5.1.15 LAB 322 (320) CON 259(263) LD 32(31) UKIP 1(1) Others 36(35) (Ed is crap is PM) Last BJESUS in brackets Last weeks BJESUS in brackets BJESUS (Big John Election Service Uniform Swing) BJESUS (Big John Election Service Uniform Swing) Using current polling adjusted for 121 days left to go factor and using UKPR standard swingometer
Yeh but, has BJESUS got Brokeback Mountain derivitives like my Lambert and Butler model?
The Tories will be pulling away in the polls after the budget.....err in August....err after the Autumn Statement....err in November.....err in January.....err...
No, you see, when people actually see Ed M in the final 4 weeks, suddenly Labour's lead will evaporate even further and the Tories will surge (both are required for a Tory win, let us not forget) because...because...because he's crap. Yeah, that's it. Enough to hang all the hopes of a campaign on, right?
True kle4,that would be Ed the Crap who's party has been in front for most of the polling that has taken place since he has been leader of the party who is going against two of the biggest political master genius in UK history, Dave and Gideon who have been ...err.....behind Ed the Crap for most of the polling that has taken place since Ed the Crap has been leader.....strange world, eh.
The England Tax could do to Labour in England what the Poll Tax did for the Tories in Scotland. This is madness from Labour. The likes of Cruddas and Field - and the other Labour MPs in working-class constituencies - must be holding their heads.
1. It's a puzzle. Fewer people seem to want majority governments with the "Big Two" yet when they had the chance to vote for AV over FPTP they over-overwhelmingly wanted to keep the system that only really works with a duopoly. Who can explain this paradox?
2. Ed's problem is that he sounds like sixth form smart arse nitpicking over the minutia of policy. People tune out.
3. Ed couldn't "enthuse" ...
4. Boy George Strikes Again
5. Dream on.
6. I'm surprised the parties waste their money on posters to be honest. Would be better investing in mail drops and "viral" internet ad's.
7. Left, right, center. It's all nonsense. The REAL way to tap into the electorate in these anti-politics times is to be an "outsider" trying to tear up consensuses. That makes it hard for the sitting government, but the best Prime Ministers are at their best when they appear to be "above the fray". Maggie often appeared to be as did Tony.
8. I'd like an autumn election just to see what it's like to be voting in October.
9. How many years will Labour be out of power for from 2020 if they decide to rule over England with the SNP? On the plus side, Miliband and Salmond would be a marriage made in hell so that would be fun.
Incredible. News of the England Tax has actually gone mainstream. And a few hours ago we speculating on here that it was just an implausible SNP spoof. Ed needs to stamp on this pronto or he'll lose England as well as Scotland.
It's gone viral. Just seen people come running out from the local pub screaming it from the top of their voices.
@BBCNewsnight: Gove: Alistair Darling affecting to be careful steward of nation when he was really a libertine posing as advocate of celibacy #newsnight
Apparently Jim Murphy was just on telly and used the 'funding Scottish nurses with taxes on the English' line. SLab are dead. I honestly might add to my 0-5 seats position and may take a stand against Murphy in Renfrewshire East.
The Tories will be pulling away in the polls after the budget.....err in August....err after the Autumn Statement....err in November.....err in January.....err...
No, you see, when people actually see Ed M in the final 4 weeks, suddenly Labour's lead will evaporate even further and the Tories will surge (both are required for a Tory win, let us not forget) because...because...because he's crap. Yeah, that's it. Enough to hang all the hopes of a campaign on, right?
True kle4,that would be Ed the Crap who's party has been in front for most of the polling that has taken place since he has been leader of the party who is going against two of the biggest political master genius in UK history, Dave and Gideon who have been ...err.....behind Ed the Crap for most of the polling that has taken place since Ed the Crap has been leader.....strange world, eh.
Hmm, I've got two forum bets and I can't remember the details of either. One was with Audrey, £10 on her prediction that the Tories would lead by - what was it, 8%? The other with ??? about Salmond winning, at long odds.
Incredible. News of the England Tax has actually gone mainstream. And a few hours ago we speculating on here that it was just an implausible SNP spoof. Ed needs to stamp on this pronto or he'll lose England as well as Scotland.
It's gone viral. Just seen people come running out from the local pub screaming it from the top of their voices.
@jimmurphymp: We will fund #1000Nurses using money Scotland gets from mansion tax across UK. 95% will be levied in South East of UK"
You'd expect a clanger like that to be dropped during the campaign, but not on day bloody one, and Murphy's meant to be one of the smarter Labour politicians.
It doesn't matter what the nuance of the issue is, it's going to be translated by the press into "higher taxes in England to prop up Labour's fading support in Scotland".
Incredible. News of the England Tax has actually gone mainstream. And a few hours ago we speculating on here that it was just an implausible SNP spoof. Ed needs to stamp on this pronto or he'll lose England as well as Scotland.
It's gone viral. Just seen people come running out from the local pub screaming it from the top of their voices.
1. It's a puzzle. Fewer people seem to want majority governments with the "Big Two" yet when they had the chance to vote for AV over FPTP they over-overwhelmingly wanted to keep the system that only really works with a duopoly. Who can explain this paradox?
AV is any duopoly's dream. The parties were the stupid ones, in not backing it.
When the wheels finally fall off FPTP, all that remains as an option is PR...
Incredible. News of the England Tax has actually gone mainstream. And a few hours ago we speculating on here that it was just an implausible SNP spoof. Ed needs to stamp on this pronto or he'll lose England as well as Scotland.
It's gone viral. Just seen people come running out from the local pub screaming it from the top of their voices.
Come on, I saw that - they were screaming with laughter.
Incredible. News of the England Tax has actually gone mainstream. And a few hours ago we speculating on here that it was just an implausible SNP spoof. Ed needs to stamp on this pronto or he'll lose England as well as Scotland.
It's gone viral. Just seen people come running out from the local pub screaming it from the top of their voices.
Come on, I saw that - they were screaming with laughter.
1. It's a puzzle. Fewer people seem to want majority governments with the "Big Two" yet when they had the chance to vote for AV over FPTP they over-overwhelmingly wanted to keep the system that only really works with a duopoly. Who can explain this paradox?
6. I'm surprised the parties waste their money on posters to be honest. Would be better investing in mail drops and "viral" internet ad's.
7. Left, right, center. It's all nonsense. The REAL way to tap into the electorate in these anti-politics times is to be an "outsider" trying to tear up consensuses.
9. How many years will Labour be out of power for from 2020 if they decide to rule over England with the SNP?
1. People like the idea in the abstract, but when push comes to shove they don't want to risk the one they hate the most getting in because people are wishy washy about which side to support, so they are immediately suspicious of compromise or joint working from the parties, even if they say they want them to do so.
6. Total waste of money indeed. They will immediately be mocked or debunked, and ruin some poor graphic designers career probably. Why bother?
7. It certainly helps.
9. Labour won't care. They will naturally assume, as the Tories did in 2010, that they will be able to figure something out to prevent any blowback in 5 years. Pyrrhic victory's are not to be feared in politics; after all, when you win, it will be different.
@jimmurphymp: We will fund #1000Nurses using money Scotland gets from mansion tax across UK. 95% will be levied in South East of UK"
Labour could well have just forfeited every seat they hold west of the Isle of Wight and south of the Wash. They appear to be undertaking a kind of scorched-earth tactic - anything can be abandoned as long as Scotland is saved.
Incredible. News of the England Tax has actually gone mainstream. And a few hours ago we speculating on here that it was just an implausible SNP spoof. Ed needs to stamp on this pronto or he'll lose England as well as Scotland.
It is impossible to describe how stupid this is by SLab/Murphy.
Nhs is devolved so this election can do jack shit for Scottish nursing levels Entire policy plays to stereotype of Scotland being too poor to look after itself (harking back to the 2005 slogan- break up Britain Scotland goes broke. That slogan is what started SLab's decline) It creates a massive stick to beat ELab with. Like a massive huge stick.
1. It's a puzzle. Fewer people seem to want majority governments with the "Big Two" yet when they had the chance to vote for AV over FPTP they over-overwhelmingly wanted to keep the system that only really works with a duopoly. Who can explain this paradox?
AV is any duopoly's dream. The parties were the stupid ones, in not backing it.
When the wheels finally fall off FPTP, all that remains as an option is PR...
Cameron's supposed referendum brilliance will lose its shine pretty quick if we end up with PR.
Ah Mr GIN - I remember voting in October. Those were the days. The tory PM could actually shoot on the grouse moor in those days. And you could have a Labour leader who had introduced prescription charges. One might also add, ''Don't Let Labour Ruin It''
@jimmurphymp: We will fund #1000Nurses using money Scotland gets from mansion tax across UK. 95% will be levied in South East of UK"
You'd expect a clanger like that to be dropped during the campaign, but not on day bloody one, and Murphy's meant to be one of the smarter Labour politicians.
It doesn't matter what the nuance of the issue is, it's going to be translated by the press into "higher taxes in England to prop up Labour's fading support in Scotland".
Murphy is looking out for Murphy, but he's fallen back to the paternalistic bullshit that the people of Scotland have rejected at the last two Holyrood elections. The question is: will this coming election run alonng Holyrood lines?
1. It's a puzzle. Fewer people seem to want majority governments with the "Big Two" yet when they had the chance to vote for AV over FPTP they over-overwhelmingly wanted to keep the system that only really works with a duopoly. Who can explain this paradox?
AV is any duopoly's dream. The parties were the stupid ones, in not backing it.
When the wheels finally fall off FPTP, all that remains as an option is PR...
Cameron's supposed referendum brilliance will lose its shine pretty quick if we end up with PR.
SNP, LDs, Greens, UKIP et al should state in advance they will refuse to put any party into power which doesn't enact immediate electoral reform...
@jimmurphymp: We will fund #1000Nurses using money Scotland gets from mansion tax across UK. 95% will be levied in South East of UK"
Labour could well have just forfeited every seat they hold west of the Isle of Wight and south of the Wash. They appear to be undertaking a kind of scorched-earth tactic - anything can be abandoned as long as Scotland is saved.
Why?
Dont they want people in mansions to fund 18000 extra nurses in England in your opinion.
Mansion Tax funds 20000 extra nurse 18000 in England 1000 in Wales and shock horror 1000 in Scotland
Popular policy IMO except in Myleenes and PB Tories little world
It depends how it ends up being perceived (and in any case is early enough in the campaign any impact will likely be over soon, assuming it gains any traction). It is no surprise that after having had to fight so hard to convince Scotland to stay in the Union when many in England already thought the Scots got a better deal than them, with the impression that yet more gifts were headed Scotland's way, that anything that might suggest England was paying more than is fair to bolster Scotland - ungrateful Scotland which is about to vote in masses of SNP MPs who will, undoubtedly, seek to arrange a new referendum at some point - has the potential to galvanise a significant number in England to oppose that policy.
As a supporter of the Union it is painful that there is so little affection and trust between the constituent parts, but I also cannot deny that the general impression of many, right or wrong, is that Scotland gets a better deal out of it than England. As such, whether or not a policy does favour Scotland over England or not, if it might be seen as doing so, that could be damaging.
I suspect the outrage will unravel, but it's not a bad strategy in the short term when there are so few other things for the Tories to attempt.
1. It's a puzzle. Fewer people seem to want majority governments with the "Big Two" yet when they had the chance to vote for AV over FPTP they over-overwhelmingly wanted to keep the system that only really works with a duopoly. Who can explain this paradox?
AV is any duopoly's dream. The parties were the stupid ones, in not backing it.
When the wheels finally fall off FPTP, all that remains as an option is PR...
Cameron's supposed referendum brilliance will lose its shine pretty quick if we end up with PR.
SNP, LDs, Greens, UKIP et al should state in advance they will refuse to put any party into power which doesn't enact immediate electoral reform...
In the fevered days after the last election I theorized a 6 month rainbow coalition whose sole aim was an emergency budget and an electoral reform bill before calling fresh elections
I can sense another PB earth shattering, general election turning moment in the air, again, yet another one.
Well it is no Osborne crying at a funeral or Dave shopping in Morrisons or riding a horse.
In the absense of swingback we have the PB monthly earth shattering,general election losing, craptastic Labour disaster,that swings the polls in a massive way.
Even in SE MT to pay for 20000 extra nurses is popular
But I thought the Mansion Tax was supposed to pay (along with half a dozen other things) for the rising demands on the NHS. Are you saying the entire lot will be blown on nurses?
Even in SE MT to pay for 20000 extra nurses is popular
But I thought the Mansion Tax was supposed to pay (along with half a dozen other things) for the rising demands on the NHS. Are you saying the entire lot will be blown on nurses?
@jimmurphymp: We will fund #1000Nurses using money Scotland gets from mansion tax across UK. 95% will be levied in South East of UK"
Labour could well have just forfeited every seat they hold west of the Isle of Wight and south of the Wash. They appear to be undertaking a kind of scorched-earth tactic - anything can be abandoned as long as Scotland is saved.
It will have as much effect ie zero as the last story that was going to damage Labour a couple of months ago . It was so earth shattering that I cant remember what it was all about now but pbtories were expecting a big impact in the polls at the time .
as it defines itself further, some conservatives who flirted with Ukip may find that it is not the clear Right-wing choice they once admired – but a party just as capable of opportunism as its rivals.
Well, quite. Which is why I think differential swingback from UKIP, i.e. a net benefit to the Conservatives (relative to where we are now), is likely.
SKY NEWS FLASH - Riots have broken out across South East England as mansion owners took to the streets to protest about extra nurses. Police have asked for plebs and other non-mansion owners to stay indoors for their own safety.
Well, I'm off to bed. When I wake up tomorrow the south of England could well be a Labour-free zone.
You are wrong.
Even in SE MT to pay for 20000 extra nurses is popular
I think a new MT is stupid, and I'm not living in one. A new tax is dumb. By all means introduce additional Council Tax bands and increase the annual fee for upper bands of Council Tax.
You can charge more for second homes as well if you like, say plus 50%
SKY NEWS FLASH - Riots have broken out across South East England as mansion owners took to the streets to protest about extra nurses. Police have asked for plebs and other non-mansion owners to stay indoors for their own safety.
Terrific mash-up of Kraftwerk's "Autobahn" and the Tory press conference by Newsnight.Worth a look on i-player. The Tories campaign images will now move on to the billboards of Britain,offering numerous opportunities for locals to test out their artistic capabilities.
as {UKIP] defines itself further, some conservatives who flirted with Ukip may find that it is not the clear Right-wing choice they once admired – but a party just as capable of opportunism as its rivals.
SKY NEWS FLASH - Riots have broken out across South East England as mansion owners took to the streets to protest about extra nurses. Police have asked for plebs and other non-mansion owners to stay indoors for their own safety.
PB Tories really are in denial tonight arent they
Labour supporters seem to be in a remarkable panic, as well they might be. I guess if we had any Scottish Labour supporters posting here they'd be in total despair.
Jim Murphy is an extremely astute Labour politician. But remember, his job is to get the Labour vote out in Scotland, its Ed Miliband's job to deliver the Labour vote in the rest of the UK...
@jimmurphymp: We will fund #1000Nurses using money Scotland gets from mansion tax across UK. 95% will be levied in South East of UK"
You'd expect a clanger like that to be dropped during the campaign, but not on day bloody one, and Murphy's meant to be one of the smarter Labour politicians.
It doesn't matter what the nuance of the issue is, it's going to be translated by the press into "higher taxes in England to prop up Labour's fading support in Scotland".
Jim Murphy is an extremely astute Labour politician. But remember, his job is to get the Labour vote out in Scotland, its Ed Miliband's job to deliver the Labour vote in the rest of the UK...
I thought he said he wasn't going to take orders from Ed, not win in Scotland at Ed's expense.
See the data tables from the poll published by Yougov on their website . London was the closest area but even there 57% supported and only 24% opposed
Yeah but they didn't ask about paying for Scottish nurses, did they?
Labour has nowhere to hide on this. The point that this is a tax on the SE to pay for Scottish nurses is a direct quote from an official SLAB tweet. (It's also of course a nonsense, since health is a devolved matter, but that's hardly an argument which Labour can rely on!)
What some of ideological background would a party leader need to come from to be so spitefully anti-English?
Oh, yes. This one:
"The Englishman is a rabid nationalist. They are perhaps the most nationalist people in the world ... When you hear the English talk of this war you sometimes almost want them to lose it to show them how things are."
The point is not about the Mansion Tax, if it was just that it would be a non-story, it is the fact he said it was a tax on the South East to pay for Scotland has the potential to become a reverse poll tax for Labour!
@tnewtondunn: YouGov/Sun poll tonight: 1st in 2015 and also with UKIP prompted - LAB 34%, CON 31%, UKIP 14%, GRN 8%, LD 7%. Gives Ed Mili majority of 16.
Even in SE MT to pay for 20000 extra nurses is popular
But I thought the Mansion Tax was supposed to pay (along with half a dozen other things) for the rising demands on the NHS. Are you saying the entire lot will be blown on nurses?
As there are many vacant posts in General Practice already, and poor fill rates of 75% or so of GP training places at the moment, plus the average age of GPs is demographically weighted to those retiring within the next five years, I would suggest that Ed Miliband's plan for an extra 33 000 GP's is a tad unrealistic!
On the plus side that leaves more MT lolly to spend on Nurses...or would do if those were also availible!
Perhaps a combined Greek/Spanish/Portuguese/Polish/Tagalog phrasebook could be issued to all admitted patients so that they can communicate with the Locum and Agency staff? They sure as hell aren't going to be British trained!
Just six weeks ago Yougov did a standard VI question that gave Labour a 2 point lead. Then they named leaders. The Tories were three clear when Cameron/Miliband entered the conversation.
Their poll findings should always bear that in mind.
Speaking as a Labour candidate I'm happy with today's coverage - even the stuff about Scottish nurses paid for by £2 million Southern house-owners is good. The whole day has been on Labour's terrain - even the Tory attacks on the possible Labour policies mainly had the effect of highlighting the policies.
But will it influence the polls? Not much either way, I think. I note Mr Dawning's expectation that it will devastate Southern Labour support. I recommend a nice cup of tea. If we get that excited after one day, what will we be like by May?
Yes, they appear to be full panic rebuttal mode tonight. We have another four months of this on PB, and no doubt at some point, the supporters of all the main parties will take take their turn to run us through a spin cycle after a bad news day.
SKY NEWS FLASH - Riots have broken out across South East England as mansion owners took to the streets to protest about extra nurses. Police have asked for plebs and other non-mansion owners to stay indoors for their own safety.
PB Tories really are in denial tonight arent they
Labour supporters seem to be in a remarkable panic, as well they might be. I guess if we had any Scottish Labour supporters posting here they'd be in total despair.
@tnewtondunn: YouGov/Sun poll tonight: 1st in 2015 and also with UKIP prompted - LAB 34%, CON 31%, UKIP 14%, GRN 8%, LD 7%. Gives Ed Mili majority of 16.
UKIP prompted - yet they are lower than they were in all the final three YouGovs of 2014.
Disappointing poll for Con.
If you believe the polls in Scotland, you need to believe the polls in England (And vice versa)
What some of ideological background would a party leader need to come from to be so spitefully anti-English?
Oh, yes. This one:
"The Englishman is a rabid nationalist. They are perhaps the most nationalist people in the world ... When you hear the English talk of this war you sometimes almost want them to lose it to show them how things are."
Just six weeks ago Yougov did a standard VI question that gave Labour a 2 point lead. Then they named leaders. The Tories were three clear when Cameron/Miliband entered the conversation.
That's the joy of Labour's 4 million conversations nonsense.
"Anti-terror plan to spy on toddlers 'is heavy-handed’ Nursery staff and childminders are given 'duty' to report toddlers they suspect of being at risk of becoming terrorists under new Home Office measures"
The whole day has been on Labour's terrain - even the Tory attacks on the possible Labour policies mainly had the effect of highlighting the policies.
Really? The BBC News was presenting the story very much as "who can be the toughest gits on cutting spending" -- terrain that Labour will NEVER win on.
I'm still yet to understand how a message of "we can cut spending by (almost) as much as the Tories, but not have public services go down the pan" is going to make sense to the public.
Really? The BBC News was presenting the story very much as "who can be the toughest gits on cutting spending" -- terrain that Labour will NEVER win on.
I'm still yet to understand how a message of "we can cut spending by (almost) as much as the Tories, but not have public services go down the pan" is going to make sense to the public.
The whole day has been on Labour's terrain - even the Tory attacks on the possible Labour policies mainly had the effect of highlighting the policies.
Really? The BBC News was presenting the story very much as "who can be the toughest gits on cutting spending" -- terrain that Labour will NEVER win on.
I'm still yet to understand how a message of "we can cut spending by (almost) as much as the Tories, but not have public services go down the pan" is going to make sense to the public.
Because since the Tory cuts are ideologically driven and they enjoy it, but Labour are doing it out of necessity/mismanagement by the Tories has forced them to, even though they will cut more or less the same amount in the same basic way, it is not as bad as they won't be enjoying it. Or something like that. Baffles me quite frankly, but it should be enough to carry them over given their other advantages.
"Anti-terror plan to spy on toddlers 'is heavy-handed’ Nursery staff and childminders are given 'duty' to report toddlers they suspect of being at risk of becoming terrorists under new Home Office measures"
Speaking as a Labour candidate I'm happy with today's coverage - even the stuff about Scottish nurses paid for by £2 million Southern house-owners is good. The whole day has been on Labour's terrain - even the Tory attacks on the possible Labour policies mainly had the effect of highlighting the policies.
But will it influence the polls? Not much either way, I think. I note Mr Dawning's expectation that it will devastate Southern Labour support. I recommend a nice cup of tea. If we get that excited after one day, what will we be like by May?
What about nurses for England? What about mental health nurses for the young? I'm not affected by the mansion tax but I'm not pleased at the idea that taxes raised in the South should be used for Scotland and not for poor parts of the UK, of which there are plenty.
And there is also Labour's plan to attack pension tax relief (again).
It gives the impression that Labour views anyone with a bit of savings or property as just a wallet to be picked.
Hi glw, its great to see you back posting again more regularly. Your right, Jim Murphy made it clear that he wouldn't be taking orders from Ed. But I also suspect that he won't lose any sleep worrying about how his own Labour campaign on his home turf might impact negatively on Ed's performance in the rest of the UK.
Jim Murphy is an extremely astute Labour politician. But remember, his job is to get the Labour vote out in Scotland, its Ed Miliband's job to deliver the Labour vote in the rest of the UK...
I thought he said he wasn't going to take orders from Ed, not win in Scotland at Ed's expense.
Speaking as a Labour candidate I'm happy with today's coverage - even the stuff about Scottish nurses paid for by £2 million Southern house-owners is good.
What do you think the less well off voters in London will think?
We're taking money off rich Londoners, but it isn't for you it's for Dr Kildare and Alex McSturgeon...
Speaking as a Labour candidate I'm happy with today's coverage - even the stuff about Scottish nurses paid for by £2 million Southern house-owners is good.
What do you think the less well off voters in London will think?
We're taking money off rich Londoners, but it isn't for you it's for Dr Kildare and Alex McSturgeon...
To stupidity and beyond.
A winner for UKIP, the Greens, anyone actually...
Plus we were always being told by the Scots that they subsidised us so why do they need our money? Can't they pay for their own nurses?
Speaking as a Labour candidate I'm happy with today's coverage - even the stuff about Scottish nurses paid for by £2 million Southern house-owners is good. The whole day has been on Labour's terrain - even the Tory attacks on the possible Labour policies mainly had the effect of highlighting the policies.
But will it influence the polls? Not much either way, I think. I note Mr Dawning's expectation that it will devastate Southern Labour support. I recommend a nice cup of tea. If we get that excited after one day, what will we be like by May?
What about nurses for England? What about mental health nurses for the young? I'm not affected by the mansion tax but I'm not pleased at the idea that taxes raised in the South should be used for Scotland and not for poor parts of the UK, of which there are plenty.
And there is also Labour's plan to attack pension tax relief (again).
It gives the impression that Labour views anyone with a bit of savings or property as just a wallet to be picked.
You'd be a bit pissed off as a Welsh voter. Labour's run healthcare into the ground, and would appear to be more interested in bunging extra sweeties to the Scots, than those in the Principality.
Speaking as a Labour candidate I'm happy with today's coverage - even the stuff about Scottish nurses paid for by £2 million Southern house-owners is good. The whole day has been on Labour's terrain - even the Tory attacks on the possible Labour policies mainly had the effect of highlighting the policies.
But will it influence the polls? Not much either way, I think. I note Mr Dawning's expectation that it will devastate Southern Labour support. I recommend a nice cup of tea. If we get that excited after one day, what will we be like by May?
Labour have treated Scotland like their own little fiefdom for decades and suddenly they're shocked that it's turned against them. Carry on like this, and the same will happen in London. London has more poverty than Scotland - why on Earth is even more of its money being snatched away to shore up the unruly Scots?
Comments
17.6.14 LAB 330 CON 263 LD 33 UKIP 0 Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
24.6.14 LAB 330 CON 263 LD 33 UKIP 0 Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
1.7.14 LAB 329(330) CON 268 (263) LD 29(33) UKIP 0(0) Others 24(24) (Ed is crap is PM)
8.7.14 LAB 330 (329) CON 264(268) LD 32(29) UKIP 0(0) Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
15.7.14 LAB 329 (330) CON 264(264) LD 33(32) UKIP 0(0) Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
22.7.14 LAB 331 (329) CON 261(264) LD 34(33) UKIP 0(0) Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
29.7.14 LAB 332 (331) CON 260(261) LD 34(34) UKIP 0(0) Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
5.8.14 LAB 330(332) CON 262(260) LD 34(34 UKIP0(0) Others 24 (Ed is Crap is PM)
12.8.14 LAB 332 (330) CON 260(262) LD 34(34) UKIP 0(0) Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
18.8.14 LAB 331(332) CON 261(260) LD 34(34) UKIP0(0) Others 24 Ed is crap is PM
26.8.14 LAB 333(331) CON 259(261)LD(34)UKIP 0(0) Others 24 Ed is crap is PM
2.9.14 LAB331(333) CON261(259) LD24(34) Others24 (24) Ed is crap is PM
9.9.14 LAB332(331) CON260(261) LD34(34) Others24 (24) Ed is crap is PM
16.9.14 LAB 331(332) CON 262(260) LD 33(34) UKIP0(0) Others 24 Ed is crap is PM
23.9.14 LAB 334 (331) CON 260(262) LD 32(33) UKIP 0(0) Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
30.9.14 LAB 334 (334) CON 260(260) LD 32(32) UKIP 0(0) Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
7.10.14 LAB 325 (334) CON 269(260) LD 31(32) UKIP 1(0) Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
14.10.14 LAB 328 (325) CON 264(269) LD 33(31) UKIP 1(1) Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
21.10.14 LAB 327 (328) CON 265(264) LD 33(33) UKIP 1(1) Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
28.10.14 LAB 322 (327) CON 269(265) LD 33(33) UKIP 2(1) Others 24 (Ed is crap is PM)
4.11.14 LAB 320 (322) CON 268(269) LD 31(33) UKIP 2(2) Others 29 (Ed is crap is PM)
11.11.14 LAB 320 (320) CON 268(268) LD 31(31) UKIP 2(2) Others 29 (Ed is crap is PM)
18.11.14 LAB 319 (320) CON 268(268) LD 31(31) UKIP 2(2) Others 30(29) (Ed is crap is PM)
25.11.14 LAB 319 (319) CON 267(268) LD 31(31) UKIP 2(2) Others 31(30) (Ed is crap is PM)
2.12.14 LAB 320 (319) CON 267(267) LD 31(31) UKIP 1(2) Others 31(31) (Ed is crap is PM)
9.12.14 LAB 319 (320) CON 267(267) LD 31(31) UKIP 1(1) Others 32(31) (Ed is crap is PM)
16.12.14 LAB 318 (319) CON 267(267) LD 31(31) UKIP 1(1) Others 33(32) (Ed is crap is PM)
23.12.14 LAB 320 (318) CON 263(267) LD 31(31) UKIP 1(1) Others 35(33) (Ed is crap is PM)
5.1.15 LAB 322 (320) CON 259(263) LD 32(31) UKIP 1(1) Others 36(35) (Ed is crap is PM)
'come in swingback!'
When we have it you disappear for days.
2. Ed's problem is that he sounds like sixth form smart arse nitpicking over the minutia of policy. People tune out.
3. Ed couldn't "enthuse" ...
4. Boy George Strikes Again
5. Dream on.
6. I'm surprised the parties waste their money on posters to be honest. Would be better investing in mail drops and "viral" internet ad's.
7. Left, right, center. It's all nonsense. The REAL way to tap into the electorate in these anti-politics times is to be an "outsider" trying to tear up consensuses. That makes it hard for the sitting government, but the best Prime Ministers are at their best when they appear to be "above the fray". Maggie often appeared to be as did Tony.
8. I'd like an autumn election just to see what it's like to be voting in October.
9. How many years will Labour be out of power for from 2020 if they decide to rule over England with the SNP? On the plus side, Miliband and Salmond would be a marriage made in hell so that would be fun.
10. POWER, UNLIMITED POWEEEEEEEEERRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR...........
11. Tories4PR has a certain ring to it.
12. Are will STILL discussing Scotland?
13. Politicians are the lowest of the low.
14. Might well be his last New Year as Prime Minister. Good on him for chillaxing.
15. 12 years on and I still love Finding Nemo.
16. Amazing!
Can my betting partners remind me?
It doesn't matter what the nuance of the issue is, it's going to be translated by the press into "higher taxes in England to prop up Labour's fading support in Scotland".
Excellent policy
What bit of the rich paying their share dont PB Tories get?
When the wheels finally fall off FPTP, all that remains as an option is PR...
6. Total waste of money indeed. They will immediately be mocked or debunked, and ruin some poor graphic designers career probably. Why bother?
7. It certainly helps.
9. Labour won't care. They will naturally assume, as the Tories did in 2010, that they will be able to figure something out to prevent any blowback in 5 years. Pyrrhic victory's are not to be feared in politics; after all, when you win, it will be different.
Nhs is devolved so this election can do jack shit for Scottish nursing levels
Entire policy plays to stereotype of Scotland being too poor to look after itself (harking back to the 2005 slogan- break up Britain Scotland goes broke. That slogan is what started SLab's decline)
It creates a massive stick to beat ELab with.
Like a massive huge stick.
Popular policy IMO except in Myleenes and PB Tories little world
One might also add, ''Don't Let Labour Ruin It''
Dont they want people in mansions to fund 18000 extra nurses in England in your opinion.
I suggest you are wrong
As a supporter of the Union it is painful that there is so little affection and trust between the constituent parts, but I also cannot deny that the general impression of many, right or wrong, is that Scotland gets a better deal out of it than England. As such, whether or not a policy does favour Scotland over England or not, if it might be seen as doing so, that could be damaging.
I suspect the outrage will unravel, but it's not a bad strategy in the short term when there are so few other things for the Tories to attempt.
Even in SE MT to pay for 20000 extra nurses is popular
Roll on EICIPM
'Popular policy IMO except in Myleenes and PB Tories little world'
Always a popular policy when someone else is paying the tax,won't be the same though with Labour's NI, income tax, council tax & fuel tax increases.
as it defines itself further, some conservatives who flirted with Ukip may find that it is not the clear Right-wing choice they once admired – but a party just as capable of opportunism as its rivals.
Well, quite. Which is why I think differential swingback from UKIP, i.e. a net benefit to the Conservatives (relative to where we are now), is likely.
http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/general-election-2015-british-public-back-ed-milibands-mansion-tax-plan-1466934
You can charge more for second homes as well if you like, say plus 50%
The Tories campaign images will now move on to the billboards of Britain,offering numerous opportunities for locals to test out their artistic capabilities.
I'm not sure how they calculated it, that's a smaller gap than Fisher's crude swingback model.
Murphy's having a mad, flapping panic isn't he?
Labour has nowhere to hide on this. The point that this is a tax on the SE to pay for Scottish nurses is a direct quote from an official SLAB tweet. (It's also of course a nonsense, since health is a devolved matter, but that's hardly an argument which Labour can rely on!)
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/B6nr5MOCYAAUQxT.jpg
What some of ideological background would a party leader need to come from to be so spitefully anti-English?
Oh, yes. This one:
"The Englishman is a rabid nationalist. They are perhaps the most nationalist people in the world ... When you hear the English talk of this war you sometimes almost want them to lose it to show them how things are."
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/firefighters-rescue-naked-woman-trapped-in-chimney-of-exboyfriends-home-in-the-us-9958518.html
PB Tories are a strange bunch, a VERY strange bunch...
On the plus side that leaves more MT lolly to spend on Nurses...or would do if those were also availible!
Perhaps a combined Greek/Spanish/Portuguese/Polish/Tagalog phrasebook could be issued to all admitted patients so that they can communicate with the Locum and Agency staff? They sure as hell aren't going to be British trained!
Their poll findings should always bear that in mind.
But will it influence the polls? Not much either way, I think. I note Mr Dawning's expectation that it will devastate Southern Labour support. I recommend a nice cup of tea. If we get that excited after one day, what will we be like by May?
Labour minority nailed on !
"Ed for PM then?"
"Um, no"
Repeat 4 million times...
"Anti-terror plan to spy on toddlers 'is heavy-handed’
Nursery staff and childminders are given 'duty' to report toddlers they suspect of being at risk of becoming terrorists under new Home Office measures"
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/terrorism-in-the-uk/11323558/Anti-terror-plan-to-spy-on-toddlers-is-heavy-handed.html
Ed made a big speech, and all the reporting has been on stuff that wasn't in it
I'm still yet to understand how a message of "we can cut spending by (almost) as much as the Tories, but not have public services go down the pan" is going to make sense to the public.
@SamCoatesTimes: There will be no new money for public-sector pay, says Labour | The Times http://t.co/HVWztvMZDB
Pretty sure that's the message Ed wanted to get out this morning. Score another win for Lucy (I wonder what job she is going to have next...)
How many times has the proceeds from the mansion tax been spent now?
And there is also Labour's plan to attack pension tax relief (again).
It gives the impression that Labour views anyone with a bit of savings or property as just a wallet to be picked.
We're taking money off rich Londoners, but it isn't for you it's for Dr Kildare and Alex McSturgeon...
To stupidity and beyond.
A winner for UKIP, the Greens, anyone actually...
Tory Rule #2 If it doesn't move, privatise it
Tory Rule #3 Go back to to Rule #1
The London tax should be spent on London's needs.