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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The boundary review is so favourable to CON because Cam/Os

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  • NEW THREAD

  • PlatoSaidPlatoSaid Posts: 10,383
    Owen Bennett
    EXCLUSIVE: DUP invited for talks with Tory whips office amid rumours of grammar school/boundary changes deal https://t.co/4wHXTO3J6W
  • MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 39,334

    MaxPB said:

    May's basic problem with the grammars policy is that its primary purpose is to keep Tory right-wingers onside as the compromises she has to make on Brexit become apparent. Obviously, that is not something she can say out loud so she is left to flounder. When you are bested by Jeremy Corbyn you are in big trouble. For a decent opposition able to engage with non-believers this is an eminently beatable government.

    The trouble is that Theresa hasn't worked out yet that you can't run the country as PM like you run a major Governmental department, and that her word isn't necessarily law. It's not that simple with command and control anymore.

    She's started off governing like 3rd term Thatcher c.1987-1988, in my view, whereas she really needed to govern a bit more like Thatcher 1983-1984 or John Major 1991-1992.
    It's early days yet, but there may be an element of that.

    There does not appear to have been much opposition to her in Cabinet when she was Home Secretary - apart from possibly Gove (who? - ed.) and perhaps she's carried some of that into premiership.

    It is entertaining reading her political obituary co-written by the Cameroons and Labour supporters......
    It's clear from TSE (who is our inside Cameroon agent) that they want to see her cut down to size.
    If so, then she brought it on herself with her rudeness.

    How could she sit in his cabinet for six years, then ignore him following her win?

    It says a lot about her character, or lack of it.
    It does indeed.

    She went to the G20 meeting without speaking to Dave. She went there unprepared. She let the country down with her approach.
    Not getting the lay of the land was stupid, as was blaming the Chinese for the Hinkley review, she should have said that the deal doesn't represent value for money any more and the French have yet to show that it can be built on time.

    I think May suffers from not thinking her positions through to the end. Her grammar school policy is another example of this. The inevitable question when introducing a policy that is in favour of academic excellence is what about those who are not academically excellent, she has no answers.
    After the handbrake being slammed on Hinkley, both BBC and ITV now run pieces saying they think it will be given green light soon.
    Yes, after getting a talking to from the Chinese premier as it turns out. Which is why she should have blamed it on the French instead of security concerns surrounding Chinese involvement.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Pulpstar said:

    Alistair said:

    Amazing, a person who's only cpntrib

    vik said:

    Omg.

    The big movement in the LA Times tracking poll !!! :D

    http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/

    It's looking like a Trump landslide. Just like Scott Adams predicted. ;)

    By far the best bit from the LA Times tracker is the Age break down. Massive Trump spike for 18-45, big spike 35-65, imperceptible change 65+
    I'd be interested to hear from @Pong (If he is lurking) whether his book is still tilted away from Trump.

    I'm neutral on HRC/Trump, though Trump has improved since I took that position. Are you still on Hillary ?
    I'm basically
    Johnson: Lots
    Kaine: Quite a Bit
    Trump: Pennies
    Field including Hilary: Some

    I'm going to go negative on the field soon and build up Hilary while keeping Trump around 0 - I think her price is starting to look good to back.
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