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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » More data from today’s Trump visit YouGov polling

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    "Biding her time"?

    @JGForsyth: Worth noting that Der Spiegel has reported that Angela Merkel's aides told Trump team that she would come to DC as soon as they wanted
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    DanSmithDanSmith Posts: 1,215

    AndyJS said:

    Reuters/Ipsos poll of Americans' views on Trump's travel ban:

    49% support
    41% against

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-immigration-poll-exclusive-idUSKBN15F2MG

    A pretty muted response to the dog whistle. That's his best shot remember.
    I'm sorry? The Democrats best shot is that he enacts a series of unpopular policies that the nation unites in disgust against. It appears that is not happening (despite what you see on Twitter and the like). Trump is chugging along very nicely.
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    Diplomacy - France is out for the count, and Austria/Italy are teetering on the brink. Meanwhile, England (huzzah!), Germany, Russia and Turkey are all very similar in terms of strength.

    Been checking the old games I've participated in, and every one has a different winner. Unless Russia gets a solo win, that won't happen this time. (I'd completely forgotten about the surprising Hurst Llama/Foxinsox triumph as Austria and Italy).
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,313
    Is Ruth Cadbury (Lab) a Cadbury?
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    "Biding her time"?

    @JGForsyth: Worth noting that Der Spiegel has reported that Angela Merkel's aides told Trump team that she would come to DC as soon as they wanted

    To which the response was don't call us, we will call you.
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    Golly, that's a big building for a consulate.

    https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/826762483771772928

    The Auld Alliance reforming?
    All those relocating financial institutions will be kicking themselves.

    Mind you, it seems it was the Scientologists who were beaten to it, so that's good news in anyone's book.
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    Mr. Divvie, bloody silly Scientology gets considered a religion and Jediism doesn't.
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    david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,419
    edited February 2017
    Pulpstar said:

    May doesn't answer the question. Clever.

    ?? Sums up our politics doesn't it.

    I like the fact that Trump gives straight(ish) answers to questions.
    There is a good reason why leaders tend not to give straight answers all the time. Trump will probably demonstrate it in the months and years to come.

    And, of course, Trump's answers, while not hedging, are not necessarily true.
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    Golly, that's a big building for a consulate.

    https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/826762483771772928

    The Auld Alliance reforming?
    Where is Edward III when we need him?
    Surely we need old Malleus Scotorum himself, Edward I
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited February 2017
    TOPPING said:

    Is Ruth Cadbury (Lab) a Cadbury?

    Yes, in her maiden speech she referenced her distant ancestor, the chocolate producer and Quaker George Cadbury. [edit] she's also a Quaker
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    Pauly said:

    I've got a massive crush on Theresa Villiers. Saddest casualty from brexit :(

    She's single, I think.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Mr. Divvie, bloody silly Scientology gets considered a religion and Jediism doesn't.

    From what I've read, Scientology is psychotherapy with added aliens.
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    Golly, that's a big building for a consulate.

    https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/826762483771772928

    The Auld Alliance reforming?
    All those relocating financial institutions will be kicking themselves.

    Mind you, it seems it was the Scientologists who were beaten to it, so that's good news in anyone's book.
    The most elegant solution I wanted was Scotland to secede, join/remain in the EU, and we could have opened an office in Edinburgh.
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    PlatoSaid said:

    Mr. Divvie, bloody silly Scientology gets considered a religion and Jediism doesn't.

    From what I've read, Scientology is psychotherapy with added aliens.
    And more expensive!
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    Golly, that's a big building for a consulate.

    https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/826762483771772928

    French investing in Brexit Britain. So much for the scare stories.
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    Tim Farron being mocked from all sides of the House is wonderful
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125

    "Biding her time"?

    @JGForsyth: Worth noting that Der Spiegel has reported that Angela Merkel's aides told Trump team that she would come to DC as soon as they wanted

    No rush, luv....
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    For those interested, there are some very good biographies of Edward I, Roger Mortimer and Edward III about (not read one specifically about Edward II yet):
    http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/review-great-and-terrible-king-edward-i.html

    http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.co.uk/2015/04/review-greatest-traitor-life-of-sir.html

    http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.co.uk/2015/01/review-perfect-king-life-of-edward-iii.html

    Hmm. Seems 2015 was a medieval year.
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    Carolus_RexCarolus_Rex Posts: 1,414

    Golly, that's a big building for a consulate.

    https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/826762483771772928

    The Auld Alliance reforming?
    Where is Edward III when we need him?
    Surely we need old Malleus Scotorum himself, Edward I
    He'd certainly do.

    But IIRC Edward III had both David II and John II locked up at the same time. Which was some achievement.
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    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,307
    edited February 2017

    PlatoSaid said:

    Mr. Divvie, bloody silly Scientology gets considered a religion and Jediism doesn't.

    From what I've read, Scientology is psychotherapy with added aliens.
    And more expensive!
    And its own system of imprisonment:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Hole_(Scientology)
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    I went to the Scientology office in Manchester to complain about the shitness of the Battlefield Earth film.
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    wasdwasd Posts: 276
    PlatoSaid said:

    Mr. Divvie, bloody silly Scientology gets considered a religion and Jediism doesn't.

    From what I've read, Scientology is psychotherapy with added aliens.
    You missed off the blackmail.
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    PaulyPauly Posts: 897

    Tim Farron being mocked from all sides of the House is wonderful

    Good to see Osborne looking cheery on the backbenchers - hopefully he'll be back in the fold before we know it.
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    Mr. Rex, not to mention the victories at Poitiers and Crecy both occurred during Edward III's reign. Very impressive king he was, although he suffered great misfortune that the Black Death happened during his time as king and carried off a number of his children.
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    Golly, that's a big building for a consulate.

    https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/826762483771772928

    The Auld Alliance reforming?
    All those relocating financial institutions will be kicking themselves.

    Mind you, it seems it was the Scientologists who were beaten to it, so that's good news in anyone's book.
    The most elegant solution I wanted was Scotland to secede, join/remain in the EU, and we could have opened an office in Edinburgh.
    In a sane world...
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,946
    Seriously strong performance from May today - she is mastering the dispatch box.
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    TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 114,480
    edited February 2017

    Golly, that's a big building for a consulate.

    https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/826762483771772928

    The Auld Alliance reforming?
    All those relocating financial institutions will be kicking themselves.

    Mind you, it seems it was the Scientologists who were beaten to it, so that's good news in anyone's book.
    The most elegant solution I wanted was Scotland to secede, join/remain in the EU, and we could have opened an office in Edinburgh.
    In a sane world...
    It might still happen, I really don't want to spend 5 days a month in Paris.

    Bloody bastarding Brexiteers.
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    Mortimer said:

    Seriously strong performance from May today - she is mastering the dispatch box.

    Corbyn had so many open goals he missed each one due to TM's mastery today.
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    Carolus_RexCarolus_Rex Posts: 1,414

    For those interested, there are some very good biographies of Edward I, Roger Mortimer and Edward III about (not read one specifically about Edward II yet):
    http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.co.uk/2015/03/review-great-and-terrible-king-edward-i.html

    http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.co.uk/2015/04/review-greatest-traitor-life-of-sir.html

    http://thaddeusthesixth.blogspot.co.uk/2015/01/review-perfect-king-life-of-edward-iii.html

    Hmm. Seems 2015 was a medieval year.

    Marc Morris's book is excellent. Not read the others.

    Currently on Vol 3 of Sumption's magnum opus. Superb stuff. I wish he'd take a sabbatical from the Supreme Court and hurry up and finish the job.
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    MortimerMortimer Posts: 13,946

    Golly, that's a big building for a consulate.

    https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/826762483771772928

    The Auld Alliance reforming?
    All those relocating financial institutions will be kicking themselves.

    Mind you, it seems it was the Scientologists who were beaten to it, so that's good news in anyone's book.
    The most elegant solution I wanted was Scotland to secede, join/remain in the EU, and we could have opened an office in Edinburgh.
    In a sane world...
    In a sane world the SNPers would stop banging on about independence when the people of Scotland do not want it.

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    PlatoSaid said:

    I have found that Pro lifers are selective in their value of life and when they want to create a 'culture of life'. Pro Lifers care about abortion but hate any form of gun control. Pro lifers say they think all lives are valuable but dismiss any reports or accounts of police brutality in America.

    They also seem to have a sliding scale of value when it comes to those murdered by other 'pro lifers'.
    Well exactly. I don't see pro lifers valuing their lives. A lot of them are also pro death penalty as well.

    @PlatoSaid So prolifers don't believe that all lives are inherently valuable? In this country plenty of people get on just fine without a gun, for example. Many leave it to the courts to decide the appropriate punishment for those who attempt to harm their families.
    It's a very common misconception - I had it myself at the start. How can pro-lifers be for the death penalty?!?!

    Once I understood the principles behind it - it made total sense and I slapped myself for being so dense.

    It's not about *life* per se - but about creating a society with appropriate values that makes it's good for families et al. Those who go OTT and score too many negative points lose their right to participate.

    The unborn haven't done anything wrong. They don't lose their right to participate because it's inconvenient. If we killed people for being inconvenient - I can think of many categories, and it's why euthanasia is such a vexing issue.
    It's not about life per se, but prolifers talk about a culture of life? Ironically a lot of pro lifers in America also tend to feel a certain type of way about birth control. Quite a few also tend to favour abstinence only sex education. I also notice many pro lifers aren't going down to social services to adopt or foster children. Undoubtedly without abortion more unwanted children will enter the world and society will have to deal with the social concequences of that.

    The notion of deciding to kill someone based on them committing a crime would appear to contradict the notion that all lives are valuable. I also don't think that anyone thinks the unborn have done something wrong.




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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,074

    "Biding her time"?

    @JGForsyth: Worth noting that Der Spiegel has reported that Angela Merkel's aides told Trump team that she would come to DC as soon as they wanted

    As opposed to blind panic about Farage.

    https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/jan/31/how-nigel-farages-taunts-prompted-hasty-offer-of-trump-state-visit
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    TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 41,313

    TOPPING said:

    Is Ruth Cadbury (Lab) a Cadbury?

    Yes, in her maiden speech she referenced her distant ancestor, the chocolate producer and Quaker George Cadbury. [edit] she's also a Quaker
    Thanks. Noblesse oblige..
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited February 2017
    Reuters http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN15G4EI?feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+Reuters%2FworldNews+%28Reuters+World+News%29

    "European Union envoys agreed on Wednesday to extend emergency border controls inside the bloc's free-travel zone for another three months to mid-May, as immigration and security continued to dominate the political agenda.

    The so-called Schengen zone of open borders collapsed as about 1.5 million refugees and migrants arrived in the bloc in 2015 and 2016, leaving the EU scrambling to ensure security and provide for the people.

    Germany, Austria, Sweden, Denmark and Norway started imposing the emergency border controls from September, 2015, and got the go-ahead on Wednesday to keep them in place for longer.

    Germany is all but certain to seek further extensions beyond that in the build-up to Sept. 24 national elections.

    The influx of refugees and migrants has triggered a political crisis and bitter feuds between EU member states, which have not been able to agree on how to share the burden.

    This has further strained the EU's troubled unity...
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    Mr. Rex, what's Sumption writing about?
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    Mortimer said:

    Seriously strong performance from May today - she is mastering the dispatch box.

    Corbyn had so many open goals he missed each one due to TM's mastery today.

    Hmmm - I think it is probably more likely that he missed them because he is not very good.

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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    FPT Londonstani, the sad thing is that 15,000 is a respectable sale for a first novel. Had he been given a modest advance, then his literary career would have continued.

    OTOH, £200,000 is a great consolation prize.
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    TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 40,124
    edited February 2017
    Mortimer said:

    Golly, that's a big building for a consulate.

    https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/826762483771772928

    The Auld Alliance reforming?
    All those relocating financial institutions will be kicking themselves.

    Mind you, it seems it was the Scientologists who were beaten to it, so that's good news in anyone's book.
    The most elegant solution I wanted was Scotland to secede, join/remain in the EU, and we could have opened an office in Edinburgh.
    In a sane world...
    In a sane world the SNPers would stop banging on about independence when the people of Scotland do not want it.

    Do thtop it you beathtly EthEnPee, if you keep on I'll thcream and thcream 'till I'm thick..
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    Carolus_RexCarolus_Rex Posts: 1,414
    edited February 2017
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    Mr. Rex, can't be much more to tell, the fourth volume goes down to 1422 (according to the Contents).
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850

    The UK is a pragmatic, European country; largely populated by decent, pragmatic people. These results are not a surprise. It is wrong to discriminate against people based on their religion and place of birth; it would be difficult to withdraw a state visit invite once it has been issued - especially to someone as unpredictable and thin-skinned as President Trump.

    Simpler: the UK believes in fair play.

    Fair play, moderation, do what works, don't make a fuss, puncture anyone who gets too pompous, don't take anything too seriously, mind your business, do-to-others-as-you-would-be-done-by, keep calm and carry on..

    If we are to teach truly "British" values to anyone, those are really what ours are.
    Immigration controls do discriminate against people on grounds of where they were born. But, that doesn't make them unjust.
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    Mortimer said:

    Seriously strong performance from May today - she is mastering the dispatch box.

    Corbyn had so many open goals he missed each one due to TM's mastery today.

    Hmmm - I think it is probably more likely that he missed them because he is not very good.

    That was her best outing for a while and the humilation of Tim Farron from all sides of the house was the icing on the cake
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    BudGBudG Posts: 711
    HYUFD said:

    Last thread The Elabe poll is obviously good for Macron but it had him up to 24% last month and has long given him the best rating of any pollster, Le Figaro at the weekend had him third. Obviously the relentless anti Fillon news at the moment has hit his ratings for the time being but still almost 3 months until polling day for him to shore up his position and he is helped by the fact his biggest support comes from pensioners and Macron's from the young. Le Pen is going to come first in round one it seems and it is between Macron and Fillon for the other runoff spot and turnout could be key


    Having said that the Elab poll previously had best ratings for Macron, you fail to mention that the same pollster also had the best ratings for Fillon last month also!

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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    I have found that Pro lifers are selective in their value of life and when they want to create a 'culture of life'. Pro Lifers care about abortion but hate any form of gun control. Pro lifers say they think all lives are valuable but dismiss any reports or accounts of police brutality in America.

    I'm what you would probably class as "pro life".

    From my perspective it's a question of how do you balance two conflicting rights: the rights of the unborn child vs. the rights of the mother (and the father). None of those parties have unfettered rights to act as they please - it's just a question of where you draw the line.

    On gun control: that reflects a different philosophical mindset and history. Many people who oppose gun control in the US would oppose arming the police in the UK. I'm not sure it's productive for Brits to try and understand the American approach!

    On police brutality, clearly a question of rights. Criminals have no right to break the law. The police have no general right to bash people over the head or kill them, although in certain circumstances they have more latitude than ordinary members of the public
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    Carolus_RexCarolus_Rex Posts: 1,414

    Mr. Rex, can't be much more to tell, the fourth volume goes down to 1422 (according to the Contents).

    Oh, I don't know. Still got the Battle of the Herrings to look forward to!
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    edited February 2017
    On topic, interesting that the Tories are quite close to representing the views of the UK as a whole.

    LibDems looking like Student Grant.
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    There's a slanging match taking between Piers Morgan and Alastair Campbell, it's a bit Iran v Iraq.

    Here's a flavour

    https://twitter.com/piersmorgan/status/826758256487972865
    https://twitter.com/campbellclaret/status/826760207703404544
    https://twitter.com/piersmorgan/status/826765155753148417
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    Mortimer said:

    Seriously strong performance from May today - she is mastering the dispatch box.

    Corbyn had so many open goals he missed each one due to TM's mastery today.

    Hmmm - I think it is probably more likely that he missed them because he is not very good.

    Yes. It's impossible to judge May, or anyone else, against the current competition. I loathed the man, but I now concede that Tony Blair was probably the greatest opposition leader this country ever had. It would be interesting to see how May fared against someone of that quality.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Even Piers gets it

    Trump hasn't illegally invaded a sovereign country, killing a million people & causing Middle East hell. So it's all relative, Alastair. https://t.co/RMkxyMrMzp
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited February 2017

    AndyJS said:

    Reuters/Ipsos poll of Americans' views on Trump's travel ban:

    49% support
    41% against

    http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-immigration-poll-exclusive-idUSKBN15F2MG

    A pretty muted response to the dog whistle. That's his best shot remember.

    And it's heartening to find that the UK population - even though it overwhelmingly wants greater controls on immigration - is against enacting similar Trump-like policies in the UK by 49% to 28%.
    Congratulations on missing the point. Today's polls show that May has broad support for her stance on the Trump visit with UK voters, and Trump has broad support for his travel ban policy with American voters. What British voters think of Trump's travel ban is neither here nor there.
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    Mr. Phil, that's a leading question and a half.

    You could tilt it the other way.

    "Barack Obama and George W Bush were both offered state visits by the Prime Minister of the day. Was Theresa May right to continue this diplomatic tradition?"

    One of the most interesting parts of psychology was designing a questionnaire, which is trickier than it sounds. As well as reverse questions (asking the exact same sentiment but from the other perspective), trying to ask questions that measured just one thing without adding conditions, leading sentiment or having multiple ideas present could be surprisingly difficult.

    Of course it's a leading question. That's my point. Perhaps I was too subtle for you (and others). The point is that the single YouGov question was also leading, because it started from the hole that May has got herself into i.e. [Given that] "Donald Trump has been invited to make an official State Visit to Britain later this year...." [and all the consequences of now changing tack]. So if anyone infers from the YouGov responses that they indicate that the UK public somehow welcomes the honour being accorded to Trump, they should think again.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited February 2017
    And cutting through the cobblers again

    Donald J Trump
    Everybody is arguing whether or not it is a BAN. Call it what you want, it is about keeping bad people (with bad intentions) out of country!
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    edited February 2017

    Golly, that's a big building for a consulate.

    https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/826762483771772928

    The Auld Alliance reforming?
    All those relocating financial institutions will be kicking themselves.

    Mind you, it seems it was the Scientologists who were beaten to it, so that's good news in anyone's book.
    The most elegant solution I wanted was Scotland to secede, join/remain in the EU, and we could have opened an office in Edinburgh.
    In a sane world...
    It might still happen, I really don't want to spend 5 days a month in Paris.

    Bloody bastarding Brexiteers.
    I have to say the peculiarities of your employment are one of the great mysteries of the world to me ^_~
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,074
    Charles said:

    On gun control: that reflects a different philosophical mindset and history. Many people who oppose gun control in the US would oppose arming the police in the UK. I'm not sure it's productive for Brits to try and understand the American approach!

    The Americans do indeed have a very different philosophical mindset and history than us Europeans.
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    Mr. Rex, must confess I'm generally quite ignorant of such modern stuff, so I stand corrected.

    Anyway, time to attempt exercise and see if the shoulder will behave itself today.
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    Mortimer said:

    Seriously strong performance from May today - she is mastering the dispatch box.

    Corbyn had so many open goals he missed each one due to TM's mastery today.

    Hmmm - I think it is probably more likely that he missed them because he is not very good.

    Yes. It's impossible to judge May, or anyone else, against the current competition. I loathed the man, but I now concede that Tony Blair was probably the greatest opposition leader this country ever had. It would be interesting to see how May fared against someone of that quality.
    She can only take on that which is put in front of her and right now Corbyn is labour's choice, more fool them
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    Pulpstar said:

    Golly, that's a big building for a consulate.

    https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/826762483771772928

    The Auld Alliance reforming?
    All those relocating financial institutions will be kicking themselves.

    Mind you, it seems it was the Scientologists who were beaten to it, so that's good news in anyone's book.
    The most elegant solution I wanted was Scotland to secede, join/remain in the EU, and we could have opened an office in Edinburgh.
    In a sane world...
    It might still happen, I really don't want to spend 5 days a month in Paris.

    Bloody bastarding Brexiteers.
    I have to say the peculiarities of your employment are one of the great mysteries of the world to me ^_~
    Five at the moment. I'm doing voluntary work one evening a week helping the families of prisoners.

    Tragic thing is I'm only getting paid for one of the jobs, the rest is all pro bono and ego.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,020
    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    Last thread The Elabe poll is obviously good for Macron but it had him up to 24% last month and has long given him the best rating of any pollster, Le Figaro at the weekend had him third. Obviously the relentless anti Fillon news at the moment has hit his ratings for the time being but still almost 3 months until polling day for him to shore up his position and he is helped by the fact his biggest support comes from pensioners and Macron's from the young. Le Pen is going to come first in round one it seems and it is between Macron and Fillon for the other runoff spot and turnout could be key


    Having said that the Elab poll previously had best ratings for Macron, you fail to mention that the same pollster also had the best ratings for Fillon last month also!

    Clearly some of that Fillon support has gone to Le Pen which is why she has gone from third last month to a clear lead this month
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Diplomacy - France is out for the count, and Austria/Italy are teetering on the brink. Meanwhile, England (huzzah!), Germany, Russia and Turkey are all very similar in terms of strength.

    Is this real life or some sort of game?

    :wink:
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    Mortimer said:

    Seriously strong performance from May today - she is mastering the dispatch box.

    Corbyn had so many open goals he missed each one due to TM's mastery today.

    Hmmm - I think it is probably more likely that he missed them because he is not very good.

    Yes. It's impossible to judge May, or anyone else, against the current competition. I loathed the man, but I now concede that Tony Blair was probably the greatest opposition leader this country ever had. It would be interesting to see how May fared against someone of that quality.
    She can only take on that which is put in front of her and right now Corbyn is labour's choice, more fool them
    Yes, but it's all a bit England Cricket of the 1990s versus Zimbabwe at the moment.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125

    Mortimer said:

    Seriously strong performance from May today - she is mastering the dispatch box.

    Corbyn had so many open goals he missed each one due to TM's mastery today.

    Hmmm - I think it is probably more likely that he missed them because he is not very good.

    That was her best outing for a while and the humilation of Tim Farron from all sides of the house was the icing on the cake
    Farron is evidence of what happens when you have a vacancy and, after asking the whole of Great Britain, end up with only seven possible candidates to replace the guy giving up the job. No ethnics. No disabled. And no women.

    You end up with a knob.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,020

    Golly, that's a big building for a consulate.

    https://twitter.com/rosscolquhoun/status/826762483771772928

    The Auld Alliance reforming?
    All those relocating financial institutions will be kicking themselves.

    Mind you, it seems it was the Scientologists who were beaten to it, so that's good news in anyone's book.
    The most elegant solution I wanted was Scotland to secede, join/remain in the EU, and we could have opened an office in Edinburgh.
    In a sane world...
    It might still happen, I really don't want to spend 5 days a month in Paris.

    Bloody bastarding Brexiteers.
    There are worse results from Brexit than spending 5 paid days a month in Paris, some even pay for the privilege!
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    The blanket ban is what is discriminatory: because you were born in Syria you cannot enter the US; full stop.

    Indeed. So it's discrimination (at the moment for 90 days) against Syrians, and against nationals of 6 other countries. It may well be unjust, counter-productive, simplistic, and perhaps illegal, and it was certainly completely ham-fisted in its introduction. But it is not discrimination against Muslims. Nor is it particularly unusual; lots of of countries have blanket bans against Israelis, and almost all countries (including the UK) make it extremely difficult for nationals of particular countries to get visas.

    What gets me about this is that the very people who are most indignant against Trump on the grounds that he ignores evidence, and is crude and simplistic, are doing exactly the same thing is this hyperbole-laden criticism of him. Is it asking too much of people that they should criticise what he has done, not what he hasn't done?
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    Sean_F said:

    The UK is a pragmatic, European country; largely populated by decent, pragmatic people. These results are not a surprise. It is wrong to discriminate against people based on their religion and place of birth; it would be difficult to withdraw a state visit invite once it has been issued - especially to someone as unpredictable and thin-skinned as President Trump.

    Simpler: the UK believes in fair play.

    Fair play, moderation, do what works, don't make a fuss, puncture anyone who gets too pompous, don't take anything too seriously, mind your business, do-to-others-as-you-would-be-done-by, keep calm and carry on..

    If we are to teach truly "British" values to anyone, those are really what ours are.
    Immigration controls do discriminate against people on grounds of where they were born. But, that doesn't make them unjust.
    My point was that Britons can, will and do support immigration controls that discriminate, provided they are justified and that justification is articulated with the right tone.
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,125
    If ever there was a time for a deity to reveal himself, then smiting a squabbling Al Campbell and Piers Morgan would be that time.
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    PlatoSaid said:

    Reuters http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN15G4EI?feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+Reuters%2FworldNews+%28Reuters+World+News%29

    "European Union envoys agreed on Wednesday to extend emergency border controls inside the bloc's free-travel zone for another three months to mid-May, as immigration and security continued to dominate the political agenda.

    The so-called Schengen zone of open borders collapsed as about 1.5 million refugees and migrants arrived in the bloc in 2015 and 2016, leaving the EU scrambling to ensure security and provide for the people.

    Germany, Austria, Sweden, Denmark and Norway started imposing the emergency border controls from September, 2015, and got the go-ahead on Wednesday to keep them in place for longer.

    Germany is all but certain to seek further extensions beyond that in the build-up to Sept. 24 national elections.

    The influx of refugees and migrants has triggered a political crisis and bitter feuds between EU member states, which have not been able to agree on how to share the burden.

    This has further strained the EU's troubled unity...

    A 90 day emergency imposition of extra border controls?

    That's outrageous.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,074
    PlatoSaid said:

    And cutting through the cobblers again

    Donald J Trump
    Everybody is arguing whether or not it is a BAN. Call it what you want, it is about keeping bad people (with bad intentions) out of country!

    The biggest lesson politicians should take from Trump is that communicating directly in blunt terms what it is you intend to do is not a gaffe.
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    BudGBudG Posts: 711
    HYUFD said:

    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    Last thread The Elabe poll is obviously good for Macron but it had him up to 24% last month and has long given him the best rating of any pollster, Le Figaro at the weekend had him third. Obviously the relentless anti Fillon news at the moment has hit his ratings for the time being but still almost 3 months until polling day for him to shore up his position and he is helped by the fact his biggest support comes from pensioners and Macron's from the young. Le Pen is going to come first in round one it seems and it is between Macron and Fillon for the other runoff spot and turnout could be key


    Having said that the Elab poll previously had best ratings for Macron, you fail to mention that the same pollster also had the best ratings for Fillon last month also!

    Clearly some of that Fillon support has gone to Le Pen which is why she has gone from third last month to a clear lead this month
    Certainly better for Fillon that his lost support goes to Le Pen rather than Macron, I will agree. Le Pen pretty much nailed on to win the first round, the margin, within reason, is irrelevant to either of her two main opponents.

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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited February 2017

    The UK is a pragmatic, European country; largely populated by decent, pragmatic people. These results are not a surprise. It is wrong to discriminate against people based on their religion and place of birth; it would be difficult to withdraw a state visit invite once it has been issued - especially to someone as unpredictable and thin-skinned as President Trump.

    When deciding whether visas are needed for entry at all, and on granting visas, the UK discriminates heavily against people from Muslim countries. Is that wrong?

    The blanket ban is what is discriminatory: because you were born in Syria you cannot enter the US; full stop.

    Syrians can enter the US after vetting. Since the country's in the middle of a brutal war in which terrorists, jihadists and fighters of all descriptions are roaming the country, that seems quite sensible.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,020
    edited February 2017
    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    BudG said:

    HYUFD said:

    Last thread The Elabe poll is obviously good for Macron but it had him up to 24% last month and has long given him the best rating of any pollster, Le Figaro at the weekend had him third. Obviously the relentless anti Fillon news at the moment has hit his ratings for the time being but still almost 3 months until polling day for him to shore up his position and he is helped by the fact his biggest support comes from pensioners and Macron's from the young. Le Pen is going to come first in round one it seems and it is between Macron and Fillon for the other runoff spot and turnout could be key


    Having said that the Elab poll previously had best ratings for Macron, you fail to mention that the same pollster also had the best ratings for Fillon last month also!

    Clearly some of that Fillon support has gone to Le Pen which is why she has gone from third last month to a clear lead this month
    Certainly better for Fillon that his lost support goes to Le Pen rather than Macron, I will agree. Le Pen pretty much nailed on to win the first round, the margin, within reason, is irrelevant to either of her two main opponents.

    True but if Fillon can squeeze a little of that Le Pen support back his way and get his vote out he can still make the runoff. Will be an interesting few months
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited February 2017
    This is typical from the MSM right now, they're really not getting why they lost - and only interested in axe grinding

    Full transcript included

    http://www.newsbusters.org/blogs/nb/alexis-thomasi/2017/01/31/msnbc-hosts-take-turns-interrogating-sean-spicer
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    On gun control: that reflects a different philosophical mindset and history. Many people who oppose gun control in the US would oppose arming the police in the UK. I'm not sure it's productive for Brits to try and understand the American approach!

    The Americans do indeed have a very different philosophical mindset and history than us Europeans.
    No: the Anglo-Saxons have a common philosophy but the British and the Americans have developed it in different practical ways.

    Brits don't trust their government, and so the police (as a potential instrument of oppression) are not armed and the army is not allowed on the streets

    Americans don't trust their government, and so the citizens are allowed to bear arms to defend themselves against an oppressive government

    Europeans are much more comfortable with the state as an instrument of power imposing its wishes on citizens
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    Charles said:

    I have found that Pro lifers are selective in their value of life and when they want to create a 'culture of life'. Pro Lifers care about abortion but hate any form of gun control. Pro lifers say they think all lives are valuable but dismiss any reports or accounts of police brutality in America.

    I'm what you would probably class as "pro life".

    From my perspective it's a question of how do you balance two conflicting rights: the rights of the unborn child vs. the rights of the mother (and the father). None of those parties have unfettered rights to act as they please - it's just a question of where you draw the line.

    On gun control: that reflects a different philosophical mindset and history. Many people who oppose gun control in the US would oppose arming the police in the UK. I'm not sure it's productive for Brits to try and understand the American approach!

    On police brutality, clearly a question of rights. Criminals have no right to break the law. The police have no general right to bash people over the head or kill them, although in certain circumstances they have more latitude than ordinary members of the public
    Regarding fathers rights - from this link: http://family.findlaw.com/paternity/fathers-rights-and-abortion.html fathers don't appear to have legal rights in regard to abortion in the US.

    On the unborn child's rights - I guess it depends on whether you equate say, a growing life 1 month into the pregnancy with a living human being. I personally don't. My own position is the mother is the one who has to carry the child and therefore within legal term limits she should be able to make the decision.

    On police brutality: I don't believe that anyone believes criminals have the right to break the law. I agree on the police.
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    Charles said:

    On gun control: that reflects a different philosophical mindset and history. Many people who oppose gun control in the US would oppose arming the police in the UK. I'm not sure it's productive for Brits to try and understand the American approach!

    The Americans do indeed have a very different philosophical mindset and history than us Europeans.
    Us Brits, perhaps. 10 of the top 20 gun-owning countries are European.
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    It's has been hour in the brexit debate...ed miliband followed by George Osborne.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited February 2017
    wasd said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Mr. Divvie, bloody silly Scientology gets considered a religion and Jediism doesn't.

    From what I've read, Scientology is psychotherapy with added aliens.
    You missed off the blackmail.
    I can't help feeling that any religion that requires you to fess up to all your foibles is ripe for extortion. That Scientology goes nitpicking into your psyche makes anyone a target for manipulation.

    I've an innate dislike/mistrust of shrinks myself and their authority power - throw religion in as well?! Yikes.
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    Forget Muslim (not a) ban, I think we need a piers Morgan / bad al Twitter ban!
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Osborne nailing the Brexit fallacy of a glorious future.

    Both sides have prioritised a clean break over economic desires.
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    CD13CD13 Posts: 6,351
    Just watched John Healey talk some sense today; basically the state visit furore is just frippery. Trumps politics are worrying but ...

    Jezza, of course, has just come out saying the visit MUST be stopped.

    As was pointed out, the Chinese Premier's visits weren't met with anything like the angst from the Left wing. A man who is unelected and not too fussed about human rights. I suppose Mao was a far-sighted man too for some of the comrades.

    It must be difficult to be a Labour MP with more than two brain cells to rub together.
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    tlg86tlg86 Posts: 25,190
    Ed's speech from the Guardian Blog:

    He says the UK should be collaborating with its EU allies.

    Where has the coordinated EU response to the Trump travel ban been, he asks.

    He says he is glad Britons have an exemption. So does Canada, New Zealand and Australia. But he says EU countries are not covered. The UK should be standing in solidarity with them.


    Why? Does the EU and the rest of the member states not have their own diplomats to lobby for them? Even if we were to successfully lobby for them, I doubt it'd do us much good.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @tnewtondunn: George Osborne now speaking in #Article50 debate: "The govt has chosen not to make the economy the priority in this negotiation". Ouch.
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    CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:

    I have found that Pro lifers are selective in their value of life and when they want to create a 'culture of life'. Pro Lifers care about abortion but hate any form of gun control. Pro lifers say they think all lives are valuable but dismiss any reports or accounts of police brutality in America.

    I'm what you would probably class as "pro life".

    From my perspective it's a question of how do you balance two conflicting rights: the rights of the unborn child vs. the rights of the mother (and the father). None of those parties have unfettered rights to act as they please - it's just a question of where you draw the line.

    On gun control: that reflects a different philosophical mindset and history. Many people who oppose gun control in the US would oppose arming the police in the UK. I'm not sure it's productive for Brits to try and understand the American approach!

    On police brutality, clearly a question of rights. Criminals have no right to break the law. The police have no general right to bash people over the head or kill them, although in certain circumstances they have more latitude than ordinary members of the public
    Regarding fathers rights - from this link: http://family.findlaw.com/paternity/fathers-rights-and-abortion.html fathers don't appear to have legal rights in regard to abortion in the US.

    On the unborn child's rights - I guess it depends on whether you equate say, a growing life 1 month into the pregnancy with a living human being. I personally don't. My own position is the mother is the one who has to carry the child and therefore within legal term limits she should be able to make the decision.

    On police brutality: I don't believe that anyone believes criminals have the right to break the law. I agree on the police.
    There are a couple of cases at the moment (which are daft) arguing that fathers should have rights. Personally I think there should be some recognition of their role, but no idea how to define that!

    On the unborn child's rights, I would tend to look at viability (on a medical basis) as being the point of differentiation. Once a child can survive outside the womb (even if as a result of extensive medical intervention) then it should have rights; prior to that it is dependent on the mother who's rights should take priority. I believe (but am no expert) that this is c. 19-20 weeks at the moment (vs 24 weeks for abortion). Politicians should set the principle and then have an independent committee review the cut off point, say every 10 years.

    Re: the criminals having the right to break the law - all too often those who complain about "police brutality" don't give any thought to whether their actions *might* have been justified in the specific circumstances
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @KateEMcCann: Osborne says we are adding for a "clean break" - read hard Brexit. This is some speech. Sounds supportive but is deeply critical of May.
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549

    PlatoSaid said:

    Reuters http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKBN15G4EI?feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews&utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+Reuters%2FworldNews+%28Reuters+World+News%29

    "European Union envoys agreed on Wednesday to extend emergency border controls inside the bloc's free-travel zone for another three months to mid-May, as immigration and security continued to dominate the political agenda.

    The so-called Schengen zone of open borders collapsed as about 1.5 million refugees and migrants arrived in the bloc in 2015 and 2016, leaving the EU scrambling to ensure security and provide for the people.

    Germany, Austria, Sweden, Denmark and Norway started imposing the emergency border controls from September, 2015, and got the go-ahead on Wednesday to keep them in place for longer.

    Germany is all but certain to seek further extensions beyond that in the build-up to Sept. 24 national elections.

    The influx of refugees and migrants has triggered a political crisis and bitter feuds between EU member states, which have not been able to agree on how to share the burden.

    This has further strained the EU's troubled unity...

    A 90 day emergency imposition of extra border controls?

    That's outrageous.
    It bloody well is! #NotAllBelgianJihadis
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @GuardianHeather: Osborne: "the negotiations will be a trade off, as all divorces are, between access and money...it's going to be, I suspect, rather bitter".
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    I don't see any difference between the level of unpleasantness exhibited by Alastair Campbell and Donald Trump.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    tlg86 said:

    Ed's speech from the Guardian Blog:

    He says the UK should be collaborating with its EU allies.

    Where has the coordinated EU response to the Trump travel ban been, he asks.

    He says he is glad Britons have an exemption. So does Canada, New Zealand and Australia. But he says EU countries are not covered. The UK should be standing in solidarity with them.


    Why? Does the EU and the rest of the member states not have their own diplomats to lobby for them? Even if we were to successfully lobby for them, I doubt it'd do us much good.

    Our governments responsibility is towards its own nationals, not anyone else's.
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,020
    edited February 2017
    Polly Toynbee's love letter to Ken Clarke

    https://mobile.twitter.com/GdnPolitics/status/826760540647088129
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited February 2017

    ...

    On the unborn child's rights - I guess it depends on whether you equate say, a growing life 1 month into the pregnancy with a living human being. ...

    Precisely. That is the entire point. It's entirely about cut-off dates. For some reason, many people (including I suspect you) think that those who think the cut-off date should be early are Bad People, or (even worse!) misogynists. But it's entirely about choosing a point on a scale from 0 to 9 months. That is all.

    This is why the argument is so sterile. Some people go into palpitations of indignation when those on the American religious right say they are against abortion even when the conception was caused by rape. Of course they are; they are being entirely reasonable and consistent, given their starting point that the unborn child has the same moral status as a new-born baby. Since they think that abortion is morally indistinguishable from infanticide, why on earth would the unfortunate circumstances of the conception be relevant?
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    edited February 2017
    Ed Miliband, followed by George Osborne, followed by Alex Salmond.

    Take back control to the UK Parliament...
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850
    AndyJS said:

    The UK is a pragmatic, European country; largely populated by decent, pragmatic people. These results are not a surprise. It is wrong to discriminate against people based on their religion and place of birth; it would be difficult to withdraw a state visit invite once it has been issued - especially to someone as unpredictable and thin-skinned as President Trump.

    When deciding whether visas are needed for entry at all, and on granting visas, the UK discriminates heavily against people from Muslim countries. Is that wrong?

    The blanket ban is what is discriminatory: because you were born in Syria you cannot enter the US; full stop.

    Syrians can enter the US after vetting. Since the country's in the middle of a brutal war in which terrorists, jihadists and fighters of all descriptions are roaming the country, that seems quite sensible.
    The principle of denying entry to people from violent dysfunctional societies is reasonable enough, even if the implementation has been incompetent.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383

    Pulpstar said:

    May doesn't answer the question. Clever.

    ?? Sums up our politics doesn't it.

    I like the fact that Trump gives straight(ish) answers to questions.
    There is a good reason why leaders tend not to give straight answers all the time. Trump will probably demonstrate it in the months and years to come.

    And, of course, Trump's answers, while not hedging, are not necessarily true.
    I'm expecting Trump to be frank when he or his team eff up. He did it in plain terms when caught over pussygate. If someone let's him down, they'll be gone quickly too.

    The media can't use social shaming on him. That's 90% of their power.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Eck lecturing others about failed referendum campaigns :smile:
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    glwglw Posts: 9,549

    I don't see any difference between the level of unpleasantness exhibited by Alastair Campbell and Donald Trump.

    Trump is less sweary.
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,850

    I don't see any difference between the level of unpleasantness exhibited by Alastair Campbell and Donald Trump.

    Trump is nicer.
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    williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 48,074
    Scott_P said:

    Eck lecturing others about failed referendum campaigns :smile:

    Is your scorn for the SNP the centrifugal force that balances the centripetal force of your scorn for Brexiteers?
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    Behind 3 doors there is a donald trump, a bad al and alec salmond....you pick a door and the host another open door and shows an alec salmond, so you switch or stick.
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    Salmond goes on about trump like he never met the guy.
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    PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited February 2017

    PlatoSaid said:

    I have found that Pro lifers are selective in their value of life and when they want to create a 'culture of life'. Pro Lifers care about abortion but hate any form of gun control. Pro lifers say they think all lives are valuable but dismiss any reports or accounts of police brutality in America.

    They also seem to have a sliding scale of value when it comes to those murdered by other 'pro lifers'.
    snip

    @PlatoSaid So prolifers don't believe that all lives are inherently valuable? In this country plenty of people get on just fine without a gun, for example. Many leave it to the courts to decide the appropriate punishment for those who attempt to harm their families.
    It's a very common misconception - I had it myself at the start. How can pro-lifers be for the death penalty?!?!

    Once I understood the principles behind it - it made total sense and I slapped myself for being so dense.

    It's not about *life* per se - but about creating a society with appropriate values that makes it's good for families et al. Those who go OTT and score too many negative points lose their right to participate.

    The unborn haven't done anything wrong. They don't lose their right to participate because it's inconvenient. If we killed people for being inconvenient - I can think of many categories, and it's why euthanasia is such a vexing issue.
    It's not about life per se, but prolifers talk about a culture of life? Ironically a lot of pro lifers in America also tend to feel a certain type of way about birth control. Quite a few also tend to favour abstinence only sex education. I also notice many pro lifers aren't going down to social services to adopt or foster children. Undoubtedly without abortion more unwanted children will enter the world and society will have to deal with the social concequences of that.

    The notion of deciding to kill someone based on them committing a crime would appear to contradict the notion that all lives are valuable. I also don't think that anyone thinks the unborn have done something wrong.




    I think you're missing the Catholic part here that isn't pro abortion from a religious perspective. Faith is a much bigger factor in the USA than here re sex - along with older age sexual relationship laws. The same goes for alcohol where 21 is quite common.

    It's a different place to here in the UK - and makes a lot more sense when UK centric views are removed when trying to understand it. Outside the metro areas - it's a much more socially conservative country.

    I've no idea where you're getting the idea that pro-lifers don't adopt kids - can you expand here?

This discussion has been closed.