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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trump becomes the first main party nominee in more than 40 years to refuse to release his tax returns
Generally they are issued at a time of the candidate’s choosing and become an issue for a day or so before the media moves on to something else. In 2012 Mitt Romney eventually produced a full set going back several years after a prolonged media clamour.
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http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
He got a 6 point bounce compared with Romney's 4 point one, and his lead is bigger than what Romney ever managed to get.
Lets see what Hillary can do, last time Obama got a 2 point bounce.
Mind you everything about the Trump campaign is a break with precedent so maybe it won't make any difference.
It is worth noting that the sanctions available to the EU against Poland in relation to this matter are set out in Article 7 TEU. These are surrounded with a thicket of different qualified majorities etc and in at least 1 case requires unanimity of the European Council of which Poland is of course a member.
http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=celex:12012M007
The bite after all this faff is the potential suspension of Poland's voting rights in the Ministers in Council. Not exactly sending the tanks in.
The irony of the unelected EU Commission acting as the arbiter and protector of democratic rights is hard to miss.
After claiming that he is audited “every single year,” Trump said that he would in fact release the returns, ideally sooner than Nov. 8.
“So, the answer is, I’ll release. Hopefully before the election I’ll release,” he said. “And I’d like to release.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/05/donald-trump-tax-returns-223101
No wonder people are betting on the smallness on Trump's todger
Romney's taxes even included a tax refund for a prized horse he had.
That was very embarrassing, but the media never dumped on it much because he was one of them.
But we know that media attacks on Trump have less and less impact, if they had any in the first place, it's the same trick with diminishing returns.
http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/9698632
I see this as simply a political spat between the ex-Polish PM who is now one of the 3 EU presidents and the current polish government.
Donald Tusk is simply putting pressure on his political enemies in Poland, and that's about it.
The British equivalent would have been Nick Clegg using the EU bureaucracy to attack the Tories.
However, if Hillary is unable to make an issue out of it and make it stick, then it does not bode well for her campaign. What other opportunity will she get which is better than this with which to hit his core image of successful businessman you can trust with the country? If she can't win this battle, I think it will mean her campaign will be totally ineffectual.
'Course it was, Mike! 'Course it was
That is the secret of his political success:
The consistent record of failure of all others that criticize him.
Plus him being a Stand Up Comedian.
*i realise this may not be the best forum to make this point! However, the culture was of gambling on games of chance especially dice.
Defining your opponents. Something Trump has down to a tee.
http://www.justiceatstake.org/issues/state_court_issues/election-vs-appointment/
At the federal level, most judges are appointed by the President subject to confirmation by the US Senate, although magistrates and bankruptcy judges are nominated by lower courts rather than the Admininstration:
http://www.fjc.gov/federal/courts.nsf/autoframe?openagent&nav=menu1&page=/federal/courts.nsf/page/183
Than goodness we are getting out of such a nest of vipers and corruption.
Let's just say the media / democrats spend ages trying to make all this stick & then trump releases & they aren't that interesting.
Remember the guardian/bbc and the Panama papers shooting their load over the whole thing & in reality the hype didn't match up & no matter how much they pushed things the public just weren't very interested.
http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-europe-attacks-germany-idUKKCN1071Q3?il=0
Point of trivia - I had assumed they were a long vanished tribe. Apparently, as of 2015 there are some 777 of them still extant just outside Tel Aviv.
Why is that a greater risk than straightforward corruption? Indeed, I would see it as being far less likely, as sources of political donations have to be published.
For example look at this comedy sketch of Trump vs Bernie, the actor who plays Trump leads the audience into supporting Trump so much that he is forced at the end to plead them not to vote for him:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YfXdmHseiFA
Satire is an exaggeration of real life to the point everyone sees what's going on, in the above the actor who plays Trump is so entertaining he carries the audience with him, and the actor who plays Bernie makes people feel sorry for Sanders.
PS Of those religions, I have actually stayed with Druze in both Lebanon and Syria, know several Copts and was due to visit Kalash until the earthquake last November disrupted my plans. Alas, my time in Iraq was not conducive to exploring the northern areas.
1) He can position himself as on the side of the people against the IRS for a while
(He is after all campaigning on a platform of tax reform)
2) He's benefiting from not releasing them
(All these "theories" - they're all about HIM, squeezing the Democratic Convention for attention. I do like the quote from Ted Cruz that the Washington Post brings up again: "There have been multiple media reports about Donald's business dealings with the mob, with the mafia. Maybe his taxes show those business dealings are a lot more extensive than has been reported." I mean who controls cement in New York? All will become clear when Trump releases his tax returns, right? Everyone has their suspicions, but when Trump releases those returns, oh how we'll all know for sure at last. Construction in New York isn't clean. What a sensation. It could swing the election
3) He has the option of releasing them when it's to his maximum benefit
(He released a financial statement in June 2015 when he declared he was running. The summary is at the back of his book, Crippled America. He filed further Personal Financial Declaration forms with the Federal Election Commission in May 2016.)
The Hangers & Forest (East Hampshire):
CON: 45.3% (-23.7)
LDEM: 43.6% (+43.6)
JUST: 7.9% (+7.9)
LAB: 3.3% (-9.7)
* More spirits are consumed now than previously, which is probably detrimental to the nation's health, but that is because of successive governments' tax changes (aka stupidity). A bottle of spirits can be bought for £10-£13 in the offie/supermarket whereas a pint in the pub is, locally, £4.
Didn't they show he had across all held asset classes significantly underperformed a Dow tracker.
There is also a graph showing the consumption of beer, wine and spirits per head between 1800 and 1935. I knew beer consumption was higher in the past, but was interested to learn that consumption of spirits between WW1 and 1935 was lower than at any time between 1800 and 1914.
Nobody had a good word to say about the Samaritans, including the Byzantines and the Jews. Remember the astonishing feature of Jesus' second most famous parable was that it was a Samaritan who came to the rescue.
PS the publicans of Horsham are ripping you off something chronic at £4 a pint! In Cannock if they ask for £3.50 you go to another pub.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rywVlfTtlMY
They were a distinct group in Biblical times, and shunned and were shunned concerning contact with mainstream Jews. Hence the significance of the Good Samaritan in Jesus's parable - pointing out that goodness in a person is not defined by their external observances but rather their internal experience of God. Similarly Jesus's companions were shocked when he drank water given to him by a Samaritan woman, but once again reaching out to recognise the goodness and piety of a non-othodox believer.
There are some interesting parallels between attitudes of first Century Jews to Samaritans and later Christians to Jews, or Muslims to Jews and Christians.
Incidentally, I am told that due to inbreeding in a small closed community genetic diseases are particularly common in modern day Samaritans.
Incidentally the oldest monotheistic religion would of course be Hinduism but people get confused when you point that out to them!
I would have thought the Egyptian Pharaoh Akhenaten invented monotheism
Mr. Doethur, I'll take your word for it [I was under the impression it was 7th, though I covered it some time ago].
He was originally a Welsh language character, Sam Tan (lit. 'Sam the Fire' - you know how these things go).
So you could have had 'the Samtanic Verses' with no trouble at all!
The Quraysh's main god was Hubal. According to The Oxford Handbook of Late Antiquity, "The Qurayshite pantheon was composed principally of idols that were in the Haram of Makka, that is, Hubal (the most important and oldest deity), Manaf, Isaf, and Na'ila."[20]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quraysh
I suppose the equivalent today is Aldi "Value Lager"
https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=John+4
6th Century Meccans were pagans, with a number of gods and deities, as well as there being significant Jewish and Christian communities. Indeed Allah is the name assosciated with the moon god, and chosen by early Muslims. Hence the significance of the cresent moon in Islam, and the phases of the moon in defining ramadan etc.
http://www.biblebelievers.org.au/moongod.htm
Following his conquest of Mecca, Mohammad smashed all the 300 pagan idols in the main square and expelled at the point of the sword all those who would not convert to Islam. The trouble in Islam is that IS are actually true to the original Islam.
Corbyn's Labour getting over 3% in wealthy rural Hampshire?
Mind you as you have just seen I can make mistakes like everyone else. However, I am a lot more secure on the life of Mohammed than on what came before and indeed on the splits that came after, before bobbing backin with the Battle of Manzikert and the later First Crusade.
(The price of a pint is a crime.)
I will do some more reading (when I get back, as next week is all about the Holocaust).
Also, Akhenaten didn't really found a movement, he just imposed his own peculiar beliefs on Egypt, which were then swept away by a traditional return with his successor, Tutankhamun.
I see the fool from the Vatican thinks this is a war but nothing to do with religion.
At one point he finds a church in I think Eastern Turkey or possibly Syria where there are (were, I should say) a few worshippers still worshipping in Aramaic, the language Jesus spoke.
Funniest I ever heard was of a guide at Fountains Abbey who got muddled and said the monks drank eight pints of real ale a day. Now that WOULD be serious drinking!
*i hope Dr @foxinsoxuk you noticed my careful selection of language there.