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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Dave’s approach to leaders’ debates gets the thumbs down fr

SystemSystem Posts: 11,704
edited January 2015 in General

politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Dave’s approach to leaders’ debates gets the thumbs down from the ComRes sample

Isn’t the leaders’ debate issue just a concern that gets those within the “bubble” excited but few others? Will it really swing many votes?

Read the full story here


Comments

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    MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    First? :)
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    bondegezoubondegezou Posts: 7,840
    It's interesting looking at the cross-tabs in the ComRes poll. UKIP voters are least keen on including other parties, LibDem voters keenest on including the Greens. Tories keenest on including UKIP. Unlike their leaders, the parties' supporters want to include smaller parties closest to their views rather than seeing them as competition.
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    MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    The anti-semitic L/D's raise their ugly heads again and Israel protests to Clegg:

    http://order-order.com/2015/01/13/israeli-ambassador-demands-clegg-action-against-david-ward/
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    isamisam Posts: 41,002
    Girl mates of mine who think politics is for stiffs and are simply not interested were glued to the debates last time, and facebook, similarly apathetic to politics, was talking about little else

    It's not the bubble talking, the public loved the debates and will expect them this time.. if Cameron puts the kybosh on them he will be less popular because of it

    Mind you, the people I am talking about might not vote I suppose
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    Or read another way daves approach to leaders debates gets the thumbs up from comres sample as they want the Greens in the debates by 50% to 24%
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    By 43% to 33% voters also say the debates should not go ahead without the Greens, Cameron's exact position
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    isamisam Posts: 41,002
    Who is Dan Hannan's political hero by the way?
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    MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053

    We need the money in UK charity starts at home vote UKIP GE2015 pic.twitter.com/zQpA4USiCo

    — fronteratech (@fronteratech) January 13, 2015
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    ydoethurydoethur Posts: 67,401
    isam said:

    Who is Dan Hannan's political hero by the way?

    Dan Hannan?
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    RogerRoger Posts: 18,900
    MikeK

    "The anti-semitic L/D's raise their ugly heads again and Israel protests to Clegg:

    http://order-order.com/2015/01/13/israeli-ambassador-demands-clegg-action-against-david-ward/ "

    I think there are many more than David Ward who would think long and hard before agreeing to stand next to Netanyahu on a 'solidarity' march against butchery.
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    TCPoliticalBettingTCPoliticalBetting Posts: 10,819
    edited January 2015
    MikeK said:

    The anti-semitic L/D's raise their ugly heads again and Israel protests to Clegg:

    http://order-order.com/2015/01/13/israeli-ambassador-demands-clegg-action-against-david-ward/

    Amazing at how the LDs jump up and point fingers at the slightest anti-foreigner statement from other parties yet retain the anti-jew Ward as their representative. I guess its the same as tolerating Rennard's antics?
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    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    isam said:

    Girl mates of mine who think politics is for stiffs and are simply not interested were glued to the debates last time, and facebook, similarly apathetic to politics, was talking about little else

    It's not the bubble talking, the public loved the debates and will expect them this time.. if Cameron puts the kybosh on them he will be less popular because of it

    Mind you, the people I am talking about might not vote I suppose

    They wont be this time last time it was a novel experience, they were crap and barely 10 million watched them. More people watch eastenders
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    MikeK said:

    The anti-semitic L/D's raise their ugly heads again and Israel protests to Clegg:

    http://order-order.com/2015/01/13/israeli-ambassador-demands-clegg-action-against-david-ward/

    It's a valid opinion. Dave's mate thinks the same...
    http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/1.636736
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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    Do Labour need to weaponise the debates?

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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    With the Greens joint second on today's 18-24 yougov poll if they are not in the debates it will be youth turnout hit most, so Dave can say he is doing his bit to 'rock the vote'
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    AndyJSAndyJS Posts: 29,395
    edited January 2015
    O/T:

    According to MurderMap there were just 82 homicides in London last year which is the lowest figure for many decades, and is less than 1 per 100,000 people giveń that the capital's population is about 8.5 million.

    Unfortunately 2015 has got off to a bad start with 10 murders in the first 9 days:

    http://www.murdermap.co.uk/investigate.asp
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    MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053

    PETA pic.twitter.com/gc3a4S1E8n

    — ⓐⓝⓝ-ⓜⓐⓡⓘⓔ (@Ann_Marie1) November 27, 2014
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    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    edited January 2015
    This Comres poll is bollox. Why pay attention to deliberately leading questions.???. I thought OGH knew better.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,983
    @casino royals (and others who responded)

    The reasons I have for characterising hannan as 'pro-immigration' are as follows:

    1) he signed the watchemacallit declaration
    The conservatives sit as part of the alliance of conservatives and reformists (or whatever they're calling it these days) and its associated pan-european political party was set up by hannan (from memory, he was its first secretary). A (sub?)set of those associated national parties and parliamentarians wrote and signed an associated declaration, whose full name I forget. That declaration declared (ouch!) that certain things should be upheld (a political credo, so to speak). One of them is freedom of movement. If you're willing to sign (and co-author) such a document, it may me not unreasonable to conclude that one just may be a teensy bit pro-immigration.

    2) read his telegraph blogs
    This needs a bit of ploughing through, but of you go thru his blogs you'll see that he used to mention the freedom of movement as one of the things underpinning his dreams of an"open, outward-looking" future for the Uk. Then over the past eighteen months (as migration became more salient) he began to leave it out. It was about the same time he started talking about 'controlled migration', which (as I pointed out to Socrates) is a euphemism that allows pro-migration people to decieve anti-immigration voters

    3) ask him
    It's simple. Ask him what the net inward migration will be under a conservative non-coalition government. I'll take a maximum or average, per year or in total, butut it has to be a number. If he starts twittering about "controlled migration" or simply refuses to give a number...well, you know I'm right...:-)

    (Normally I try to give chapter and verse, but I'm on a ruddy train doing this via a smartphone, so I'm a bit limited. Please forgive spelling mistakes and absent capitalisation)
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091

    isam said:

    Girl mates of mine who think politics is for stiffs and are simply not interested were glued to the debates last time, and facebook, similarly apathetic to politics, was talking about little else

    It's not the bubble talking, the public loved the debates and will expect them this time.. if Cameron puts the kybosh on them he will be less popular because of it

    Mind you, the people I am talking about might not vote I suppose

    They wont be this time last time it was a novel experience, they were crap and barely 10 million watched them. More people watch eastenders
    "Barely 10 million"? This is an age when far less than that watch any normal poltiical programmes, or read newspapers. I'm fairly sure turnout would've been a fair bit lower last time without the debates, they definitely pulled in people who otherwise wouldn'tve given a damn about the election.

    I also don't really understand the arguments people make about the debates "trivialising" politics (making it an "X Factor style contest" or whatever). They might not be perfect, but surely they're a damnsight more substantive than the endless parade of photo opportunities in supermarkets and kissing babies that we'll get otherwise?
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    Roger said:

    MikeK

    "The anti-semitic L/D's raise their ugly heads again and Israel protests to Clegg:

    http://order-order.com/2015/01/13/israeli-ambassador-demands-clegg-action-against-david-ward/ "

    I think there are many more than David Ward who would think long and hard before agreeing to stand next to Netanyahu on a 'solidarity' march against butchery.

    Vegetarians ?
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763


    Do Labour need to weaponise the debates?

    They need to weaponise Ed. A rocket up his arse might help.
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    RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737

    MikeK said:

    The anti-semitic L/D's raise their ugly heads again and Israel protests to Clegg:

    http://order-order.com/2015/01/13/israeli-ambassador-demands-clegg-action-against-david-ward/

    Amazing at how the LDs jump up and point fingers at the slightest anti-foreigner statement from other parties yet retain the anti-jew Ward as their representative. I guess its the same as tolerating Rennard's antics?
    The witch-hunt against Rennard collapsed [as I predicted]. The one against Ward will fare no better.

    A foreign government trying to interfere with the freedom of speech of one of our MPs?

    KISS MY A***
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,659

    isam said:

    Girl mates of mine who think politics is for stiffs and are simply not interested were glued to the debates last time, and facebook, similarly apathetic to politics, was talking about little else

    It's not the bubble talking, the public loved the debates and will expect them this time.. if Cameron puts the kybosh on them he will be less popular because of it

    Mind you, the people I am talking about might not vote I suppose

    They wont be this time last time it was a novel experience, they were crap and barely 10 million watched them. More people watch eastenders
    Barely ten million? That's a phenomenal number. How many read election leaflets, or watch a party political broadcast? How many see a political interview on TV? Barely ten million votes for the party that won for Pete's sake. That's serious viewing for a 90-minute raw political debate.

    This poll show should conclusive evidence that the public both want the debates, 67% is a very clear message, and expect them to take place.

    Barely ten million. Pfft.
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    MikeKMikeK Posts: 9,053
    RodCrosby said:

    MikeK said:

    The anti-semitic L/D's raise their ugly heads again and Israel protests to Clegg:

    http://order-order.com/2015/01/13/israeli-ambassador-demands-clegg-action-against-david-ward/

    It's a valid opinion. Dave's mate thinks the same...
    http://www.haaretz.com/news/diplomacy-defense/1.636736
    I wonder if you'd be so blase´ if thousands of rockets, mortars etc, were falling on your country?
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    SquareRootSquareRoot Posts: 7,095
    edited January 2015
    Danny565 said:

    isam said:

    Girl mates of mine who think politics is for stiffs and are simply not interested were glued to the debates last time, and facebook, similarly apathetic to politics, was talking about little else

    It's not the bubble talking, the public loved the debates and will expect them this time.. if Cameron puts the kybosh on them he will be less popular because of it

    Mind you, the people I am talking about might not vote I suppose

    They wont be this time last time it was a novel experience, they were crap and barely 10 million watched them. More people watch eastenders
    "Barely 10 million"? This is an age when far less than that watch any normal poltiical programmes, or read newspapers. I'm fairly sure turnout would've been a fair bit lower last time without the debates, they definitely pulled in people who otherwise wouldn'tve given a damn about the election.

    I also don't really understand the arguments people make about the debates "trivialising" politics (making it an "X Factor style contest" or whatever). They might not be perfect, but surely they're a damnsight more substantive than the endless parade of photo opportunities in supermarkets and kissing babies that we'll get otherwise?
    You watch them mate, count me out .. three of them jeeez... Were they really substantive.. did we REALLY learn anything.. that changed a lot of votes??
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453

    They need to weaponise Ed. A rocket up his arse might help.

    Like this...

    @JohnRentoul: Adams in the Telegraph http://t.co/aXkuz2Vxzc
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    Scott_P said:

    They need to weaponise Ed. A rocket up his arse might help.

    Like this...

    @JohnRentoul: Adams in the Telegraph http://t.co/aXkuz2Vxzc
    Ed obviously confusing his arse and his elbow.
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    felixfelix Posts: 15,125
    Even by CR's usual standards the questions are ridiculously leading - I'm surprised OGH has failed to spot it on this occasion - NOT.
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    BarnesianBarnesian Posts: 8,006
    HYUFD said:

    By 43% to 33% voters also say the debates should not go ahead without the Greens, Cameron's exact position

    Not his exact position.

    TThe 43% may well include people who think "the debates should not go ahead without the Greens but if Cameron doesn't want to join in, then empty chair him."
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    RogerRoger Posts: 18,900
    edited January 2015
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    AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 23,763
    Roger said:
    when in doubt reach for a cornichon.
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    Scott_PScott_P Posts: 51,453
    @Sun_Politics: Labour mocked for saying they'd pay off £91.3billion deficit by 'hiking gun licence charges' http://t.co/p0OniTXQOl
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    isamisam Posts: 41,002
    edited January 2015

    isam said:

    Girl mates of mine who think politics is for stiffs and are simply not interested were glued to the debates last time, and facebook, similarly apathetic to politics, was talking about little else

    It's not the bubble talking, the public loved the debates and will expect them this time.. if Cameron puts the kybosh on them he will be less popular because of it

    Mind you, the people I am talking about might not vote I suppose

    They wont be this time last time it was a novel experience, they were crap and barely 10 million watched them. More people watch eastenders
    More people watch one of the most popular shows in tv history?
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    HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 117,167
    Barnesian If they do not want the debates to go ahead without the Greens, there would be no debate to empty chair
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    RogerRoger Posts: 18,900
    Alanbrooke

    "when in doubt reach for a cornichon."


    I had to reach for a dictionary
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,659
    Danny565 said:

    isam said:

    Girl mates of mine who think politics is for stiffs and are simply not interested were glued to the debates last time, and facebook, similarly apathetic to politics, was talking about little else

    It's not the bubble talking, the public loved the debates and will expect them this time.. if Cameron puts the kybosh on them he will be less popular because of it

    Mind you, the people I am talking about might not vote I suppose

    They wont be this time last time it was a novel experience, they were crap and barely 10 million watched them. More people watch eastenders
    "Barely 10 million"? This is an age when far less than that watch any normal poltiical programmes, or read newspapers. I'm fairly sure turnout would've been a fair bit lower last time without the debates, they definitely pulled in people who otherwise wouldn'tve given a damn about the election.

    I also don't really understand the arguments people make about the debates "trivialising" politics (making it an "X Factor style contest" or whatever). They might not be perfect, but surely they're a damnsight more substantive than the endless parade of photo opportunities in supermarkets and kissing babies that we'll get otherwise?
    Think that counts as a jinx.
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    Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited January 2015

    Danny565 said:

    isam said:

    Girl mates of mine who think politics is for stiffs and are simply not interested were glued to the debates last time, and facebook, similarly apathetic to politics, was talking about little else

    It's not the bubble talking, the public loved the debates and will expect them this time.. if Cameron puts the kybosh on them he will be less popular because of it

    Mind you, the people I am talking about might not vote I suppose

    They wont be this time last time it was a novel experience, they were crap and barely 10 million watched them. More people watch eastenders
    "Barely 10 million"? This is an age when far less than that watch any normal poltiical programmes, or read newspapers. I'm fairly sure turnout would've been a fair bit lower last time without the debates, they definitely pulled in people who otherwise wouldn'tve given a damn about the election.

    I also don't really understand the arguments people make about the debates "trivialising" politics (making it an "X Factor style contest" or whatever). They might not be perfect, but surely they're a damnsight more substantive than the endless parade of photo opportunities in supermarkets and kissing babies that we'll get otherwise?
    Think that counts as a jinx.
    I don't follow?!
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    john_zimsjohn_zims Posts: 3,399
    @TCPoliticalBetting

    'Amazing at how the LDs jump up and point fingers at the slightest anti-foreigner statement from other parties yet retain the anti-jew Ward as their representative. I guess its the same as tolerating Rennard's antics?'


    Yes,great at lecturing us with with their platitudes,can't understand why Clegg is so frit of Ward & Rennard.



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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,983
    If memory serves, the audience figures for x-factor, doctor who, and EastEnders are now well under 10 million. Viewing patterns have changed enormously over the past ten years
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    MarkHopkinsMarkHopkins Posts: 5,584

    new thread: Marf

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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,983
    (If those viewing figures are wrong, or are wrong if you take iPlayer repeat viewings into account, I apologise)
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    Casino_RoyaleCasino_Royale Posts: 55,659
    viewcode said:

    @casino royals (and others who responded)

    The reasons I have for characterising hannan as 'pro-immigration' are as follows:

    1) he signed the watchemacallit declaration
    The conservatives sit as part of the alliance of conservatives and reformists (or whatever they're calling it these days) and its associated pan-european political party was set up by hannan (from memory, he was its first secretary). A (sub?)set of those associated national parties and parliamentarians wrote and signed an associated declaration, whose full name I forget. That declaration declared (ouch!) that certain things should be upheld (a political credo, so to speak). One of them is freedom of movement. If you're willing to sign (and co-author) such a document, it may me not unreasonable to conclude that one just may be a teensy bit pro-immigration.

    2) read his telegraph blogs
    This needs a bit of ploughing through, but of you go thru his blogs you'll see that he used to mention the freedom of movement as one of the things underpinning his dreams of an"open, outward-looking" future for the Uk. Then over the past eighteen months (as migration became more salient) he began to leave it out. It was about the same time he started talking about 'controlled migration', which (as I pointed out to Socrates) is a euphemism that allows pro-migration people to decieve anti-immigration voters

    3) ask him
    It's simple. Ask him what the net inward migration will be under a conservative non-coalition government. I'll take a maximum or average, per year or in total, butut it has to be a number. If he starts twittering about "controlled migration" or simply refuses to give a number...well, you know I'm right...:-)

    (Normally I try to give chapter and verse, but I'm on a ruddy train doing this via a smartphone, so I'm a bit limited. Please forgive spelling mistakes and absent capitalisation)

    So, a lot of assumptions and unsubstantiated inferences then:

    1) Hannan is a BOO'er, and does not sign up to freedom of movement
    2) I have. They make the case for controlled immigration with numerical limits
    3) I have, in person. He's never described himself as wanting anything but controlled, managed immigration at sensible levels.

    Incidentally, for your reference, he's on the record as saying pretty much the only reason he's still in the Tories and not UKIP is because of the pledge on an in-out EU referendum.
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    16661666 Posts: 72
    Is the Green party a national party or not ? If it is then it is entitled to participate in the debate.
    Cameron is right whatever his motive may be.
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    viewcodeviewcode Posts: 18,983
    edited January 2015
    @casino royale

    As I pointed out to Socrates, controlled migration (or complexitiestthereof, like "controlled, managed migration within nnumeric limits") are euphemisms that allow pro emigration politicians to decieve anti-immigration voters

    So I'll ask again: what (in hannans view) will be the net inward migration in a conservative non-coalition government? Even Cameron had the stones to give a number
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    16661666 Posts: 72
    I cannot understand why people do not keep to the point
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    audreyanneaudreyanne Posts: 1,376
    Haha I love how leading the first 'coward' question is.

    Voodoo poll. Two words. Scrap. Heap.
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    perdixperdix Posts: 1,806

    Haha I love how leading the first 'coward' question is.

    Voodoo poll. Two words. Scrap. Heap.

    Agreed. Who "sponsored" the poll? Usually gives a good indication about which org wants the result.

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    perdixperdix Posts: 1,806
    SeanT said:

    Cameron is a coward and should debate. The Debates are good for politics. At a time of mass political disengagement, NOT having debates is just depressing and retarded.

    Imagine someone saying: Oh let's not have cameras in the Commons, especially for PMQs, they just trivialise. They'd be laughed to scorn, as should this idea.

    Cameron is a passing phenomenon, in ten years time he will be a political footnote, TV and online engagement is the future - if politics is to mean anything to a bored, irritated and frustrated public.

    Oh, and, btw, the recent viewing figures for Eastenders? - average between 7-8m.

    http://www.digitalspy.co.uk/soaps/soapratings/

    So live electoral politics is more popular than one of our most popular TV soaps. The Debates are probably THE way to get electors involved. Yet Tories would nix this, for narrow and temporary partisan advantage?

    Pah.

    The TV debates are a circus. Pushed by the TV cos for viewer bait.

    Farage will be a footnote in history .

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    SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    viewcode said:

    @casino royale

    As I pointed out to Socrates, controlled migration (or complexitiestthereof, like "controlled, managed migration within nnumeric limits") are euphemisms that allow pro emigration politicians to decieve anti-immigration voters

    So I'll ask again: what (in hannans view) will be the net inward migration in a conservative non-coalition government? Even Cameron had the stones to give a number

    What manichean nonsense. The vast majority of this country realises there is positive immigration and negative immigration. It's only the imbecilic Labour party that believes all immigration is good, even if it's homeless Romanians or Bengali peasants.
This discussion has been closed.