politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Taking stock of 2016. What do you think were the biggest event

Ahead of this week’s PB/Polling Matters podcast the team have come up with a short survey so that readers of PB can give their thoughts on the biggest winners, losers, shocks and moments from the past year.
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For the World, Trump.
http://mobile.nytimes.com/2016/12/05/opinion/why-i-will-not-cast-my-electoral-vote-for-donald-trump.html?referer=https://t.co/PbRQgyRwON
Faithless elector
He is the physical link between the two most important events of the year, and I have to give him credit for that.
I met an old neighbour in the supermarket yesterday. They moved house maybe 5 years ago. And what did she want to talk about?
The Dallas Cowboys...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nOJz1zqC2LY
Anything you don't want to answer you can just leave blank.
Unsung hero depends on your perspective entirely. Curious how people answer it. Idea is to get beyond the big names a bit!
Thanks for taking part
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/donald-trump-electoral-college-texas-chris-suprun-227422
He supported Jeb Bush in the primaries:
http://www.dallasnews.com/opinion/commentary/2016/02/10/christopher-suprun-its-time-for-texans-to-wake-and-engage-the-political-process
Also he believes that Baseball is God's chosen sport:
http://www.richmond.com/opinion/their-opinion/guest-columnists/article_44198aa9-8bda-57e1-b3d6-3930a558617e.html
"Christianity holds true belief in one God, the Holy Trinity of Father, Son and Holy Spirit. The most rudimentary baseball fan knows that one frame of each inning is divided into three outs. Each at bat is further divided with three strikes. Three strikes and you’re out in baseball. "
And this is just from the first page of google, so you get the idea about his personal opinions.
I forgot about the crazy debates.
I put the moment that Trump was actually declared President which was the ultimate finale of a crazy campaign.
https://twitter.com/ashleyfeinberg/status/805871661019000832
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Italian_constitutional_referendum,_2016
6 million vote lead for the insurgents.
In second place I've gone for Nabavi anyway.
Alistair has had an awful year and especially during Brexit he made PB compulsive viwing.
TSE has had a terrible year as well and he's done a good job of keeping the PB show on the road (despite all his trauma's)
Maybe we could have a split POTY?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bvDlsvuv9W0
Or Trump defending his personal member size on the debate stage:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6ls6JfQOmmU
If we're going on the fact this is a betting website.
JackW for his wit and wisdom in close second.
Cyclefree Honorary Mention
Unsung Hero/Villain: Aaron Banks. I hate his politics but he financed Brexit and UKIP through the wilderness years.
* Might be a bit biased as his spreadsheet made it a very merry Christmas in the Urquhart household...
Rod Crosby could get NPOTY (non-poster of the year award)
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-38217040
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/0/anti-brexit-parties-would-win-150-fewer-seats-than-pro-leave-par/
(or women)
UKIP are active - Farage and Nuttall have both had public meetings. On the other hand, they managed to spell their candidate's name wrong on a leaflet, and the constituency name wrong on a large banner pictured behind Farage. And their candidate is the woman who in the GE asked "what do we do when the renewable energy runs out?". UKIP were the only people I personally saw campaigning who weren't Lib Dems. But among the voters I spoke to, there were no fervent kippers.
Very very few posters and stakeboards for anyone. I am told far fewer than usual for the Tories. Feels like no-one has really woken up to the fact that there is an election on Thursday, so turnout will be low IMO.
Corbyn has visited. Saw no signs of Labour literature where I was. Saw no signs of Tory literature either but was told there have been several pieces including a letter from Mrs May.
Lib Dems are cheerful and working hard but in smaller numbers than either Richmond Park or Witney. The Lib Dem candidate is the only Remain supporter on the ballot in a constituency that was I believe 38% Remain. Brexit is not the only subject on the Lib Dem leaflets though.
The countryside was lovely, as was the weather, and the natives were friendly. And I set a new daily step record.
As I say, make of it what you will.
Or she saw the documentary on TV last week "There's Only One America's Team"
No-one has heard of Farage outside the UK, so not a snowflake's chance in hell. (I exaggerate a bit, but not much.)
As a LD I am used to political defeat, though Richmond was a pleasant end to the year. The party has turned a corner. Brexit is shit but I can survive it, I am fortunate enough to have skills in demand internationally, and enough money to retire abroad if I wish to do so. It is Fox jr who feels it more.
Following the official announcement of the Valls candidacy his Betfair price collapsed from around 25 yesterday to Under 10. It has gone up again to 13/14 which seems more reasonable.
After all, even if he doubled his score in the last first round polls he would probably still be out of the second round.
The Macron price is down again, now 7.7 (10 yesterday). There was no particular event to explain this move (Valls would be the worst socialist opponent for Macron as they have more or less the same ideas on the economy), except that Betfair loves Macron apparently. I have gone long.
Leicester winning the League was perhaps the first of the unlikely results, but what follows is a cautionary tale of hubris.
It will overshadow my family for years. I can no longer talk politics and world affairs with my parents, something that previously was a big part of our lives, and neither can my son or brother.