedom Caucus' (Libertarians that call themselves republican for tactical reasons) as his opponents within the Republican party. Going forward this should give us more recognition and credibility. Hopefully
BIB: Do you identify politically with the HFC then? I'm not sure how many PBers are based out in the States!
The group, which includes many veterans of the Tea Party movement, was formed in January with the declared aim of pushing the House GOP leadership rightward on certain fiscal and social issues.
In terms of Scotland I'm surprised at how quickly folks are to write off any hope of Indyref2 succeeding.
The early responses of SCON, SLAB and SLID are predictable - in summary slagging off the SNP and the Greens - and in effect the 50% or so folks currently supporting them.
The most bizarre sight is to see SLAB, Gordon B and Corbyn tying themselves up in knots. SLAB focusing on the need for super federal devo-max is interesting - as they'll never be in a position in the foreseeable future to deliver.
If SLAB's dwindling band of supporters want more sovereignty and decisions taken in Holyrood there appears to be only one way of achieving this in the short term - I think the SNP will quietly marvel at SLAB's final act of Seppuku !!
SLAB today is a bunch of jokers ! They can only begin the long haul back by supporting independence.
By finally banging the "Home rule" drum - they really are marching into the abyss !
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
A lot of the mud will stick regardless. That is why his approval rating is 37% having received 46% in November 2016.
Trump's skin is both thick and thin. He will rankle at it unnecessarily and like a three-year old, but then also use it against his 'enemies'. He won't let a little thing such as public opinion change him or his plans.
Will not his base support simply regard it as more f... n....?
I think his 'base' is already crumbling at the edges. If he goes after Heritage, the Freedom Caucus and Paul Ryan (and we know his views about the Establishment), then he has no vestige of a base left in the party. He becomes purely a populist.
My guess is that if Trump does not rein it in vs the various bits of the GOP apparatus, the party will start to distance itself from him (sooner rather than later) and start focusing on things that will limit the damage in 2018. They need to keep the House.
The irony is that it is the Republicans who are most closely aligned with Trump - the ones elected in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, etc - who will lose their seats if the House swings leftwards in 2018.
In terms of Scotland I'm surprised at how quickly folks are to write off any hope of Indyref2 succeeding.
The early responses of SCON, SLAB and SLID are predictable - in summary slagging off the SNP and the Greens - and in effect the 50% or so folks currently supporting them.
The most bizarre sight is to see SLAB, Gordon B and Corbyn tying themselves up in knots. SLAB focusing on the need for super federal devo-max is interesting - as they'll never be in a position in the foreseeable future to deliver.
If SLAB's dwindling band of supporters want more sovereignty and decisions taken in Holyrood there appears to be only one way of achieving this in the short term - I think the SNP will quietly marvel at SLAB's final act of Seppuku !!
SLAB today is a bunch of jokers ! They can only begin the long haul back by supporting independence.
If SLAB take the suicidal position of supporting independence having lost almost all their independence supporters to the SNP they will lose their remaining Unionist supporters to the Scottish Tories and LDs too
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
A lot of the mud will stick regardless. That is why his approval rating is 37% having received 46% in November 2016.
Trump's skin is both thick and thin. He will rankle at it unnecessarily and like a three-year old, but then also use it against his 'enemies'. He won't let a little thing such as public opinion change him or his plans.
Will not his base support simply regard it as more f... n....?
I think his 'base' is already crumbling at the edges. If he goes after Heritage, the Freedom Caucus and Paul Ryan (and we know his views about the Establishment), then he has no vestige of a base left in the party. He becomes purely a populist.
My guess is that if Trump does not rein it in vs the various bits of the GOP apparatus, the party will start to distance itself from him (sooner rather than later) and start focusing on things that will limit the damage in 2018. They need to keep the House.
I certainly can't see Trump voters turning out with much enthusiasm for Ryan in 2018 but expect large Democratic turnout in protest at Trump, Pelosi is not yet polishing the mantelpiece for the Speaker's gavel but she is getting close!
This sort of thing is what you get when a large percentage of the population abstains, isn’t it.
Where? Where? Thanet? Rochester? Clacton? Incidentally that’d be fun.
In other news former UKIP (sort of) MP, UKIP candidate for PCC and all round odd-ball Bob Spink is up before the beak next month for, as I understand it. forging the names of assenters to UKIP candidates in his former constituency's Council Elections.
If it's found the Tories broke the law to beat him he'll stand in the Thanet South rerun. Not that controversial
It looks like Trump is starting to be critical of the GOP re failure of the AHCA. He tweeted yesterday that everyone should watch Judge Jeanine Show, and she called for Paul Ryan to resign as speaker. He's tweeted within the last hour or so a little dig at the HFC.
I'm loving that he is identifying the 'Freedom Caucus' (Libertarians that call themselves republican for tactical reasons) as his opponents within the Republican party. Going forward this should give us more recognition and credibility. Hopefully
BIB: Do you identify politically with the HFC then? I'm not sure how many PBers are based out in the States!
The group, which includes many veterans of the Tea Party movement, was formed in January with the declared aim of pushing the House GOP leadership rightward on certain fiscal and social issues.
Sorry for the confusion, perhaps that was pore wording on my part, I am UK based, but like a lot of PBs follow politics and currant would affairs from around the would.
As for identifying, I identify as a Libertarian, and the HFC, has many people in it that I admire e.g. Justin Amarsh,
From the groups own description of itself:
'We support open, accountable and limited government, the Constitution and the rule of law, and policies that promote the liberty, safety and prosperity of all Americans'
In terms of Scotland I'm surprised at how quickly folks are to write off any hope of Indyref2 succeeding.
The early responses of SCON, SLAB and SLID are predictable - in summary slagging off the SNP and the Greens - and in effect the 50% or so folks currently supporting them.
The most bizarre sight is to see SLAB, Gordon B and Corbyn tying themselves up in knots. SLAB focusing on the need for super federal devo-max is interesting - as they'll never be in a position in the foreseeable future to deliver.
If SLAB's dwindling band of supporters want more sovereignty and decisions taken in Holyrood there appears to be only one way of achieving this in the short term - I think the SNP will quietly marvel at SLAB's final act of Seppuku !!
SLAB today is a bunch of jokers ! They can only begin the long haul back by supporting independence.
If SLAB take the suicidal position of supporting independence having lost almost all their independence supporters to the SNP they will lose their remaining Unionist supporters to the Scottish Tories and LDs too
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
A lot of the mud will stick regardless. That is why his approval rating is 37% having received 46% in November 2016.
Trump's skin is both thick and thin. He will rankle at it unnecessarily and like a three-year old, but then also use it against his 'enemies'. He won't let a little thing such as public opinion change him or his plans.
Will not his base support simply regard it as more f... n....?
I think his 'base' is already crumbling at the edges. If he goes after Heritage, the Freedom Caucus and Paul Ryan (and we know his views about the Establishment), then he has no vestige of a base left in the party. He becomes purely a populist.
My guess is that if Trump does not rein it in vs the various bits of the GOP apparatus, the party will start to distance itself from him (sooner rather than later) and start focusing on things that will limit the damage in 2018. They need to keep the House.
I certainly can't see Trump voters turning out with much enthusiasm for Ryan in 2018 but expect large Democratic turnout in protest at Trump, Pelosi is not yet polishing the mantelpiece for the Speaker's gavel but she is getting close!
This sort of thing is what you get when a large percentage of the population abstains, isn’t it.
I see that there was scant discussion of TSE's header. Putting it in perspective, the story does not feature in my Googlenews feed at all, and not even Politico is running with it.
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
Agreed. Nevertheless there seems to be a lot of stuff happening around Trump and Russia. The question is whether it just remains as noise, in which case Trump is probably safe for the rest of his presidency, or whether it takes on a focus, which would be much more dangerous for him.
A lot of the mud will stick regardless. That is why his approval rating is 37% having received 46% in November 2016.
Trump's skin is both thick and thin. He will rankle at it unnecessarily and like a three-year old, but then also use it against his 'enemies'. He won't let a little thing such as public opinion change him or his plans.
Will not his base support simply regard it as more f... n....?
I think his 'base' is already crumbling at the edges. If he goes after Heritage, the Freedom Caucus and Paul Ryan (and we know his views about the Establishment), then he has no vestige of a base left in the party. He becomes purely a populist.
My guess is that if Trump does not rein it in vs the various bits of the GOP apparatus, the party will start to distance itself from him (sooner rather than later) and start focusing on things that will limit the damage in 2018. They need to keep the House.
The irony is that it is the Republicans who are most closely aligned with Trump - the ones elected in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, etc - who will lose their seats if the House swings leftwards in 2018.
The additional irony is that, if the Dems under Pelosi take back the House, they will read that as having a mandate for even more Liberal policies, when setting the pendulum up to swing back even further the other way.
Where? Where? Thanet? Rochester? Clacton? Incidentally that’d be fun.
In other news former UKIP (sort of) MP, UKIP candidate for PCC and all round odd-ball Bob Spink is up before the beak next month for, as I understand it. forging the names of assenters to UKIP candidates in his former constituency's Council Elections.
If it's found the Tories broke the law to beat him he'll stand in the Thanet South rerun. Not that controversial
Where? Where? Thanet? Rochester? Clacton? Incidentally that’d be fun.
In other news former UKIP (sort of) MP, UKIP candidate for PCC and all round odd-ball Bob Spink is up before the beak next month for, as I understand it. forging the names of assenters to UKIP candidates in his former constituency's Council Elections.
If it's found the Tories broke the law to beat him he'll stand in the Thanet South rerun. Not that controversial
He really is a glutton for punishment.
Another losing parliamentary campaign??
Probably! I guess he would be odds against to win?
I think part of the problem is that violent people are attracted to Jihadism as a justification and focus for their anger and violence.
We saw this with the shoe bomber, the Rigby murderers and Adrian wotsit. Certainly there are others that come to Islamism from other routes, but there is a pattern of young angry men becoming involved with crime and drugs then becoming Islamist fanatics after contact with the criminal justice system, often in prison.
Drug abuse in particular is a factor, in that drug users either regress or stagnate with the mentality of a hormonal teenager. Whether the impulsivity and lack of self control is primary or secondary or a fusion of both is hard to tell. We are currently sowing the wind with our penal system and will reap the whirlwind.
I think part of the problem is that violent people are attracted to Jihadism as a justification and focus for their anger and violence.
We saw this with the shoe bomber, the Rigby murderers and Adrian wotsit. Certainly there are others that come to Islamism from other routes, but there is a pattern of young angry men becoming involved with crime and drugs then becoming Islamist fanatics after contact with the criminal justice system, often in prison.
Drug abuse in particular is a factor, in that drug users either regress or stagnate with the mentality of a hormonal teenager. Whether the impulsivity and lack of self control is primary or secondary or a fusion of both is hard to tell. We are currently sowing the wind with our penal system and will reap the whirlwind.
I think part of the problem is that violent people are attracted to Jihadism as a justification and focus for their anger and violence.
We saw this with the shoe bomber, the Rigby murderers and Adrian wotsit. Certainly there are others that come to Islamism from other routes, but there is a pattern of young angry men becoming involved with crime and drugs then becoming Islamist fanatics after contact with the criminal justice system, often in prison.
Drug abuse in particular is a factor, in that drug users either regress or stagnate with the mentality of a hormonal teenager. Whether the impulsivity and lack of self control is primary or secondary or a fusion of both is hard to tell. We are currently sowing the wind with our penal system and will reap the whirlwind.
Yes good points
My favourite quote from Kurt Vonnegut.
“There are plenty of good reasons for fighting,' I said, 'but no good reason ever to hate without reservation, to imagine that God Almighty Himself hates with you, too. Where's evil? It's that large part of every man that wants to hate without limit, that wants to hate with God on its side. It's that part of every man that finds all kinds of ugliness so attractive.”
Comments
'Except Labour and the LDs and UKIP are still all Unionist parties too'
SNP 47 + Green 4 = 51
Scon 26 + SLab 14 + SLD 5 + UKIP 3 = 48
Do the math, dude!
The polls locally don't show the big SPD surge shown elsewhere, though, just a little bump, and the local CDU leader is quite popular. It'll be unusual if the SPD as junior governing party does well - normally, as we know, that's a suicide pill. But with three parties near the 5% threshold, there's plenty of scope for surprises.
http://www.wahlrecht.de/umfragen/landtage/saarland.htm
First predictions will be from 5pm UK time.
https://twitter.com/CityAM/status/845961569074790403
Whatever. Hannan is the most disingenuous of all Leavers. I prefer David Davies, who is sincere, even if he isn't one to let facts get in the way of a genuinely held belief.
Aggro at the Queens Head
https://twitter.com/dailymailuk/status/845897499621687296
https://mobile.twitter.com/simon_schama/status/845962676157235201
A hint may be Abramson's self-description as a "poet, editor, attorney, freelance journalist, and professor". Probably more accurate would be 'pretentious dick with an axe to grind'.
I don't recognise my own country any more.
I used to live by Tower Hill. Every now and again, a convoy of identical top spec Range Rovers with extra aerials would charge over Tower Bridge. In each vehicle 4 men in tshirts. Lead vehicle with a blue light. Basically about as subtle as a Jerry Bruckheimer movie.
https://twitter.com/msmithsonpb/status/845960516518498304
Anyone with turnover less than £10K is exempt. Period.
But it is unclear what someone just above that will do.
HMRC says:
"Businesses, self-employed people and landlords will be required to start using the new digital service from:
April 2019 if they have profits chargeable to Income Tax and pay Class 4 NICs and their turnovers are below the VAT threshold."
So, what happens if you have a turnover slightly above £10K, but don't earn not enough to pay Class 4 NICs (which have a starting rate of about £8K of profit?
An example might be a rental property that brings in £7K and say £5K of self-employed work.
It is Sunday, so I may be being thick due to hangover. Have I missed something here?
On the whole I am a cheap date!
McCluskey has probably realised that sounding to committed to Corbyn was likely to cost hi votes, in the election that opens tomorrow (I think) and goes on for a few weeks.
Call me cynical. but we will see
But I am neither a lawyer nor a UK based small business, so others might have better advice.
I could easily see Corbyn announcing, after losing the next election, that he will stay on.
In other news former UKIP (sort of) MP, UKIP candidate for PCC and all round odd-ball Bob Spink is up before the beak next month for, as I understand it. forging the names of assenters to UKIP candidates in his former constituency's Council Elections.
And they say Corbyn’s incompetent!
The other factor is the McDonnell amendment on % of nominating MPs. Len wont force Corbyn out if that doesn't pass at Labour AGM in September/October.
I think this is a ticking bomb for May's government. It is going to massively unpopular with the smaller end of the self-employed grouping.
The early responses of SCON, SLAB and SLID are predictable - in summary slagging off the SNP and the Greens - and in effect the 50% or so folks currently supporting them.
The most bizarre sight is to see SLAB, Gordon B and Corbyn tying themselves up in knots. SLAB focusing on the need for super federal devo-max is interesting - as they'll never be in a position in the foreseeable future to deliver.
If SLAB's dwindling band of supporters want more sovereignty and decisions taken in Holyrood there appears to be only one way of achieving this in the short term - I think the SNP will quietly marvel at SLAB's final act of Seppuku !!
Janet Daley is already kicking off about it. I expect the number of papers having a go will increase as we get nearer the deadlines.
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/845974102619906048
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2017/03/the-republican-waterloo/520833/
He's Canadian, so that may contribute to his views on GOP's swing rightwards since 2009 and the Tea Party. He's been pretty critical of Michelle Bachmann et al in the past as well and has some unusual views on guns for a Republican!
Technically if 2 Muslims in the U.K. Called for that the headline would be accurate Isn't that just a phasing:
Below 10k - never
April 19 - if you meet all 3 criteria
Some other date - above 10k but not all other criteria
It seems like Bannon has had it out for Ryan from the off-set, even before he was in the WH. http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/300445-exclusive-trump-campaign-ceo-wanted-to-destroy-ryan
In December 2015, weeks after Ryan became Speaker, Bannon wrote in an internal Breitbart email obtained by The Hill that the “long game” for his news site was for Ryan to be “gone” by the spring.
So not sure why this is a surprise to you.
My guess is that if Trump does not rein it in vs the various bits of the GOP apparatus, the party will start to distance itself from him (sooner rather than later) and start focusing on things that will limit the damage in 2018. They need to keep the House.
I liked Kasich in the debates as well. I thought he came off as the most reasonable candidate.
I must have the missed the thread re you saying 'vote for Trump. He'll be easier to impeach.' Did you write in Kasich in November 2016?
Out of interest, what did you think of AHCA and what the Freedom Caucasus' behaviour?
I always saw the HFC as connected with the Tea Party: http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2015/10/20/house-freedom-caucus-what-is-it-and-whos-in-it/
The group, which includes many veterans of the Tea Party movement, was formed in January with the declared aim of pushing the House GOP leadership rightward on certain fiscal and social issues.
As for identifying, I identify as a Libertarian, and the HFC, has many people in it that I admire e.g. Justin Amarsh,
From the groups own description of itself:
'We support open, accountable and limited government, the Constitution and the rule of law, and policies that promote the liberty, safety and prosperity of all Americans'
Another losing parliamentary campaign??
We saw this with the shoe bomber, the Rigby murderers and Adrian wotsit. Certainly there are others that come to Islamism from other routes, but there is a pattern of young angry men becoming involved with crime and drugs then becoming Islamist fanatics after contact with the criminal justice system, often in prison.
Drug abuse in particular is a factor, in that drug users either regress or stagnate with the mentality of a hormonal teenager. Whether the impulsivity and lack of self control is primary or secondary or a fusion of both is hard to tell. We are currently sowing the wind with our penal system and will reap the whirlwind.
NEW THREAD
“There are plenty of good reasons for fighting,' I said, 'but no good reason ever to hate without reservation, to imagine that God Almighty Himself hates with you, too. Where's evil? It's that large part of every man that wants to hate without limit, that wants to hate with God on its side. It's that part of every man that finds all kinds of ugliness so attractive.”