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  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,746
    surbiton said:

    isam said:

    If hundreds of thousands of white God fearing right wing Americans from the Deep South and white Afrikaans South Africans were illegally immigrating to the UK it is unthinkable that those on the 'virtue signalling' side of the argument today would be saying the same as they are now

    I can also guarantee that those who are shouting, we can't take anymore will keep quiet.

    I am not sure Carson would be welcomed though despite his views. Trump would be.
    You mean as when the DM welcomed Zola Budd because she could a) win races and b) was whilte? And not too long afterwards she returned to South Africa and married, although she now lives in the US.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 57,687
    HYUFD said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    Though the top tax rate in Switzerland is only 13.2%
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_tax_rates
    That is the federal tax, and there is an awful lot of variation by canton. Top tax rates in Geneva (I.e. Federal plus Canton) are around 48%

  • surbiton said:

    Thanks ! Yorkcity.

    "Confused? So are we! Here's an example

    NEW SYSTEM

    You earn £13,850 a year, so you're £10,000 above the income threshold.

    The government deducts 48% of £10,000 from your tax credits - so you lose £4,800 from whatever you were entitled to get.

    OLD SYSTEM

    You earn £13,850 a year, so you're £7,430 above the income threshold.

    The government deducts 41% of £7,430 from your tax credits - so you lose £3,046 from whatever you were entitled to get.

    THE DIFFERENCE

    That means if you're eligible to claim more than £4,800, for instance if you have two children, the new system is taking away £1,754 a year ."

    I take it the pay-rise will fill the £4800.

    Any odds on when the U-turn will take place ?

    Look at the figures for a couple on £25,000 with two kids - they lose over £2,400...thats's £10,000 before the next election. Would you vote Tory?
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,346

    Cyclefree said:

    Bringing people in because they are at risk does not bring more religion into our laws. That is entirely within our control. I am arguing for prioritising people on the basis of risk. And being a Christian or a Yazidi in some parts of Islamist-controlled parts of this area is to be at very high risk. Why is this so hard for people to accept?

    In an area where religion does very much determine your life chances and may put you at risk, very severe risk, it is beyond absurd to ignore that fact when deciding whom to prioritise in the help we are able to bring.

    Other groups, such as the ones you mention, may also be at risk. But the fact that there are so many multiple problems where last year's victim may well end up being tomorrow's oppressor, is precisely why a "let's let all the poor people in" without some hard thinking is so pathetic, lacking in morality and likely to as much harm as good.

    Again, I disagree. By selecting on the basis of religion - as you keep on arguing for by mentioning 'Christians' - is putting religion into our laws. Worse, it simplifies what is an exceptionally complex situation and makes the groups you discriminate for automatically better than the ones you do not.

    And BTW, I'm not arguing for "Let's let all the poor people in."
    I am prioritising on the basis of risk. You are arguing that because that risk is linked to religious denomination one should ignore it. By choosing those most at risk one is not saying that they are better than other groups. One is saying that as we cannot help everyone we are targeting those most at risk.

    There is something very odd about people (and this is not directed at your personally) who are all in favour of muticulturalism and the rest but apparently against helping a group in one of those cultures who face a most uncertain (at best) future. And there is something even odder about people all in favour of letting Muslim refugees in - and thereby, on your argument, letting religion into our laws - arguing against letting in another religious denomination. It's almost as if using the word "Christian" in front of refugees immunizes people against compassion. Oh - and BTW - I would help Yazidis and Kurds too. And those Muslims who are persecuted.

    We can't help everyone so we should prioritise those most at risk, that's all. Apparently, that's a controversial statement. Oh well.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,346

    Cyclefree said:



    Nick: Syrian and Iraqi Christian communities are at very real risk of genocide if they stay. It's not a question of their knowledge of the catechism as you put it but because they are at very very high risk of being slaughtered - and in the most brutal way possible (you can read reports of children being tortured and beheaded for being Christian) - simply for being Christian (regardless of how devout or not they are) and not Muslim. The same applies to Yazidis. To ignore this fact is shameful. We have to prioritise and I would put these groups in a higher priority precisely because of the very high risks they face. There may well be others - groups or individuals - who are also at very high risk. But to ignore the persecution of this group - as a lot of people want to do - is to show a lack of morality and compassion.

    It's almost as if some people (and I do not accuse you as I appreciate our polite disagreements) want to ignore the fact that people in these countries do suffer because they have the wrong religion in the wrong place in the wrong time. I think this is a factor which our politicians should take into account when deciding to whom to give refuge.

    Well, perhaps we're making a distinction without a difference. I favour the current doctrine (embraced in principle by all civilised governments) that priority should be given to refugees most at risk. You say, and you may well be right, that this will often turn out to be Christians. In such cases, we should give priority to them - not because they're Christian, which is a matter on which we should be neutral in this context, but because they're at extreme risk. If we find someone else at equally high risk (an atheist, say, or a Muslim with the wrong sort of belief for fundamentalists), they should get the same high priority. Someone with views that ISIS would consider uncontroversial would clearly get lower priority.

    Can we agree on that?
    Yes, I think we can.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,533
    surbiton said:

    Yorkcity said:

    surbiton said:

    Yorkcity said:

    Roger said:

    MD

    "Mr. Royale, you're spot on. Rewarding illegal and dangerous journeys will only encourage more."

    What is your problem with taking more? If we are worried about becoming overpopulated wouldn't a better solution be to stop excessive breeding? Surely taking an immigrant who is house trained schooled and ready for work makes more economic sense than someone giving birth to their twelfth child?

    So you're advocating even more tax credit cuts? Brave, Rog, brave!
    Cutting working tax credits does contrast with cutting Inheritance tax for over a million.

    Tax Credits are complicated for many.
    The Mirror after the budget,made a good attempt to explain, surprisingly better than most broadsheets, when I have tried to understand the changes for my extended family.

    http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/how-budget-affect-tax-credits-6031675
    "At the moment, any household earning up to £6,420 a year earns the full amount of whatever tax credits they're allowed to claim.

    People who earn more than that still get tax credits, but they're whittled down as income rises.

    This threshold is now being almost halved to £3,850 a year .
    "

    Did I read this correctly ? The bastards.
    Surbiton

    Yes I believe that is correct.

    Also the taper.

    In a double blow , tax credits are also vanishing more steeply once you hit £3,850.

    The government is ramping up the proportion of credits it takes away above this threshold - a mechanism called the ' taper rate '.

    The current taper rate is 41% . It's being raised to 48% .
    So, if they were to get a pay rise of £1, 20% goes because of tax, 13% because of NI and 48% because of reduced tax credit.

    So, a £1 increase results in 19p. Would someone get out of bed ? Where are the people who clamour on about incentives ?

    Even if they are not tax payers, that would still be 39p. Talking about incentivising people to work !

    Tories are upping the number of foodbanks though, they are making them into businesses. Gets some employment for more chums.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    If NPXMP was still a member of the opposition what odds eh?

    about 1,000,000 to one I would guess.
  • Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    edited October 2015
    Surbiton..logic does not come into the argument..The refugees are maInly Muslims and Muslims blew up the trains and bus.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,980
    Mr. G, food bank usage has increased every year since their introduction around 2005 or so. That includes a boom, a massive recession, a recovery and more or less normal growth as we have now. Because their use has increased perpetually, we can't really consider that a sign of government policy succeeding or failing.

    Miss Cyclefree, indeed.

    Before the war kicked off properly, when it was more marches and protests, there was a piece on the news about a Christian leader in Syria who was worried that the (relatively) decent treatment Christians got in Syria would give way to persecution, as is the case in many other nearby nations.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    I see the bishops want us to take more refugees. I do wonder if this is almost a class issue:
    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-34564894

    Last line: "One retired judge said the UK could cope with taking in 75,000 a year."

    That retired judge won't be competing for a job with the migrants or pushed down the waiting list for a house. He or she won't be dealing with the social enclaves and integration issues that might arise.

    There's also the humanitarian aspect. Money goes a hell of a lot further in aid camps than it does in the UK. We can, for the same money [and we're ahead of everyone in Europe and everyone in the world, except the US], help far more people in camps than we can by bringing them here.

    Just out of interest I wonder what data the judge is using to make that decision?

  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,346
    BTW William Dalyrmple's book "To the Holy Mountain" about his travels round Turkey and the Middle East in search of historic Christian communities is well worth reading. Fascinating and saddening.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    HYUFD said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    Though the top tax rate in Switzerland is only 13.2%
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_tax_rates
    That is not correct/ The 13.2% is on the excess. Plus there are Canton taxes to pay.

    http://taxsummaries.pwc.com/uk/taxsummaries/wwts.nsf/ID/Switzerland-Individual-Taxes-on-personal-income
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,346
    surbiton said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Off topic - Is £6.5k for a 4 kw solar system a fair price ?

    I went round to a friend's house where this price was quoted (They are looking into panels too); and the price seems fair enough to produce a decent rate of return from my own estimates... but I have seen some systems for sub £5k looking today (Are these cheap for a reason tho... ? ) . Obviously I'm needing to move quite fast on this as the 20 year guaranteed FiT falls off a cliff at the end of the year.

    Good man. Go for it.
    £6.5K is pretty good. I paid a bit more for mine a few years ago - when the rate of return was higher - and have never regretted it. In a few years I will be earning pure profit and my bills are lower too. I'd make sure the company is a reputable one, though.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,980
    Miss Cyclefree, probably a nice extra if/when you sell, too.

    Mr. Floater, probably making it up, I would've guessed.

    If the Government said we'd take 75,000, the bishops and judges would be advocating a quarter of a million.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Cyclefree said:

    surbiton said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Off topic - Is £6.5k for a 4 kw solar system a fair price ?

    I went round to a friend's house where this price was quoted (They are looking into panels too); and the price seems fair enough to produce a decent rate of return from my own estimates... but I have seen some systems for sub £5k looking today (Are these cheap for a reason tho... ? ) . Obviously I'm needing to move quite fast on this as the 20 year guaranteed FiT falls off a cliff at the end of the year.

    Good man. Go for it.
    £6.5K is pretty good. I paid a bit more for mine a few years ago - when the rate of return was higher - and have never regretted it. In a few years I will be earning pure profit and my bills are lower too. I'd make sure the company is a reputable one, though.
    Good for you too, Cyclefree. At least, we agree on something !
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    edited October 2015

    Surbiton..logic does not come into the argument..The refugees are maInly Muslims and Muslims blew up the trains and bus.

    Tar everyone with the same brush !

    Sajid Javid is included, I see.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    edited October 2015

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    I call it the two child [ren] policy !

    As many will not even have two children, the population will decline and , guess what, more immigration !
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    On topic: Not ONE Labour MP will resign the whip. I wish some actually did.
  • MP_SEMP_SE Posts: 3,642

    Miss Cyclefree, probably a nice extra if/when you sell, too.

    Mr. Floater, probably making it up, I would've guessed.

    If the Government said we'd take 75,000, the bishops and judges would be advocating a quarter of a million.

    There are some posters on here who would criticise the government no matter how many they agreed to take. It is pathetic how people are unable to put politics aside for one moment and actually suggest solutions which would deliver long-term results.
  • surbiton said:

    Cyclefree said:

    surbiton said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Off topic - Is £6.5k for a 4 kw solar system a fair price ?

    I went round to a friend's house where this price was quoted (They are looking into panels too); and the price seems fair enough to produce a decent rate of return from my own estimates... but I have seen some systems for sub £5k looking today (Are these cheap for a reason tho... ? ) . Obviously I'm needing to move quite fast on this as the 20 year guaranteed FiT falls off a cliff at the end of the year.

    Good man. Go for it.
    £6.5K is pretty good. I paid a bit more for mine a few years ago - when the rate of return was higher - and have never regretted it. In a few years I will be earning pure profit and my bills are lower too. I'd make sure the company is a reputable one, though.
    Good for you too, Cyclefree. At least, we agree on something !
    I paid £6.5K for my solar panels (3.7KW) in Feb this year and they have been a huge success. So far I have received £358 in feed in tariffs with two quarter to go (both will be less because of the time of year) but I have also had a corresponding saving on my electric bills. As this is a guaranteed inflation proof non taxable income for the next 20 years it is a fantastic investment
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
  • surbiton said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    I call it the two child [ren] policy !

    As many will not even have two children, the population will decline and , guess what, more immigration !
    It's another example of victimising the poorest in society...if it's about reducing the deficit why not restrict child benefit to two children as well?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited October 2015
    surbiton said:

    isam said:

    surbiton said:

    I don't recall such apoplexy when 750k - 1m East European migrants [ legally though ] came to Britain. Yes, there were a few murmurs, UKIPs numbers went up to 3% in 2010 !

    What's the difference between 750k Poles and 750k Syrians ? I can think of one.

    The poles weren't illegal immigrants?
    Good point. So your problem with not taking 750k Syrians has nothing to do with numbers but to do with legality ?
    Both.

    And i had a problem with 750k poles as well, although that fucks your implied smear

    And to butt in to your other nauseating argument, people born and raised in the UK might not like to be called Pakistanis... I'm sure there would be several people on here willing to argue with me if I referred to someone with Pakistani parents that was born in the UK as a 'Pakistani'
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    JEO said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    A lot of people on between 40k and 50k a year are families with young kids, with one parent working as a professional and the other taking a year off. Given they are already struggling with student loans and housing costs, a 30% tax rate there would pretty much finish them off from living in London. We already have a massive brain drain of people in their and early 30s who realise that living in damp, congested London is a poor deal compared to what can be got in the USA and Australia.

    Of course, the sensible option is tax people on a family basis rather than an individual basis. Why should a family with one earner getting 50k a year be charged more tax than one where both parents earn 25k a year? The better is far better for bringing up the next generation.
    But 30% was the standard rate in Thatcher's first term - Howe reduced it from 33% in his June 79 Budget. There is nothing excessive about it!
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,143
    edited October 2015

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Because poor childless couples and singletons should be subsidising the extravagant pro-creation choices of others, right? Because that is fair.
  • JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    surbiton said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    I call it the two child [ren] policy !

    As many will not even have two children, the population will decline and , guess what, more immigration !
    So, anyone with three or more children only has them for benefits? If there are no benefits, then they will have no children?
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,143
    I do find it interesting that the Kraken only seems to awake when Tax Credits are mentioned.

    Whatever floats your boat.....
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,143
    Incidentally, I'm still hoping to find data for the suggested increases in NLV until 2020. Either that, or predicted median wages until 2020. Any one have any sources?

    The result ought to be a comprehensive model comparing the impact of the last 10 years fiscal policy on the low paid.
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656
    justin124 said:

    JEO said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    A lot of people on between 40k and 50k a year are families with young kids, with one parent working as a professional and the other taking a year off. Given they are already struggling with student loans and housing costs, a 30% tax rate there would pretty much finish them off from living in London. We already have a massive brain drain of people in their and early 30s who realise that living in damp, congested London is a poor deal compared to what can be got in the USA and Australia.

    Of course, the sensible option is tax people on a family basis rather than an individual basis. Why should a family with one earner getting 50k a year be charged more tax than one where both parents earn 25k a year? The better is far better for bringing up the next generation.
    But 30% was the standard rate in Thatcher's first term - Howe reduced it from 33% in his June 79 Budget. There is nothing excessive about it!
    That was in a time when people weren't paying a third of their income on housing costs.
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    s
  • Mortimer said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Because poor childless couples and singletons should be subsidising the extravagant pro-creation choices of others, right? Because that is fair.
    It's the way of the world...different groups in society subsidise others. Healthy people subsidise the infirm, workers are currently subsidising pensioners but hey...that's just how it is.
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,143
    edited October 2015
    JEO said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    A lot of people on between 40k and 50k a year are families with young kids, with one parent working as a professional and the other taking a year off. Given they are already struggling with student loans and housing costs, a 30% tax rate there would pretty much finish them off from living in London. We already have a massive brain drain of people in their and early 30s who realise that living in damp, congested London is a poor deal compared to what can be got in the USA and Australia.

    Of course, the sensible option is tax people on a family basis rather than an individual basis. Why should a family with one earner getting 50k a year be charged more tax than one where both parents earn 25k a year? The better is far better for bringing up the next generation.
    Indeed, the unbelievable stymie to aspiration aside would be a massive vote loser for Labour. Most of the 20 something graduates I know would be impacted by this. It would soon shock them out of leftiness.

    Go on Corbo - listen to your Broxtrowe friend and adopt it as a policy!

  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,143

    Mortimer said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Because poor childless couples and singletons should be subsidising the extravagant pro-creation choices of others, right? Because that is fair.
    It's the way of the world...different groups in society subsidise others. Healthy people subsidise the infirm, workers are currently subsidising pensioners but hey...that's just how it is.
    So you're comparing having children - an almost entirely avoidable situation nowadays - with the unfortunate and frequently unavoidable situation of illness. Or the audacity to be old and having (at least for toped-up pensions) paid into the system for years. Nice to see the left showing its true colours.
  • justin124justin124 Posts: 11,527
    JEO said:

    justin124 said:

    JEO said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    A lot of people on between 40k and 50k a year are families with young kids, with one parent working as a professional and the other taking a year off. Given they are already struggling with student loans and housing costs, a 30% tax rate there would pretty much finish them off from living in London. We already have a massive brain drain of people in their and early 30s who realise that living in damp, congested London is a poor deal compared to what can be got in the USA and Australia.

    Of course, the sensible option is tax people on a family basis rather than an individual basis. Why should a family with one earner getting 50k a year be charged more tax than one where both parents earn 25k a year? The better is far better for bringing up the next generation.
    But 30% was the standard rate in Thatcher's first term - Howe reduced it from 33% in his June 79 Budget. There is nothing excessive about it!
    That was in a time when people weren't paying a third of their income on housing costs.
    Mortgage rates have been at rock bottom for years now. Council Tax rises have been minimal. That leaves House Prices.
  • flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903
    surbiton said:

    isam said:

    surbiton said:

    I don't recall such apoplexy when 750k - 1m East European migrants [ legally though ] came to Britain. Yes, there were a few murmurs, UKIPs numbers went up to 3% in 2010 !

    What's the difference between 750k Poles and 750k Syrians ? I can think of one.

    The poles weren't illegal immigrants?
    Good point. So your problem with not taking 750k Syrians has nothing to do with numbers but to do with legality ?
    The problem with taking another 750k virtually instantaneously as opposed to over a decade is that it would mean the total numbers would be 1.5 million.
  • Moses_Moses_ Posts: 4,865

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    Mr Morris

    I think he means investing and building infrastructure and lines for the mass production of floating wicker baskets............. Could be wrong though?
  • notmenotme Posts: 3,293
    What's that glug glug glug?
    It's labour's moral authority on opposing the tax credit cuts. A very weak outing by shadow cabinet members when asked if they are committing to reverse the cuts.

    They looked very shambolic. The more they up the anti about how unjust the changes are, the more they look ridiculous by refusing to reverse them.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited October 2015
    Mortimer said:

    Incidentally, I'm still hoping to find data for the suggested increases in NLV until 2020. Either that, or predicted median wages until 2020. Any one have any sources?

    The result ought to be a comprehensive model comparing the impact of the last 10 years fiscal policy on the low paid.

    The NLW is meant to be £9 by 2020. That means a 25% rise between 2016 and 2020, so compounded it must be something like 5-6% a year.
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    Surbiton .. would that be the Sadiq Khan who would introduce quotas for ethnic minorities..then yes..he would also be classed as an anti British Muslim in some quarters..probably the quarter that votes for the Labour party..or did..
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,746
    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    Sorry, but is there any documented research which shows that a significant number of people in UK have children primarily because of the benefits system?

    Note: Reporters from the DM doing a quick trawl with loiaed questions does NOT count as research.
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    edited October 2015
    justin124 said:

    JEO said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    A lot of people on between 40k and 50k a year are families with young kids, with one parent working as a professional and the other taking a year off. Given they are already struggling with student loans and housing costs, a 30% tax rate there would pretty much finish them off from living in London. We already have a massive brain drain of people in their and early 30s who realise that living in damp, congested London is a poor deal compared to what can be got in the USA and Australia.

    Of course, the sensible option is tax people on a family basis rather than an individual basis. Why should a family with one earner getting 50k a year be charged more tax than one where both parents earn 25k a year? The better is far better for bringing up the next generation.
    But 30% was the standard rate in Thatcher's first term - Howe reduced it from 33% in his June 79 Budget. There is nothing excessive about it!
    What was the employees national insurance rate in those days? It is now for most employees 12%. A party who now proposed an effective standard rate of income tax of 45 pence in the pound would have little chance of being elected. So in today's world 33% standard rate might well be regarded as excessive.

    In any event the comparison of tax rates between now and any time in beyond a few years ago is, I suggest, not a useful thing to do. Circumstances were different then, what the government was expected to do and the demands/expectations of the population were not as they are now.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,346
  • Mortimer said:

    Mortimer said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Because poor childless couples and singletons should be subsidising the extravagant pro-creation choices of others, right? Because that is fair.
    It's the way of the world...different groups in society subsidise others. Healthy people subsidise the infirm, workers are currently subsidising pensioners but hey...that's just how it is.
    So you're comparing having children - an almost entirely avoidable situation nowadays - with the unfortunate and frequently unavoidable situation of illness. Or the audacity to be old and having (at least for toped-up pensions) paid into the system for years. Nice to see the left showing its true colours.
    Left?...not me. If there is one section of society that has been unscathed by the recession it is the wealthy elderly, Guaranteed pension increases, subsidised interest rates on pensioner bonds, beneficiaries of a house price boom and cuts in inheritance tax for their estates.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,346
    Re child tax credits, it's worth noting that child benefit was not introduced until the 1970s and even then was not given for the first child. There is nothing evil about suggesting that people have the children they can afford rather than expecting others to contribute to their upkeep. It's what the vast majority of people do.
  • JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
    Take for example a family on a decent income who's family circumstances change...family illness, loss of a career etc. When they had their third child they probably never envisaged having to rely on tax credits
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    JEO said:

    justin124 said:

    JEO said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    A lot of people on between 40k and 50k a year are families with young kids, with one parent working as a professional and the other taking a year off. Given they are already struggling with student loans and housing costs, a 30% tax rate there would pretty much finish them off from living in London. We already have a massive brain drain of people in their and early 30s who realise that living in damp, congested London is a poor deal compared to what can be got in the USA and Australia.

    Of course, the sensible option is tax people on a family basis rather than an individual basis. Why should a family with one earner getting 50k a year be charged more tax than one where both parents earn 25k a year? The better is far better for bringing up the next generation.
    But 30% was the standard rate in Thatcher's first term - Howe reduced it from 33% in his June 79 Budget. There is nothing excessive about it!
    That was in a time when people weren't paying a third of their income on housing costs.
    In fact, in 1990 when we bought our first property, recently the mortgage was paid off, we were paying well over 40% of our net income.

    Remember, mortgage rates were 15% at the time.
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    JEO said:

    justin124 said:

    JEO said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    A lot of people on between 40k and 50k a year are families with young kids, with one parent working as a professional and the other taking a year off. Given they are already struggling with student loans and housing costs, a 30% tax rate there would pretty much finish them off from living in London. We already have a massive brain drain of people in their and early 30s who realise that living in damp, congested London is a poor deal compared to what can be got in the USA and Australia.

    Of course, the sensible option is tax people on a family basis rather than an individual basis. Why should a family with one earner getting 50k a year be charged more tax than one where both parents earn 25k a year? The better is far better for bringing up the next generation.
    But 30% was the standard rate in Thatcher's first term - Howe reduced it from 33% in his June 79 Budget. There is nothing excessive about it!
    That was in a time when people weren't paying a third of their income on housing costs.
    Oh, but a lot were, Mr. JEO, a lot were - myself included. High house prices and being stretched to buy a home is not a new thing at all. Interest rates were a lot higher then too.

    The difference was that the two-thirds (or even half) left over after paying the mortgage went much, much further then and one could, on reasonably modest means, maintain a decent lifestyle.
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    Sorry, but is there any documented research which shows that a significant number of people in UK have children primarily because of the benefits system?

    Note: Reporters from the DM doing a quick trawl with loiaed questions does NOT count as research.
    The claim is not that they have children because of the benefits system, but that they do not consider affordability when they have children, which they should do.
  • JEOJEO Posts: 3,656

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
    Take for example a family on a decent income who's family circumstances change...family illness, loss of a career etc. When they had their third child they probably never envisaged having to rely on tax credits
    Yes, if exceptional adverse circumstances exist, I would be very happy to make exceptions.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,095
    edited October 2015
    rcs1000 said:

    HYUFD said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    Though the top tax rate in Switzerland is only 13.2%
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_tax_rates
    That is the federal tax, and there is an awful lot of variation by canton. Top tax rates in Geneva (I.e. Federal plus Canton) are around 48%

    Yes, well I was only looking at the national income tax rate otherwise you may as well include Council tax when calculating UK national taxes
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
    Take for example a family on a decent income who's family circumstances change...family illness, loss of a career etc. When they had their third child they probably never envisaged having to rely on tax credits
    Yes, if exceptional adverse circumstances exist, I would be very happy to make exceptions.
    Now, you start to get to the nub of the question. What is the Welfare State for? Is it to provide support for those, who for reasons beyond their control, need help until they can get back on their feet? Or is it to subsidise lifestyles that would otherwise be unaffordable and enable unscrupulous employers to get away with paying less than the job is worth?
  • JEO said:

    justin124 said:

    JEO said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    A lot of people on between 40k and 50k a year are families with young kids, with one parent working as a professional and the other taking a year off. Given they are already struggling with student loans and housing costs, a 30% tax rate there would pretty much finish them off from living in London. We already have a massive brain drain of people in their and early 30s who realise that living in damp, congested London is a poor deal compared to what can be got in the USA and Australia.

    Of course, the sensible option is tax people on a family basis rather than an individual basis. Why should a family with one earner getting 50k a year be charged more tax than one where both parents earn 25k a year? The better is far better for bringing up the next generation.
    But 30% was the standard rate in Thatcher's first term - Howe reduced it from 33% in his June 79 Budget. There is nothing excessive about it!
    That was in a time when people weren't paying a third of their income on housing costs.
    Oh, but a lot were, Mr. JEO, a lot were - myself included. High house prices and being stretched to buy a home is not a new thing at all. Interest rates were a lot higher then too.

    The difference was that the two-thirds (or even half) left over after paying the mortgage went much, much further then and one could, on reasonably modest means, maintain a decent lifestyle.
    Interesting combination of the two discussions is how the tax credit cuts will impact on the affordability criteria that is making getting a mortgage so difficult for so many families.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,095
    surbiton said:

    HYUFD said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    Though the top tax rate in Switzerland is only 13.2%
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_tax_rates
    That is not correct/ The 13.2% is on the excess. Plus there are Canton taxes to pay.

    http://taxsummaries.pwc.com/uk/taxsummaries/wwts.nsf/ID/Switzerland-Individual-Taxes-on-personal-income
    At the rate it applies there is a 10,393.60 tax on incomes between 176,000 and 755,200 (so a 6% tax or a 1% tax) plus then the 13.2% excess. So even then the national income tax is 14.2% -19.2%, still at least 26% below the UK top rate of income tax of 45%
  • JEO said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
    Take for example a family on a decent income who's family circumstances change...family illness, loss of a career etc. When they had their third child they probably never envisaged having to rely on tax credits
    Yes, if exceptional adverse circumstances exist, I would be very happy to make exceptions.
    Now, you start to get to the nub of the question. What is the Welfare State for? Is it to provide support for those, who for reasons beyond their control, need help until they can get back on their feet? Or is it to subsidise lifestyles that would otherwise be unaffordable and enable unscrupulous employers to get away with paying less than the job is worth?
    The problem with wages is not unscrupulous employers it's George Osborne throttling public sector pay rises for the past five years...wages go down = tax credits go up.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,175

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    Sorry, but is there any documented research which shows that a significant number of people in UK have children primarily because of the benefits system?

    Note: Reporters from the DM doing a quick trawl with loiaed questions does NOT count as research.
    If not then they should have no problem funding them without govt help. Glad we agree.
  • notmenotme Posts: 3,293

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
    Take for example a family on a decent income who's family circumstances change...family illness, loss of a career etc. When they had their third child they probably never envisaged having to rely on tax credits
    Yes, if exceptional adverse circumstances exist, I would be very happy to make exceptions.
    Now, you start to get to the nub of the question. What is the Welfare State for? Is it to provide support for those, who for reasons beyond their control, need help until they can get back on their feet? Or is it to subsidise lifestyles that would otherwise be unaffordable and enable unscrupulous employers to get away with paying less than the job is worth?
    The problem with wages is not unscrupulous employers it's George Osborne throttling public sector pay rises for the past five years...wages go down = tax credits go up.
    I can guarantee you, without pay freezes, the number of redundancies in public sector would be much much greater than they are. Pay restraint has made a significant difference.
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098



    Interesting combination of the two discussions is how the tax credit cuts will impact on the affordability criteria that is making getting a mortgage so difficult for so many families.

    Dunno, Mr. Kraken, but I suspect the impact will be very limited and non-existent in the South East. The big, in fact fecking huge, block to getting a mortgage these days seems to be actually getting together the necessary deposit.

    When the price of a small house starts at £250,000, saving up £25,000 from taxed income must be damn near impossible for people in normal jobs. Yet if a couple can get a deposit together the cost of the mortgage will be less than the rent on a similar house.

    In an effort to ensure that the banks don't collapse again it seems that HMG have thrown out the baby with the bathwater. As Mr. Charles pointed out on here the other day, The Northern Rock's 125% mortgage book was profitable with a low rate of default.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,046
    Afternoon all. Looks like the Chinese Ambassador's office has been paying attention:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/11938854/Jeremy-Corbyn-China-president-Xi-Jinping.html
    The Chinese ambassador has warned Jeremy Corbyn should "know how to behave" when he sits down with the country's President at Buckingham Palace.

    He said: "I think the State Banquet is for Her Majesty – it’s her show. Either Jeremy Corbyn or others are her guests.

    “I think the British people are very gentlemen[ly], very smart. They know how to behave on occasions like this."

    Mr Corbyn's spokesman confirmed: "He will be using the opportunity next week to raise the issue of human rights.
  • notme said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
    Take for example a family on a decent income who's family circumstances change...family illness, loss of a career etc. When they had their third child they probably never envisaged having to rely on tax credits
    Yes, if exceptional adverse circumstances exist, I would be very happy to make exceptions.
    Now, you start to get to the nub of the question. What is the Welfare State for? Is it to provide support for those, who for reasons beyond their control, need help until they can get back on their feet? Or is it to subsidise lifestyles that would otherwise be unaffordable and enable unscrupulous employers to get away with paying less than the job is worth?
    The problem with wages is not unscrupulous employers it's George Osborne throttling public sector pay rises for the past five years...wages go down = tax credits go up.
    I can guarantee you, without pay freezes, the number of redundancies in public sector would be much much greater than they are. Pay restraint has made a significant difference.
    Pay restraint by workers over the past five has undoubtedly been the reason for the remarkable employment rates..a case of "we're all in it together" in action. Unfortunately for those who showed admirable restraint are now getting shafted anyway as we discover that for many low paid workers find themselves "in it" for a long time yet.


  • Interesting combination of the two discussions is how the tax credit cuts will impact on the affordability criteria that is making getting a mortgage so difficult for so many families.

    Dunno, Mr. Kraken, but I suspect the impact will be very limited and non-existent in the South East. The big, in fact fecking huge, block to getting a mortgage these days seems to be actually getting together the necessary deposit.

    When the price of a small house starts at £250,000, saving up £25,000 from taxed income must be damn near impossible for people in normal jobs. Yet if a couple can get a deposit together the cost of the mortgage will be less than the rent on a similar house.

    In an effort to ensure that the banks don't collapse again it seems that HMG have thrown out the baby with the bathwater. As Mr. Charles pointed out on here the other day, The Northern Rock's 125% mortgage book was profitable with a low rate of default.
    I can't imagine what it must be like in those areas...we moved westwards to find an affordable home but even here in Dorset there seems precious little prospect of my children ever being able to find a home of their own.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,046
    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
    Take for example a family on a decent income who's family circumstances change...family illness, loss of a career etc. When they had their third child they probably never envisaged having to rely on tax credits
    Yes, if exceptional adverse circumstances exist, I would be very happy to make exceptions.
    I quite liked Labour's idea (mentioned during the leadership contest I believe) of unemployment benefits being paid on a sliding scale according to previous income, so for example you'd get 90% of your previous income for the first month unemployed, 80% for the second month etc. It would soften the blow and allow the necessary lifestyle changes to be phased rather than suddenly needing to happen all at once.
  • notmenotme Posts: 3,293
    Sandpit said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
    Take for example a family on a decent income who's family circumstances change...family illness, loss of a career etc. When they had their third child they probably never envisaged having to rely on tax credits
    Yes, if exceptional adverse circumstances exist, I would be very happy to make exceptions.
    I quite liked Labour's idea (mentioned during the leadership contest I believe) of unemployment benefits being paid on a sliding scale according to previous income, so for example you'd get 90% of your previous income for the first month unemployed, 80% for the second month etc. It would soften the blow and allow the necessary lifestyle changes to be phased rather than suddenly needing to happen all at once.

    You have to accompany that with other reductions from the welfare budget though, as it will cost more than the existing system. For some on welfare to get more others must get less.


  • Interesting combination of the two discussions is how the tax credit cuts will impact on the affordability criteria that is making getting a mortgage so difficult for so many families.

    Dunno, Mr. Kraken, but I suspect the impact will be very limited and non-existent in the South East. The big, in fact fecking huge, block to getting a mortgage these days seems to be actually getting together the necessary deposit.

    When the price of a small house starts at £250,000, saving up £25,000 from taxed income must be damn near impossible for people in normal jobs. Yet if a couple can get a deposit together the cost of the mortgage will be less than the rent on a similar house.

    In an effort to ensure that the banks don't collapse again it seems that HMG have thrown out the baby with the bathwater. As Mr. Charles pointed out on here the other day, The Northern Rock's 125% mortgage book was profitable with a low rate of default.
    Hence schemes like Help To Buy so you only need a 5% deposit to get a mortgage.
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,046
    On the refugee situation surely the two objectives are to help out as many people as possible who are homeless, and to stop people from poor countries paying smugglers to get them to Europe. Our actions should match those objectives.

    Genuine migrants accepted here of course don't care where they live as long as they are safe. Would a cheaper and more socially acceptable answer not be to build a tent city on a military base and house them there?
  • notmenotme Posts: 3,293

    notme said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
    Take for example a family on a decent income who's family circumstances change...family illness, loss of a career etc. When they had their third child they probably never envisaged having to rely on tax credits
    Yes, if exceptional adverse circumstances exist, I would be very happy to make exceptions.
    Now, you start to get to the nub of the question. What is the Welfare State for? Is it to provide support for those, who for reasons beyond their control, need help until they can get back on their feet? Or is it to subsidise lifestyles that would otherwise be unaffordable and enable unscrupulous employers to get away with paying less than the job is worth?
    The problem with wages is not unscrupulous employers it's George Osborne throttling public sector pay rises for the past five years...wages go down = tax credits go up.
    I can guarantee you, without pay freezes, the number of redundancies in public sector would be much much greater than they are. Pay restraint has made a significant difference.
    Pay restraint by workers over the past five has undoubtedly been the reason for the remarkable employment rates..a case of "we're all in it together" in action. Unfortunately for those who showed admirable restraint are now getting shafted anyway as we discover that for many low paid workers find themselves "in it" for a long time yet.
    Public sector employees will still have pay increment awards as normal. You do realise that there has been close to no inflation in the last three years?
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,046
    notme said:

    Sandpit said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
    Take for example a family on a decent income who's family circumstances change...family illness, loss of a career etc. When they had their third child they probably never envisaged having to rely on tax credits
    Yes, if exceptional adverse circumstances exist, I would be very happy to make exceptions.
    I quite liked Labour's idea (mentioned during the leadership contest I believe) of unemployment benefits being paid on a sliding scale according to previous income, so for example you'd get 90% of your previous income for the first month unemployed, 80% for the second month etc. It would soften the blow and allow the necessary lifestyle changes to be phased rather than suddenly needing to happen all at once.

    You have to accompany that with other reductions from the welfare budget though, as it will cost more than the existing system. For some on welfare to get more others must get less.
    Of course. My ideal benefits system would look rather draconian and disruptive for anyone without a job for more than a few months, at the expense of looking after those who find themselves between jobs for a short time.
  • flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903

    JEO said:

    justin124 said:

    JEO said:

    Mortimer, you asked how I'd respond on "when should we stop borrowing?" I assume you mean "stop increasing the deficit", since we've had a national debt for centuries? Reasonably soon, say 2020, I'd suggest.

    But I'd do it differently from things like slashing tax credits for low-paid workers. Personally I'd have a 30p rate for income between £40K and £50K, and a 45p rate for income between £80K and £120K, then a 50p rate. I'd have a wealth tax, like Switzerland, in particular taxing the value of land, which I know from my own family is often unexploited because it just sits there untaxed and the owners don't bother to consider whether that's optimal. I'd increase the value of land in compensation by relaxing some of the restrictions that prevent construction of homes. I'd not renew Trident, and would eye other giant projects with suspicion. And quite a lot more.

    But as I'm largely retired from politics (though in 15 minutes I'm going canvassing with Corbyn and a group of London Labour people), my personal views aren't too relevant. I certainly don't speak for anyone else.

    A lot of people on between 40k and 50k a year are families with young kids, with one parent working as a professional and the other taking a year off.

    Of course, the sensible option is tax people on a family basis rather than an individual basis. Why should a family with one earner getting 50k a year be charged more tax than one where both parents earn 25k a year? The better is far better for bringing up the next generation.
    But 30% was the standard rate in Thatcher's first term - Howe reduced it from 33% in his June 79 Budget. There is nothing excessive about it!
    That was in a time when people weren't paying a third of their income on housing costs.
    Oh, but a lot were, Mr. JEO, a lot were - myself included. High house prices and being stretched to buy a home is not a new thing at all. Interest rates were a lot higher then too.

    The difference was that the two-thirds (or even half) left over after paying the mortgage went much, much further then and one could, on reasonably modest means, maintain a decent lifestyle.
    When interest rates rise and mortgages and other costs go up, are we to moan the lot of poor householders?
    The whole point of interest rates rising is to deliberatly take money out of the economy, ie make people poorer, and regulate it to slow down rather than overheat. Periodically people are deliberately made poorer to sustain long term affordability. This happens because you cannot defy the laws of economic gravity.
    The tax credit business is matched in part by higher tax allowances (a tax cut) and the so called living wage (a pay rise).
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098



    Interesting combination of the two discussions is how the tax credit cuts will impact on the affordability criteria that is making getting a mortgage so difficult for so many families.

    Dunno, Mr. Kraken, but I suspect the impact will be very limited and non-existent in the South East. The big, in fact fecking huge, block to getting a mortgage these days seems to be actually getting together the necessary deposit.

    When the price of a small house starts at £250,000, saving up £25,000 from taxed income must be damn near impossible for people in normal jobs. Yet if a couple can get a deposit together the cost of the mortgage will be less than the rent on a similar house.

    In an effort to ensure that the banks don't collapse again it seems that HMG have thrown out the baby with the bathwater. As Mr. Charles pointed out on here the other day, The Northern Rock's 125% mortgage book was profitable with a low rate of default.
    I can't imagine what it must be like in those areas...we moved westwards to find an affordable home but even here in Dorset there seems precious little prospect of my children ever being able to find a home of their own.
    If you have a house of your own then your children should be OK, providing you don't move too often or have too many children. The bank of Mum and Dad will be able to help them out.

    You might also want to consider adopting a reasonably unhealthy lifestyle so that their inheritance is not consumed in nursing home fees. No need to go mad, just a modest regime of alcohol and the occasional cigar should, according to the latest medical advice, do the job. You will be saving the NHS a fortune too.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,095



    Interesting combination of the two discussions is how the tax credit cuts will impact on the affordability criteria that is making getting a mortgage so difficult for so many families.

    Dunno, Mr. Kraken, but I suspect the impact will be very limited and non-existent in the South East. The big, in fact fecking huge, block to getting a mortgage these days seems to be actually getting together the necessary deposit.

    When the price of a small house starts at £250,000, saving up £25,000 from taxed income must be damn near impossible for people in normal jobs. Yet if a couple can get a deposit together the cost of the mortgage will be less than the rent on a similar house.

    In an effort to ensure that the banks don't collapse again it seems that HMG have thrown out the baby with the bathwater. As Mr. Charles pointed out on here the other day, The Northern Rock's 125% mortgage book was profitable with a low rate of default.
    I can't imagine what it must be like in those areas...we moved westwards to find an affordable home but even here in Dorset there seems precious little prospect of my children ever being able to find a home of their own.
    If you have a house of your own then your children should be OK, providing you don't move too often or have too many children. The bank of Mum and Dad will be able to help them out.

    You might also want to consider adopting a reasonably unhealthy lifestyle so that their inheritance is not consumed in nursing home fees. No need to go mad, just a modest regime of alcohol and the occasional cigar should, according to the latest medical advice, do the job. You will be saving the NHS a fortune too.
    You can take out an annuity to cover nursing care in old age. However I agree, if you are on an average salary, even on two incomes to buy an average house you will probably need at least some parental assistance and parents who are also homeowners
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,746
    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    Sorry, but is there any documented research which shows that a significant number of people in UK have children primarily because of the benefits system?

    Note: Reporters from the DM doing a quick trawl with loiaed questions does NOT count as research.
    The claim is not that they have children because of the benefits system, but that they do not consider affordability when they have children, which they should do.
    And is there any "proper" evidence that such people exist?
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098



    When interest rates rise and mortgages and other costs go up, are we to moan the lot of poor householders?
    The whole point of interest rates rising is to deliberatly take money out of the economy, ie make people poorer, and regulate it to slow down rather than overheat. Periodically people are deliberately made poorer to sustain long term affordability. This happens because you cannot defy the laws of economic gravity.
    The tax credit business is matched in part by higher tax allowances (a tax cut) and the so called living wage (a pay rise).

    Quite possibly, Mr. Path, but I am a bit of a loss as to how your comment relates to what we were talking about, which was tax rates of 30% plus not being exceptional.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,746
    Could we actually see ALL the Northern nations out of the World Cup?
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,095
    edited October 2015
    Looking like an all Southern Hemisphere semi finals for the first time in Rugby World Cup History. Argentina though have reached one semi final before, in 2007 and on this showing could be an outside bet to reach the final. From a British perspective given we have fought a war against one side and an unofficial war against the other in the last 30 years we may have an affection for the Irish but can probably afford to be neutral
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,095
    edited October 2015
    Ireland then go and score a try, so there is a little hope for the Shamrocks yet
  • flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    Sorry, but is there any documented research which shows that a significant number of people in UK have children primarily because of the benefits system?

    Note: Reporters from the DM doing a quick trawl with loiaed questions does NOT count as research.
    The claim is not that they have children because of the benefits system, but that they do not consider affordability when they have children, which they should do.
    And is there any "proper" evidence that such people exist?
    Does evidence about this matter? The state considers it advisable to help parents, because children are important and being able to bring them up is important. The public have no problem with this, we were children once, we might have them or grandchildren in future. Why should the state however pay child benefit ad infinitum. Typical numbers of children are 2. This seems a more than reasonable limit to offer a child benefit. It seems more than a reasonable limit when the nation has a massive structural deficit that it cannot afford.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    Blimey

    Latest Kids Company spending claim: money spent at a Harley St clinic on a relative of CB’s chauffeur. http://t.co/updq95TyRu
  • SandpitSandpit Posts: 55,046
    Ireland take advantage of the extra man. Still 20-10 in the Argies' favour though.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,533

    Could we actually see ALL the Northern nations out of the World Cup?

    Not looking good for Ireland. Looks like Scotland will be the last Northern nation left in the world cup.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,746

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    Sorry, but is there any documented research which shows that a significant number of people in UK have children primarily because of the benefits system?

    Note: Reporters from the DM doing a quick trawl with loiaed questions does NOT count as research.
    The claim is not that they have children because of the benefits system, but that they do not consider affordability when they have children, which they should do.
    And is there any "proper" evidence that such people exist?
    Does evidence about this matter? The state considers it advisable to help parents, because children are important and being able to bring them up is important. The public have no problem with this, we were children once, we might have them or grandchildren in future. Why should the state however pay child benefit ad infinitum. Typical numbers of children are 2. This seems a more than reasonable limit to offer a child benefit. It seems more than a reasonable limit when the nation has a massive structural deficit that it cannot afford.
    Actually 2 isn't replacement. Nations need to be round the 2.4 mark, so need at least some 3's.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,746
    malcolmg said:

    Could we actually see ALL the Northern nations out of the World Cup?

    Not looking good for Ireland. Looks like Scotland will be the last Northern nation left in the world cup.

    Only until 5or so pm, though! Although one could argue that even though they're out, they'll still have been etc.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    antifrank said:

    On topic, Simon Danczuk is doing his best to justify his short price:

    http://dailym.ai/1GbPIFu

    Not wrong though is he.
  • HurstLlamaHurstLlama Posts: 9,098
    HYUFD said:



    Interesting combination of the two discussions is how the tax credit cuts will impact on the affordability criteria that is making getting a mortgage so difficult for so many families.

    Dunno, Mr. Kraken, but I suspect the impact will be very limited and non-existent in the South East. The big, in fact fecking huge, block to getting a mortgage these days seems to be actually getting together the necessary deposit.

    When the price of a small house starts at £250,000, saving up £25,000 from taxed income must be damn near impossible for people in normal jobs. Yet if a couple can get a deposit together the cost of the mortgage will be less than the rent on a similar house.

    In an effort to ensure that the banks don't collapse again it seems that HMG have thrown out the baby with the bathwater. As Mr. Charles pointed out on here the other day, The Northern Rock's 125% mortgage book was profitable with a low rate of default.
    I can't imagine what it must be like in those areas...we moved westwards to find an affordable home but even here in Dorset there seems precious little prospect of my children ever being able to find a home of their own.
    If you have a house of your own then your children should be OK, providing you don't move too often or have too many children. The bank of Mum and Dad will be able to help them out.

    You might also want to consider adopting a reasonably unhealthy lifestyle so that their inheritance is not consumed in nursing home fees. No need to go mad, just a modest regime of alcohol and the occasional cigar should, according to the latest medical advice, do the job. You will be saving the NHS a fortune too.
    You can take out an annuity to cover nursing care in old age. ....
    Can you indeed? I should be very interested to look at the cost of such a policy and the guaranteed benefits. If an insurance company can make such a scheme work then HMG should be able to as well and the fuss about long term care should not exist.

    I am sceptical, however. My neighbour has been in a nursing home for about 18 months and is basically a zombie (his brain has gone but his body, aided by the NHS, lives on). His two children will get very little from his estate, once the nursing home bill is paid (its about £100 per day). What sort of insurance cover would cough up for those sort of sums and how much would it cost?
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,841

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    Sorry, but is there any documented research which shows that a significant number of people in UK have children primarily because of the benefits system?

    Note: Reporters from the DM doing a quick trawl with loiaed questions does NOT count as research.
    The claim is not that they have children because of the benefits system, but that they do not consider affordability when they have children, which they should do.
    And is there any "proper" evidence that such people exist?
    Does evidence about this matter? The state considers it advisable to help parents, because children are important and being able to bring them up is important. The public have no problem with this, we were children once, we might have them or grandchildren in future. Why should the state however pay child benefit ad infinitum. Typical numbers of children are 2. This seems a more than reasonable limit to offer a child benefit. It seems more than a reasonable limit when the nation has a massive structural deficit that it cannot afford.
    A point made very forcefully by a left-wing journalist here:

    http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/children-victims-tory-welfare-cap-5784476
  • notmenotme Posts: 3,293

    Blimey

    Latest Kids Company spending claim: money spent at a Harley St clinic on a relative of CB’s chauffeur. http://t.co/updq95TyRu

    Wasnt her chauffeur getting his kids funded to private school also?
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207

    Mr. Abroad, you think I/we should be ashamed of being born British?

    Certain elements in the left give that impression very strongly.

  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,746

    HYUFD said:



    Interesting combination of the two discussions is how the tax credit cuts will impact on the affordability criteria that is making getting a mortgage so difficult for so many families.

    Dunno, Mr. Kraken, but I suspect the impact will be very limited and non-existent in the South East. The big, in fact fecking huge, block to getting a mortgage these days seems to be actually getting together the necessary deposit.

    When the price of a small house starts at £250,000, saving up £25,000 from taxed income must be damn near impossible for people in normal jobs. Yet if a couple can get a deposit together the cost of the mortgage will be less than the rent on a similar house.

    In an effort to ensure that the banks don't collapse again it seems that HMG have thrown out the baby with the bathwater. As Mr. Charles pointed out on here the other day, The Northern Rock's 125% mortgage book was profitable with a low rate of default.
    I can't imagine what it must be like in those areas...we moved westwards to find an affordable home but even here in Dorset there seems precious little prospect of my children ever being able to find a home of their own.
    If you have a house of your own then your children should be OK, providing you don't move too often or have too many children. The bank of Mum and Dad will be able to help them out.

    You might also want to consider adopting a reasonably unhealthy lifestyle so that their inheritance is not consumed in nursing home fees. No need to go mad, just a modest regime of alcohol and the occasional cigar should, according to the latest medical advice, do the job. You will be saving the NHS a fortune too.
    You can take out an annuity to cover nursing care in old age. ....
    Can you indeed? I should be very interested to look at the cost of such a policy and the guaranteed benefits. If an insurance company can make such a scheme work then HMG should be able to as well and the fuss about long term care should not exist.

    I am sceptical, however. My neighbour has been in a nursing home for about 18 months and is basically a zombie (his brain has gone but his body, aided by the NHS, lives on). His two children will get very little from his estate, once the nursing home bill is paid (its about £100 per day). What sort of insurance cover would cough up for those sort of sums and how much would it cost?
    I suspect, Mr L, that one would have to be very youndg when one took it out to make it financilly manageable.

    I suspect that the best thing is to be a member of some sort of benefit society.
  • Plato_SaysPlato_Says Posts: 11,822
    It's like we're carving out a new comedy franchise. Carry On Protesting. And right now the sound of Sid James's dirty cackle just about sums up where Labour's at.

    As a Labour MP sometimes it's better to laugh than cry. Because the inescapable truth is painfully hard to countenance.
    Floater said:

    antifrank said:

    On topic, Simon Danczuk is doing his best to justify his short price:

    http://dailym.ai/1GbPIFu

    Not wrong though is he.
  • notmenotme Posts: 3,293
    Sandpit said:

    notme said:

    Sandpit said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
    Take for example a family on a decent income who's family circumstances change...family illness, loss of a career etc. When they had their third child they probably never envisaged having to rely on tax credits
    Yes, if exceptional adverse circumstances exist, I would be very happy to make exceptions.
    I quite liked Labour's idea (mentioned during the leadership contest I believe) of unemployment benefits being paid on a sliding scale according to previous income, so for example you'd get 90% of your previous income for the first month unemployed, 80% for the second month etc. It would soften the blow and allow the necessary lifestyle changes to be phased rather than suddenly needing to happen all at once.

    You have to accompany that with other reductions from the welfare budget though, as it will cost more than the existing system. For some on welfare to get more others must get less.
    Of course. My ideal benefits system would look rather draconian and disruptive for anyone without a job for more than a few months, at the expense of looking after those who find themselves between jobs for a short time.
    I agree somwhat. I think its a travesty that contributions based JSA is the same as non contributions based.
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,841
    Sandpit said:

    Afternoon all. Looks like the Chinese Ambassador's office has been paying attention:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/11938854/Jeremy-Corbyn-China-president-Xi-Jinping.html
    The Chinese ambassador has warned Jeremy Corbyn should "know how to behave" when he sits down with the country's President at Buckingham Palace.

    He said: "I think the State Banquet is for Her Majesty – it’s her show. Either Jeremy Corbyn or others are her guests.

    “I think the British people are very gentlemen[ly], very smart. They know how to behave on occasions like this."

    Mr Corbyn's spokesman confirmed: "He will be using the opportunity next week to raise the issue of human rights.

    A member of Islington Labour Party lecturing someone else on human rights? What could possibly go wrong if Xi takes umbrage?
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    antifrank said:

    Mr. Antifrank, the Balkans are a source of economic migrants who, like many others, are seeking to take advantage of Merkel's lunacy.

    As for the others, I have some sympathy, but they signed up the Schengen, we're providing more funds to camps than most of the EU combined and we're providing naval assistance in the Mediterranean.

    The problem here is not the UK's response. It's the German response.

    I see. So it's someone else's problem. And we wonder why Britain gets so little warmth from EU partners.
    Of course no European nation puts national interests above doing the "right" thing.

    It appears that like Labour you feel we should roll over and bare our tummy to our European neighbours and that will give us "influence" and make them like us more.

    Not much evidence of that having happened to date is there?

  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,095
    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Afternoon all. Looks like the Chinese Ambassador's office has been paying attention:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/11938854/Jeremy-Corbyn-China-president-Xi-Jinping.html
    The Chinese ambassador has warned Jeremy Corbyn should "know how to behave" when he sits down with the country's President at Buckingham Palace.

    He said: "I think the State Banquet is for Her Majesty – it’s her show. Either Jeremy Corbyn or others are her guests.

    “I think the British people are very gentlemen[ly], very smart. They know how to behave on occasions like this."

    Mr Corbyn's spokesman confirmed: "He will be using the opportunity next week to raise the issue of human rights.

    A member of Islington Labour Party lecturing someone else on human rights? What could possibly go wrong if Xi takes umbrage?
    I really think Xi could not care less what Corbyn thinks, a hapless opposition leader of a middle ranking power trying to tell the president of a superpower what he thinks
  • flightpath01flightpath01 Posts: 4,903

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    Sorry, but is there any documented research which shows that a significant number of people in UK have children primarily because of the benefits system?

    Note: Reporters from the DM doing a quick trawl with loiaed questions does NOT count as research.
    The claim is not that they have children because of the benefits system, but that they do not consider affordability when they have children, which they should do.
    And is there any "proper" evidence that such people exist?
    Does evidence about this matter? The state considers it advisable to help parents, because children are important and being able to bring them up is important. The public have no problem with this, we were children once, we might have them or grandchildren in future. Why should the state however pay child benefit ad infinitum. Typical numbers of children are 2. This seems a more than reasonable limit to offer a child benefit. It seems more than a reasonable limit when the nation has a massive structural deficit that it cannot afford.
    Actually 2 isn't replacement. Nations need to be round the 2.4 mark, so need at least some 3's.
    I am not considering replacement. I am thinking solely about what is reasonable to expect. If you really wanted to take a 0.4 element then there is an argument for setting child benefit at 1.2 of its current rate I suppose.
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,572
    Back from the canvass session with Corbyn, which (sensibly) was actually primarily a voter registration session, since the December 1 deadline used by the Boundary Commissioners to fix future constituencies is pretty crucial. 45 people turned out for this necessary but soul-destroying job - the area is Entryphone Paradise, so you spend hours ringing one bell after another and getting replies from maybe one in 4. I found two unregistered voters and picked up some useful data, including three people who wanted to join. Meagre pickings, but has to be done.

    Picking up points on the thread:
    HYUFD - Switzerland MAINLY has cantonal taxation. In the areas like Basel with big employers, my impression is that the tax rates are slightly higher than the UK, but they use a sliding scale rather than fixed increments so the marginal rate varied from year to year.

    JEO - obviously we can't (and shouldn't) brain-scan migrants for improper thoughts, and if someone supports loony groups and does nothing about it, we needn't really care. But I was thinking more in positive terms that a Yazidi, say, would be better able to give evidence of being in danger (and hence should get higher priority) than someone who had no quarrel with ISIS and merely wanted a better life elsewhere.

    I do incidentally favour the EU funding well-run local refugee camps near Syria (and I think the Turks do have legitimate cause to grumble that we don't do more), and where someone isn't in danger and doesn't have skills that we want, I wouldn't object to returning migrants in Europe to such camps. But where they're in danger, we should agree throughout the EU to share out the job of helping them in, and Britain should take its share.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,095
    notme said:

    Sandpit said:

    notme said:

    Sandpit said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    JEO said:

    Mr. Roger, you want to cull the firstborn?

    After he restricted tax credits to two children it became "George Osborne - poverty bringer to the third born"
    Perhaps people could wait until they can afford to support a third child before having one? Children are a wonderful thing, but it is unreasonable to have them expecting other people to pick up the tab.
    So you would exempt those who's family circumstances change from the cuts?
    Sorry, I did not follow you.
    Take for example a family on a decent income who's family circumstances change...family illness, loss of a career etc. When they had their third child they probably never envisaged having to rely on tax credits
    Yes, if exceptional adverse circumstances exist, I would be very happy to make exceptions.
    I quite liked Labour's idea (mentioned during the leadership contest I believe) of unemployment benefits being paid on a sliding scale according to previous income, so for example you'd get 90% of your previous income for the first month unemployed, 80% for the second month etc. It would soften the blow and allow the necessary lifestyle changes to be phased rather than suddenly needing to happen all at once.

    You have to accompany that with other reductions from the welfare budget though, as it will cost more than the existing system. For some on welfare to get more others must get less.
    Of course. My ideal benefits system would look rather draconian and disruptive for anyone without a job for more than a few months, at the expense of looking after those who find themselves between jobs for a short time.
    I agree somwhat. I think its a travesty that contributions based JSA is the same as non contributions based.
    Indeed, though though you can claim it regardless of savings for six months unlike income based JSA which you cannot claim if you have more than £16,000 of savings.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,095

    malcolmg said:

    Could we actually see ALL the Northern nations out of the World Cup?

    Not looking good for Ireland. Looks like Scotland will be the last Northern nation left in the world cup.

    Only until 5or so pm, though! Although one could argue that even though they're out, they'll still have been etc.
    Yes, Nicola and Alex will be demanding a rematch!
  • ydoethurydoethur Posts: 71,841
    HYUFD said:

    ydoethur said:

    Sandpit said:

    Afternoon all. Looks like the Chinese Ambassador's office has been paying attention:
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/11938854/Jeremy-Corbyn-China-president-Xi-Jinping.html
    The Chinese ambassador has warned Jeremy Corbyn should "know how to behave" when he sits down with the country's President at Buckingham Palace.

    He said: "I think the State Banquet is for Her Majesty – it’s her show. Either Jeremy Corbyn or others are her guests.

    “I think the British people are very gentlemen[ly], very smart. They know how to behave on occasions like this."

    Mr Corbyn's spokesman confirmed: "He will be using the opportunity next week to raise the issue of human rights.

    A member of Islington Labour Party lecturing someone else on human rights? What could possibly go wrong if Xi takes umbrage?
    I really think Xi could not care less what Corbyn thinks, a hapless opposition leader of a middle ranking power trying to tell the president of a superpower what he thinks
    You might be surprised HYUFD. The Chinese can be quite touchy if their honour is impugned, particularly if there is any truth to the allegation.

    I was merely thinking that if this story were flung at Corbyn he would end up looking rather silly. Being lectured on human rights by the leader of the PRC would be, in a field of stiff competition, his most disastrously embarrassing moment to date.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 124,095
    SeanT said:

    HYUFD said:

    Ireland then go and score a try, so there is a little hope for the Shamrocks yet

    Recall this is the Argentina side which very nearly beat the All Blacks. All the southern teams are benefiting from playing each other constantly - in particular, playing the All Blacks. They have to raise their general game to compete.

    But Ireland might still win this. The crowd could see them home.
    Indeed, in the world rankings first is New Zealand, second Australia, third Ireland, fourth Wales, fifth South Africa, sixth Argentina. So New Zealand and Australia ought to be the finalists but following these quarter finals S Africa and Argentina should take third and fourth (although as you say there is some hope for Ireland still)
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