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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A busy night of local by-elections previewed by Harry Hayfi
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » A busy night of local by-elections previewed by Harry Hayfield
Hilton, Woodside and Stockethill (SNP defence) and Kincorth, Nigg and Cove (SNP defence) on City of Aberdeen
Result of council at last election (2012): Labour 17, Scottish National Party 15, Liberal Democrats 5, Conservatives 3, Independents 3 (No Overall Control, Labour short by 5)
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Con 40% (+1)
Lab 28% (+1)
LD 7% (-2)
UKIP 10% (-1)
SNP 5% (NC)
Green 5% (-1)
Other 4% (+1)
http://comres.co.uk/polls/daily-mail-political-poll/ …
(Before Corbyn)
Mwahahaha
Northumberland looks the most interesting (and the 91% for Lab last time is remarkable, even for local government). I'm calling it LD fightback - believe it, people!
Jezza Brent North, TSSA, Unison
Yvette Crawley, Hackney South, Tewksbury
Andy Bolton, Rochester and Strood
BWP "Cuddly Toy"
How many migrants would I let in- as many as possible and hopefully we can push many more Daily Mail, little Englanders to Gibraltar, or some other ex-pat haven in return. Quid pro quo as it were comrade.
Really, why should Benidorm or such like, put up with swarms of pot bellied, useless, lazy, beer swilling, lazy, ignorant, xenophobic little Englanders who offer the local community nothing more than ill health, and whinging gripes.
A good swop methinks.
Hold on a moment - weren't we told on the last thread there would be a huge uprising against these policies?
NumbrCrunchrPolitics @NCPoliticsUK 2m2 minutes ago
ComRes/Mail:
CON 40 (+1)
LAB 28 (+1)
LIB 7 (-2)
UKIP 10 (-1)
GRN 5 (-1)
SNP 5 (=)
24th-26th
N=1,001
Tabs http://comres.co.uk/polls/daily-mail-political-poll/ …
#newsnight
Corbyn has 135. He is now mathematically assured of coming top in nominations: http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2015/07/which-clps-are-nominating-who-labour-leadership-contest …
They'll love it there, baiting the idle rich, guilt ridden, capitalist rentiers.
But of course I'm not a fan.
Jerry Jones had hip surgery the other day.
Labour might just hang on in Northumberland.
It'll start to be disconcerting when it becomes a trend - so far the previous polls have had Labour in the early 30s, and the movements are MOE.
The British PM features. Looks more like George than Dave.
IMF might bail him out (or not)
Errr because unfortunately most of them go home afterwards? (Regrettably Yes I grant you)
However...... Despite Benidorm having feck all to do with the price of pizza that one single response to a serious question actually shows more about you and your motives than I could have ever have done in a month of threads on this subject.
Well done!
The SNP will storm Holyrood 2016. I'm sure about that.
We are not getting excited. We are rather enjoying ourselves at the moment.
Polls? Even funnier.
*innocent face*
http://www.oxforddictionaries.com/definition/english/swarm
Comedians must have a thing about Worcestershire. Monty Python used to mention Bromsgrove.
Examples - Tim - we find out he lived in 99.9 white population,Roger lives in France and Tyson who lives in Italy,well away from our poor multicultural inner cities.
Lets not forget the great man of the left - Billy bragg
Who kept telling us how great mass immigration to London was that he deciced to move to a all white village.
On polls - it's strange how VI polls have suddenly been taken at face-value now....
Is that where Michael Barrymore lives.
Avoid the pool party Billy??
In the house of Kate and her father.
K: Father, I must speak. I can be silent no longer. All day long you muttered to yourself, gibbered, dribbled, moaned and bat your head against the wall, yelling "I want to die". Now you may say I'm leaping to conclusions but you're not *completely* happy, are you? It's mother, isn't it?
F: No, it is not.
K: You're brooding over her death, aren't you?
F: Kate, for the final time, your mother is not dead. She's run off with your uncle Henry.
K: Dear father, I know you only say such things to comfort me.
F: Your mother is alive and well and living in Droitwich. It is not her I brood over. I'm sad because, my darling, our poverty has now reached such extremes that I can no longer afford to keep us. I must look to my own dear tiny darling to sustain me in my frail dotage.
K: But father, surely...
F: Yes Kate, I want you to become a prostitute.
K: Father!
F: Do you defy me?
K: But indeed, I do. For it is better to die poor than to live in shame and ignominy.
F: No, it isn't.
K: I'm young and strong and clever. My nose is pretty. I shall find another way to earn us a living.
F: Oh, please... go on the game. It is a steady job and you'd be working from home.
K: Goodbye father. I shall go to London, disguise my self as a boy and seek my fortune!
F: But why go all the way to London when you can make a fortune lying on your back?
I have missed most of the explanations for May but pollsters have a long and steep mountain to climb.
What we have here, though, is a problem for everyone. I've thought for the last 30 years that a world with huge income differences for similarly bright and energetic people was not going to be sustainable - either they will get to the jobs, or the jobs will move to them. We can work to help offer reasonable prospects in their homelands (few people move 2000 miles just for fun), or we can put up with the problems as they try to escape the lack of reasonable prospects, just as you and I would. Where migrants cluster (Medierranean refugees, Calais) there should be a joint EU effort to resettle them somewhere safe near their origins, jointly financed by EU countries. That's not an especially left-wing view IMO, just common sense, since the alternative is periodic nasty crises.
Not sure about 10 quid hand outs.... Those Italian villas don't pay for themselves you know.
And yes- I do think it is worth juxtaposing and drawing attention to the the many tens of thousands of utterly useless (many unhealthy) idle, Brits who think they can live anywhere against this group of able bodied migrants who want to meaningfully contribute to a new life in the UK.
And no- I do not consider myself amongst the useless, ex-pat Brits, who offer nothing to the countries they go to. I give to Italy, far, far, far, far more than I take- socially, personally, economically, emotionally. I doubt many ex-pat, Daily Mail gripers can realistically say that to the countries they migrate to.
Britain Elects @britainelects now3 seconds ago
Conservatives HOLD North Hykeham Mill (North Kesteven).
What's wrong with France?
At least it would be if I was a fan.
I don't know what personal demons you're wrestling with, but don't expect the rest of us to share them.
An investigation into a number of allegations of crime involving the children's charity Kids Company has been launched by the Metropolitan Police, the BBC has learned.
The inquiry is being led by the complex case team of the Sexual Offences, Exploitation and Child Abuse Command
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-33726968
Crickey all those Guardian articles saying how wicked and nasty the Tory government were for pulling funds are probably quickly been "corrected".
Britain Elects @britainelects 8m8 minutes ago
North Hykeham Mill (North Kesteven) result:
CON - 40.1% (-19.2)
IND - 25.2% (+25.2)
LAB - 22.6% (+22.6)
GRN - 9.0% (+9.0)
LDEM - 3.1% (+3.1)
That's shocking....
As the Conservative Party set about demonstrating fifteen years ago, it's difficult to convince an electorate that you don't appear to like very much to vote for you.
I appreciate, of course, that Tyson is not the Labour Party. But the sorts of views he sets out here seem unusually common on the left.
*or words to that effect.
Now obviously at this stage it is all based upon some ex-employees testimonies, so nothing has been proved, but I think it is now clear that the government took a safety first approach when they got wind of some stink. For that, I am not sure you can blame them. If they had been found to continue to pump millions of pounds of tax payers money and it was then exposed they knew about this stuff, they would be far worse PR.
In all of this, I feel for those that the charity has helped and should help. Clearly something has gone seriously wrong here, I would presume it has got far too big far too quickly and lots of things have got out of hand.
Renzi offered a managed approach to the boat/migrant problem, only for the UK not to engage in the discussion. Italy is exceptionally good at bureaucracy- I have the scars- we need to document, register, and then agree a dispersal system for these migrants where all countries share the load. It is not a humane or practical option to send them back- we don't know who are genuine asylum seekers, and the economic migrants will only make a better informed attempt at coming back.
Instead, we have Italy (and presumably) shirking it's responsibility and turning a blind eye, and the chaos on borders- Calais just being one example.
I was captivated by the skills, organization and excitement of the play. In particular, the beauty of the long forward pass (though the balance of the offense favoured rushing in those days of course). Roger Staubach (the legend) threw a long bomb to Bob Hayes, the olympic sprinter, and it was just beautiful.
It's about the only sport, other than Test Cricket, in which I have a passing interest now.
BTW, something that I cannot explain. I like the way that the Patriots continually rebuild the team and get the most out of their players. I respect their coaching and organization. I admire the skills of Tom Brady. But for some reason, I always want the Patriots to lose. Crazy, eh?
It has not happened yet.
He has said he will not do debate practice, and will be who he is.
So on August 6, he will either conquer all, or go down in flames.
In the EU, only Ireland, the UK and Denmark do not require you to carry 'your papers'. So the only large country they can come to is England.
Your logic implies you would be content for the whole country to be turfed out in favour of these squatters...
But on the other side, it is OK to demonise the Polly Toynbee's, the so called metropolitan elite as having no worth, or being traitors, or something worse? These are people who genuinely struggle with the world they live in. We give as much as we take.
I tell you my life would be much easier if I went for lowest common denominator politics, black and white, migrants are thugs, the royal family are wonderful, Jeremy Corbyn is a socialist dickhead, capitalism is fantastic, all in for fracking, environmentalism is some lefty conspiracy and global warming it's devilish offspring, the BBC should go......
The life of a liberal. a genuine liberal is tough.
When I got back I used to listen to American Forces Radio - singles were released in the US before the UK then, and there was football on sunday evenings: in those days it was always the Cowboys or the Packers. I knew Dallas from JFK and it was too cold in Green Bay.
Since that time I have been a Cowboys fan. I have met Roger Staubach and Tom Landry. I have had my picture taken on the star at the centerfield in Texas Stadium. I have been to several Cowboys Monday Night Football games, and the Super Bowl the Cowboys won in Atlanta.
I have also met Bart Starr, and after a couple of minutes chat on the Ice Bowl, he poked me in the stomach and said I was a Cowboys fan, yet still said to call him Bart and shook my hand.
If I was a fan I'd be a Dallas fan
Was Mr Landry wearing his famous hat?
I used to listen to AFN as well!
http://rapidis.blogactiv.eu/2015/07/29/syriza-central-committee-topics-to-be-discussed/?utm_source=EurActiv+Newsletter&utm_campaign=9451b8827f-Bmail&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_bab5f0ea4e-9451b8827f-245514803
In fact that sort of assertion lies about the problem. Linking Cameron's word 'swarms' with a word he has not used, 'thugs' is pretty cheap.
The issue - as Cameron clearly pointed out, but Labour and other lefty numpties want to avoid for cheap opportunist reasons - is one of a world wide movement by economic migrants who get increasingly desperate the deeper they get into their illegal journey.
Its a big world wide problem, which ultimately will only be solved by increased real democracy, at the expense of corruption and totalitarianism, which empowers people locally and offers a real prospect of a real increase in wellbeing.
I disagree about needing advice to get through the system. I work with many skilled immigrants who applied without hiring any advice. All the information is on the website, often with very simple calculators. The brightest and employable university graduates easily qualify.
''Germany is pushing to strip key powers from the European Commission in a move that will help David Cameron’s case for reform in Brussels.''