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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trade union machinations to help Corbyn aren’t necessary –
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Trade union machinations to help Corbyn aren’t necessary – if YouGov is right he’ll win easily anyway
The mail-pack featured above, from the GMB union to those of its members entitled to vote in Labour’s last leadership election, played a pivotal role in 2010 in securing the prize for the younger Miliband brother.
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Where is the man who saved the world, saved the banks?
General Gordon. Your Party Needs You!
ICM:
Con 40
Lab 31
LD 7
UKIP 10
Green 4
It's been put on Wiki with the wrong numbers.
http://www.icmunlimited.com/data/media/pdf/2015_august_guardian_poll.pdf
The letter market is in terminal decline and the parcel market is very competitive.
It is not an 'essential' public service and with a current market cap of 5.002B renationalisation just seems absurd. Corbyn has well and truly capitulated to the short-termist demands of a declining union struggling to maintain remaining any shred relevance.
Still quite near the knuckle 50 years later...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Tw4qLi4I6no
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LixqUpOLfkE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=miFgskmpVvM
A putsch against Corbyn raises the fear, as one MP gloomily observes, “of him just winning again”, leaving them looking both “unelectable and fucking stupid”
I predicted on here a few weeks back that if Corbyn wins the party will split, it now seems inevitable.
Timothy Dalton would have been his favourite.
Unless they really, really fucking stupid...
Every actor has embarrassing films in their portfolio they're not proud of.
I genuinely wonder if Cooper’s heart is in this, and I think she will be relieved when she loses.
Burnham does seem not very bright (lending votes to Corbyn to get him on the ballot, duh). I have come round to believe OGH is right on Andy - he’s a complete wally who is not very smart at politics and the Tories will whack him out of the park.
Kendall has been hugely disappointing, she may be ambitious, but she lacks any of Blair's (1997) redeeming qualities of intelligence, charisma and empathy. Awful.
Given the choice, I’d vote for Corbyn. Whilst I don’t agree with some of his policies, he is the best of the four and -- if he is willing to be consensual -- I could imagine it working out fine.
Most left-wingers turn out to be more right-wing when actually faced with the problems of government (vide Harold Wilson)
Typical email from a member who still likes Tony Blair:
"A grandson asked what I thought of Corbyn and as I answered I realised that was where I will cast my vote. He has inspired something good at grass roots. Even if we remain in the wilderness, there would be something clearly honest and wholesome at the centre."
and from a member who is further left than the first one but will go for Yvette:
"When faced with a political dilemma, I often have 2 responses: first comes the “kneejerk” response and the socialist in me emerges (Corbynesque), however, a longer consideration brings me back to what can be achieved through persuading others at which point my response becomes “Mandlesonesque”.
The Bond franchise is still comfortably ahead of Star Wars in (inflation adjusted) box office
But if I had to go for a single film it would be OHMSS. Lazenby had his faults, but the story actually gave some perspectives into why Bond is so messed up. Skyfall tried to do the same, but much less successfully.
http://www.rt.com/usa/311664-school-child-lawsuit-god/
I would employ Kendall as she is a thinker and not afraid to put her point forward and would use her in strategic planning. I would employ Corbyn as he would be good at Sales.
I would not employ either Burnham or Cooper as they would do more damage to my business than any good they may bring. They are neither deep thinkers nor have the ability to instill confidence in my business in my clients.
Regarding the candidates for deputy, I might employ Flint and Creasy but not really sure. Watson may be useful as an assassin, but I am not in that business.
Sadly Niven was too old although he did appear as Bond in a Casino Royale travesty.
But politics has always had self-correcting mechanisms. Andy Burnham has said he would serve in a Corbyn shadow cabinet. Assuming he sticks to that then that's a big marker to other current front benchers and also Burnham's own supporters.
She hasn't got the brains to be a filing or admin bunny.
Watson would be good as an assassin as eating his targets is a terrific way to dispose of the corpses.
So he would be on the ballot, and looking at these numbers would probably win with an even larger majority as a mighty two-fingered salute to the PLP.
Roger Moore IMO was the quintessential JB - smooth, dashing, a bit puny, physically vulnerable, no "deep" emotions to speak of, plus had that equally essential Bond trait of not taking it all or himself too seriously.
Who would you like to share a martini with - Moore's Bond or Craig's? For me no contest = Moore's.
on topic: my ages old 3/1 on Cooper has probably been the median price since (before) the contest started.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-33872602
The question is, will this lance the boil or will it make matters worse? Around half have apparently been deleted - if the FBI decide those include emails that were business rather than personal, that could conceivably be a criminal offence.
To be candid, this whole episode just shows that Clinton's judgement is appalling and her arrogance is unbelievable (even leaving aside her remarkable incompetence). It's a damning indictment of the quality of the other candidates that she's still the favourite for the presidency.
Not that they ever will be PM (or even LOTO after the next election).
Henceforth, all real political debate will take place inside the Tory Party, who can put the abolition of the NHS into their manifesto and still win 400-500 seats.
Had Connery acted as Bond, not been dubbed to 'Sir Hilary Bray' for a third of the film, and a more convincing Blofeld than Telly Savalas found, it would be an all-time classic masterpiece.
http://www.huffingtonpost.co.uk/2015/07/25/jeremy-corbyn-refuses-to-_n_7870992.html
The Labour left was always traditionally against the EEC, as they saw it as a pawn of big business. That's why Foot campaigned on a platform for withdrawal in 1983, and Benn supported the out campaign in 1975.
There has been no debate, such that I have seen, just further affirmations of positions. Unless by debate they meant to give frustrated CiF-ers the opportunity to vent their inner hard lefty.
Dalton perfectly captured the resentful brooding intensity and conflicted emotion behind Fleming's Bond, who does his job of assassination (effectively as a off-limits civil servant) reluctantly and sceptically, but maintains a ruthless menace where necessary. His only relief being alcohol, fine living, and beautiful women to feel alive - tempered by the fact that one of his relationships ended tragically.
To put Dalton behind actors like Brosnan, Moore and Lazenby is nothing short of a travesty.
Go back, and rewatch his films. Try again.
With regards to physicality, Bond is described as resembling Hoagy Carmichael who was of a slight build, quite unlike muscleman Connery.
Labour atm is just hollowed out spin and the electorate can see it.
Well, not in the Labour party anyway - lots of George Osborne's ideas seem to be emanating from Cruddas. But that in itself may be part of the problem, of course.
As I mentioned last night here, the difficulty for the others is that they can't explain their volte-face between one minute to and one minute past 10pm on May 7th. Ed and Lab's biggest fanboys (and girls) all of a sudden became huge critics without actually being able to explain what had made them support pre-GE Lab and why now they wouldn't, still less what would put in its place.
Connery/David
Dalton
Moore/Brosnan
Lazenby
Learn something every day.
The only thing I can suggest is that because they all went in expecting to need second preferences to get over the line, they decided to say and do as little as possible in order to not offend anyone and hopefully pick up those extra votes by default - a little bit like the legendary Governor Dewey in 1948, who decided not to say anything to offend the Democratic swing voters and ended up therefore saying next to nothing.
Which ironically has meant Corbyn, who didn't care about winning and therefore felt free to say what he really thought, has looked like the only person actually doing anything - with the net result he may well win on the first ballot.
It's only a theory, but it fits all the facts. Doesn't say much for the self-belief or courage of the other three though.
Got to say I thought Dalton was rather good.
Only seen the one Daniel Craig (Casino Royale). Thought it took itself too seriously/was too influenced by Bourne. "Do I look like I bloody care [how my Martini is served]?" Well, you should. You're James Bond, you damned fool.
Connery's the best. Right blend of menace and charm.
The reason Corbyn is Stormyn is that the new members are being signed up by the unions for him in the first place.
Its pretty obvious the way a Corbyn led and hard lefty dominated Labour will go.
Anyway - I am off to Olympia in a minute to the CAMRA beer festival. Hope the pies are good.
I rewatched Bourne recently - the shaky cam was remarkably not that shaky.
"No, its the same God of Abraham. They just worship him in a different way."
He might have been thinking about political correctness being the God you must worship to be acceptable.
'Even if we remain in the wilderness, there would be something clearly honest and wholesome at the centre."
My thinking exactly. It would be wonderful to have a Labour party that didn't beat up on immigrants and asylum seekers because the Daily Mail tells them to. Or a leader who doesn't stoop to the level of a Tory and say 'English jobs for English workers' because it might garner a few grubby votes.
Since the Lib Dem sell out for power we don't have such a party anymore
If Corbyn could be that leader what a renaissance it would be for Labour. A political Mikveh bath!
http://labour-uncut.co.uk/2015/08/11/under-corbyn-labour-faces-twenty-years-in-the-wilderness/
Don't think it will help though, at this late stage.
EDIT: I would particularly recommend that article to @NickPalmer and @Roger.
The Tories would have lot to fear from a Cruddas -led Labour Party.
There are a number of people who are more inspiring & competent than Kendall, Cooper & Burnham, yet they elected not to stand.
If you choose to do that -- for whatever reasons, personal or professional -- then you have to accept that someone less able will stand & win in your place.
But it is very clear that for whatever reason he has decided he does not want to be leader or for that matter a senior figure in the party (as in, Shadow Cabinet/Cabinet). What a sad thing for our political system.