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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Whatever the outcome tonight Richmond Park could herald a poli
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Whatever the outcome tonight Richmond Park could herald a political period where BREXIT is more important than parties
. Today’s Richmond Park by-election highlights a very new development in British politics where the main issue of the day, BREXIT and its implementation, have become more important than parties.
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https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2016/nov/30/boris-johnson-promotes-churchill-factor-book-official-visit-serbia?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Copy_to_clipboard
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/video/2016/nov/30/sleaford-lincolnshire-brexit-byelection-young-video?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Copy_to_clipboard
https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2016/nov/30/eu-citizens-in-uk-home-office-residency-applications-right-to-remain-before-brexit-talks?CMP=Share_AndroidApp_Copy_to_clipboard
I can't see any argument for standing aside to assist UKIP in any seats. In some of those seats, a UKIP going for the WWC vote gives a chance of splitting the vote and letting the Tory in through the middle. In any event, it would be seen as a form of coalition, however informal - and the Tories would then be aligned with every batshit pronouncement about gays affecting the weather that some bonkers UKIP no-name wants to spout.
On-topic: an interesting suggestion. If that is the case, and it persists, it would have significant implications for how the next General Election goes.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3988204/Crackdown-motorist-Health-watchdog-bids-cut-pollution-50mph-motorway-limits-speed-traps-new-congestion-zones.html
We should set the motorway speed limit to 90 and then enforce it. Right now we all go at 80 or more and the police only pull over those doing 90 or so. It's a complete failure to respect and enforce the law. Because 70 is just too slow. These nannying NICE dogooders who think the main issue with our transport system is the health not, erm, transport speed and efficiency need to be replaced. Why do taxpayers have to fund this crap?
The candidacies need to be presented between today and December 15.
Eachcandidate from the socialist party (PS) needs the support of a fixed number of party MPs (19) or local councillors (66) or mayors (10) or mambers of the national executive (15).
Representatives of small parties allied to the PS are directly accepted as candidates.
Arnaud Montebourg and Benoit Hamon, both form the left-wing of the party and both former ministers of Hollande, have already officially deposited their supporters names and are officially candidates.
Marie Noelle Lienemann (yet another left-wing member and former minister) should also get the support she needs. Gerard Filoche (from the most leftist faction) probably not.
Francois de Rugy (Parti ecologiste), Jean-Luc Benhamias (Front democrate) and Pierre Larrouturou (Nouvelle donne), présidents of their respective micro-parties allied to the PS, wwill be directly accepted.
Of all these declared candidates, only Montebourg is considered to have a chance.
But the main suspense now is whether/when Hollande will announce his candidacy and if he will try to kill the primary. Valls would have to go through the primary anyway.
My guess is that Hollande will announce his candidacy this weekend. It will look absurd if he tries to avoid the primary but it is by no means impossible.
The challenge for any primary winner will be to deal with the 6 other candidates from the left: 3 far-left candidates (Arthaud, Poutou, Mélenchon), the Green (Jadot), the Radical (Pinel) and Macron (who still says he is left wing)
Mr. Patrick, cars are safer now than they've ever been. This daft policy would add an hour to the travelling time for a 140 mile journey, losing the economy an hour of someone working or spending money as they go on holiday.
The taxpayer/Government is spending £50bn or so to cut 40 minutes off the travelling time from London to Birmingham, whilst NICE proposes a speed limit change to add more than 40 minutes to the travelling time from London to Birmingham.
I finished Kingdom Asunder last night and I've got to say it was a cracking yarn. Highly recommended to everyone, and I felt a little guilty at enjoying a book so much for the price of less than a pint. You should be getting more for your work.
I'll pen something as an Amazon review to (partly) assuage my guilty conscience.
My heartiest congratulations on your achievement (so far).
Hopefully when you crash and kill yourself no one else will be hurt.
As an aside, today's the last day of the early order discount (60% normal price) for Kingdom Asunder.
As a Klingon might say, today is a good day to buy.
I assume that the US Greens are instigating pointless recounts because they have at last woken up to the fact that they should be concerned that Clinton lost to Trump. Now that the penny has dropped, on the subject of the Greens standing aside in Richmond (UK), perhaps they ought to have a word with their colleagues on the other side of the Atlantic about doing the same in 2020.
It doesn't work like that. WI and PA for example would fall on a very small swing to the Democrats and then Trump would lose the EC.
On the substance... variable speed limits rather than blanket speed limits to improve traffic flow seem a good idea.
And is the book available for kobo e-readers?
From OP's Mail link: ‘If the traffic is such that you are stopping and starting, decelerating and accelerating, then that increases emissions, pollution and fuel consumption,’ said Professor Mark Baker, director for the centre of guidelines at Nice. ‘In those circumstances, slowing everything down to 60mph or 50mph is the best approach – but not all the time. That’s why variable speed limits are far more sensible than blanket 50mph or 60mph (limits).
‘Variable speed limits are useful where at times the volume of traffic results in unhealthy driving conditions – which is stopping and starting. So M25 most of the time, M4 on a Sunday, M1 on a Friday evening.’
Edited extra bit: and thanks
Mr. Rog, indeed.
Speaking of US Greenies, I'm having trouble spotting Jill Stein on their website
It's either terrible website navigation or the Party isn't too keen on her right now
http://www.gp.org/
I always thought speed limits were based on stopping distances. When this was first envisaged the braking systems were not advanced as they are today. Top Gear showed this is one of their episodes and showed at high speeds cars today can stop in a very much shorter distance than previously when the "driving test" distance was established.
The actual problem though is knowledge and experience. People can purchase high performance cars with little idea how to harness that energy safely nor do many read the road ahead for dangers and conditions.
Issues are caused by the Failure to read the road ahead and anticipate dangers for example what the road tax avoiding , helmet cammed, mobile chicane, riding a children's toy through a red light will actually do next.....
The Scottish public is losing confidence in the ability of SNP ministers to oversee the country’s health and education services, according to an exclusive poll for The Times.
The YouGov research shows that the proportion of Scots satisfied with the Scottish government’s handling of its main devolved responsibilities has dropped in the past three months.
As satisfaction with the running of the country’s hospitals, schools and colleges has declined, so has voter approval of the government’s handling of the economy and justice system.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/bed99bba-b753-11e6-ad6e-9f844c3a07a7
I also believe such a move would be counterproductive in that many former working class Labour voters have switched to UKIP precisely because they are NOT Tories. Any form of alliance or agreement with them would significantly reduce their appeal to such voters.
http://link.huffingtonpost.com/view/524aa3dc3227b874ccf803014wxys.6rj/5cb305ae
His point about the prism through which politicians are seen is largely true, I think. Somewhat less for contituency MPs in their own patch, since voters have often met them.
The other issue is pollution and energy saving. At very high speeds, cars use up petrol/diesel disproportionately faster, which is bad for both the air and the trade balance.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c23MFIKiVdE
Mrs May is a lot more popular in office than he could ever be...
Henry Tudor
Today:
- block Thomas More
- unfollow Anne Boleyn
- hack Pope's password
- troll monasteries
- promote new C of E account
- RT obesity
It is nevertheless instructive to set the cruise control to 55 or 60 on a long journey once in a while, and notice the dramatically better fuel consumption.
SkyNews
.@KarenDanczuk's brother has been found guilty of raping her as a child https://t.co/Jvx5ljkKXc
Mike has this right in the header - when there is an over-riding single issue in a election, these sorts of deals can work (as they have before, if you go far enough back into electoral history). In a truly "general" election, they don't.
In by-elections, overriding issues are not uncommon. But it has been many decades since we had a single-issue General Election. That (i.e. the looming possibility) is the real story here?
50 is horrendously slow, though it is the de facto speed limit near where I live on the M1 !
Sometimes I'll do 55ish in the slow lane, even when the limit is 70 when I'm not in a hurry. But at other times I'd appreciate the freedom to do 90.
Wonder if Zac has the same *ahem* ground game.
@SamCoatesTimes: Due to today's net migration figures, No10 told departments to use today to put out any other bad news. So watch: gov.uk/government/ann…
Due to today's net migration figures, No10 told departments to use today to put out any other bad news. So watch: https://t.co/lgwRVCitga
No. That way lies the destruction of the party. It institutionalises coalitions over which the party has no control and writes off large parts of the country, sending the message that the party isn't interested in them. I have no time for these kind of tactical games, which the voters don't necessarily go along with (and if they do, they would in all probability have done it had candidates from both concerned parties stood).
Stand, and compete, everywhere. Anything else is a betrayal of the cause and its supporters. If deals need to be done, do them afterwards, once the mandates are in.
https://twitter.com/ONS/status/804257130480074752
How VERY dare they!
As there is a huge local row at the moment about Grantham hospital, will she get some traction a la the doctor from Kidderminster a few years ago?
@BBCJLandale: David Davis tells MPs the government wants to "replicate what we have" on justice and home affairs cooperation with EU post Brexit
I have backed Labour 15-2 £10 (w/o Tories, PP), and Tories £152.57 @ 1.1632 (Smarkets, Win) here.
- Who would have thought that Labour could lose Glasgow East or Blaenau Gwent, or could encroach well into Tory shire territory, as in 1997?
- Who would have thought that the Tories could win Gower or Normanton (as was), or could lose Tatton?
- Who would have thought in 1996 that the Lib Dems could win over 60 seats, or be reduced to eight?
Seats worked over time can become winnable in the right circumstances, just as the reverse is true those neglected.
https://twitter.com/K69atie/status/798839038325059584
https://twitter.com/K69atie/status/803593739117690880
https://twitter.com/K69atie/status/803613617564196864
Is she:
a) a self deluding, racist dimwit?
b) a..och, why bother, let's just stick with a).
Net migration is pretty much meaningless to me.
What I want to know is,
How many students are we welcoming, and where are they coming from?
How many economic migrants are arriving here, and where from?
How many family reunions?
And how many cases of asylum?
The four types of migration are completely different, have different push and pull factors, have different economic impacts, and would be seen as different I suspect by the majority of the public.
Presumably someone who comes to the UK and stays until they acquire citizenship before moving somewhere else would also be classed as an emigrating British citizen?
Ironically, as is so often the case with these warriors for the white British way of life, the fragrant Katie lives abroad in France.
Not to mention the never-ending quest for the marketing marginal swing-voter sweet spot, Basildon Man or Worcester Woman and all such nonsense
https://t.co/ctHj8W1Q3g
The number of work related immigrants who don't have a job already lined up is rising.