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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump 4% ahead in Ohio. Must be time for the Guardian to re
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump 4% ahead in Ohio. Must be time for the Guardian to repeat its Ohio don’t vote for the Republican stunt
The above sets out what turned out to be a misguided attempt by the Guardian ahead of the 2004 Bush Kerry fight to involve its UK readers more closely in the contest.
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Extra bit : Damn!
https://www.theguardian.com/gmg/2016/sep/15/guardian-media-group-to-cut-nearly-a-third-of-us-jobs
https://twitter.com/michaelgove/status/783049181011279872
Momentum have sacked Jackie Walker as vice chair but not suspended her - and are urging Labour to reinstate her.
http://order-order.com/2016/10/04/momentum-not-suspending-jackie-walker/
But yeah, the Guardian campaign was a thing of hilarious beauty.
If you believe that the hub-and-spoke model remains the future, then it is hard to see past the Airports Commission' final report. If you think the world will move over to point-to-point, then Gatwick and possibly Stansted should be upgraded.
That is the real core question: point-to-point or hub-and-spoke?
Okay, I've bitten.
Hyperloop: LOL!
The dedicated rail link is a red herring of an idea. At most, it would be carrying a few thousand passengers per day. That's just not enough to justify any kind of dedicated rail link with a sensible service frequency, so basically you'd be spending a fortune to pull around empty carriages.
Clark County only had 70k votes cast, against a 140k statewide margin for Bush. The swing there was very close to that across the rest of Ohio, and Kerry's result was slightly better in Ohio than in the rest of the country.
It certainly didn't work as a project... but nor did it change anything.
If the forecasts that both airports about future demand have any validity there really should be plenty of trade for both, particularly if they are better linked. There may even be an argument all too soon for expanding other airports around London such as Stansted in addition.
In 2012 at close of registration there were 80000 more Reps than Dems.
http://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/elections/VoterRegNumbers/2012VoterRegNumbers.html
This year with a couple of weeks to go there are now more Dems than Reps and that was not the case a month ago.
http://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/elections/VoterRegNumbers/VoterRegNumbers.html
Clinton now leads in Florida according to 538 and has a 72% chance overall of winning the Presidency.
Oh, and I think you meant the awesome Concorde days - I grew up 20 miles west of Heathrow, as a boy I would eagerly run outside at 18:05 to watch the magnificent bird on her way to New York, where this marvellous pice of British engineering would arrive earlier than she had taken off.
Quite an interesting piece on Bloomberg about this: https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-10-04/u-k-brexit-ministers-see-global-britain-as-tactic-not-slogan
PB Brexiters are very fond of telling us what the EU will and won't do based on its objective economic self-interest, over-looking the fact that the UK is being driven almost entirely by the politics. Why they think the EU might be any different is far from clear.
You engineering types should be all for advancing technology!
So a rail link would only be serving a small market. Rail lines have a huge passenger capacity, but also very high infrastructure and operating costs. So if you're going for a "new infrastructure" link not only would there be billions in construction costs, but also a huge ongoing subsidy requirement, which either airline passengers or taxpayers would end up footing the bill for. If you want to do it over existing infrastructure, you'd need to fit in with much busier commuter services and would end up with a very long journey time.
Plus airlines and passengers would likely avoid the thing like the plague anyway. Passengers have choices and like simple transfers.
I think the big issue over the City, will be about how the EU 27 continue to find international finance for business, a lot of which comes via the City. If Frankfurt and Paris believe that they can take up the slack and expand into any space ceded by making passporting difficult, then the politics may take over.
The EU is currently looking to expand the AIFMD passport to non EU nations, so with the UK already being compliant with EU banking and Financial Services regulation, it would seem a strange move to include Singapore and not London.
https://www.esma.europa.eu/press-news/esma-news/esma-advises-extension-funds-passport-12-non-eu-countries
I think this if from July 16.
Works both ways. Unsurprised the American electorate told the Guardian its view was at the back of the queue.
As Missouri did in 08 it may be that Ohio will lose the bell weather status this year and edge to Trump whilst Clinton comfortably wins the electoral college. The other post debate state polling is solidly with Clinton with boosts in Florida, North Carolina, Nevada and Colorado.
Perhaps it stems from a desire to bolster a betting position? If so, I think the influence of this site is being overestimated, particularly when so many sources of objective information are available.
Reports of those meetings go like this: Ministers ask business people what they want from Brexit. Answer, the Single Market. Answer ignored then Minister lectures business people on the great opportunities of Brexit. Business people are slightly irritated at having to repeat the performance at several ministries because officials are not talking to each other.
Their voters however, have other ideas, and would like to see a loosening of the ties further (from what I understand of it). But rather like the UK for generations, they simply have a political class which give them no alternative to vote for.
So glad we Took Back Control...
"Indian police have taken a pigeon into custody after it was found carrying a warning note to Prime Minister Narendra Modi near the nation’s heavily militarised border with Pakistan."
Brexit economics is quite good for us that own assets.
Presumably the need to bolster sterling will therefore mean not only closing off QE as soon as possible but increasing interest rates as soon as possible as well.
I'd also assumed much of the current FTSE rise is based on companies who trade in dollars anyway and it bears little resemblance (apart from as some macabre virility symbol) to the actual state of the UK economy.
Clinton 47 .. Trump 38
http://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/2016/10/03/clinton-gains-in-new-fm-pennsylvania-poll/
On the first, there is clearly a lag as retailers have stocks already purchased, and any larger enterprise vulnerable to swings in currency will have hedged its exposure for six months or a year ahead. Hence for example why the price of wine has yet to rise following Brexit.