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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Antifrank looks at what now for the House of Lords

SystemSystem Posts: 11,694
edited October 2015 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Antifrank looks at what now for the House of Lords

So the House of Lords has opted for confrontation with the government by asserting its right to intervene on financial matters that are not covered by the letter of the Parliament Act 1949. In turn, the government, like King Lear, has threatened that “I will do such things — what they are yet I know not — but they shall be the terrors of the earth”. We’ll see.

Read the full story here


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Comments

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    AnorakAnorak Posts: 6,621
    First. Another good article.
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    Love the vermin in ermine line.
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    PaulyPauly Posts: 897
    Labour Politicians eradicated by the Corbyn surge and the realities of life...

    1. Lord Adonis
    2. Lord Grabiner
    3. Lord Warner
    4. Lord Noon (R.I.P)
    5. Lord Healey (R.I.P)
    5. Michael Meacher (R.I.P)
    6. ???

    Labour quickly evaporating in the HoL, if it continues at this rate Mr Cameron won't need many more peers to make their un-elected voice irrelevant once again.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,996
    As mentioned late on the last thread, the Lords' vote on individual voter registration will also affect things. Two matters (one finance, the other democratic) being voted down by the Lords on consecutive days will raise the heat substantially and make drastic action by the Conservatives seem more reasonable/acceptable/necessary.
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    watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    edited October 2015

    As mentioned late on the last thread, the Lords' vote on individual voter registration will also affect things. Two matters (one finance, the other democratic) being voted down by the Lords on consecutive days will raise the heat substantially and make drastic action by the Conservatives seem more reasonable/acceptable/necessary.

    IVR was a manifesto pledge. Deliberately voting it down would definitely turn up the heat on Lords reform.

    As an aside, former MPs of whichever persuasion should not be ennobled. The HoL can do without their dirty habits.
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    Is Osborne just a good tactician but a lousy strategist? Thinks up a brilliant wheeze which works well if the other side do not have time to respond? Puts forward Tax credit changes in an SI as it forces a separate vote in HoC on Labour but ignores the risk in the HoL. Thinks that because voters back welfare reductions that he can apply this to the "deserving workers"? Dreams up a "party for the workers" theme but fails to think through all the stratgic elements such as working tax credits?
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    edited October 2015
    Spot on. Ozzie at CoE Questions was making this point in a not too subtle way.

    As mentioned late on the last thread, the Lords' vote on individual voter registration will also affect things. Two matters (one finance, the other democratic) being voted down by the Lords on consecutive days will raise the heat substantially and make drastic action by the Conservatives seem more reasonable/acceptable/necessary.

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    Osborne authorises threats to the HoL such as reform, (as a tactical move) but does not think through the practical strategic issues involved so his bluff will be called?
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    As mentioned late on the last thread, the Lords' vote on individual voter registration will also affect things. Two matters (one finance, the other democratic) being voted down by the Lords on consecutive days will raise the heat substantially and make drastic action by the Conservatives seem more reasonable/acceptable/necessary.

    The Govt have known about these threats for weeks, but seem to have no strategies ready to respond.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    I didn't get that impression, it felt like Plan B from the old Lords Reform debate - I felt he had a well thought out plan which hadn't been possible before.

    Osborne authorises threats to the HoL such as reform, (as a tactical move) but does not think through the practical strategic issues involved so his bluff will be called?

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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,996
    Mr. Betting, the system of convention and precedent we have, rather than a written constitution, is contingent on MPs and Peers not acting like delinquents. If the muppet Farron wants to throw his toys out of the pram in a desperate bid to remind voters his party exists, he may discover the Conservatives will give him strychnine rather than sweeties.

    It may be that the Conservatives genuinely didn't believe the Lords would vote down a matter of finance. Others have suggested this is a deliberate tactic by Osborne, though I'm unconvinced. There is also the option of hubris and complacency (distinct from the first point, which is about assuming the following of convention and sensible behaviour).
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Rather than ennobling large numbers of Tories, they could unnoble large numbers of Lib Dems, to better reflect the will of the electorate in 2015.

    More generally, though there's much to deprecate in the institution and operation of the House of Lords, I don't think there is any general sense that the system - from the point of view of the electorate - is broken. Yet.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @ChrisMasonBBC: The Speaker has refused an SNP request for an emergency Commons debate on Wednesday on tax credits.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Apparently the undead were wheeled out from all sides - Lord Webber came back from the US to vote.

    Mr. Betting, the system of convention and precedent we have, rather than a written constitution, is contingent on MPs and Peers not acting like delinquents. If the muppet Farron wants to throw his toys out of the pram in a desperate bid to remind voters his party exists, he may discover the Conservatives will give him strychnine rather than sweeties.

    It may be that the Conservatives genuinely didn't believe the Lords would vote down a matter of finance. Others have suggested this is a deliberate tactic by Osborne, though I'm unconvinced. There is also the option of hubris and complacency (distinct from the first point, which is about assuming the following of convention and sensible behaviour).

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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,996
    Mr. P, should've got Labour to ask him.

    I'm surprised, he normally hands out such debates like confetti. Presumably it's because either the rosette was the wrong colour, or because the Lords voted them down.
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Is that the first UQ he's refused?!
    Scott_P said:

    @ChrisMasonBBC: The Speaker has refused an SNP request for an emergency Commons debate on Wednesday on tax credits.

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    Scott_P said:

    @ChrisMasonBBC: The Speaker has refused an SNP request for an emergency Commons debate on Wednesday on tax credits.

    Is he feeling alright?
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    Britain considers outcomes under Proportional Representation

    LONDON, UK -- Political analysts have discovered the horrifying truth that if the election were to have been carried out with proportional representation, the United Kingdom would now be sitting under a Communist regime. The D'Hondt system would also have produced an interesting opposition cabinet.


    http://uncyclopedia.wikia.com/wiki/UnNews:Britain_considers_outcomes_under_Proportional_Representation
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    Richard_NabaviRichard_Nabavi Posts: 30,820
    edited October 2015
    The Lords will back away from any further confrontation with the elected government. This is because, in the limit, the threat to create as many new peers as it takes is not an empty one. Furthermore, I believe that new peers would not have to be approved by the House of Lords Appointments Commission - that is a purely advisory body, so those who wish to thwart the democratically-elected government cannot rely on that commission to delay and wreck things.

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Those of us who voted for Jezza?

    The Lords will back away from any further confrontation with the elected government. This is because, in the limit, the threat to create as many new peers as it takes is not an empty one. Furthermore, I believe that new peers would not have to be approved by the House of Lords Appointments Commission - that is a purely advisory body, so those who wish to thwart the democratically-elected government cannot rely on that commission to delay and wreck things.

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

    Rebecca Brooks perhaps?
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    LOL
    Scott_P said:

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

    Rebecca Brooks perhaps?
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    Those of us who voted for Jezza?

    Ah yes, 'For services to progressive politics'
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,859
    watford30 said:

    As mentioned late on the last thread, the Lords' vote on individual voter registration will also affect things. Two matters (one finance, the other democratic) being voted down by the Lords on consecutive days will raise the heat substantially and make drastic action by the Conservatives seem more reasonable/acceptable/necessary.

    IVR was a manifesto pledge. Deliberately voting it down would definitely turn up the heat on Lords reform.

    As an aside, former MPs of whichever persuasion should not be ennobled. The HoL can do without their dirty habits.
    Presumably the government could just use the Parliament Act to ram through IVR if the Lords reject it.

    I don't know what argument there is against IVR, other than pure partisanship.
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    Rather than ennobling large numbers of Tories, they could unnoble large numbers of Lib Dems, to better reflect the will of the electorate in 2015.

    More generally, though there's much to deprecate in the institution and operation of the House of Lords, I don't think there is any general sense that the system - from the point of view of the electorate - is broken. Yet.

    Having removed the right to vote from many Hereditary Peers, that can be done. The LibDem Peers would have to elect the 5 or 10 they wanted to represent them from their number.

    Limiting the house to maximum number is good, but you have to allow for the cross benchers, and the difficult bit of how to define that they are, in theory, apolitical.

    An imaginary make up could be:
    300 members:
    15 for God and his competitors
    60 for Cross Benchers
    225 for parties split proportionally to the results of a mid term election with a 7.5% threshold.

    Members entitled to sit in each category vote to allocate members in the same way the Hereditary element do now when one of their number drop off the perch.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,996
    Mr. F, Farron might want to stamp his little foot again.

    Mr. H, that seems a pretty sensible reform idea (certainly better than Clegg's deranged offering).
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    Mr. F, Farron might want to stamp his little foot again.

    Mr. H, that seems a pretty sensible reform idea (certainly better than Clegg's deranged offering).

    I would be distraught if I couldn't eclipse Clegg!
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,996
    Mr. H, Farron's job is to consolidate, stop the rot, and try to start rebuilding.

    Hissyfits, one might suggest, and ignoring the conventions of Westminster are not the way to go.

    The Lib Dems have a huge amount of space to work in, if they wish to claim to be the sensible left. Instead, they're pulling stunts. It baffles me.
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    tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,548
    Sean_F said:

    watford30 said:

    As mentioned late on the last thread, the Lords' vote on individual voter registration will also affect things. Two matters (one finance, the other democratic) being voted down by the Lords on consecutive days will raise the heat substantially and make drastic action by the Conservatives seem more reasonable/acceptable/necessary.

    IVR was a manifesto pledge. Deliberately voting it down would definitely turn up the heat on Lords reform.

    As an aside, former MPs of whichever persuasion should not be ennobled. The HoL can do without their dirty habits.
    Presumably the government could just use the Parliament Act to ram through IVR if the Lords reject it.

    I don't know what argument there is against IVR, other than pure partisanship.
    Actually the HOL are on far firmer grounds on this one. No-one's (well Labour maybe) disputing the principle of IVR, and the coalition plan endorsed by the Electoral Commission was to implement by 2016. Since May, the Tories have gone against this advice and are insisting on completing by December this year - the Electoral Commission have advised peers to oppose this. The vote is only on the Government's change to complete in 2015 rather than 2016. And by a strange coincidence, this would drop off some (no-one knows how many - certainly not the 1.9 million Labour are saying) voters in Labour areas, ahead of the boundary review. Colour me shocked!

    Whatever your views on the HOL, I'd have thought that stopping the Government ignoring professional advice for party advantage was what it's there for.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,996
    Mr. tpfkar, assuming that's all correct, you have missed off one crucial aspect, which is that it would mean the Lords defying the Commons twice in two consecutive days.
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    DaemonBarberDaemonBarber Posts: 1,626
    "Let us assume for now that the Conservatives decide to take action as opposed to bluster"

    Bluster seems more likely
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,454
    It's another good article by Antifrank.

    Worth noting that the Lab-LD blocking alliance in the Lords is not all powerful. Even yesterday the majority for the votes were only 30, and 17, respectively and relied on the crossbenchers breaking for the opposition.

    In fact, I'd even go so far as to say Lab-LDs need the crossbenchers to continue their obstructiveness.

    Thus enobling (say) a further 50 Tory peers, 2 LD, 2 SNP (if they'll take it) 3 UKIP and 13 Labour next year might be the easiest course, and do the trick.

    Public opinion would flare for a day or two, and then disappear.
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    Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 49,362
    edited October 2015
    When I saw the acronym "IVR" - my blood drained...

    ...I thought you were referring to Instant Run-off Voting, otherwise known as that "fabulous" voting system called AV! :lol:
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    I didn't get that impression, it felt like Plan B from the old Lords Reform debate - I felt he had a well thought out plan which hadn't been possible before.

    Osborne authorises threats to the HoL such as reform, (as a tactical move) but does not think through the practical strategic issues involved so his bluff will be called?

    What current plan for the HoL? I can see no sign, just noises off stage.
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    TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited October 2015
    Sean_F said:

    watford30 said:

    As mentioned late on the last thread, the Lords' vote on individual voter registration will also affect things. Two matters (one finance, the other democratic) being voted down by the Lords on consecutive days will raise the heat substantially and make drastic action by the Conservatives seem more reasonable/acceptable/necessary.

    IVR was a manifesto pledge. Deliberately voting it down would definitely turn up the heat on Lords reform.

    As an aside, former MPs of whichever persuasion should not be ennobled. The HoL can do without their dirty habits.
    Presumably the government could just use the Parliament Act to ram through IVR if the Lords reject it.

    I don't know what argument there is against IVR, other than pure partisanship.
    The Electoral Commission (loaded with lefties) want it delayed. Howarth is on it and he is a leftie Lib Dem. Clearly in cahoots with LD peers.
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    AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    I didn't get that impression, it felt like Plan B from the old Lords Reform debate - I felt he had a well thought out plan which hadn't been possible before.

    Osborne authorises threats to the HoL such as reform, (as a tactical move) but does not think through the practical strategic issues involved so his bluff will be called?

    What current plan for the HoL? I can see no sign, just noises off stage.
    The briefings since the vote are about a "rapid review" to "limit the Lords' powers". That suggests to me that they are not looking to change the peers but to limit further what they can interfere in.
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    watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    Scott_P said:

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

    Rebecca Brooks perhaps?
    Or Lord Coulson of Hollesley Bay.
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    "Let us assume for now that the Conservatives decide to take action as opposed to bluster"

    Bluster seems more likely

    Agreed. All mouth and trousers.
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    PClippPClipp Posts: 2,138

    Mr. Betting, the system of convention and precedent we have, rather than a written constitution, is contingent on MPs and Peers not acting like delinquents. If the muppet Farron wants to throw his toys out of the pram in a desperate bid to remind voters his party exists, he may discover the Conservatives will give him strychnine rather than sweeties.

    It may be that the Conservatives genuinely didn't believe the Lords would vote down a matter of finance. Others have suggested this is a deliberate tactic by Osborne, though I'm unconvinced. There is also the option of hubris and complacency (distinct from the first point, which is about assuming the following of convention and sensible behaviour).

    I think you are wrong here, Mr Dancer. Tim Farron is no muppet. In one single day he has managed to get back on the political agenda two key issues.

    Reform of the House of Lords, which most Lib Dems are enthusiastically in favour of. The Tories are hopelessly split on this one, as we saw in the last Parliament.

    The uselessness of the Labour Party in standing up for the interests of ordinary people. The fact that the Labour Party is hopelessly split is patently obvious for all to see.

    So two very clear goals for the Lib Dems under their new leader, Tim Farron. Chaos and confusion in the ranks of Osborne´s Conservatives.

    What were you saying about muppets, Mr Dancer?
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    JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 39,056
    Thanks for this Antifrank.
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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    If the Lords is changed to reflect the percentage votes - how many UKIP Lords will need to be added?

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    antifrank said:

    I didn't get that impression, it felt like Plan B from the old Lords Reform debate - I felt he had a well thought out plan which hadn't been possible before.

    Osborne authorises threats to the HoL such as reform, (as a tactical move) but does not think through the practical strategic issues involved so his bluff will be called?

    What current plan for the HoL? I can see no sign, just noises off stage.
    The briefings since the vote are about a "rapid review" to "limit the Lords' powers". That suggests to me that they are not looking to change the peers but to limit further what they can interfere in.
    Review = kick it into touch. Of course as a tactical move Osborne should stick to Bills for any financial items.
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    The House of Lords is 120% size of the House of Commons.

    Average size for an Upper House among the 79 nations with bicameral legislatures = 44% the size of the Lower House

    Average number of seats for an Upper House among the 79 nations with bicameral legislatures = 92.5

    Average number of seats for a Lower House among the 79 nations with bicameral legislatures = 234.4

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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,996
    Mr. Clipp, being a flasher today and castrated tomorrow is not a strategic victory.

    The Lib Dems are currently not enjoying universal popularity, but they have many peers. If power is stripped from the peers, what do they have?
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,859
    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

    Rebecca Brooks perhaps?
    Or Lord Coulson of Hollesley Bay.
    Lord Coleman of Totteridge.
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    runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536
    'the Electoral Commission have advised peers to oppose this'

    The electoral commission is not some Olympian, disinterested body. Its 'advice' should carry as much weight as that of any other pressure group i.e. ACPO, the local government association or the equalities and human rights commission
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Entertainingly and cruelly put.

    Mr. Clipp, being a flasher today and castrated tomorrow is not a strategic victory.

    The Lib Dems are currently not enjoying universal popularity, but they have many peers. If power is stripped from the peers, what do they have?

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    @TSEofPB: I suspect this part of the Tory manifesto is going to be mentioned a lot in the next few days. Via @joncstone https://t.co/rkG4aBfLbY
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    watford30watford30 Posts: 3,474
    Sean_F said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

    Rebecca Brooks perhaps?
    Or Lord Coulson of Hollesley Bay.
    Lord Coleman of Totteridge.
    In an ermine mankini?
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    Dave destroyed the Lib Dems in the Commons he should do the same to the Lib Dems in the House of Lords.

    Lib Dems delenda est (part II)
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    Sean_F said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

    Rebecca Brooks perhaps?
    Or Lord Coulson of Hollesley Bay.
    Lord Coleman of Totteridge.
    Lord Starky of Kendal and QT

    Your suggestion is one to stop all sentient life forms from wishing to continue.
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    Sean_F said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

    Rebecca Brooks perhaps?
    Or Lord Coulson of Hollesley Bay.
    Lord Coleman of Totteridge.
    Lord Kerry Smith surely ?
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    OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 32,027
    edited October 2015
    I don’t anyone disagrees that the HoL needs reform. The problem is how.
    Personally I’d be in favour of the LD scheme (well, I would be wouldn’t I) but TBH it does seem as good as anything else and probably better than most.
    402 “members” each elected for one term of 15 years, with one-third (134) coming up every five years, Not at the same time as HoC elections, though. We’d have to elect all 402 first time round, unless it was decided to elect 134 at first and keep 268 of the present lot (drawn by lot from those under 75?), electing another 134 five years later and thanking 134 non-elected for their services.
    Constituencies based on the European Parliament ones. Elections by STV. None of this Party List rubbish.
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    flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903
    edited October 2015
    Did the House of Lords, this supposed knowledgeable chamber, really know what it was voting about?
    If nothing had been done about Brown's tax credit madness then this year it would have stood at £38bn and next year £40bn. In 2010 nine families in ten with children received it.Because of cuts under the LD coalition it has been stabilised at £30bn. It affects now 6 families in 10.
    The present measures will bring that down to affecting, wait for it, 5 families in 10 with children.
    (see David Smith in The Times)
    Other benefits will probably help the poorest.
    Other choices?
    Tax credits are complicated as it is, can cuts be easily phased in? Frank Fields proposals claim to be painless but it would create a very high marginal rate of effective taxation on earnings above £13000.
    It strikes me that, as David Smith suggests, that we may see a bit of both of the above, but what we may also see is more taxes for the ordinary person. Fuel tax, thresholds remaining higher and IHT thresholds remaining higher.
    Free lunches do not accompany virtue signalling.

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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,859

    Sean_F said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

    Rebecca Brooks perhaps?
    Or Lord Coulson of Hollesley Bay.
    Lord Coleman of Totteridge.
    Lord Kerry Smith surely ?
    I don't know if he's articulate enough to recite the oath.
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    Did the House of Lords, this supposed knowledgeable chamber, really know what it was voting about?
    If nothing had been done about Brown's tax credit madness then this year it would have stood at £38bn and next year £40bn. In 2010 nine families in ten with children received it3. Because of cuts under the LD coalition it has been stabilised at £30bn. It affects now 6 families in 10.
    The present measures will bring that down to affecting, wait for it, 5 families in 10 with children.
    (see David Smith in The Times)
    Other benefits will probably help the poorest.
    Other choices?
    Tax credits are complicated as it is, can cuts be easily phased in? Frank Fields proposals claim to be painless but it would create a very high marginal rate of effective taxation on earnings above £13000.
    It strikes me that, as David Smith suggests, that we may see a bit of both of the above, but what we may also see is more taxes for the ordinary person. Fuel tax, thresholds remaining higher and IHT thresholds remaining higher.
    Free lunches do not accompany virtue signalling.

    Tax the rich again and again. That will work
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    Sean_FSean_F Posts: 35,859
    philiph said:

    Sean_F said:

    watford30 said:

    Scott_P said:

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

    Rebecca Brooks perhaps?
    Or Lord Coulson of Hollesley Bay.
    Lord Coleman of Totteridge.
    Lord Starky of Kendal and QT

    Your suggestion is one to stop all sentient life forms from wishing to continue.
    Lord Starkey would be a good choice.
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    The Lords will back away from any further confrontation with the elected government. This is because, in the limit, the threat to create as many new peers as it takes is not an empty one. Furthermore, I believe that new peers would not have to be approved by the House of Lords Appointments Commission - that is a purely advisory body, so those who wish to thwart the democratically-elected government cannot rely on that commission to delay and wreck things.

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

    But the Queen would have to approve of a tranche of new peers -- do you really think her handlers would want her to be accused of gerrymandering Parliament to the Tories' advantage??
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,996
    Mr. 565, ask the reverse too: would she wish to block the democratically elected Government when its will was being thwarted by unelected peers?
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610
    Danny565 said:

    The Lords will back away from any further confrontation with the elected government. This is because, in the limit, the threat to create as many new peers as it takes is not an empty one. Furthermore, I believe that new peers would not have to be approved by the House of Lords Appointments Commission - that is a purely advisory body, so those who wish to thwart the democratically-elected government cannot rely on that commission to delay and wreck things.

    It might be prudent for Cameron to enoble a few Tory apparatchiks to make the point.

    But the Queen would have to approve of a tranche of new peers -- do you really think her handlers would want her to be accused of gerrymandering Parliament to the Tories' advantage??
    She isn't going to get involved one way or the other.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,352
    edited October 2015
    Sean_F said:

    watford30 said:

    As mentioned late on the last thread, the Lords' vote on individual voter registration will also affect things. Two matters (one finance, the other democratic) being voted down by the Lords on consecutive days will raise the heat substantially and make drastic action by the Conservatives seem more reasonable/acceptable/necessary.

    IVR was a manifesto pledge. Deliberately voting it down would definitely turn up the heat on Lords reform.

    As an aside, former MPs of whichever persuasion should not be ennobled. The HoL can do without their dirty habits.
    Presumably the government could just use the Parliament Act to ram through IVR if the Lords reject it.

    I don't know what argument there is against IVR, other than pure partisanship.
    The argument is over bringing it forward a year.The Electoral Commission is among the bodies to call for that to be rejected since they say the process of transferring to individual registration has not yet proceeded far enough, so numerous people would be disenfranchised, with knock-on effects on the constituency boundaries (because if inner cities seem to have fewer people, they will get fewer seats).

    Overriding the Electoral Commission by means of a secondary instrument is pretty cavalier, and I don't think bring the launch forward by a year was in fact in the manifesto. The Government can't use the Parliament Act precisely because it's a secondary instrument - the Act only works on primary legislation. It's karma, really.
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    richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    philiph...very soon the only rich people to tax and tax again will be those on benefits..
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    Mr. 565, ask the reverse too: would she wish to block the democratically elected Government when its will was being thwarted by unelected peers?

    Again, the whole point of the Lords (or any second chamber in any country) is precisely to act as a check and balance on the power of the executive. Complaining about them voting down government proposals is the equivalent of a burglar complaining about burglar alarms in their intended victims' houses.

    In any case, Michael Forsyth was saying on Radio 4 before that the Queen would probably follow the precedent set in the 1910s Lords crisis: the King refused the Liberals' request to ennoble huge numbers of new peers unless/until they won an election on a platform to reform the Lords.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610

    I don’t anyone disagrees that the HoL needs reform. The problem is how.
    Personally I’d be in favour of the LD scheme (well, I would be wouldn’t I) but TBH it does seem as good as anything else and probably better than most.
    402 “members” each elected for one term of 15 years, with one-third (134) coming up every five years, Not at the same time as HoC elections, though. We’d have to elect all 402 first time round, unless it was decided to elect 134 at first and keep 268 of the present lot (drawn by lot from those under 75?), electing another 134 five years later and thanking 134 non-elected for their services.
    Constituencies based on the European Parliament ones. Elections by STV. None of this Party List rubbish.

    Having a bunch of party placemen with no independent thinking is not what we want. Appointment by committee allows for cross benchers and other free thinkers.

    Get rid of bishops, have 20 year terms and appointment by committee with 12.5% per cycle appointed on party lines and the remainder appointed for expertise as cross benchers. Keeps the politics mostly out of it and then no one can moan about under or over representation.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,996
    Mr. Max, I'd be wary of axing the bishops. I'm no fan of the Archsocialist, but such a change could have significant repercussions.

    Mr. 565, the purpose of the Lords is to amend and revise legislation. It is expressly not to vote down matters of finance.
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    NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,352
    edited October 2015
    Runnymede: "'the Electoral Commission have advised peers to oppose this'

    The electoral commission is not some Olympian, disinterested body. Its 'advice' should carry as much weight as that of any other pressure group i.e. ACPO, the local government association or the equalities and human rights commission"
    ---------------------

    Well, it's an independent government-funded body reporting to Parliament, with no apparent vested interest in whether IVR is completed this year or next. It's not really a pressure group for anything, except fair elections. Doesn't mean they're always right, but not really a lobby group.
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    philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704

    philiph...very soon the only rich people to tax and tax again will be those on benefits..

    And people smugglers
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    flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903
    philiph said:

    Did the House of Lords, this supposed knowledgeable chamber, really know what it was voting about?
    If nothing had been done about Brown's tax credit madness then this year it would have stood at £38bn and next year £40bn. In 2010 nine families in ten with children received it3. Because of cuts under the LD coalition it has been stabilised at £30bn. It affects now 6 families in 10.
    The present measures will bring that down to affecting, wait for it, 5 families in 10 with children.
    (see David Smith in The Times)
    Other benefits will probably help the poorest.
    Other choices?
    Tax credits are complicated as it is, can cuts be easily phased in? Frank Fields proposals claim to be painless but it would create a very high marginal rate of effective taxation on earnings above £13000.
    It strikes me that, as David Smith suggests, that we may see a bit of both of the above, but what we may also see is more taxes for the ordinary person. Fuel tax, thresholds remaining higher and IHT thresholds remaining higher.
    Free lunches do not accompany virtue signalling.

    Tax the rich again and again. That will work
    You missed out an 'again' ....
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091



    Mr. 565, the purpose of the Lords is to amend and revise legislation. It is expressly not to vote down matters of finance.

    It's to not vote down Finance Bills. This was not a Finance Bill, for the reason that Osborne didn't want the prolonged period/scrutiny in the Commons that would've come with that.
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    Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 25,496
    watford30 said:

    surbiton said:

    antifrank said:

    justin124 said:

    currystar said:

    justin124 said:

    Evidence today of UK economic slowdown as the rest of EU shows some signs of acceleration. Manufacturing sector back in recession.

    The economy grew by 0.5%, how is that a slowdown?
    Because in the previous quarter it grew by 0.7% - ie growing at 0.5% is slower than growing at 0.7%!
    Given the margins of error in the first draft GDP figures, it wouldn't be a complete surprise if it ultimately transpired that GDP grew more strongly in Q3 than in Q2.
    Manufacturing now down 3 quarters in a row. Deep recession. I can now see why my company's sales are plummeting. We only sell to the manufacturing sector.

    "Manufacturing output has so far fallen 0.9% this year. Producers are struggling as weak demand in many overseas markets, notably China and other emerging nations, is being exacerbated by the appreciation of sterling." -

    http://www.bbc.com/news/business-34646496

    Antifrank, your comments would be hilarious if it wasn't so serious. Apart from 2008-2009, I have not seen anything like this since 1993.
    Or others simply don't want to buy your products, for other reasons. Perhaps cheaper and better are available elsewhere? Why not ask yourself that, before simply blaming the government.

    I know many engineering and manufacturing businesses that are doing extremely well.

    Yes, and one of the main reasons that cheaper and better is often available elsewhere is the tax and regulatory regime, including power costs, fuel costs, wage costs, NI costs, health and safety costs etc. etc. etc.

    But no, nothing to do with the Government clearly.
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    Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 4,818
    One thing to bear in mind - the Lords were (almost) all appointed by an elected Government.

    Like the PM was appointed (in effect) by an elected House of Commons (as per Gordon Brown, Jim Callaghan, Alec Douglas-Home, Neville Chamberlain, who were as legitimate as any other PM).

    While the Lords are certainly not democratically legitimate, neither are they democratically illegitimate. A very British system, really.

    You could argue that public opinion has changed since they were appointed, but then again, it changes between elections. Otherwise we'd never have any change. It's just more pronounced in terms of the Lords.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610

    Mr. Max, I'd be wary of axing the bishops. I'm no fan of the Archsocialist, but such a change could have significant repercussions.

    Mr. 565, the purpose of the Lords is to amend and revise legislation. It is expressly not to vote down matters of finance.

    I would get rid of the bishops. They have no place in our government. If they want to have their say let them stand candidates for election.
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    One thing to bear in mind - the Lords were (almost) all appointed by an elected Government.

    Like the PM was appointed (in effect) by an elected House of Commons (as per Gordon Brown, Jim Callaghan, Alec Douglas-Home, Neville Chamberlain, who were as legitimate as any other PM).

    While the Lords are certainly not democratically legitimate, neither are they democratically illegitimate. A very British system, really.

    You could argue that public opinion has changed since they were appointed, but then again, it changes between elections. Otherwise we'd never have any change. It's just more pronounced in terms of the Lords.

    But does it need to be larger than the elected Lower House?
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,996
    Mr. Max, having religious parties would be a substantial retrograde step.
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    runnymederunnymede Posts: 2,536
    'Appointment by committee...'

    And who appoints the committee? Will it be 'independent'? As 'independent' as the CPS or the Equalities Commission or any other quango of that sort? Of course it won't.

    Once again, we had had these arguments many times before.
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610

    Mr. Max, having religious parties would be a substantial retrograde step.

    No one would vote for them, I'm confident of that much at least.
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,996
    Mr. Max, not an Anglican Party, perhaps. But an Islamist one?
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    MaxPB said:

    Mr. Max, having religious parties would be a substantial retrograde step.

    No one would vote for them, I'm confident of that much at least.
    Depends on the religion...
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    MaxPBMaxPB Posts: 37,610

    Mr. Max, not an Anglican Party, perhaps. But an Islamist one?

    I'm not worried. If anything it would dispel the myth that the majority of British Muslims are "moderate". If they are then we have nothing to worry about and the majority will continue to vote for Labour.
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    PClippPClipp Posts: 2,138

    Mr. Max, having religious parties would be a substantial retrograde step.

    Agree with you on that one, Mr Dancer!
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,947

    Mr. Max, not an Anglican Party, perhaps. But an Islamist one?

    The BNP are allowed to stand candidates, so why shouldn't 'Islamic unity' or whoever do so if they want to. Bradford West elected the odious Galloway on practically an islamist platform but turfed him out at the GE thankfully.

    Is there specifically a ban on religous standing? I'm not religous myself but stopping people standing (Unless they are inciting violence) due to their beliefs is a slippery slope itself.
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    PClippPClipp Posts: 2,138
    Danny565 said:


    Mr. 565, the purpose of the Lords is to amend and revise legislation. It is expressly not to vote down matters of finance.

    It's to not vote down Finance Bills. This was not a Finance Bill, for the reason that Osborne didn't want the prolonged period/scrutiny in the Commons that would've come with that.
    Well said, Mr 565. Mr Dancer is wrong on this one.
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    tpfkartpfkar Posts: 1,548

    Mr. tpfkar, assuming that's all correct, you have missed off one crucial aspect, which is that it would mean the Lords defying the Commons twice in two consecutive days.

    And don't forget the wind farms last week, for good measure.
    The timing does seem a mighty coincidence, doesn't it?

    But as others have said, it puts Lords Reform right back up the agenda from nowhere, and duffs up the Government as soon as it oversteps its manifesto. Win-win for the Lib Dems, however much it infuriates those in blue.
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    Andy_CookeAndy_Cooke Posts: 4,818

    One thing to bear in mind - the Lords were (almost) all appointed by an elected Government.

    Like the PM was appointed (in effect) by an elected House of Commons (as per Gordon Brown, Jim Callaghan, Alec Douglas-Home, Neville Chamberlain, who were as legitimate as any other PM).

    While the Lords are certainly not democratically legitimate, neither are they democratically illegitimate. A very British system, really.

    You could argue that public opinion has changed since they were appointed, but then again, it changes between elections. Otherwise we'd never have any change. It's just more pronounced in terms of the Lords.

    But does it need to be larger than the elected Lower House?
    Is that relevant? Why should it be smaller, larger, exactly the same, or any specific size? Regardless of what is or is not done elsewhere, the fundamental question should be: Does it work?
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,947
    @MaxPB +1 for your posts on this :)
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    PClippPClipp Posts: 2,138

    The argument is over bringing it forward a year.The Electoral Commission is among the bodies to call for that to be rejected since they say the process of transferring to individual registration has not yet proceeded far enough, so numerous people would be disenfranchised, with knock-on effects on the constituency boundaries (because if inner cities seem to have fewer people, they will get fewer seats).

    Overriding the Electoral Commission by means of a secondary instrument is pretty cavalier, and I don't think bring the launch forward by a year was in fact in the manifesto. The Government can't use the Parliament Act precisely because it's a secondary instrument - the Act only works on primary legislation. It's karma, really.

    So the Tories ought to be stuffed on that one. Can we count on the support of the Labour Party, do you think, Nick?
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    MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,290
    edited October 2015
    Lab down one Peer - Lord Noon has died today.

    (He didn't take part in yesterday's votes).
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    Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 60,996
    Mr. Tpfkar, I'm afraid I have no knowledge of the wind farms vote to which you refer.

    If Lords reform occurs, it'll be done a Conservative way, and diminish substantially Lib Dem power. Pyrrhic victories usually happen by accident...

    Mr. Clipp, I'm glad you agree with me. I've always thought you to be a sound and prudent fellow.

    Mr. Clipp, that's clearly nonsense of the first water. You tinker.

    Mr. Pulpstar, I never said there was (or even should be) a ban. Just that overtly religious parties would be a massive backward step.
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    Sean_F said:

    watford30 said:

    As mentioned late on the last thread, the Lords' vote on individual voter registration will also affect things. Two matters (one finance, the other democratic) being voted down by the Lords on consecutive days will raise the heat substantially and make drastic action by the Conservatives seem more reasonable/acceptable/necessary.

    IVR was a manifesto pledge. Deliberately voting it down would definitely turn up the heat on Lords reform.

    As an aside, former MPs of whichever persuasion should not be ennobled. The HoL can do without their dirty habits.
    Presumably the government could just use the Parliament Act to ram through IVR if the Lords reject it.

    I don't know what argument there is against IVR, other than pure partisanship.
    The argument is over bringing it forward a year.The Electoral Commission is among the bodies to call for that to be rejected since they say the process of transferring to individual registration has not yet proceeded far enough, so numerous people would be disenfranchised, with knock-on effects on the constituency boundaries (because if inner cities seem to have fewer people, they will get fewer seats).

    Overriding the Electoral Commission by means of a secondary instrument is pretty cavalier, and I don't think bring the launch forward by a year was in fact in the manifesto. The Government can't use the Parliament Act precisely because it's a secondary instrument - the Act only works on primary legislation. It's karma, really.
    Nick if you look here it says they are always planning to remove the people who hadn't transferred after the 2015 election:

    https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/about-individual-electoral-registration-ier/about-individual-electoral-registration
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    MattWMattW Posts: 18,652
    How many other countries have Revising Chambers?
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    CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,221
    Pulpstar said:

    Mr. Max, not an Anglican Party, perhaps. But an Islamist one?

    The BNP are allowed to stand candidates, so why shouldn't 'Islamic unity' or whoever do so if they want to. Bradford West elected the odious Galloway on practically an islamist platform but turfed him out at the GE thankfully.

    Is there specifically a ban on religous standing? I'm not religous myself but stopping people standing (Unless they are inciting violence) due to their beliefs is a slippery slope itself.
    Two points: the BNP are not a religious party. So they are not comparable - on this ground anyway - with Islamic Unity or similar. But, second, it's not about banning. It's about whether it is desirable. And I think along with Mr Dancer, Mr Clipp (and I hope others) a view that political parties based on religious lines would be a very retrograde step and most undesirable. See, for instance, Northern Ireland. The last thing we need in this country is to embed the sorts of practices which Lutfur Rahman used in Tower Hamlets and which were first introduced in the late 19th century to stop Catholic priests telling their Irish Catholic parishioners how to vote.

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,947
    Morrisons about to get sued by it's staff. In addition their reward scheme is substantially changing to the detriment of regular shoppers as the cashback will average out to far less than it was. It screams of penny pinching and shows that they're feeling the heat imo.

    I'm a regular shopper there but I wouldn't touch it with a barge poll as an investor.
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    MattWMattW Posts: 18,652
    >As an aside, former MPs of whichever persuasion should not be ennobled. The HoL can do without their dirty habits.

    That's a thought, can we dissenoble all former MPs?
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    Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    OT for retro fans - a tourist destination
    A gaming geek's dream! 'Game Over' cafe features 30 retro consoles and more than 400 titles

    Retro gaming cafe 'Game Over' has opened in Old Portsmouth, Hampshire
    It features 30 consoles and computers with more than 400 playable games
    Owner Steve Lowe has spent the past 30 years building the collection


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    DearPBDearPB Posts: 439
    It seems the important debate is not what a reformed H of L ought to look like - I was much in favour of what came forward in the last Parliament - but rather what mechanism can be created or used that can lead to consensus on a solution. Then some turkeys will have to vote for Christmas.
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    MattW said:

    How many other countries have Revising Chambers?

    The total is 79, inc. Blighty.
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,124
    PClipp said:

    Danny565 said:


    Mr. 565, the purpose of the Lords is to amend and revise legislation. It is expressly not to vote down matters of finance.

    It's to not vote down Finance Bills. This was not a Finance Bill, for the reason that Osborne didn't want the prolonged period/scrutiny in the Commons that would've come with that.
    Well said, Mr 565. Mr Dancer is wrong on this one.
    The role of the H/L is to vote down NO bills. It's power is solely for delay. The fact that sometimes there is reflection and amendment lies entirely within the scope of the H/C. The power to reject any legislation ended in 1911 and the delaying power was further reduced in 1948/9.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,947
    Cyclefree said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Mr. Max, not an Anglican Party, perhaps. But an Islamist one?

    The BNP are allowed to stand candidates, so why shouldn't 'Islamic unity' or whoever do so if they want to. Bradford West elected the odious Galloway on practically an islamist platform but turfed him out at the GE thankfully.

    Is there specifically a ban on religous standing? I'm not religous myself but stopping people standing (Unless they are inciting violence) due to their beliefs is a slippery slope itself.
    Two points: the BNP are not a religious party. So they are not comparable - on this ground anyway - with Islamic Unity or similar. But, second, it's not about banning. It's about whether it is desirable. And I think along with Mr Dancer, Mr Clipp (and I hope others) a view that political parties based on religious lines would be a very retrograde step and most undesirable. See, for instance, Northern Ireland. The last thing we need in this country is to embed the sorts of practices which Lutfur Rahman used in Tower Hamlets and which were first introduced in the late 19th century to stop Catholic priests telling their Irish Catholic parishioners how to vote.

    Sure, I'd agree with you that Galloway or Rahman's lot are undesirable to have as political parties, but as you say banning isn't the way. I'd agree that religous parties are a retrograde step.

    I was just trying to work out how removing the bishops from the HoL automatically leads to more religous parties is all, there are no imams currently in the HoL and nor should there be.
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