politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The woman Farage sacked is 6/4 favourite to succeed him as UKIP leader
A big political story before the Easter weekend was the suspension for six months of leading UKIP figure, Suzanne Evans, who for a few days last May was acting leader of the party.
"UKIP's Diane James and Chris Wood discussed the suspension of their former deputy chairman of the party, Suzanne Evans, who has lost a High Court bid to overturn the decision.
Diane James, an MEP claimed it was a case of revenge by the former candidate for the London Assembly, saying: "Hell hath no fury like a woman scorned.""
RCS, in your opinion, why do you think Tata are losing £1M a day at Port Talbot?
Tata are not really losing 1m a day. The accounting 'loss' will be 1m, but a large chunk of that will be depreciation and amortization. I very much doubt cash outflows at PT exceed more than 50-70m a year - simply because the wage bill at PT isn't going to be more than 500k-1m a week, and if they have negative gross margin (i.e. they sell things for less than cost, even with labour excluded), then the plant would be (or certainly should be) silent.
Why do we bother playing both Moeen Ali and Adil Rashid btw ? I'll ask this before the inevitable "two overs each" Why not just Moeen ? His bowling goes for no more than Rashid and he is the better batsman.
Ah the canonisation of Suzanne Evans... if only you knew
What do you mean by that, or is it just stupid nudge-nudge, wink-wink ?
Why the constant hostility? It is so tiring. Every time you respond its "stupid" "rubbish" etc etc
I could say the same but why would I bother?
Not agreeing is allowed
I have canvassed with Suzanne for an afternoon and spoke to her about various things.. Personally I agreed with the gist of some of what she said, but if PBers that hate Farage/love Evans heard it, I doubt they would be so fulsome in their praise, and if they heard me or Farage say it, they'd be calling for the tar and feathers
Warring Brexit groups have held a secret peace meeting chaired by a cabinet minister after months of bitter infighting, The Sun can reveal.
A very public civil war between the various Eurosceptic factions has blighted the “Out” campaign so far, but insiders say Monday’s talks headed up by Chris Grayling were “incredibly productive”.
Representatives from the Leave.EU group and Grassroots Out met at the Westminster HQ of Vote Leave to try settle their differences ahead of the election watchdog picking one of them to be the official face of “Leave”.
I see on the usual suspects are explaining how the economy shrinking by c.3% will be fine. I hope you starve.
No people are explaining how a worst-case potential 2% change over a decade is a rounding error compared to our general forecasting or a recession. Which it is.
That's less than an average 0.2% a year. Growth rates vary by more than that from Autumn Statement to the following Budget every year.
Warring Brexit groups have held a secret peace meeting chaired by a cabinet minister after months of bitter infighting, The Sun can reveal.
A very public civil war between the various Eurosceptic factions has blighted the “Out” campaign so far, but insiders say Monday’s talks headed up by Chris Grayling were “incredibly productive”.
Representatives from the Leave.EU group and Grassroots Out met at the Westminster HQ of Vote Leave to try settle their differences ahead of the election watchdog picking one of them to be the official face of “Leave”.
The sooner Farage is gone the better. UKIP, to have a future, need to be a party, not a Cult of Nigel.
How dare you speak that way of the Nations most popular leader according to the gold standard ratings
Anyway, bettingwise, if you think it is a cult of Nigel, look for one of his acolytes as next leader I would say, rather than the two at the top of the betting who hate him
Warring Brexit groups have held a secret peace meeting chaired by a cabinet minister after months of bitter infighting, The Sun can reveal.
A very public civil war between the various Eurosceptic factions has blighted the “Out” campaign so far, but insiders say Monday’s talks headed up by Chris Grayling were “incredibly productive”.
Representatives from the Leave.EU group and Grassroots Out met at the Westminster HQ of Vote Leave to try settle their differences ahead of the election watchdog picking one of them to be the official face of “Leave”.
Warring Brexit groups have held a secret peace meeting chaired by a cabinet minister after months of bitter infighting, The Sun can reveal.
A very public civil war between the various Eurosceptic factions has blighted the “Out” campaign so far, but insiders say Monday’s talks headed up by Chris Grayling were “incredibly productive”.
Representatives from the Leave.EU group and Grassroots Out met at the Westminster HQ of Vote Leave to try settle their differences ahead of the election watchdog picking one of them to be the official face of “Leave”.
Ah the canonisation of Suzanne Evans... if only you knew
What do you mean by that, or is it just stupid nudge-nudge, wink-wink ?
Why the constant hostility? It is so tiring. Every time you respond its "stupid" "rubbish" etc etc
I could say the same but why would I bother?
Not agreeing is allowed
I have canvassed with Suzanne for an afternoon and spoke to her about various things.. Personally I agreed with the gist of some of what she said, but if PBers that hate Farage/love Evans heard it, I doubt they would be so fulsome in their praise, and if they heard me or Farage say it, they'd be calling for the tar and feathers
No constant hostility here. If you think back over our interactions it's often been quite the opposite. Heck, a few weeks ago I was complimenting and referring people to your blog.
But you should have written your last paragraph, rather than the all-knowing nudge-nudge comment you made.
As for Evans, you seem to have a rather negative view of her for some time. It might help people decide on the likelihood of her succeeding Farage if you expanded on what you know and believe to be the case.
Ah the canonisation of Suzanne Evans... if only you knew
What do you mean by that, or is it just stupid nudge-nudge, wink-wink ?
Why the constant hostility? It is so tiring. Every time you respond its "stupid" "rubbish" etc etc
I could say the same but why would I bother?
Not agreeing is allowed
I have canvassed with Suzanne for an afternoon and spoke to her about various things.. Personally I agreed with the gist of some of what she said, but if PBers that hate Farage/love Evans heard it, I doubt they would be so fulsome in their praise, and if they heard me or Farage say it, they'd be calling for the tar and feathers
No constant hostility here. If you think back over our interactions it's often been quite the opposite. Heck, a few weeks ago I was complimenting and referring people to your blog.
But you should have written your last paragraph, rather than the all-knowing nudge-nudge comment you made.
As for Evans, you seem to have a rather negative view of her for some time. It might help people decide on the likelihood of her succeeding Farage if you expanded on what you know and believe to be the case.
I don't know any secrets of UKIP, I got into it for a bit, now I cant be bothered.
I don't mean to be negative about Suzanne Evans as she was perfectly nice company when I met her... but I cant think of any reason why she should be even considered as a replacement for Farage, should he need to be replaced (he is the leader with the best ratings from "gold standard" remember), and also, seeing as Farage holds such sway amongst UKIP top brass that he managed to "unresign" I shouldn't think his enemies in the party are that well placed to succeeed him
Evans is a bit of a middle of the road Tory with the hump really I think, maybe even a slight Blairite on some things. I can see why she is popular with non kippers!
Ah the canonisation of Suzanne Evans... if only you knew
What do you mean by that, or is it just stupid nudge-nudge, wink-wink ?
Why the constant hostility? It is so tiring. Every time you respond its "stupid" "rubbish" etc etc
I could say the same but why would I bother?
Not agreeing is allowed
I have canvassed with Suzanne for an afternoon and spoke to her about various things.. Personally I agreed with the gist of some of what she said, but if PBers that hate Farage/love Evans heard it, I doubt they would be so fulsome in their praise, and if they heard me or Farage say it, they'd be calling for the tar and feathers
No constant hostility here. If you think back over our interactions it's often been quite the opposite. Heck, a few weeks ago I was complimenting and referring people to your blog.
But you should have written your last paragraph, rather than the all-knowing nudge-nudge comment you made.
As for Evans, you seem to have a rather negative view of her for some time. It might help people decide on the likelihood of her succeeding Farage if you expanded on what you know and believe to be the case.
I don't know any secrets of UKIP, I got into it for a bit, now I cant be bothered.
I don't mean to be negative about Suzanne Evans as she was perfectly nice company when I met her... but I cant think of any reason why she should be even considered as a replacement for Farage, should he need to be replaced (he is the leader with the best ratings from "gold standard" remember), and also, seeing as Farage holds such sway amongst UKIP top brass that he managed to "unresign" I shouldn't think his enemies in the party are that well placed to succeeed him
Evans is a bit of a middle of the road Tory with the hump really I think, maybe even a slight Blairite on some things. I can see why she is popular with non kippers!
The sooner Farage is gone the better. UKIP, to have a future, need to be a party, not a Cult of Nigel.
Is the ambition for UKIP to have a future or to get out of Europe? The two are mutually exclusive.
If LEAVE wins there is no need for UKIP. No wonder Farage is trying hard to lose.
Isnt it incredible how memes set in on here.. repetition maybe?
LEAVE haven't been closer in the polls since the referendum was called, while Farage is way clear in the leader ratings, but people say he is a drag on the cause and is trying to lose! Why let facts get in the way?
I just do not understand this idolisation of Suzanne Evans . A political campaigner of even less success than Farage . She went from polling over 2,200 standing as a Conservative in her Merton ward to just over 300 standing as UKIP .
The sooner Farage is gone the better. UKIP, to have a future, need to be a party, not a Cult of Nigel.
Is the ambition for UKIP to have a future or to get out of Europe? The two are mutually exclusive.
Although they wouldn't admit it UKIP would probably quite like to see England vote Leave and the overall result be Remain due to Scotland. That would likely give them a big boost in the polls.
I see on the previous thread that the usual suspects are explaining how the economy shrinking by c.3% will be fine. I hope you starve.
If you were told that there was a risk that if things went really badly for you, your income in 10 years' time would be 97.5% of what it would otherwise have been, I think you'd cope.
Ah the canonisation of Suzanne Evans... if only you knew
What do you mean by that, or is it just stupid nudge-nudge, wink-wink ?
Why the constant hostility? It is so tiring. Every time you respond its "stupid" "rubbish" etc etc
I could say the same but why would I bother?
Not agreeing is allowed
I have canvassed with Suzanne for an afternoon and spoke to her about various things.. Personally I agreed with the gist of some of what she said, but if PBers that hate Farage/love Evans heard it, I doubt they would be so fulsome in their praise, and if they heard me or Farage say it, they'd be calling for the tar and feathers
No constant hostility here. If you think back over our interactions it's often been quite the opposite. Heck, a few weeks ago I was complimenting and referring people to your blog.
But you should have written your last paragraph, rather than the all-knowing nudge-nudge comment you made.
As for Evans, you seem to have a rather negative view of her for some time. It might help people decide on the likelihood of her succeeding Farage if you expanded on what you know and believe to be the case.
I don't know any secrets of UKIP, I got into it for a bit, now I cant be bothered.
I don't mean to be negative about Suzanne Evans as she was perfectly nice company when I met her... but I cant think of any reason why she should be even considered as a replacement for Farage, should he need to be replaced (he is the leader with the best ratings from "gold standard" remember), and also, seeing as Farage holds such sway amongst UKIP top brass that he managed to "unresign" I shouldn't think his enemies in the party are that well placed to succeeed him
Evans is a bit of a middle of the road Tory with the hump really I think, maybe even a slight Blairite on some things. I can see why she is popular with non kippers!
Basically you are a Farage Fan boy. Pathetic.
Your Gold Standard leader ratings love him too Mickey
As a gesture, you can have Even money with me Carswell OR Evans next UKIP leader.
Ah the canonisation of Suzanne Evans... if only you knew
What do you mean by that, or is it just stupid nudge-nudge, wink-wink ?
Why the constant hostility? It is so tiring. Every time you respond its "stupid" "rubbish" etc etc
I could say the same but why would I bother?
Not agreeing is allowed
I have canvassed with Suzanne for an afternoon and spoke to her about various things.. Personally I agreed with the gist of some of what she said, but if PBers that hate Farage/love Evans heard it, I doubt they would be so fulsome in their praise, and if they heard me or Farage say it, they'd be calling for the tar and feathers
No constant hostility here. If you think back over our interactions it's often been quite the opposite. Heck, a few weeks ago I was complimenting and referring people to your blog.
But you should have written your last paragraph, rather than the all-knowing nudge-nudge comment you made.
As for Evans, you seem to have a rather negative view of her for some time. It might help people decide on the likelihood of her succeeding Farage if you expanded on what you know and believe to be the case.
I don't know any secrets of UKIP, I got into it for a bit, now I cant be bothered.
I don't mean to be negative about Suzanne Evans as she was perfectly nice company when I met her... but I cant think of any reason why she should be even considered as a replacement for Farage, should he need to be replaced (he is the leader with the best ratings from "gold standard" remember), and also, seeing as Farage holds such sway amongst UKIP top brass that he managed to "unresign" I shouldn't think his enemies in the party are that well placed to succeeed him
Evans is a bit of a middle of the road Tory with the hump really I think, maybe even a slight Blairite on some things. I can see why she is popular with non kippers!
Basically you are a Farage Fan boy. Pathetic.
At least your average man in the street has heard of our leader.
Ah the canonisation of Suzanne Evans... if only you knew
What do you mean by that, or is it just stupid nudge-nudge, wink-wink ?
Why the constant hostility? It is so tiring. Every time you respond its "stupid" "rubbish" etc etc
I could say the same but why would I bother?
Not agreeing is allowed
I have canvassed with Suzanne for an afternoon and spoke to her about various things.. Personally I agreed with the gist of some of what she said, but if PBers that hate Farage/love Evans heard it, I doubt they would be so fulsome in their praise, and if they heard me or Farage say it, they'd be calling for the tar and feathers
No constant hostility here. If you think back over our interactions it's often been quite the opposite. Heck, a few weeks ago I was complimenting and referring people to your blog.
But you should have written your last paragraph, rather than the all-knowing nudge-nudge comment you made.
As for Evans, you seem to have a rather negative view of her for some time. It might help people decide on the likelihood of her succeeding Farage if you expanded on what you know and believe to be the case.
I don't know any secrets of UKIP, I got into it for a bit, now I cant be bothered.
I don't mean to be negative about Suzanne Evans as she was perfectly nice company when I met her... but I cant think of any reason why she should be even considered as a replacement for Farage, should he need to be replaced (he is the leader with the best ratings from "gold standard" remember), and also, seeing as Farage holds such sway amongst UKIP top brass that he managed to "unresign" I shouldn't think his enemies in the party are that well placed to succeeed him
Evans is a bit of a middle of the road Tory with the hump really I think, maybe even a slight Blairite on some things. I can see why she is popular with non kippers!
Of all prominent UKIP speakers, I think she's second-best. An informal ranking (which may change as I hear new things from them) would be:
1) Carswell 2) Evans 3) Farage 4) James
Naturally, political biases and presentation preferences play into that. Also her work on the 2015 manifesto was very good (as I said before the election). A world better than the 2010 mess.
Suzanne Evans might be the best possible voice for Brexit. Boris is floundering, Gove is divisive (check Farage, Galloway) but Evans passes the normal test. An affluent sounding southerner might not be the best person to be the next Ukip leader but for the rather misanthropic looking leave campaign might be just the tonic.
Suzanne Evans might be the best possible voice for Brexit. Boris is floundering, Gove is divisive (check Farage, Galloway) but Evans passes the normal test. An affluent sounding southerner might not be the best person to be the next Ukip leader but for the rather misanthropic looking leave campaign might be just the tonic.
Well the organisations have had a 'make up' meeting. Hope logic and not personalities has won.
Suzanne Evans might be the best possible voice for Brexit. Boris is floundering, Gove is divisive (check Farage, Galloway) but Evans passes the normal test. An affluent sounding southerner might not be the best person to be the next Ukip leader but for the rather misanthropic looking leave campaign might be just the tonic.
Well the organisations have had a 'make up' meeting. Hope logic and not personalities has won.
Ah the canonisation of Suzanne Evans... if only you knew
What do you mean by that, or is it just stupid nudge-nudge, wink-wink ?
Why the constant hostility? It is so tiring. Every time you respond its "stupid" "rubbish" etc etc
I could say the same but why would I bother?
Not agreeing is allowed
I have canvassed with Suzanne for an afternoon and spoke to her about various things.. Personally I agreed with the gist of some of what she said, but if PBers that hate Farage/love Evans heard it, I doubt they would be so fulsome in their praise, and if they heard me or Farage say it, they'd be calling for the tar and feathers
No constant hostility here. If you think back over our interactions it's often been quite the opposite. Heck, a few weeks ago I was complimenting and referring people to your blog.
But you should have written your last paragraph, rather than the all-knowing nudge-nudge comment you made.
As for Evans, you seem to have a rather negative view of her for some time. It might help people decide on the likelihood of her succeeding Farage if you expanded on what you know and believe to be the case.
I don't know any secrets of UKIP, I got into it for a bit, now I cant be bothered.
I don't mean to be negative about Suzanne Evans as she was perfectly nice company when I met her... but I cant think of any reason why she should be even considered as a replacement for Farage, should he need to be replaced (he is the leader with the best ratings from "gold standard" remember), and also, seeing as Farage holds such sway amongst UKIP top brass that he managed to "unresign" I shouldn't think his enemies in the party are that well placed to succeeed him
Evans is a bit of a middle of the road Tory with the hump really I think, maybe even a slight Blairite on some things. I can see why she is popular with non kippers!
Of all prominent UKIP speakers, I think she's second-best. An informal ranking (which may change as I hear new things from them) would be:
1) Carswell 2) Evans 3) Farage 4) James
Naturally, political biases and presentation preferences play into that. Also her work on the 2015 manifesto was very good (as I said before the election). A world better than the 2010 mess.
Ah the canonisation of Suzanne Evans... if only you knew
What do you mean by that, or is it just stupid nudge-nudge, wink-wink ?
Why the constant hostility? It is so tiring. Every time you respond its "stupid" "rubbish" etc etc
I could say the same but why would I bother?
Not agreeing is allowed
I have canvassed with Suzanne for an afternoon and spoke to her about various things.. Personally I agreed with the gist of some of what she said, but if PBers that hate Farage/love Evans heard it, I doubt they would be so fulsome in their praise, and if they heard me or Farage say it, they'd be calling for the tar and feathers
No constant hostility here. If you think back over our interactions it's often been quite the opposite. Heck, a few weeks ago I was complimenting and referring people to your blog.
But you should have written your last paragraph, rather than the all-knowing nudge-nudge comment you made.
As for Evans, you seem to have a rather negative view of her for some time. It might help people decide on the likelihood of her succeeding Farage if you expanded on what you know and believe to be the case.
I don't know any secrets of UKIP, I got into it for a bit, now I cant be bothered.
I don't mean to be negative about Suzanne Evans as she was perfectly nice company when I met her... but I cant think of any reason why she should be even considered as a replacement for Farage, should he need to be replaced (he is the leader with the best ratings from "gold standard" remember), and also, seeing as Farage holds such sway amongst UKIP top brass that he managed to "unresign" I shouldn't think his enemies in the party are that well placed to succeeed him
Evans is a bit of a middle of the road Tory with the hump really I think, maybe even a slight Blairite on some things. I can see why she is popular with non kippers!
Of all prominent UKIP speakers, I think she's second-best. An informal ranking (which may change as I hear new things from them) would be:
1) Carswell 2) Evans 3) Farage 4) James
Naturally, political biases and presentation preferences play into that. Also her work on the 2015 manifesto was very good (as I said before the election). A world better than the 2010 mess.
It depends what you are looking for. If it is a 15-20% niche of the electorate then Farage is rather good. The referendum is of course about a 50% minimum which is where I think Evans could be effective. It also goes without saying that there is a distinct lack of prominent women in British politics and I can't imagine Dave v Boris is too exciting for a lot of the female electorate in particular.
F1: Alonso may have to miss Bahrain, as a precaution following the substantial Australia crash.
That's a shame, but not exactly surprising. He was very, very lucky.
He probably wouldn't have survived that twenty years ago. (Although Brundel's Oz crash in 1996 was, I think, similar and in the same place on the circuit. He split his car in two.)
Alonso's had more than his fair share of massive shunts. It must play on his mind.
Evans seems an incredibly poor favourite to me. She doesn't seem to have much support within the party.
I can't see Farage being ousted any time soon so therefore the likely scenarios are as follows:
Leave wins and he steps down in triumph Remain wins and he steps down a la Salmond Remain wins and he steps down prior to the next European elections (2017 or 18) Remain wins and he steps down after the next European elections (2019) Remain wins and he goes on past the 2020 GE
In the remain scenarios one of the MEPs such as Nuttall or Woolfe is the likely successor In the leave scenario it is less clear as the MEPs will all be out of a job likely in 2019. Could Reckless lead the party from the Welsh Assembly?
Clinton's high point estimate was 2385 a couple of weeks back.
So, if the election is, Clinton v GOP Unity Candidate v Trump running as an Independent, who wins?
Clinton by landslide.
Indeed, all sorts of states come into play in that scenario. Cruz might take Texas... Mitt Romney Utah, Wyoming for either. Past that I'm struggling to see safe GOP states. Some states might not allow Trump on the ballot, so possibly the GOP can take those if they're naturally red... Missouri, Indiana and a whole bunch of others surely go though (If Trump is on the ballot in each of them)
Comments
https://twitter.com/TSEofPB/status/715153134054686720
Diane James, an MEP claimed it was a case of revenge by the former candidate for the London Assembly, saying: "Hell hath no fury like a woman scorned.""
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-35890520
#Miracle
It feels 170 ish.
NO !
I'm done with backing "should be no longer than 6-4" favourites for job vacancies that might possibly come up 5 years down the line
The problem is that in one of their matches they did not concede a boundary in about their last 5 overs. England need wickets and fast.
(there's one).
great comment on cricinfo: "Nerveless catch from Mo, who's taken one look at Kane and said "My beard's bigger than yours, son".
UKIP really are a laughing stock. Just the plaything of Farage, the EU's useful idiot.
I could say the same but why would I bother?
Not agreeing is allowed
I have canvassed with Suzanne for an afternoon and spoke to her about various things.. Personally I agreed with the gist of some of what she said, but if PBers that hate Farage/love Evans heard it, I doubt they would be so fulsome in their praise, and if they heard me or Farage say it, they'd be calling for the tar and feathers
Warring Brexit groups have held a secret peace meeting chaired by a cabinet minister after months of bitter infighting, The Sun can reveal.
A very public civil war between the various Eurosceptic factions has blighted the “Out” campaign so far, but insiders say Monday’s talks headed up by Chris Grayling were “incredibly productive”.
Representatives from the Leave.EU group and Grassroots Out met at the Westminster HQ of Vote Leave to try settle their differences ahead of the election watchdog picking one of them to be the official face of “Leave”.
http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/news/politics/7038196/Eurosceptic-groups-hold-peace-talks-after-months-of-infighting-over-Brexit.html
That's less than an average 0.2% a year. Growth rates vary by more than that from Autumn Statement to the following Budget every year.
Or were you one of those bitching about the increase in food banks? Were you hoping they'd starve too?
I'm still traumatised by Mr Freggles putting the image of Nick Clegg getting spanked for 33k at a time, in my head last night.
The sooner Farage is gone the better. UKIP, to have a future, need to be a party, not a Cult of Nigel.
Anyway, bettingwise, if you think it is a cult of Nigel, look for one of his acolytes as next leader I would say, rather than the two at the top of the betting who hate him
I've never really understood how Grayling made it near the top of the Tory party. Am I missing something?
But you should have written your last paragraph, rather than the all-knowing nudge-nudge comment you made.
As for Evans, you seem to have a rather negative view of her for some time. It might help people decide on the likelihood of her succeeding Farage if you expanded on what you know and believe to be the case.
Wasn't Clegg the one doing the spanking?
Yes it shrank by 8%. Deliberately inflicting further damage in the hope that there is something better seems slightly thoughtless.
I don't mean to be negative about Suzanne Evans as she was perfectly nice company when I met her... but I cant think of any reason why she should be even considered as a replacement for Farage, should he need to be replaced (he is the leader with the best ratings from "gold standard" remember), and also, seeing as Farage holds such sway amongst UKIP top brass that he managed to "unresign" I shouldn't think his enemies in the party are that well placed to succeeed him
Evans is a bit of a middle of the road Tory with the hump really I think, maybe even a slight Blairite on some things. I can see why she is popular with non kippers!
LEAVE haven't been closer in the polls since the referendum was called, while Farage is way clear in the leader ratings, but people say he is a drag on the cause and is trying to lose! Why let facts get in the way?
As a gesture, you can have Even money with me Carswell OR Evans next UKIP leader.
Your size
This over is surely the T20 equivalent of Trump vs Clinton. The bowling is bad, but the batting is worse !
https://twitter.com/Reuters/status/715189100148600834
1) Carswell
2) Evans
3) Farage
4) James
Naturally, political biases and presentation preferences play into that. Also her work on the 2015 manifesto was very good (as I said before the election). A world better than the 2010 mess.
Clinton 2290 Sanders 1761
Clinton's high point estimate was 2385 a couple of weeks back.
He probably wouldn't have survived that twenty years ago. (Although Brundel's Oz crash in 1996 was, I think, similar and in the same place on the circuit. He split his car in two.)
Alonso's had more than his fair share of massive shunts. It must play on his mind.
I can't see Farage being ousted any time soon so therefore the likely scenarios are as follows:
Leave wins and he steps down in triumph
Remain wins and he steps down a la Salmond
Remain wins and he steps down prior to the next European elections (2017 or 18)
Remain wins and he steps down after the next European elections (2019)
Remain wins and he goes on past the 2020 GE
In the remain scenarios one of the MEPs such as Nuttall or Woolfe is the likely successor
In the leave scenario it is less clear as the MEPs will all be out of a job likely in 2019. Could Reckless lead the party from the Welsh Assembly?
Back of the fag packet odds;
Clinton 1/5
GOP(unity) 8/1
Trump 16/1