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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sporting Index open a market on how many days Corbyn will l
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Sporting Index open a market on how many days Corbyn will last as leader
The 475 days would mean that Corbyn’s stint as leader would end on the 31st of December 2016. Whilst discussing this market earlier on today with PBer Tissue Price his view on 475 was if pushed he’d sell, but it’s a risky one. I agree with him that it is risky for several reasons.
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Much more interesting is the purge now starting at Labour HQ. There won't be any Blairites left to oust him before too much longer ...
Politics is all about the big mo(mentum)
I refer you to the gallant Estobar...
However the Hemsworth MP is still yet to be unofficially named – with less than two hours to go before whoever takes the communities role needs to answer questions in Parliament.
He has been giving advice to Mr Corbyn’s team throughout the campaign.
Cameron decided sometime after mid day on Saturday to visit Lebanon today.
No security prep required....
My favourite Brian Close story was when he was fielding, and was struck on the head by a flying ball. He rounded on his colleague for coming to his aid rather than catching the ball as it flew off his head,
It sounds like a success ...
I can see a number of ways in which it can happen, all focussing on Parliament. Everyone seems convinced that he will never win a General Election but he may not have to.
If you're right about this government, then it's grossly self-indulgent to elect a leader who is incapable of providing coherent opposition.
To the person asking about spin you really, really, don't get it do you? Spin is muck. No-one in Corbyn's world gives a flying f uck about spinning anything.
However, my thinking now is with so many factions on the left now lining up to bring him down, he could be gone by Christmas.
Now I need to slip away from my strongly disapproving other half.
A late mid life crisis perhaps? It seems pretty Perrin-esque, particularly the series when Reggie sets up the commune featuring all the old gang
https://youtu.be/HcDe6Va1v4g
I assume there will be no shadow junior ministers
During the GE campaign I knocked on thousands of doors in a marginal seat, I can honestly say not 1 brought up the issue of climate change.
(FPT) JEO said:
"Has the shadow minister for Jews, Muslims and other assorted non-Christians been announced yet?"
Err, hello. The biggest minority faith in Britain is Catholicism. We're not going to be lumped in with CoE types, thank you very much. We want - DEMAND - our own Minister to make sure that our particular views on transubstantiation, original sin, the Nicene creed and the price of fish are properly taken into account in government policy. Plus we want a special law saying that we mustn't be offended and a special monitoring team to make sure that rude things said about us are recorded and people told off for being Catholicophobic.
Oh and the price of incense should be lowered and we need to have lots of money given to us for all the babies we have. Lots of money. Lots and lots. Because if you don't you are being "authoritarian" (copyright: H Manson, the Labour Party (currently in receivership)).
Political discourse in Britain is moving left and this is the greatest gift Corbyn has given.
Anyway, back to the more interesting question. Cameron has the thinnest majority in Parliament for c. 40 years. There are a number of ways in which the Conservatives could be out of office before 2020.
Remember, the SNP will definitely ally with a Corbyn-led Labour. The LibDems? I don't know but they would probably never again go with the Tories. How many 'others' could Cameron rely on in the event that he loses 5 by-elections? Some Ulstermen, perhaps, but that's going to look as shoddy as some of you right wingers looking across at Corbyn.
Interesting times ahead. Don't be too cocky you Conservatives. Don't be too cocky.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=110&v=tyNI7wmjS6s
Ha ha ha. McDonnell is another crazy crackpot with an over inflated ego and sense of worth.
For weeks, months, years, Cameron has been spending MORE on Syrian refugees than any other EU country - twice the next biggest contributor - Germany - and probably more than all the other European governments combined.
And he did this because a Labour nonentity back bencher raised the topic in a speech few listened to and no one reported?
And he'll go down fighting, in a big rant, blaming the Murdoch press no doubt.
Dan Hodges @DPJHodges
Current Telegraph headline: "No top jobs for women in Corbyn's cabinet as Labour leader appoints man who wanted to assassinate Thatcher".
I don't think he's alienating everyone already at all. He and his supporters have said for weeks that there's only one journalist who supports him: Owen Jones.
I don't think he's interested in the MSM. It's a movement that's probably more rooted in social media than the old style establishment. Some, like Guido Fawkes and TSE, widely predicted that he didn't have anything like the support his followers claimed. They were profoundly wrong.
Always supposing Corbyn could get his own MPs to vote with him....
He's been ignored for 32 years. At last people want to hear what he has to say. And he simply runs away. It is most peculiar.
Arthur Henderson (Lab) 1931-2*** - resigned after his position as a non-MP became untenable
Ming Campbell (LD) 2006-7 - resigned following criticism about his performance
Anthony Eden (Con) 1955-7 - resigned over a mixture of ill health and criticism
John Smith (Lab) 1992-4 - Died in office
Iain Duncan-Smith (Con) - 2001-3 - deposed in party vote of no confidence
Michael Howard (Con) - 2003-5 - resigned following election defeat
Alec Douglas-Home (Con) 1963-5 - resigned following election defeat
George Lansbury (Lab) 1932-5 - resigned following criticism of key policies
Gordon Brown (Lab) - 2007-10 - resigned following election defeat
Michael Foot (Lab) - 1980-3 - resigned following election defeat
* Excluding temporary leaders serving pending the election of a permanent leader
** Chosen because the early 1920s saw Labour establish a formal party leader and the Conservatives and Liberals develop permanent overall leaders.
*** Henderson had, however, served two previous periods as leader of Labour's MPs prior to the position of party leader being established.
So, it's rare for new leaders to go mid-term but not unknown. The question is whether the political dynamics that will beset Corbyn's leadership throughout will overwhelm the support that propelled him there in the first place.
The problem is that he and his supporters still seem to have their cake and eat it. They want to be outsiders protesting against the system but they also want the respect due of the leader of a major party and Shadow Prime Minister. They want access to the media but not scrutiny by it. And something will have to give.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Official_Opposition_Shadow_Cabinet_(United_Kingdom)
Has there ever been a list so filled with people with zero experience (or even knowledge) of the departments they are shadowing?
The Sky walk was excruciating, but the reporter - relatively young - could and should have addressed him as Mr Corbyn, not Jeremy. After all, he is leader of Her Majesty's Loyal Opposition. The title deserves some respect.
ROFL.
Beyond Yes Minister. Well beyond.
It's just too entertaining to have him or her quit.
Question is: will he stand the heat? Or will he crack and resign?
Shambles you say?!
At least Foot had Healey as his Chancellor and other moderates around- Hattersley, Shore et al.
In appointing McDonnell Corbyn has presented the most enormous open goal for the press to go digging for any mad quote McDonnell has said....and there are thousands....and in galvanising his own back benchers against him. Cornyn's double whammy. And the walk of silence...I know that Corbyn is unspun, but he needs to learn how to handle the press, otherwise it'll just be carnage, day in, day out.
I just don't think the febrile atmosphere around Corbyn is going to die down, ever. The press are just going to have so much fun- there's just too much material, and in the land of social networks, there's going to be no amount of back benchers throwing knives around. On any slow news day, there will always be chaotic Corbyn stories to find.
Can you honestly see 475 days of this? Really. I mean really?
No-one has paid a blind bit of notice to anything Corbyn has said or done these last 3 decades because none of it was even worth spitting at. Now that he's leader he's avoided telling any of us - those of us not lucky enough to be at his rallies - anything.
Alun Michael appointed a vegetarian Minister of Agriculture in the First (super-Blairite) Welsh Govt (Christine Gwyther)
Twitterdom!
Where FM Salmond is negotiating Scottish Independence with PM Miliband.....
First they have to defend the indefensible for a while, then they'll go quiet until finally he will be airbrushed from history. In five years time it will never have happened. Like the shower scene in Dallas.
The fact she is willing to be part of Corbyn's team OTOH shows she is not fit for the role of Defence.
I love seeing ideology back in British politics. Jeez I've missed it. The last time was Thatcher vs Foot. For 40 years we've been treated to contemptible shit from Blair and Cameron. And the reason, to me, why this is so important is that we're on perilous ground in domestic and international politics. The days when porn barons, oligarchs and media moguls could dictate British policy should be passing.
Vive La Revolution.
Oh, and do check out Henry's excellent thread one back. Top stuff. Spot on.
You're right but try and take responsibility for what you think, and how you express it, instead ?