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    FF43FF43 Posts: 15,759
    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    @Richard_Tyndall

    Davis has some qualities to commend him, but his idiotic support for a failed and wrong death penalty undermines all of them I am afraid.

    Looking back, Davis would have made a far superior PM to Cameron. Dave was a vastly overrated mediocrity (as we now see). Davis is a bit flighty and vain, but he is also canny and plausible and has a backstory which would have given him a 50 seat majority.

    "Let sunshine win the day"

    FFS. Sod off, Cameron, you epicene poseur
    Wrong, Sean. He would have been spanked by Gordon in the autumn of 2007, losing by 50 odd seats. Cameron is, was, and will forever be, a massively underestimated Tory leader. He shares with Sir John Major that unfortunate chalice.
    How can you call a leader "massively underestimated" when, going by his own opinions, he walked us into a referendum of his own choosing which led, from his perspective, to the most calamitous geopolitical mistake the British have made, since Suez? If not World War 1?

    Cameron is, was and always will be a total dickhead. A lazy fool. An arrogant, complacent mediocrity. He nearly lost the bloody Union with Scotland, as well. His negotiation with Europe was disastrously bad, and then he tried to sell it to us in the most insulting way, pretending it was great. A total total imbecile. "I want to be prime minister because.. I think I'd be quite good at it." Help. No more old Etonian halfwits please.

    Dave will be known in history solely for the referendum defeat (and judged badly for it, in purely political terms), just as Blair is now known solely for the error of Iraq.

    The one good thing he did, from my point of view, is actually grant the vote. But I doubt that solaces him, nor his biographers. Nor historians.
    I would agree, but there seems to be an assumption that Brexit will be a disaster. If it turns out an accidental success, Cameron would be the blessing in disguise. And if it is a fiasco why would anyone be happy to have voted for it?
  • Options
    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    @Richard_Tyndall

    Davis has some qualities to commend him, but his idiotic support for a failed and wrong death penalty undermines all of them I am afraid.

    Looking back, Davis would have made a far superior PM to Cameron. Dave was a vastly overrated mediocrity (as we now see). Davis is a bit flighty and vain, but he is also canny and plausible and has a backstory which would have given him a 50 seat majority.

    "Let sunshine win the day"

    FFS. Sod off, Cameron, you epicene poseur
    Wrong, Sean. He would have been spanked by Gordon in the autumn of 2007, losing by 50 odd seats. Cameron is, was, and will forever be, a massively underestimated Tory leader. He shares with Sir John Major that unfortunate chalice.
    How can you call a leader "massively underestimated" when, going by his own opinions, he walked us into a referendum of his own choosing which led, from his perspective, to the most calamitous geopolitical mistake the British have made, since Suez? If not World War 1?

    Cameron is, was and always will be a total dickhead. A lazy fool. An arrogant, complacent mediocrity. He nearly lost the bloody Union with Scotland, as well. His negotiation with Europe was disastrously bad, and then he tried to sell it to us in the most insulting way, pretending it was great. A total total imbecile. "I want to be prime minister because.. I think I'd be quite good at it." Help. No more old Etonian halfwits please.

    Dave will be known in history solely for the referendum defeat (and judged badly for it, in purely political terms), just as Blair is now known solely for the error of Iraq.

    The one good thing he did, from my point of view, is actually grant the vote. But I doubt that solaces him, nor his biographers. Nor historians.
    I agree that he made a cataclysmic error. But, that said, he managed to command the electorally important centre ground successfully for six years, becoming leader of a party that was, when he came to lead it, utterly toxic. Right wingers forget their history far too easily.
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    Jobabob said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    @Richard_Tyndall

    Davis has some qualities to commend him, but his idiotic support for a failed and wrong death penalty undermines all of them I am afraid.

    Looking back, Davis would have made a far superior PM to Cameron. Dave was a vastly overrated mediocrity (as we now see). Davis is a bit flighty and vain, but he is also canny and plausible and has a backstory which would have given him a 50 seat majority.

    "Let sunshine win the day"

    FFS. Sod off, Cameron, you epicene poseur
    Wrong, Sean. He would have been spanked by Gordon in the autumn of 2007, losing by 50 odd seats. Cameron is, was, and will forever be, a massively underestimated Tory leader. He shares with Sir John Major that unfortunate chalice.
    How can you call a leader "massively underestimated" when, going by his own opinions, he walked us into a referendum of his own choosing which led, from his perspective, to the most calamitous geopolitical mistake the British have made, since Suez? If not World War 1?

    Cameron is, was and always will be a total dickhead. A lazy fool. An arrogant, complacent mediocrity. He nearly lost the bloody Union with Scotland, as well. His negotiation with Europe was disastrously bad, and then he tried to sell it to us in the most insulting way, pretending it was great. A total total imbecile. "I want to be prime minister because.. I think I'd be quite good at it." Help. No more old Etonian halfwits please.

    Dave will be known in history solely for the referendum defeat (and judged badly for it, in purely political terms), just as Blair is now known solely for the error of Iraq.

    The one good thing he did, from my point of view, is actually grant the vote. But I doubt that solaces him, nor his biographers. Nor historians.
    I agree that he made a cataclysmic error. But, that said, he managed to command the electorally important centre ground successfully for six years, becoming leader of a party that was, when he came to lead it, utterly toxic. Right wingers forget their history far too easily.
    So do left wingers, what with the election of Corbyn :D
  • Options
    PAWPAW Posts: 1,074
    surbiton - as a BMW owner, I feel the car will be regularly keyed if people take against the Germans - like it was in Holland thirty years ago. It puts me off another.
  • Options
    JobabobJobabob Posts: 3,807
    RobD said:

    Jobabob said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    SeanT said:

    Jobabob said:

    @Richard_Tyndall

    Davis has some qualities to commend him, but his idiotic support for a failed and wrong death penalty undermines all of them I am afraid.

    Looking back, Davis would have made a far superior PM to Cameron. Dave was a vastly overrated mediocrity (as we now see). Davis is a bit flighty and vain, but he is also canny and plausible and has a backstory which would have given him a 50 seat majority.

    "Let sunshine win the day"

    FFS. Sod off, Cameron, you epicene poseur
    Wrong, Sean. He would have been spanked by Gordon in the autumn of 2007, losing by 50 odd seats. Cameron is, was, and will forever be, a massively underestimated Tory leader. He shares with Sir John Major that unfortunate chalice.
    How can you call a leader "massively underestimated" when, going by his own opinions, he walked us into a referendum of his own choosing which led, from his perspective, to the most calamitous geopolitical mistake the British have made, since Suez? If not World War 1?

    Cameron is, was and always will be a total dickhead. A lazy fool. An arrogant, complacent mediocrity. He nearly lost the bloody Union with Scotland, as well. His negotiation with Europe was disastrously bad, and then he tried to sell it to us in the most insulting way, pretending it was great. A total total imbecile. "I want to be prime minister because.. I think I'd be quite good at it." Help. No more old Etonian halfwits please.

    Dave will be known in history solely for the referendum defeat (and judged badly for it, in purely political terms), just as Blair is now known solely for the error of Iraq.

    The one good thing he did, from my point of view, is actually grant the vote. But I doubt that solaces him, nor his biographers. Nor historians.
    I agree that he made a cataclysmic error. But, that said, he managed to command the electorally important centre ground successfully for six years, becoming leader of a party that was, when he came to lead it, utterly toxic. Right wingers forget their history far too easily.
    So do left wingers, what with the election of Corbyn :D
    Agreed.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    edited December 2016
    chestnut said:

    surbiton said:

    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    re Labour's new customs union policy - does that mean they don't want new free trade deals with the rest of the world ?

    It means that they, probably rightly, consider that the minor disadvantage of not being able to negotiate our own trade deals is outweighed by the humongous advantage of not wrecking our car industry.
    Under what circumstances would the EU invoke tariffs on our car industry that wouldn't result in the mutual destruction of a multitude of their industries ?

    Be realistic..
    I think those here who thinks that invoking tariffs on our car imports will kill the German car industry is being a bit silly.

    I drive a BMW. What else could I buy ? A Mercedes, an Audi...... Certainly not a Qashqai, if that is still produced here.

    On the other hand, a Qashqai exported to Europe with a 10% duty added may not be such a good buy over there. There is plenty of competition.

    The German car industry still exported large numbers to the UK, when our exchange rate was £1= € 1.06 and when it was € 1.42. They will survive, believe me. I am not sure about ours.
    The evidence is already there of falling sales projections among German companies in this country due to the fluctuation of currency.

    https://www.ft.com/content/a65b8912-b88f-11e6-961e-a1acd97f622d

    "Matthias Wissmann, the VDA’s head, said the main factor was “general uncertainty” following the Brexit vote, as well sterling depreciation. “When cars are 10-15 per cent more expensive, that doesn’t exactly put people in the mood to buy,” he said."

    Tariffs would most likely exacerbate that.

    This is worth watching.

    https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/video/bad-brexit-germany-auto-industry-083100977.html
    Cars are already more than 20% more expensive than when the pound was at 1.42, exactly a year ago. BMW is still there.

    At the end of the day, the main competition German cars of a certain type have in the UK are from other German cars !

  • Options
    Dave's great misfortune was to be PM just at the precise moment the forces of isolation and resentment were beginning to stir around the world. You need dark charlatans like Farage and Trump to thrive in such a of swamp of cynicism and unrest. Dave's brand of honest, well-meaning liberal Toryism was easy prey. The man was just too gentle and good.
  • Options
    MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    test
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    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
    surbiton said:

    chestnut said:

    surbiton said:

    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    re Labour's new customs union policy - does that mean they don't want new free trade deals with the rest of the world ?

    It means that they, probably rightly, consider that the minor disadvantage of not being able to negotiate our own trade deals is outweighed by the humongous advantage of not wrecking our car industry.
    Under what circumstances would the EU invoke tariffs on our car industry that wouldn't result in the mutual destruction of a multitude of their industries ?

    Be realistic..
    I think those here who thinks that invoking tariffs on our car imports will kill the German car industry is being a bit silly.

    I drive a BMW. What else could I buy ? A Mercedes, an Audi...... Certainly not a Qashqai, if that is still produced here.

    On the other hand, a Qashqai exported to Europe with a 10% duty added may not be such a good buy over there. There is plenty of competition.

    The German car industry still exported large numbers to the UK, when our exchange rate was £1= € 1.06 and when it was € 1.42. They will survive, believe me. I am not sure about ours.
    The evidence is already there of falling sales projections among German companies in this country due to the fluctuation of currency.

    https://www.ft.com/content/a65b8912-b88f-11e6-961e-a1acd97f622d

    "Matthias Wissmann, the VDA’s head, said the main factor was “general uncertainty” following the Brexit vote, as well sterling depreciation. “When cars are 10-15 per cent more expensive, that doesn’t exactly put people in the mood to buy,” he said."

    Tariffs would most likely exacerbate that.

    This is worth watching.

    https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/video/bad-brexit-germany-auto-industry-083100977.html
    Cars are already more than 20% more expensive than when the pound was at 1.42, exactly a year ago. BMW is still there.

    At the end of the day, the main competition German cars of a certain type have in the UK are from other German cars !

    Are they? Would be interested in seeing your data. Sales have been going up recently, not down.
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    SimonStClareSimonStClare Posts: 7,976
    edited December 2016
    New thread.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    surbiton said:

    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    re Labour's new customs union policy - does that mean they don't want new free trade deals with the rest of the world ?

    It means that they, probably rightly, consider that the minor disadvantage of not being able to negotiate our own trade deals is outweighed by the humongous advantage of not wrecking our car industry.
    Under what circumstances would the EU invoke tariffs on our car industry that wouldn't result in the mutual destruction of a multitude of their industries ?

    Be realistic..
    I think those here who thinks that invoking tariffs on our car imports will kill the German car industry is being a bit silly.

    I drive a BMW. What else could I buy ? A Mercedes, an Audi...... Certainly not a Qashqai, if that is still produced here.

    On the other hand, a Qashqai exported to Europe with a 10% duty added may not be such a good buy over there. There is plenty of competition.

    The German car industry still exported large numbers to the UK, when our exchange rate was £1= € 1.06 and when it was € 1.42. They will survive, believe me. I am not sure about ours.
    If your BMW is a right hand drive then it is not made in Germany. It is made in South Africa.
    So they compete already ! What should they be scared about ? Will Qashqai sell in Europe with 10% added on is the question ?
  • Options
    RobDRobD Posts: 58,985
  • Options

    Dave's great misfortune was to be PM just at the precise moment the forces of isolation and resentment were beginning to stir around the world. You need dark charlatans like Farage and Trump to thrive in such a of swamp of cynicism and unrest. Dave's brand of honest, well-meaning liberal Toryism was easy prey. The man was just too gentle and good.

    LOL. I really can't believe you believe the garbage you write sometimes. Inept and out of his depth would be more accurate.
  • Options
    JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400
    SeanT said:

    chestnut said:

    surbiton said:

    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    re Labour's new customs union policy - does that mean they don't want new free trade deals with the rest of the world ?

    .


    Be realistic..
    I think those here who thinks that invoking tariffs on our car imports will kill the German car industry is being a bit silly.

    I drive a BMW. What else could I buy ? A Mercedes, an Audi...... Certainly not a Qashqai, if that is still produced here.

    On the other hand, a Qashqai exported to Europe with a 10% duty added may not be such a good buy over there. There is plenty of competition.

    The German car industry still exported large numbers to the UK, when our exchange rate was £1= € 1.06 and when it was € 1.42. They will survive, believe me. I am not sure about ours.
    The evidence is already there of falling sales projections among German companies in this country due to the fluctuation of currency.

    https://www.ft.com/content/a65b8912-b88f-11e6-961e-a1acd97f622d

    "Matthias Wissmann, the VDA’s head, said the main factor was “general uncertainty” following the Brexit vote, as well sterling depreciation. “When cars are 10-15 per cent more expensive, that doesn’t exactly put people in the mood to buy,” he said."

    Tariffs would most likely exacerbate that.

    This is worth watching.

    https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/video/bad-brexit-germany-auto-industry-083100977.html
    Coincidentally I've just been for the annual Christmas Travel Writers Lunch hosted by German Tourism at Trinity House (by the Tower of London: very grand)

    There was a fair bit of talk about Brexit, in speeches and at the tables but it was slightly wistful, mildly rueful and sometimes comical, rather than vengeful, panicked or angry. Yes there was a faint sense of regret on both sides, but also a sense that Brexit definitely happened - and it happened for a good democratic reason - and now we can deal with it, and most of all we must carry on a good relationship, which is economically beneficial to all. As we are two very important nations in Europe and two very good neighbours.

    I believe this pragmatic common sense will prevail. Passions will ebb - they have ebbed already. The world is scary and unstable and we don't need to add to the chaos. The UK and the EU nations are still good friends and allies and we will reach a sensible accord which harms everyone the least.
    In time, Germany will be quite happy with the sidelining of the UK. The EU will become Greater Germany and they will have the Empire they always dreamed of. A few lost BMW sales are a small price to pay.
  • Options
    rural_voterrural_voter Posts: 2,038
    surbiton said:

    chestnut said:

    surbiton said:

    TGOHF said:

    TGOHF said:

    re Labour's new customs union policy - does that mean they don't want new free trade deals with the rest of the world ?

    It means that they, probably rightly, consider that the minor disadvantage of not being able to negotiate our own trade deals is outweighed by the humongous advantage of not wrecking our car industry.
    Under what circumstances would the EU invoke tariffs on our car industry that wouldn't result in the mutual destruction of a multitude of their industries ?

    Be realistic..
    I think those here who thinks that invoking tariffs on our car imports will kill the German car industry is being a bit silly.

    I drive a BMW. What else could I buy ? A Mercedes, an Audi...... Certainly not a Qashqai, if that is still produced here.

    On the other hand, a Qashqai exported to Europe with a 10% duty added may not be such a good buy over there. There is plenty of competition.

    The German car industry still exported large numbers to the UK, when our exchange rate was £1= € 1.06 and when it was € 1.42. They will survive, believe me. I am not sure about ours.
    The evidence is already there of falling sales projections among German companies in this country due to the fluctuation of currency.

    https://www.ft.com/content/a65b8912-b88f-11e6-961e-a1acd97f622d

    "Matthias Wissmann, the VDA’s head, said the main factor was “general uncertainty” following the Brexit vote, as well sterling depreciation. “When cars are 10-15 per cent more expensive, that doesn’t exactly put people in the mood to buy,” he said."

    Tariffs would most likely exacerbate that.

    This is worth watching.

    https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/video/bad-brexit-germany-auto-industry-083100977.html
    Cars are already more than 20% more expensive than when the pound was at 1.42, exactly a year ago. BMW is still there.

    At the end of the day, the main competition German cars of a certain type have in the UK are from other German cars !

    And Czech cars a.k.a. Skodas, so given the Leave-induced price rise:
    Anyone looking at a small Audi should now look at a Polo.
    Anyone considering a Polo should now look at a Fabia.
    Anyone looking to buy a Fabia is stuffed.
  • Options
    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    Ben Hamer in goal for Leicester, 9/1 for a clean sheet.

    Worth a quid or two. He is a good shotstopper.
This discussion has been closed.