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  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    They never thought Brexit could happen - and so didn;t prepare for it.

    But http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/11/03/uk-government-prepares-trump-victory/
  • 619619 Posts: 1,784
    weejonnie said:

    They never thought Brexit could happen - and so didn;t prepare for it.

    But http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/11/03/uk-government-prepares-trump-victory/

    well obviously in a 2 horse race, you prepare for either
  • RobD said:

    I search in vain for the string of apologies from those that roundly laid into me when I suggested that the courts might throw a spanner in the works on Article 50. Perhaps they're just being carefully honed, awaiting my appearance on thread.

    I remember disagreeing with you, so let me doff my hat to you sir.
    In fairness, you were very polite at the time (and in any case, I don't mind robust disagreement at all).
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,157
    619 said:

    weejonnie said:

    They never thought Brexit could happen - and so didn;t prepare for it.

    But http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/11/03/uk-government-prepares-trump-victory/

    well obviously in a 2 horse race, you prepare for either
    You'd have thought so, but the civil service was expressly forbidden from preparing for Brexit.
  • Scott_P said:
    Brexiteers don't do logic. That's a discipline for experts
    It is amusing to see Eurofanatics who, for more than 40 years have argued in favour of the subverting of Parliamentary Sovereignty by the EEC/EU, suddenly discovering how vital it is to this country. Utter hypocrites.
    Voluntarily joining a group of like minded countries to work together to common objectives is an exercise of sovereignty not a subversion of it.
    Allowing a supra national body to push laws through Parliament whilst expressly forbidding Parliament from changing or rejecting them is clearly a subverting of its sovereignty. I gather you are one of the hypocrites.
    We'd only be giving up sovereignty if we signed up to a deal whereby the EU could make laws without our participation and we weren't allowed to leave. We joined up voluntarily and we are now leaving without any suggestion that we don't have the right to do so. If someone says to me that by leaving we can have more influence in the world or be more prosperous, I'd disagree but concede that they may be right and I might be wrong. When someone says that they want to leave the EU to regain sovereignty then at best they must be a romantic rather than a realist. But in your case I am not really sure you actually know what it means.
    No. You are confusing national sovereignty with Parliamentary sovereignty - and in fact you are wrong in both cases. But specifically in this instance of Parliamentary Sovereignty it is clear that it is subverted by the fact laws can be made over which it has no say. That another body might have a say on behalf of the British people is beside the point. As I say the Eurofanatics are hypocrites in this case.
  • rpjsrpjs Posts: 3,787
    nunu said:

    619 said:

    New Hampshire polls:
    @WBUR
    Trump 40%
    Clinton 39%
    .
    Suffolk / @BostonGlobe
    Trump 42%
    Clinton 42%
    .
    Tight in NH

    she should have put this state away by now. Tells me its a lot closer than te headline polls. RCP avreage down to 0.8% now. There will be no Clinton landslide, now.
    New Hampshire is the black sheep of New England, libertarian and the most Republican-leaning of the NE states. I was always a bit suspicious of polls showing Clinton well ahead there. I still think she'll win the state though.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Frank Luntz
    Trump has led or tied 3 of last 5 polls (since last week) in New Hampshire

    If he edges out a win there, the electoral map could go 270-268. https://t.co/Eo9D02vWqP

    If Trump flips New Hampshire, he flips the election.

    https://t.co/SolpEs1BIx https://t.co/lmC8O3qOdk
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,157

    RobD said:

    I search in vain for the string of apologies from those that roundly laid into me when I suggested that the courts might throw a spanner in the works on Article 50. Perhaps they're just being carefully honed, awaiting my appearance on thread.

    I remember disagreeing with you, so let me doff my hat to you sir.
    In fairness, you were very polite at the time (and in any case, I don't mind robust disagreement at all).
    I was trying to be an armchair Lord Chief Justice... when will I learn that never works out :D
  • RecidivistRecidivist Posts: 4,679

    Scott_P said:
    Brexiteers don't do logic. That's a discipline for experts
    It is amusing to see Eurofanatics who, for more than 40 years have argued in favour of the subverting of Parliamentary Sovereignty by the EEC/EU, suddenly discovering how vital it is to this country. Utter hypocrites.
    Voluntarily joining a group of like minded countries to work together to common objectives is an exercise of sovereignty not a subversion of it.
    Allowing a supra national body to push laws through Parliament whilst expressly forbidding Parliament from changing or rejecting them is clearly a subverting of its sovereignty. I gather you are one of the hypocrites.
    We'd only be giving up sovereignty if we signed up to a deal whereby the EU could make laws without our participation and we weren't allowed to leave. We joined up voluntarily and we are now leaving without any suggestion that we don't have the right to do so. If someone says to me that by leaving we can have more influence in the world or be more prosperous, I'd disagree but concede that they may be right and I might be wrong. When someone says that they want to leave the EU to regain sovereignty then at best they must be a romantic rather than a realist. But in your case I am not really sure you actually know what it means.
    No. You are confusing national sovereignty with Parliamentary sovereignty - and in fact you are wrong in both cases. But specifically in this instance of Parliamentary Sovereignty it is clear that it is subverted by the fact laws can be made over which it has no say. That another body might have a say on behalf of the British people is beside the point. As I say the Eurofanatics are hypocrites in this case.
    In what way am I confusing national and parliamentary sovereignty?
  • PlatoSaid said:

    Fox
    Florida early voting total: 4,867,113. https://t.co/3x25fHEiWn</blockquote

    These are really good figures for Trump based on 2012 based on Republican and Democrat turnout levels.

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,157
    PlatoSaid said:

    Frank Luntz
    Trump has led or tied 3 of last 5 polls (since last week) in New Hampshire

    If he edges out a win there, the electoral map could go 270-268. https://t.co/Eo9D02vWqP

    If Trump flips New Hampshire, he flips the election.

    https://t.co/SolpEs1BIx https://t.co/lmC8O3qOdk

    That's how Trump wins without any of WI/MN/MI/PA.
  • tlg86tlg86 Posts: 26,296
    On the subject of cases at the High Court I see the Lib Dem run Watford Borough Council have got their way to build on some allotments.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,913
    619 said:

    https://twitter.com/KatyTurNBC/status/794247072195182592

    ha ha ha ha ha ha

    More Melania Trump in PA: "We must treat each other with respect and kindness, even when we disagree."

    If only she were a natural born citizen...
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    PlatoSaid said:

    Fox
    Florida early voting total: 4,867,113. https://t.co/3x25fHEiWn

    NPA.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,157
    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/

    These polls do look pretty good for Trump...
  • 619619 Posts: 1,784

    PlatoSaid said:

    Fox
    Florida early voting total: 4,867,113. https://t.co/3x25fHEiWn

    except there are higher levels of hispanic turnout
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Sighs

    Wikileaks
    Inside the US-China Paris climate accord negotiations. Podesta uses personal account to email with State Dept
    https://t.co/7bjNZIf53D https://t.co/VdkDM2S6QX
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,913
    RobD said:

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/

    These polls do look pretty good for Trump...

    A +6 and a tie both become +5 after adjustment?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,157

    RobD said:

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/

    These polls do look pretty good for Trump...

    A +6 and a tie both become +5 after adjustment?
    Marist must be biased heavily D.
  • AndrewAndrew Posts: 2,900
    edited November 2016
    RobD said:

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/

    These polls do look pretty good for Trump...

    They do, but early voting numbers don't. That's why Clinton is 1.44 there and not the 1.95ish the polls would suggest.

    Clinton might be thanking early voting if she wins, she'll have built up a decent lead in a few states before the FBI intervened last week.

  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    YMMV :smiley:

    Steve Koczela
    New Hampshire polls:
    @WBUR
    Trump 40%
    Clinton 39%
    .
    Suffolk / @BostonGlobe
    Trump 42%
    Clinton 42%
    .
    ARG poll
    Trump 48%
    Clinton 43%
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,157
    Andrew said:

    RobD said:

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/

    These polls do look pretty good for Trump...

    They do, but early voting numbers don't. That's why Clinton is 1.44 there and not the 1.95ish the polls would suggest.

    Reading the early voting numbers seems to me a bit like reading tea leaves.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    619 said:

    https://twitter.com/KatyTurNBC/status/794247072195182592

    ha ha ha ha ha ha

    More Melania Trump in PA: "We must treat each other with respect and kindness, even when we disagree."

    Vote motherhood, apple pie and fluffy kittens!

    Vote locker room talk and sexual assault!

  • Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905
    theakes said:

    Late3st YouGov poll starting to show something for the Lib Dems, double figures almost overtaking UKIP. Perhaps the obvious changes in recent voting patterns are getting through the pollsters. Conservatives way, way ahead, but again seemingly out of cinque with the present actual voting realities.

    I'd like to see a consistent pattern of 10%+ scores for the Lib Dems before starting to believe that they are getting somewhere, but there may be something going on - although voter churn is also relevant here. As per my earlier remarks I'm reluctant to assign too much significance to one tiny sub-sample, but *IF* any increase in Lib Dem support is due to a net flow of voters from Labour, partially offset by a smaller net flow to the Tories, then it may not help them very much.

    The bulk of the small handful of Lib Dem target marginals are Tory-held. If the yellows are losing, say, two existing voters to the Conservatives for every three they win from Labour, then their task in overhauling those Tory majorities becomes three times more difficult.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    619 said:

    twitter.com/KatyTurNBC/status/794247072195182592

    ha ha ha ha ha ha

    More Melania Trump in PA: "We must treat each other with respect and kindness, even when we disagree."

    Vote motherhood, apple pie and fluffy kittens!

    Vote locker room talk and sexual assault!

    Yeah, yawn, whatever. I'd still rattle it 'til bits fell off.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    I see the IRS is standing in line behind the FBI at wanting to get at the Clinton Foundation.

    http://www.dallasobserver.com/news/the-dallas-irs-office-thats-quietly-determining-the-fate-of-the-clinton-foundation-8864404

    Won't be much left of it.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024

    619 said:

    https://twitter.com/KatyTurNBC/status/794247072195182592

    ha ha ha ha ha ha

    More Melania Trump in PA: "We must treat each other with respect and kindness, even when we disagree."

    Vote motherhood, apple pie and fluffy kittens!

    Vote locker room talk and sexual assault!

    She really should be telling all this to her husband.
  • Scott_P said:
    Brexiteers don't do logic. That's a discipline for experts
    It is amusing to see Eurofanatics who, for more than 40 years have argued in favour of the subverting of Parliamentary Sovereignty by the EEC/EU, suddenly discovering how vital it is to this country. Utter hypocrites.
    Voluntarily joining a group of like minded countries to work together to common objectives is an exercise of sovereignty not a subversion of it.
    Allowing a supra national body to push laws through Parliament whilst expressly forbidding Parliament from changing or rejecting them is clearly a subverting of its sovereignty. I gather you are one of the hypocrites.
    We'd only be giving up sovereignty if we signed up to a deal whereby the EU could make laws without our participation and we weren't allowed to leave. We joined up voluntarily and we are now leaving without any suggestion that we don't have the right to do so. If someone says to me that by leaving we can have more influence in the world or be more prosperous, I'd disagree but concede that they may be right and I might be wrong. When someone says that they want to leave the EU to regain sovereignty then at best they must be a romantic rather than a realist. But in your case I am not really sure you actually know what it means.
    No. You are confusing national sovereignty with Parliamentary sovereignty - and in fact you are wrong in both cases. But specifically in this instance of Parliamentary Sovereignty it is clear that it is subverted by the fact laws can be made over which it has no say. That another body might have a say on behalf of the British people is beside the point. As I say the Eurofanatics are hypocrites in this case.
    In what way am I confusing national and parliamentary sovereignty?
    The discussion was on Parliamentary sovereignty. It is possible to have national sovereignty without Parliamentary sovereignty if that is the constitutional settlement. A system that insisted on binding referenda which could not be overturned by Parliament would be such an arrangement. Not that I am advocating that but it would be an example.

    In this case Parliamentary Sovereignty is clearly subverted by membership of the EU as laws can be passed without the possibility of amendment or rejection by Parliament. Under those circumstances to then invoke Parliamentary sovereignty as an argument for staying not invoking Article 50 is clearly hypocritical.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,913
    weejonnie said:

    I see the IRS is standing in line behind the FBI at wanting to get at the Clinton Foundation.

    http://www.dallasobserver.com/news/the-dallas-irs-office-thats-quietly-determining-the-fate-of-the-clinton-foundation-8864404

    Won't be much left of it.

    If you're partial to Mark Steyn this is quite good.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kxHoL551uGs
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    tyson said:

    tyson said:



    I have to say though she looked very sexy in that building site gear she had on yesterday....

    Always knew you were a weirdo :lol:
    You have don't have to say Sunil...I'm worried myself.

    I guess I'm not the only one that is getting quite taken with Theresa...the name is sexy, and she doesn't come across as bonkers ideological, bunny boiler, pathological right winger female as we see with some (without mentioning names).

    I hope that you are just trolling the Mayites; or perhaps mistaking her for Teresa May her near namesake!

    https://lockerdome.com/eventhorizon/teresamay

    If not, I know a good trick cyclist or two...
  • RobD said:

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/

    These polls do look pretty good for Trump...

    Precisely - though several posters here think NV is Clinton's by 4-6%. All I'd say, is it's not evidenced in the polls.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Question Time today will be interesting! Lively is an understatement.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''In this case Parliamentary Sovereignty is clearly subverted by membership of the EU as laws can be passed without the possibility of amendment or rejection by Parliament''

    Nick Cohen saying the courts protecting parliament is real sovereignty in action.

    How often do the courts protect parliament against arbitrary decisions by the EU?

    Our parliament has been happy to given power to the EU hand over fist to the EU for 40-years.. And yet they will not cede it once to the people who elect them.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    RobD said:

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/

    These polls do look pretty good for Trump...

    Precisely - though several posters here think NV is Clinton's by 4-6%. All I'd say, is it's not evidenced in the polls.
    As Washoe County goes so does Nevada.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited November 2016
    Golly. Ohio is expecting trouble

    https://youtu.be/3n7nJzI3p5E
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,449
    Go for it Theresa.
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    619 said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Fox
    Florida early voting total: 4,867,113. https://t.co/3x25fHEiWn

    except there are higher levels of hispanic turnout
    No more than you would expect from the increase in hispanic population, indicating hispanics may still have a relatively poor turnout to other demographics.

    Since 2008 registration has stayed about the same for GOP, Dems have dropped ~4% and NPA has risen ~3.7, mostly due to hispanics.

    The early vote in 2008 was; 45.60% Dem 37.30% Rep 17.10% NPA/Other
    Currently in 2016 it stands; 39.78 Dem 40.30% Rep 20.19 NPA/Other
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    edited November 2016
    PlatoSaid said:

    Frank Luntz
    Trump has led or tied 3 of last 5 polls (since last week) in New Hampshire

    If he edges out a win there, the electoral map could go 270-268. https://t.co/Eo9D02vWqP

    If Trump flips New Hampshire, he flips the election.

    https://t.co/SolpEs1BIx https://t.co/lmC8O3qOdk

    There have been 7 NH polls in the past week. 4 Clinton 2 Trump (one from ARG :smile: ) and 1 tie.

    There is also a PPP in the field for a private client that they have tweeted as positive for Clinton
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    edited November 2016

    theakes said:

    Late3st YouGov poll starting to show something for the Lib Dems, double figures almost overtaking UKIP. Perhaps the obvious changes in recent voting patterns are getting through the pollsters. Conservatives way, way ahead, but again seemingly out of cinque with the present actual voting realities.

    I'd like to see a consistent pattern of 10%+ scores for the Lib Dems before starting to believe that they are getting somewhere, but there may be something going on - although voter churn is also relevant here. As per my earlier remarks I'm reluctant to assign too much significance to one tiny sub-sample, but *IF* any increase in Lib Dem support is due to a net flow of voters from Labour, partially offset by a smaller net flow to the Tories, then it may not help them very much.

    The bulk of the small handful of Lib Dem target marginals are Tory-held. If the yellows are losing, say, two existing voters to the Conservatives for every three they win from Labour, then their task in overhauling those Tory majorities becomes three times more difficult.
    Both ICMs poll and Yougovs poll last week ( which was strangely not published anywhere ) have Lib Dems gaining net a few voters from the Conservatives and rather more net from Labour . Real elections show that they are gaining rather more from the Conservatives .
  • MarkSeniorMarkSenior Posts: 4,699
    JackW said:

    PlatoSaid said:

    Frank Luntz
    Trump has led or tied 3 of last 5 polls (since last week) in New Hampshire

    If he edges out a win there, the electoral map could go 270-268. https://t.co/Eo9D02vWqP

    If Trump flips New Hampshire, he flips the election.

    https://t.co/SolpEs1BIx https://t.co/lmC8O3qOdk

    There have been 7 NH polls in the past week. 4 Clinton 2 Trump (one from ARG :smile: ) and 1 tie.
    Jack , please do not confuse Plato with facts .
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,913
    FWIW, Nate Silver now has Nevada and Florida edging into the Trump column. His overall chance up to 35.3.%.
  • The Brexiteers taking it well.

    https://twitter.com/thomas_barks/status/794154726535348224

    Perhaps those nut jobs..sorry..understandably angry vigilantes may get a shock if they take on the gay blade judge.
  • GeoffM said:

    619 said:

    twitter.com/KatyTurNBC/status/794247072195182592

    ha ha ha ha ha ha

    More Melania Trump in PA: "We must treat each other with respect and kindness, even when we disagree."

    Vote motherhood, apple pie and fluffy kittens!

    Vote locker room talk and sexual assault!

    Yeah, yawn, whatever. I'd still rattle it 'til bits fell off.
    'it'
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,913
    edited November 2016

    Perhaps those nut jobs..sorry..understandably angry vigilantes may get a shock if they take on the gay blade judge.

    I see this nut job lives in the Netherlands and proclaims 'Freedom UK US' on their Twitter profile.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    edited November 2016
    Wow

    Michael Beckel
    > $14 million has been spent on TV ads in state supreme court races so far this election https://t.co/tDEAEI5pWy via @CMAGAdFacts @Publici
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,654
    Off topic: Lloyds cutting interest rates on its current account to 2% from next year.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787

    Jack , please do not confuse Plato with facts .

    I am sucker for punishment Mark .... it must be dungeon related .... :naughty:
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,913
    JackW said:

    Jack , please do not confuse Plato with facts .

    I am sucker for punishment Mark .... it must be dungeon related .... :naughty:
    It's a shame Lindi St Clair isn't still standing for parliament.
  • 619619 Posts: 1,784

    The Brexiteers taking it well.

    https://twitter.com/thomas_barks/status/794154726535348224

    Perhaps those nut jobs..sorry..understandably angry vigilantes may get a shock if they take on the gay blade judge.

    more economic anxiety
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    FWIW, Nate Silver now has Nevada and Florida edging into the Trump column. His overall chance up to 35.3.%.

    All you have to do is look at the relative strength of the colours on the 'snake'. Clinton's are much deeper (although less than they have been - thus she is much more likely to hold each one, whereas Trump's are paler, meaning he is much more likely to lose one.

    Even if NH goes pale pink, Clinton is far more likely to win one of the pale red states to replace it than Trump is to hold all of them.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,157
    weejonnie said:

    FWIW, Nate Silver now has Nevada and Florida edging into the Trump column. His overall chance up to 35.3.%.

    All you have to do is look at the relative strength of the colours on the 'snake'. Clinton's are much deeper (although less than they have been - thus she is much more likely to hold each one, whereas Trump's are paler, meaning he is much more likely to lose one.

    Even if NH goes pale pink, Clinton is far more likely to win one of the pale red states to replace it than Trump is to hold all of them.
    To pu tit in context, OH is as safe for Trump as CO is for Clinton.
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,260

    Perhaps those nut jobs..sorry..understandably angry vigilantes may get a shock if they take on the gay blade judge.

    I see this nut job lives in the Netherlands and proclaims 'Freedom UK US' on their Twitter profile.
    I see an idiot promoting something someone has posted to a Twitter account and trying to make some sort of 'point'. A grotesque early 21st century trend that our descendants will no doubt look upon with the same puzzlement and disgust as we have for throwing your night soil out into the street.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,301
    weejonnie said:

    I see the IRS is standing in line behind the FBI at wanting to get at the Clinton Foundation.

    http://www.dallasobserver.com/news/the-dallas-irs-office-thats-quietly-determining-the-fate-of-the-clinton-foundation-8864404

    Won't be much left of it.

    Hilary won't be long for The White House at this rate.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,838
    edited November 2016

    The Brexiteers taking it well.


    Comes to something when ConHome has a sensible take compared to many other responses.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758



    All the same, if A50 does have to go to a vote in Parliament then it really ought to be shoved through as a confidence issue. The Government can't afford to let Remainers in the Commons force it into revealing its negotiating position to the EU in advance, and nor can it tolerate lengthy delaying tactics in the Lords. The wretched state of the Opposition implies that if Theresa May does find herself having to go the country, then at least she ought to be able to relieve herself of the burden of a tiny majority.

    My bold.

    I don't see why the Government can't play it with a straight bat.

    "The Government doesn't believe it is in the national interest to reveal our negotiation position in public prior to commencing discussions. Parliament will have the opportunity to discuss and vote on the conclusions of our negotiations in due course. For now we are simply asking Parliament to endorse the decision made by the voters in the referendum and authorise us to exercise Article 50 at a time that we see fit within the next 12 months"

    Then rinse and repeat the same answer to pretty much every question & dare Labour to vote it down
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 29,260
    kle4 said:

    The Brexiteers taking it well.


    Comes to something when ConHome has a sensible take compared to many other responses.
    What, when someone, who may or may not even be expressing a genuinely held opinion, says something stupid? Is this new in the world?
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    theakes said:

    Late3st YouGov poll starting to show something for the Lib Dems, double figures almost overtaking UKIP. Perhaps the obvious changes in recent voting patterns are getting through the pollsters. Conservatives way, way ahead, but again seemingly out of cinque with the present actual voting realities.

    Intriguing way to spell "sync" (abbrev. synchronisation)

    It's not an obvious typo - but to go to the Medieval French (as in Cinque Ports)...there must be a reason?
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,913
    Charles said:



    All the same, if A50 does have to go to a vote in Parliament then it really ought to be shoved through as a confidence issue. The Government can't afford to let Remainers in the Commons force it into revealing its negotiating position to the EU in advance, and nor can it tolerate lengthy delaying tactics in the Lords. The wretched state of the Opposition implies that if Theresa May does find herself having to go the country, then at least she ought to be able to relieve herself of the burden of a tiny majority.

    My bold.

    I don't see why the Government can't play it with a straight bat.

    "The Government doesn't believe it is in the national interest to reveal our negotiation position in public prior to commencing discussions. Parliament will have the opportunity to discuss and vote on the conclusions of our negotiations in due course. For now we are simply asking Parliament to endorse the decision made by the voters in the referendum and authorise us to exercise Article 50 at a time that we see fit within the next 12 months"

    Then rinse and repeat the same answer to pretty much every question & dare Labour to vote it down
    So we're already out from March 2017 to 'within the next 12 months'. Even the most committed to Brexit seem to be resigned to a long and fractious process.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Let's wander down memory lane to the final week of the 2012 campaign .... This gem from the pollster Suffolk who gave up polling in 3 states because Romney had them very firmly in the bag. Said so loudly and often and then went on Fox News :

    “In places like North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida, we’ve already painted those red. We’re not polling any of those states again. We’re focusing on the remaining states.”

    David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    RobD said:

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/

    These polls do look pretty good for Trump...

    Precisely - though several posters here think NV is Clinton's by 4-6%. All I'd say, is it's not evidenced in the polls.
    Nevada has ha remarkable stability between party registration and votes in Nevada elections. There would have to be a spectacular Dem collapse and Republican surge well off trend to give the state to Trump.

    As is the voter registration numbers say a 4% Hillary win to me.
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,334
    Charles said:



    All the same, if A50 does have to go to a vote in Parliament then it really ought to be shoved through as a confidence issue. The Government can't afford to let Remainers in the Commons force it into revealing its negotiating position to the EU in advance, and nor can it tolerate lengthy delaying tactics in the Lords. The wretched state of the Opposition implies that if Theresa May does find herself having to go the country, then at least she ought to be able to relieve herself of the burden of a tiny majority.

    My bold.

    I don't see why the Government can't play it with a straight bat.

    "The Government doesn't believe it is in the national interest to reveal our negotiation position in public prior to commencing discussions. Parliament will have the opportunity to discuss and vote on the conclusions of our negotiations in due course. For now we are simply asking Parliament to endorse the decision made by the voters in the referendum and authorise us to exercise Article 50 at a time that we see fit within the next 12 months"

    Then rinse and repeat the same answer to pretty much every question & dare Labour to vote it down
    Yup, a single line enabling act, vote down all amendments and get it through the Commons in one sitting. Dare the Lords to go against the will of the people. If they do then flood it with Tory peers or threaten them with elections.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,157
    JackW said:

    Let's wander down memory lane to the final week of the 2012 campaign .... This gem from the pollster Suffolk who gave up polling in 3 states because Romney had them very firmly in the bag. Said so loudly and often and then went on Fox News :

    “In places like North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida, we’ve already painted those red. We’re not polling any of those states again. We’re focusing on the remaining states.”

    David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center.

    Luckily for us there is more than one pollster in the game ;)
  • Black_RookBlack_Rook Posts: 8,905

    theakes said:

    Late3st YouGov poll starting to show something for the Lib Dems, double figures almost overtaking UKIP. Perhaps the obvious changes in recent voting patterns are getting through the pollsters. Conservatives way, way ahead, but again seemingly out of cinque with the present actual voting realities.

    I'd like to see a consistent pattern of 10%+ scores for the Lib Dems before starting to believe that they are getting somewhere, but there may be something going on - although voter churn is also relevant here. As per my earlier remarks I'm reluctant to assign too much significance to one tiny sub-sample, but *IF* any increase in Lib Dem support is due to a net flow of voters from Labour, partially offset by a smaller net flow to the Tories, then it may not help them very much.

    The bulk of the small handful of Lib Dem target marginals are Tory-held. If the yellows are losing, say, two existing voters to the Conservatives for every three they win from Labour, then their task in overhauling those Tory majorities becomes three times more difficult.
    Both ICMs poll and Yougovs poll last week ( which was strangely not published anywhere ) have Lib Dems gaining net a few voters from the Conservatives and rather more net from Labour . Real elections show that they are gaining rather more from the Conservatives .
    The opinion polls almost did a really solid job of predicting the vote shares last year - the only failing was the critical -3% from Lab and +3% to Con, not the evaluation of the position of the other parties.

    By-elections, especially isolated ones held mid-term, aren't really a substitute for a proper attempt to evaluate the national position.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,913
    MaxPB said:

    Yup, a single line enabling act, vote down all amendments and get it through the Commons in one sitting. Dare the Lords to go against the will of the people. If they do then flood it with Tory peers or threaten them with elections.

    We'd better get the trade agreement with Ecuador pre-negotiated in that case otherwise we might even fall below the level of a banana republic.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Colorado - Uni Denver/Cuiruli Institute - Sample 550 - 29-31 Oct

    Clinton 42 .. Trump 41

    http://www.documentcloud.org/documents/3213243-225-Crossley-Survey-Results-Media.html
  • Charles said:



    All the same, if A50 does have to go to a vote in Parliament then it really ought to be shoved through as a confidence issue. The Government can't afford to let Remainers in the Commons force it into revealing its negotiating position to the EU in advance, and nor can it tolerate lengthy delaying tactics in the Lords. The wretched state of the Opposition implies that if Theresa May does find herself having to go the country, then at least she ought to be able to relieve herself of the burden of a tiny majority.

    My bold.

    I don't see why the Government can't play it with a straight bat.

    "The Government doesn't believe it is in the national interest to reveal our negotiation position in public prior to commencing discussions. Parliament will have the opportunity to discuss and vote on the conclusions of our negotiations in due course. For now we are simply asking Parliament to endorse the decision made by the voters in the referendum and authorise us to exercise Article 50 at a time that we see fit within the next 12 months"

    Then rinse and repeat the same answer to pretty much every question & dare Labour to vote it down
    So we're already out from March 2017 to 'within the next 12 months'. Even the most committed to Brexit seem to be resigned to a long and fractious process.
    That's a reaction to needing legislation where prior it wasn't necessary.
  • williamglennwilliamglenn Posts: 52,913

    Charles said:



    All the same, if A50 does have to go to a vote in Parliament then it really ought to be shoved through as a confidence issue. The Government can't afford to let Remainers in the Commons force it into revealing its negotiating position to the EU in advance, and nor can it tolerate lengthy delaying tactics in the Lords. The wretched state of the Opposition implies that if Theresa May does find herself having to go the country, then at least she ought to be able to relieve herself of the burden of a tiny majority.

    My bold.

    I don't see why the Government can't play it with a straight bat.

    "The Government doesn't believe it is in the national interest to reveal our negotiation position in public prior to commencing discussions. Parliament will have the opportunity to discuss and vote on the conclusions of our negotiations in due course. For now we are simply asking Parliament to endorse the decision made by the voters in the referendum and authorise us to exercise Article 50 at a time that we see fit within the next 12 months"

    Then rinse and repeat the same answer to pretty much every question & dare Labour to vote it down
    So we're already out from March 2017 to 'within the next 12 months'. Even the most committed to Brexit seem to be resigned to a long and fractious process.
    That's a reaction to needing legislation where prior it wasn't necessary.
    It was always necessary; it's just that previously some, including the government's legal team, were ignorant of the fact.
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    JackW said:

    Let's wander down memory lane to the final week of the 2012 campaign .... This gem from the pollster Suffolk who gave up polling in 3 states because Romney had them very firmly in the bag. Said so loudly and often and then went on Fox News :

    “In places like North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida, we’ve already painted those red. We’re not polling any of those states again. We’re focusing on the remaining states.”

    David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center.

    And Paddy Power have already paid out on Clinton - mistakes happen.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,753

    theakes said:

    Late3st YouGov poll starting to show something for the Lib Dems, double figures almost overtaking UKIP. Perhaps the obvious changes in recent voting patterns are getting through the pollsters. Conservatives way, way ahead, but again seemingly out of cinque with the present actual voting realities.

    I'd like to see a consistent pattern of 10%+ scores for the Lib Dems before starting to believe that they are getting somewhere, but there may be something going on - although voter churn is also relevant here. As per my earlier remarks I'm reluctant to assign too much significance to one tiny sub-sample, but *IF* any increase in Lib Dem support is due to a net flow of voters from Labour, partially offset by a smaller net flow to the Tories, then it may not help them very much.

    The bulk of the small handful of Lib Dem target marginals are Tory-held. If the yellows are losing, say, two existing voters to the Conservatives for every three they win from Labour, then their task in overhauling those Tory majorities becomes three times more difficult.
    Both ICMs poll and Yougovs poll last week ( which was strangely not published anywhere ) have Lib Dems gaining net a few voters from the Conservatives and rather more net from Labour . Real elections show that they are gaining rather more from the Conservatives .
    Local by elections aren't Parliamentary elections. Opinion polls are the best guide to the latter.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    For the Trump view - some good polling analysis from 25mins in

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=us-ML1sUB0w
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,753
    Andrew said:

    RobD said:

    http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/nevada/

    These polls do look pretty good for Trump...

    They do, but early voting numbers don't. That's why Clinton is 1.44 there and not the 1.95ish the polls would suggest.

    Clinton might be thanking early voting if she wins, she'll have built up a decent lead in a few states before the FBI intervened last week.

    Don't set too much store by early voting numbers.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    JackW said:

    Let's wander down memory lane to the final week of the 2012 campaign .... This gem from the pollster Suffolk who gave up polling in 3 states because Romney had them very firmly in the bag. Said so loudly and often and then went on Fox News :

    “In places like North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida, we’ve already painted those red. We’re not polling any of those states again. We’re focusing on the remaining states.”

    David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center.

    Virginia??? Was he high at the time?
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    JackW said:

    Colorado - Uni Denver/Cuiruli Institute - Sample 550 - 29-31 Oct

    Clinton 42 .. Trump 41

    http://www.documentcloud.org/documents/3213243-225-Crossley-Survey-Results-Media.html

    Do they have a good record, a lack of good pollsters in the last couple of days.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    A spike in yesterday vote sees AA voters in Florida up to 12%, and rising, of early voting and just below their 13% demographic :

    https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/794224225548730368?ref_src=twsrc^tfw
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    nunu said:

    JackW said:

    Colorado - Uni Denver/Cuiruli Institute - Sample 550 - 29-31 Oct

    Clinton 42 .. Trump 41

    http://www.documentcloud.org/documents/3213243-225-Crossley-Survey-Results-Media.html

    Do they have a good record, a lack of good pollsters in the last couple of days.
    A rare entry into the game.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,654
    Alistair said:

    JackW said:

    Let's wander down memory lane to the final week of the 2012 campaign .... This gem from the pollster Suffolk who gave up polling in 3 states because Romney had them very firmly in the bag. Said so loudly and often and then went on Fox News :

    “In places like North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida, we’ve already painted those red. We’re not polling any of those states again. We’re focusing on the remaining states.”

    David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center.

    Virginia??? Was he high at the time?
    He drove from Blacksburg to Harrisonburg and didn't see a single Obama yard sign :D
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    JackW said:

    A spike in yesterday vote sees AA voters in Florida up to 12%, and rising, of early voting and just below their 13% demographic :

    https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/794224225548730368?ref_src=twsrc^tfw

    Wow.
  • nunununu Posts: 6,024
    Pulpstar said:

    Alistair said:

    JackW said:

    Let's wander down memory lane to the final week of the 2012 campaign .... This gem from the pollster Suffolk who gave up polling in 3 states because Romney had them very firmly in the bag. Said so loudly and often and then went on Fox News :

    “In places like North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida, we’ve already painted those red. We’re not polling any of those states again. We’re focusing on the remaining states.”

    David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center.

    Virginia??? Was he high at the time?
    He drove from Blacksburg to Harrisonburg and didn't see a single Obama yard sign :D
    What demographic changes have made Virginia so safe? Hipster city types?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,157
    nunu said:

    JackW said:

    A spike in yesterday vote sees AA voters in Florida up to 12%, and rising, of early voting and just below their 13% demographic :

    https://twitter.com/steveschale/status/794224225548730368?ref_src=twsrc^tfw

    Wow.
    Just to put it in context, that's 10% of 3% of the voting age population
  • brokenwheelbrokenwheel Posts: 3,352
    nunu said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Alistair said:

    JackW said:

    Let's wander down memory lane to the final week of the 2012 campaign .... This gem from the pollster Suffolk who gave up polling in 3 states because Romney had them very firmly in the bag. Said so loudly and often and then went on Fox News :

    “In places like North Carolina, Virginia, and Florida, we’ve already painted those red. We’re not polling any of those states again. We’re focusing on the remaining states.”

    David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center.

    Virginia??? Was he high at the time?
    He drove from Blacksburg to Harrisonburg and didn't see a single Obama yard sign :D
    What demographic changes have made Virginia so safe? Hipster city types?
    DC overspill, large proportion of which is AA.
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 3,148
    Charles said:



    All the same, if A50 does have to go to a vote in Parliament then it really ought to be shoved through as a confidence issue. The Government can't afford to let Remainers in the Commons force it into revealing its negotiating position to the EU in advance, and nor can it tolerate lengthy delaying tactics in the Lords. The wretched state of the Opposition implies that if Theresa May does find herself having to go the country, then at least she ought to be able to relieve herself of the burden of a tiny majority.

    My bold.

    I don't see why the Government can't play it with a straight bat.

    "The Government doesn't believe it is in the national interest to reveal our negotiation position in public prior to commencing discussions. Parliament will have the opportunity to discuss and vote on the conclusions of our negotiations in due course. For now we are simply asking Parliament to endorse the decision made by the voters in the referendum and authorise us to exercise Article 50 at a time that we see fit within the next 12 months"

    Then rinse and repeat the same answer to pretty much every question & dare Labour to vote it down
    Yes. I am very much in favour of playing things straight.

    It may well be a long and arduous road even to get to the start of extricating ourselves from the EU, but it is, IMHO, best that everybody plays every card they can think of to stop it.

    Even if they succeed, we have still made a huge advance in the matter. Those who wish to leave the EU now know that they account for about half of the electorate.

    True, we will never be allowed another referendum, but other ways & means will crop up - other political parties.
  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    My favourite poll

    Daily Caller
    More People Believe In Bigfoot Than In Hillary’s Honesty https://t.co/ufUZwdf0S5 https://t.co/qLUihVzG14
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,157
    AnneJGP said:

    Charles said:



    All the same, if A50 does have to go to a vote in Parliament then it really ought to be shoved through as a confidence issue. The Government can't afford to let Remainers in the Commons force it into revealing its negotiating position to the EU in advance, and nor can it tolerate lengthy delaying tactics in the Lords. The wretched state of the Opposition implies that if Theresa May does find herself having to go the country, then at least she ought to be able to relieve herself of the burden of a tiny majority.

    My bold.

    I don't see why the Government can't play it with a straight bat.

    "The Government doesn't believe it is in the national interest to reveal our negotiation position in public prior to commencing discussions. Parliament will have the opportunity to discuss and vote on the conclusions of our negotiations in due course. For now we are simply asking Parliament to endorse the decision made by the voters in the referendum and authorise us to exercise Article 50 at a time that we see fit within the next 12 months"

    Then rinse and repeat the same answer to pretty much every question & dare Labour to vote it down
    Yes. I am very much in favour of playing things straight.

    It may well be a long and arduous road even to get to the start of extricating ourselves from the EU, but it is, IMHO, best that everybody plays every card they can think of to stop it.

    Even if they succeed, we have still made a huge advance in the matter. Those who wish to leave the EU now know that they account for about half of the electorate.

    True, we will never be allowed another referendum, but other ways & means will crop up - other political parties.
    Ah, so the court case was about trying to block Brexit!
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Cough ....

    Florida .. Colorado .. Nevada .. New Mexico .. Arizona .. Texas ...

    https://twitter.com/LatinoDecisions/status/794184048436334592?ref_src=twsrc^tfw
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    Charles said:



    All the same, if A50 does have to go to a vote in Parliament then it really ought to be shoved through as a confidence issue. The Government can't afford to let Remainers in the Commons force it into revealing its negotiating position to the EU in advance, and nor can it tolerate lengthy delaying tactics in the Lords. The wretched state of the Opposition implies that if Theresa May does find herself having to go the country, then at least she ought to be able to relieve herself of the burden of a tiny majority.

    My bold.

    I don't see why the Government can't play it with a straight bat.

    "The Government doesn't believe it is in the national interest to reveal our negotiation position in public prior to commencing discussions. Parliament will have the opportunity to discuss and vote on the conclusions of our negotiations in due course. For now we are simply asking Parliament to endorse the decision made by the voters in the referendum and authorise us to exercise Article 50 at a time that we see fit within the next 12 months"

    Then rinse and repeat the same answer to pretty much every question & dare Labour to vote it down
    So we're already out from March 2017 to 'within the next 12 months'. Even the most committed to Brexit seem to be resigned to a long and fractious process.
    I picked that timeframe at random because someone said it earlier. Not relevant to the point I was making.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,157
    JackW said:

    Cough ....

    Florida .. Colorado .. Nevada .. New Mexico .. Arizona .. Texas ...

    https://twitter.com/LatinoDecisions/status/794184048436334592?ref_src=twsrc^tfw

    It would be more useful to know that in the context of other groups.
  • Scott_P said:
    Brexiteers don't do logic. That's a discipline for experts
    It is amusing to see Eurofanatics who, for more than 40 years have argued in favour of the subverting of Parliamentary Sovereignty by the EEC/EU, suddenly discovering how vital it is to this country. Utter hypocrites.
    Voluntarily joining a group of like minded countries to work together to common objectives is an exercise of sovereignty not a subversion of it.
    Allowing a supra national body to push laws through Parliament whilst expressly forbidding Parliament from changing or rejecting them is clearly a subverting of its sovereignty. I gather you are one of the hypocrites.
    We'd only be giving up sovereignty if we signed up to a deal whereby the EU could make laws without our participation and we weren't allowed to leave. We joined up voluntarily and we are now leaving without any suggestion that we don't have the right to do so. If someone says to me that by leaving we can have more influence in the world or be more prosperous, I'd disagree but concede that they may be right and I might be wrong. When someone says that they want to leave the EU to regain sovereignty then at best they must be a romantic rather than a realist. But in your case I am not really sure you actually know what it means.
    Quite right! Saying Britain is no longer sovereign because of EU membership is like saying I've been deprived of my civil liberties because my golf club insists on my wearing a collared shirt.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    PlatoSaid said:

    My favourite poll

    Daily Caller
    More People Believe In Bigfoot Than In Hillary’s Honesty https://t.co/ufUZwdf0S5 https://t.co/qLUihVzG14

    Does Donald have a bigfoot as well as big hands ....

    Who knew .. :smile:
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    The Clinton Foundation attitude to foreign donors.

    https://wikileaks.org/podesta-emails/emailid/11915
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758

    MaxPB said:

    Yup, a single line enabling act, vote down all amendments and get it through the Commons in one sitting. Dare the Lords to go against the will of the people. If they do then flood it with Tory peers or threaten them with elections.

    We'd better get the trade agreement with Ecuador pre-negotiated in that case otherwise we might even fall below the level of a banana republic.
    You mean dominated by American corporate interests?

    ...
  • AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 3,148
    RobD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Charles said:



    All the same, if A50 does have to go to a vote in Parliament then it really ought to be shoved through as a confidence issue. The Government can't afford to let Remainers in the Commons force it into revealing its negotiating position to the EU in advance, and nor can it tolerate lengthy delaying tactics in the Lords. The wretched state of the Opposition implies that if Theresa May does find herself having to go the country, then at least she ought to be able to relieve herself of the burden of a tiny majority.

    My bold.

    I don't see why the Government can't play it with a straight bat.

    "The Government doesn't believe it is in the national interest to reveal our negotiation position in public prior to commencing discussions. Parliament will have the opportunity to discuss and vote on the conclusions of our negotiations in due course. For now we are simply asking Parliament to endorse the decision made by the voters in the referendum and authorise us to exercise Article 50 at a time that we see fit within the next 12 months"

    Then rinse and repeat the same answer to pretty much every question & dare Labour to vote it down
    Yes. I am very much in favour of playing things straight.

    It may well be a long and arduous road even to get to the start of extricating ourselves from the EU, but it is, IMHO, best that everybody plays every card they can think of to stop it.

    Even if they succeed, we have still made a huge advance in the matter. Those who wish to leave the EU now know that they account for about half of the electorate.

    True, we will never be allowed another referendum, but other ways & means will crop up - other political parties.
    Ah, so the court case was about trying to block Brexit!
    Do you infer that from my comment? How on earth could I possibly know? Maybe I did assume that without realising it, but it hardly matters.

    (Incidentally, I just noticed a bit on Yahoo about Ms Sturgeon joining in with the court case, but couldn't catch the link - anyone have it?)
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    ''Quite right! Saying Britain is no longer sovereign because of EU membership is like saying I've been deprived of my civil liberties because my golf club insists on my wearing a collared shirt. ''

    Given that 17.4m voted against membership, there are plenty who disagree with this absurd comparison.
  • MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 53,270
    JackW said:

    Cough ....

    Florida .. Colorado .. Nevada .. New Mexico .. Arizona .. Texas ...

    https://twitter.com/LatinoDecisions/status/794184048436334592?ref_src=twsrc^tfw

    Wow - we must be looking at an overall 70% turnout then in those states.....
  • MaxPB said:

    Charles said:



    All the same, if A50 does have to go to a vote in Parliament then it really ought to be shoved through as a confidence issue. The Government can't afford to let Remainers in the Commons force it into revealing its negotiating position to the EU in advance, and nor can it tolerate lengthy delaying tactics in the Lords. The wretched state of the Opposition implies that if Theresa May does find herself having to go the country, then at least she ought to be able to relieve herself of the burden of a tiny majority.

    My bold.

    I don't see why the Government can't play it with a straight bat.

    "The Government doesn't believe it is in the national interest to reveal our negotiation position in public prior to commencing discussions. Parliament will have the opportunity to discuss and vote on the conclusions of our negotiations in due course. For now we are simply asking Parliament to endorse the decision made by the voters in the referendum and authorise us to exercise Article 50 at a time that we see fit within the next 12 months"

    Then rinse and repeat the same answer to pretty much every question & dare Labour to vote it down
    Yup, a single line enabling act, vote down all amendments and get it through the Commons in one sitting. Dare the Lords to go against the will of the people. If they do then flood it with Tory peers or threaten them with elections.
    I need to create a bot that when it sees "the will of the people" automatically replies with the fact that it was only 52% that voted Leave.
  • ThomasNasheThomasNashe Posts: 5,331
    RobD said:
    Which stage is euphoria?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,157
    AnneJGP said:

    RobD said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Charles said:



    All the same, if A50 does have to go to a vote in Parliament then it really ought to be shoved through as a confidence issue. The Government can't afford to let Remainers in the Commons force it into revealing its negotiating position to the EU in advance, and nor can it tolerate lengthy delaying tactics in the Lords. The wretched state of the Opposition implies that if Theresa May does find herself having to go the country, then at least she ought to be able to relieve herself of the burden of a tiny majority.

    My bold.

    I don't see why the Government can't play it with a straight bat.

    "The Government doesn't believe it is in the national interest to reveal our negotiation position in public prior to commencing discussions. Parliament will have the opportunity to discuss and vote on the conclusions of our negotiations in due course. For now we are simply asking Parliament to endorse the decision made by the voters in the referendum and authorise us to exercise Article 50 at a time that we see fit within the next 12 months"

    Then rinse and repeat the same answer to pretty much every question & dare Labour to vote it down
    Yes. I am very much in favour of playing things straight.

    It may well be a long and arduous road even to get to the start of extricating ourselves from the EU, but it is, IMHO, best that everybody plays every card they can think of to stop it.

    Even if they succeed, we have still made a huge advance in the matter. Those who wish to leave the EU now know that they account for about half of the electorate.

    True, we will never be allowed another referendum, but other ways & means will crop up - other political parties.
    Ah, so the court case was about trying to block Brexit!
    Do you infer that from my comment? How on earth could I possibly know? Maybe I did assume that without realising it, but it hardly matters.

    (Incidentally, I just noticed a bit on Yahoo about Ms Sturgeon joining in with the court case, but couldn't catch the link - anyone have it?)
    You said that it is "best that everybody plays every card they can think of to stop it".
This discussion has been closed.