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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Results : March 16th 2017
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Results : March 16th 2017
Warbreck on Blackpool (Con defence, death of sitting member) Result: Conservative 728 (55% +18%), Labour 468 (35% +6%), UKIP 75 (6% -13%), Liberal Democrat 57 (4% -3%) Conservative HOLD with a majority of 260 (20%) on a swing of 6% from Labour to Conservative
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We said nothing, all we did was quote a certain very talented legal mind who was the one responsible for saying that on TV," said President Trump.
"I didn't make opinion on it, that was statement made by a very talented lawyer on Fox [News]", he added, saying that reporters "shouldn't be talking to me, you should be talking to Fox".
Alternative facts...
Just noticed it is missing a crucial "more" in the title..
I was in the Any Questions audience tonight. Nice to have some free wine and snacks afterwards, which I wasn't expecting. Michael Heseltine was on top form on the panel.
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/just-44-think-theresa-may-will-get-a-good-deal-on-brexit-a3492401.html
Anyway, if those %'ages are all voters (and not just brexit voters) then the union really is dead.
Goodbye UK. Goodbye Britain.
(sell sterling)
(buy arms shares)
https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/3858/Four-in-ten-have-confidence-in-May-to-get-a-good-deal-for-Britain-in-Brexit-negotiations.aspx
Odd you chose to ignore that poll, and the other poll from this week which showed the 14% lead was an outlier.
Does make me query that oft-flaunted hypothesis about society going to pan because the Lower Orders are outbreeding their superiors, and how even quite social-liberal lefty middle-class types are desperately afraid of their children mixing with "chavs" and at times veer into support for some sort of eugenic program to protect the nation's genetic stock. My cousins may well have more kids than GCSEs and no indication of ever getting a job, let alone savings or financial security; I've been fortunate to study at some of the best-known institutions of learning in the land, have more letters behind my name than in my name and am well on track to be a multi-millionaire.
Whatever the heck the initial difference that opened up this grand divergence in life courses is, we've surely got too many genes in common for it to be the DNA. And while I've worked hard to get where I have, the Tory/liberal idea of destiny being in your own hands doesn't ring true either - by the time I was old enough to be consciously, proactively slogging away, a lot of formative events, other people's choices, had already set me up on my path. If they'd had my life chances, where would they be? If I'd been in their situation, would I be a grandfather by now? There's a bit of "there but for the grace" in it all.
If the Conservative and Unionist Party really, really felt like putting the Union first, it would not take a grand realignment of public spending (circa 1% of UK GDP, on the back of an envelope) to subsidise Scotland to a tune that would be equivalent to them facing a 20% budget deficit if they every took the Sindy route. That scale of bribery wouldn't just make the Union more attractive - it would make crashing out of the union almost impossible.
Such largesse could be justified from a patriotic point of view as the cost of preserving the Union. It could be justified from the social point of view, as supporting some of the least well-off, more unhealthy, shortest life-expectancy regions of Britain. And while the scale of such bribery would be tricky, if it were to be prioritised, genuinely affordable.
Is it politically plausible? If May is serious about saving the union, she isn't going to be able to do it by charming the pants off the Scots. Money would do the talking better for her.
I wouldn't bet on it.
https://www.theguardian.com/music/2017/mar/16/depeche-mode-spirit-review-stripped-back-amped-up-and-angry
(as discussed FPT)
Edit:
https://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/5whpqs/im_bill_gates_cochair_of_the_bill_melinda_gates/
One of the things I dislike about many people with money is that they want to show it...for what?
Edit:
https://www.reddit.com/r/IAmA/comments/5whpqs/im_bill_gates_cochair_of_the_bill_melinda_gates/
Yes, good to see he is open to any question
Ben Okri is a visionary, a poet, a sublime writer. Are you trying to compare yourself with him? Or are you trying to make the analogy with David Cameron?
It really doesn't seem acute to me.
Do you ever disguise yourself and just walk around incognito?
First sentence of answer:
I sometimes wear a hat.
Question to Bill Gates:
Hello Bill Gates. What is your idea of success?
First sentence of answer:
Warren Buffett has always said the measure is whether the people close to you are happy and love you.
Two reasons Gates was also classier than Jobs, who did not even acknowledge his own daughter (even when naming an f'ing computer after her).
I wonder how much truth there is in the adage about parents sending kids to private schools, not because of who goes there, but because of who doesn't...
I also occasionally wear a balaclava. I'd have *loved* it if Gates had gone incognito by wearing a balaclava ...
It's about as accurate as trying to compare your styles of writing. You're a populist, and a good and successful one. He goes for another sort of market, and the crossover between the two are rare. And good luck to both of you.
As an aside, haven't you both one thing in common: you've both won the 'bad sex in fiction' award?
(*) Approximately. I might be out by a few hundred yards ...
Then there are audiences. Who prefers Malevich to Jack Vettriano? Or Ben Okri to you? All a matter of taste.
I'm sure you do believe that Alex Salmond is better than his rivals but if we compare him to other nationalists eg Nigel Farage, then he Is a failure, or at least "worse".
I'm reluctant to make the analogy with you because you seem understandably sensitive about it.
https://www.theguardian.com/uk/2000/nov/30/books.booksnews1
It's like the BBC were afraid it was a little too sexual ...
Oh, and you look really young in that picture with Jagger. What went wrong?
Sunil's Great British Railway Journeys - 2017 Edition. Rail routes that Sunil has done for the first time - excludes journeys taken to reach said routes. Other routes were done for the first time in previous calendar years.
January: Doncaster to Hull via Selby, Chester to Warrington Bank Quay, Warrington Bank Quay to Newton-le-Willows.
London area: Bermondsey Dive-under (London Bridge to New Cross Gate), Hayes & Harlington "new" bay platform, Heathrow Airport junction new layout (slow tracks).
February: Sheffield to Lincoln, Swinton (Yorks.) to Fitzwilliam, Leeds to York (direct), Doncaster to Cleethorpes, Guide Bridge to Rose Hill, Leeds to Skipton, Deansgate to Leyland, Preston to Blackpool North, Blackpool Tramway (Fleetwood Ferry to Starr Gate), Manchester Victoria to Mirfield via Brighouse, Leeds to Sowerby Bridge via Bradford Interchange, Manchester Victoria to Stalybridge, Manchester Victoria to Southport, Wigan Wallgate to Kirkby, Chinley to Ashburys (Manchester), Preston to Ormskirk, Moorthorpe to Church Fenton (via Pontefract Baghill), Meadowhall to Leeds (via Barnsley and Castleford), Woodlesford to Normanton (direct), Kirkstall Forge to Ilkley, Guiseley to Bradford Forster Square, Frizinghall to Saltaire, Micklefield to Selby, York to Scarborough, Castleford to Knottingley, Pontefract Monkhill to Wakefield Kirkgate, Leeds to York (via Harrogate), Deansgate to Exchange Square (Metrolink), Manchester Victoria to Newton-le-Willows.
London area: Heathrow Airport junction new layout (fast tracks), West Ealing new bay platform (Greenford shuttle).
March: Bolton to Hindley via Westhoughton, Oxford Road to Wigan NW (direct), Doncaster to Pontefract Monkhill, Wakefield Kirkgate to Mirfield, Brighouse to Halifax, Preston to Colne, Kirkham and Wesham to Blackpool South, Todmorden to Rose Grove (Burnley), Bolton to Clitheroe, Huddersfield to Barnsley, Newcastle Central to Airport (Metro), South Gosforth to St James via Whitley Bay (Metro), Newcastle Central to South Hylton (Metro), Pelaw to South Shields (Metro), Newcastle to Sunderland (via High Level Bridge), Newcastle to Carlisle (inc. Metrocentre via High Level Bridge).
But take my surgeon. He took a young man who suffered bouts of intense pain, and who often could hardly walk, and fixed him. Fifteen months after the last operation I was walking the Pennine Way. A couple of years after that I was walking thousands of miles. He *changed* my life. And I was just one of hundreds, possibly thousands, of people he helped, from presidents to plebs like me.
You get very handsomely rewarded, but it is essentially meaningless. If you;re looking at the value you give people, then Dr Sox (as one example) probably deserves far more reward than you.
Yet that is the unfairness of life. Rewards are out of proportion to deeds. (**)
Edit: I'm not trying to be nasty. I quite like your books.
(*) as is mine, to a certain extent.
(**) That also applies to me. No-one's ever looked at a digital radio and thought; "My God, I'm a better person for listening to that!"
When my business is very very busy, I don't have time to shave. If I possess a caveman's hirstute visage, you've likely caught me during an income peak. If I'm neat and clean-shaven, you can safely assume I'm skint.
But while my beard length is highly correlated with my earnings, I have never managed to improve my incomes during quiet periods by dint of letting it grow shaggy.
(Sidenote: a nice example of modulo arithmetic / temporal aliasing. Shave yourself every 8 days. People who see you once a week will think your beard is shrinking.)
Yet.
That's awful. Truly awful. Wondrously, hideously, brilliantly awful.
The only question is whether you intended it to be ...
But writing about sex is odd at the best of times. Would you do the same for someone going to the toilet?
"He glanced at the bowl. Armitage shanks. Who was Armitage, he wondered. But Armitage was here now, ready to be defiled. Wanting to be defiled. Like a priest who had sinned, knowing the confessional flush would cleanse him. A dirty act, then a cleansing, ready to be soiled once more. It was so easy for Armitage; the pull of a lever and it'd be clean. But he knew however long he sat, however much he expunged himself, he'd never truly be clean. There was not a cistern big enough to cleanse him."
I'll get my coat.
For something being deliberately bad.
I am not sure whether that makes it the good kind of bad or the bad kind of bad, though.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/video/2017/mar/16/british-expats-in-spain-count-the-costa-brexit-video
There are many ways of providing incredible value. I enjoy your books (although reading one whilst camping freaked me out a little), but I read many books a year. The enjoyment is pleasant, but fleeting.
The point is that *lots* of people could not fix an ankle. Some tried and failed. He succeeded. Don't underestimate the value of a craftsman. You can craft words. He could craft health. Which is more valuable?
Oh, and I don't have an 'intrinsic sadness'. If I did, I might have wasted much of my life addicted to drugs instead of endlessly and pointlessly walking. Oh, hang on ...