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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Why those opposed to the Tories should hope that June 23rd

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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    This poll seems to suggest tories can continue to tear each other to shreds, the public doesn;t really seem to mind that much. At least for now.

    As for labour....well....
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,005
    Mr. Rottenborough, it's true that Hell is other people at breakfast.
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Sean_F said:

    ICM phone poll Con 38%, Lab 33%, UKIP 13%. Remain 54%, Leave 46%.

    ICM online poll Con 36%, Lab 31%, UKIP 16. Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

    What were the values with DKs?
    https://twitter.com/martinboon/status/722098420807245825
    I would have thought DKs will break more towards status quo.
    In GEs DK's are DNVs

    But in the Indyref they got out and backed status quo.
    the indyref had 3 years of passion behind it

    eu ref has three month of piss off and dont annoy me
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    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Indigo said:

    This video changes everything: voteleave.co.uk - surpassing the Ukippers, imo

    One for TSE I reckon - Never Gonna Give EU Up
    The piece I was planning to run yesterday was headlined 'Never Gonna Give EU Up - Why it might be in the best interests of the Tory Party for Remain to win'
    So you're saying that if Leave wins it'll be a case of "I'll Be Missing EU"?
    Yup.

    I've also got 'Stuck In The Middle With EU' lined up
    EU are having a laugh!
    Don;t EU want me baby....
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    taffys said:

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    This poll seems to suggest tories can continue to tear each other to shreds, the public doesn;t really seem to mind that much. At least for now.

    As for labour....well....
    Last month's ICM poll was a real outlier, they said as much.

    This is more of a reversion to mean.
  • Options

    RobD said:

    RobD said:

    Sean_F said:

    ICM phone poll Con 38%, Lab 33%, UKIP 13%. Remain 54%, Leave 46%.

    ICM online poll Con 36%, Lab 31%, UKIP 16. Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

    What were the values with DKs?
    https://twitter.com/martinboon/status/722098420807245825
    I would have thought DKs will break more towards status quo.
    In GEs DK's are DNVs

    But in the Indyref they got out and backed status quo.
    the indyref had 3 years of passion behind it

    eu ref has three month of piss off and dont annoy me
    Honestly, if Leave want to win, they should say 'Brexit = Scottish Independence'

    Landslide for Leave in England and Wales and they get 45% in Scotland too.
  • Options
    taffystaffys Posts: 9,753

    taffys said:

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    This poll seems to suggest tories can continue to tear each other to shreds, the public doesn;t really seem to mind that much. At least for now.

    As for labour....well....
    Last month's ICM poll was a real outlier, they said as much.

    This is more of a reversion to mean.
    True but the tory war has intensified markedly since then. It is still an interesting result.
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    TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    perdix said:

    OGH continues his delight at potential Tory infighting and his advice to Leave to "undermine" Cameron.

    I think you'd have to be strange not to smile at least.---Oh!
    (sotto voce)
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    runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536
    taffys said:

    The Dow Jones touched 18,000 today, highest since last July.

    If the global economy doom and gloom is not as bad as expected, I wonder how that will play into the debate for the next two months.

    I assume Osborne will be hoping for the worst data possible. No doubt he is hoping his exaggerated scaremongering will hit some of the confidence indicators as well.
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    National - NBC/WSJ

    Clinton 50 .. Sanders 48

    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/nbc-wsj-poll-clinton-s-national-lead-down-two-points-n557671?cid=sm_tw

    ....................................................

    New York - Gravis Marketing/ANN

    Trump 57 .. Kasich 22 .. Cruz 20

    Clinton 53 .. Sanders 47

    http://www.oann.com/pollny/
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    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,800

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:



    Why, NP, have you gone from a rational sort of person to a lesser sort?

    What is your definition of rational?
    Oh, I dunno. Much like you used to be really - refreshingly straightforwards. Grounded.

    I try, though I feel a bit more free these days. I don't think I'm being especially hysterical or anything - just more left-wing and less willing to settle for quarter-measures than I used to be.

    New polls (54-46 Remain by phone, 50-50 online) and an interesting discussion here:

    http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blog/live/2016/apr/18/eu-referendum-osborne-treasury-brexit-will-cost-families-4300-a-year-politics-live

    By implication the figures for party allegiance have been heavily tweaked to allow for the sample and the turnout assumptions. I can't quite make out from the report whether the same tweaks were made for the Europe question, which is pretty crucial. If as the quotes suggest they've just taken a pro-Labour phone sample and applied it untweaked for the EU question, that's very silly and casts seriuos doubt on the phone outcome. But why would they do that? Can others make sense of it?
    Sure. Look, I'm going to be a little bit rude, and suggest that where you are now seems like some sort of love-in. Warm and cosy it may be, but practical it isn't.



  • Options
    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869

    Mr. Rottenborough, not all. Some of us are tutting at the BBC's chronic abuse of inverted commas, and admiring the quotes of Karl Popper.

    I don't have a TV and I'm rather curious to know whether the inverted commas translate into speech patterns/mannerisms.

    How do the verbal reports' headlines compare with the equivalent textual headlines, has anyone noticed?
  • Options
    taffys said:

    taffys said:

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    This poll seems to suggest tories can continue to tear each other to shreds, the public doesn;t really seem to mind that much. At least for now.

    As for labour....well....
    Last month's ICM poll was a real outlier, they said as much.

    This is more of a reversion to mean.
    True but the tory war has intensified markedly since then. It is still an interesting result.
    I'm waiting for the Ipsos Mori that might be out this week.

    I reckon that'll bring some good news for Labour, and Corbyn extending his lead over Cameron on the leadership ratings front.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,005
    Miss JGP, don't watch too much TV news, but I don't think the swathes of inverted commas affect BBC emphasis on the box.
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    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,800

    Omnium said:

    Wind the clock forwards 5 years - what does 2021 look like politically?

    I have no clue whatsoever. I don't think it's Corbyn, I don't think it's Boris.

    Prime Minister Matt Hancock is still basking in his landslide general election landslide victory in 2020.
    Refreshing originality!

    TSE, I presume you have no affection or inclination towards the Eagles?

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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    Miss JGP, don't watch too much TV news, but I don't think the swathes of inverted commas affect BBC emphasis on the box.

    @Morris_Dancer "disapproves" of overuse of inverted commas.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,005
    Mr. Meeks, and people who confuse speech marks for inverted commas :p
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    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    Wind the clock forwards 5 years - what does 2021 look like politically?

    I have no clue whatsoever. I don't think it's Corbyn, I don't think it's Boris.

    Prime Minister Matt Hancock is still basking in his landslide general election landslide victory in 2020.
    Refreshing originality!

    TSE, I presume you have no affection or inclination towards the Eagles?

    Crystal Palace? Nah, they broke my heart in 1990 in that Semi final.

    My Eagles moniker is from this

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/101st_Airborne_Division

    And this incident in particular

    https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Anthony_McAuliffe
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227

    Cyclefree said:

    Omnium said:



    Why, NP, have you gone from a rational sort of person to a lesser sort?

    What is your definition of rational?
    One of my favourite quotes is by Edmund Burke:-

    "Politics ought to be adjusted not to human reasonings but to human nature, of which reason is but a part and by no means the greatest part."

    We like to think of ourselves as rational but emotion plays a far greater part in our decision making than most of us are prepared to admit.

    Hence the Remain campaign.

    "No power so effectually robs the mind of all its powers of acting and reasoning as fear."

    If the tables were reversed every strategist in Leave.eu would running a Project Fear campaign. Indeed, they are attempting to, with fear of migration.
    I think both campaigns are based on fear to a large part. Fear, holding onto what we have, laziness, lack of courage, unwillingness to take risks are far far more prevalent than the opposite. Only when things have got really bad do people (and this is obviously a generalisation) try something new or different.
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    peter_from_putneypeter_from_putney Posts: 6,875
    edited April 2016

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    Can we expect a new thread from Mike Smithson any time soon proclaiming the excellent news for the Tories that ICM show them as having retaken a 5% lead over Labour - and how impressively this should be viewed, having regard to their not inconsiderable difficulties of late?

    No? ....... Thought not!
    This news does rather negate the thrust of this thread however. Chuckle.
  • Options
    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,800

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    Wind the clock forwards 5 years - what does 2021 look like politically?

    I have no clue whatsoever. I don't think it's Corbyn, I don't think it's Boris.

    Prime Minister Matt Hancock is still basking in his landslide general election landslide victory in 2020.
    Refreshing originality!

    TSE, I presume you have no affection or inclination towards the Eagles?

    Crystal Palace? Nah, they broke my heart in 1990 in that Semi final.

    My Eagles moniker is from this

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/101st_Airborne_Division

    And this incident in particular

    https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Anthony_McAuliffe
    Actually I was worried about your alliances to Angela and Maria. The sisters horrid.

  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    edited April 2016
    Cyclefree said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Omnium said:



    Why, NP, have you gone from a rational sort of person to a lesser sort?

    What is your definition of rational?
    One of my favourite quotes is by Edmund Burke:-

    "Politics ought to be adjusted not to human reasonings but to human nature, of which reason is but a part and by no means the greatest part."

    We like to think of ourselves as rational but emotion plays a far greater part in our decision making than most of us are prepared to admit.

    Hence the Remain campaign.

    "No power so effectually robs the mind of all its powers of acting and reasoning as fear."

    If the tables were reversed every strategist in Leave.eu would running a Project Fear campaign. Indeed, they are attempting to, with fear of migration.
    I think both campaigns are based on fear to a large part. Fear, holding onto what we have, laziness, lack of courage, unwillingness to take risks are far far more prevalent than the opposite. Only when things have got really bad do people (and this is obviously a generalisation) try something new or different.
    I'm more fascinated by the posters at the top of the thread.

    Given these are cross party campaigns, to have permitted the theme of "stinking Tory bastards" sort of leaves me wondering what on earth was going through the heads of the Conservatives on the panel.

    It's trashing their reputation and since it's confrontational simply means making up with the other side of Conservatism gets that bit more difficult.

    Not clever
  • Options
    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869

    Miss JGP, don't watch too much TV news, but I don't think the swathes of inverted commas affect BBC emphasis on the box.

    @Morris_Dancer "disapproves" of overuse of inverted commas.
    I can just hear you saying that!

    (I disapprove of exclamation marks, usually.)
  • Options
    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    Wind the clock forwards 5 years - what does 2021 look like politically?

    I have no clue whatsoever. I don't think it's Corbyn, I don't think it's Boris.

    Prime Minister Matt Hancock is still basking in his landslide general election landslide victory in 2020.
    Refreshing originality!

    TSE, I presume you have no affection or inclination towards the Eagles?

    Crystal Palace? Nah, they broke my heart in 1990 in that Semi final.

    My Eagles moniker is from this

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/101st_Airborne_Division

    And this incident in particular

    https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Anthony_McAuliffe
    Actually I was worried about your alliances to Angela and Maria. The sisters horrid.

    Please, I do have some standards, granted they are lower than everybody else's, but I do have some.
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited April 2016

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    Corbynism sweeping the nation....All the stuff on Cameron and Georgie Porgie's tax returns went well then. Imagine if they had handled it well!

    My twitter feed is going to be unbearable.
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    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,015
    AnneJGP said:

    Miss JGP, don't watch too much TV news, but I don't think the swathes of inverted commas affect BBC emphasis on the box.

    @Morris_Dancer "disapproves" of overuse of inverted commas.

    (I disapprove of exclamation marks, usually.)
    Where do you stand on interrobangs?!
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    SouthamObserverSouthamObserver Posts: 38,970
    taffys said:

    taffys said:

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    This poll seems to suggest tories can continue to tear each other to shreds, the public doesn;t really seem to mind that much. At least for now.

    As for labour....well....
    Last month's ICM poll was a real outlier, they said as much.

    This is more of a reversion to mean.
    True but the tory war has intensified markedly since then. It is still an interesting result.

    What it shows is the complete and utter uselessness of the Labour party. The Tories can literally do whatever they want and it will make no difference. Given the choice between a government whose own ministers do not believe it can be trusted on the economy and a Labour party run by Jeremy Corbyn, John McDonnell et al, the public chooses the Blues. That's how bad things are for labour. And it is bad for the country too, as the government's recent performance demonstrates.

  • Options

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    Corbynism sweeping the nation....All the stuff on Cameron and Georgie Porgie's tax returns went well then. Imagine if they had handled it well!

    My twitter feed is going to be unbearable.
    Tories polling a shade higher than the GE.

    Dave and George backing Remain really has cost the Tory Party. Ahem.
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,015

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    Corbynism sweeping the nation....All the stuff on Cameron and Georgie Porgie's tax returns went well then. Imagine if they had handled it well!

    My twitter feed is going to be unbearable.
    Curmudgeon alert

    There are twitter feeds there aren't unbearable?
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited April 2016
    AnneJGP said:

    Miss JGP, don't watch too much TV news, but I don't think the swathes of inverted commas affect BBC emphasis on the box.

    @Morris_Dancer "disapproves" of overuse of inverted commas.
    I can just hear you saying that!

    (I disapprove of exclamation marks, usually.)
    I believe the reason for the overuse of inverted is commas is because the BBC are told to put anything that is somebodies statement and / or not a statement that is 100% known to be a fact e.g 'Drone' hits BA plane: Police investigate Heathrow incident
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    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,144

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    Corbynism sweeping the nation....All the stuff on Cameron and Georgie Porgie's tax returns went well then. Imagine if they had handled it well!

    My twitter feed is going to be unbearable.
    Be all the grateful poor getting their national living wage for the first time....
  • Options
    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292
    edited April 2016
    kle4 said:

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    Corbynism sweeping the nation....All the stuff on Cameron and Georgie Porgie's tax returns went well then. Imagine if they had handled it well!

    My twitter feed is going to be unbearable.
    Curmudgeon alert

    There are twitter feeds there aren't unbearable?
    If you set yourself up within a "safe space" zone ;-)
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    Corbynism sweeping the nation....All the stuff on Cameron and Georgie Porgie's tax returns went well then. Imagine if they had handled it well!

    My twitter feed is going to be unbearable.
    Be all the grateful poor getting their national living wage for the first time....
    But according to the Guardian they all lost their free lunch breaks.
  • Options
    chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Sean_F said:

    ICM phone poll Con 38%, Lab 33%, UKIP 13%. Remain 54%, Leave 46%.

    ICM online poll Con 36%, Lab 31%, UKIP 16. Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

    So, people won't admit to being UKIP (and therefore Leave) over the phone?

    I am sure fairly sure that was the pattern last May.
  • Options
    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,800

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    Omnium said:

    Wind the clock forwards 5 years - what does 2021 look like politically?

    I have no clue whatsoever. I don't think it's Corbyn, I don't think it's Boris.

    Prime Minister Matt Hancock is still basking in his landslide general election landslide victory in 2020.
    Refreshing originality!

    TSE, I presume you have no affection or inclination towards the Eagles?

    Crystal Palace? Nah, they broke my heart in 1990 in that Semi final.

    My Eagles moniker is from this

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/101st_Airborne_Division

    And this incident in particular

    https://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/Anthony_McAuliffe
    Actually I was worried about your alliances to Angela and Maria. The sisters horrid.

    Please, I do have some standards, granted they are lower than everybody else's, but I do have some.
    I confess, it seemed an unlikely alliance.

  • Options
    If only it was 2016, and a whole 4 years until the next General Election to get this out of the way...

    meanwhile, I have my tweet needs met for the period to June something or other.


    alexmassie
    @alexmassie
    How dare the government have a view! How dare the government make the case for that view! Outrageous. Meanwhile, have a unicorn.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    Corbynism sweeping the nation....All the stuff on Cameron and Georgie Porgie's tax returns went well then. Imagine if they had handled it well!

    My twitter feed is going to be unbearable.
    Tories polling a shade higher than the GE.

    Dave and George backing Remain really has cost the Tory Party. Ahem.
    I'm surprised you say that, Cameron should be in the 40s given the quality of opposition.
  • Options

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    Corbynism sweeping the nation....All the stuff on Cameron and Georgie Porgie's tax returns went well then. Imagine if they had handled it well!

    My twitter feed is going to be unbearable.
    Tories polling a shade higher than the GE.

    Dave and George backing Remain really has cost the Tory Party. Ahem.
    I'm surprised you say that, Cameron should be in the 40s given the quality of opposition.
    They are making sure they don't have mahoosive leads that might make Labour topple Corbyn.

    George Osborne is a top political strategist, he knows what he's doing.

    And on that bombshell, I shall depart for the evening.
  • Options
    MarqueeMarkMarqueeMark Posts: 50,144

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    Corbynism sweeping the nation....All the stuff on Cameron and Georgie Porgie's tax returns went well then. Imagine if they had handled it well!

    My twitter feed is going to be unbearable.
    Be all the grateful poor getting their national living wage for the first time....
    But according to the Guardian they all lost their free lunch breaks.
    Yeah.....

    They really don't so politics, do they, The Guardian?
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    Stark_DawningStark_Dawning Posts: 9,323

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    Corbynism sweeping the nation....All the stuff on Cameron and Georgie Porgie's tax returns went well then. Imagine if they had handled it well!

    My twitter feed is going to be unbearable.
    Tories polling a shade higher than the GE.

    Dave and George backing Remain really has cost the Tory Party. Ahem.
    As I thought, the idea has gained currency that Dave was above board in his financial affairs but was the victim of a spiteful and hypocritical witch hunt. Leave will be well advised to turn their fire from Dave. Simply put: people always like him more than they do his enemies.
  • Options

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    Corbynism sweeping the nation....All the stuff on Cameron and Georgie Porgie's tax returns went well then. Imagine if they had handled it well!

    My twitter feed is going to be unbearable.
    Be all the grateful poor getting their national living wage for the first time....
    But according to the Guardian they all lost their free lunch breaks.
    Yeah.....

    They really don't so politics, do they, The Guardian?
    I refer you to my avatar to debunk such an insult... this is the paper of St. Toynbee.
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    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869
    kle4 said:

    AnneJGP said:

    Miss JGP, don't watch too much TV news, but I don't think the swathes of inverted commas affect BBC emphasis on the box.

    @Morris_Dancer "disapproves" of overuse of inverted commas.

    (I disapprove of exclamation marks, usually.)
    Where do you stand on interrobangs?!
    In the dark, until you posted the word. Thanks for informing me.

    In fact, these things are helpful in conveying the intended feeling behind text, rather like emoticons.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,005
    Mr. Urquhart, hmm. Cheers for that.
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    FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 76,292

    Mr. Urquhart, hmm. Cheers for that.

    Yes that was my reaction, but that is the guidance they get. So in addition to using it to quote individuals / reports, a lot of daily news is without 100% certainty, it results in a crazy out of inverted commas.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,005
    On interrobangs: forget if it were a beta-reader or editor but when I used one somewhere I got asked to choose either an exclamation or a question mark.
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    MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    Test:
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    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,800
    MD, or others -

    I've recently returned from Rome, and I'd like to find a really detailed reconstruction of the Palatine hill. My Oxford archeological guidebook to the city has rather whetted my appetite.

    Does anyone know of a detailed and well researched such resource?

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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,005
    Mr. Omnium, hmm. Offhand, no (that sort of thing isn't quite my area). I shall have a quick perusal.

    [Incidentally, if you're after day-to-day stuff then there's one I've been meaning to get for ages called Ancient Rome on X Denarii a Day, or suchlike].
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,005
    Mr. Omnium, this DVD comes out in 10 days:
    http://www.amazon.co.uk/Rome-Reconstructed-Maria-Antonietta-Lozzi/dp/1861188358/

    [Also, the other book is Five Denarii a Day. Don't own it myself, but it's by Philip Matyszak and I have a few of his books, and rather like them].
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Deary me.

    I though John Redwood was a racing cert for Looniest comment of the day, but no, here comes IDS up the rail...

    @TelePolitics: Iain Duncan Smith: David Cameron begged Barack Obama to help him 'bully the British people'… https://t.co/7xLekW4Mle https://t.co/uRHg9x07Jw
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,953
    taffys said:

    ICM Phone poll (changes in bracket)


    Con 38 (+2)

    Lab 33 (-3)

    LD 7 (-1)

    UKIP 13 (+2)

    Greens 3 (nc)

    This poll seems to suggest tories can continue to tear each other to shreds, the public doesn;t really seem to mind that much. At least for now.

    As for labour....well....
    Most polls suggest that the Conservatives' standing has been badly damaged over the past six weeks, but Labour are still stuck in the low thirties.
  • Options
    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,800

    Mr. Omnium, hmm. Offhand, no (that sort of thing isn't quite my area). I shall have a quick perusal.

    [Incidentally, if you're after day-to-day stuff then there's one I've been meaning to get for ages called Ancient Rome on X Denarii a Day, or suchlike].

    Don't worry MD if there's nothing that you know which immediately leaps out. x=5 by the way. On my list too.

    There's a really nice reconstruction of the area in the Palatine museum - it has to be based on something.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    From Mike's article:

    I’m sure that Cameron and his team regard the next eight weeks of party in-fighting is a small price to pay to resolving an issue that has so divided the party since the summer of 1992.

    Precisely so. If Cameron can put this issue to bed (admittedly this might be a big 'if'), it will be a major, major political achievement, both in terms of party politics and the wider political picture. Furthermore, the current battles, and the current economic uncertainty leading up to the referendum, are a price which had to be paid at some time.

    It will only work if Remain wins by a wide margin. Otherwise, once the Leavers have had a taste of "leaving", this would continue as a perpetual sore.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Scott_P said:

    Deary me.

    I though John Redwood was a racing cert for Looniest comment of the day, but no, here comes IDS up the rail...

    @TelePolitics: Iain Duncan Smith: David Cameron begged Barack Obama to help him 'bully the British people'… https://t.co/7xLekW4Mle https://t.co/uRHg9x07Jw

    NEWS ALERT: These people belong to the same party.
  • Options
    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,005
    Mr. Omnium, might be based on academic writings from archaeologists which may be tricky to get hold of.

    Anyway, I must be off.
  • Options
    watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    Scott_P said:

    Deary me.

    I though John Redwood was a racing cert for Looniest comment of the day, but no, here comes IDS up the rail...

    @TelePolitics: Iain Duncan Smith: David Cameron begged Barack Obama to help him 'bully the British people'… https://t.co/7xLekW4Mle https://t.co/uRHg9x07Jw

    Did Dave chase Barry through a hotel kitchen, and did the President purr when he was asked?
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    surbiton said:

    NEWS ALERT: These people belong to the same party.

    That's true. They both belong to the party that lost 3 times in a row while they were in the ascendency
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    watford30 said:

    Did Dave chase Barry through a hotel kitchen

    Oh, come on, nobody is that desperate.
  • Options
    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,602
    Scott_P said:

    surbiton said:

    NEWS ALERT: These people belong to the same party.

    That's true. They both belong to the party that lost 3 times in a row while they were in the ascendency
    Are you a member of the Conservative Party?
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,015
    Scott_P said:

    Deary me.

    I though John Redwood was a racing cert for Looniest comment of the day, but no, here comes IDS up the rail...

    @TelePolitics: Iain Duncan Smith: David Cameron begged Barack Obama to help him 'bully the British people'… https://t.co/7xLekW4Mle https://t.co/uRHg9x07Jw

    That civil Tory Civil War is going well then. IDS has already implicitly called Cameron a liar, now a coward, the remainers have called leavers delusional. And it's so early too.
  • Options
    surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    Sean_F said:

    ICM phone poll Con 38%, Lab 33%, UKIP 13%. Remain 54%, Leave 46%.

    ICM online poll Con 36%, Lab 31%, UKIP 16. Remain 50%, Leave 50%.

    It's a puzzle- if it was the other way round the old "oldies aren't on the Internet- hence the lower LEAVE vote". (And conversely pro REMAIN youngsters are) could be trotted out.....but it's the wrong way round for that....
    Yes, it has been for sometime. Very puzzling indeed.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    Are you a member of the Conservative Party?

    No
  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,015
    edited April 2016
    surbiton said:

    From Mike's article:

    I’m sure that Cameron and his team regard the next eight weeks of party in-fighting is a small price to pay to resolving an issue that has so divided the party since the summer of 1992.

    Precisely so. If Cameron can put this issue to bed (admittedly this might be a big 'if'), it will be a major, major political achievement, both in terms of party politics and the wider political picture. Furthermore, the current battles, and the current economic uncertainty leading up to the referendum, are a price which had to be paid at some time.

    It will only work if Remain wins by a wide margin. Otherwise, once the Leavers have had a taste of "leaving", this would continue as a perpetual sore.
    Yes. It has been long trailed that some leavers will argue the result was unfair due to the PM leading it, and that number has increased markedly due to recent behaviour. Unless Remain win massively, many will conclude they could win next time, so best keep up the same intensity on the issue, not letting it lie. If the margin is huge obviously they'll be disappointed, but it will be harder to argue unfair tactics swung things decisively.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Kevin_Maguire: Undeniably bad for Corbyn & Labour after Budget shambles, cuts rows, IDS & ongoing Tory civil war on Europe https://t.co/c5TCBgrx4X
  • Options
    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Deary me.

    I though John Redwood was a racing cert for Looniest comment of the day, but no, here comes IDS up the rail...

    @TelePolitics: Iain Duncan Smith: David Cameron begged Barack Obama to help him 'bully the British people'… https://t.co/7xLekW4Mle https://t.co/uRHg9x07Jw

    That civil Tory Civil War is going well then. IDS has already implicitly called Cameron a liar, now a coward, the remainers have called leavers delusional. And it's so early too.
    As usual on such occasions, one should not exclude the possibility that all of them are correct.
  • Options
    Hertsmere_PubgoerHertsmere_Pubgoer Posts: 3,476
    edited April 2016

    This video changes everything: voteleave.co.uk - surpassing the Ukippers, imo

    One for TSE I reckon - Never Gonna Give EU Up
    The piece I was planning to run yesterday was headlined 'Never Gonna Give EU Up - Why it might be in the best interests of the Tory Party for Remain to win'
    Or bring out a compilation album: EU's Better EU's Best
  • Options
    watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Deary me.

    I though John Redwood was a racing cert for Looniest comment of the day, but no, here comes IDS up the rail...

    @TelePolitics: Iain Duncan Smith: David Cameron begged Barack Obama to help him 'bully the British people'… https://t.co/7xLekW4Mle https://t.co/uRHg9x07Jw

    That civil Tory Civil War is going well then. IDS has already implicitly called Cameron a liar, now a coward, the remainers have called leavers delusional. And it's so early too.
    Luckily for them, The Bearded Tit remains firmly ensconced as leader of the Labour Party.
  • Options
    TheWhiteRabbitTheWhiteRabbit Posts: 12,388
    More sensible stuff from Wes Streeting today.

    Shame it's so dangerous in the PLP.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    edited April 2016
    watford30 said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Deary me.

    I though John Redwood was a racing cert for Looniest comment of the day, but no, here comes IDS up the rail...

    @TelePolitics: Iain Duncan Smith: David Cameron begged Barack Obama to help him 'bully the British people'… https://t.co/7xLekW4Mle https://t.co/uRHg9x07Jw

    That civil Tory Civil War is going well then. IDS has already implicitly called Cameron a liar, now a coward, the remainers have called leavers delusional. And it's so early too.
    Luckily for them, The Bearded Tit remains firmly ensconced as leader of the Labour Party.
    And the blue tit leads the Conservatives and the great tit UKIP.
  • Options
    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,953

    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Deary me.

    I though John Redwood was a racing cert for Looniest comment of the day, but no, here comes IDS up the rail...

    @TelePolitics: Iain Duncan Smith: David Cameron begged Barack Obama to help him 'bully the British people'… https://t.co/7xLekW4Mle https://t.co/uRHg9x07Jw

    That civil Tory Civil War is going well then. IDS has already implicitly called Cameron a liar, now a coward, the remainers have called leavers delusional. And it's so early too.
    As usual on such occasions, one should not exclude the possibility that all of them are correct.
    Like Vitellius and Otho. "Each accused the other of shameful vices, and both were correct."
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    surbiton said:

    From Mike's article:

    I’m sure that Cameron and his team regard the next eight weeks of party in-fighting is a small price to pay to resolving an issue that has so divided the party since the summer of 1992.

    Precisely so. If Cameron can put this issue to bed (admittedly this might be a big 'if'), it will be a major, major political achievement, both in terms of party politics and the wider political picture. Furthermore, the current battles, and the current economic uncertainty leading up to the referendum, are a price which had to be paid at some time.

    It will only work if Remain wins by a wide margin. Otherwise, once the Leavers have had a taste of "leaving", this would continue as a perpetual sore.
    A win is a win. The PM campaigning is not unfair tactics. A PM who did not express a view on a significant issue would be pisspoor, frankly. Look at how some of us criticise Corbyn for not engaging with the issues of the day.

    I may disagree with Cameron on the results of his negotiation and his approach to the EU. I may not ultimately agree with his recommendation But his view - that all things considered, on balance it is better for Britain to remain in the EU - is a legitimate, respectable and honourable point of view. As is the view - expressed most eloquently by Michael Gove - that all things considered, on balance, it is better for Britain to leave at this stage.

    And those who lose need to accept the result not endlessly moan about how it was not legitimate. That's as irritating as those in Labour who claim that the Tories did not really win the last election because [insert spurious figures/arguments here]. And of course the losers are entitled to hold their opinions and argue for them but they need to do so in a way which does not suggest that they think the voters got it wrong. That is to do the very thing that the EU-wallahs get accused of.

    The interesting thing for me is if, say, Remain win by a very narrow margin, whether other EU states and the EU establishment will realise that they may have to tread softly given such a big F*** Off vote or whether they will ignore the size of the Leave vote. And, equally, would they rush to offer more if if were a narrow Leave vote.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    watford30 said:

    Luckily for them, The Bearded Tit remains firmly ensconced as leader of the Labour Party.

    And his gift for PR mismanagement is undiminished

    @SamCoatesTimes: No update / decision / clarity on whether Corbyn seeing Obama, Labour says. Still not clear what "logistical" obstacle might be
  • Options
    malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 42,067

    Scott_P said:

    @BBC_Joe_Lynam: Ian Botham on Brexit: "England is an island and we should be proud"
    That'll go down well in Scotland, Wales and NI
    #bbcdp
    @Cat_Headley: It would be wrong to say that this sums up all #Brexitters,but it certainly sums up a certain type of Brexitter... https://t.co/Djd7padrti

    who the F is Cat Headley ? Your mum ?
    Leftie mate of Corbyn's. A respected source for any hard left person.
    Never heard of her tbh. Googling, I see she's a prospective candidate for the Scottish Parliament.

    That said, her comment seems reasonably nuanced and fair enough.
    Nothing Scottish Labour come out with is nuanced or fair.
  • Options
    MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    http://order-order.com/2016/04/18/tory-mps-on-osborne-utter-crap-laughably-spurious-childish-and-ridiculous/

    Osborne is having the proverbial shit kicked out of him this evening.
    And who is doing the kicking? Why, mostly other Tories and conservatives (with a small c).

    Even George himself, while declaiming his absurd analysis of the far off economic future, knew - by his facial expressions - that he was talking out of the top of his head.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    The Out camp has failed to come down clearly on what post-Brexit trading arrangement it favours. It claims, with straight face, that Britain could maintain access to the single market without meeting the obligations this entails as regards free movement of people. This disdain for political reality bears more than a passing resemblance to the Know Nothing rhetoric of Donald Trump.

    This June’s referendum is the most important political decision that the British people will take for a generation. All sides must engage in arguments of substance. The Treasury’s report is a useful counterpoint in a debate that is becoming increasingly politically charged, especially within a divided Conservative party. If the Brexiteers cannot respond by addressing the issues it raises head on, they do not deserve to be taken seriously.
    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/45b86bb6-0552-11e6-9b51-0fb5e65703ce.html#ixzz46Ce147CB
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,160
    Unless the polls are wrong and Remain win a landslide or Leave win the result will be a narrow Remain which will resolve nothing, as indyref showed, other than provide a boost to UKIP from Leavers saying 'we wuz robbed!'
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    MikeK said:

    Osborne is having the proverbial shit kicked out of him this evening.

    Except he is Chancellor. and they are not.

    And if Remain wins, he might be PM, and they, will not.
  • Options
    DavidLDavidL Posts: 51,374
    Cyclefree said:

    Off topic - my firm (led by ardent Remainers) have invited me along to an event on 14th June at Westminster Abbey where the guest speaker is Peter Mandelson, who will be "sharing his thoughts" on the Europe debate.

    They have booked a table, invited me as along it's a "fantastic networking event" but don't know I'm a Leaver.

    I really don't think it's a good idea for me to go, especially barely 10 days before the vote. The subject is bound to come up around the table. I'm not sure I could keep my mouth shut.

    What do pb'ers think? How would I politely turn it down without giving my views away?

    I would go because I think such occasions can be interesting, it is always useful to hear what those who are on the opposite side of you in an argument have to say and you can learn an awful lot by listening and asking a few questions rather than speaking.

    But if you really don't want to go, an alternative social / family engagement is the way to decline politely.

    I agree. One of the best political meetings I have ever been to was when Jimmy Reid was standing in Dundee as a candidate. I agreed with almost nothing he said but boy, did he say it well.

    Mandelson has many flaws but is, in my opinion, the unsung hero of the crash. Brown was completely paralysed by it and seriously needed someone competent to run his government for him. He is an interesting guy and I would not miss the opportunity to hear him speak.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,160
    JackW said:

    National - NBC/WSJ

    Clinton 50 .. Sanders 48

    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/nbc-wsj-poll-clinton-s-national-lead-down-two-points-n557671?cid=sm_tw

    ....................................................

    New York - Gravis Marketing/ANN

    Trump 57 .. Kasich 22 .. Cruz 20

    Clinton 53 .. Sanders 47

    http://www.oann.com/pollny/

    Emerson New York

    Trump 55 Kasich 21 Cruz 18

    Clinton 55 Sanders 40
    http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_9be49212aa1f45efb06ed31243e26ad1.pdf
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    Scott_P said:

    watford30 said:

    Luckily for them, The Bearded Tit remains firmly ensconced as leader of the Labour Party.

    And his gift for PR mismanagement is undiminished

    @SamCoatesTimes: No update / decision / clarity on whether Corbyn seeing Obama, Labour says. Still not clear what "logistical" obstacle might be
    Is it possible that Obama might not want to meet him (given Corbyn's remarks on Bin Laden)? After all he will stop being President long before the next election so why would he care to meet an Opposition leader and one who has been so consistently and vociferously anti-American?

  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    Scott_P said:

    MikeK said:

    Osborne is having the proverbial shit kicked out of him this evening.

    Except he is Chancellor. and they are not.

    And if Remain wins, he might be PM, and they, will not.
    CHORTLE

    Osborne has destroyed any chance he had of becoming PM. Divided parties cant have divisive leaders.
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,160
    JackW said:

    Utah - Dan Jones Associates/Utah Policy

    Clinton 38 .. Trump 38
    Clinton 26 .. Cruz 67
    Clinton 23 .. Kasich 68

    Sanders 49 .. Trump 35
    Sanders 32 .. Cruz 63
    Sanders 30 .. Kasich 64

    http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/9193-

    Utah really does not like Trump, he could be the first Republican to lose the state since Goldwater!
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    DavidL said:

    I agree. One of the best political meetings I have ever been to was when Jimmy Reid was standing in Dundee as a candidate. I agreed with almost nothing he said but boy, did he say it well.

    I saw Michael Forsyth at a hustings before he got kicked out. He was asked a question to which he answered no, but you could have sworn he answered yes. It was masterful, although his career was already over, he just didn't know it.
  • Options
    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    edited April 2016
    Scott_P said:

    The Out camp has failed to come down clearly on what post-Brexit trading arrangement it favours. It claims, with straight face, that Britain could maintain access to the single market without meeting the obligations this entails as regards free movement of people. This disdain for political reality bears more than a passing resemblance to the Know Nothing rhetoric of Donald Trump.

    This June’s referendum is the most important political decision that the British people will take for a generation. All sides must engage in arguments of substance. The Treasury’s report is a useful counterpoint in a debate that is becoming increasingly politically charged, especially within a divided Conservative party. If the Brexiteers cannot respond by addressing the issues it raises head on, they do not deserve to be taken seriously.
    http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/45b86bb6-0552-11e6-9b51-0fb5e65703ce.html#ixzz46Ce147CB


    oh dear FT again, why not post the Sun ?

    It has pithier analysis, lots more readers and we all get just one vote
  • Options
    OmniumOmnium Posts: 9,800
    DavidL said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Off topic - my firm (led by ardent Remainers) have invited me along to an event on 14th June at Westminster Abbey where the guest speaker is Peter Mandelson, who will be "sharing his thoughts" on the Europe debate.

    They have booked a table, invited me as along it's a "fantastic networking event" but don't know I'm a Leaver.

    I really don't think it's a good idea for me to go, especially barely 10 days before the vote. The subject is bound to come up around the table. I'm not sure I could keep my mouth shut.

    What do pb'ers think? How would I politely turn it down without giving my views away?

    I would go because I think such occasions can be interesting, it is always useful to hear what those who are on the opposite side of you in an argument have to say and you can learn an awful lot by listening and asking a few questions rather than speaking.

    But if you really don't want to go, an alternative social / family engagement is the way to decline politely.

    I agree. One of the best political meetings I have ever been to was when Jimmy Reid was standing in Dundee as a candidate. I agreed with almost nothing he said but boy, did he say it well.

    Mandelson has many flaws but is, in my opinion, the unsung hero of the crash. Brown was completely paralysed by it and seriously needed someone competent to run his government for him. He is an interesting guy and I would not miss the opportunity to hear him speak.
    We'll never know though because Darling won't tell. I know with 100% certainty that Darling's version isn't right, but I don't know what the truth is.

  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Scott_P said:

    watford30 said:

    Luckily for them, The Bearded Tit remains firmly ensconced as leader of the Labour Party.

    And his gift for PR mismanagement is undiminished

    @SamCoatesTimes: No update / decision / clarity on whether Corbyn seeing Obama, Labour says. Still not clear what "logistical" obstacle might be
    I think the "logistical" obstacle is that Jezza is a shambolic clusterf*ck and embarrassment to US/UK relations. Apart from that I'm sure a meeting with President Obama will be very meaningful.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Omnium said:

    We'll never know though because Darling won't tell. I know with 100% certainty that Darling's version isn't right, but I don't know what the truth is.

    Presumably the cabinet papers will be released eventually
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    JackW said:

    I think the "logistical" obstacle is that Jezza is a shambolic clusterf*ck and embarrassment to US/UK relations. Apart from that I'm sure a meeting with President Obama will be very meaningful.

    Where did that Like button go...
  • Options
    watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    Scott_P said:

    MikeK said:

    Osborne is having the proverbial shit kicked out of him this evening.

    Except he is Chancellor. and they are not.

    And if Remain wins, he might be PM, and they, will not.
    You think the party membership will vote for Osborne now? Dream on.
  • Options
    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    HYUFD said:

    JackW said:

    Utah - Dan Jones Associates/Utah Policy

    Clinton 38 .. Trump 38
    Clinton 26 .. Cruz 67
    Clinton 23 .. Kasich 68

    Sanders 49 .. Trump 35
    Sanders 32 .. Cruz 63
    Sanders 30 .. Kasich 64

    http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/9193-

    Utah really does not like Trump, he could be the first Republican to lose the state since Goldwater!
    indeed so. The Romney effect in play.

    That said I'd still expect a comfortable Trump win in Utah in November albeit not by the landslide proportions normally expected of GOP candidates.
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,995
    JackW said:

    HYUFD said:

    JackW said:

    Utah - Dan Jones Associates/Utah Policy

    Clinton 38 .. Trump 38
    Clinton 26 .. Cruz 67
    Clinton 23 .. Kasich 68

    Sanders 49 .. Trump 35
    Sanders 32 .. Cruz 63
    Sanders 30 .. Kasich 64

    http://utahpolicy.com/index.php/features/today-at-utah-policy/9193-

    Utah really does not like Trump, he could be the first Republican to lose the state since Goldwater!
    indeed so. The Romney effect in play.

    That said I'd still expect a comfortable Trump win in Utah in November albeit not by the landslide proportions normally expected of GOP candidates.
    Do you think the GOP will kiss and make up after Cleveland ?

    Will Hillary/SCOTUS focus minds ?
  • Options
    AnneJGPAnneJGP Posts: 2,869
    JackW said:

    watford30 said:

    kle4 said:

    Scott_P said:

    Deary me.

    I though John Redwood was a racing cert for Looniest comment of the day, but no, here comes IDS up the rail...

    @TelePolitics: Iain Duncan Smith: David Cameron begged Barack Obama to help him 'bully the British people'… https://t.co/7xLekW4Mle https://t.co/uRHg9x07Jw

    That civil Tory Civil War is going well then. IDS has already implicitly called Cameron a liar, now a coward, the remainers have called leavers delusional. And it's so early too.
    Luckily for them, The Bearded Tit remains firmly ensconced as leader of the Labour Party.
    And the blue tit leads the Conservatives and the great tit UKIP.
    I imagine that, if only all sides fling roughly the same amount of mud around, they will be able to settle down amicably together easily enough once the mudfest is over.
  • Options
    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    watford30 said:

    You think the party membership will vote for Osborne now? Dream on.

    I think if he is one of 2 candidates, and the other is a Loser, sorry, I meant Leaver, then if Remain wins, yes
  • Options
    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,160
    Cyclefree said:

    Scott_P said:

    watford30 said:

    Luckily for them, The Bearded Tit remains firmly ensconced as leader of the Labour Party.

    And his gift for PR mismanagement is undiminished

    @SamCoatesTimes: No update / decision / clarity on whether Corbyn seeing Obama, Labour says. Still not clear what "logistical" obstacle might be
    Is it possible that Obama might not want to meet him (given Corbyn's remarks on Bin Laden)? After all he will stop being President long before the next election so why would he care to meet an Opposition leader and one who has been so consistently and vociferously anti-American?

    I can understand, just about, Corbyn refusing to meet George W Bush (even if he is the most powerful man on the planet) but Obama? Most Labour members are still fans of BHO and this just not only makes him look petty and unprepared for the top table but will likely annoy some of his supporters too!
  • Options
    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,227
    Omnium said:

    DavidL said:

    Cyclefree said:

    Off topic - my firm (led by ardent Remainers) have invited me along to an event on 14th June at Westminster Abbey where the guest speaker is Peter Mandelson, who will be "sharing his thoughts" on the Europe debate.

    They have booked a table, invited me as along it's a "fantastic networking event" but don't know I'm a Leaver.

    I really don't think it's a good idea for me to go, especially barely 10 days before the vote. The subject is bound to come up around the table. I'm not sure I could keep my mouth shut.

    What do pb'ers think? How would I politely turn it down without giving my views away?

    I would go because I think such occasions can be interesting, it is always useful to hear what those who are on the opposite side of you in an argument have to say and you can learn an awful lot by listening and asking a few questions rather than speaking.

    But if you really don't want to go, an alternative social / family engagement is the way to decline politely.

    I agree. One of the best political meetings I have ever been to was when Jimmy Reid was standing in Dundee as a candidate. I agreed with almost nothing he said but boy, did he say it well.

    Mandelson has many flaws but is, in my opinion, the unsung hero of the crash. Brown was completely paralysed by it and seriously needed someone competent to run his government for him. He is an interesting guy and I would not miss the opportunity to hear him speak.
    We'll never know though because Darling won't tell. I know with 100% certainty that Darling's version isn't right, but I don't know what the truth is.

    Some of the reasons for the crash of RBS were laid some 18 months or so earlier. And the authorities were told in pretty explicit terms but did nothing. The report on RBS which was published a few years ago did not reveal the whole story. One day it may come out.

    But we do know the essence of it: the authorities were given plenty of warnings and had they really acted on them it is possible that the crash might have been less severe and possibly averted, at least in the form it took (a correction was needed). But there are none so deaf as those that don't want to hear, those at the top failed to see the wood for the trees, there was a fair amount of paralysis before frenzied last minute action and, lo and behold, Cyclefree's Ten Stages of a Crisis were acted out in all their car-crashing glory.

  • Options
    kle4kle4 Posts: 92,015
    Scott_P said:

    watford30 said:

    You think the party membership will vote for Osborne now? Dream on.

    I think if he is one of 2 candidates, and the other is a Loser, sorry, I meant Leaver, then if Remain wins, yes
    I don't see him getting in the final two. Once he would have had the necessary support, but I'm not sure he could count on it anymore.
This discussion has been closed.