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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Corbyn has the best satisfaction ratings of any leader in today’s Ipsos poll
November Ipsos poll
In net terms Corbyn has the best figures of any of the party leaders pic.twitter.com/UUHZhnHWH4
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Lab 34
How many seats would that leave Labour?
Labour seems to be weighted down by it's MP's not by it's Leader (approaching troll levels now).
Totally baffling
‘Farron ahead of Cameron’ – ah bless…
1) Satisfied
2) Dissatisfied
3) Don't give the remotest hint of a toss*
*it's four years from an election and who is the Tim Farron guy anyway.
Why is Corbyn only "acting leader of the Labour party" ?
Does anyone know what Farron has been up to?
I note no drift on Khan for Mayor since the Paris attacks - a sign of our tolerance or a sleepy market?
At the same time, Corbyn's ratings are pretty decent, in contrast to the findings of every other polling company.
It looks like an outlier all round.
Going further back Blair 53, Smith 40, Kinnock 45, Foot 29.
https://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/poll.aspx?oItemId=2437&view=wide
Corbyn's peak so far is 37, he's no Foot, Hague, IDS or Howard, but more of a Miliband-Smith-Kinnock level.
I said a while back speaking to a Kipper in South Yorkshire, most voters think it is only a small minority of Muslims.
Khan has made a big change in his rhetoric on race relations today, if twitter is to be believed.
Firing Lord Rennard as a sleazebag..
@DPJHodges: "Chancellor, do you need to see this Budget thing?". "Nah. Just put my signature on it and bung it out there."....
The power of PB
But on today's one among their own party it's:
Cameron 80/18
Corbyn 65/18
Farage 91/9
Farron: 57/30
There are as many dissatisfied with Cameron inside the Tory party as Labour is with Corbyn, but we haven't head of any rumblings in the Tory party much less about Tim Farron and the LD.
The problem for Labour is that in the 18% who are dissatisfied with Corbyn are it's MP's, the MP's are weighting down Labour with their constant moaning about the leadership election result.
In any case, there are plenty more such skeletons in the McDonnell cupboard. Voters will gradually notice, but it will take some time for the full effect to show.
Age...... Sat......VI
18-24... 60......58
25-34... 54......37
35-44... 48......34
45-54... 23......25
55-64... 28......25
65-74....18......31
74+.......12.......16
Region... Sat......VI
North.... 36......44
Mids...... 37......34
South..... 40......30
London.. 49.......44
Scotland. 24......12
Popular with the young, but once they leave university they'll vote otherwise, and popular in London.
He gets some 'sympathy' satisfaction from other parties' left wing vote.
The low level of satisfaction in the North of England may be a pointer towards stay-at-home's.
Ye should not believe ye polls.. ye polls are untested.
Cameron 86/9
Miliband 71/21
Farage 91/3
Clegg 73/25
@SkyNewsBreak: The Premier League has announced that the French national anthem 'La Marseillaise' will be played ahead of all matches this weekend
Cameron least popular
LMFAO
Stick that in Simon Danczuks pipe!!
Meanwhile, wry cartoon in the middlebrow German mag Cicero, called "The limits of military strategy":
http://www.cicero.de/karikaturen/die-grenzen-der-militaerstrategie
"They're launching air attacks against the CENTRE of IS terrorism". "Against BELGIUM?"
Like all good cartoons, it makes a useful point. Even if ISIS is utterly defeated in Syria and Iraq, there will still be a global problem.
Miliband was actually between 33 and 40 in all age groups. Compare that to Corbyn where 'satisfaction' is very high with the kids, but drops off a cliff from middle age.
Have you ever heard of the expression EICIPM ?
Just wondering.
Miliband was actually between 33 and 40 in all age groups. Compare that to Corbyn where 'satisfaction' is very high with the kids, but drops off a cliff from middle age.
Long Term Tragicomic Plan.
I'll get my coat.
But it helped.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/
Carson fading and Rubio and Cruz moving up in both NH and nationally. Trump still well ahead - of the two front-runners, he's the one with the staying power. Everyone else absolutely nowhere. I've taken a small bet on Betfair on Rubio for President at 5.4 - seems better odds than the 2.36 available for nominee, as if he's the nominee there will be a period where he's odds on an I can lay off. Cruz at 8 for nominee looks possibly interesting - he's probably just one good debate performance away from a strong position.
Hillary drops marginally behind in NH but still massively ahead overall.
This decision is plain barmy.
And moreover, I don't think the fans will get behind this 100% either.
All this John McDonnell/signature stuff, John Woodcock, Diane Abbott, oh and of course Jezza himself - each episode absolutely incendiary, and also critical to giving some idea of what a Lab govt might look like...and yet onwards the Lab voting public goes, marking their name against Lab in polls.
I am none too sure when it will actually filter through, if ever. I mean that will still leave Lab on a solid 25-30% but it should be 15-20%.
Con 336
Lab 232
LD 5
UKIP 0
Green 1
Tory majority of 22
Does it mean Even If Corbyn Is PM PB Tories are always right
JCWNBPM
HUYFD really called it when he claimed Corbyn would solve all Labour's problems in Scotland.
Best get on labour for Oldham then.
Either these polls are garbage, or the bookies are reading Oldham completely wrong.
Why are Lab polling more than at GE 2015 despite people like yourself and DH changing their horse?
6:00:01 minutes after you first post your comment.
Just saying
They aren't paying attention. They didn't seem to be paying attention (or were having a laugh) for much of EdM's opposition.
But some time before they reach the polling station, perhaps on the way there, they switch modes and conduct razor sharp analysis of the choices before them.
And, more often than not, they make the right decision as a result.
Since the overwhelming vote of confidence in Jezza in MORI
And the overwhelming vote of no confidence by Doctos in the other Jezza
I can understand you wishing it were so
"They certainly need a reality check. A sense of professionalism too, if they want to be thought of as professionals. And a recognition that their salaries are paid for by others' taxes. Others who earn less, have less job security, have endured far more hardship than doctors and who depend on them."
With this -
"Ah yes the usual pb commentator who cannot stand the fact that there are some things which the state should do and therefore pay people to do it. It matters not a fig where the salary comes from if the government is committed to doing dangerous things they have a duty to speak up. "
I haven't seen you around much but for your information the reasons I have a problem - a big problem - with what the doctors are proposing are these:-
1. When there was the last doctor's strike, operations were postponed. My father was one of those patients whose operation was postponed and by the time he had it the cancer was inoperable and he died from a cancer which, even then, he could have survived. My father was a doctor and would never have done to patients what was done to him. And he never did so in a career that spanned 40 years, encompassing WW2 and where he was paid far less than doctors now and paid far more tax. He suffered, his family suffered and I miss him to this day. I think it unconscionable that doctors now should seek to take the risk of inflicting something similar on people today and still claim the moral high ground.
2. There is no reason why the state should do health or all of it. Very few countries in the world have a system like ours. Doctors are very keen on the NHS but are not prepared to accept the restraints that such a system inevitably puts on patients - via rationing (or queues, as they are known) - or on salaries. They want to have market salaries in a state run system.
3. I have been having a series of tests over the last few weeks in relation to various issues, one of which may be cancer. I do not want to be in a position where any treatment I need is delayed because doctors are more bothered about their pay than about their duties to their patients. I should not need to spell out why I feel concerned.
The point that the dreadful awfulness of the current labour regime has not filtered through to the electorate may be a valid one, however.
Oldham will tell us something.
The equivalent would be if I said that you didn't care what Labour stood for, so long as it won elections and kept the Tories out. It's probably not a fair representation of your views. If we each stick to saying what we think ourselves, we're on more solid ground, no?
Labour on 232 after 4 years of Corbyn would be a massive result for 'Momentum'. We would of course have to start a new charity for hard up deselected Labour MPs.
However, I hope for politicians who are honest, can follow a train of thought at least as far as seeing some of the unintended consequences, who are prepared as a general rule to think beyond the next election and who want to govern for the general good in the world we live in today. My hopes are frequently dashed even though I don't think I am asking for much.