I do like this weekly Tweet from Populus which can put a lot of things into context. Too often those deeply immersed in politics tend to overstate importance of what seem to them to be major developments to the outside world. This brings it down to earth.
Comments
Does anyone know if this chap bets?
7 Tory seats in Scotland
http://moneyweek.com/election-2015-why-david-cameron-will-remain-prime-minister/
http://www.bristolpost.co.uk/General-Election-Latest-betting-odds-seats/story-26308577-detail/story.html
SNP Seatspotting market. Probably technically bang on the correct price of 38, but I've bought at a pound a point at 40.
Fun market for the evening.
If a Unionist wins Renfrewshire East, it'll be Jim Murphy
I'd be surprised if the Conservatives got more than 3 seats in Scotland. Seven seems optimistic indeed.
The 1st ionization energy of Lawrencium is going to be very low because of the shielding effect of the other 102 electrons. Lawrencium has 9 electrons in the 6th energy level, presumably it is one of these that is being removed to form a stable octet.
Furthermore atoms are these days categorised by their quantum numbers. i.e. solution to Schrodinger's equation for electrons in the vicinity of the nucleus.
True Mister Morris, but then Scottish politics is a complete mystery to me. They voted to stay with the UK, and now if the polls are right droves of people who voted to stay in are voting SNP....???
Oh, and they don;t really want another referendum...
Which would make it amusing if Labour is expelled from Scotland, since their activists have laid that claim against the Tories for 30 years.
Offhand do you know if that's still available Mr P??
Only have a tenner on this tho
Plus Greg Barker is standing down
Scotland Yard: intruder alarm activated at 00.21 on April 3 at Hatton Garden Safe Deposit but "no police response was deemed to be required"
Should be safe but not a complete gimme.
The Actinides (and the Lanthanides sitting directly above) CAN be placed in the main body of the Periodic Table - you just need wide-screen LOL:
http://www.sciencegeek.net/tables/LongTable2000.png
May be too busy to post tomorrow so I'll give my Grand National selection now - Spring Heeled at 22/1 with Hills.
As both my loyal readers will be aware, I cannot possibly improve on last year's selection but hope to equal it.
Good luck, etc...
That being the case Mr Morris, you have to wonder if the 55 wouldn;t be better off consolidating around one party. Ruth Davidson is extremely impressive.
Maybe 7 seats isn't out of the question. Get Dave up there now!
The Euros? Seriously? Compared to a GE?
My old constituency of Wealden is showing wards like Polegate going Tory from chatter I've picked up. I'm doing a sortee of Eastbourne on Monday to see how the various teams are showing on the ground.
This is one of the seats that Farage has contested in the past, achieving 7.8% of the vote as far back as 2001. Perhaps the bookmaker has taken a wodge of money on UKIP in this seat and is inviting you to help them hedge their bets?
Nor do they know how stuffed we could be without the tax take of these and other rich people - 30% or more of the total tax take I think. And the key thing that many non-doms could easily re-locate and take much of that tax money away with them.
There's a Sherlock story that's very similar. And it was compared to a Russian robbery in 2011, telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/russia/8445845/Sherlock-Holmes-style-robbery-in-Russian-jewel-heist.html
:-O
£10 E/W for me.
The favourite "Shutthefrontdoor" is 15-2 which is utterly, utterly crazily short for the National I note.
Right now, support for independence last autumn was at almost 45%, and pretty much all of them are determined to vote for the SNP. That's why they will sweep the board at the GE.
(a) does anyone know or recall what this relates to?
(b) depending on the answer to (a), might it not be value? Retiring MPs sometimes defect during the campaign as a PR stunt.
'Chavs and their sickening England flags'
Words of Labour candidate who called for resignation of Plaid rival over 'outrageous' remarks
http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales-news/chavs-sickening-england-flags-words-9018453
Ed still PM.
Nats still surging.
Tories desperately trying to liberate pandas from Edinburgh Zoo
Think about that - the GE is the lead story on every TV news programme, on the front page of most newspapers every day, the lead story on news websites almost continuously and ........
76% haven't noticed it!
Purely for the benefit of PBers, I'm sure Ed Miliband would understand.
Betting Post
Backed Vettel to be top 3 at 1.7
http://enormo-haddock.blogspot.co.uk/2015/04/china-pre-qualifying.html
For the SNP voters (45%) independence is a priority which can solve every problem they have, but those who do not have that as a priority (55%), vote according to their own problems and issues, hence they split into different political parties like normal.
Christ on a bike. Cheap and tawdry political point scoring from Labour there.
It sounds reminiscent of the Lloyds Bank Baker Street robbery, some 45 or so years ago, which was featured in the movie "The Bank Job". At the time I worked for Castrol on Marylebone Road, and that was my bank branch. For the first few days after there was a steady flow of news to customers, but then it just stopped and they wouldn't say anything. There were all sorts of rumors.
http://www.spectator.co.uk/features/9494602/ed-miliband-could-still-win-heres-what-would-happen-next/
"Within an hour, the analysts who spent the past year mocking him will start to talk about his resilience under pressure, his single-mindedness, the bold new direction in which Britain will go. This is how punditry works; all victories (and defeats) are retrospectively declared inevitable."
Given the labour and PC candidates have both made ar$es of themselves, is Ceiridigion a 'marginal...??'
The race, I think, will be at 7am. Not too bad, certainly compared to the ridiculous 5am start in Australia.
As an aside, it's quite interesting how difficult I still find betting on F1. Been doing it for a little while and, with rare exceptions (last time's 1.85 on Raikkonen), it still feels like glorified guesswork.
Mind you Scottish Labour won't be much better.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Bank_Job
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inside_Man
As Mike says, a useful reality check.
A sweep of the borders is what I'll be expecting from the Tories and for their vote to hold up in places like Stirling and Edinburgh.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=TNMSsis4JwI
"The question was open-ended and people could name any news story."
Does that seem likely?
No wonder those who assume X or Y is going to move the polls are invariably disappointed.
Sure it's odds against but it's not totally out of the question.
(Not offering that)