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Latest Betfair GE2015 overall majority betting based on last trades
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Best prices - Next UK GE overall majority
LAB majority 13/8 (Betfair)
Hung parliament 13/8 (Ladbrokes)
CON majority 4/1 (Paddy Power)
Meanwhile, the real cash is being placed with normal bookies.
According to the purists (and PB tends to be at the purist end of the spectrum), polls of polls are crap.
Personally, I am not a purist. In fact, I even take an occasional peek at (shock, horror) cross-breaks. But best not to mention that in polite company.
Lab 312.5 seats
Con 270.5 seats
LD 37.5 seats
SNP 6.5 seats
Almost exactly what I derived on the previous thread. I think they'll go above 40.
Rather poor forecast for the SNP.
The Tory seats will start creeping up soon...
John O'Shea @politicalhackuk 5h
If you aren't following the @tom_watson and @markatextor twitter "discussion" you are missing out
Con EVS
LD EVS
SNP over: FAV
That was a rather important detail that you missed there Mark.
How do you rate the SLD chances in Edinburgh West Mark?
"I will not have people protecting me from myself. That's the whole problem with this country." Mel Smith (1952-2013)
Generally speaking, people tend to overrate large samples (a sample of 500 apples will tell you quite a lot about apples, a sample of 1000 not that much more) - it's more important to have consistent samples.
So, after building up his own vote, and the Scots due to blow Miliband a raspberry in 2015, Crockart may be safer than he looks...
http://catherineatkinson.com/
Sarwar Sr is emigrating to Pakhistan. Rumours he is in line to become governor of Punjab.
Bigger first time incumbency bonus than Plaid MPs?
Bigger first time incumbency bonus than DUP MPs?
Link please.
Miliband a weak leader - Scotland: 49
That's the joint highest with South of England 'weak' rating (and second lowest 'strong leader' @11 just behind the South of England at 10):
Net 'strong' rating:
OA: -34
London: -33
South: -39
Mid/Wales: -28
North: -30
Scotland: -38
Its come to something when the Scots and the Southern English have a similarly poor view of the Labour leader....
Huh?
And if you though Miliband was weak, he looks like a titan compared to the "Leader of the Scottish Labour Party".
Crockart may be lucky, in that 2010 was probably Labour's best chance of seizing Edinburgh West. And it's hard to see anyone else being in the running.
Nonsense. Any honest viewer of FMQs knows that Lamont beats Salmond week in week out.
Apparently he has already given up British citizenship. He arrived in Pakhistan today saying "I would sincerely execute any responsibility assigned to me.”
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-birmingham-23390232
I'll accept an appearance from ColinW's mum though
They don't want Miliband.
But it's not just him. The whole Labour front bench are dreadful...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bellamy_salute
These Aussies are so substandard, England could select Jade Dernbach and Samit Patel for the next three matches and England would still win.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/2/b2e9e3a6-ef46-11e2-bb27-00144feabdc0.html#axzz2ZYhZXKkZ
'Unable to organise a piss-up in a brewery? Call now.'
Labour - not fit to manage a bus stop...
I've spent many a time in there as they play nothing but 80s music.
It's the sort of club you could imagine me DJing
Probably a good thing..
A major US science fiction series is to be filmed in Scotland, bringing about 200 new jobs and the construction of a new television studio near Glasgow.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-glasgow-west-23374425
O/T Froome winning Le Tour, Joe Root a sensational knock and Westwood winning the golf.
\o/
If he's out of the next test, then Alex Lees has to be his replacement.
https://twitter.com/WarisAli90/status/358584756998389762
*The other EDL, the English Disco Lovers
I couldnt make out a single nazi saute in the photo. Doesnt mean the EDL isnt a bunch of neo-nazis though.
The LGBT EDL Group
http://www.leftfootforward.org/2013/07/english-defence-league-lgbt-division/
Paul Ryan 15%
Rand Paul 12%
Chris Christie 10%
Jeb Bush 10%
Marco Rubio 10%
Ted Cruz 5%
Rick Santorum 3%
Bobby Jindal 2%
Scott Walker 1%
Not sure 33%
Gays involved in the far-right movement ... who on earth is shocked by that any more?! I mean the uniforms alone...
Sky News Newsdesk @SkyNewsBreak 44s
West Mids Police: 25-year-old man questioned over explosions at 3 Mosques arrested in connection with murder of pensioner Mohammed Saleem
Rather nicer day than has been the case recently, I thought. Still a bit muggy now, but glad the day was fresher.
There's a Lions win (over Australia), the Tour de France (part 2: Tour Harder), Murray's epic Wimbledon victory, and the Ashes is going well, so far.