politicalbetting
Home› General

Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. Sign in or register to get started.

Sign In Register

Categories

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » So far at least the post-IndyRef SNP surge has barely been

1235»

Comments

  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    More Balls from Labour on that Mansion Tax.

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-30896974
  • Sunil_PrasannanSunil_Prasannan Posts: 52,123
    Were ICM the Gold Standard at GE2010?
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    Well... Dave is gone for sure on those numbers. Quite how we get a Government is another matter.

    Yep. quite depressing really.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,963
    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    Were ICM the Gold Standard at GE2010?

    No.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,538

    There was a time when one of the house effects of ICM was to give better scores for the Conservatives than the rest, and correspondingly lower scores for UKIP. That seems to have gone now, as the Conservatives haven't polled well with ICM for months - despite the fact that ICM gives lower scores to UKIP than most pollsters do. A combined score of 41% for Conservatives and UKIP is way below the average of c.47%.

  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983
    Pulpstar said:

    shadsy said:

    Here's how the election result would look if the current favourite wins in each of Ladbrokes' constituency markets.

    296 Lab
    273 Cons
    31 LD
    22 SNP
    5 UKIP
    3 PC
    1 Green
    1 Speaker
    18 NI

    http://politicalbookie.com/2015/01/20/the-ladbrokes-election-forecast/

    Well... Dave is gone for sure on those numbers. Quite how we get a Government is another matter.
    Lab + Con would have a stonking majority and a lot of common ground on policy to work on.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Pulpstar said:

    shadsy said:

    Here's how the election result would look if the current favourite wins in each of Ladbrokes' constituency markets.

    296 Lab
    273 Cons
    31 LD
    22 SNP
    5 UKIP
    3 PC
    1 Green
    1 Speaker
    18 NI

    http://politicalbookie.com/2015/01/20/the-ladbrokes-election-forecast/

    Well... Dave is gone for sure on those numbers. Quite how we get a Government is another matter.
    Looks like a Labour minority to me on those numbers. They don't have the numbers to demand Nick Clegg's head (they have no stable Option B that gets them an overall majority) and without that I can't see them selling the idea of a coalition with the Lib Dems to the party rank and file.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Pulpstar said:

    shadsy said:

    Here's how the election result would look if the current favourite wins in each of Ladbrokes' constituency markets.

    296 Lab
    273 Cons
    31 LD
    22 SNP
    5 UKIP
    3 PC
    1 Green
    1 Speaker
    18 NI

    http://politicalbookie.com/2015/01/20/the-ladbrokes-election-forecast/

    Well... Dave is gone for sure on those numbers. Quite how we get a Government is another matter.
    A LabLib coalition surely?
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,410
    shadsy said:

    Here's how the election result would look if the current favourite wins in each of Ladbrokes' constituency markets.

    296 Lab
    273 Cons
    31 LD
    22 SNP
    5 UKIP
    3 PC
    1 Green
    1 Speaker
    18 NI

    http://politicalbookie.com/2015/01/20/the-ladbrokes-election-forecast/

    SNP 22 contradicts your SNP seat band market (Which you note)

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,963
    New Thread
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,712
    Pulpstar said:

    shadsy said:

    Here's how the election result would look if the current favourite wins in each of Ladbrokes' constituency markets.

    296 Lab
    273 Cons
    31 LD
    22 SNP
    5 UKIP
    3 PC
    1 Green
    1 Speaker
    18 NI

    http://politicalbookie.com/2015/01/20/the-ladbrokes-election-forecast/

    Well... Dave is gone for sure on those numbers. Quite how we get a Government is another matter.
    Lab/LD/SDLP?
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    "If you show disrespect for others' core values then you are going to provoke an angry response.

    So you shouldn;t show disrespect for the 'core values' of Maoists? We shouldn't offend the Khmer Rouge? Boko Haram? Britain First?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,538
    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    Were ICM the Gold Standard at GE2010?

    It was an Indian polling company which came closest.

  • JohnOJohnO Posts: 4,291
    Sean_F said:

    Sunil_Prasannan said:

    Were ICM the Gold Standard at GE2010?

    It was an Indian polling company which came closest.

    Bloody immigrants taking away all our sub-samples.
  • DairDair Posts: 6,108
    TheScreamingEagles said:

    I still love this Yes Prime Minister scene on who reads the papers

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DGscoaUWW2M

    "The Daily Telegraph is read by people who think that someone else runs the country". Plus ca change...
  • FlightpathFlightpath Posts: 4,012
    taffys said:

    "If you show disrespect for others' core values then you are going to provoke an angry response.

    So you shouldn;t show disrespect for the 'core values' of Maoists? We shouldn't offend the Khmer Rouge? Boko Haram? Britain First?

    Absurd. A facile Aunt Sally. You are talking about terrorists and by doing so you are effectively claiming that all muslims are terrorists.
    Its a pathetic excuse for an argument. But what is really pathetic is that the interweb encourages this gibberish and that this kind of argument is paraded on a supposedly sensible website must be profoundly depressing.
This discussion has been closed.