politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Diana James now 75% favourite to be next UKIP leader

After a big day of developments in the UKIP leadership race Diana James now 75% Betfair favourite to succeed Farage pic.twitter.com/N8bkUOWUqM
0
This discussion has been closed.
Comments
Atavistic provincialism has won.
But my understanding is that Brexit is only advisory.
If so, what a way to run things.
Karate and baseball/softball have also been added by the International Olympic Committee
Someone from inside UKIP manipulating the leadership race to win money on the betting markets ?
Has a sort of "if so, see me in my study after prayers, or the whole school will be kept in" sound about it.
If Nigel unresigns, or the whole leadership campaign unravels or takes an unexpected turn, her price could dramatically lengthen.
I'm not seeing any particular information to justify such a price, so I've just risked £20 on her failure.
SurveyUSA, North Carolina
Trump 46 -3
Hillary 42 nc
Johnson 6 +6
https://www.nccivitas.org/2016/civitas-releases-post-conventions-survey-of-north-carolina-voters/
The previous SurveyUSA poll for N.C. was back in early March though, and didn't include Johnson.
But the definitive pollster for N.C. is PPP, only if they say too that Trump has a lead in N.C. I would believe it.
Broughton is the dark horse.
Not Diana James.
You see, it's not really about economic or political success. It's the fact the UK's governance will be almost solely national, rather than international, and that offends those who define their identity against what they see as the parochial, insular and uncosmopolitan nature of most 'domestic' Brits.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-36958155
I think what might have kicked this off is the idea of getting "stamps" in our new blue passports, if we get them back.
Simple solution: visa free. If you're desperate for a souvenir stamp, and you ask the customs office really nicely, you might get one.
"So we can sum up pb Brexiteers vision of post EU UK as having a currency worth less than the Bangla Deshi Taka and a population back working in the fields like pre Industrial Britain or Bangla Desh today ."
Seriously, Mark, WTF?
Do you know Britain was the first nation in history to industralise, made countless scientific and technical discoveries, built the greatest empire the world has ever seen, spread its ideas and values throughout the globe, stood up, fought and won two world wars, and achieved the British cultural renaissance of the 1960s, including the Beatles, James Bond and one world cup, without any help from the EU?
Perhaps not.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_British_innovations_and_discoveries
AV was invented to stop outrages like this.
https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/759456154623836160
But yes, I do feel stripped of part of my European identity by Brexit, as does all the rest of the Fox family (barring Granny and Granpa Fox!).
We will get used to it, and in practice Brexit will mostly look like "the British Sausage" that got Hacker the PM job.
Nottingham South: Owen Smith
Finchley and Golders Green: Smith
Islington South: Jeremy Corbyn 121 Owen Smith 64
New Forest East: Jeremy Corbyn
Bath: Jeremy Corbyn
Leeds East: Jeremy Corbyn 75 Owen Smith 9 Abstentions 3
Halton: Jeremy Corbyn
Delyn: Jeremy Corbyn
West Suffolk: Jeremy Corbyn
Eastleigh: Jeremy Corbyn 35 Smith 8
Worthing West: Corbyn 42 Smith 11
80/1 with Skybet for TGS. Worth an ew £5 I thought.
Ask yourself this, why was the largest volunteer army in history, the British Indian Army? 3 million Indians, Pakistanis, and Bangladeshis decided to fight for their Emperor, the country that was their colonial masters.
Corbyn 76 CLPs
Smith 17 CLPs
1. Costs - will require custom-built facilities in most new Olympics venues
2. Hard to sell large numbers of tickets to watch
Labour is not yet ready to accept reality. Smith should walk away now.
London is probably the most anti Corbyn territory now.
The CLPs in hopeless seats are the ones coming out strongly for Corbyn.
But, like in Switzerland, if you say "stamp, please?", the nice man might give you one, if he hasn't anything better to do.
Huzzah for the Empire.
I did get a nice entry and exit stamp though.
Finchley
Streatham
West Ham
Westminster North
Richmond Park
Battersea
Vauxhall
Bethnal Green
Wimbledon
He was in the Indian Army throughout the war.
Well, it's a view.
https://www.amazon.co.uk/Making-India-Untold-British-Enterprise/dp/1472924827
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/2xd8rujb3m/Demo Report_02-Aug-2016_Website.pdf
An SDP like split will only affect Labour and the LD and would battle UKIP for 3rd place.
It would only take 1/4 of the Labour vote, 1/4 of the LD vote, 1/7th of the SNP vote and almost zero from everyone else.
It's highest share by far would be 19% in London, it would be a very London-centric party.
A split of Momentum would be bigger, getting almost half of the Labour vote while not affecting any other party apart from the SNP (it takes 1/6th of the SNP vote) and rivaling Labour for second place.
It's strongest areas would be London with 18% and the North with 17%.
In every scenario both splinters would tie each other in scotland, getting 10% each, the splinter getting it almost exclusively from the SNP.
One should also not forget the Indian troops that served in WW1, though most people have. Particular notice should be paid to the Indian infantry who served with great distinction on the Western front in 1914/15 but who did not get the recognition they deserved (in fact far from it) by the High Command at the time.
Brighton of course has a particular affinity with those WW1 troops as it provided the military hospitals (including the Brighton Pavilion) for wounded indian soldiers. A fact commemorated by the India Gate to the Pavilion and the Chattri memorial up on the South Downs where soldiers who died of their wounds were cremated (muslims were taken to the mosque in Woking, Surrey for burial). One day I will get around to writing up my research into the Brighton Hospitals, a story which my surprise many.
We are contesting we will become Bangladesh.
The Betfair markets in Kasich, Cruz, Pence and Ryan (but not in Rubio and Bush) are becoming more lively.
But, you know what. It's great that your worst nightmare - Brexit - has come to pass I'm glad that people like you and EPG lost, on 23rd June. Permanently, and irrevocably.
We are outside Schengen. I have to queue at the UK border both in/out anyone even *inside* the EU where the UK border officials run digital checks, and rightly so.
In the v.unlikely event the EU does require a "visa" (assuming Schengen and the EU both stay "as is") everything stays the same, except I get a stamp.
Honestly, of all the things to worry about as a Remainer, this isn't one of them.
http://www.news24.com/elections/live/live-sa-votes-in-2016-local-government-elections-20160802
You are quite right, and Indian soldiers made huge sacrifices on the Western Front.
Even today, this is little known.
Hillary will probably spend that much on TV advertising this month alone.
" Nor has England declined economically: by the late 1950s and 1960s it was of course richer than ever. The change has been that a few other countries have caught up. This is not a quibble, but a fundamental difference of analysis, as catching up with the pioneers is a normal feature of economic modernization, as developing countries attract foreign investment and import the latest technology. England remains, as in 1713, among the richest countries in the world - in 2008, among populous countries, the United Kingdom was second only to the United States in gross per capita income.
Declinism has been our national narrative for several generations, a chorus of lamentation in a lucky country where life is safer, longer and more comfortable than ever in history. What would happen to our view of the past, and the present, if we abandoned this historical fit of the vapours? Surely it would permit a calmer, more rational analysis of our situation and our needs."