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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » And as Marf reminds us today was the day when LAB published

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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Dair said:

    This is now getting truly bizarre.

    The Labour Party are going into the election with dogmatically right policy of public spending cuts which are unnecessary according to economists.

    The Tory Party are going into the election with the idiotic Socialist extremist of Right To Buy.

    Everything is arse about face, no-one has any idea what either of these parties actually stands for any more.

    Yep - bonkers. I thought today was a great day for the SNP mind with Balls and Umuna overruling Jimbob.
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    dyedwooliedyedwoolie Posts: 7,786
    Dair said:

    bunnco said:

    Been out on the doorstep in Gt Yarmouth [UKIP deflating fast] and Norwich North [Chloe Smith has made remarkable progress getting 1800 youngsters into work with her 'Norwich for Jobs' campaign].

    In Yarmouth, Labour's candidate has terrible name-recognition and could hardly string two words together coherently on a recent Radio Norfolk debate. Meanwhile the Labour-run Council has closed the public toilets in this holiday town... and hired a Council chief exec on a grand-a-day. Tory Hold.

    In Norwich North, Labour's Jess Asato has sometimes benefitted from the halo-effect from front benchers visiting to bolster ex-BBC hack Clive Lewis [no skeletons in his cupboard, oh no! :winks:] in Norwich South but has still been absent without leave for the last few months. It's easy to forget that most of Norwich North is quite comfy surburbia and solidly Tory even if the bits close to the centre that the journos visit are blocks of flats with Labour posters. Tight but Chloe will hang on.

    Bunnco - Your Man on the Spot

    Clive Lewis, he's a right charmer...not....

    bunnco said:

    Been out on the doorstep in Gt Yarmouth [UKIP deflating fast] and Norwich North [Chloe Smith has made remarkable progress getting 1800 youngsters into work with her 'Norwich for Jobs' campaign].

    In Yarmouth, Labour's candidate has terrible name-recognition and could hardly string two words together coherently on a recent Radio Norfolk debate. Meanwhile the Labour-run Council has closed the public toilets in this holiday town... and hired a Council chief exec on a grand-a-day. Tory Hold.

    In Norwich North, Labour's Jess Asato has sometimes benefitted from the halo-effect from front benchers visiting to bolster ex-BBC hack Clive Lewis [no skeletons in his cupboard, oh no! :winks:] in Norwich South but has still been absent without leave for the last few months. It's easy to forget that most of Norwich North is quite comfy surburbia and solidly Tory even if the bits close to the centre that the journos visit are blocks of flats with Labour posters. Tight but Chloe will hang on.

    Bunnco - Your Man on the Spot

    Clive Lewis, he's a right charmer...not....
    The Green candidate is a pretty strong one. Very Norwich:

    http://norwich.greenparty.org.uk/councillors/lesley-grahame-city-councillor-for-thorpe-hamlet-ward.html
    I don't see any mention of a relationship with his sister, how is he very Norwich?
    Anti Wuffingas racism. Very original
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    MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    AndyJS said:

    118 small parties are standing in the election. This is a list of them I compiled myself from my candidates spreadsheet:
    snip
    Islam Zinda Baad Platform
    snip
    Young People's Party

    Is Mohammed Salim standing again for Islam Zinda Baad Platform? He was one of my fave minor candidates from last time round, just have a look at http://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/local-news/mohammed-salim-islam-zinda-baad-602192

    The YPP are classic minor party nutters/bores, except that I do think they have a point about intergenerational issues (nothing new there, David "Two Brains" Willetts literally wrote the book on it five years ago) and I'm surprised young-vs-old is not more of a faultline in British politics. Obviously different parties have different demographics, but young and old have voters have increasingly disparate interests.
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    Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited April 2015
    Are The Sun hedging their bets? (Spoiler: no)

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CCgheIJWgAAkYP8.png
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Pulpstar said:

    Scotland could be protected from its share of government cuts by Labour using taxes raised in the southeast of England, Ed Balls said yesterday.

    I'm hearing "Fuck the English" from one party.

    And it ain't the SNP.

    The whole election just gets more and more fun.
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929

    Are The Sun hedging their bets? (Spoiler: no)

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CCgheIJWgAAkYP8.png

    Have the Scottish Sun Editorial line ?
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    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Dair said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Scotland could be protected from its share of government cuts by Labour using taxes raised in the southeast of England, Ed Balls said yesterday.

    I'm hearing "Fuck the English" from one party.

    And it ain't the SNP.

    The whole election just gets more and more fun.
    The truly unbelievable thing I'm hearing though now is how somehow wee Nicola is going to get more than her fair share of goodies line being pushed by the same people that were bitterly opposed to independence.

    There was a err solution to all that y'know !
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    isamisam Posts: 40,930
    But... But... Ukip weren't going to help Tim aker in Thurrock said the Shrewdies

    John Stevens (@johnestevens)
    April 13
    Nigel Farage going down a storm. Have genuinely never seen such an enthusiastic response to a political speech pic.twitter.com/H4DhmgFav0
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    All candidates available in one place on my spreadsheet. I haven't put the parties in alphabetical order yet:

    http://bitly.com/Xb3122

    AndyJS said:

    118 small parties are standing in the election. This is a list of them I compiled myself from my candidates spreadsheet:
    snip
    Islam Zinda Baad Platform
    snip
    Young People's Party

    Is Mohammed Salim standing again for Islam Zinda Baad Platform? He was one of my fave minor candidates from last time round, just have a look at http://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/local-news/mohammed-salim-islam-zinda-baad-602192

    The YPP are classic minor party nutters/bores, except that I do think they have a point about intergenerational issues (nothing new there, David "Two Brains" Willetts literally wrote the book on it five years ago) and I'm surprised young-vs-old is not more of a faultline in British politics. Obviously different parties have different demographics, but young and old have voters have increasingly disparate interests.
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Pulpstar said:

    Dair said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Scotland could be protected from its share of government cuts by Labour using taxes raised in the southeast of England, Ed Balls said yesterday.

    I'm hearing "Fuck the English" from one party.

    And it ain't the SNP.

    The whole election just gets more and more fun.
    The truly unbelievable thing I'm hearing though now is how somehow wee Nicola is going to get more than her fair share of goodies line being pushed by the same people that were bitterly opposed to independence.

    There was a err solution to all that y'know !
    Labour in Scotland is falling apart not by the day but no by the hour. It's actually quite fine entertainment now. As any concern that the SNP might not hold on till May 7th vanishes, the ability to just sit back and watch SLAB squirm becomes the main narrative,
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    isamisam Posts: 40,930
    Simon Dedman (@SiDedman)
    April 13
    This is the largest audience for a political rally I've seen since the #SNP in Glasgow here in #thurrock #ukip pic.twitter.com/r9TuRsQq3g
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    One minor thing I find strange is that the Young People's Party candidate in Epping Forest just has the abbreviation "YPP" on the ballot paper which means a lot of voters won't have a clue what it stands for.

    AndyJS said:

    118 small parties are standing in the election. This is a list of them I compiled myself from my candidates spreadsheet:
    snip
    Islam Zinda Baad Platform
    snip
    Young People's Party

    Is Mohammed Salim standing again for Islam Zinda Baad Platform? He was one of my fave minor candidates from last time round, just have a look at http://www.manchestereveningnews.co.uk/news/local-news/mohammed-salim-islam-zinda-baad-602192

    The YPP are classic minor party nutters/bores, except that I do think they have a point about intergenerational issues (nothing new there, David "Two Brains" Willetts literally wrote the book on it five years ago) and I'm surprised young-vs-old is not more of a faultline in British politics. Obviously different parties have different demographics, but young and old have voters have increasingly disparate interests.
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    NemtynakhtNemtynakht Posts: 2,311
    Wasn't it often said before the last election that you took the worst Labour result in recent polls and best Tory result and that was a good guess. Has libdemgeddon and the rise of greens, Ukip and snp buffered that up?
  • Options
    PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 75,929
    Dair said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Dair said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Scotland could be protected from its share of government cuts by Labour using taxes raised in the southeast of England, Ed Balls said yesterday.

    I'm hearing "Fuck the English" from one party.

    And it ain't the SNP.

    The whole election just gets more and more fun.
    The truly unbelievable thing I'm hearing though now is how somehow wee Nicola is going to get more than her fair share of goodies line being pushed by the same people that were bitterly opposed to independence.

    There was a err solution to all that y'know !
    Labour in Scotland is falling apart not by the day but no by the hour. It's actually quite fine entertainment now. As any concern that the SNP might not hold on till May 7th vanishes, the ability to just sit back and watch SLAB squirm becomes the main narrative,
    Labour just can't help themselves !
  • Options
    Dair said:

    Pulpstar said:

    Scotland could be protected from its share of government cuts by Labour using taxes raised in the southeast of England, Ed Balls said yesterday.

    I'm hearing "Fuck the English" from one party.

    And it ain't the SNP.

    The whole election just gets more and more fun.
    If Ed Balls really said Scotland could be protected from cuts by taxes from the SE, the Cons should put that on billboards and leaflets in London and the home counties
  • Options
    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    Jim's cowardice tonight is going to haunt a lot of the rest of the campaign

    https://twitter.com/MorphyJim/status/587762542686117888
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    isamisam Posts: 40,930
    Ukip Thurrock... 4/6 still probably value if you missed the 16/1

    Rowena Mason (@rowenamason)
    April 13
    Rapturous reception in Thurrock for Nigel Farage's speech - a packed out darts championships venue pic.twitter.com/lU76uFL17Y
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    DairDair Posts: 6,108
    isam said:

    Ukip Thurrock... 4/6 still probably value if you missed the 16/1

    Rowena Mason (@rowenamason)
    April 13
    Rapturous reception in Thurrock for Nigel Farage's speech - a packed out darts championships venue pic.twitter.com/lU76uFL17Y

    People who apparently paid money to see Nigel Farage give rapturous applause. Well done. 7% says it's over already, Farage media performances this week confirm it's all over.

    Outcome - 5% and 1 seat.
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    hunchman said:

    hunchman said:

    Can't wait for Thursday night, and for the pit bull terrier (Nicola Sturgeon) to savage the poodle Miliband over the 'austerity' commitments as she would see it in the Labour manifesto today - its going to be a hoot.

    I've expressed the view here before that Ed Balls doesn't want Labour to win this election....as I believe he is mindful of what lies in wait with the global sovereign debt crisis beginning from the start of October this year. I'm more firmly of that opinion after the manifesto launch today.

    The prophet of gloom and doom..(you are), but this time I think that you are probably right whomever wins, a whole pile of shit is going to be dumped on the British economy. Osborne's boom is looking as though its faltering and once interest rates start to rise....
    Thanks Square Root! I'm personally optimistic - I think you can do well out of the next 5 years, but it won't be done by following the herd that's for sure!

    The problems facing the next government are not just economic as I said last week though - you've got the Chilcott enquiry - Cameron lost my respect on this by not standing up to the cabinet secretary Jeremy Heywood who was Blair's principal private secretary in 2003. Then you've got the child abuse inquiry, which has every sign of being a complete whitewash for anybody still alive, and more importantly people at the top of the BBC, the Royal Family and Westminster where it ultimately leads being protected. And the whole AGW crowd will finally fall flat on their faces, as if they haven't already by all the cold weather around in the world recently and with the rapidly cooling world over the next 5 years as we fall off the cliff in terms of the declining side of solar cycle 24 whose peak recently has been way below previous solar cycles in terms of sunspot activity - in the last week it snowed on the desert road between Alexandra and Cairo - it went completely unreported by the mainstream media surprise surprise. And the massive ice cover over the Great Lakes in the US as well as the very cold winter that central / eastern parts of the USA have had is just completely ignored. Greece, Turkey and eastern Europe in general have had very snowy winters too - we've been lucky in avoiding it all given the jetstream patterns over the past 6 months.
    LOL

    2014 was the warmest year in England (350 year dataset) and Worldwide (50 odd year dataset).

    I am far from being a devout AGWer but your analysis is totally flawed. It often snows in Greece, Turkey and Eastern Europe and the Great Lakes freeze every winter.

    Solar Science is interesting, but there is no grand minimum nailed on just yet and we would be starting from a baseline temperate around 1-1.5C above historic averages, so we would have to lose that before we encountered anything "cold"
  • Options
    isamisam Posts: 40,930
    edited April 2015
    Dair said:

    isam said:

    Ukip Thurrock... 4/6 still probably value if you missed the 16/1

    Rowena Mason (@rowenamason)
    April 13
    Rapturous reception in Thurrock for Nigel Farage's speech - a packed out darts championships venue pic.twitter.com/lU76uFL17Y

    People who apparently paid money to see Nigel Farage give rapturous applause. Well done. 7% says it's over already, Farage media performances this week confirm it's all over.

    Outcome - 5% and 1 seat.
    Who do you think wins thurrock?

    And I'll buy 7% for a grand a point
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    Cannabis is Safer than Alcohol (CISTA) have 33 candidates standing:

    Bethnal Green & Bow Jonathan Dewey
    Camberwell & Peckham Alex Robertson
    Cities of London & Westminster Edouard-Henri Desforges
    Dundee East Lesley Hamilton
    East Londonderry Neil Paine
    Eddisbury George Antar
    Esher & Walton Matt Heenan
    Glasgow Central James Marris
    Glasgow North Russell Benson
    Glasgow North East Geoff Johnson
    Glasgow North West Chris MacKenzie
    Great Yarmouth Sam Townley
    Guildford Gerri Smyth
    Hackney South & Shoreditch Paul Birch
    Holborn & St Pancras Shane O'Donnell
    Inverclyde Craig Hamilton
    Islington South & Finsbury Jay Kirton
    Kensington Tony Auguste
    Leeds West Matthew West
    North Down Glenn Donnelly
    Paisley & Renfrewshire North Andy Doyle
    Rutherglen & Hamilton West Yvonne Maclean
    Sheffield South East Jen Battersby
    South Down Andrew Magorrian
    Stoke-on-Trent Central Ali Majid
    Streatham Artificial Beast
    Thurrock Jamie Barnes
    Upper Bann Martin Kelly
    Vale of Glamorgan Steve Reed
    Vauxhall Louis Jensen
    Wakefield Elliot Barr
    West Tyrone Barry Brown
    Woking Declan Wade
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    foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    edited April 2015
    @ Dair
    You didnt read the link. The candidate is female. She is a local councillor and a Jewish Quaker. Likely to have a good following.
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