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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Just three weeks to go and two new polls put Trump back in the lead inIowa
Three weeks on from tonight meetings will be taking place in each of the 1600+ precincts in Iowa at the start of the WH2016 nomination process. Both the Republicans and Democrats have caucuses at the same time.
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The Mogg.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=eoTSo1uB22c
Bad (for my bank balance): Bush
Par: Rubio, Christie
Good: Trump
Excellent: Cruz
which I am happy with.
Incidentally I see you can no longer get odds anything like 2.25 on Trump in NH - so I hope people followed me in
Also Cruz's doubtful eligibility to the presidency.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_presidential_primaries,_1964
The Iowa Caucuses did not start until 1976
If he wins Iowa and N.H. and gets close or surpasses Hillary in the national polls then yes he can do it.
'Hostages are just a buffer to slow the progress of security forces. If we don't intervene as quickly as possible there will be more victims. That's the lesson to draw from the attacks of November 13, that will change our mode of intervention.
'We need to have surgical action, as forceful as possible and as quickly as possible,' he said.
Multiple, pan-European plots are not new and have been disrupted on several occasions, including one in late August 2010, said Yves Trotignon, a former analyst for France's DGSE intelligence service.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3393669/We-heading-European-9-11-Counter-terrorism-official-says-terror-groups-plotting-simultaneous-attacks-various-countries-year.html
Goodnight.
Possibly true in a theoretical sense but in the world now, where Muslim liberals are shunned and attacked and put in fear of their lives ( see Ayan Hirsi Ali) and are left wholly unsupported and ignored by the West, this is just an excuse to do nothing.
Christianity reformed because it was attacked and criticised and critiqued by its own and by outsiders and because within it there was enough of a tradition of debate and criticism and rationality (much of it inherited from the Aristotelian Greek tradition) that it was able to deal with it (eventually and not without a lot of pain) and was not given a free pass or the temporal power to crush those criticising it.
But that is not now true of Islam. People like Tod are not rushing to the barricades to assist Muslim liberals, many of them women. The more general reaction is the sneering condescension that passes for wit amongst certain types of Oxford dons exemplified by people like Timothy Garton Ash and Ian Buruma.
So I feel that Tod's point is just another way of justifying doing nothing. Frankly since we have so many Muslims living in Europe and plenty more wanting to come here, we are entitled to criticise. If we don't, no-one else will.
It'll be Trump or Cruz, and probably Trump.
https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/prime-ministers-speech-on-life-chances
Tonight a Europhile had a go at putting forward a positive case for remaining in the EU. Again failed miserably.
A charismatic Eurosceptic without any of the baggage Farage has would be an unstoppable force.
In a blow for the Health Secretary Jeremy Hunt, 66 per cent of people in an IPSOS Mori poll for the Health Service Journal said they support junior doctors walking out from all but emergency care.
Support for a strike that would also affect A&E and other emergency services – as is planned for next month – is lower, with only 44 per cent backing; but this is still higher than the 39 per cent who said they opposed such action.
http://ind.pn/1W10D8k
I think it will probably be Trump too
http://on.ft.com/1OXSsKu
And I say that as someone 90% likely to vote Stay.
The Sun's smear campaign has not got off to a very good start:
http://www.buzzfeed.com/laurasilver/buying-waitrose-toilet-paper-because-yolo#.reVGo2NRZ6
http://www2.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2015/11/16/why-jeremy-hunt-might-be-onto-a-loser-in-his-fight-with-the-doctors/
Try prefacing the poll that tells an interviewee that they might have to wait hours or even days to be seen and attended to because the Junior Doctors are on strike..
Voters will support the JD's until it affects them personally. Any poll is therefore complete horseshit...
Interesting, as Toyota back in 2000 threatened to quit the UK if we stayed out of the euro. There was also more than a hint that the origin of their threat was Blair's sofa rather than their own boardroom.
So either they haven't got the memo yet or they have decided doing the dirty work of dishonest politicians isn't actually good business.
https://twitter.com/suttonnick/status/686673813942177792
Gnats won't like that front page.
Can we just sack all the junior doctors then?
I would imagine that they would get a 7 day NHS (there already is one by the way) by employing more staff so that you can have the same level of cover throughout the weekend.
Patient safety? Bolleaux. It's all about money. £250K worth of training at the taxpayers expense, and as soon as their demands aren't met, out come the threats of hotfooting it overseas for greater rewards.
Nigel Farage Condemns 'Unpleasant Nationalist Tone' To Welsh Politics While Defending 'English' Ukip
http://huff.to/1N3CmHw
1) Go to @DavidBowieReal's account.
2) Click 'following'.
3) Look at who he followed last.
4) Laugh and cry.
#DavidBowieRIP
Y'all best start believing in the Donald.
Re London and the Tube strikes: Boris is interviewed and Khan but Goldsmith is nowhere.
Hopefully as a result of strike action, a spotlight will be shone onto the practice of training at the taxpayers expense and then moving overseas for more lucrative posts. Those who do so within a certain time frame should be surcharged.
Focussing on improving the life chances of the poorest and most disadvantaged through Conservative values (families, savings, strong education, cutting tax and getting people into work, responsibility and no sniffyness towards character, culture and aspiration) should absolutely be a focus of this government.
For too long the Left has painted the Tories as uncaring towards those in poverty, and tombstones of 'social justice' have been hung round our necks.
That's not my criticism of Cameron. In fact, it's the reason why I voted for him 10 years ago.
It's the new-Labour lite socio-cultural policies, and the dismissiveness of traditional social conservatives (much of whom would agree with the above) that riles me.
I don't think it's as anything like as one-sided to the doctors as it's made out to be, but it's jolly hard work to understand why.
How about this as a campaign song:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0mg7ok8dmDU
REMAINERs are Traitor Pig-Dogs!
I would say though that anyone wanting more money always manages to convince themselves that their desire for more money is absolutely essential to the provision of a good service to their customers, patients, clients, passengers etc. See tube drivers, doctors, lawyers etc etc.
Still, let's hope this gets resolved pdq. Patients deserve better from both doctors and government.
I might be wrong, but I think thats more or less it.
I'm sure some hyperbolic leavers will say we're committing national suicide by choosing to stay in the EU.
http://www.nhs.uk/news/2012/12December/Pages/Worryingly-high-hospital-death-rates-reported.aspx
"Fourthly, despite being a recognised problem for many years, the mortality rates during weekends are much higher than during the week."
http://www.nursingtimes.net/roles/nurse-managers/hospital-weekend-death-rate-not-just-nhs-problem/5087583.fullarticle
Transnational problem, but usual can we have more cash to study plea isn't far away.
If the government were to introduce bursaries for students bringing fees down by say 50% for those who pre-contract with the NHS for 5-7 years (matching the length of their degree course) I think the problem would go away by itself.
(may need to turn up your speakers!)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PF76qlwWM8s
I had it down as a harmless Christmas romance song.
I thought they were already working those extra hours and in future would continue to do but not be paid as much. So not about the hours but about the money.
The 90s was an awesome decade if you liked music by boy bands.
My fave East 17 song
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2a3ETB5QFrM