Just wondering, has Sam Cam or Miriam González Durántez ever done a big sit down with BBC or Sky etc?
AFAIK, they seem to keep themselves to themselves and just get on with their own careers, despite constant and often really nasty abuse been thrown at their husbands and their family.
Wheeling out the wives does seem to be a fairly good indicator of a campaign in terminal decline.
Oh dear. Trundling out the family, to shore up support. Tim must be going nuts on Twitter.
Someone lost 26k of winnings due to Annie's fall at the last. Check twitter !
Not me and hopefully not Peter. I've already seen a figure of £150 million quoted as to hoe much the bookies were saved on having to pay out on Mullins accumulators.
ANNIE POWER didn't carry my money though I thought she would win. I made my cash on THE DRUID'S NEPHEW which covered opposing UN DE SCEAUX who I thought wouldn't get round.
Unfortuately some twerp has stuck me for a 3pm meeting in Lewes tomorrow which means I won't be able to see the Champion Chase. I had wanted the meeting yesterday morning so I could nip down to Plumpton for an afternoon's sport.
Annie chinned me for a tenner or so last year so I didn't bother with her again. Internet was down whilst all the drama was going on too.
New One (Antepost a long while back @ 6s)/Jezki not placing means unfortunately I'm down £19 on the day but nevermind ;p
Just wondering, has Sam Cam or Miriam González Durántez ever done a big sit down with BBC or Sky etc?
AFAIK, they seem to keep themselves to themselves and just get on with their own careers, despite constant and often really nasty abuse been thrown at their husbands and their family.
I don't believe either have, - and I'm slightly amused as to why the BBC has decided now, to give a politicians wife such unparalleled media access?
The Tories are going to hand over seats to Labour due to the UKIP surge, lose a handful to the purples themselves, and you know the SNP ain't gonna do anything like as well as the polls suggest. The LDs will lose seats to the Tories, but not that many.
The polls are better for the Tories, but still disastrous to hopes of remaining in power whilst UKIP polls so high.
It's the electoral system that will put Ed in power, not his charisma or recognised leadership star potential.
I'm feel you should urgently seek the advice of your physician as it's clear your brain has become badly addled by sustained absence from the portals of PB.
You need to closely analyse my ARSE, inwardly digest and repent of your wayward behaviour. We at PB central will welcome you back into the bosom of our fraternity in the fullness of time as and when this nasty affliction subsides on the 8th May.
@bob_sykes clearly does not live in Scotland if he doubts the SLAB clash and SNP surge. I have not come across a labour voter canvassing in Edinburgh East despite it being a notionally safe Labour seat. This is EDINBURGH- an area which voted comfortably NO.
Anyone who claims that they canvassed an area and not come across a single opposition voter is either telling porkies or a bloody awful canvasser . We remember for example Rik Willis saying on here he had not found a single Lib Dem voter shortly before he was defeated by them in Sutton and Cheam in 2005
Bad choice of words. People have told me they're CERTAINLY going to vote SNP and even CON. But I haven't come across anyone who is CERTAINLY voting Labour (or even mentioned) Labour I persume the one's who insist they are 'undecided' are the likely Labour voters.
Just wondering, has Sam Cam or Miriam González Durántez ever done a big sit down with BBC or Sky etc?
AFAIK, they seem to keep themselves to themselves and just get on with their own careers, despite constant and often really nasty abuse been thrown at their husbands and their family.
Wheeling out the wives does seem to be a fairly good indicator of a campaign in terminal decline.
Oh dear. Trundling out the family, to shore up support. Tim must be going nuts on Twitter.
Too busy blabbering on about Cameron using his kids (including Ivan) as props [as usual]...oh wait...
@jessicaelgot: Wondering if Justine Thornton being called ‘Miliband’ in BBC interview is slip-up, a change on her part, or just SEO? http://t.co/M0utGhCrSd
You just said, and I agree, it's Clarkson + Wilman [I'd add the other presenters too]. There's nothing magical about the BBC.
Through BBC2 free to air broadcast and iPlayer, Top Gear gets something like 9m viewers a show, probably more. Plus the re-runs on Dave, partly owned by the BBC. It's one of the biggest shows on telly.
Move it to Sky, and like anything else on Sky, it will have an audience of about 1m tops, probably less over the long term, and no iPlayer. The heart will go out of the production team and presenting talent, like a theatrical company playing to an almost empty house night after night.
Just wondering, has Sam Cam or Miriam González Durántez ever done a big sit down with BBC or Sky etc?
AFAIK, they seem to keep themselves to themselves and just get on with their own careers, despite constant and often really nasty abuse been thrown at their husbands and their family.
I don't believe either have, - and I'm slightly amused as to why the BBC has decided now, to give a politicians wife such unparalleled media access?
@jessicaelgot: Wondering if Justine Thornton being called ‘Miliband’ in BBC interview is slip-up, a change on her part, or just SEO? http://t.co/M0utGhCrSd
That is a bit odd. Is it just a mistake by the BBC? I mean how many times have they called Ed, David, over the past 4 years?
You just said, and I agree, it's Clarkson + Wilman [I'd add the other presenters too]. There's nothing magical about the BBC.
Through BBC2 free to air broadcast and iPlayer, Top Gear gets something like 9m viewers a show, probably more. Plus the re-runs on Dave, partly owned by the BBC. It's one of the biggest shows on telly.
Move it to Sky, and like anything else on Sky, it will have an audience of about 1m tops, probably less over the long term, and no iPlayer. The heart will go out of the production team and presenting talent, like a theatrical company playing to an almost empty house night after night.
More importantly IMHO, Top Gear must cost an absolute arm and a leg to make. Even setting aside the presenters' salaries, there is oodles of dosh wrapped up in each one. The BBC's big enough to handle it; would other TV companies want the risk? Still, it's preferable to them spending money on yet more effing football.
And if they make it cheaper, the audience might well notice (ref. Scrapheap Challenge).
You just said, and I agree, it's Clarkson + Wilman [I'd add the other presenters too]. There's nothing magical about the BBC.
Through BBC2 free to air broadcast and iPlayer, Top Gear gets something like 9m viewers a show, probably more. Plus the re-runs on Dave, partly owned by the BBC. It's one of the biggest shows on telly.
Move it to Sky, and like anything else on Sky, it will have an audience of about 1m tops, probably less over the long term, and no iPlayer. The heart will go out of the production team and presenting talent, like a theatrical company playing to an almost empty house night after night.
More importantly IMHO, Top Gear must cost an absolute arm and a leg to make. Even setting aside the presenters' salaries, there is oodles of dosh wrapped up in each one. The BBC's big enough to handle it; would other TV companies want the risk? Still, it's preferable to them spending money on yet more effing football.
And if they make it cheaper, the audience might well notice (ref. Scrapheap Challenge).
Salaries aside, it's notorious for being made on a shoestring. Portacabins and a hangar on an old BAE airfield in rural Surrey cost f'all.
Since there will be very little prospect of anyone outside the Conservative party having any chance of forming a government, and the incumbent PM is in the Conservative party, the Queen will actually not need to do anything. If Cameron chooses not to resign (most likely) then the Queen has no decision to make, and if that turns out to be the wrong decision it reflects on Cameron politically, not on the Queen or constitution.
If Cameron does resign, presumably he will only do so if it is absolutely clear the Conservatives cannot govern, in which case it won't be remotely controversial for the Queen to ask Miliband whether he can form a government.
What would you advise people who followed your SPIN recommendations on the SNP to do now, hold out or cash out for a loss ?
Apologies for that. Can't remember now what I recommended to sell them at, and am not sure where they are pricing now. But for what it's worth I now expect them to get in the region of 40 seats.
The Tories are going to hand over seats to Labour due to the UKIP surge, lose a handful to the purples themselves, and you know the SNP ain't gonna do anything like as well as the polls suggest. The LDs will lose seats to the Tories, but not that many.
The polls are better for the Tories, but still disastrous to hopes of remaining in power whilst UKIP polls so high.
It's the electoral system that will put Ed in power, not his charisma or recognised leadership star potential.
I'm feel you should urgently seek the advice of your physician as it's clear your brain has become badly addled by sustained absence from the portals of PB.
You need to closely analyse my ARSE, inwardly digest and repent of your wayward behaviour. We at PB central will welcome you back into the bosom of our fraternity in the fullness of time as and when this nasty affliction subsides on the 8th May.
@bob_sykes clearly does not live in Scotland if he doubts the SLAB clash and SNP surge. I have not come across a labour voter canvassing in Edinburgh East despite it being a notionally safe Labour seat. This is EDINBURGH- an area which voted comfortably NO.
Edinburgh might have voted comfortably NO but Edinburgh East voted 48% Yes.
You just said, and I agree, it's Clarkson + Wilman [I'd add the other presenters too]. There's nothing magical about the BBC.
Through BBC2 free to air broadcast and iPlayer, Top Gear gets something like 9m viewers a show, probably more. Plus the re-runs on Dave, partly owned by the BBC. It's one of the biggest shows on telly.
Move it to Sky, and like anything else on Sky, it will have an audience of about 1m tops, probably less over the long term, and no iPlayer. The heart will go out of the production team and presenting talent, like a theatrical company playing to an almost empty house night after night.
More importantly IMHO, Top Gear must cost an absolute arm and a leg to make. Even setting aside the presenters' salaries, there is oodles of dosh wrapped up in each one. The BBC's big enough to handle it; would other TV companies want the risk? Still, it's preferable to them spending money on yet more effing football.
And if they make it cheaper, the audience might well notice (ref. Scrapheap Challenge).
It's made on a shoestring.
I believe it is £500k an episode, and since the change of arrangements there has been a big cut in the budget....wasn't that a gag they ran on the series after the budget cut, that they couldn't afford to do stuff while doing some over the top stuff.
But until the change of arrangement, the likes of Clarkson's pay was all wrapped up in flogging the rights etc.
You just said, and I agree, it's Clarkson + Wilman [I'd add the other presenters too]. There's nothing magical about the BBC.
Through BBC2 free to air broadcast and iPlayer, Top Gear gets something like 9m viewers a show, probably more. Plus the re-runs on Dave, partly owned by the BBC. It's one of the biggest shows on telly.
Move it to Sky, and like anything else on Sky, it will have an audience of about 1m tops, probably less over the long term, and no iPlayer. The heart will go out of the production team and presenting talent, like a theatrical company playing to an almost empty house night after night.
More importantly IMHO, Top Gear must cost an absolute arm and a leg to make. Even setting aside the presenters' salaries, there is oodles of dosh wrapped up in each one. The BBC's big enough to handle it; would other TV companies want the risk? Still, it's preferable to them spending money on yet more effing football.
And if they make it cheaper, the audience might well notice (ref. Scrapheap Challenge).
Salaries aside, it's notorious for being made on a shoestring. Portacabins and a hangar on an old BAE airfield in rural Surrey cost f'all.
Yes to those (although f'all's going a bit far, but flying around the world to do some of their stunts wouldn't be cheap, and neither would the insurance.
The Tories are going to hand over seats to Labour due to the UKIP surge, lose a handful to the purples themselves, and you know the SNP ain't gonna do anything like as well as the polls suggest. The LDs will lose seats to the Tories, but not that many.
The polls are better for the Tories, but still disastrous to hopes of remaining in power whilst UKIP polls so high.
It's the electoral system that will put Ed in power, not his charisma or recognised leadership star potential.
I'm feel you should urgently seek the advice of your physician as it's clear your brain has become badly addled by sustained absence from the portals of PB.
You need to closely analyse my ARSE, inwardly digest and repent of your wayward behaviour. We at PB central will welcome you back into the bosom of our fraternity in the fullness of time as and when this nasty affliction subsides on the 8th May.
@bob_sykes clearly does not live in Scotland if he doubts the SLAB clash and SNP surge. I have not come across a labour voter canvassing in Edinburgh East despite it being a notionally safe Labour seat. This is EDINBURGH- an area which voted comfortably NO.
Edinburgh might have voted comfortably NO but Edinburgh East voted 48% Yes.
The Tories are going to hand over seats to Labour due to the UKIP surge, lose a handful to the purples themselves, and you know the SNP ain't gonna do anything like as well as the polls suggest. The LDs will lose seats to the Tories, but not that many.
The polls are better for the Tories, but still disastrous to hopes of remaining in power whilst UKIP polls so high.
It's the electoral system that will put Ed in power, not his charisma or recognised leadership star potential.
I'm feel you should urgently seek the advice of your physician as it's clear your brain has become badly addled by sustained absence from the portals of PB.
You need to closely analyse my ARSE, inwardly digest and repent of your wayward behaviour. We at PB central will welcome you back into the bosom of our fraternity in the fullness of time as and when this nasty affliction subsides on the 8th May.
@bob_sykes clearly does not live in Scotland if he doubts the SLAB clash and SNP surge. I have not come across a labour voter canvassing in Edinburgh East despite it being a notionally safe Labour seat. This is EDINBURGH- an area which voted comfortably NO.
Anyone who claims that they canvassed an area and not come across a single opposition voter is either telling porkies or a bloody awful canvasser . We remember for example Rik Willis saying on here he had not found a single Lib Dem voter shortly before he was defeated by them in Sutton and Cheam in 2005
SNP probably ahead by ~ 20 points in Edinburgh East at the least.
SNP 49 Lab 27 Con 8 Green 7 LD 5
Something like that.
Also both the SNP and the SLAB are his opposition...
SMAPS has
SNP 39 Lab 33 Con 10 Green 10 LD 7
I suspect the Green figure will be lower due to tactical voting.
The Tories are going to hand over seats to Labour due to the UKIP surge, lose a handful to the purples themselves, and you know the SNP ain't gonna do anything like as well as the polls suggest. The LDs will lose seats to the Tories, but not that many.
The polls are better for the Tories, but still disastrous to hopes of remaining in power whilst UKIP polls so high.
It's the electoral system that will put Ed in power, not his charisma or recognised leadership star potential.
I'm feel you should urgently seek the advice of your physician as it's clear your brain has become badly addled by sustained absence from the portals of PB.
You need to closely analyse my ARSE, inwardly digest and repent of your wayward behaviour. We at PB central will welcome you back into the bosom of our fraternity in the fullness of time as and when this nasty affliction subsides on the 8th May.
@bob_sykes clearly does not live in Scotland if he doubts the SLAB clash and SNP surge. I have not come across a labour voter canvassing in Edinburgh East despite it being a notionally safe Labour seat. This is EDINBURGH- an area which voted comfortably NO.
Anyone who claims that they canvassed an area and not come across a single opposition voter is either telling porkies or a bloody awful canvasser . We remember for example Rik Willis saying on here he had not found a single Lib Dem voter shortly before he was defeated by them in Sutton and Cheam in 2005
SNP probably ahead by ~ 20 points in Edinburgh East at the least.
SNP 49 Lab 27 Con 8 Green 7 LD 5
Something like that.
Also both the SNP and the SLAB are his opposition...
SMAPS has
SNP 39 Lab 33 Con 10 Green 10 LD 7
I suspect the Green figure will be lower due to tactical voting.
I'll send you my Scottish book when I've totalised it all up to check against SMAPS :P
I'd be pretty stunned if Edi East is +9 pts better for Labour than the national average
The Tories are going to hand over seats to Labour due to the UKIP surge, lose a handful to the purples themselves, and you know the SNP ain't gonna do anything like as well as the polls suggest. The LDs will lose seats to the Tories, but not that many.
The polls are better for the Tories, but still disastrous to hopes of remaining in power whilst UKIP polls so high.
It's the electoral system that will put Ed in power, not his charisma or recognised leadership star potential.
I'm feel you should urgently seek the advice of your physician as it's clear your brain has become badly addled by sustained absence from the portals of PB.
You need to closely analyse my ARSE, inwardly digest and repent of your wayward behaviour. We at PB central will welcome you back into the bosom of our fraternity in the fullness of time as and when this nasty affliction subsides on the 8th May.
@bob_sykes clearly does not live in Scotland if he doubts the SLAB clash and SNP surge. I have not come across a labour voter canvassing in Edinburgh East despite it being a notionally safe Labour seat. This is EDINBURGH- an area which voted comfortably NO.
Anyone who claims that they canvassed an area and not come across a single opposition voter is either telling porkies or a bloody awful canvasser . We remember for example Rik Willis saying on here he had not found a single Lib Dem voter shortly before he was defeated by them in Sutton and Cheam in 2005
SNP probably ahead by ~ 20 points in Edinburgh East at the least.
SNP 49 Lab 27 Con 8 Green 7 LD 5
Something like that.
Also both the SNP and the SLAB are his opposition...
SMAPS has
SNP 39 Lab 33 Con 10 Green 10 LD 7
I suspect the Green figure will be lower due to tactical voting.
I'll send you my Scottish book when I've totalised it all up to check against SMAPS :P
I'm improving the script that generates it to allow you to specify National Vote shares and then I'll put it online so you can generate your own SMAPS.
Move it to Sky, and like anything else on Sky, it will have an audience of about 1m tops, probably less over the long term, and no iPlayer. The heart will go out of the production team and presenting talent, like a theatrical company playing to an almost empty house night after night.
I doubt that it would only be Sky in the running. Given how widely pirated Top Gear is it (or a new show starring the three of them) has a lot of attraction for a service like Netflix or Amazon.
Move it to Sky, and like anything else on Sky, it will have an audience of about 1m tops, probably less over the long term, and no iPlayer. The heart will go out of the production team and presenting talent, like a theatrical company playing to an almost empty house night after night.
I doubt that it would only be Sky in the running. Given how widely pirated Top Gear is it (or a new show starring the three of them) has a lot of attraction for a service like Netflix or Amazon.
Netflix has bought a few shows back to life in the US that had been cancelled by the major networks, but then in the US it is more common that a show will move channels.
Tom Newton Dunn @tnewtondunn 1m1 minute ago Ed Miliband's wife Justine has complained about the "really vicious, personal" attacks on him in an interview with the BBC.
Oh dear, this sort of chatter never goes down well. - If Ed can’t control his own MPs from sniping at him from the side-lines, or is thin skinned enough to worry about what the papers say, he really shouldn’t be in politics or get the wife involved.
Were they as "really vicious, personal" as the attacks launched by Brown and his office against Samantha Cameron and Frances Osborne, about which neither woman has commented despite being, I imagine - especially having some idea of what the attacks were - hurt by them?
She's not standing for election. She should butt out. If EdM doesn't have the requisite thick skin to be in politics he should get out of the game, particularly since his party has behaved pretty unpleasantly when it comes to personal attacks on others.
Its about time that the BBC learned how to manage its stars, Clarkson makes the BBC zillions.. without him, Top Gear is nothing, and the BBC ought to know it.
Unless Clarkson has punched the guys/gals lights out who cares about a fracas or rude words or whatever.
Scott_P said: » show previous quotes With a rebrand...
@jessicaelgot: Wondering if Justine Thornton being called ‘Miliband’ in BBC interview is slip-up, a change on her part, or just SEO? http://t.co/M0utGhCrSd That is a bit odd. Is it just a mistake by the BBC? I mean how many times have they called Ed, David, over the past 4 years?
- Just seen the Miliband kids -did the BBC clear the park of ordinary people so the power couple could stride towards the new socialist dawn? Kids as props, props - its not about Ed its about so decency and principle. Balls.
SMAPS suggests that Willie Bain and Charlie Kennedy are quite well thought of - particularly Willie Bain.
Also possibly that Alistair Darling had a decent personal vote in Edi SW, which is now gone ! Amazingly it predicts Kirkcaldy spot on, though the disparity with Glasgow NE is interesting and suggests incumbency at some level is stopping the Scottish Labour collapse heading sub 20 or some such.
1) from HM Government: a weird leaflet presumably designed to make me think the new powers being given to the Scottish government are simultaneously extensive and reasonable (presumably designed to imply I don't need to vote snp).
No change in strategy there then.
2) 'Publication males it official - Conservatives can't win in Scotland.....The SNP's independence obsession is costing Scottish healthcare.......Only the Liberal Democrats can stop the SNP and fix our NHS'
'In large parts of Scotland it's a two-horse race between the lib Dems and the SNP. The Conservatives can't win.'
No change in strategy there then.
fwiw 2) features an odd photo of Cameron with his hand over his mouth which makes him look strangely like Clegg (or the GP who has a column in the local free monthly magazine).
SMAPS suggests that Willie Bain and Charlie Kennedy are quite well thought of - particularly Willie Bain.
Also possibly that Alistair Darling had a decent personal vote in Edi SW, which is now gone ! Amazingly it predicts Kirkcaldy spot on, though the disparity with Glasgow NE is interesting and suggests incumbency at some level is stopping the Scottish Labour collapse heading sub 20 or some such.
Bain is a dumpling as well , must be some real dumb voters in that constituency.
1) from HM Government: a weird leaflet presumably designed to make me think the new powers being given to the Scottish government are simultaneously extensive and reasonable (presumably designed to imply I don't need to vote snp).
No change in strategy there then.
2) 'Publication males it official - Conservatives can't win in Scotland.....The SNP's independence obsession is costing Scottish healthcare.......Only the Liberal Democrats can stop the SNP and fix our NHS'
'In large parts of Scotland it's a two-horse race between the lib Dems and the SNP. The Conservatives can't win.'
No change in strategy there then.
fwiw 2) features an odd photo of Cameron with his hand over his mouth which makes him look strangely like Clegg (or the GP who has a column in the local free monthly magazine).
Argyll and Bute looks like a one horse race to me.
@Cyclefree She only said she thought that some of the attacks were cruel and vicious ( when questioned) And that they would probably get worse as time went on. Somehow, out of that we get "wifegate" and the end of democracy.
@Cyclefree She only said she thought that some of the attacks were cruel and vicious ( when questioned) And that they would probably get worse as time went on. Somehow, out of that we get "wifegate" and the end of democracy.
Of course when ED attacks Dave viciously in the House of Commons (which Dave really didn't like), that's ok then..
His wife screaming that people are nasty to Ed makes him look a wimp.
@Cyclefree She only said she thought that some of the attacks were cruel and vicious ( when questioned) And that they would probably get worse as time went on. Somehow, out of that we get "wifegate" and the end of democracy.
What attacks are we talking about here? Because I'm struggling to think of any that aren't the normal EdM isn't up to being PM type and he can look a bit odd in some photos and, frankly, quite a lot of those come from Labour MPs.
You just said, and I agree, it's Clarkson + Wilman [I'd add the other presenters too]. There's nothing magical about the BBC.
Through BBC2 free to air broadcast and iPlayer, Top Gear gets something like 9m viewers a show, probably more. Plus the re-runs on Dave, partly owned by the BBC. It's one of the biggest shows on telly.
Move it to Sky, and like anything else on Sky, it will have an audience of about 1m tops, probably less over the long term, and no iPlayer. The heart will go out of the production team and presenting talent, like a theatrical company playing to an almost empty house night after night.
More importantly IMHO, Top Gear must cost an absolute arm and a leg to make. Even setting aside the presenters' salaries, there is oodles of dosh wrapped up in each one. The BBC's big enough to handle it; would other TV companies want the risk? Still, it's preferable to them spending money on yet more effing football.
And if they make it cheaper, the audience might well notice (ref. Scrapheap Challenge).
I don't really see there being much risk associated with it. It's a proven success on both sides of the Atlantic with both a broad viewing audience and a subset of cult fans. Jeremy Clarkson has never been my cup of tea, but if I owned a big media company I would jump at the chance to print money.
Trying to find any remaining value in the Scottish constituency markets, conclusion I've reached is that no seat is safe from the SNP. A good example is Orkney & Shetland where Carmichael clearly has a fight on his hands. He is an Edinburgh lawyer in-comer, the SNP have selected a retired high school teacher who probably taught 75% of the electorate and knows the rest as parents, UKIP have selected a local fisherman:
The UKIP candidate secured 7% in 2010 and will surely do much better this time around. As far as I can tell SLAB and the Tories are yet to select candidates, they will no doubt be selecting locals as well. I think Carmichael is toast - the SNP at 4/1 might be a value bet.
I really do think that - unless they are in the political game themselves - spouses should stay out of politics. Cherie did not do Tony any favours. Mrs Clegg seems feisty enough though I do wonder why the hell she settled for Nick. Sam C has had to endure more than any wife/mother should have to endure and should be off limits. Sarah Brown introducing her messy hero husband was just embarrassing. The best thing about Denis Thatcher was that he stayed quiet and loyal, even though his wife probably faced some of the most vicious attacks ever and real personal danger.
Trying to find any remaining value in the Scottish constituency markets, conclusion I've reached is that no seat is safe from the SNP. A good example is Orkney & Shetland where Carmichael clearly has a fight on his hands. He is an Edinburgh lawyer in-comer, the SNP have selected a retired high school teacher who probably taught 75% of the electorate and knows the rest as parents, UKIP have selected a local fisherman:
The UKIP candidate secured 7% in 2010 and will surely do much better this time around. As far as I can tell SLAB and the Tories are yet to select candidates, they will no doubt be selecting locals as well. I think Carmichael is toast - the SNP at 4/1 might be a value bet.
The SNP candidate call for UK Gmt action on the oil and gas industry crisis would also have considerable traction, I would have thought. It's a pretty much across the board feeling in the ndustry from the impression I get in the papers. A LD member of the Coalition is going to be vulnerable if nothing, or too little, is seen to be done.
@Alistair Banff and Buchan projection is very interesting...
I don't believe it somehow though
All the existing SNP seats are interesting in SMAPS. Before adjusting for Lib Dem annihilation the Yes vote basically corresponds 1 to 1 with the 2010 SNP vote.
Call 1 26 minutes had to hang us as I had to get back to work... Call 2 last night 5 mins of listening to crap then told no one could speak to me.. bye.. Call 3 tonight 44 mins and waiting....
Trying to find any remaining value in the Scottish constituency markets, conclusion I've reached is that no seat is safe from the SNP. A good example is Orkney & Shetland where Carmichael clearly has a fight on his hands. He is an Edinburgh lawyer in-comer, the SNP have selected a retired high school teacher who probably taught 75% of the electorate and knows the rest as parents, UKIP have selected a local fisherman:
The UKIP candidate secured 7% in 2010 and will surely do much better this time around. As far as I can tell SLAB and the Tories are yet to select candidates, they will no doubt be selecting locals as well. I think Carmichael is toast - the SNP at 4/1 might be a value bet.
Call 1 26 minutes had to hang us as I had to get back to work... Call 2 last night 5 mins of listening to crap then told no one could speak to me.. bye.. Call 3 tonight 44 mins and waiting....
I did the same last week, over half an hour before I gave up
Call 1 26 minutes had to hang us as I had to get back to work... Call 2 last night 5 mins of listening to crap then told no one could speak to me.. bye.. Call 3 tonight 44 mins and waiting....
My best one was waiting on hold for 45 minutes, explaining that I had previously called the student loans company and asking explicitly to speak someone at the student loans group within HMRC. I was then transferred by the agent to the student loans company which had shut for the day. I was apoplectic after that.
Trying to find any remaining value in the Scottish constituency markets, conclusion I've reached is that no seat is safe from the SNP. A good example is Orkney & Shetland where Carmichael clearly has a fight on his hands. He is an Edinburgh lawyer in-comer, the SNP have selected a retired high school teacher who probably taught 75% of the electorate and knows the rest as parents, UKIP have selected a local fisherman:
The UKIP candidate secured 7% in 2010 and will surely do much better this time around. As far as I can tell SLAB and the Tories are yet to select candidates, they will no doubt be selecting locals as well. I think Carmichael is toast - the SNP at 4/1 might be a value bet.
Against that:
1. The LibDems kept exactly two constituency seats in the Scottish parliament last time: Orkney, and Shetland. 2. Orkney & Shetland had one of the lowest "Yes" votes in Scotland. 3. Alistair Carmichael clearly has established a personal vote as his share has gone from 41.3% in 2001 to 62% in 2010. That's a full 10% more than (local boy) Jim Wallace ever got.
I'd need 6 or 8-1 to tempt me to bet on the SNP here.
Now, the rest of the Scottish LibDems for that matter...
More news from the so-called Islamic Human Rights Commission:-
- Theresa May is Islamophobe of the year - Maajid Nawaz is UK Islamophobe of the year.
And I wonder if Sadiq Khan will come to regret speaking at an event organised in Parliament by Cage in June 2012 in favour of Babar Ahmed, later sentenced in the UK to 12 years in prison for terrorist offences.
Apparently Khan has his own Labour campaigh for human rights, funded to the tune of £5000 by the Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust, another branch of the same Joseph Rowntree trust which has funded Cage and which has been shamed/pressured into stopping.
More news from the so-called Islamic Human Rights Commission:-
- Theresa May is Islamophobe of the year - Maajid Nawaz is UK Islamophobe of the year.
And I wonder if Sadiq Khan will come to regret speaking at an event organised in Parliament by Cage in June 2012 in favour of Babar Ahmed, later sentenced in the UK to 12 years in prison for terrorist offences.
Apparently Khan has his own Labour campaigh for human rights, funded to the tune of £5000 by the Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust, another branch of the same Joseph Rowntree trust which has funded Cage and which has been shamed/pressured into stopping.
Has Sadiq worked out if he is friends with Ahmed or not? And how long they have known each other? He seems to get in a mess when asked about this.
More news from the so-called Islamic Human Rights Commission:-
- Theresa May is Islamophobe of the year - Maajid Nawaz is UK Islamophobe of the year.
And I wonder if Sadiq Khan will come to regret speaking at an event organised in Parliament by Cage in June 2012 in favour of Babar Ahmed, later sentenced in the UK to 12 years in prison for terrorist offences.
Apparently Khan has his own Labour campaigh for human rights, funded to the tune of £5000 by the Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust, another branch of the same Joseph Rowntree trust which has funded Cage and which has been shamed/pressured into stopping.
So May is the World Islamaphobe of the year? Naively, I would have thought there would be better contenders in Israel...!
Trying to find any remaining value in the Scottish constituency markets, conclusion I've reached is that no seat is safe from the SNP. A good example is Orkney & Shetland where Carmichael clearly has a fight on his hands. He is an Edinburgh lawyer in-comer, the SNP have selected a retired high school teacher who probably taught 75% of the electorate and knows the rest as parents, UKIP have selected a local fisherman:
The UKIP candidate secured 7% in 2010 and will surely do much better this time around. As far as I can tell SLAB and the Tories are yet to select candidates, they will no doubt be selecting locals as well. I think Carmichael is toast - the SNP at 4/1 might be a value bet.
Hahaha
Laugh all you want mate, I recollect back in December many of you laughing at me building up my SLAB wipe-out bets, back when 0-5 seats was 125/1 (now 4/1), I'm in line for a serious 5 figure pay-out if it comes off !! I'm also in line for low 5 figure pay-outs at 6-10 and 11-15.
@Cyclefree She only said she thought that some of the attacks were cruel and vicious ( when questioned) And that they would probably get worse as time went on. Somehow, out of that we get "wifegate" and the end of democracy.
What attacks are we talking about here? Because I'm struggling to think of any that aren't the normal EdM isn't up to being PM type and he can look a bit odd in some photos and, frankly, quite a lot of those come from Labour MPs.
If ed wants to be an incompetent, backstabbing lightweight in the privacy of his own home that's fine by me. It seems to me relevant to his suitability to govern my country that he is an incompetent, backstabbing lightweight, and legitimate to point out the fact.
As for Justine, the backstabbing was very much a family affair, wasn't it? I think the Madiba principle may apply here (which states that if someone openly and repeatedly advocates the torturing to death of poor black South Africans, their spouse who doesn't come out and say that that might not be the best idea since pulltabs on tins of tomatoes is probably not something you'd want to find on the sole of your shoe, either).
More news from the so-called Islamic Human Rights Commission:-
- Theresa May is Islamophobe of the year - Maajid Nawaz is UK Islamophobe of the year.
And I wonder if Sadiq Khan will come to regret speaking at an event organised in Parliament by Cage in June 2012 in favour of Babar Ahmed, later sentenced in the UK to 12 years in prison for terrorist offences.
Apparently Khan has his own Labour campaigh for human rights, funded to the tune of £5000 by the Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust, another branch of the same Joseph Rowntree trust which has funded Cage and which has been shamed/pressured into stopping.
So May is the World Islamaphobe of the year? Naively, I would have thought there would be better contenders in Israel...!
More news from the so-called Islamic Human Rights Commission:-
- Theresa May is Islamophobe of the year - Maajid Nawaz is UK Islamophobe of the year.
And I wonder if Sadiq Khan will come to regret speaking at an event organised in Parliament by Cage in June 2012 in favour of Babar Ahmed, later sentenced in the UK to 12 years in prison for terrorist offences.
Apparently Khan has his own Labour campaigh for human rights, funded to the tune of £5000 by the Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust, another branch of the same Joseph Rowntree trust which has funded Cage and which has been shamed/pressured into stopping.
So May is the World Islamaphobe of the year? Naively, I would have thought there would be better contenders in Israel...!
I thought they'd gone for Charlie Hebdo.
I mean, that's spectacular.
They have multiple categories....other winners included Maajid Nawaz
More news from the so-called Islamic Human Rights Commission:-
- Theresa May is Islamophobe of the year - Maajid Nawaz is UK Islamophobe of the year.
And I wonder if Sadiq Khan will come to regret speaking at an event organised in Parliament by Cage in June 2012 in favour of Babar Ahmed, later sentenced in the UK to 12 years in prison for terrorist offences.
Apparently Khan has his own Labour campaigh for human rights, funded to the tune of £5000 by the Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust, another branch of the same Joseph Rowntree trust which has funded Cage and which has been shamed/pressured into stopping.
So May is the World Islamaphobe of the year? Naively, I would have thought there would be better contenders in Israel...!
I thought they'd gone for Charlie Hebdo.
I mean, that's spectacular.
They have multiple categories....other winners included Maajid Nawaz
I fear for Maajid Nawaz's life: he must be on the hitlist for a lot of nutters.
More news from the so-called Islamic Human Rights Commission:-
- Theresa May is Islamophobe of the year - Maajid Nawaz is UK Islamophobe of the year.
And I wonder if Sadiq Khan will come to regret speaking at an event organised in Parliament by Cage in June 2012 in favour of Babar Ahmed, later sentenced in the UK to 12 years in prison for terrorist offences.
Apparently Khan has his own Labour campaigh for human rights, funded to the tune of £5000 by the Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust, another branch of the same Joseph Rowntree trust which has funded Cage and which has been shamed/pressured into stopping.
So May is the World Islamaphobe of the year? Naively, I would have thought there would be better contenders in Israel...!
I thought they'd gone for Charlie Hebdo.
I mean, that's spectacular.
They have multiple categories....other winners included Maajid Nawaz
I fear for Maajid Nawaz's life: he must be on the hitlist for a lot of nutters.
Yes, it wouldn't surprise me to hear that he has round the clock security.
Trying to find any remaining value in the Scottish constituency markets, conclusion I've reached is that no seat is safe from the SNP. A good example is Orkney & Shetland where Carmichael clearly has a fight on his hands. He is an Edinburgh lawyer in-comer, the SNP have selected a retired high school teacher who probably taught 75% of the electorate and knows the rest as parents, UKIP have selected a local fisherman:
The UKIP candidate secured 7% in 2010 and will surely do much better this time around. As far as I can tell SLAB and the Tories are yet to select candidates, they will no doubt be selecting locals as well. I think Carmichael is toast - the SNP at 4/1 might be a value bet.
Is this actually a serious post? Orkney and Shetland were first and fourth ranked in favour of No, the SNP have never done well here and Carmichael has a very strong personal following. 4/1 is a joke, I would need 10/1 to even consider such a bet.
More news from the so-called Islamic Human Rights Commission:-
- Theresa May is Islamophobe of the year - Maajid Nawaz is UK Islamophobe of the year.
And I wonder if Sadiq Khan will come to regret speaking at an event organised in Parliament by Cage in June 2012 in favour of Babar Ahmed, later sentenced in the UK to 12 years in prison for terrorist offences.
Apparently Khan has his own Labour campaigh for human rights, funded to the tune of £5000 by the Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust, another branch of the same Joseph Rowntree trust which has funded Cage and which has been shamed/pressured into stopping.
So May is the World Islamaphobe of the year? Naively, I would have thought there would be better contenders in Israel...!
I thought they'd gone for Charlie Hebdo.
I mean, that's spectacular.
They have multiple categories....other winners included Maajid Nawaz
I fear for Maajid Nawaz's life: he must be on the hitlist for a lot of nutters.
Yes, it wouldn't surprise me to hear that he has round the clock security.
I hope so. And I hope the voters (which include both Cyclefree and me) of Hampstead & Kilburn elect him. (Although I suspect it'll be an easy Labour hold.)
Sky News Newsdesk @SkyNewsBreak 23s24 seconds ago Hillary #Clinton says she used private e-mail server to conduct government business while she was U.S. Secretary of State "for convenience"
Sky News Newsdesk @SkyNewsBreak 23s24 seconds ago Hillary #Clinton says she used private e-mail server to conduct government business while she was U.S. Secretary of State "for convenience"
Utter bollocks. Once it is set up, you cannot tell the difference between which server you are using on your mail client (unless the state department has additional security requiring more password prompts, which would be a stupid reason to not use it).
More news from the so-called Islamic Human Rights Commission:-
- Theresa May is Islamophobe of the year - Maajid Nawaz is UK Islamophobe of the year.
And I wonder if Sadiq Khan will come to regret speaking at an event organised in Parliament by Cage in June 2012 in favour of Babar Ahmed, later sentenced in the UK to 12 years in prison for terrorist offences.
Apparently Khan has his own Labour campaigh for human rights, funded to the tune of £5000 by the Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust, another branch of the same Joseph Rowntree trust which has funded Cage and which has been shamed/pressured into stopping.
More news from the so-called Islamic Human Rights Commission:-
- Theresa May is Islamophobe of the year - Maajid Nawaz is UK Islamophobe of the year.
And I wonder if Sadiq Khan will come to regret speaking at an event organised in Parliament by Cage in June 2012 in favour of Babar Ahmed, later sentenced in the UK to 12 years in prison for terrorist offences.
Apparently Khan has his own Labour campaigh for human rights, funded to the tune of £5000 by the Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust, another branch of the same Joseph Rowntree trust which has funded Cage and which has been shamed/pressured into stopping.
So May is the World Islamaphobe of the year? Naively, I would have thought there would be better contenders in Israel...!
Well, a phobia is an irrational fear. Any such fear in Israel is entirely rational.
Indeed, any fear here is pretty rational given what's going on.
So either there are no Islamophobes or we all are. A sort of Je suis un Islamophobe/Spartacus/Charlie moment.
Poking fun at these toads is necessary. Anger and sarcasm and contemptuous mockery are necessary tools. They're mine anyway.
This is one reason why I think the word "Islamophobia" should not be used. I know that Antifrank, a poster I much respect, disagreed because he felt that sometimes people did say horrible things about Muslims. And I agree that unnecessary impoliteness to people is unwarranted and uncivilised.
But "Islamophobia" is deliberately confusing attacks on people with attacks on a religion, on an idea - and we should refuse to allow that distinction to be muddied.
Islamophobia is a way of preventing any criticism at all of anything at all to do with Islam and it is particularly pushed by extremists and jihadists. Which is why we should have nothing to do with it.
As Maajid Nawaz put it so elegantly: "No idea above scrutiny. No people below dignity."
(Though on the latter I tend to the view that if people want dignity or respect, they need to show it and earn it.)
Comments
An every day saga of Dartmouth Park folk.
New One (Antepost a long while back @ 6s)/Jezki not placing means unfortunately I'm down £19 on the day but nevermind ;p
@jessicaelgot: Wondering if Justine Thornton being called ‘Miliband’ in BBC interview is slip-up, a change on her part, or just SEO? http://t.co/M0utGhCrSd
Move it to Sky, and like anything else on Sky, it will have an audience of about 1m tops, probably less over the long term, and no iPlayer. The heart will go out of the production team and presenting talent, like a theatrical company playing to an almost empty house night after night.
Try reading the article, or watch the video?
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-31820175
(text is fairly short)
And if they make it cheaper, the audience might well notice (ref. Scrapheap Challenge).
You know? I honestly never noticed, I was to busy listening to the interview, and looking for "tells" when she spoke.
SMAPSing that gives the SNP a 6 point lead.
But until the change of arrangement, the likes of Clarkson's pay was all wrapped up in flogging the rights etc.
But I bow to better knowledge.
SNP 39
Lab 33
Con 10
Green 10
LD 7
I suspect the Green figure will be lower due to tactical voting.
EDIT: That's on national vote shares of
SNP 44.0
Lab 29.7
Con 16.3
Green 1.75
LD 6.8
I'd be pretty stunned if Edi East is +9 pts better for Labour than the national average
I'm improving the script that generates it to allow you to specify National Vote shares and then I'll put it online so you can generate your own SMAPS.
Lab 37 LD 36 Con 15 Green 7 UKIP 4 Others 1
She's not standing for election. She should butt out. If EdM doesn't have the requisite thick skin to be in politics he should get out of the game, particularly since his party has behaved pretty unpleasantly when it comes to personal attacks on others.
"You must have missed the large family photo slap bang in the middle of the article to which you linked. "
I only watched the movie, I had heard the book was crap.
Unless Clarkson has punched the guys/gals lights out who cares about a fracas or rude words or whatever.
Are you one of those that thinks the player should be bigger than the club?
http://partsolutions.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/Smallest-Car-in-the-World_3.jpg
» show previous quotes
With a rebrand...
@jessicaelgot: Wondering if Justine Thornton being called ‘Miliband’ in BBC interview is slip-up, a change on her part, or just SEO? http://t.co/M0utGhCrSd
That is a bit odd. Is it just a mistake by the BBC? I mean how many times have they called Ed, David, over the past 4 years?
- Just seen the Miliband kids -did the BBC clear the park of ordinary people so the power couple could stride towards the new socialist dawn? Kids as props, props - its not about Ed its about so decency and principle. Balls.
Ed using his school as a prop.
SMAPS suggests that Willie Bain and Charlie Kennedy are quite well thought of - particularly Willie Bain.
Also possibly that Alistair Darling had a decent personal vote in Edi SW, which is now gone !
Amazingly it predicts Kirkcaldy spot on, though the disparity with Glasgow NE is interesting and suggests incumbency at some level is stopping the Scottish Labour collapse heading sub 20 or some such.
1) from HM Government: a weird leaflet presumably designed to make me think the new powers being given to the Scottish government are simultaneously extensive and reasonable (presumably designed to imply I don't need to vote snp).
No change in strategy there then.
2) 'Publication males it official - Conservatives can't win in Scotland.....The SNP's independence obsession is costing Scottish healthcare.......Only the Liberal Democrats can stop the SNP and fix our NHS'
'In large parts of Scotland it's a two-horse race between the lib Dems and the SNP. The Conservatives can't win.'
No change in strategy there then.
fwiw 2) features an odd photo of Cameron with his hand over his mouth which makes him look strangely like Clegg (or the GP who has a column in the local free monthly magazine).
She only said she thought that some of the attacks were cruel and vicious ( when questioned)
And that they would probably get worse as time went on.
Somehow, out of that we get "wifegate" and the end of democracy.
His wife screaming that people are nasty to Ed makes him look a wimp.
I don't believe it somehow though
Did she scream? or did you just fantasise that she did in your imagination?
I mean hyperbole is expected here, but cool your burners rocket man?
In 1931 Tories got 55% of the vote, so that may be the one you're after.
Edited extra bit: thanks Dr. Prasannan as well
" to try and turn attacks on Ed to Labour's benefit..."
Can't argue with you there.
http://www.shetnews.co.uk/news/10267-ukip-to-field-robert-smith-again
The UKIP candidate secured 7% in 2010 and will surely do much better this time around. As far as I can tell SLAB and the Tories are yet to select candidates, they will no doubt be selecting locals as well. I think Carmichael is toast - the SNP at 4/1 might be a value bet.
That's fascinating.
The three remaining episodes of Top Gear have been pulled from the schedules after Jeremy Clarkson was accused of punching a producer.
http://www.radiotimes.com/news/2015-03-10/top-gear-series-postponed-after-jeremy-clarkson-punches-producer
Call 1 26 minutes had to hang us as I had to get back to work...
Call 2 last night 5 mins of listening to crap then told no one could speak to me.. bye..
Call 3 tonight 44 mins and waiting....
Do they charge you for the waiting time like they do for those on Universal Credit?
We can survive a Brexit, but banks would take a hit
The economic risks of a leaving the EU are both slighter and more nuanced than Gordon Brown with his 'North Korea' claims will admit
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/11462085/We-can-survive-a-Brexit-but-banks-would-take-a-hit.html
1. The LibDems kept exactly two constituency seats in the Scottish parliament last time: Orkney, and Shetland.
2. Orkney & Shetland had one of the lowest "Yes" votes in Scotland.
3. Alistair Carmichael clearly has established a personal vote as his share has gone from 41.3% in 2001 to 62% in 2010. That's a full 10% more than (local boy) Jim Wallace ever got.
I'd need 6 or 8-1 to tempt me to bet on the SNP here.
Now, the rest of the Scottish LibDems for that matter...
YouGov prediction
Con Lead 3%.
- Theresa May is Islamophobe of the year
- Maajid Nawaz is UK Islamophobe of the year.
And I wonder if Sadiq Khan will come to regret speaking at an event organised in Parliament by Cage in June 2012 in favour of Babar Ahmed, later sentenced in the UK to 12 years in prison for terrorist offences.
Apparently Khan has his own Labour campaigh for human rights, funded to the tune of £5000 by the Joseph Rowntree Reform Trust, another branch of the same Joseph Rowntree trust which has funded Cage and which has been shamed/pressured into stopping.
As for Justine, the backstabbing was very much a family affair, wasn't it? I think the Madiba principle may apply here (which states that if someone openly and repeatedly advocates the torturing to death of poor black South Africans, their spouse who doesn't come out and say that that might not be the best idea since pulltabs on tins of tomatoes is probably not something you'd want to find on the sole of your shoe, either).
I mean, that's spectacular.
How about this...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys1ShRxuAnY
Hillary #Clinton says she used private e-mail server to conduct government business while she was U.S. Secretary of State "for convenience"
Indeed, any fear here is pretty rational given what's going on.
So either there are no Islamophobes or we all are. A sort of Je suis un Islamophobe/Spartacus/Charlie moment.
Poking fun at these toads is necessary. Anger and sarcasm and contemptuous mockery are necessary tools. They're mine anyway.
This is one reason why I think the word "Islamophobia" should not be used. I know that Antifrank, a poster I much respect, disagreed because he felt that sometimes people did say horrible things about Muslims. And I agree that unnecessary impoliteness to people is unwarranted and uncivilised.
But "Islamophobia" is deliberately confusing attacks on people with attacks on a religion, on an idea - and we should refuse to allow that distinction to be muddied.
Islamophobia is a way of preventing any criticism at all of anything at all to do with Islam and it is particularly pushed by extremists and jihadists. Which is why we should have nothing to do with it.
As Maajid Nawaz put it so elegantly: "No idea above scrutiny. No people below dignity."
(Though on the latter I tend to the view that if people want dignity or respect, they need to show it and earn it.)