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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Arron Banks v Douglas Carswell. Let’s get ready to rhumble.

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  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited March 2017
    The Fear of Language

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AOc7ezwcJjI

    Cardiff Met Uni watch and learn...
  • Options
    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    surbiton said:

    Will the government lose the vote on the right of EU citizens to remain in the UK when the bill returns to the Commons ?

    Only if they want to...
    Like Max, I will be very disappointed if the Govt cave on this because of the virtue signallers in The Other Place.
    Michael Gove is a virtue signaller?
    Is he a Lord now?
    Well like the Lords he would like the mandate less Mrs May to unilaterally guarantee the rights of 3.2 million EU citizens to remain in the UK.
    And when was Gove last on the wrong side of an argument? I am pretty certain in this instance that his wife has advised him that sticking up for these people will create the illusion that he has a human side to him. Sad.
    As with so very many other things, Gove is absolutely right on this.

    I disagree. Instead of putting pressure on the EU to make a quick and simple deal for both the UK and EU citizens, it turns the UK ex-pats into bargaining chips.

    Well you are wrong. Simple. It is to the benefit of this country to ensure that EU citizens who already form a part of our society are absolutely clear on our commitment to them. Using them as bargaining chips helps no one.

    I have been known to be wrong, but I don't think so on this issue. Your suggestion is similar to saying we should give up on the rebate so that the EU will reform CAP: It won't work.

    I do believe the EU citizens rights should be guaranteed, but that's part of the whole deal, and should be negotiated as such.

    The reality is that we're all bargaining chips now.

  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/

    But he is brilliant in muddying the waters. His cult followers will buy anything he says.
  • Options

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    surbiton said:

    Will the government lose the vote on the right of EU citizens to remain in the UK when the bill returns to the Commons ?

    Only if they want to...
    Like Max, I will be very disappointed if the Govt cave on this because of the virtue signallers in The Other Place.
    Michael Gove is a virtue signaller?
    Is he a Lord now?
    Well like the Lords he would like the mandate less Mrs May to unilaterally guarantee the rights of 3.2 million EU citizens to remain in the UK.
    And when was Gove last on the wrong side of an argument? I am pretty certain in this instance that his wife has advised him that sticking up for these people will create the illusion that he has a human side to him. Sad.
    As with so very many other things, Gove is absolutely right on this.

    I disagree. Instead of putting pressure on the EU to make a quick and simple deal for both the UK and EU citizens, it turns the UK ex-pats into bargaining chips.

    Well you are wrong. Simple. It is to the benefit of this country to ensure that EU citizens who already form a part of our society are absolutely clear on our commitment to them. Using them as bargaining chips helps no one.

    I have been known to be wrong, but I don't think so on this issue. Your suggestion is similar to saying we should give up on the rebate so that the EU will reform CAP: It won't work.

    I do believe the EU citizens rights should be guaranteed, but that's part of the whole deal, and should be negotiated as such.

    The reality is that we're all bargaining chips now.

    I agree and I am in favour of immigration to the UK, even at present levels if the economy requires it, but I am absolutely committed to the UK controlling immigration and for us to make our own laws hence why I am now a leaver
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Mayor Khan saying minicab drivers should have a GCSE level of English is common sense surely.
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    surbiton said:

    Will the government lose the vote on the right of EU citizens to remain in the UK when the bill returns to the Commons ?

    Only if they want to...
    Like Max, I will be very disappointed if the Govt cave on this because of the virtue signallers in The Other Place.
    Michael Gove is a virtue signaller?
    Is he a Lord now?
    Well like the Lords he would like the mandate less Mrs May to unilaterally guarantee the rights of 3.2 million EU citizens to remain in the UK.
    And when was Gove last on the wrong side of an argument? I am pretty certain in this instance that his wife has advised him that sticking up for these people will create the illusion that he has a human side to him. Sad.
    As with so very many other things, Gove is absolutely right on this.
    No he isn't. Sauce for the goose is sauce for the gander, and even if it wasn't, the UK government's most fundamental obligation is to put the interest of UK geese before those of foreign ganders.
    ..........Besides the duty of the Government is to do what is best for the country as a whole.........
    That shouldn't result in guaranteeing the right to remain of all EU citizens.

    The message should be that those who self fund will be fine along with those who are able to claim UK citizenship due to the length of residence.

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.
  • Options
    Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,060

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    Top gear - laughs more forced than a hostage reading the prepared statement of a terrorist.

    They've managed to make it, arguably, even worse than the Chris Evans version.

    They should have just completely reinvented it. Everything.
    The only people laughing are clarkson and co who now get paid insane amounts of dosh to galavant around the world doing whatever the hell they like.
    I thought, after a hopeful beginning, the Grand Tour was seriously flawed. Over scripted. Forced. But there were still moments of comic genius. And it has Clarkson. So there are grounds for optimism.

    This new new Top Gear is unbearable. Euthanise
    IMO The grand Tour was 1/3 episodes crap, 1/3 ok, 1/3 up there with best old top gear episodes ever...but 100% of them still better than new top gear.
    As I haven't got round to watching it yet, but I have some time coming up where I will be sitting around at home waiting for some immunotherapy to kick in, which episodes would you recommend?
  • Options
    nunu said:

    Mayor Khan saying minicab drivers should have a GCSE level of English is common sense surely.

    It would be interesting how many cab drivers would pass a GCSE in English
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    surbiton said:

    Will the government lose the vote on the right of EU citizens to remain in the UK when the bill returns to the Commons ?

    Only if they want to...
    Like Max, I will be very disappointed if the Govt cave on this because of the virtue signallers in The Other Place.
    Michael Gove is a virtue signaller?
    Is he a Lord now?
    Well like the Lords he would like the mandate less Mrs May to unilaterally guarantee the rights of 3.2 million EU citizens to remain in the UK.
    And when was Gove last on the wrong side of an argument? I am pretty certain in this instance that his wife has advised him that sticking up for these people will create the illusion that he has a human side to him. Sad.
    As with so very many other things, Gove is absolutely right on this.
    No he isn't. Any arrangement must be reciprocal. The UK acting unilaterally and then hoping for the best or hoping to shame the other side is an absolutely stupid idea.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,020

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    surbiton said:

    Will the government lose the vote on the right of EU citizens to remain in the UK when the bill returns to the Commons ?

    Only if they want to...
    Like Max, I will be very disappointed if the Govt cave on this because of the virtue signallers in The Other Place.
    Michael Gove is a virtue signaller?
    Is he a Lord now?
    Well like the Lords he would like the mandate less Mrs May to unilaterally guarantee the rights of 3.2 million EU citizens to remain in the UK.
    And when was Gove last on the wrong side of an argument? I am pretty certain in this instance that his wife has advised him that sticking up for these people will create the illusion that he has a human side to him. Sad.
    As with so very many other things, Gove is absolutely right on this.

    I disagree. Instead of putting pressure on the EU to make a quick and simple deal for both the UK and EU citizens, it turns the UK ex-pats into bargaining chips.

    Well you are wrong. Simple. It is to the benefit of this country to ensure that EU citizens who already form a part of our society are absolutely clear on our commitment to them. Using them as bargaining chips helps no one.

    I have been known to be wrong, but I don't think so on this issue. Your suggestion is similar to saying we should give up on the rebate so that the EU will reform CAP: It won't work.

    I do believe the EU citizens rights should be guaranteed, but that's part of the whole deal, and should be negotiated as such.

    The reality is that we're all bargaining chips now.

    I agree and I am in favour of immigration to the UK, even at present levels if the economy requires it, but I am absolutely committed to the UK controlling immigration and for us to make our own laws hence why I am now a leaver
    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.
  • Options

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    I hope we do but subject to work visas and immigration from anywhere
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We've already said we will not. It's done.
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    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    Extraordinary potential in Fillon's 14/1 with bwin and 7/1 on Betfair FYI :)
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
  • Options
    BudGBudG Posts: 711
    edited March 2017
    HYUFD said:

    Latest Kantar with Juppe

    Le Pen 27% Juppe 24.5% Macron 20%. So Le Pen v Juppe runoff

    With Fillon Hamon is just 1% behind him and it is a Le Pen v Macron runoff

    Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 17% Hamon 16%

    http://fr.kantar.com/elections/presidentielle/2017/intentions-de-vote-francois-fillon-nettement-distance-par-marine-le-pen-et-emmanuel-macron/

    So it was Le Pen and Macron supporters filling Le Trocadero this afternoon and chanting for Fillon to stay in the race. ;)
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,020
    MaxPB said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    surbiton said:

    Will the government lose the vote on the right of EU citizens to remain in the UK when the bill returns to the Commons ?

    Only if they want to...
    Like Max, I will be very disappointed if the Govt cave on this because of the virtue signallers in The Other Place.
    Michael Gove is a virtue signaller?
    Is he a Lord now?
    Well like the Lords he would like the mandate less Mrs May to unilaterally guarantee the rights of 3.2 million EU citizens to remain in the UK.
    And when was Gove last on the wrong side of an argument? I am pretty certain in this instance that his wife has advised him that sticking up for these people will create the illusion that he has a human side to him. Sad.
    As with so very many other things, Gove is absolutely right on this.
    No he isn't. Any arrangement must be reciprocal. The UK acting unilaterally and then hoping for the best or hoping to shame the other side is an absolutely stupid idea.
    Given that many of the French living in London are tax exiles from the socialist nirvana across the Channel I suspect the French government might be very glad if we sent them back to pay their taxes.
  • Options
    RestharrowRestharrow Posts: 233
    edited March 2017
    On topic, Carswell at 1-7 odds is generous. 1-1000 would be more accurate. But as no-one is going to tie up £100 for 3 years in the hope of getting £114 back it is irrelevant. Carswell is a respected, well-established MP with high local name recognition. Arron is ... a banker.
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    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,020
    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    MaxPB said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    surbiton said:

    Will the government lose the vote on the right of EU citizens to remain in the UK when the bill returns to the Commons ?

    Only if they want to...
    Like Max, I will be very disappointed if the Govt cave on this because of the virtue signallers in The Other Place.
    Michael Gove is a virtue signaller?
    Is he a Lord now?
    Well like the Lords he would like the mandate less Mrs May to unilaterally guarantee the rights of 3.2 million EU citizens to remain in the UK.
    And when was Gove last on the wrong side of an argument? I am pretty certain in this instance that his wife has advised him that sticking up for these people will create the illusion that he has a human side to him. Sad.
    As with so very many other things, Gove is absolutely right on this.
    No he isn't. Any arrangement must be reciprocal. The UK acting unilaterally and then hoping for the best or hoping to shame the other side is an absolutely stupid idea.
    Given that many of the French living in London are tax exiles from the socialist nirvana across the Channel I suspect the French government might be very glad if we sent them back to pay their taxes.
    It's very unlikely that we would send everyone back, most will be asked to apply for visas, said tax exiles would qualify. Romanian big issue sellers, on the other hand...
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited March 2017

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    Top gear - laughs more forced than a hostage reading the prepared statement of a terrorist.

    They've managed to make it, arguably, even worse than the Chris Evans version.

    They should have just completely reinvented it. Everything.
    The only people laughing are clarkson and co who now get paid insane amounts of dosh to galavant around the world doing whatever the hell they like.
    I thought, after a hopeful beginning, the Grand Tour was seriously flawed. Over scripted. Forced. But there were still moments of comic genius. And it has Clarkson. So there are grounds for optimism.

    This new new Top Gear is unbearable. Euthanise
    IMO The grand Tour was 1/3 episodes crap, 1/3 ok, 1/3 up there with best old top gear episodes ever...but 100% of them still better than new top gear.
    As I haven't got round to watching it yet, but I have some time coming up where I will be sitting around at home waiting for some immunotherapy to kick in, which episodes would you recommend?
    IMO...off the top of my head.

    Best Episodes - 1, 3, 9, 12

    OK Episodes - 6, 7. 8, 11, 13

    Avoid Episodes - 2, 4, 5, 10

    And skip the Celebrity Brain Crash segment in every episode.
  • Options
    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,369
    edited March 2017
    Richard T said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.


    I would be horrified if any were deported and that will not happen but I still believe TM will make it her first duty on serving A50, indeed I would expect her to make a speech at the time on her objectives and demanding an answer on this subject from the EU
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    So you'd be happy to see a million Brits be deported from the EU? It sure seems like it.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    May won't do it, until the EU guarantees the rights of UK expats abroad (many of whom are Tory voting retirees in Spain, France and Italy) she will not guarantee the rights of EU citizens in the UK
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 41,002
    Carswell suggested a policy of accepting immigrants no questions asked if they had a job offer w wages over 24k. It's what I've been suggesting for ages, so obviously I agree w Dougie! ☺️
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    Latest Kantar with Juppe

    Le Pen 27% Juppe 24.5% Macron 20%. So Le Pen v Juppe runoff

    With Fillon Hamon is just 1% behind him and it is a Le Pen v Macron runoff

    Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 17% Hamon 16%

    http://fr.kantar.com/elections/presidentielle/2017/intentions-de-vote-francois-fillon-nettement-distance-par-marine-le-pen-et-emmanuel-macron/

    So it was Le Pen and Macron supporters filling Le Trocadero this afternoon and chanting for Fillon to stay in the race. ;)
    Macron supporters certainly, I think Le Pen would do better against Juppe than Macron but it seems Fillon is staying for now and Juppe will decline to run tomorrow, however give it another week and Fillon falls behind Hamon and he is a dead duck and Juppe may well change his mind
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631
    isam said:

    Carswell suggested a policy of accepting immigrants no questions asked if they had a job offer w wages over 24k. It's what I've been suggesting for ages, so obviously I agree w Dougie! ☺️

    I'd make it higher than that, I think £30k is probably better because there is no qualification for any kind of welfare. I'd also take NHS bonds for the first three years as well. Otherwise, sure.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    AnneJGP said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    surbiton said:

    Will the government lose the vote on the right of EU citizens to remain in the UK when the bill returns to the Commons ?

    Only if they want to...
    Like Max, I will be very disappointed if the Govt cave on this because of the virtue signallers in The Other Place.
    Michael Gove is a virtue signaller?
    Is he a Lord now?
    Well like the Lords he would like the mandate less Mrs May to unilaterally guarantee the rights of 3.2 million EU citizens to remain in the UK.
    May has no more or less of a mandate than any other Prime Minister we have ever had. She has a mandate from being able to command a majority in Parliament which is exactly the same as any other PM.
    TSE's misogyny is showing :)
    Surely that isn't a viable jibe? If the leadership election had gone to a members' vote, there would have been a choice of two women.
    TSE was the leading proponent of the epithet Andrea "Loathsome".
    For once, he was spot on. "Only a mother can understand..........."
  • Options

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    Ex pats abroad have not abandoned their Country and as the Father on one who lives in Canada I object to your generalisation
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited March 2017
    Did two different people contribute to this review and not talk to one another?

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/tv/2017/03/05/top-gear-series-24-did-matt-leblanc-take-sneaky-jab-grand-tour/
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,452
    surbiton said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    surbiton said:

    Will the government lose the vote on the right of EU citizens to remain in the UK when the bill returns to the Commons ?

    Only if they want to...
    Like Max, I will be very disappointed if the Govt cave on this because of the virtue signallers in The Other Place.
    Michael Gove is a virtue signaller?
    Is he a Lord now?
    Well like the Lords he would like the mandate less Mrs May to unilaterally guarantee the rights of 3.2 million EU citizens to remain in the UK.
    May has no more or less of a mandate than any other Prime Minister we have ever had. She has a mandate from being able to command a majority in Parliament which is exactly the same as any other PM.
    TSE's misogyny is showing :)
    Surely that isn't a viable jibe? If the leadership election had gone to a members' vote, there would have been a choice of two women.
    TSE was the leading proponent of the epithet Andrea "Loathsome".
    For once, he was spot on. "Only a mother can understand..........."
    What is it with Lefties and misogyny?
  • Options
    Blue_rogBlue_rog Posts: 2,019

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    Aah, people like alistair Meeks and tyson
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,593
    Blue_rog said:

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    Aah, people like alistair Meeks and tyson
    Surely those European citizens who have come here have "abandoned" their countries. And so their countries should abandon them - for the sake of a better deal with the UK.

    Or have I got that wrong?
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    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    HYUFD said:

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    May won't do it, until the EU guarantees the rights of UK expats abroad (many of whom are Tory voting retirees in Spain, France and Italy) she will not guarantee the rights of EU citizens in the UK
    The EU migrants here are from Poland and other East European countries. Even if the number of French nationals here is higher than , say, Lithuanians, as a percentage of their population far more are in the UK than from France.

    On the other hand, our expats are in Spain, France, Portugal.

    Who will we bargain with ?
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    isam said:

    Carswell suggested a policy of accepting immigrants no questions asked if they had a job offer w wages over 24k. It's what I've been suggesting for ages, so obviously I agree w Dougie! ☺️

    Preferential (rather than free and unlimited) access for EU citizens is one bargaining position, if we so choose.

    In fairness, we can do what we like. Residency isn't an EU competency, it's determined at national level.

    It's almost a given that the Irish will be granted absolute free access irrespective of other restrictions.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    edited March 2017
    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
  • Options
    BudGBudG Posts: 711
    edited March 2017
    HYUFD said:

    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    Latest Kantar with Juppe

    Le Pen 27% Juppe 24.5% Macron 20%. So Le Pen v Juppe runoff

    With Fillon Hamon is just 1% behind him and it is a Le Pen v Macron runoff

    Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 17% Hamon 16%

    http://fr.kantar.com/elections/presidentielle/2017/intentions-de-vote-francois-fillon-nettement-distance-par-marine-le-pen-et-emmanuel-macron/

    So it was Le Pen and Macron supporters filling Le Trocadero this afternoon and chanting for Fillon to stay in the race. ;)
    Macron supporters certainly, I think Le Pen would do better against Juppe than Macron but it seems Fillon is staying for now and Juppe will decline to run tomorrow, however give it another week and Fillon falls behind Hamon and he is a dead duck and Juppe may well change his mind
    I think Baroin may yet be the answer to this conundrum.

    Fillon is stubbornly refusing to stand down and his Party are pleading with him to do so. He said this afternoon that if the people wanted Juppe's policies they would have voted for him in the November Primaries. He very clearly will not stand down, voluntarily, in favour Juppe, reasonably arguing that it would give Le Pen even more chance of victory.

    The two sides are at an impasse and Fillon has a strong hand, but must know his chances of winning, with this scandal hanging over him are not good. If the Party are desperate enough for him to depart the stage, they may allow Fillon to choose his successor to run on Fillon's policy platform. His closest friend and keenest supporter is Baroin and could still play a big part in this.
  • Options
    MalmesburyMalmesbury Posts: 44,593
    nunu said:

    Mayor Khan saying minicab drivers should have a GCSE level of English is common sense surely.

    It would be.. er... interesting to apply that to other jobs. Particularly to certain kinds of low level factory work.

    Then again - in effect, a 2 year course to get a certificate that allows you to get a job. Why am I thinking of cuckoo clocks, chocolate, watches and bars of gold?
  • Options
    DixieDixie Posts: 1,221

    nunu said:

    Mayor Khan saying minicab drivers should have a GCSE level of English is common sense surely.

    It would be interesting how many cab drivers would pass a GCSE in English
    I've never met an English private hire cab driver in London. Many definitely don't speak any English, nor do they need to. Have Sat Nav, will travel.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    So you'd be happy to see a million Brits be deported from the EU? It sure seems like it.
    The idea that that outcome can be best avoided by holding open the prospect of deporting 3 million EU citizens from the UK is eccentric to say the least.
  • Options
    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,565

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    So you'd be happy to see a million Brits be deported from the EU? It sure seems like it.
    The idea that that outcome can be best avoided by holding open the prospect of deporting 3 million EU citizens from the UK is eccentric to say the least.
    No it isn't.
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,020
    Blue_rog said:

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    Aah, people like alistair Meeks and tyson
    I couldn't possibly comment :)
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    Deciding to live abroad is not deciding to abandon your country.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    edited March 2017
    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

    The status quo was acceptable to 48% of a larger electorate than voted in any recent general election, and a good percentage of the remaining 52% did not want to prioritise changing the immigration rules.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    So you'd be happy to see a million Brits be deported from the EU? It sure seems like it.
    The idea that that outcome can be best avoided by holding open the prospect of deporting 3 million EU citizens from the UK is eccentric to say the least.
    Not at all. It's perfectly sensible. Your rose tinted glasses for the EU are completely blinding you to the logic, as always.
  • Options
    Fysics_TeacherFysics_Teacher Posts: 6,060

    SeanT said:

    SeanT said:

    Top gear - laughs more forced than a hostage reading the prepared statement of a terrorist.

    They've managed to make it, arguably, even worse than the Chris Evans version.

    They should have just completely reinvented it. Everything.
    The only people laughing are clarkson and co who now get paid insane amounts of dosh to galavant around the world doing whatever the hell they like.
    I thought, after a hopeful beginning, the Grand Tour was seriously flawed. Over scripted. Forced. But there were still moments of comic genius. And it has Clarkson. So there are grounds for optimism.

    This new new Top Gear is unbearable. Euthanise
    IMO The grand Tour was 1/3 episodes crap, 1/3 ok, 1/3 up there with best old top gear episodes ever...but 100% of them still better than new top gear.
    As I haven't got round to watching it yet, but I have some time coming up where I will be sitting around at home waiting for some immunotherapy to kick in, which episodes would you recommend?
    IMO...off the top of my head.

    Best Episodes - 1, 3, 9, 12

    OK Episodes - 6, 7. 8, 11, 13

    Avoid Episodes - 2, 4, 5, 10

    And skip the Celebrity Brain Crash segment in every episode.
    Thanks!
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    surbiton said:

    HYUFD said:

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    May won't do it, until the EU guarantees the rights of UK expats abroad (many of whom are Tory voting retirees in Spain, France and Italy) she will not guarantee the rights of EU citizens in the UK
    The EU migrants here are from Poland and other East European countries. Even if the number of French nationals here is higher than , say, Lithuanians, as a percentage of their population far more are in the UK than from France.

    On the other hand, our expats are in Spain, France, Portugal.

    Who will we bargain with ?
    We will be bargaining with the EU as a whole, which incorporates all those nations and there are significant numbers of French and Spanish in London just as there are large numbers of Brits in the Southern France and the Costas
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

    The status quo was acceptable to 48% of a larger electorate than voted in any recent general election, and a good percentage of the 52% did not want to prioritise changing the immigration rules.
    And a large proportion of the 48% wish to see immigration reduced.

    The portion of the electorate that were Remain come hell or high water was a paltry 30%.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631
    chestnut said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

    The status quo was acceptable to 48% of a larger electorate than voted in any recent general election, and a good percentage of the 52% did not want to prioritise changing the immigration rules.
    And a large proportion of the 48% wish to see immigration reduced.

    The portion of the electorate that were Remain come hell or high water was a paltry 30%.
    That will halve once remain become rejoin as well.
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    So you'd be happy to see a million Brits be deported from the EU? It sure seems like it.
    The idea that that outcome can be best avoided by holding open the prospect of deporting 3 million EU citizens from the UK is eccentric to say the least.
    Not at all. It's perfectly sensible. Your rose tinted glasses for the EU are completely blinding you to the logic, as always.
    The Lords amendment only means the government has to come up with proposals. They could perfectly well come back and say, "Our proposal is to go into the negotiations offering a reciprocal guarantee."
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    Latest Kantar with Juppe

    Le Pen 27% Juppe 24.5% Macron 20%. So Le Pen v Juppe runoff

    With Fillon Hamon is just 1% behind him and it is a Le Pen v Macron runoff

    Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 17% Hamon 16%

    http://fr.kantar.com/elections/presidentielle/2017/intentions-de-vote-francois-fillon-nettement-distance-par-marine-le-pen-et-emmanuel-macron/

    So it was Le Pen and Macron supporters filling Le Trocadero this afternoon and chanting for Fillon to stay in the race. ;)
    Macron supporters certainly, I think Le Pen would do better against Juppe than Macron but it seems Fillon is staying for now and Juppe will decline to run tomorrow, however give it another week and Fillon falls behind Hamon and he is a dead duck and Juppe may well change his mind
    I think Baroin may yet be the answer to this conundrum.

    Fillon is stubbornly refusing to stand down and his Party are pleading with him to do so. He said this afternoon that if the people wanted Juppe's policies they would have voted for him in the November Primaries. He very clearly will not stand down, voluntarily, in favour Juppe, reasonably arguing that it would give Le Pen even more chance of victory.

    The two sides are at an impasse and Fillon has a strong hand, but must know his chances of winning, with this scandal hanging over him are not good. If the Party are desperate enough for him to depart the stage, they may allow Fillon to choose his successor to run on Fillon's policy platform. His closest friend and keenest supporter is Baroin and could still play a big part in this.
    Baroin could be worth a punt if he decides to run but I can't see him getting to the runoff v Le Pen as Juppe could
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    chestnut said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

    The status quo was acceptable to 48% of a larger electorate than voted in any recent general election, and a good percentage of the 52% did not want to prioritise changing the immigration rules.
    And a large proportion of the 48% wish to see immigration reduced.

    The portion of the electorate that were Remain come hell or high water was a paltry 30%.
    Don't forget that the percentage of the electorate that was Leave come hell or high water, pace Cummings, was similar. Leave just happened to scrape over the line.
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    So you'd be happy to see a million Brits be deported from the EU? It sure seems like it.
    The idea that that outcome can be best avoided by holding open the prospect of deporting 3 million EU citizens from the UK is eccentric to say the least.
    Not at all. It's perfectly sensible. Your rose tinted glasses for the EU are completely blinding you to the logic, as always.
    This really is a perfect test case where we have europhilia persuading people that the principle must be upheld that UK bad, EU good, even if that commits you to arguing that six is a radically different thing from half a dozen.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,020
    edited March 2017

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    Ex pats abroad have not abandoned their Country and as the Father on one who lives in Canada I object to your generalisation
    Object all you like. They have chosen to move elsewhere in the world for their own benefit. And most of them will have done so after receiving an education from the UK. I am not criticising them for that, , simply pointing out that, if a conflict of interests arises, then the duty of Government should be to look after the interests of the vast majority of people who remained to make their lives in Britain rather than moving elsewhere. It is very much in the interests of the country as a whole to make sure the resident EU citizens are secure in their futures here and continue to contribute to our economy and society even if that adversely effects those who have chosen to stop doing that.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

    A job offer requirement both encompasses leaving the EU and some control of free movement while limiting economic damage, it is the only way forward which is why May will go for it, if they want to go further they can vote UKIP, if they want to stay in the single market they can vote LD but most I think will be happy with that if May goes for it
  • Options

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

    The status quo was acceptable to 48% of a larger electorate than voted in any recent general election, and a good percentage of the remaining 52% did not want to prioritise changing the immigration rules.
    So which independent organisation has announced those stats or is it another load of made up nonsense in your crusade of disinformation more popularly known as fake news
  • Options
    BudGBudG Posts: 711
    edited March 2017
    HYUFD said:

    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    Latest Kantar with Juppe

    Le Pen 27% Juppe 24.5% Macron 20%. So Le Pen v Juppe runoff

    With Fillon Hamon is just 1% behind him and it is a Le Pen v Macron runoff

    Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 17% Hamon 16%

    http://fr.kantar.com/elections/presidentielle/2017/intentions-de-vote-francois-fillon-nettement-distance-par-marine-le-pen-et-emmanuel-macron/

    So it was Le Pen and Macron supporters filling Le Trocadero this afternoon and chanting for Fillon to stay in the race. ;)
    Macron supporters certainly, I think Le Pen would do better against Juppe than Macron but it seems Fillon is staying for now and Juppe will decline to run tomorrow, however give it another week and Fillon falls behind Hamon and he is a dead duck and Juppe may well change his mind
    I think Baroin may yet be the answer to this conundrum.

    Fillon is stubbornly refusing to stand down and his Party are pleading with him to do so. He said this afternoon that if the people wanted Juppe's policies they would have voted for him in the November Primaries. He very clearly will not stand down, voluntarily, in favour Juppe, reasonably arguing that it would give Le Pen even more chance of victory.

    The two sides are at an impasse and Fillon has a strong hand, but must know his chances of winning, with this scandal hanging over him are not good. If the Party are desperate enough for him to depart the stage, they may allow Fillon to choose his successor to run on Fillon's policy platform. His closest friend and keenest supporter is Baroin and could still play a big part in this.
    Baroin could be worth a punt if he decides to run but I can't see him getting to the runoff v Le Pen as Juppe could
    It's gonna be more difficult, for sure, but probably has more chance than Fillon of getting to the run-off. More to the point, it is a solution which saves face on both sides. The party get to ditch Fillon, Fillon gets to choose his successor to promote then policies he was elected on.


  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

    The status quo was acceptable to 48% of a larger electorate than voted in any recent general election, and a good percentage of the remaining 52% did not want to prioritise changing the immigration rules.
    So which independent organisation has announced those stats or is it another load of made up nonsense in your crusade of disinformation more popularly known as fake news
    We had a thing called a referendum. I accept that the fact there were rabid Eurosceptics like you who somehow found themselves voting Remain means that figures might be difficult to take at face value...
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    Ex pats abroad have not abandoned their Country and as the Father on one who lives in Canada I object to your generalisation
    Object all you like. They have chosen to move elsewhere in the world for their own benefit. And most of them will have done so after receiving an education from the UK. I am not criticising them for that, , simply pointing out that, if a conflict of interests arises, then the duty of Government should be to look after the interests of the vast majority of people who remained to make their lives in Britain rather than moving elsewhere. It is very much in the interests of the country as a whole to make sure the resident EU citizens are secure in their futures here and continue to contribute to our economy and society even if that adversely effects those who have chosen to stop doing that.
    I don't really think someone who has worked for 40 odd years in the UK and paid taxes here and then moves to Spain or the South of France for a bit more sun and less rain in their retirement years has exactly abandoned the country, abandoned the weather maybe!
  • Options

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    Ex pats abroad have not abandoned their Country and as the Father on one who lives in Canada I object to your generalisation
    Object all you like. They have chosen to move elsewhere in the world for their own benefit. And most of them will have done so after receiving an education from the UK. I am not criticising them for that, , simply pointing out that, if a conflict of interests arises, then the duty of Government should be to look after the interests of the vast majority of people who remained to make their lives in Britain rather than moving elsewhere. It is very much in the interests of the country as a whole to make sure the resident EU citizens are secure in their futures here and continue to contribute to our economy and society even if that adversely effects those who have chosen to stop doing that.
    Government's first duty is to protect the interests of British born people.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,020
    MaxPB said:

    isam said:

    Carswell suggested a policy of accepting immigrants no questions asked if they had a job offer w wages over 24k. It's what I've been suggesting for ages, so obviously I agree w Dougie! ☺️

    I'd make it higher than that, I think £30k is probably better because there is no qualification for any kind of welfare. I'd also take NHS bonds for the first three years as well. Otherwise, sure.
    Well if you set kit at 30K you can say goodbye to most of those EU nurses currently working in the NHS. They don't earn above 30K until half way through band 6 on the pay scale
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,999
    Ishmael_Z said:

    Deciding to live abroad is not deciding to abandon your country.

    Unless the word "abandon" has changed its meaning, yes it is.
  • Options
    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    Ex pats abroad have not abandoned their Country and as the Father on one who lives in Canada I object to your generalisation
    Object all you like. They have chosen to move elsewhere in the world for their own benefit. And most of them will have done so after receiving an education from the UK. I am not criticising them for that, , simply pointing out that, if a conflict of interests arises, then the duty of Government should be to look after the interests of the vast majority of people who remained to make their lives in Britain rather than moving elsewhere. It is very much in the interests of the country as a whole to make sure the resident EU citizens are secure in their futures here and continue to contribute to our economy and society even if that adversely effects those who have chosen to stop doing that.
    I take exception to the idea that a Romanian big issue seller contributes to the economy and I don't, despite having paid in 10 years worth of tax plus all of the money I've spent on goods and services and still do when I return to visit friends and relatives. As every, Richard, it's black and white. Not everyone fits exactly into your ideals.
  • Options
    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,452

    chestnut said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

    The status quo was acceptable to 48% of a larger electorate than voted in any recent general election, and a good percentage of the 52% did not want to prioritise changing the immigration rules.
    And a large proportion of the 48% wish to see immigration reduced.

    The portion of the electorate that were Remain come hell or high water was a paltry 30%.
    Don't forget that the percentage of the electorate that was Leave come hell or high water, pace Cummings, was similar. Leave just happened to scrape over the line.
    http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2016/10/18/the-nearest-run-thing/
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Government's first duty is to protect the interests of British born people.

    Oh dear, only true Aryans eh?

    What you meant was Government's first duty is to protect the interests of British born people citizens, but of course that undermines your whole point.

    Oops.
  • Options
    Richard_TyndallRichard_Tyndall Posts: 31,020
    edited March 2017

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    Ex pats abroad have not abandoned their Country and as the Father on one who lives in Canada I object to your generalisation
    Object all you like. They have chosen to move elsewhere in the world for their own benefit. And most of them will have done so after receiving an education from the UK. I am not criticising them for that, , simply pointing out that, if a conflict of interests arises, then the duty of Government should be to look after the interests of the vast majority of people who remained to make their lives in Britain rather than moving elsewhere. It is very much in the interests of the country as a whole to make sure the resident EU citizens are secure in their futures here and continue to contribute to our economy and society even if that adversely effects those who have chosen to stop doing that.
    Government's first duty is to protect the interests of British born people.
    The vast majority of whom live and work in this country and would be far better served by allowing resident EU citizens to stay. You apparently want to put the good of UK expats above that of the rest of the UK.
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited March 2017
    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

    A job offer requirement both encompasses leaving the EU and some control of free movement while limiting economic damage, it is the only way forward which is why May will go for it, if they want to go further they can vote UKIP, if they want to stay in the single market they can vote LD but most I think will be happy with that if May goes for it
    I know quite a lot of people who cite low paid, transient working as a problem for falls/suppression in their wage level and ability to find the type of housing they prefer.

    UKIP will rocket if May isn't firm on this.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

    A job offer requirement both encompasses leaving the EU and some control of free movement while limiting economic damage, it is the only way forward which is why May will go for it, if they want to go further they can vote UKIP, if they want to stay in the single market they can vote LD but most I think will be happy with that if May goes for it
    I know quite a lot of people who cite low paid, transient working as a problem for falls/suppression in their wage level and ability to find the type of housing they prefer.

    UKIP will rocket if May isn't firm on this.
    A job offer requirement would actually do a fair bit to reduce migration from Eastern Europe, which is what most Leave voters want, even if it is not the full points system UKIP want. Yes she may lose a few percentage to UKIP but she has already picked up enough switchers from Corbyn Labour to almost make that up so she can afford to
  • Options

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

    The status quo was acceptable to 48% of a larger electorate than voted in any recent general election, and a good percentage of the remaining 52% did not want to prioritise changing the immigration rules.
    So which independent organisation has announced those stats or is it another load of made up nonsense in your crusade of disinformation more popularly known as fake news
    We had a thing called a referendum. I accept that the fact there were rabid Eurosceptics like you who somehow found themselves voting Remain means that figures might be difficult to take at face value...
    Define my rabid eurosceptic views then
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/05/600-health-quango-chiefs-six-figure-salaries-amid-cash-crisis/

    This is why throwing more and more cash at NHS can never be the answer
  • Options
    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    chestnut said:

    I know quite a lot of people who cite low paid, transient working as a problem for falls/suppression in their wage level and ability to find the type of housing they prefer.

    UKIP will rocket if May isn't firm on this.

    The collapse of UKIP means that the headbanging right of the Tory party will have no more leverage over May. Get used to having your views ignored once negotiations start.
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195
    viewcode said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Deciding to live abroad is not deciding to abandon your country.

    Unless the word "abandon" has changed its meaning, yes it is.
    Well, its a view.........
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    Big_G_NorthWalesBig_G_NorthWales Posts: 60,369
    edited March 2017
    Scott_P said:

    Government's first duty is to protect the interests of British born people.

    Oh dear, only true Aryans eh?

    What you meant was Government's first duty is to protect the interests of British born people citizens, but of course that undermines your whole point.

    Oops.
    That is just unacceptable - British born includes all races and creeds born in the UK
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    MaxPB said:

    isam said:

    Carswell suggested a policy of accepting immigrants no questions asked if they had a job offer w wages over 24k. It's what I've been suggesting for ages, so obviously I agree w Dougie! ☺️

    I'd make it higher than that, I think £30k is probably better because there is no qualification for any kind of welfare. I'd also take NHS bonds for the first three years as well. Otherwise, sure.
    Well if you set kit at 30K you can say goodbye to most of those EU nurses currently working in the NHS. They don't earn above 30K until half way through band 6 on the pay scale
    Just out of interest rather than hollowing out other countries health systems why can't we train our own staff?

  • Options
    CyanCyan Posts: 1,262
    edited March 2017
    Whilst I'll win a lot if Dupont-Aignan takes the Elysée, there's undoubtedly some comedic value in his presentation. When asked who he'll back in the second round, he used to reply "I'll be in the second round". But he has changed his tune. Now he replies "I intend to avoid the second round; I'm the candidate that French people can vote for if they don't want there to be a second round"! :)

    As my mother used to say, if you don't believe in yourself you can't expect anyone else to believe in you!
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    Latest Kantar with Juppe

    Le Pen 27% Juppe 24.5% Macron 20%. So Le Pen v Juppe runoff

    With Fillon Hamon is just 1% behind him and it is a Le Pen v Macron runoff

    Le Pen 26% Macron 25% Fillon 17% Hamon 16%

    http://fr.kantar.com/elections/presidentielle/2017/intentions-de-vote-francois-fillon-nettement-distance-par-marine-le-pen-et-emmanuel-macron/

    So it was Le Pen and Macron supporters filling Le Trocadero this afternoon and chanting for Fillon to stay in the race. ;)
    Macron supporters certainly, I think Le Pen would do better against Juppe than Macron but it seems Fillon is staying for now and Juppe will decline to run tomorrow, however give it another week and Fillon falls behind Hamon and he is a dead duck and Juppe may well change his mind
    I think Baroin may yet be the answer to this conundrum.

    Fillon is stubbornly refusing to stand down and his Party are pleading with him to do so. He said this afternoon that if the people wanted Juppe's policies they would have voted for him in the November Primaries. He very clearly will not stand down, voluntarily, in favour Juppe, reasonably arguing that it would give Le Pen even more chance of victory.

    The two sides are at an impasse and Fillon has a strong hand, but must know his chances of winning, with this scandal hanging over him are not good. If the Party are desperate enough for him to depart the stage, they may allow Fillon to choose his successor to run on Fillon's policy platform. His closest friend and keenest supporter is Baroin and could still play a big part in this.
    Baroin could be worth a punt if he decides to run but I can't see him getting to the runoff v Le Pen as Juppe could
    It's gonna be more difficult, for sure, but probably has more chance than Fillon of getting to the run-off. More to the point, it is a solution which saves face on both sides. The party get to ditch Fillon, Fillon gets to choose his successor to promote then policies he was elected on.


    He might do a little better than Fillon but unless Juppe gets back in it will almost certainly be a Le Pen v Macron runoff in my view
  • Options
    nunununu Posts: 6,024

    nunu said:

    Mayor Khan saying minicab drivers should have a GCSE level of English is common sense surely.

    It would be.. er... interesting to apply that to other jobs. Particularly to certain kinds of low level factory work.

    Then again - in effect, a 2 year course to get a certificate that allows you to get a job. Why am I thinking of cuckoo clocks, chocolate, watches and bars of gold?
    factory workers don't have much contact with the public whilst at work.

    But it should be standard for everyone who wants to settle here. Grade C GCSE English (or equvalent) atleast.
  • Options
    Ishmael_ZIshmael_Z Posts: 8,981
    viewcode said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Deciding to live abroad is not deciding to abandon your country.

    Unless the word "abandon" has changed its meaning, yes it is.
    A shockingly silly post. "Give up for ever" is the core meaning of the word. It doesn't fit anyone who retains a UK passport.
  • Options

    MaxPB said:

    No one is saying we should not control migration in this argument. All we are saying is that those EU citizens who are already resident in the country should be allowed to stay. It gives security to.both them and us. It puts a line in the sand that says we are a reasonable civilised country. And by the way it also.fulfills a promise made by Vote Leave that we would not deport those EU citizens who are already here. Something that was made explicit on many occasions.

    And what then if the EU says, thank you very much, we won't be doing the same? Almost a million British citizens will be looking on very confused at this kind of thinking. A government which puts the rights of non-citizens above the rights of citizens. Odd indeed. Decency, as you like to call it, can take a hike in favour of cold hard realism.
    They would be putting the best interests of the country as a whole above that of those who decided to abandon it.
    Ex pats abroad have not abandoned their Country and as the Father on one who lives in Canada I object to your generalisation
    Object all you like. They have chosen to move elsewhere in the world for their own benefit. And most of them will have done so after receiving an education from the UK. I am not criticising them for that, , simply pointing out that, if a conflict of interests arises, then the duty of Government should be to look after the interests of the vast majority of people who remained to make their lives in Britain rather than moving elsewhere. It is very much in the interests of the country as a whole to make sure the resident EU citizens are secure in their futures here and continue to contribute to our economy and society even if that adversely effects those who have chosen to stop doing that.
    Government's first duty is to protect the interests of British born people.
    The vast majority of whom live and work in this country and would be far better served by allowing resident EU citizens to stay. You apparently want to put the good of UK expats above that of the rest of the UK.
    Not at all - both should be treated equally and have their rights protected
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    That is just unacceptable - British born includes all races and creeds born in the UK

    I agree your comment is unacceptable, because of course British citizens include people born elsewhere.

    Or are you going to tell BoJo to F off home?
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    edited March 2017
    Floater said:

    MaxPB said:

    isam said:

    Carswell suggested a policy of accepting immigrants no questions asked if they had a job offer w wages over 24k. It's what I've been suggesting for ages, so obviously I agree w Dougie! ☺️

    I'd make it higher than that, I think £30k is probably better because there is no qualification for any kind of welfare. I'd also take NHS bonds for the first three years as well. Otherwise, sure.
    Well if you set kit at 30K you can say goodbye to most of those EU nurses currently working in the NHS. They don't earn above 30K until half way through band 6 on the pay scale
    Just out of interest rather than hollowing out other countries health systems why can't we train our own staff?

    If Hammond restored the bursary for domestically trained nurses that would certainly help on that score, that is a rare instance where Corbyn actually has a point
  • Options
    Scott_P said:

    That is just unacceptable - British born includes all races and creeds born in the UK

    I agree your comment is unacceptable, because of course British citizens include people born elsewhere.

    Or are you going to tell BoJo to F off home?
    Your comments are unacceptable to me - but then they often are
  • Options
    FloaterFloater Posts: 14,195

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    HYUFD said:

    chestnut said:

    The more recent arrivals (ultimately 2014 to date, given the negotiation period) need to pass the self sufficiency test.

    You're preempting the negotiations somewhat. If we end up agreeing to continuing free movement (in our own interests) then the whole thing is academic.
    We won't, the Tory right would go mad and UKIP would see a faster revival than Lazarus, a job offer requirement maybe but May will not agree free movement as now
    A job offer will not be enough. A 'no recourse to public funds' restriction is almost certain to apply as well.

    The job will need to be of a certain standard - probably salary determined. I'd expect it to be higher than the foreign spouse requirement because being the husband/wife of a British citizen should get some preferential treatment in the form of a lower earnings threshold to gain access.
    A job offer requirement is what May will likely go for, how far that depends on a salary threshold and 'no recourse to public funds' depends on how willing the EU is to agree and accept bilateral agreements in key economic sectors
    There is nothing that remotely resembles status quo that will prove acceptable to the electorate.

    The status quo was acceptable to 48% of a larger electorate than voted in any recent general election, and a good percentage of the remaining 52% did not want to prioritise changing the immigration rules.
    So which independent organisation has announced those stats or is it another load of made up nonsense in your crusade of disinformation more popularly known as fake news
    We had a thing called a referendum. I accept that the fact there were rabid Eurosceptics like you who somehow found themselves voting Remain means that figures might be difficult to take at face value...
    Did you take a peek at the pew poll results on views on the EU in various EU member states.


    Very few feel as positive about the EU as you do it seems.

    Shocked I tell you.
  • Options
    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,999
    MaxPB said:

    I take exception to the idea that a Romanian big issue seller contributes to the economy and I don't, despite having paid in 10 years worth of tax plus all of the money I've spent on goods and services and still do when I return to visit friends and relatives.

    You don't. You did, but now you don't. When you visit friends and relatives, you pay as much tax as tourists do: arguably less, since you don't spend as much when here. I can't take your national identity from you (and nor would I want to) but you do now contribute considerably less than what you did, and arguably less than the Romanian Big Issue seller.

    You left to earn stacks of cash. Good for you, and I hope one day to do the same. But it does have a cost, and one of those costs is that you can no longer claim to be contributing to the British economy.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,452
    Scott_P said:

    That is just unacceptable - British born includes all races and creeds born in the UK

    I agree your comment is unacceptable, because of course British citizens include people born elsewhere.

    Or are you going to tell BoJo to F off home?
    I was born in India :)
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Your comments are unacceptable to me - but then they often are

    And your comments on this are offensive to every British citizen born abroad.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    I was born in India :)

    Well, by the Big G criteria you are a non-person. Unlucky.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,999
    Ishmael_Z said:

    viewcode said:

    Ishmael_Z said:

    Deciding to live abroad is not deciding to abandon your country.

    Unless the word "abandon" has changed its meaning, yes it is.
    A shockingly silly post. "Give up for ever" is the core meaning of the word. It doesn't fit anyone who retains a UK passport.
    If I may counter-argue for a moment. If somebody decides to leave a relationship and make no further commitment to it or service towards it, then surely "abandon" is an appropriate word.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,999
    Floater said:

    Did you take a peek at the pew poll results on views on the EU in various EU member states.

    Apropos of nothing, "peek at the pew poll" made me giggle.
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    dyingswandyingswan Posts: 189
    Poor old Jezza. Its an easy mistake to make. He forgot to tell his accountant that he was leader of the opposition. I expect HMRC will forgive him.
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    Scott_P said:

    I was born in India :)

    Well, by the Big G criteria you are a non-person. Unlucky.
    Of course he is not
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    CyanCyan Posts: 1,262

    Government's first duty is to protect the interests of British born people.

    The vast majority of whom live and work in this country and would be far better served by allowing resident EU citizens to stay.
    Except that not wanting them to stay was one reason that so many voted Leave.

    The British government's duty is to look after the interests of British people, wherever they happen to live or be, and regardless of whether they were born British or have been naturalised. Foreign citizens who are on British territory can expect a general level of protection, of course, but not in terms of an inalienable "right" to live here they can't. They have their own governments to look after their permanent residence rights, namely their permanent right to live in their own countries. Anyone who lives here and doesn't have a foreign government to look after those interests is a refugee.
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    Macron should be about 1.4 or 1.5 now, non?
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,146
    Cyan said:

    Except that not wanting them to stay was one reason that so many voted Leave.

    The British government's duty is to look after the interests of British people, wherever they happen to live or be, and regardless of whether they were born British or have been naturalised.

    And regardless of whether they understand their own interests.
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    Macron should be about 1.4 or 1.5 now, non?

    Oui
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    rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 54,068
    Cyan said:

    Government's first duty is to protect the interests of British born people.

    The vast majority of whom live and work in this country and would be far better served by allowing resident EU citizens to stay.
    Except that not wanting them to stay was one reason that so many voted Leave.

    The British government's duty is to look after the interests of British people, wherever they happen to live or be, and regardless of whether they were born British or have been naturalised. Foreign citizens who are on British territory can expect a general level of protection, of course, but not in terms of an inalienable "right" to live here they can't. They have their own governments to look after their permanent residence rights, namely their permanent right to live in their own countries. Anyone who lives here and doesn't have a foreign government to look after those interests is a refugee.
    I think the point Richard is making is that the forced repatriation of millions of EU citizens, the vast majority of which are productive members of society, would be (a) have negative economic consequences, as firms would suddenly find themselves without employees; and (b) would have a long-lived impact on firms willingness to invest in the UK. There is a clear difference between how we would want to treat future people coming to the UK, and those already here and in employment.

    Furthermore, the EU referendum was solely about whether we remained part of the EU. It was not about immigration, or the EEA, or anything else. The government's duty is not to make sure than 51% of the Leave voters are happy, but to come up with a solution that maximises the outcome and opportunities of all British citizens.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,631
    viewcode said:

    MaxPB said:

    I take exception to the idea that a Romanian big issue seller contributes to the economy and I don't, despite having paid in 10 years worth of tax plus all of the money I've spent on goods and services and still do when I return to visit friends and relatives.

    You don't. You did, but now you don't. When you visit friends and relatives, you pay as much tax as tourists do: arguably less, since you don't spend as much when here. I can't take your national identity from you (and nor would I want to) but you do now contribute considerably less than what you did, and arguably less than the Romanian Big Issue seller.

    You left to earn stacks of cash. Good for you, and I hope one day to do the same. But it does have a cost, and one of those costs is that you can no longer claim to be contributing to the British economy.
    I picked the Romanian big issue seller on purpose because they are a literal net drain on the economy, they pay no tax and receive huge amounts of welfare money.

    In your rush to label those of us who have temporarily left as non-contributors you have forgotten that a very large number of EU migrants are not net-contributors and survive through various welfare subsidies because they do low paid work and many work part time in order to qualify for the maximum amount of welfare. In the 10 years of my serious working life I paid over £200k in tax and NI. When I eventually return I'm sure it will be much more, asking for the UK government to represent my interests above the interests of non-citizens is not something I thought I'd have to argue about, but I guess the Brexit vote has made for strange bedfellows. The Lib Dems suddenly support the unelected Lords, right wing Tories looking for low end workers to get a pay rise and lifelong Labour voters doing the opposite.
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