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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PB/Polling Matters Christmas Special Podcast – Part 1
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The PB/Polling Matters Christmas Special Podcast – Part 1
In part one of a two-part Christmas special Keiran is joined by Matt Singh and Rob Vance to look back at the year that was 2015 and discuss what Polling Matters has learned along the way. Key areas discussed include:
1) Where the polls went wrong and the impact polling had on the General Election.
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http://i.huffpost.com/gen/3796862/thumbs/o-STAR-WARS-570.jpg
Is Osborne a sci-fi geek? If he is, this would make his day/month/year!
I do hope Episode VIII will be better and more original, plot-wise.
The Empire Strikes Back (1980) is still my favourite film in the Franchise.
Similarly, episodes in Don Quixote. And in The Journey to the West.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-35128149
http://www.nursingtimes.net/roles/nurse-managers/immigration-cap-would-halve-uks-migrant-nurse-workforce/5043358.fullarticle
There are many sides to some of the current problems in the NHs including an ageing population, fragmented families unable to cope with sick relatives, Britains love of sugar salt and fat etc. Some are own goals by the government though: restrictions on international Nurse recruitment, the paycut of the new Junior doctors contract leading to a recruitment crisis, caps on agency/locum ratesleaving staffing gaps and cuts in social care by councils.
These kipper-bashers get everywhere nowadays...
What a disgraceful way to run government.
Why can't we just recruit raw caring people in this country, and train them up on the job?
Its almost as if tbe government wants the crisis in staffing to worsen. We can only speculate as to why.
It's no wonder most MPs think the same on this, given most of them are middle-class graduates and more often than not mainly London based.
Here we go again... @DouglasCarswell has told @BBCEssex that @UKIP needs a new leader.
he says it’s time for a leader who radiates “sunshine & optimism” to reinvigorate the party – but says he doesn’t want the job himself.
.@DouglasCarswell said @UKIP performance at the Oldham by election proves the party needs a “fresh face” at the top.
.@Nigel_Farage has told the BBC his only MP should 'put up or shut up'
.@UKIP leader adds comment 'hasn't hit me cold - he has been saying this privately for some months.'
On the other hand, most people find 'politics' (and its process) intensely boring, and barely tune in at all to by-elections, opinion polls, day-to-day debate and gossip.
Jolly decent of you to speak for most people. UKIP want to leave the EU, you need to elaborate more on their "current trajectory" for your assertion to be any more than froth.
We know which way OGH leans (with his regrettable cancellation of the great event).
Douglas Carswell says Ukip should be an "optimistic, smiley, socially liberal, unapologetically free market party". http://polho.me/1lVByzk
At a time of public sector pay rises I consider Osborne giving staff a 42% pay rise pretty poor.
Anybody who thinks Kelly Tolhurst is a better parliamentarian than him should put her on QT.
More conservatives will vote Out than kippers, that doesn't exactly square your circle.
Never interrupt your enemies whilst they are making a mistake.
It says a lot about the Conservative party that their MPs are too pissed to bother voting.
Incidentally he's never had a drink since.
The assertion was that ukip leadership is lazy, it's total cobblers.
Delighted that UKIP are influencing so many though.
But UKIP is likely to be the only significant party promoting a Leave vote (just as the SNP was in the Indyref). Therefore a Remain win is a UKIP loss.
https://twitter.com/YvetteCooperMP/status/677210427571478528
However, the truth is that UKIP has gotten into the mid-teens, and with a shot at getting into the 20s next general election time, because it is Eurosceptic and socially conservative.
Carswell is right, but the timing surprises me a little. Did he state this clearly when Farage was doing his hokey-cokey.
The most obvious failing is not signing supporters up for postal votes.
http://m.huffpost.com/uk/entry/8833184?1450397563
That's the whole point of these election thingys.
But then I always found Carswell like that. Sweeping, simplistic solutions to complex problems without any consideration at all of vested interests. His heart is in the right place but...
He is about to find once again that vested interests like Farage are not just small bumps in the road to be ridden over. My guess is he will be an independent MP within the month. I wonder if the failure to agree the unification of the Out campaigns has caused him to go public.
It seems to me that the party's foot soldiers and supporters are consistently let down by its leadership.
I can't help noticing events when we win something significant [then promptly forget 90% of it] or a big scandal happens like FIFA, but otherwise I am almost totally ignorant about the subject. I don't know most of the SPOTY names or anything they've done. If I translate that into what normal people recall about politicians - it seems entirely likely.
I must say whatever the outcome of talks about talks I had expected them to be conducted out of sight in a Brussels corridor rather than in plain sight by the PM.
Right now, the Conservatives have a good situation on defections. One of two MPs was axed at the election, and the other is at odd with UKIP's leader. Defecting looks deeply unattractive, but if the Conservatives take Carswell back they give a safety net to anyone thinking of tightrope-walking to the purples.
'I was wrong to defect to UKIP, a vote UKIP is a wasted vote, Dave was right, UKIP are full of loons, racists and fruitcakes'
Luke 15:7, old bean