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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf for the evening and David Herdson with the half-time P
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Marf for the evening and David Herdson with the half-time PB Poll Average score
The profusion of election-period polls means that it’s now possible to produce a PB poll average figure for shorter periods than before. Consequently, I’ve split the period from April 1 to May 6 into two parts and am using these instead, the first of which is for the scores for up to April 21:
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Short of him promising to put a special tax on the English to fund free Unicorns and gold bars for all Scots, he couldn't be more helpful to the Tory cause.
Interesting anecdote from my daughter's school today:
All 5 candidates for Hertford and Stortford did a 6th form hustings/Q&A thing. Then 175 6th formers voted, results as follows (Change on share in H&S last time in brackets FWIW)
Mark Prisk (Con) 38.8% (-14.4)
Green 28.6 (+28.6)
Lab 22.9 (+9.1)
LD 7.4 (-18.6)
UKIP 2.8 (-0.3)
So "Con hold" even amongst 6th formers! Have to say I was a bit surprised. In 1992 in my school's mock election LD beat Con by ~15% despite the local result (Stratford-on-Avon) being more than 2:1 the other way (Labour nowhere...)
LDs brand absolutely shot amongst the kids and UKIP lost its deposit.
#JustABitOfFun
Very many sitcoms worse than Rab C.
Are You Being Served
Robin's Nest
Outnumbered
iSam made the point earlier that year-on-year, UKIP VI is up.
The gift that keeps on giving
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/boris-attacks-the-chopsmacking-relish-of-snp-for-taxing-london-10194798.html
Terry and June. Middle class suburban Surrey tory pish.
If UKIP get 4 seats, say, I'm sure UKIP will tell us that it's a good achievement. But do you think party members will be disappointed?
Nobody cares about the election here as far as I can tell from posters or conversations. Bear in mind we have council and Mayoral elections too, some of which are more competetive than the safe seat ones. Leicester City's come back from the dead (starting auspiciously on Easter Saturday...) is on plenty of lips.
LCFC 5: LibLabConKipSnip 0 in conversations today.
That will go well.
Is Enfield North a Tea Party stronghold?
Rallings and Thrasher predicted them 400 local government gains though, so there'll be positive things to focus on even if the MP tally is disappointing.
The cynic might say it was timed as the postal votes went out.
It won an award every time she showed it.
I shall do 100 lines as penance, of Sheffield has never been in West Yorkshire
UKIP under the leadership of Steven Woolfe or Douglas Carswell could mean they appeal to a wider audience which is needed to make serious inroads in a FPTP system.
Ed Miliband Will Never Score A Penalty
My job has to been to reassure the Lib Dems in Sheffield that their man is safe.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=AkwYEhjjZhs
A no result would be a serious two fingers to the luvvies of Ireland. Almost every Irish comedian, singer, actor or sportsperson you can think of has rowed in behind yes
But the idea that once those revenues are gone Westminster will cast Scotland off is also farcical.
You only need to look at Wales which 100 years ago was one of the richest countries on earth and is now one of the poorest regions of Europe. Once Westminster has syphoned off the money from natural resources (coal in Wales case) it will then apply its vice to the wealth of the people and slowly but surely diminish the wealth of the Nation/Region until it is in poverty and genuinely reliant.
I notice the mid point for the Lib Dems on Sporting Index is now 24. Have I not been paying attention or has that slipped a little?
The formula Lib Dem + 14 > SNP looks ever more problematic.
I'm more pro-Scottish than most here but that's a nonsense.
The offsea GERS in the 80s were pretty criminal to Scotland mind.
Celebrity Cruises UK@CelebrityUK·3h3 hours ago
Did you know our wine tower holds 2,800 bottles of wine and Screaming Eagle is most expensive at $7,000 a bottle!
You can get an exemption chit from the Constituency agent if you bung the campaign £100 and rustle up a broccoli quiche for the canvassing team. Beards are also optional .... for the woman.
Claiming entire credit for the 8 billion more for NHS AND claiming tories oppose it! (bit cheeky).
Another leaflet claiming the tory candidate was useless for failing to stop something the Lib Dem mP.... failed to stop.
Plus more posts on facebook from the Councillor (LD) still making unfounded accusations about the tories,, but at least he given up on the "no blacks" smear now.
For a place supposedly in the bag they really are putting the effort in (Clegg was here not that long ago too).
Where did you get those from, George Lucas or Dan Brown?
Sample size 40,000,000
Margin of error 0.0%
I think that as long as Farage and Carswell and 2 of those 4 seats then generally UKIP members would be very pleased. Personally I would also like to see Bill Etheridge in Dudley North win as that would be sensational but for all his hard work and optimism I don't see it happening. I am certainly not so bothered about Farage winning as I am not a big fan of his style of leadership.
I had made that clear before but I should have reminded people.
BTW the 1980s are NOTHING compared to the 50% to 70% of Scottish Revenue filched by Westminster between 1900 and 1928 when it was so embarrassing (and the Home Rule movement was kicking off) so the UK Government stopped recording the figures for 50 years.
I think you've noted it some time back IIRC but the grey matter is diminishing ....
Did you say that previously, I don't recall ....
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2015/04/exclusive-ukip-slams-terrible-comres-poll-of-ten-target-seats/
Not considering the postal votes then?
And I get the impression that Sir Bob likes to play the "Mr Colchester" card and to do so you have to be up front and big with it.
Whilst I agree with Dair that Wales was once a richer country, I am not so sure that the blame for its present poverty lies with “Westminster”.
34-34 zzzzz
Thursday's Telegraph front page:
Miliband SNP pact would cost families £350 each
#tomorrowspaperstoday #GE2015
Thanet Tory candidate owns website set up to encourage Hungarians come to UK for low paid work http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/nigel-farages-tory-challenger-owns-5565777 …
@Telegraph: Thursday's Daily Telegraph front page: 'Miliband SNP pact would cost families £350 each' http://t.co/77UEtssPQm
Do you still think the LD's are value to retake Montgomeryshire? (Currently 9/4)
I understand they're fighting hard on the ground.
In the merry month of May
Miliband didn't know what to do
Until he got his orders from you know who!