Categories
Options
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Gains from both CON and LAB plus other good local results o
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Gains from both CON and LAB plus other good local results on Tim Farron’s first night as LD leader
With only eight MPs at Westminster Farron would dearly love there to be a parliamentary by-election. But who knows when one of those is going to come up? So in the meantime the emphasis will be going back to its roots by seeking to build up the party on a local level.
0
Comments
Well that's one way of describing Tim Farron I guess!
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/jul/16/tim-farron-named-liberal-democrat-party-leader
Any by-election "sensations" (to use the usual media word) which they win are likely to happen in unexpected or random places, such as safe Labour seats where there might be a local issue which provides a spark. It would be like Eastbourne in 1990, where they won without needing to be on a high in the opinion polls nationally. Such a by-election win might depend on the collapse in support for UKIP, which I think is likely to happen anyway (regardless of what happens in the referendum).
Their best bet, like Eastbourne, is that the opposition is fairly evenly split, this time between Labour and the Conservatives and they just might slip through the middle, especially if Nick hangs on until mid term blues hit the Conservatives. But it won't be fun for the Lib Dems.
Stephen Lloyd had a big personal vote, I don't think we can assume that a newly minted contender would perform in the same fashion. Labour's last candidate is a nice chappy - he got about 5k votes. Eastbourne CLP has gone for Burnham and Watson IIRC
"Which bit of the sanctimonious, God-bothering, treacherous little ****is there not to like?”
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/liberaldemocrats/11741946/24-things-you-didnt-know-about-Tim-Farron.html
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politics/labour/11744789/My-failed-attempt-to-destroy-Jeremy-Corbyn-Labour-and-British-democracy.html
But who wants to become pieces of 8? You'd have to be as mad as Carswell to want to do that and he is pretty special.
We haven't heard much about the squirrel recently. It appears he's taken the election result rather hard:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-hereford-worcester-33541502
"Speaking to an audience of around 500 party members after his victory, Farron described the Lib Dem defeat at the general election as “overwhelming, desperate, heartbreaking.” He said the party’s election campaign had focused too much on what the party wasn’t instead of what it was.
“So let me be crystal clear what the Liberal Democrats are for: we are the party that sees the best in people not the worst,” said Farron to deafening applause."
What mainstream UK party is for seeing the worst in people, not the best?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PYdy1r_YmxU
Best of luck to them.
Where's the catch though. It's the EU there is always a catch.....
Mr Osborne said: ‘These have been tough talks, but the agreement means an impregnable ring-fence around British taxpayers’ money, which will not be at risk in any way in this emergency financing for Greece.
‘Importantly, we have also managed to secure the same protections for all other member states who are not members of the single currency.
‘The European Commission has agreed these changes will be legally binding.’
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-3164607/UK-cash-ring-fenced-Greek-bailout-deal.html#ixzz3g7xucXnh
However, you are correct that the Tories being in power will tend to galvanise the anti-Tory vote.
Let's see what Farron adds to that.
Mr. Moses, must agree. I doubt the money will ever return. And we should never have been on the hook for any in the first place.
Mr. Royale, quite. Farron's not alone, but the horrifyingly bland, tedious nature of many political statements make them worthless.
Harman we will support the Tories welfare chanesThe acrid smell of burning rubber in combination with the scream of tortured wheels as after completing a number of political doughnuts the labour party for the grand finale complete a humongous U turn
Daily Telegraph
Labour will no longer support George Osborne’s cuts to benefits, Harriet Harman has said, after a rebellion from scores of MPs and some of the candidates for the Labour leadership.
Will we see a list of MPs who refuse/give back/give away their pay rise and a list of those who keep it. Having to pay for your evening meal is no hardship with the subsidised HoC dining rooms - just means those dinners at the Michelin starred restaurants no longer qualify as expenses.
They will just be more cautious about their promises in future.
That type of cash dosent grow on trees you know which is probably why they have to put pensioners in jail for non payment of telly tax
Only saying...
The BBC even if it maintained its current programme profile, needs to get realistic on salaries, benefits and manning (and womaning). To me the more sports they lose the less value they are giving and I will not pay for them on SKY. Perhaps he needs to lobby more the DCMS and cut the numbers of staff that attend prestigious events.
https://joesaward.wordpress.com/2015/07/17/bottas-ferrari-and-falling-dominoes/
A shame if so, I would've preferred Hulkenberg to get the seat. Upside is that Hulkenberg might move to take Bottas' place at Williams.
Perhaps the effects of Leighton Andrew's intended merging of the Welsh Councils?
This has sparked an angry backlash from some Labour councillors, especially in the North East. Wrexham is due to be merged with Flintshire. (Cynics might say fewer councils, less opportunities for the the bruvvers).
I think this reorganisation is one of the things that might affect Labour’s performance in next years Assembly elections, as it hits the foot-soldiers.
If you look at access to the world's English language media in terms of reach, you could probably get those that control 80% in a small board room.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/lifestyle/11743814/Graham-Norton-The-BBC-should-stop-for-two-months-wed-stop-moaning-about-it-then.html
Does anyone still think this isn't being co-ordinated by the bigwigs?
hypocritegentleman.As I have said before on PB, I suspect millions of people receiving tax credits were not aware that this actually counted as part of the welfare system. Not least because HMRC runs it. When they voted to bash benefits they didn't mean there own. We will see in a few months.
If the BBC wants to tax us on pain of imprisonment then no. You can't have your cake and eat it.
What he isn't is a cossetted middle-class graduate, from an urbane Russell Group university, that follows a carefully opinion filtered group of friends on Twitter, and a Guardian reader.
He worked hard for some good a-levels, became an agency worker on the factory line and has now secured an apprenticeship in mechanical vehicle manufacture and design.
He's a Conservative supporter.
If the BBC has a budget (for instance a cap on wages at the rate of the PM) then it needs to offer jobs and whichever rate it can afford and hire from amongst those who apply for the job at that rate. If you pay too much in the market then you risk getting undercut and going bust because of competition from your competitors and consumer choice. That is how markets work. Giving yourself a blank cheque on force of imprisonment and then writing high numbers "because of the market" is not how markets work.
Do you seriously think that if the job was offered at £125k that James Purnell ex-MP would have turned his nose up and not applied for the job?
Mr. Royale, Canadian case, but a man's on trial for disagreeing with a feminist on Twitter. She claims he made her feel endangered. Under Canadian law, it seems, the charge will be judged by his actions (deemed not to be threatening) but also her subjective feelings.
It's a horrendous law. I just hope we don't get that level of bullshit over here.
Still, it's not like a woman can tweet about killing all white men and keep her job as a diversity officer whilst a respected scientist can have comments taken out of context and his resignation forced upon him, right?
I am heartened that your son's generation seems to be shifting away from the 'gosh, don't be offensive' limpwristedness of older generations.
Payback time.
Anyone can be a publisher nowadays. Hell, I am. There are people on YouTube making good money out of interests that I find incomprehensible (opening boxes? playing video games and commenting on them?). The scarcity of resource that was control of media has gone.
The scarce resource is attention. To influence that you need serious resources. And again that is controlled by very few.
But I commend you for your honesty. The BBC does not provide the coverage that conservatives like you feel that it should provide so you wish to destroy it.
I'd estimate 95% of shows I watch now from broadcast media are broadcast on non-BBC channels - but more often shows watched are not even being broadcast but downloaded.
On the face of it, with no other changes the BBC have had a 16% top line budget cut, and the government have had an 800m spending cut that affects no-one directly. Looks from here like a big win/win.
And there are new more mainstream publishers coming through all the time from all directions. The internet was convulsed this month by a crisis at Reddit. Reddit was founded in 2005 by two graduates. VICE News was created in 2013. I'm not particularly au courant so no doubt I'm not up to speed with the latest coming things. And I haven't mentioned Facebook or Twitter or Pinterest or Instagram.
This is the world in which the BBC now exists, and it's only heading in one direction.
Eventually, it will go the way of radio licences. It's only a question of time.
Mr Cohen even created a #hashtag and sent out loads of ThankYou!! tweets from his own account. Stupid or what for a supposedly *independent* show of love for the BBC.
I haven't heard of 'safe spaces' but is triggering really an unreasonable idea? I'm on tumblr, and I've always seen in it used in the context of rape and other abuse victims, in regard to being sensitive towards these issues.
@mattholehouse: Hermany Van Rompuy is to enter the ranks of aristocracy and be made a Count by King Filip, Belgian media reports
That's like arguing that your shopping basket is full, and therefore there's no room for new products.
Of course EVERY OTHER broadcaster has full schedules if they want them - and funnily enough they manage to make money and original stuff too.
I do wonder sometimes if those who love the BBC have a complete blindspot about how every other broadcaster copes without a telly tax.