South Kintyre on Argyll and Bute (SNP defence)
Result: SNP 942 (62% +37%), Liberal Democrats 214 (14%, unchanged), Conservative 203 (13% -33%), Labour 156 (10%, no candidate last time)
SNP HOLD on the first count with a majority of 728 (48%) on a swing of 18.5% from Lib Dem to SNP
Comments
The Herald's highlighting Kintyre as a 35% swing from Tories to SNP - rather different from the post?
Aus is great but then again I have relatives in WA, Sydney, Adelaide, Melbourne and Tas!.
Now down to $61.92. Was $70 a few days ago.
http://www.bloomberg.com/energy/
I know its a council seat but the opposition party challenging to win the election should not be going from first to third with only 17% of the vote in a seat they previously held.
Twitter
AnasSarwar @AnasSarwar · 1h 1 hour ago
My message to party members before I handover tomorrow. Thank you - it's been a privilege. Let's now unite and win. http://www.scottishlabour.org.uk/pages/anas-sarwars-message-to-members# …
Don't sell yourself short on the cold blooded venom stakes old chap ;-)
If you look at the policies of Tory and Lab they are frankly not that different. Both are going to cut, they just differ on the extent to which taxes would rise and whether infrastructure investment counts as part of the deficit. Socially, there is barely a cigarette paper between them, both pretty authoritarian determined to frighten us out of our wits over terrorists and implement draconian laws despite the fact that we survived almost daily IRA bombings and shootings for thirty years without such laws, and both subscribe to what in the 1980s was described as the Loony Left social agenda.
Many of their supporters despise each other on tribal grounds. However that tribalism dosen't largely extend to the MPs, so if its a case of a Lab-Con coalition or a five party coalition with a majority of three, I wouldn't put them past it.
The main policy differences as I said earlier are between UKIP (E&W), SNP(Scot) and Liblabcon. This is reflected in the political debate which (even here) is much fiercer and more hostile between UKIP/SNP and Liblabcon than between Lib/con, Lab/Con and Lab/Lib.
In the 1980s that fierceness and hostility was between Labour and Tory, now they are both largely on the same side squabbling over the finetuning while the electorate look elsewhere. While this situation persists, UKIP won't go away unless an even more attractive party with similar policies emerges.
As they haven't enjoyed it, then no one else should.
Well done, them.
1m Louise Mensch ✔ @LouiseMensch
the Stuart Wheeler/Nigel Farage ferrets in the UKIP sack will be fun to watch. Hearing that Douglas Carswell is very uncomfortable with NF
5m Iain Dale @IainDale
Blogpost - EXCLUSIVE: Paul Sykes to Cease UKIP Party Funding. http://iaindale.com/posts/2014/12/12/exclusive-paul-sykes-to-cease-funding-ukip …
So this is why UKIP accepted Mr Reckless? Pity he's not going to cling on looking at the odds.
Jim Pickard @PickardJE
Curiously parties get money per seat and per 200 votes, meaning cash bonanza for Ukip after election as long as it gets at least two.
Farage tells me Neil Hamilton "is a divisive figure, tho' there are 1 or 2 people who think he's one of the great gifts to British politics"
Louise Mensch@LouiseMensch·20 secs21 seconds ago
It's Wheeler, Carswell, Reckless, O'Flynn vs Farage in the UKIP ferret-wheel at the moment, so says westminster gossip.
Great stuff....
I can easily see the two main parties hugging each other more closely as they become more scared of the insurgents. There's more they share in common than meets the eye.
Michael Crick@MichaelLCrick·2 mins2 minutes ago
Farage says not worried at prospect of Stuart Wheeler ending Ukip donations over Neil Hamilton as it's "quite some time" since gave money
Michael Crick@MichaelLCrick·4 mins4 minutes ago
Farage hopes Hamilton will stay in Ukip, clear up expense dispute & carry on travelling round "cheering people up".
Snigger.... thanks Isam.... that's top notch irony.... off to try and mend my sides.
You do more exercise on the right or left than if a centrist
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-2871291/Being-extremist-BETTER-health-holding-moderate-views-People-stronger-political-opinions-exercise.html
With what?
I'm hoping The Ice Twins by S. K. Tremayne is as good as everyone is saying it is.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/12/11/us-india-russia-highlights-idUSKBN0JP1A720141211
It turns out the man who harangued Bland on QT last night was not just an ordinary Joe. In fact, he's the brother of a UKIP MEP ...
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-birmingham-30448645
The rest of the population dislike her because she is a self publicist.
Desperate stuff.....
And look whos she's just retweeted:
Louise Mensch Retweeted 1 min ago:
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB @LouiseMensch I'm hearing that several leading kippers won't be too unhappy if the party fails to win Thanet South
"Korean Air chairman apologises for daughter’s ‘nut rage’
Cho Hyun-ah delayed flight departure after losing temper with flight attendant who offered snack in bag instead of on plate"
http://www.theguardian.com/world/2014/dec/12/korean-air-chairman-apologises-daughter-delayed-flight-macadamia-nut-rage
Innocent face.
The place looks smaller than what you envisage on TV.
Certain acts which could legally be made online in the UK cannot be anymore, because they are deemed as too extreme.
Everyone seems to be just jumping up and down because it hits UK porn businesses.
I think its far more draconian than that. If they are banned from being published online in the UK then it follows anyone caught watching it from foreign sources or being in possession of images of such acts may face arrest, prison and the sex offenders register under section 63 of the Criminal Justice and Immigration Act 2008 for being in possession of "extreme pornographic images"
I'm not a great enthusiast for liberal porn laws but I fear the change in the law a couple of weeks ago combined with section 63 could be a witchhunt enabling act.
Note from Wikipedia "As was demonstrated by a court decision in 2014, it is not necessary to prove that those in possession of offending images had solicited them. Thus it is possible to contravene the law as a result of involuntarily receiving such images"
I'll get my coat
I think the Conservatives could just about survive one, although most likely with some further shedding of the right wing. On the other hand it would kill the Labour party. Many Labour peeps hate the Tories much more than they love Labour and they would see mass shedding of members to the Greens or perhaps some sort of socialist offshoot. UKIP would be rubbing their hands with glee.
Realistically the only possible coalitions I can see are:
Con+LD
Lab+LD
Con+DUP
Con+DUP+UKIP
Lab+LD+SNP (just about although this would be high risk for Labour if they didn't win in England)
biblehub.com/genesis/4-9.htm
Then the LORD said to Cain, “Where is Abel your brother?” He said, “I do not know; am I my brother's keeper?”
A mass squirt outside parliament would give our lawmakers pause for thought.
Shape shifting lizard aliens are in charge.
Unlike the Obscene Publications Act which criminalises publication of obscene images, S63 criminalises possession of such (even if unsolicited)
http://sexandcensorship.org/2014/08/criminalised-receiving-extreme-porn-via-whatsapp/
Note that they were done after being stopped by the police on other matters and subject to a routine search of their mobile phones.
Not hard to see how Constable Savage and Spook Savage will make good use of this, (of course even if not convicted (or even charged) you will likely be banned from the family home by social workers as a risk to your children for months while they investigate). Meanwhile you will be denounced as a Pedo by illiterate mobs and have your life made a misery and probably lose your job and be ruined.
Greg McCarra 09-Dec-14 at Hi Philip The membership of the SNP Trade Union Group exceeded 13,000 several days ago. We are now larger than the ‘Scottish’ Labour Party’s official membership total, and probably more than twice the actual total. Cllr Greg McCarra Executive Member, SNP TUG - See more at: http://blogs.channel4.com/gary-gibbon-on-politics/scottish-labour-leadership-contest-general-election/29853#more-29853
Me, I don't know how to lay a bet.
(...so I'm told!)
Cheap oil, while a benefit, could see an even greater pressure on wages. That won't please the governments of Europe as the revolt on the Right swells.
@TelePolitics: Nigel Farage and Enoch Powell: the full story of Ukip's links with the 'Rivers of Blood' politician http://t.co/NAlWz4D7BU
Rumours I’ve resigned from #UKIP R untrue. Elected 2 NEC by OVERWHELMING popular vote. Have NOT been accused of 'fiddling expenses’ #Lies
I can't see any problems with that, I mean that report on the CIA didn't have anything bad in it.
If there had been more British politicians of Enoch Powell's calibre, Britain would have been a much more pleasant place to live, than now is the case.
Thanks for the thought. Hope all goes well with you, too.
Twitter
Christine Hamilton @brit_battleaxe 9m9 minutes ago
He who laughs last laughs longest...
Wonder what they will come up with next. Nigel Farage ate my hamster?