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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Review 2015 : Part One

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  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    There is mounting evidence of Crosby's knighthood, so I might have been wrong to doubt the Sunday Times leak.

    How do you mount a knighthood?
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300

    A little history for (younger) Labour posters - or older ones with short memories.....

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_Kagan,_Baron_Kagan

    Historical whataboutery comes to pb. Meanwhile, the press is united in condemning the new list -- David Cameron accused of croneyism: has this ever happened before? Heir to Blair indeed.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Charles said:

    Tim_B said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    ***** BETTING POST *****

    In their admittedly somewhat tongue in cheek predictions for 2016, Fortune Magazine has Marco Rubio winning the Republican nomination, with him selecting 43 year old South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley as his running mate.
    Although by definition this has to be a longshot, it would nevertheless make a great deal of sense for Rubio (or indeed any other successful male GOP nominee) to pick a female number two on the ticket, not least to counter the would-be novelty of Hillary Clinton being the first of the fairer sex, if that is the appropriate term, to become POTUS.
    I think this is a likely proposition and those nice people at Paddy Power are offering odds of 9/4 against such a Male - Female "Gender Balance" on the Republican ticket. They restricted me to a maximum stake of £8.48 on this bet, thereby limiting my potential profit to £19.08.
    As ever, DYOR.

    Doubt it would work - two southern Tea Party politicians would unbalance the ticket.

    He needs a Christie or someone from the rustbelt to balance his weaknesses. Male/female is a more respectable proposal, although are there any sane female Republicans?
    I'm certainly not expecting Nikki Haley to be Rubio's (or indeed anyone else's) actual pick. This bet is purely about the unnamed "Gender Balance". As regards your last point .... I simply don't know!
    To clarify... I mean any sane female Republican politicans

    *looks nervously over shoulder*

    "Coming dear!"
    Nikki Haley is a very sane Republican female.
    How many goes did she take to get the right answer to a "yes/no" question on the Confederate Battle Flag?
    After the killings in Charleston she led the movement to take it down outside the state house.
  • DecrepitJohnLDecrepitJohnL Posts: 13,300
    edited 2015 31
    Tim_B said:

    Donald Trump will start spending $2 million a week "maybe much more" for a month starting next week. Why? He's getting so much free media it's amazing. He's even on Fox News New Years Eve show counting down to midnight and the dropping of the ball in Times Square.

    Paid organisers in Iowa (and maybe New Hampshire) perhaps?
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281

    A little history for (younger) Labour posters - or older ones with short memories.....

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_Kagan,_Baron_Kagan

    Historical whataboutery comes to pb. Meanwhile, the press is united in condemning the new list -- David Cameron accused of croneyism: has this ever happened before? Heir to Blair indeed.
    It's the annual 'honours system has been dragged into disrepute/new low/never been as bad' outrage bus.....but why wont anyone answer Andy Burnham's why the Tories think they can get away with whatever they like".?

    Why, Andy?
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669

    Tim_B said:

    Donald Trump will start spending $2 million a week "maybe much more" for a month starting next week. Why? He's getting so much free media it's amazing. He's even on Fox News New Years Eve show counting down to midnight and the dropping of the ball in Times Square.

    Paid organisers in Iowa (and maybe New Hampshire) perhaps?
    Sorry - I was not clear. He's spending that money purely on advertising. He's already spent money establishing the ground game.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Tim_B said:

    Charles said:

    Tim_B said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    ***** BETTING POST *****

    In their admittedly somewhat tongue in cheek predictions for 2016, Fortune Magazine has Marco Rubio winning the Republican nomination, with him selecting 43 year old South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley as his running mate.
    Although by definition this has to be a longshot, it would nevertheless make a great deal of sense for Rubio (or indeed any other successful male GOP nominee) to pick a female number two on the ticket, not least to counter the would-be novelty of Hillary Clinton being the first of the fairer sex, if that is the appropriate term, to become POTUS.
    I think this is a likely proposition and those nice people at Paddy Power are offering odds of 9/4 against such a Male - Female "Gender Balance" on the Republican ticket. They restricted me to a maximum stake of £8.48 on this bet, thereby limiting my potential profit to £19.08.
    As ever, DYOR.

    Doubt it would work - two southern Tea Party politicians would unbalance the ticket.

    He needs a Christie or someone from the rustbelt to balance his weaknesses. Male/female is a more respectable proposal, although are there any sane female Republicans?
    I'm certainly not expecting Nikki Haley to be Rubio's (or indeed anyone else's) actual pick. This bet is purely about the unnamed "Gender Balance". As regards your last point .... I simply don't know!
    To clarify... I mean any sane female Republican politicans

    *looks nervously over shoulder*

    "Coming dear!"
    Nikki Haley is a very sane Republican female.
    How many goes did she take to get the right answer to a "yes/no" question on the Confederate Battle Flag?
    After the killings in Charleston she led the movement to take it down outside the state house.
    She waited 48 hours to see which way the wind was blowing and then positioned herself as the leader of the winning side. Admirable politics, but not the act of a leader
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,281
    Its all 'jobs for the boys' in Labour:

    Harriet Harman’s former adviser Ayesha Hazarika, has been awarded an MBE. Harman wanted her to be given a seat in the House of Lords in the August post-election honours list, but Ed Miliband insisted on elevating his adviser Spencer Livermore instead.

    http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/new-years-honours-almost-30-tory-party-members-or-supporters-receive-awards-amid-accusations-of-a6791366.html
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Charles said:

    Tim_B said:

    Charles said:

    Tim_B said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    ***** BETTING POST *****

    In their admittedly somewhat tongue in cheek predictions for 2016, Fortune Magazine has Marco Rubio winning the Republican nomination, with him selecting 43 year old South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley as his running mate.
    Although by definition this has to be a longshot, it would nevertheless make a great deal of sense for Rubio (or indeed any other successful male GOP nominee) to pick a female number two on the ticket, not least to counter the would-be novelty of Hillary Clinton being the first of the fairer sex, if that is the appropriate term, to become POTUS.
    I think this is a likely proposition and those nice people at Paddy Power are offering odds of 9/4 against such a Male - Female "Gender Balance" on the Republican ticket. They restricted me to a maximum stake of £8.48 on this bet, thereby limiting my potential profit to £19.08.
    As ever, DYOR.

    Doubt it would work - two southern Tea Party politicians would unbalance the ticket.

    He needs a Christie or someone from the rustbelt to balance his weaknesses. Male/female is a more respectable proposal, although are there any sane female Republicans?
    I'm certainly not expecting Nikki Haley to be Rubio's (or indeed anyone else's) actual pick. This bet is purely about the unnamed "Gender Balance". As regards your last point .... I simply don't know!
    To clarify... I mean any sane female Republican politicans

    *looks nervously over shoulder*

    "Coming dear!"
    Nikki Haley is a very sane Republican female.
    How many goes did she take to get the right answer to a "yes/no" question on the Confederate Battle Flag?
    After the killings in Charleston she led the movement to take it down outside the state house.
    She waited 48 hours to see which way the wind was blowing and then positioned herself as the leader of the winning side. Admirable politics, but not the act of a leader
    That's the best you've got? Really????? That's pretty feeble. Of course you take the temperature of the crowd before making a move. It was a tectonic shift of opinion.

    Until the Charleston killings the flag was utterly irrelevant. I used to work out of Columbia SC and drove past the flag at the state house many times. It was a non-issue.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    Tim_B said:

    Charles said:

    Tim_B said:

    Charles said:

    Tim_B said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    ***** BETTING POST *****

    In their admittedly somewhat tongue in cheek predictions for 2016, Fortune Magazine has Marco Rubio winning the Republican nomination, with him selecting 43 year old South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley as his running mate.
    Although by definition this has to be a longshot, it would nevertheless make a great deal of sense for Rubio (or indeed any other successful male GOP nominee) to pick a female number two on the ticket, not least to counter the would-be novelty of Hillary Clinton being the first of the fairer sex, if that is the appropriate term, to become POTUS.
    I think this is a likely proposition and those nice people at Paddy Power are offering odds of 9/4 against such a Male - Female "Gender Balance" on the Republican ticket. They restricted me to a maximum stake of £8.48 on this bet, thereby limiting my potential profit to £19.08.
    As ever, DYOR.

    Doubt it would work - two southern Tea Party politicians would unbalance the ticket.

    He needs a Christie or someone from the rustbelt to balance his weaknesses. Male/female is a more respectable proposal, although are there any sane female Republicans?
    I'm certainly not expecting Nikki Haley to be Rubio's (or indeed anyone else's) actual pick. This bet is purely about the unnamed "Gender Balance". As regards your last point .... I simply don't know!
    To clarify... I mean any sane female Republican politicans

    *looks nervously over shoulder*

    "Coming dear!"
    Nikki Haley is a very sane Republican female.
    How many goes did she take to get the right answer to a "yes/no" question on the Confederate Battle Flag?
    After the killings in Charleston she led the movement to take it down outside the state house.
    She waited 48 hours to see which way the wind was blowing and then positioned herself as the leader of the winning side. Admirable politics, but not the act of a leader
    That's the best you've got? Really????? That's pretty feeble. Of course you take the temperature of the crowd before making a move. It was a tectonic shift of opinion.

    Until the Charleston killings the flag was utterly irrelevant. I used to work out of Columbia SC and drove past the flag at the state house many times. It was a non-issue.
    Not on an issue as big as that. It's the difference between a person of merit and just another hack.
  • Tim_BTim_B Posts: 7,669
    Charles said:

    Tim_B said:

    Charles said:

    Tim_B said:

    Charles said:

    Tim_B said:

    Charles said:

    Charles said:

    ***** BETTING POST *****

    Doubt it would work - two southern Tea Party politicians would unbalance the ticket.

    He needs a Christie or someone from the rustbelt to balance his weaknesses. Male/female is a more respectable proposal, although are there any sane female Republicans?
    I'm certainly not expecting Nikki Haley to be Rubio's (or indeed anyone else's) actual pick. This bet is purely about the unnamed "Gender Balance". As regards your last point .... I simply don't know!
    To clarify... I mean any sane female Republican politicans

    *looks nervously over shoulder*

    "Coming dear!"
    Nikki Haley is a very sane Republican female.
    How many goes did she take to get the right answer to a "yes/no" question on the Confederate Battle Flag?
    After the killings in Charleston she led the movement to take it down outside the state house.
    She waited 48 hours to see which way the wind was blowing and then positioned herself as the leader of the winning side. Admirable politics, but not the act of a leader
    That's the best you've got? Really????? That's pretty feeble. Of course you take the temperature of the crowd before making a move. It was a tectonic shift of opinion.

    Until the Charleston killings the flag was utterly irrelevant. I used to work out of Columbia SC and drove past the flag at the state house many times. It was a non-issue.
    Not on an issue as big as that. It's the difference between a person of merit and just another hack.
    Nonsense - the issue was not big at all: indeed it was not an issue at all until the killings. If you followed it the flag removal movement took at least 24 hours to get moving.

    But if you are determined to paint Haley as a hack feel free.
  • BromptonautBromptonaut Posts: 1,113
    Tim_B said:



    That price is amazing. I just checked the price of a train ticket from Atlanta to New York City, a distance of almost 900 miles.

    The cheapest seat is $124.95. A flexible ticket is $239.70. The most expensive option - A viewliner roomette (bunk to you and me) is $302.95.

    So from $125 to $300 on a 900 mile trip, vs $750 for a 200 mile trip to Euston.

    That is stunning.

    That is...the magic of the marketplace in action.
  • CharlesCharles Posts: 35,758
    I've just caught up on Mr Meek's admirable mea culpa and noted there was some discussion of Norman Fowler.

    My Mum is close friends with Fiona Fowler... Let's just say that Norman was gently teasing his civil servants...
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,052

    A little history for (younger) Labour posters - or older ones with short memories.....

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joseph_Kagan,_Baron_Kagan

    Historical whataboutery comes to pb. Meanwhile, the press is united in condemning the new list -- David Cameron accused of croneyism: has this ever happened before? Heir to Blair indeed.
    It's the annual 'honours system has been dragged into disrepute/new low/never been as bad' outrage bus.....but why wont anyone answer Andy Burnham's why the Tories think they can get away with whatever they like".?

    Why, Andy?
    Yes,it certainly seems an annual complaint - so if it is more pronounced this time it's ineffective as I haven't noticed.
This discussion has been closed.