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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Labour leader at the general election betting
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The Labour leader at the general election betting
Ladbrokes have a market up on who will be the Labour leader at the next general election. This is an interesting market, because you can see scenarios that whoever wins in September ends up being replaced before the next election.
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I do think Corbyn may be value, but the prolonged time frame puts me off.
Too many of the have connections to previous regimes, or to this leadership contest. If Corbyn fails, it'll be in the next two or three years, and Jarvis's reasons for not standing this time will probably still be valid.
Labour's new leader has three years to prove themselves or they must be ruthlessly toppled, says Alastair Campbell
http://dailym.ai/1MVKizO
http://www.newrepublic.com/article/121551/bot-bubble-click-farms-have-inflated-social-media-currency
Labour know they are most likely electing a dud, either way out of this lot.
Burnham: 2.62/3.25
Corbyn: 2.25/5
Cooper: 3.75/5.5
I reckon Burnham and Cooper would stay the course... but who wants to wait 5 years?
Kinnock Jnr and Straw Jnr for sure - is Euan Blair another one? Anyone else?
In many ways this means that Corbyn is not an "IDS" figure. It was IDS the man that did for him, not necessarily that his policy platform didn't have significant support within the Tory Party. If he had been electorally successful then the Tory Party would have been pretty content, for many in Labour i reckon an electorally successful Corbyn is their worst nightmare.
Bang, bang; he shot me down.
Bang, bang; I hit the ground.
Bang, bang! that awful sound,
because we have no ammunition.
Cooper, the Robot that is tarnished in her joints
Corbyn, Mein fuhrer in the making, should he get power.
It's not the job of the government.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-northern-ireland-33840428
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jESzCHdWoAU
Nonetheless good value at 4 in Betfair, it is sure to get tighter as the euro-ref gets closer.
The massive lead for "Yes" with the youngsters may be decisive if Corbynmania gets them engaged in politics and off the sofa.
£165 million has gone into Kids Company and they couldn't show any benefit...and they have gone tits up...that a s##t tonne of money, where did it all go?
For somebody who has spent so long in the media, you would think he could do a better interview than that. Raised voice, wagging finger, arrogant tone, not a good look / feel for an interview.
Also, his excuses are such BS...we couldn't take anybodies money anymore, because there have been allegations, which I don't know what they are, but I am sure they are untrue....great logic there, that probably why only managed a crappy 2:2 at uni.
http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/uk/scotland/article4521316.ece
You can't make this up. Nor can I seriously believe there are people out there who actively LIKE this man.
Trump 23%
Cruz 13%
Carson 11%
Fiorina 8%
Rubio 8%
https://mobile.twitter.com/rwwilmington/status/630387473953226752
Is he going to spend hours screaming "but think of the kiddies" or "there was no financial mismanagement", whenever a tough question is asked?
“You could see there was blood coming out of her eyes, blood coming out of her wherever.”
The worst Farage has said is his breastfeeding comments.
There are some who thought that Kelly was acting on behalf of the GOP establishment to get Trump out. But I think that this kind of stuff will make him even more popular with the GOP base. FGS, his poll ratings rose after his McCain comments!
Must admit a preference for PD to be carted off to the funny farm.
Nevertheless, Cuadrilla (and the other would be UK drillers) are all small companies reliant on finding investors to pay for their drilling. With oil today at $55, those investors are scarce.
If Trump's actual numbers go the same way as Farage is not is another question.
OT Watching the Bachelorette now. Quite sad how her daughter's dad died. Somehow, I don't think these kinds of shows offer the 'love for life' type she's looking for though.
He must have had literally years of media training, what exactly do they F'in pay him 300k for, and who the F is accountable for the decision to pay him that F'in much for a part time F'in job..???
And relax...
I'll go 200s for you.
Next episode looks like a corker.
Then again I find a lot of GOP views weird. There's apparently one candidate who thinks abortion = murder.
Her training diaries are concrete proof of the hard work and sacrifices she made in order to win major titles.
Winning clean is possible - it's just made a lot more difficult, against opposition willing to take the easy route.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/athletics/33841145
This is a lovely attitude, but if drug cheating is as wide as is being suggested by the Sunday Times / German broadcasters investigations over the past 2 years, it just isn't true. You can't beat people who are pumped up on EPO, HGH, etc, the likes of EPO allow them to train harder for longer than would be otherwise humanly possible.
Lance Armstrong didn't take "the easy route", he took stuff that allowed him to punish his body harder and for longer and refresh himself with clean blood in order to rinse and repeat.
I've not seen him before or never noticed.
At this rate it could end up Trump v Sanders, not Bush v Clinton!
Farage plays a similar "I am the outsider and I say stuff different to the clones", but knows where the line is in the UK and it is radically different position than in the US.
The EU is mothers milk to left wing socialists. And a big dollop of syrup for most of the other political elite.
No, Corbyn, and a Corbyn dominated Labour party will want to get his/it's snout deep into the EU trough.
The Democrats will have gone to heaven if the GOP elect Trump. I don't think they will, but the biggest shocker on the cards seems to be Bush not getting the nomination.
I believe they've since fallen out over a business dispute.
She was so lovely Southern Belle polite and I could feel her Ewww when saying Lovely to meet you... as she peeled another one off. BTW, what was the egg? The guy chosen last kept cradling it.
Also I was right that the "establishment" 4 (Bush, Walker, Rubio, Kasich) bombed due to excess boredom.
Trump will probably remain the frontrunner at least till Christmas.
Millions of African migrants pose a threat to the standard of living and social structure of the UK and the rest of Europe. Under EU laws migrants can be pretty confident that they will never be returned to their home countries, and it will not be sustainable if Europe has to absorb millions of African migrants.
There will always be a threat to the security of the Channel Tunnel as long as there are still large numbers of desperate migrants who are maurauding in Calais.
In the 1990s they grew to like it, as post-Maarstricht the EU became more bureaucratic and stood up for collectivist ideals over corporate interests.
From 1998 until 2015 they loved the EU as it stood up to the Evil Bankers.
In the last six months they have seen that the Euro monster has hung the Greek people out to dry to keep the Euro dream alive. Now the Left are back to hating the EU.
Much more so than the Calais migrant crisis, this is likely to have a significant impact on the EU referendum.
But it was very unlikely that it would have been Bush from the start, for one his biggest weakness is being a Bush, second he makes his brother look like Einstein, and third the Romney block of 25% of voters is split towards 3-4 different candidates so Bush will only get a slice of that.
In a race so badly split with 17 candidates of all colours and tastes the one who gets more than 20-25% wins, that's how Romney did it in 2012 and that so far is Trump's strategy.
Ministerial Direction is to protect the civil servants from being blamed when they have clearly recommended contrary action.
The government as a whole acts with the authority of the Crown, and so long as it is not a breach of its Supply limitations, it can pretty much do what it likes.
The composition of government is purely at the discretion of Her Majesty's Prime Minister.
Hence resignation is, and always has been, a political decision, not one driven by law or constitution.
For the record, I think the Left's response to the Greek crisis has been beyond delusional and is illustrative of the place it's at right now.