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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Opinium and ComRes have LAB with 2% leads and both have Ed
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Opinium and ComRes have LAB with 2% leads and both have Ed closing the gap on Dave in their leader ratings
LAB retains 2pt lead with ComRes online for Indy on Sunday/S Mirror
Con 33% (+1)
Lab 35% (+1)
LD 7% (NC)
UKIP 16% (NC)
Greens4% (NC)
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Comments
Smarmeron said:
@MikeK
Because some people find satire funny. The Sunday Sport is our press writ large and with a red nose.
I find it neither satirical nor funny. Sunday Sport could soon find itself out of ink.
Might win back a few Kippers but will reinforce the view that Tories are for the well off and get haired minority, not the country
The gambit will be: pay a little more for the local services you benefit from whilst you're alive. But in return we will let you pass on your assets to your children and family tax-free when you die.
I guess the only thing Scotland does pretty much rule out by proxy or make unlikely is a Lib-Lab coalition.
Both parties are level.
LAB - 34% (+2)
UKIP - 14% (-2)
LDEM - 7% (-)
GRN - 5% (-1)
Free Speech performance but it impressed many of all
parties who did see it
Another confident speech today too with lots of "My
Government" references and "When I am Prime Minister"
bits in it
So long as he doesnt come here to Sheffield and shout
"Well alllllright" then I reckon he could be cooking in the
no 10 Kitchen.in two months time
I was evacuated to Wellingborough from London at the age of 6. With my mother of course.
Swing...er...same.
Lots of future beneficiaries.
Just makework for lawyers and tax accountants tbh.
Extra council tax bands sounds completely sensible to pay for it being put up to a million or some such.
Nick Clegg surging upwards I see.
We will mark you as a "maybe" then?
And even if neither seats nor national share meet the expectations, overhyping is entertaining, so the more the better.
When/if most of the firms have CON leads of 3%+ then you can talk confidently of CON winnin sears battles.
83% would support raising personal allowance in the budget.
second most favourite budget proposal: 73% favour limiting child benefit to 3 children
71% would support raising the NI threshold
drinkers beware. only measure opposed by more than supported it was cutting taxes on alcohol: 33% for it, 50% against
2-1 backing for government commitment to spend 2% of GDP on defence. 52% think they should, 27% that they should not
49% say Jeremy Clarkson should not be sacked versus 36% who say he should be dumped
If you aren't married or in a civil partnership, live alone or share with a sibling, you can still expect to be stung at anything above £325k.
I suspect Jeremy Clarkson and his legal team are going to be laughing their arses off at the front page of the MoS
BBC Boss: Clarkson is like Savile
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CAFq2xDWwAAyi77.png
It turns out that he thought I was his former pastor.
I can only deduce that this is confirmation that I am living a pure, innocent and blameless life, and have earned significant bounty in the hereafter.
As a reward I treated myself to a piece of Peanut Butter Pie to go.
The risky bit for me is that bit in-between, but there's only 8 seats in it.
Not many people outside inner London have prsoperties worth anything like £650k
Certainly some tax cutting would set the agenda for a "tax bombshell" style campaign, but this may be a deliberate red herring.
I do forsee extra money being found for various NHS projects. There are big rumours of building works going round, and also a nod and wink about Trust overspends.
Edited to say: I have just Googled it and Free Speech seems to just be some sort of BBC programme format and nothing to do with the liberal concept of the same name.
Unemployment higher
Growth lower
Inflation higher
You want to take the bet?
The only problem is, just like Savile, we, the general public, are basically the ones that will suffer. The managers just get shifted around and the pay outs obviously come out of the telly tax, so less money for content.
Also, interesting insinuation from this impartial BBC bod. IMO, I have to say what Cameron said, after being asked directly to comment, was basically here nor there. It isn't like he strode out of #10 and demanded that the BBC reinstate him.
Is this actionable?
When there's a poll that doesn't show it, he's curiously silent.
Podemos is the brainchild of a group of leftist political science university lecturers
Sounds like someone's political dream.
http://m.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-31852713
No thanks, I am not sure that things will be all that rosy no matter who gets in.
Our productivity levels per capita are a joke.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CAFt6fkWsAEIJla.jpg
I just cannot see it, and I know I am setting myself up for a fool if it does happen, but even accepting a few cases where there have been late shifts this doesn't feel like one of those situations to me, and even though most people have not been obsessing about politics for 5 years, things filter down to some degree. That Ed M is apparently crap has surely done so, will it really be the game changer it needs to be? A few points maybe, but the Tories need more than that unless they are really lucky. And that not even counting the possibility the cautious, bland Ed M does not frighten people who are expecting some sort of crapness avatar given what they have heard.
Because some of us can see that our country is rotten to it's core, and Dave and Ozzie are clueless.
No one is that keen on the alternatives, but they would like to see some of the rot treated.
If we had a vote this year, we'd lose, and be locked into the EU for at least another 20 years.
But the worst thing about it is, all those Lab voters thinking of voting UKIP will be thinking UKIP really are Tories.
On the flip side, it probably means no AV thread in the morning.
I think UKIP's support is probably being drawn much more cleanly from both WWC Labour and Tories than it was two years ago. It'll be interesting to see how UKIP perform in the North.
Retaining a seat > National security
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/terrorism-in-the-uk/11472749/Nick-Clegg-blocks-terror-laws-banning-extremists-from-universities.html
With YouGov Tories on 34 Compared with 12/03 when on 33. UKIP down 2 from 16. With ComRes the Tory share is up as well. The Labour vote has moved around but the Tories look to have steadily edged up. What does that mean if anything? For Mr Smithson, he can at least take heart that the LD vote is rock solid...
If the kitchen sink has given EdM a boost I am not surprised. The real rubbish was what he said in the kitchen - his fatuous pledge to 'bring the recovery to the kitchen table'. The fall in inflation the fall in food prices the rise in real wages (all of which he ignores) - they are all more important than an alleged soulless kitchen and what his wife looks like in it.
Enjoy it while you can -
Tory lead 0.6% in ELBOW so far this week, with only Opinium, YG (Sunday) and ComRes (online) to come this weekend!
Oh well I must try harder
PS And its better than Cameron getting his ducks in a row and arranging some sort of fraudulent deal with Brussels and leading a yes vote in 2017.
It is only fair? the peers exempted Oxford and Cambridge from the act for exactly those reasons.
You can hardly justify their exemption and not other universities?
Changes of SeanT self-combusting in anger...up to 99%.
The petition now stands at 894,378 signatures. It might make the million yet.