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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Could my 50/1 bet on Liz Kendall being the next Labour lead
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Could my 50/1 bet on Liz Kendall being the next Labour leader be a winner in the next few months?
Liz Kendall has emerged as a new challenger in a future Labour leadership battle, exacerbating Ed Miliband’s difficulties as party leader. Although some Labour figures have dismissed the rumours around the Leicester West MP as “the Blair Witch Project,” she is emerging as a favourite among Blairite MP.
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Would the unions get behind a Blairite?
Edit ..... damn it, make that 2nd.
"The most visible price in the economy is for petrol, displayed in big letters outside every service station. Petrol prices have come down from an average of 131p a litre to an average of 106p. To update a calculation I did in December, the fall is equivalent to a substantial tax cut. Had the chancellor achieved a 25p a litre cut in the price of petrol through duty reductions, it would have cost roughly £13bn. Add cuts in diesel and household gas tariffs, and the indirect effects of cheaper energy on other prices, and it is huge."
http://www.economicsuk.com/blog/002076.html#more
Imagine a GE with petrol prices in the 99p or less? Last tank filled at 103p.
Her price has been suspended at Ladbrokes, nice that a second after I got on at 20-1 for £25. I doubt she'll be being lengthened now there is the "Smithson" article on her.
@TSE has a Smithsonian delusion of a 50/1 winner.
John Major is the only Tory to have secured an overall majority in 27 years. Or put it this way: since 1970 two Labour leaders and two Tory ones have secured overall Commons majorities.
Tell 70,000 voters they work for a monster...
Lucy Powell really is without equal.
If he has, he hasn't mentioned it.
@PickardJE: Labour aide: "(Business) People should expect to face scrutiny if they make political attacks. We are going to push back if they attack us."
I hope the manufacturers of popcorn are exempt
"Some people criticise Labour for backing patient choice, saying what most people want is a good local hospital.
This is true. But what if your local hospital isn’t good?
A recent Freedom of Information request revealed that the number of patients who chose to go to Mid Staffordshire hospital through ‘Choose and Book’ fell from 15,700 in 2007/8 to 6,500 in 2012/13.
In other words, almost two thirds fewer patients chose to go to Mid Staffordshire in the space of 5 years.
Would anyone seriously want to have denied people this choice?"
From:http://web.archive.org/web/20131110145411/http://blogs.independent.co.uk/2013/02/13/labour-finds-its-voice-on-nhs-reform/
Liz Kendall is a star, and would get my vote!
You'd assume Labour would take a different direction if they lose in May but moving back towards a New Labour theme could really alienate the Labour grassroots and membership, especially if the country is presumably going through a second dose of Osborne austerity.
https://www.opendemocracy.net/ournhs/guddi-singh/boots-loots-what-has-happened-to-our-friendly-high-street-pharmacist
F1: testing notes.
Red Bull are secretly owned by zebras.
Reliability is generally excellent.
Ignore the headline times. With tyre variation, massive fuel tanks and so forth, there's endless statistical noise. Mood music is more reliable (NB teams are more honest about their rivals than themselves when it comes to pace).
Edited extra bit: McLaren unreliable, but it's a brand new engine, so that's par for the course.
O/T
Here's a link to a review which recently appeared in The Daily Telegraph of The Finborough Arms, Earls Court which is owned and run by Stonch (not "Stodge" as I mistakenly referred to him - apologies) :
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/foodanddrink/pubs/11362334/The-Finborough-Arms-London-pub-review.html
Charles is going to check it out, in a purely professional capacity of course for PB.com, as a possible venue for an overnight ticket-only venue on 7-8 May.
Here's hoping someone will run with this idea.
Extra bit - Should OGH give this event his endorsement, perhaps he could persuade one of those major bookies who benefit from what is effectively free advertisising on his site to divi up towards the refreshments. Who knows, the odd TV camera might even poke its lens through the front door during the course of the evening!
I think the betfair premium charge kicks in once you win what would be 250k pa for a couple of months
Absolute filth
Major secured his majority in 1992 - 23 years ago and three Conservative leaders have secured a majority since 1970 - Heath, Thatcher - 3 times and Major.
See my 4:24pm below.
In which case Kendall needs 20% of the PLP behind her just to mount a challenge.
The last successful challenge was in 1922, and that was a special case, being the first election for leader of the Labour Party.
You don't really want to be facing an election in 4 months, as an opposition leader, with lots of chatter going on about who might be good to replace you.
1. The Blairites/New Labour
2. Old Labour – but not hard left. Brown/Balls etc
3. Ed Miliband’s young red turks – the Guardianistas
4. Hard Left – Unite (main donor)
Can anyone pull these disparate groups together?
Heath's majority lasted until Feb74 and Major didn't secure his majority until 1992 and thus wasn't able to secure a majority in years when he wasn't PM !!
Labour have wasted the last 5 years making no serious effort to work out what they are for in the modern world where the answer to everything is not more public spending. I sincerely hope for all our sakes they get another 5 years to have another go after May untroubled by the burdens of government. They need a new generation of leadership not poisoned by the flaws of the last government. Kendall could and probably will play a part in that but not as top dog.
We get it.
Not someone to be messed with.
Reports from our correspondent on the ground in Broxtowe have not indicated any major dissatisfaction.
Only widespread delight at the Second Coming.
Having “weaponised” the NHS, Mr Miliband then – choose your metaphor – had it blow up in his face, or shot himself in the foot, or fired a succession of blanks. By the end of the week, Labour’s ace vote-winning issue had become one more grotesquely embarrassing morass of internecine warfare, contradictory statements, ill-thought-out policy and, finally, unconvincing denials that the whole initiative had gone horribly wrong
And that's one of the nicer critiques today of the dud and his weaponisation of the NHS.
As it is, her saloon bar boor critique entirely misses the point which is that Miliband could and should have said nothing about the NHS because it was already moving Labour's way with lengthening queues, crowded A&Es and a shortage of GPs. That's what the bloody idiots running Labour's campaign (and writing for the Telegraph) got wrong.
One of our posters (maybe previous thread) listed all the no go areas for Labour to talk about, it was a very long list. Many of them created by incoherent thinking through all the aspects before opening their mouths. They were too keen to oppose right at the start before first doing the hard work of re-assessing their policies. Much as Gordon Brown plotted to become Labour Leader & PM and then had no clear plan wheat he was going to do when he was in the job. EM plotted the Fratricide but not what happened next.
INSTEAD OF THROWING STONES AT GLASS HOUSES.
WHY DONT YOU BECOME AN MP YOURSELF.
CLEARLY YOUR AMAZING AND HAVE EVERY SOLUTION TO THE PROBLEMS WE FACE.
OR IS HIDING BEHIND YOUR COMPUTER JUST SO ATTRACTIVE
No , The NHS is just being added to the very long list of things of which Labour dare not speak. It leaves them with nothing to say and they are even saying that far too loudly.
Me: who you voting for
83 year old mum: #UKIP
Me: but mum you've voted labour for 60 years
83 year old mum: exactly
@UKLabour @UKIP
Labour are losing it.
That is why I plan to be this country's first directly elected Dictator perpetuo.
I shall follow in the glorious and illustrious steps of Julius Caesar, the greatest military strategist and tactician, politician the world has ever known.
My first act will be to impose public floggings for those who don't know the difference between you are, and your, or countries and country's
Most almost certainly won't have done so, but the idea one cannot comment, even with what is often undue certainty and faux-authoritativeness, without having done so (that is, being personally involved in what one is criticising), is one of the most ridiculous arguments I have ever seen in my life, one with profound implications for almost all facets of human endeavour.
No need to shout by the way it echoes quite badly you know.
*would no/know earn a flogging>
Admittedly Liz Kendall doesn't get on my nerves as much as that vapid lightweight Chuka (the other mentioned Progress faction leadership candidate), but she would be a disaster for the party and would repeat all the mistakes that have constantly been made in the past 8 years. She's constantly spouting all this thinktankese gobbledygook about "people-powered public services" which means absolutely nothing to anything outside of the Westminster bubble.
[In my defence, mistakes do happen in 102,000 words or so].
I would only anticipate a leadership challenge when Ed M steps down.
I began posting a year after the Site started and in the time since have known periods when both Labour and , incredibly, the LibDems have been overrepresented. The only group that, curiously, has always been chronically underrepresented has been ScotsLabs. Absolutely no idea why.
Anyway, plus ca change and all that.
If Rome had been able to return to its early, slightly mental, republican patriotism it might never have fallen. That said, a lot of its inherent weakness must be blamed on Augustus for allowing rule by the sword to become the method of imperial accession.
3.5
"Liz Kendall next Labour leader"
Why don't you have it as a double with BenM chancellor of the exchequer?