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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Leanne Wood could be the 2015 Nick Clegg and at 50-1 might

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  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,587

    RobD said:
    It could have been worse; he might have inadvertently favourited a tweet by @Ed_Miliband
    No no, Ed M will be all the rage in the coming weeks, Danczuk might need to change his tune and embrace the change in public attitude.

  • fox - did you see my earlier post (approx one hr ago) about the merits of bet365?

    Yes, Thanks, I shall have a look, though footy season is nearly over. For Leicester City at least!
    .... and for Derby County too, I fear.
  • compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    RobD said:

    Is the ComRes for the Mail? Because it isn't on the front page.

    But apparently I can get some more free compost.

    The poll is due out at 10.00pm ..... 6 minutes time.
    Cannot contain my excitement much longer.
    Knee jerk reaction AOTS - T-minus six minutes.

    Basil not looking happy, sounds like he has got wind of something ;-)
  • GIN1138 said:

    Is the ComRes for the Mail? Because it isn't on the front page.

    If not on front page, suggests it won't be too dramatic (like Con in "Hell Yes" meltdown!)?

    They've not sent us an embargoed copy, which has sent my spider senses tingling.

    Though it is probably because someone accidentally broke the embargo last time.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415
    Quite admit I reckon Danczuk is a decent politician, says what he thinks. Doesn't beat about the bush.
  • FloaterFloater Posts: 14,207
    Just watched the Lucy Powell interview - oh dear.

    Labour's economic plan really is crap isn't it.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,387

    GIN1138 said:

    Is the ComRes for the Mail? Because it isn't on the front page.

    If not on front page, suggests it won't be too dramatic (like Con in "Hell Yes" meltdown!)?

    They've not sent us an embargoed copy, which has sent my spider senses tingling.

    Though it is probably because someone accidentally broke the embargo last time.
    It was you wasn't it?

    YOUR the Sith Lord!!!!!!!!
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,587
    Here's hoping for a Tory lead +3 - As long as things look effectively tied, all sides will panic and hope in equal measure. Leaning one way or another and only one will.
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415

    GIN1138 said:

    Is the ComRes for the Mail? Because it isn't on the front page.

    If not on front page, suggests it won't be too dramatic (like Con in "Hell Yes" meltdown!)?

    They've not sent us an embargoed copy, which has sent my spider senses tingling.

    Though it is probably because someone accidentally broke the embargo last time.
    Wasn't that James Delingpole though ?
  • GIN1138 said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Is the ComRes for the Mail? Because it isn't on the front page.

    If not on front page, suggests it won't be too dramatic (like Con in "Hell Yes" meltdown!)?

    They've not sent us an embargoed copy, which has sent my spider senses tingling.

    Though it is probably because someone accidentally broke the embargo last time.
    It was you wasn't it?

    YOUR the Sith Lord!!!!!!!!
    In the words of Shaggy, it wasn't me.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    Pulpstar said:

    Quite admit I reckon Danczuk is a decent politician, says what he thinks. Doesn't beat about the bush.

    Would anybody be shocked if he jumped ship?
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,970
    edited March 2015
    Pulpstar said:

    GIN1138 said:

    Is the ComRes for the Mail? Because it isn't on the front page.

    If not on front page, suggests it won't be too dramatic (like Con in "Hell Yes" meltdown!)?

    They've not sent us an embargoed copy, which has sent my spider senses tingling.

    Though it is probably because someone accidentally broke the embargo last time.
    Wasn't that James Delingpole though ?
    No it was May2015
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415
    No sign of ComRes poll on front page of Mail

    Sounds ominous :P
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Is it not 10.30 ?
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100
    Where is Comres?
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,387
    ****BOOM****
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    I adored Stanley Baxter

    *goes off shopping on Amazon*

    MikeK said:

    why is the Queen canvassing for UKIP in Bromley? pic.twitter.com/sd62baNYys

    — Calum S (@CalumSPlath) March 29, 2015
    Rubbish: its obviously Stanley Baxter.
    ROFL ..... Brilliant!

  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Lolololololol
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,970
    edited March 2015
    @jameschappers: Tories take biggest lead since 2010 with @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK/@itvnews: CON 36 (+1) LAB 32 (-3) UKIP 12 (+2) LIB 9 (+1) GRN 5 (-2)
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @ComResPolls: Conservatives lead by 4 points as Miliband sees no Paxo bounce - our new poll for @itvnews / @DailyMailUK http://t.co/hdzTJPbFi6
  • SpeedySpeedy Posts: 12,100

    James Chapman (Mail) ‏@jameschappers 28s28 seconds ago
    Tories take biggest lead since 2010 with @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK/@itvnews: CON 36 (+1) LAB 32 (-3) UKIP 12 (+2) LIB 9 (+1) GRN 5 (-2)

    Reverse positions.
  • FrancisUrquhartFrancisUrquhart Posts: 82,533
    edited March 2015
    F5 F5 F5 F5 F5 F5 F5......

    Hell yeahhhhhhh
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584
    TGOHF said:

    Is it not 10.30 ?


    No, the clocks only went forward 1 hour.

    *ducks*

  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    4 point Tory lead
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,387

    @jameschappers: Tories take biggest lead since 2010 with @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK/@itvnews: CON 36 (+1) LAB 32 (-3) UKIP 12 (+2) LIB 9 (+1) GRN 5 (-2)

    #meltdownsunday
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    edited March 2015
    The survey by Comres puts David Cameron's party on 36% of the vote to the opposition's 31%, and suggests the opposite of a "post-Paxman bounce" for Miliband following the pair's live TV grilling last week.

    http://www.itv.com/news/2015-03-29/conservatives-push-ahead-as-election-campaign-begins/
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,587
    edited March 2015
    Yes! - perfect result. Tories cannot claim to be pulling away clearly given other polls with large Labour leads, but Labour cannot get complacent either.
  • MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    @jameschappers: Tories take biggest lead since 2010 with @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK/@itvnews: CON 36 (+1) LAB 32 (-3) UKIP 12 (+2) LIB 9 (+1) GRN 5 (-2)


    EICINPM
  • NickPalmerNickPalmer Posts: 21,568

    @jameschappers: Tories take biggest lead since 2010 with @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK/@itvnews: CON 36 (+1) LAB 32 (-3) UKIP 12 (+2) LIB 9 (+1) GRN 5 (-2)

    LOl - that'll stir us all up. Back to the "overall picture is a tie" theory...
  • MikeLMikeL Posts: 7,723
    ITV News on TV now.
  • compouter2compouter2 Posts: 2,371
    Pulpstar said:

    Quite admit I reckon Danczuk is a decent politician, says what he thinks. Doesn't beat about the bush.

    Not what the people of Rochdale are saying, so I hear.
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,587
    Pulpstar said:

    Doesn't beat about the bush.

    !!
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759
    lol
  • welshowlwelshowl Posts: 4,464
    So 34 all still fits.
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @MSmithsonPB: Best PM from ComRes phone poll for Mail. Not good for Ed http://t.co/NVsV3kQNx8

    But remember, Dave can't win...
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    The futility of banging on about every poll as if it means something encapsulated in a day

    Like cheering throw ins at a football match
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    I didn't know he was in it and was Hang On - is that you? during the opening few mins, so looked it up. It's got the same feel as White Collar and I liked that McG was the director/exec prod. He did a lot of the initial Supernatural and other shows/tongue in cheek action stuff like Charlie's Angels.

    He loves taking the piss out of the genre in a clever way.
    kle4 said:

    Plato said:

    OT For those who liked White Collar and Matt Bomer - I've just tripped across Chuck on Netflix, it's brilliant. I was hooked in the first 3 mins. James Bond meets Big Bang Theory.

    Get's an 8.3 on IMDb - imdb.com/title/tt0934814/

    Matt Bomer is not in it much however (presumably as he was doing White Collar at the time), people should be warned. I enjoyed it immensely for the first few seasons, but for some reason haven't watched it since it wrapped up. Maybe I should give it a rewatch. To Netflix!
  • SMukeshSMukesh Posts: 1,759
    This should be a good night on PB.
  • JackWJackW Posts: 14,787
    Some wag will be on shortly to advise all of PB that :

    Ed Miliband Will Never Be Prime Minister
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548

    @jameschappers: Tories take biggest lead since 2010 with @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK/@itvnews: CON 36 (+1) LAB 32 (-3) UKIP 12 (+2) LIB 9 (+1) GRN 5 (-2)

    So now SeanT can swing from headless chicken mode to swaggering hubris. And then reverse ferret on megapollingmonday...
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,043
    Let's play spot the gold standard.... ;)
  • Ishmael_X said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    Pulpstar said:

    I'll go for UKIP recovering to 13% with them. Conservative lead of 1.
    The comment sounds at the sober emd of the "interesting" to "amazing" range, so I'd guess a lead for either side of 1.

    Golly, if that is worth tuning in for what result would be not even worth tuning in for?

    I predict a small Hell, Yes! bounce = Lab lead of 3.
    Copycat!
    Ah, hadn't seen that. But I did predict which way. If 3 must be Lab 3 surely. Or I will die laughing.
    Wow ..... you and I were both nearly right, we just picked the wrong horse.

    What a corker for the Blue Team!
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012

    @jameschappers: Tories take biggest lead since 2010 with @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK/@itvnews: CON 36 (+1) LAB 32 (-3) UKIP 12 (+2) LIB 9 (+1) GRN 5 (-2)

    LOl - that'll stir us all up. Back to the "overall picture is a tie" theory...
    The BBC news has not quoted the Mail poll, that's 1 minute ago... What a surprise.
  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    I said yesterday the tories needed a good poll ;-)
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    POEMWAS.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,043
    Must say, I do like the symmetry of the two polls. Neck and neck is most likely.
  • GIN1138GIN1138 Posts: 22,387
    edited March 2015

    @jameschappers: Tories take biggest lead since 2010 with @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK/@itvnews: CON 36 (+1) LAB 32 (-3) UKIP 12 (+2) LIB 9 (+1) GRN 5 (-2)


    EICINPM
    EMWNBPM if you will!

  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    edited March 2015
    Better for both Labour and Tories to have had these two polls rather than two 34-34 ties. Discuss...
  • JosiasJessopJosiasJessop Posts: 43,483
    SeanT said:

    Oh god that's hilarious, and I'm an idiot.

    As you were. What a cracking election this might be.

    Oi, cream-tea boy, I've got a bone to pick with you. I've been reading your latest tome, and no-one ever writes the words: "the ghastliness of Rannoch Moor" without getting a visit from me and the lads, okay?

    "The beauty of Rannoch Moor" is just about acceptable. "The irresistibility of Rannoch Moor" is better. "The magnificence of Rannoch Moor" better still. But "ghastliness"?. You're right out of order, mate.

    :-)
  • Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    Cameron should have gone head to head

    The interview format was a mistake

    Ed has all the momentum


    At least the polls should be generating tradable movements in the markets
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,291
    I dedicate this poll to IoS.
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341

    @jameschappers: Tories take biggest lead since 2010 with @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK/@itvnews: CON 36 (+1) LAB 32 (-3) UKIP 12 (+2) LIB 9 (+1) GRN 5 (-2)

    Pretty much the same as Opinium's certain to vote numbers last night.
  • Would it cruel of me to start copying and pasting what some of the PB's most excitable Labour supporters were posting exactly 24 hours ago?
  • Tissue_PriceTissue_Price Posts: 9,039
    Scott_P said:

    Cameron should have gone head to head

    The interview format was a mistake

    Ed has all the momentum


    At least the polls should be generating tradable movements in the markets

    Yes, backed 1.58 & laid 1.50 in the last 6 minutes :p
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 123,957
    SeanT Tory minority government with LD and DUP confidence and supply remains my prediction, Opinium today had a similar result to Comres, yougov was just being yougov, erratic and headline chasing as usual
  • kle4kle4 Posts: 96,587
    PTSSEMPPMBPASHFTT

    (Polls Tied So Still Ed Miliband Probably Prime Minister But Polls Allow Some Hope for Tories Too)
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,043

    Would it cruel of me to start copying and pasting what some of the PB's most excitable Labour supporters were posting exactly 24 hours ago?

    They'll just do the same for the more excitable PB Tories (I'm definitely one of them!)
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,135
    Wait a minute - so there's another ComRes due TONIGHT?

    Need to re-calculate ELBOW in that case!!!
  • Paul_Mid_BedsPaul_Mid_Beds Posts: 1,409
    Assume this was a phonepoll.

    I told you so, I told you so.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    @kle4 Have you tried Better Call Saul out? It was rather slow to begin with but seems to be finding its feet.

    Bosch is worth a go for cop show stuff too.
  • MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053

    @jameschappers: Tories take biggest lead since 2010 with @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK/@itvnews: CON 36 (+1) LAB 32 (-3) UKIP 12 (+2) LIB 9 (+1) GRN 5 (-2)

    The more I see of the polls, the more I think that all of our pollsters are working in the dark. White sticks anyone?
  • New Thread
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,291

    Would it cruel of me to start copying and pasting what some of the PB's most excitable Labour supporters were posting exactly 24 hours ago?

    No, just self-confessed idiot Sean T's!
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,043

    Wait a minute - so there's another ComRes due TONIGHT?

    Need to re-calculate ELBOW in that case!!!

    Already out!
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    dr_spyn said:

    The survey by Comres puts David Cameron's party on 36% of the vote to the opposition's 31%, and suggests the opposite of a "post-Paxman bounce" for Miliband following the pair's live TV grilling last week.

    http://www.itv.com/news/2015-03-29/conservatives-push-ahead-as-election-campaign-begins/

    Ah... Just now a vague passing reference to it on BBC. No graphics.
    Meantime we had the Times and Telegraph today in full scare mode
  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,142
    JackW said:

    Some wag will be on shortly to advise all of PB that :

    Ed Miliband Will Never Be Prime Minister

    Such a wag should be a Sir Wag, after the forthcoming election proving them correct.

  • TykejohnnoTykejohnno Posts: 7,362
    JohnO said:

    I dedicate this poll to IoS.

    Didn't you know,it's all about the Ground game ;-)

  • MortimerMortimer Posts: 14,142

    Would it cruel of me to start copying and pasting what some of the PB's most excitable Labour supporters were posting exactly 24 hours ago?

    I think it would be...what is the word....instructive.

    Pour encourager les autres, and all that
  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,291

    JohnO said:

    I dedicate this poll to IoS.

    Didn't you know,it's all about the Ground game ;-)

    Ooh, me algorithms have gone all queer....
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    MikeK said:

    Asda, Morrisons, etc, if Labour win on May 7th

    No, that's the pound shops
  • chestnutchestnut Posts: 7,341
    edited March 2015
    More Tory complacency.

    EGP45

    (Ed Getting.....)
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415
    Ho hum, I'll be on the lookout for results in 92 constituencies as of now !
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,415
    Ann Sheridan has the #SNPout on her twitter picture, but she's complaining about Labour ^^; !

  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    SeanT said:

    @jameschappers: Tories take biggest lead since 2010 with @ComResPolls for @DailyMailUK/@itvnews: CON 36 (+1) LAB 32 (-3) UKIP 12 (+2) LIB 9 (+1) GRN 5 (-2)

    So now SeanT can swing from headless chicken mode to swaggering hubris. And then reverse ferret on megapollingmonday...
    No, I know when I've pushed my luck.

    I thought Cameron clearly won the debate, I also thought it would have no effect on the polls. As I said on here several times.

    Was I totally right/wrong/talking risible gibberish? Who the F knows?

    Eyes down for the most exciting election any of us geeks will know. And I am in Australia for two weeks of it! Gah.
    I agree it is going to be a fascinating one. I missed the last one as I was in africa and could only keep up via a dodgy internet at 6 in the morning. There was not enough bandwidth for later in the day.

    Keep a stiff upper lip though. There will be polls and rumours of polls...
This discussion has been closed.