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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The big polling night continues with a Marf cartoon on Ed a

SystemSystem Posts: 12,217
edited May 2015 in General

imagepoliticalbetting.com » Blog Archive » The big polling night continues with a Marf cartoon on Ed and the SNP

Tonight we saw the last of Lord Ashcroft constituency polls which have added enormously to this election. All told his polling has covered nearly 250k separate phone interviews which is just colossal.

Read the full story here


«1345

Comments

  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    edited May 2015
    "Ed is Crap" - why do we not see this now ?
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    Two ComRes polls in three days?
  • OblitusSumMeOblitusSumMe Posts: 9,143
    I can almost hear the angry tones of Kinnock: ".. you end in the grotesque spectacle of a Labour leader in Scotland, a Labour leader in Scotland reliant on the tactical votes of Tories to be elected to Parliament..."
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044
    surbiton said:

    "Ed is Crap" - why do we not see this now ?

    Are you kidding me? EICIPM?? :D
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    :smiley:
    OblitusSumMe said:

    I can almost hear the angry tones of Kinnock: ".. you end in the grotesque spectacle of a Labour leader in Scotland, a Labour leader in Scotland reliant on the tactical votes of Tories to be elected to Parliament..."

  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    I hope Ed as PM proves up to the task that awaits him, but I'm not sure anyone could handle it very well.
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    The full video of Balls in Kilburn today

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJiuZRocTqo

    Seant should have joined the party
  • TheKrakenAwakesTheKrakenAwakes Posts: 553
    If Cameron's not going to cut tax credits or child benefit then why doesn't he legislate to confirm he won't? The reason is, because the Tories WILL cut tax credits and child benefit...the party of non doms and fox hunters are going to fleece the working poor.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,546
    AndreaParma_82 said:

    The full video of Balls in Kilburn today

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJiuZRocTqo

    Seant should have joined the party

    This is the ritual humiliation that politicians are expected to undergo.
  • initforthemoneyinitforthemoney Posts: 736
    TheKrakenAwakes said:

    If Cameron's not going to cut tax credits or child benefit then why doesn't he legislate to confirm he won't? The reason is, because the Tories WILL cut tax credits and child benefit...the party of non doms and fox hunters are going to fleece the working poor.

    I'm neither working nor particularly poor but I get both.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    Andrea Parma ‏@AndreaParma82 3m3 minutes ago
    Longer video of EdB doing some line dancing on the campain trail in Kilburn https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vJiuZRocTqo …
  • AndreaParma_82AndreaParma_82 Posts: 4,714
    @seant

    if you were searchin for Labour in Holborn today...they were in Regents Park this morning. In the afternoon Starmer was at the Mosque

    Balls and Boris Johnson were in Hampstead and Kilburn today. Balls dacing with old oldies while a jogger shouted "bulla bulla" at Boris while walking on the street
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Just to say again. Golders Green is a solid Labour gain.
  • Ishmael_XIshmael_X Posts: 3,664
    surbiton said:

    "Ed is Crap" - why do we not see this now ?

    Did you miss QT last night? Ed is crap all right.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044
    initforthemoney said:

    TheKrakenAwakes said:

    If Cameron's not going to cut tax credits or child benefit then why doesn't he legislate to confirm he won't? The reason is, because the Tories WILL cut tax credits and child benefit...the party of non doms and fox hunters are going to fleece the working poor.

    I'm neither working nor particularly poor but I get both.
    You must be a non-dom fox hunter then.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    Curtice playing down the accuracy of the exit poll...
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-04-30/u-k-election-exit-pollster-says-his-poll-may-be-vague-or-wrong
  • initforthemoneyinitforthemoney Posts: 736
    RobD said:


    You must be a non-dom fox hunter then.

    That's how I found my wife.

  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,711
    IOS said:

    Just to say again. Golders Green is a solid Labour gain.

    You saying it doesn't make it so.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,546
    IOS said:

    Just to say again. Golders Green is a solid Labour gain.

    Why?

  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044
    RodCrosby said:

    Curtice playing down the accuracy of the exit poll...
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-04-30/u-k-election-exit-pollster-says-his-poll-may-be-vague-or-wrong

    Will make for a fun election night.
  • TheKrakenAwakesTheKrakenAwakes Posts: 553
    initforthemoney said:

    RobD said:


    You must be a non-dom fox hunter then.

    That's how I found my wife.

    Was she hiding in a badger sett, then?
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    Sean_F said:

    IOS said:

    Just to say again. Golders Green is a solid Labour gain.

    Why?

    The ground game ;-)

  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Why not Sean?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044
    TheKrakenAwakes said:

    initforthemoney said:

    RobD said:


    You must be a non-dom fox hunter then.

    That's how I found my wife.

    Was she hiding in a badger sett, then?
    non-dom badger, obviously.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044
    IOS said:

    Why not Sean?

    You are the one saying it'll be a gain. Hardly for Sean to justify why you are so confident.
  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,165
    I'm noticing a grudging respect from some quarters of the right wing press.

    James Chapman (Mail) ‏@jameschappers 6 mins6 minutes ago
    Alarming that @NicolaSturgeon grasps implications of Fixed Term Parliaments Act (aka Dave's worst mistake) better than Westminster leaders
  • Luckyguy1983Luckyguy1983 Posts: 28,869
    This is a really silly question so apologies in advance, but what happens to the 'don't knows' in the polls? Why are they not included in the overall totals?
  • ChameleonChameleon Posts: 4,264
    TheKrakenAwakes said:

    If Cameron's not going to cut tax credits or child benefit then **why doesn't he legislate to confirm he won't**? The reason is, because the Tories WILL cut tax credits and child benefit...the party of non doms and fox hunters are going to fleece the working poor.

    D'oh.
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    RodCrosby said:

    Curtice playing down the accuracy of the exit poll...
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-04-30/u-k-election-exit-pollster-says-his-poll-may-be-vague-or-wrong

    You have to wonder how they'll calculate the LD figure from a handful of LD seats. Perhaps they could incorporate the ashcroft polls or something?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,546
    IOS said:

    Why not Sean?

    12% Conservative majority. How is that a nailed on gain? It has a huge Jewish population, a Jews are heavily Conservative.
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    London Labour Sean. As is Hornsey and Wood Green a Labour gain.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,591
    Theuniondivvie said:

    I'm noticing a grudging respect from some quarters of the right wing press.

    James Chapman (Mail) ‏@jameschappers 6 mins6 minutes ago
    Alarming that @NicolaSturgeon grasps implications of Fixed Term Parliaments Act (aka Dave's worst mistake) better than Westminster leaders

    Respecting the SNP has never been a problem. It was just a question of how much that respect turned to fear.

  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    John_N said:

    If LAB are doing a 'slow build' and then a 'wham wham wham in the last week' in Scotland, it's risky in the sense of motivating their own activists, but it might be clever in the circumstances - and in some constituencies this is what the LABby NO-ers did for the indyref. SNP seat numbers may be a sell.

    You really do not understand Scotland.

    Labour are finished in Scotland. Finished.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,711
    IOS said:

    London Labour Sean. As is Hornsey and Wood Green a Labour gain.

    So any seat in London that isn't Labour is a Labour gain?

    Ashcroft had it almost neck and neck. So I don't think you can say nailed on.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    IOS said:

    London Labour Sean. As is Hornsey and Wood Green a Labour gain.

    Tell us again how Simon Hughes is so certain to lose badly that he wont even run.
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Sean

    Why can't he do deals with the Tories. They don't even have to vote for it. They can just abstain and Labour have a massive majority.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,803
    IOS said:

    London Labour Sean. As is Hornsey and Wood Green a Labour gain.

    So how is Barnet council still Conservative controlled ?
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044
    Dair said:

    John_N said:

    If LAB are doing a 'slow build' and then a 'wham wham wham in the last week' in Scotland, it's risky in the sense of motivating their own activists, but it might be clever in the circumstances - and in some constituencies this is what the LABby NO-ers did for the indyref. SNP seat numbers may be a sell.

    You really do not understand Scotland.

    Labour are finished in Scotland. Finished.
    The premise is that Labour's current position is all going to plan? titters.. gotta feel sorry for them though, ultimate decimation.
  • Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 60,711
    RodCrosby said:

    Curtice playing down the accuracy of the exit poll...
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-04-30/u-k-election-exit-pollster-says-his-poll-may-be-vague-or-wrong

    "“Prepare for disappointment,” said Curtice. “It’s almost guaranteed.”"

    Don't oversell it, John.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    There are only 11,000 votes in the way of David Cameron gaining the overall majority that evaded him in 2010. Here's how he does it
    telegraph.co.uk/news/general-election-2015/11577997/The-11000-votes-and-23-seats-needed-to-give-the-Tories-a-majority.html
  • MonksfieldMonksfield Posts: 2,808
    Plato said:

    There are only 11,000 votes in the way of David Cameron gaining the overall majority that evaded him in 2010. Here's how he does it
    telegraph.co.uk/news/general-election-2015/11577997/The-11000-votes-and-23-seats-needed-to-give-the-Tories-a-majority.html

    LoL
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Neil

    If Simon does lose - then I win the war.
  • vulpus_rexvulpus_rex Posts: 5
    Office poll of The 4 under thirties this evening:

    I might vote for cleggy again
    I'm not voting, they are all shit
    I'm not telling but it's not labour
    I like David Cameron, I'm voting for him.
  • PongPong Posts: 4,693
    vulpus_rex said:

    Office poll of The 4 under thirties this evening:

    I might vote for cleggy again
    I'm not voting, they are all shit
    I'm not telling but it's not labour
    I like David Cameron, I'm voting for him.

    Marginal constituency?
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    RobD said:

    Dair said:

    John_N said:

    If LAB are doing a 'slow build' and then a 'wham wham wham in the last week' in Scotland, it's risky in the sense of motivating their own activists, but it might be clever in the circumstances - and in some constituencies this is what the LABby NO-ers did for the indyref. SNP seat numbers may be a sell.

    You really do not understand Scotland.

    Labour are finished in Scotland. Finished.
    The premise is that Labour's current position is all going to plan? titters.. gotta feel sorry for them though, ultimate decimation.
    John N seems quite the deluded sycophant. I almost feel sorry for them if they weren't enemies of Scotland.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    edited May 2015
    IOS said:

    Neil

    If Simon does lose - then I win the war.

    You managed to get a GE prediction wrong before the GE was even held!

    I, for one (well, two including JohnO), will be looking out for those Labour gains in Cornwall.

  • KentRisingKentRising Posts: 2,917
    vulpus_rex said:

    Office poll of The 4 under thirties this evening:

    I might vote for cleggy again
    I'm not voting, they are all shit
    I'm not telling but it's not labour
    I like David Cameron, I'm voting for him.

    Same person, just at 4 different times of the day?!
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,546
    IOS said:

    London Labour Sean. As is Hornsey and Wood Green a Labour gain.

    London Labour don't seem to be winning Battersea (similar seat) or Croydon Central (more marginal).
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    IOS said:

    Why not Sean?

    12% Conservative majority. How is that a nailed on gain? It has a huge Jewish population, a Jews are heavily Conservative.
    With Miliband's craven "Islamophobia" pledge, I reckon British Jews must be about 95% Tory by now, apart from a few north London intellectuals, like Ed Miliband MP.

    As for Scotland, what the F is going on? -

    @Conorpope
    At Labour rally in Glasgow. Protesters outside screaming "scum", "quisling", "Red Tories out" at people and filming us as we go in. Grim.

    The demon of nationalism. In our own country. Sad.


    Chris Deerin @chrisdeerin

    Labour pal who's with Miliband in Glasgow was chased by SNPers. One put a finger in his face and shouted 'You English fucking cunt'


  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,328
    edited May 2015
    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    IOS said:

    Why not Sean?

    12% Conservative majority. How is that a nailed on gain? It has a huge Jewish population, a Jews are heavily Conservative.
    With Miliband's craven "Islamophobia" pledge, I reckon British Jews must be about 95% Tory by now, apart from a few north London intellectuals, like Ed Miliband MP.

    As for Scotland, what the F is going on? -

    @Conorpope
    At Labour rally in Glasgow. Protesters outside screaming "scum", "quisling", "Red Tories out" at people and filming us as we go in. Grim.

    The demon of nationalism. In our own country. Sad.
    It's not just Jews who are horrified by his "Islamophobia" pledge. Anyone who believes in free speech rather than its suppression; anyone who does not want to dance to the Islamist agenda; anyone who does not want to give (inadvertent) succour to terrorists and their sympathizers and appeasers; anyone who does not want to give rocket boosters to those who think their religion should excuse them from any scrutiny or criticism at all - all such people and others are - or should be - horrified by such craven politicking.

  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820
    Pong said:

    vulpus_rex said:

    Office poll of The 4 under thirties this evening:

    I might vote for cleggy again
    I'm not voting, they are all shit
    I'm not telling but it's not labour
    I like David Cameron, I'm voting for him.

    Marginal constituency?
    Results of Election
    UKIP 2
    Lib Dem 1
    Conservative 1

    UKIP Gain.
  • CyclefreeCyclefree Posts: 25,328
    AndreaParma_82 said:

    @seant

    if you were searchin for Labour in Holborn today...they were in Regents Park this morning. In the afternoon Starmer was at the Mosque

    Balls and Boris Johnson were in Hampstead and Kilburn today. Balls dacing with old oldies while a jogger shouted "bulla bulla" at Boris while walking on the street

    One hopes Keir Starmer has read the bit in the Tower Hamlets judgment about the misuse of spiritual influence to get votes.



  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    'Coward'

    BBC Radio 4
    Posted at 20:09
    Speaking on Any Questions, Labour's Yvette Cooper calls David Miliband a "coward" for not agreeing to a one-on-one debate with Ed Miliband.
  • IOSIOS Posts: 1,450
    Battersea ain't much of a target. Croydon central we will win.
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759
    What a surprise in Peterborough,the one seat which I thought Labour can`t win due to heightened immigration concerns there!

    I wonder if there are other seats where Labour is going to come through the middle while the Tories and UKIP middle it out!
  • philiphphiliph Posts: 4,704
    IOS said:

    Battersea ain't much of a target. Croydon central we will win.

    In 2020 or 2025?
  • green_with_envygreen_with_envy Posts: 2
    Chance of an sizable upset on the Isle of Wight. The Conservative incumbent has been hit by scandal after scandal in this campaign and, although I used to believe that anything standing under the Conservative banner would win here, events in the last week have changed my view. A credible UKIP candidate is available at 11/2.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    Sun Politics ‏@SunPolitics 2m2 minutes ago
    Tory top team smash Labour in crunch poll week before election http://sunpl.us/6011AVPS
  • JonathanJonathan Posts: 21,706
    Ed Milliband on BBC1 now. Not sure he should get his own slot so close to Election Day.
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    edited May 2015
    SMukesh said:

    What a surprise in Peterborough,the one seat which I thought Labour can`t win due to heightened immigration concerns there!

    I wonder if there are other seats where Labour is going to come through the middle while the Tories and UKIP middle it out!

    UKIP actually take a higher proportion of 2010 Labour voters than Tories according to the tables.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    SMukesh said:

    What a surprise in Peterborough

    The incumbent MP must have a door-step manner every bit as charming as his posting style.
  • TabmanTabman Posts: 1,046
    Tykejohnno said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    IOS said:

    Why not Sean?

    12% Conservative majority. How is that a nailed on gain? It has a huge Jewish population, a Jews are heavily Conservative.
    With Miliband's craven "Islamophobia" pledge, I reckon British Jews must be about 95% Tory by now, apart from a few north London intellectuals, like Ed Miliband MP.

    As for Scotland, what the F is going on? -

    @Conorpope
    At Labour rally in Glasgow. Protesters outside screaming "scum", "quisling", "Red Tories out" at people and filming us as we go in. Grim.

    The demon of nationalism. In our own country. Sad.


    Chris Deerin @chrisdeerin

    Labour pal who's with Miliband in Glasgow was chased by SNPers. One put a finger in his face and shouted 'You English fucking cunt'


    Traditional Glasgow hospitality
  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    Tykejohnno said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    IOS said:

    Why not Sean?

    12% Conservative majority. How is that a nailed on gain? It has a huge Jewish population, a Jews are heavily Conservative.
    With Miliband's craven "Islamophobia" pledge, I reckon British Jews must be about 95% Tory by now, apart from a few north London intellectuals, like Ed Miliband MP.

    As for Scotland, what the F is going on? -

    @Conorpope
    At Labour rally in Glasgow. Protesters outside screaming "scum", "quisling", "Red Tories out" at people and filming us as we go in. Grim.

    The demon of nationalism. In our own country. Sad.


    Chris Deerin @chrisdeerin

    Labour pal who's with Miliband in Glasgow was chased by SNPers. One put a finger in his face and shouted 'You English fucking cunt'


    Thatcher got worse, but had bigger balls than this Labour lot.

  • franklynfranklyn Posts: 322
    dr_spyn said:

    'Coward'

    BBC Radio 4
    Posted at 20:09
    Speaking on Any Questions, Labour's Yvette Cooper calls David Miliband a "coward" for not agreeing to a one-on-one debate with Ed Miliband.

    David Milliband?
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,834
    IOS said:

    Sean

    Why can't he do deals with the Tories. They don't even have to vote for it. They can just abstain and Labour have a massive majority.

    And what's in it for the Tories?
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    The cartoon is a bit off...
  • StereotomyStereotomy Posts: 4,092
    franklyn said:

    dr_spyn said:

    'Coward'

    BBC Radio 4
    Posted at 20:09
    Speaking on Any Questions, Labour's Yvette Cooper calls David Miliband a "coward" for not agreeing to a one-on-one debate with Ed Miliband.

    David Milliband?
    That coward!
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,834
    dr_spyn said:

    'Coward'

    BBC Radio 4
    Posted at 20:09
    Speaking on Any Questions, Labour's Yvette Cooper calls David Miliband a "coward" for not agreeing to a one-on-one debate with Ed Miliband.

    Was that her misspeaking or you mistyping?
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    green_with_envy said:

    Chance of an sizable upset on the Isle of Wight. The Conservative incumbent has been hit by scandal after scandal in this campaign and, although I used to believe that anything standing under the Conservative banner would win here, events in the last week have changed my view. A credible UKIP candidate is available at 11/2.

    Not sure where you get the "anything standing" bit from as it was LibDem until 2001

    And "scandal after scandal" is a bit of an odd way to describe a nutty ex girlfriend stalking him.

    Apart from that; good accurate post.
  • david_herdsondavid_herdson Posts: 17,834
    chestnut said:

    Sun Politics ‏@SunPolitics 2m2 minutes ago
    Tory top team smash Labour in crunch poll week before election http://sunpl.us/6011AVPS

    Hmm. If it's a 5-pt Con lead, that's significant. If it's a 5-pt lead for Cameron as 'best PM', that's also significant though for the opposite reason.
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    green_with_envy said:

    Chance of an sizable upset on the Isle of Wight. The Conservative incumbent has been hit by scandal after scandal in this campaign and, although I used to believe that anything standing under the Conservative banner would win here, events in the last week have changed my view. A credible UKIP candidate is available at 11/2.

    http://www.bbc.com/news/election-2015-england-32495823
    http://www.bbc.com/news/election-2015-england-32286776
    http://www.iwcp.co.uk/news/news/isle-of-wight-conservative-campaign-condemned-by-tory-agent-80776.aspx


    A Shakespeare play:

    http://www.private-eye.co.uk/issue-1391/hp-sauce
    "Tory agent disowns his own candidate!"
    "Anomalies’ in campaign finances
    The agent is also seriously worried by “significant anomalies and ambiguities” in campaign finances, again involving Lady Macbeth"

    It doesn't matter though, Tory voters have the lowest standards of all.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,803
    Neil said:

    SMukesh said:

    What a surprise in Peterborough

    The incumbent MP must have a door-step manner every bit as charming as his posting style.
    But not as charming as his predecessor's bar manner.

    Sadly the YouTube video is no longer available.
  • franklynfranklyn Posts: 322
    Eh_ehm_a_eh said:

    Tykejohnno said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    IOS said:

    Why not Sean?

    12% Conservative majority. How is that a nailed on gain? It has a huge Jewish population, a Jews are heavily Conservative.
    With Miliband's craven "Islamophobia" pledge, I reckon British Jews must be about 95% Tory by now, apart from a few north London intellectuals, like Ed Miliband MP.

    As for Scotland, what the F is going on? -

    @Conorpope
    At Labour rally in Glasgow. Protesters outside screaming "scum", "quisling", "Red Tories out" at people and filming us as we go in. Grim.

    The demon of nationalism. In our own country. Sad.


    Chris Deerin @chrisdeerin

    Labour pal who's with Miliband in Glasgow was chased by SNPers. One put a finger in his face and shouted 'You English fucking cunt'


    Thatcher got worse, but had bigger balls than this Labour lot.

    The SNP should of course really be called the Scottish Nazi party. They were formed in 1934, in the wake of Hitler's rise to power in 1933, and during the 1939-45 war encouraged Scots not to fight for Britain.
    Now (as in the referendum (when I never saw a NO poster that hadn't been torn down or defaced, we are seeing them in their true colours.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Penultimate ARSE with added APLOMB 2015 General Election & "JackW Dozen" Projection Countdown :

    12 hours
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044
    david_herdson said:

    chestnut said:

    Sun Politics ‏@SunPolitics 2m2 minutes ago
    Tory top team smash Labour in crunch poll week before election http://sunpl.us/6011AVPS

    Hmm. If it's a 5-pt Con lead, that's significant. If it's a 5-pt lead for Cameron as 'best PM', that's also significant though for the opposite reason.
    I think they are talking about who does the best job for PM, who for Chancellor... as opposed to a normal VI poll.
  • GeoffMGeoffM Posts: 6,071
    david_herdson said:

    IOS said:

    Sean

    Why can't he do deals with the Tories. They don't even have to vote for it. They can just abstain and Labour have a massive majority.

    And what's in it for the Tories?
    There's nothing in it for the Tories and more importantly there's nothing in it for the country.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    another_richard said:

    Neil said:

    SMukesh said:

    What a surprise in Peterborough

    The incumbent MP must have a door-step manner every bit as charming as his posting style.
    But not as charming as his predecessor's bar manner.

    Sadly the YouTube video is no longer available.
    Ah, the Venerable Helen. Once a great PBC favourite until it became wrong to laugh at her. We'll always have Our Jane.

  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited May 2015
    Theuniondivvie said:

    I'm noticing a grudging respect from some quarters of the right wing press.

    James Chapman (Mail) ‏@jameschappers 6 mins6 minutes ago
    Alarming that @NicolaSturgeon grasps implications of Fixed Term Parliaments Act (aka Dave's worst mistake) better than Westminster leaders

    I don't understand what people keep going on about with the Fixed Term Parliaments Act changing anything. As far as I see it, if a vote of no confidence is passed, the government falls the same as it always did. The only difference that the Act makes is the PM loses the power to call an election at a time of his choosing (in theory anyway, if he doesn't engineer a VoNC).
  • peterbusspeterbuss Posts: 109
    david_herdson said:

    chestnut said:

    Sun Politics ‏@SunPolitics 2m2 minutes ago
    Tory top team smash Labour in crunch poll week before election http://sunpl.us/6011AVPS

    Hmm. If it's a 5-pt Con lead, that's significant. If it's a 5-pt lead for Cameron as 'best PM', that's also significant though for the opposite reason.
    It's probably a poll comparing the two front benches .

  • sladeslade Posts: 2,081
    As a Lib Dem member I have been deluged with emails over the last few days from Lib Den HQ asking for money. No surprise there then! But today there was a message asking specifically for money for Christine Jardine, Layla Moran and Jasper Gerard. It suggest they are behind but within touching distance.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    edited May 2015
    franklyn said:

    Eh_ehm_a_eh said:

    Tykejohnno said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    IOS said:

    Why not Sean?

    12% Conservative majority. How is that a nailed on gain? It has a huge Jewish population, a Jews are heavily Conservative.
    With Miliband's craven "Islamophobia" pledge, I reckon British Jews must be about 95% Tory by now, apart from a few north London intellectuals, like Ed Miliband MP.

    As for Scotland, what the F is going on? -

    @Conorpope
    At Labour rally in Glasgow. Protesters outside screaming "scum", "quisling", "Red Tories out" at people and filming us as we go in. Grim.

    The demon of nationalism. In our own country. Sad.


    Chris Deerin @chrisdeerin

    Labour pal who's with Miliband in Glasgow was chased by SNPers. One put a finger in his face and shouted 'You English fucking cunt'


    Thatcher got worse, but had bigger balls than this Labour lot.

    The SNP should of course really be called the Scottish Nazi party. They were formed in 1934, in the wake of Hitler's rise to power in 1933, and during the 1939-45 war encouraged Scots not to fight for Britain.
    Now (as in the referendum (when I never saw a NO poster that hadn't been torn down or defaced, we are seeing them in their true colours.
    Somewhere out there a village is missing its idiot.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    david_herdson said:

    dr_spyn said:

    'Coward'

    BBC Radio 4
    Posted at 20:09
    Speaking on Any Questions, Labour's Yvette Cooper calls David Miliband a "coward" for not agreeing to a one-on-one debate with Ed Miliband.

    Was that her misspeaking or you mistyping?
    I didn't mistype it - have screen grab as well.

    Might be a misspeak by Mrs Balls, or a mistype by Beeboid.

  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    Is the Sun talking about their usual YouGov poll?
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759
    (Lab target number) Swing Con to Labour

    Pudsey(26) +1.0
    Croydon Central(47) +1.0
    Wirral West(50) +4.5
    Norwich North(68) +6.0
    Peterborough(79) +6.0
    Stourbridge(81) +4.5
    Battersea(89) 0

  • Eh_ehm_a_ehEh_ehm_a_eh Posts: 552
    franklyn said:

    Eh_ehm_a_eh said:

    Tykejohnno said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    IOS said:

    Why not Sean?

    12% Conservative majority. How is that a nailed on gain? It has a huge Jewish population, a Jews are heavily Conservative.
    With Miliband's craven "Islamophobia" pledge, I reckon British Jews must be about 95% Tory by now, apart from a few north London intellectuals, like Ed Miliband MP.

    As for Scotland, what the F is going on? -

    @Conorpope
    At Labour rally in Glasgow. Protesters outside screaming "scum", "quisling", "Red Tories out" at people and filming us as we go in. Grim.

    The demon of nationalism. In our own country. Sad.


    Chris Deerin @chrisdeerin

    Labour pal who's with Miliband in Glasgow was chased by SNPers. One put a finger in his face and shouted 'You English fucking cunt'


    Thatcher got worse, but had bigger balls than this Labour lot.

    The SNP should of course really be called the Scottish Nazi party. They were formed in 1934, in the wake of Hitler's rise to power in 1933, and during the 1939-45 war encouraged Scots not to fight for Britain.
    Now (as in the referendum (when I never saw a NO poster that hadn't been torn down or defaced, we are seeing them in their true colours.
    Vot is your name?

  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    edited May 2015
    SeanT said:

    This is interesting.

    Miliband is doubling down on the "no deal" talk.

    http://labourlist.org/2015/05/miliband-tells-scotland-there-will-be-no-deal-no-pact-no-coalition-no-tie-in-with-the-snp/

    That is SO unequivocal I am starting to wonder (I know, I know) if he is telling the truth, and not just blatantly lying.

    Perhaps he means it? Would he forego the chance to be PM if he had to rely on SNP support?

    I can't believe he would. And yet he is setting himself up for a terrible fall with these adamantine statements.

    He would still be PM even if the SNP refuses to support him, and then he would go to the polls in October or earlier saying that he told the truth about the SNP scare stories.

    "A vote for the SNP is a lost vote ect ect."
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    edited May 2015
    The Sun could be talking about yesterday's Ipsos Mori.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    SeanT said:

    This is interesting.

    Miliband is doubling down on the "no deal" talk.

    http://labourlist.org/2015/05/miliband-tells-scotland-there-will-be-no-deal-no-pact-no-coalition-no-tie-in-with-the-snp/

    That is SO unequivocal I am starting to wonder (I know, I know) if he is telling the truth, and not just blatantly lying.

    Perhaps he means it? Would he forego the chance to be PM if he had to rely on SNP support?

    I can't believe he would. And yet he is setting himself up for a terrible fall with these adamantine statements.

    Perhaps his team are telling him that they are being killed on the doorstep by this issue?

  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    SeanT said:

    peterbuss said:

    david_herdson said:

    chestnut said:

    Sun Politics ‏@SunPolitics 2m2 minutes ago
    Tory top team smash Labour in crunch poll week before election http://sunpl.us/6011AVPS

    Hmm. If it's a 5-pt Con lead, that's significant. If it's a 5-pt lead for Cameron as 'best PM', that's also significant though for the opposite reason.
    It's probably a poll comparing the two front benches .

    It says it was "published a day ago". Therefore it is almost certainly the Ipsos MORI from yesterday. Next.
    The Sun is running out of polls with Tory leads?
    Or tonight's yougov poll is not favourable?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,546
    Neil said:

    franklyn said:

    Eh_ehm_a_eh said:

    Tykejohnno said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    IOS said:

    Why not Sean?

    12% Conservative majority. How is that a nailed on gain? It has a huge Jewish population, a Jews are heavily Conservative.
    With Miliband's craven "Islamophobia" pledge, I reckon British Jews must be about 95% Tory by now, apart from a few north London intellectuals, like Ed Miliband MP.

    As for Scotland, what the F is going on? -

    @Conorpope
    At Labour rally in Glasgow. Protesters outside screaming "scum", "quisling", "Red Tories out" at people and filming us as we go in. Grim.

    The demon of nationalism. In our own country. Sad.


    Chris Deerin @chrisdeerin

    Labour pal who's with Miliband in Glasgow was chased by SNPers. One put a finger in his face and shouted 'You English fucking cunt'


    Thatcher got worse, but had bigger balls than this Labour lot.

    The SNP should of course really be called the Scottish Nazi party. They were formed in 1934, in the wake of Hitler's rise to power in 1933, and during the 1939-45 war encouraged Scots not to fight for Britain.
    Now (as in the referendum (when I never saw a NO poster that hadn't been torn down or defaced, we are seeing them in their true colours.
    Somewhere out there a village is missing its idiot.
    Sturgeon is worse than Hitler.
  • GrandioseGrandiose Posts: 2,323
    SeanT said:

    This is interesting.

    Miliband is doubling down on the "no deal" talk.

    http://labourlist.org/2015/05/miliband-tells-scotland-there-will-be-no-deal-no-pact-no-coalition-no-tie-in-with-the-snp/

    That is SO unequivocal I am starting to wonder (I know, I know) if he is telling the truth, and not just blatantly lying.

    Perhaps he means it? Would he forego the chance to be PM if he had to rely on SNP support?

    I can't believe he would. And yet he is setting himself up for a terrible fall with these adamantine statements.

    Does he even know?

    Why the hell did it take him this long if he didn't want a deal?

    Has he changed his mind? Been persuaded by the polls?
  • Chris123Chris123 Posts: 174
    edited May 2015
    The SNP should of course really be called the Scottish Nazi party. They were formed in 1934, in the wake of Hitler's rise to power in 1933, and during the 1939-45 war encouraged Scots not to fight for Britain.
    Now (as in the referendum (when I never saw a NO poster that hadn't been torn down or defaced, we are seeing them in their true colours.
    Who were the lunatics that bombed Libya on the basis of construed and manufactured claims? Clinton, Sharkozy and Camoron. It was this trio that unleashed a profound humanitarian crisis that continues to this very day. Of course, Milibad can't exact any political capital from it because he approved. Compared to these seasoned crooks, the SNP are absolutely tame.
  • leslie48leslie48 Posts: 33
    SeanT said "Basically Sturgeon can block almost any legislation proposed by Labour", You have not been paying attention during debates if they are progressive , helping low paid, disabled, kids, NHS, zero hours contracts, food banks etc., - she will not oppose just as PC or Green would not. She like many others would not want another election and the Scots would punish her for that. Like nearly all European societies we have to evolve our politics in a multi-party context.
  • another_richardanother_richard Posts: 26,803
    SeanT said:

    peterbuss said:

    david_herdson said:

    chestnut said:

    Sun Politics ‏@SunPolitics 2m2 minutes ago
    Tory top team smash Labour in crunch poll week before election http://sunpl.us/6011AVPS

    Hmm. If it's a 5-pt Con lead, that's significant. If it's a 5-pt lead for Cameron as 'best PM', that's also significant though for the opposite reason.
    It's probably a poll comparing the two front benches .

    It says it was "published a day ago". Therefore it is almost certainly the Ipsos MORI from yesterday. Next.
    If the Sun is more interested in yesterday's MORI for someone else than today's YouGov for themselves then it doesn't suggest that the latter fits their narrative.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    slade said:

    As a Lib Dem member I have been deluged with emails over the last few days from Lib Den HQ asking for money. No surprise there then! But today there was a message asking specifically for money for Christine Jardine, Layla Moran and Jasper Gerard. It suggest they are behind but within touching distance.

    I have been getting begging emails for for Lorely Burt so may just be targetting.

    PB posterwatch: orange diamonds breaking out in Harborough.

    I did post a Labour minivan going up the A47 towards Peterborough yesterday, so there may be something in all this...
  • CarnyxCarnyx Posts: 43,393
    Sean_F said:

    Neil said:

    franklyn said:

    Eh_ehm_a_eh said:

    Tykejohnno said:

    SeanT said:

    Sean_F said:

    IOS said:

    Why not Sean?

    12% Conservative majority. How is that a nailed on gain? It has a huge Jewish population, a Jews are heavily Conservative.
    With Miliband's craven "Islamophobia" pledge, I reckon British Jews must be about 95% Tory by now, apart from a few north London intellectuals, like Ed Miliband MP.

    As for Scotland, what the F is going on? -

    @Conorpope
    At Labour rally in Glasgow. Protesters outside screaming "scum", "quisling", "Red Tories out" at people and filming us as we go in. Grim.

    The demon of nationalism. In our own country. Sad.


    Chris Deerin @chrisdeerin

    Labour pal who's with Miliband in Glasgow was chased by SNPers. One put a finger in his face and shouted 'You English fucking cunt'


    Thatcher got worse, but had bigger balls than this Labour lot.

    The SNP should of course really be called the Scottish Nazi party. They were formed in 1934, in the wake of Hitler's rise to power in 1933, and during the 1939-45 war encouraged Scots not to fight for Britain.
    Now (as in the referendum (when I never saw a NO poster that hadn't been torn down or defaced, we are seeing them in their true colours.
    Somewhere out there a village is missing its idiot.
    Sturgeon is worse than Hitler.
    http://www.amazon.com/Challenge-50114-Turbo-Troll-Bucket/dp/B001445S4Y
  • bigjohnowlsbigjohnowls Posts: 22,736
    chestnut said:

    Sun Politics ‏@SunPolitics 2m2 minutes ago
    Tory top team smash Labour in crunch poll week before election http://sunpl.us/6011AVPS

    Poor ramping lets see what YG VI says
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,044
    SeanT said:

    peterbuss said:

    david_herdson said:

    chestnut said:

    Sun Politics ‏@SunPolitics 2m2 minutes ago
    Tory top team smash Labour in crunch poll week before election http://sunpl.us/6011AVPS

    Hmm. If it's a 5-pt Con lead, that's significant. If it's a 5-pt lead for Cameron as 'best PM', that's also significant though for the opposite reason.
    It's probably a poll comparing the two front benches .

    It says it was "published a day ago". Therefore it is almost certainly the Ipsos MORI from yesterday. Next.
    No, I think it's a poll of the front bench.
  • green_with_envygreen_with_envy Posts: 2
    Speedy said:


    green_with_envy said:

    Chance of an sizable upset on the Isle of Wight. The Conservative incumbent has been hit by scandal after scandal in this campaign and, although I used to believe that anything standing under the Conservative banner would win here, events in the last week have changed my view. A credible UKIP candidate is available at 11/2.

    http://www.bbc.com/news/election-2015-england-32495823
    http://www.bbc.com/news/election-2015-england-32286776
    http://www.iwcp.co.uk/news/news/isle-of-wight-conservative-campaign-condemned-by-tory-agent-80776.aspx


    A Shakespeare play:

    http://www.private-eye.co.uk/issue-1391/hp-sauce
    "Tory agent disowns his own candidate!"
    "Anomalies’ in campaign finances
    The agent is also seriously worried by “significant anomalies and ambiguities” in campaign finances, again involving Lady Macbeth"

    It doesn't matter though, Tory voters have the lowest standards of all.
    GeoffM said:

    green_with_envy said:

    Chance of an sizable upset on the Isle of Wight. The Conservative incumbent has been hit by scandal after scandal in this campaign and, although I used to believe that anything standing under the Conservative banner would win here, events in the last week have changed my view. A credible UKIP candidate is available at 11/2.

    Not sure where you get the "anything standing" bit from as it was LibDem until 2001

    And "scandal after scandal" is a bit of an odd way to describe a nutty ex girlfriend stalking him.

    Apart from that; good accurate post.

    The latest is https://vine.co/v/e7JOIaae2eI and http://www.yoppul.co.uk/yoppulv1/2015/04/video-isle-of-wight-general-election-interviews-2015/

    Although singing on camera is no crime, and talking of your admiration for Enoch Powell may go down rather well with some.

    Yes, there was a Lib Dem MP from '97 to 2001, but since then the Conservative majority has risen to over 10,000.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Do we know for definite if another ComRes is coming out? Haven't seen any trailers for it.
This discussion has been closed.