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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A Republican ticket to give Hilary Clinton nightmares?

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  • notmenotme Posts: 3,293
    MTimT said:

    JEO said:

    MTimT said:

    The first job of the VP is to do no harm, Bridgegate is disqualifying, especially with the investigations still ongoing.

    Indeed.

    Rubio could pull off a historic ticket - minorities on top and bottom and male/female - by having either Nikki Haley or Susana Martinez as his VP candidate. If neither bring enough foreign and defence policy expertise, he could always recruit Condoleezza.
    Condoleeza Rice has always been talked about as a potential ticket member but she has always seemed completely uninterested in electoral politics. I can't help but feel people suggest her more based on hope than reality.
    Yeah, but the Veep slot is different, as it is really not directly elected in its own right.
    She had more influence as secretary of state under Bush than she would ever have as VP.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,922

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Comrades,

    Events exactly 98 years ago:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_Revolution

    Cue a 98-year argument on whether it was the 'October' or 'November' revolution.

    Unhelpfully from my point of view, OCR calls it 'November' and AQA 'October.'
    Gregorian calendar (ie. wot we've been using since 1752) says 7th November.
    25th October "old style" (ie. Julian Calendar) which Russia was using at the time.
    That is why the confusion!
    If you want real confusion, try to write a Julian Day to local date converter that takes into account all the regions that swapped from Julian to Gregorian calenders in different years. A task made harder by other issues, such as the year the ordinal date became January 1st and territorial changes.

    Fortunately most people bar historians ignore local dates, and historians have little use for Julian Day Numbers!

    ISTR NASA cheats by having no dates before ?1600? or so.
    Dates, times and calendars are the IT guy's version of Hell!

    http://infiniteundo.com/post/25326999628/falsehoods-programmers-believe-about-time
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    @YDoethur

    "It is generally accepted among historians that the merchant navy did indeed suffer the worst casualty rate of British forces. However, I have very seldom seen detailed statistical analysis to back that up"

    Going off on a tangent here: what does that say about Historians. They generally accept something that is true but are unable to point to a source. Ye Gods, we are talking about supposed historians here not politicians. Come on, Doc, if you put a claim like that with no source into an undergraduate essay you would be, rightly, crucified by your tutor.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    antifrank said:

    The conversion from Julian to Gregorian calendar is why our tax year starts on 6 April.

    It's a bit more complex than that; if the country hadn't changed to the Gregorian calender the tax year would still start on the 26th March. This is because accountants are slack barsterwards who've never been bothered to change the 'year end/start' dates. The shift to the Gregorian calender just shifted it forwards ten or so days into April.

    Trust accountants to be stuck in the past... ;)

    http://www.ebs.ltd.uk/news/why-does-the-uk-tax-year-end-on-5th-april/
    Since barristers' garb is supposedly still to display mourning for the death of Queen Anne, a lawyer can't criticise accountants for not moving with the times.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,052

    Scott_P said:

    @krishgm: #c4news Ken Livingstone tells us Andrew Fisher was joking, and he doesn't really think @SimonDanczuk and Frank Field should be purged

    With all these "jokes" going around the Labour Party, they should put repackage them into a DVD like all the other left wing millionaire comics do for Christmas.
    Like the one how Corbyn's repeated rebellions were fine, but the single, so far, rebellion of a few so far is unpardonable behaviour, That one cracks me up.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,624
    I think I might have to go and have a lie down....I agree with Piers Moron...The John Lewis Christmas advert is utter shite.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 62,137
    Mr. kle4, it wasn't even a proper revolt . A score of abstentions is hardly the Nika rebellion.
  • volcanopetevolcanopete Posts: 2,078
    The whole GOP slate seem like total numpties to me.It's Bernie who is making all the right calls and more and more appears like a credible POTUS.I have to admit I'm feeling it #FeelTheBern.
    Are you feeling it?
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865

    Clarkson did a very good WWII piece on the Arctic convoys a couple of years ago (one in particular). I'd never heard of them before that.

    Yes this was the most infamous convoy of them all. Simply known as PQ17 or better known as PQ 17 convoy to hell. The basic story was a convoy heading to Murmansk ( the other port is Archangle)came under threat from the possible sailing of the Tirpitz from a Noregian Fijord. As the escort would have stood little chance against such a battleship the excorts dispersed and the convoy was ordered to scatter. They were picked off one by one either by bomber. Forces flying off the Kola pensinsular or submarines. A handful made it through including the intrepid trip made by one ships as a shepherd to a few others. That was the journey that Clarkson covered.

    In effect the Merchant seaman were abandoned by the escort. The ironic thing was the Tirpitz hadn't sailed at all and it was all a waste of time. From that point on the RaF and commando services did all in their power to sink the vessel including miniture submarines.
  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Danny565 said:

    Does anyone know of a "swingometer" tool to simulate the Welsh Assembly election result, by any chance? In the vein of the Scotland Votes website.

    I assume the answer to this is a no :-(
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,877

    The whole GOP slate seem like total numpties to me.It's Bernie who is making all the right calls and more and more appears like a credible POTUS.I have to admit I'm feeling it #FeelTheBern.
    Are you feeling it?

    No.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,052

    The whole GOP slate seem like total numpties to me.It's Bernie who is making all the right calls and more and more appears like a credible POTUS.I have to admit I'm feeling it #FeelTheBern.
    Are you feeling it?

    "Feel the Bern" sounds like something rather risque, but it would be more interesting if he won, so if only he could do well, but it'll probably be boring.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071

    The whole GOP slate seem like total numpties to me.It's Bernie who is making all the right calls and more and more appears like a credible POTUS.I have to admit I'm feeling it #FeelTheBern.
    Are you feeling it?

    No
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,922
    Danny565 said:

    Danny565 said:

    Does anyone know of a "swingometer" tool to simulate the Welsh Assembly election result, by any chance? In the vein of the Scotland Votes website.

    I assume the answer to this is a no :-(
    Have you tried DataWrapper, as used by PB and others for charts? www.datawrapper.de

    Also a quick google found this article with a link to 30 different web charting tools at the top:
    http://www.computerworld.com/article/2473575/business-intelligence-create-simple-free-charts-with-datawrapper.html
    Hope this helps!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 97,052
    Watching the Stoke-Chelsea match, Charlie Adam looks really old. He's 29 but looks old enough to be his own dad, early 40s at the youngest.

    Which contrasts with Marco Rubio, who could probably pass for 10 years younger than he is on a good day
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,243
    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Comrades,

    Events exactly 98 years ago:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_Revolution

    Cue a 98-year argument on whether it was the 'October' or 'November' revolution.

    Unhelpfully from my point of view, OCR calls it 'November' and AQA 'October.'
    Gregorian calendar (ie. wot we've been using since 1752) says 7th November.
    25th October "old style" (ie. Julian Calendar) which Russia was using at the time.
    That is why the confusion!
    If you want real confusion, try to write a Julian Day to local date converter that takes into account all the regions that swapped from Julian to Gregorian calenders in different years. A task made harder by other issues, such as the year the ordinal date became January 1st and territorial changes.

    Fortunately most people bar historians ignore local dates, and historians have little use for Julian Day Numbers!

    ISTR NASA cheats by having no dates before ?1600? or so.
    Dates, times and calendars are the IT guy's version of Hell!

    http://infiniteundo.com/post/25326999628/falsehoods-programmers-believe-about-time
    A funny video on the problem with time:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-5wpm-gesOY

    I've been there. So much so, I made one of my occasional interview questions: "How would you deal with a module that had to deal with times from any date and timezone?"

    At least half the candidates would have no clue. A few would ask for intelligent clarifications "How far back in the past? Where in the world?". A handful would probably know enough to take an intelligent stab at the problem. From memory only one had the correct answer: "See how some other bugger's done it and see if we can stealuse their code."
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,243
    edited 2015 07
    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    The conversion from Julian to Gregorian calendar is why our tax year starts on 6 April.

    It's a bit more complex than that; if the country hadn't changed to the Gregorian calender the tax year would still start on the 26th March. This is because accountants are slack barsterwards who've never been bothered to change the 'year end/start' dates. The shift to the Gregorian calender just shifted it forwards ten or so days into April.

    Trust accountants to be stuck in the past... ;)

    http://www.ebs.ltd.uk/news/why-does-the-uk-tax-year-end-on-5th-april/
    Since barristers' garb is supposedly still to display mourning for the death of Queen Anne, a lawyer can't criticise accountants for not moving with the times.
    :)

    I wonder if lawyers are advising the government with their data encryption laws?

    It might explain a few things: "Verily, sire, we have no need for 128-bit SSL. We can use a Caesar Cypher and dispatch the message via a trusted courier on our fastest steed. That way the delightful maiden will receive the etching of your privates in a pig's mouth without those Ashcroftians discovering it."
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,598
    edited 2015 07
    It's possible to disagree with an article without throwing a fit like Lucky about this one - makes the reception for Don Brind look positively amicable. People write these articles to give us something to talk about. They get £0 out of it. Let's be a little friendlier, huh?

    I do agree with Christie being a long shot - he would appeal to a sector of the electorate that is probably not really going to vote GOP. But he has an interesting friend...

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/11/07/live_from_new_york__trump_christie_on_snl.html
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,233

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Comrades,

    Events exactly 98 years ago:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_Revolution

    Cue a 98-year argument on whether it was the 'October' or 'November' revolution.

    Unhelpfully from my point of view, OCR calls it 'November' and AQA 'October.'
    Gregorian calendar (ie. wot we've been using since 1752) says 7th November.
    25th October "old style" (ie. Julian Calendar) which Russia was using at the time.
    That is why the confusion!
    If you want real confusion, try to write a Julian Day to local date converter that takes into account all the regions that swapped from Julian to Gregorian calenders in different years. A task made harder by other issues, such as the year the ordinal date became January 1st and territorial changes.

    Fortunately most people bar historians ignore local dates, and historians have little use for Julian Day Numbers!

    ISTR NASA cheats by having no dates before ?1600? or so.
    Dates, times and calendars are the IT guy's version of Hell!

    http://infiniteundo.com/post/25326999628/falsehoods-programmers-believe-about-time
    A funny video on the problem with time:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-5wpm-gesOY

    I've been there. So much so, I made one of my occasional interview questions: "How would you deal with a module that had to deal with times from any date and timezone?"

    At least half the candidates would have no clue. A few would ask for intelligent clarifications "How far back in the past? Where in the world?". A handful would probably know enough to take an intelligent stab at the problem. From memory only one had the correct answer: "See how some other bugger's done it and see if we can stealuse their code."
    Lol at the correct answer. Perhaps when TSE is our directly elected dictator he can get rid of the calendar and timezones all together, and just have Julian date. :D
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,243
    RobD said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Comrades,

    Events exactly 98 years ago:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_Revolution

    Cue a 98-year argument on whether it was the 'October' or 'November' revolution.

    Unhelpfully from my point of view, OCR calls it 'November' and AQA 'October.'
    Gregorian calendar (ie. wot we've been using since 1752) says 7th November.
    25th October "old style" (ie. Julian Calendar) which Russia was using at the time.
    That is why the confusion!
    If you want real confusion, try to write a Julian Day to local date converter that takes into account all the regions that swapped from Julian to Gregorian calenders in different years. A task made harder by other issues, such as the year the ordinal date became January 1st and territorial changes.

    Fortunately most people bar historians ignore local dates, and historians have little use for Julian Day Numbers!

    ISTR NASA cheats by having no dates before ?1600? or so.
    Dates, times and calendars are the IT guy's version of Hell!

    http://infiniteundo.com/post/25326999628/falsehoods-programmers-believe-about-time
    A funny video on the problem with time:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-5wpm-gesOY

    I've been there. So much so, I made one of my occasional interview questions: "How would you deal with a module that had to deal with times from any date and timezone?"

    At least half the candidates would have no clue. A few would ask for intelligent clarifications "How far back in the past? Where in the world?". A handful would probably know enough to take an intelligent stab at the problem. From memory only one had the correct answer: "See how some other bugger's done it and see if we can stealuse their code."
    Lol at the correct answer. Perhaps when TSE is our directly elected dictator he can get rid of the calendar and timezones all together, and just have Julian date. :D
    You mean Star Trek's stardates? Although like TSE, they're internally inconsistent. ;)
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,233

    RobD said:

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Comrades,

    Events exactly 98 years ago:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_Revolution

    Cue a 98-year argument on whether it was the 'October' or 'November' revolution.

    Unhelpfully from my point of view, OCR calls it 'November' and AQA 'October.'
    Gregorian calendar (ie. wot we've been using since 1752) says 7th November.
    25th October "old style" (ie. Julian Calendar) which Russia was using at the time.
    That is why the confusion!
    If you want real confusion, try to write a Julian Day to local date converter that takes into account all the regions that swapped from Julian to Gregorian calenders in different years. A task made harder by other issues, such as the year the ordinal date became January 1st and territorial changes.

    Fortunately most people bar historians ignore local dates, and historians have little use for Julian Day Numbers!

    ISTR NASA cheats by having no dates before ?1600? or so.
    Dates, times and calendars are the IT guy's version of Hell!

    http://infiniteundo.com/post/25326999628/falsehoods-programmers-believe-about-time
    A funny video on the problem with time:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-5wpm-gesOY

    I've been there. So much so, I made one of my occasional interview questions: "How would you deal with a module that had to deal with times from any date and timezone?"

    At least half the candidates would have no clue. A few would ask for intelligent clarifications "How far back in the past? Where in the world?". A handful would probably know enough to take an intelligent stab at the problem. From memory only one had the correct answer: "See how some other bugger's done it and see if we can stealuse their code."
    Lol at the correct answer. Perhaps when TSE is our directly elected dictator he can get rid of the calendar and timezones all together, and just have Julian date. :D
    You mean Star Trek's stardates? Although like TSE, they're internally inconsistent. ;)
    Took me a while to realise, but stardates are effectively space Julian dates!
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,922

    Sandpit said:

    ydoethur said:

    ydoethur said:

    Comrades,

    Events exactly 98 years ago:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/October_Revolution

    Cue a 98-year argument on whether it was the 'October' or 'November' revolution.

    Unhelpfully from my point of view, OCR calls it 'November' and AQA 'October.'
    Gregorian calendar (ie. wot we've been using since 1752) says 7th November.
    25th October "old style" (ie. Julian Calendar) which Russia was using at the time.
    That is why the confusion!
    If you want real confusion, try to write a Julian Day to local date converter that takes into account all the regions that swapped from Julian to Gregorian calenders in different years. A task made harder by other issues, such as the year the ordinal date became January 1st and territorial changes.

    Fortunately most people bar historians ignore local dates, and historians have little use for Julian Day Numbers!

    ISTR NASA cheats by having no dates before ?1600? or so.
    Dates, times and calendars are the IT guy's version of Hell!

    http://infiniteundo.com/post/25326999628/falsehoods-programmers-believe-about-time
    A funny video on the problem with time:
    .youtube.com/watch?v=-5wpm-gesOY

    I've been there. So much so, I made one of my occasional interview questions: "How would you deal with a module that had to deal with times from any date and timezone?"

    At least half the candidates would have no clue. A few would ask for intelligent clarifications "How far back in the past? Where in the world?". A handful would probably know enough to take an intelligent stab at the problem. From memory only one had the correct answer: "See how some other bugger's done it and see if we can stealuse their code."
    LOL at that video. I'm not sure I could ask your interview question while keeping a straight face!
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,243
    Moses_ said:

    Quite so. There really was little chance when these were torpedoed. It's just so sad that these guys and the rest of those in the merchant service never really achieved the same sort of recognition as many other services. All were highly valued but sometimes more could have been done.
    I believe it took many years to have the red ensign hung at the cenotaph. It is now of course. The Merchant Navy memorial at Tower Hill is worth a visit if you happen to be passing by.

    In one of my WWII books there is a picture of a lone sailor standing on what looks like a wooden packing crate, taken from a German submarine. He was standing, looking back at the submarine that was about to abandon him. It's a picture that even without context has somewhat haunted my memory.

    My granddad volunteered for service in DEMS. He saw a ship in front, and a ship behind, get sunk with few, if any, survivors. He felt deep guilt that he was posted ashore, where seniors thought his maths skills would best be used.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,243

    It's possible to disagree with an article without throwing a fit like Lucky about this one - makes the reception for Don Brind look positively amicable. People write these articles to give us something to talk about. They get £0 out of it. Let's be a little friendlier, huh?

    I do agree with Christie being a long shot - he would appeal to a sector of the electorate that is probably not really going to vote GOP. But he has an interesting friend...

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/11/07/live_from_new_york__trump_christie_on_snl.html

    Has Lucky posted on this thread? I can't find it ...
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,641

    It's possible to disagree with an article without throwing a fit like Lucky about this one

    Lucky? I think you mean Speedy!

  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,243
    Sandpit said:

    LOL at that video. I'm not sure I could ask your interview question while keeping a straight face!

    I mainly interviewed for graduate or junior roles. Too many people I saw - especially those with Comp Sci degrees - had little knowledge beyond what they had been taught. If I was to ask about binary trees, q sorting, the perils of multiple inheritance or thread semaphores then there's a chance they'd be able to answer them by rote, without particularly deep understanding.

    Asking a question like: "How would you compress a series of discrete text strings into as small a space as possible" is much more open-ended. Some would pick a stock data-compression algorithm; I was looking for people who would outline how they would create their own tokenised dictionary, or give me several alternatives.

    Mind you, that was back in days when Every Bit Counts (tm). Which fortunately for me, is still often the case in the embedded world.

    "Get some other bugger to do it" has been a stock answer I've used in interviews for contracting jobs, where the task has been far away from my expertise. To my knowledge I never lost a job because of it. :)
  • TomsToms Posts: 2,478
    edited 2015 07

    It's possible to disagree with an article without throwing a fit like Lucky about this one - makes the reception for Don Brind look positively amicable. People write these articles to give us something to talk about. They get £0 out of it. Let's be a little friendlier, huh?

    I do agree with Christie being a long shot - he would appeal to a sector of the electorate that is probably not really going to vote GOP. But he has an interesting friend...

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/11/07/live_from_new_york__trump_christie_on_snl.html

    Has Lucky posted on this thread? I can't find it ...
    From the recent Brind thread, Lucky said the following, which opinion I hugely don't share:

    "---But this is nothing more than a hit peice with the merest of nods toward the purpose of this site. It doesn't belong here."
  • flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903
    MTimT said:

    Moses_ said:

    ... They suffered the highest casualty loss in WW2 of any single service.

    Lest we forget.....

    Fully agree with the sentiment.

    HMS Ulysees left a huge impression on me as a teenager. But I thought bomber command suffered the worst. 55% mortality rate for aircrew and only 27% surviving a full tour.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RAF_Bomber_Command#Casualties
    You are right about HMS Ulysses.
    I think given the rate of losses it was statistically impossible to survive a tour. Clearly some did and some did two tours. Some went down after 1 or 2 missions. A not insignificant number of crews were killed in training.
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 44,243
    Toms said:

    It's possible to disagree with an article without throwing a fit like Lucky about this one - makes the reception for Don Brind look positively amicable. People write these articles to give us something to talk about. They get £0 out of it. Let's be a little friendlier, huh?

    I do agree with Christie being a long shot - he would appeal to a sector of the electorate that is probably not really going to vote GOP. But he has an interesting friend...

    http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2015/11/07/live_from_new_york__trump_christie_on_snl.html

    Has Lucky posted on this thread? I can't find it ...
    From the recent Brind thread, Lucky said the following, which opinion I hugely don't share:

    "---But this is nothing more than a hit peice with the merest of nods toward the purpose of this site. It doesn't belong here."
    To be fair, that was mild compared to what I said about Brind's diarrhoteic pesudo-rhetoric. ;)
  • CromwellCromwell Posts: 236
    Rubio /Rice would be a devastating ticket for Hillary , unfortunately , Rice is more an academic than a politician and is not suited by temperament to the rough and tumble pantomime of politics ...she is more likely to become S of State in a future Rubio administration

    Rubio /Kasich seems the more likely , thereby winning two important swing states
  • CromwellCromwell Posts: 236
    Im convinced that Rubio will be the nominee , he's young , dynamic and Kennedy-esque
This discussion has been closed.