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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Another big night of WH2016 primaries

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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Speedy said:

    The statisticians are on to how crap the NBC/WSJ polls are:

    https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/707413152779137024

    This is the equivalent of having a nationwide poll in the UK to determine the result of a local election in Shepton Mallet or Great Yarmouth.

    It's nonsense.
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    WandererWanderer Posts: 3,838
    Speedy said:

    Wanderer said:

    Sanders has got this

    I called it for Sanders hours ago.
    The networks haven't called it yet?
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2016
    Tim_B said:

    Speedy said:

    The statisticians are on to how crap the NBC/WSJ polls are:

    https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/707413152779137024

    This is the equivalent of having a nationwide poll in the UK to determine the result of a local election in Shepton Mallet or Great Yarmouth.

    It's nonsense.
    It's not nonsense, where has Rubio got 20% over the past week?
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited March 2016
    Idaho, 1% in

    Trump 52
    Cruz 27
    Kasich 8
    Rubio 7

    Trump winning Idaho is also a surprise.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Wanderer said:

    Speedy said:

    Wanderer said:

    Sanders has got this

    I called it for Sanders hours ago.
    The networks haven't called it yet?
    CNN are always the last ones that call races.
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Speedy said:

    Tim_B said:

    Speedy said:

    The statisticians are on to how crap the NBC/WSJ polls are:

    https://twitter.com/Redistrict/status/707413152779137024

    This is the equivalent of having a nationwide poll in the UK to determine the result of a local election in Shepton Mallet or Great Yarmouth.

    It's nonsense.
    It's not nonsense, where has Rubio got 20% over the past week?
    There are 55 elections to decide this - 50 states and 5 territories. Nationwide stuff is nonsense.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Idaho 3% in

    Cruz 39
    Rubio 28
    Trump 22
    Kasich 7
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Speedy said:

    Wanderer said:

    Speedy said:

    Wanderer said:

    Sanders has got this

    I called it for Sanders hours ago.
    The networks haven't called it yet?
    CNN are always the last ones that call races.
    Sadly they have fallen so far. Even MSNBC is competing with them now. They used to be the news leader.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Idaho 5% in.

    Cruz 37
    Trump 27
    Rubio 24
    Kasich 8
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Idaho 8% in.

    Cruz 33
    Trump 31
    Rubio 22
    Kasich 9
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Looks like a strong East-West divide in Idaho, the West goes for Trump, the East for Cruz.
    Most people live around Boise and Trump is leading there by 11.
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    SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Finally the networks call Michigan for Sanders.
    Cruz is leading by 7 in Idaho, however because Trump is strong in the most populous western part of Idaho, I don't think that lead will hold.

    Goodnight.
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    Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Speedy said:

    Looks like a strong East-West divide in Idaho

    It's where potatoes come from, and there are are hardly any people. But had a great smile from the comment :)
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    RobDRobD Posts: 59,029
    Catching up on last weeks Daily Politics, and who appears? Only OGH! :D
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Another Tuesday passes and the narrative doesn't change ....

    Clinton v Trump in November.
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    With 4% of Hawaii in, Trump has 48%...
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    JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Hawaii 13% - Trump 42.1% .. Cruz 27.9% .. Rubio 14.7% .. Kasich 14.1%

    CNN
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Looking excellent for Trump with 22% in.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    New thread
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    RogerRoger Posts: 18,951
    Yesterday on the Referendum fromt .........

    Boris appears trying to hide under a wooly hat after his unfortunate email was made public-and by all accounts his staff were queuing up to reveal it-but he came out fighting."LOOORHAHAHMMMCHOOHMMCHORRRMM" he boomed into the microphones ..........

    ..........Then a shock appearance by Nigel Lawson looking ever more the a pantomime dame to give Laura Kuinsberg the scoop that explained it all.... "Mark Carney is after a job at Goldman Sacks"

    Another successful day for the LEAVERS FiINEST ended with 'Lurch' himself........

    Jacob Rees Mogg looking like a Dickensian grave digger informed the select committee that Mark Carney had 'demeaned the office of Governor'



    ('One Flew Over The Cuckoos's Nest' is showing on a screen near you)

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    volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    JackW said:

    Another Tuesday passes and the narrative doesn't change ....

    Clinton v Trump in November.

    I think it prudent to cover the Hillary fell under an FBI bus scenario and just back Dem-Bernie actually polls better then Hillary in some head-to-headss.So either just back Dem-at the same price as Hillary or have a saver on Bernie as a few have done overnight.
    If Trump is part of the reality of the absurd,so could be Saunders.
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