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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview : November 13th 2014
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview : November 13th 2014
Queen Edith’s on Cambridge (Lab Defence)
Result of last election to council (2014): Labour 25, Liberal Democrats 14, Independents 2, Conservative 1 (Labour majority of 8)
Result of last election in ward (2012): Labour 1,084 (40%), Liberal Democrats 963 (35%), Conservatives 513 (19%), Green 172 (6%)
Candidates duly nominated:
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Dartford was a classic swing seat. Labour have abdicated in the SE. This will be confirmed next week in R&S. Was madness on the 35% strategy, god knows what it is on the 29% strategy or whatever it is now. Probably 29%MINUS.
Edit: Meh, fourth.
It'd be a good result for Labour to hold their Cambridge seat as well, the Lib Dems have recovered locally since 2012.
Two bagels?
From previous thread- yeah the GDR police had "posh" Wartburgs which had something daft like 27 bhp as against the Trabant's 18 ( or something similar). The fact that there was a ten year waiting list too and an average age of 40 I believe for first owning a car was such a contrast to an average West German's Golf. A metaphor for the two countries.
What was the land law by the way?
Does the hypocrisy of the Left know no bounds? I think not.
ps: in a bizarre twist Honecker ended up his days in Chile!
That said, an underdog is still a dog.
That usually loses.....
LD gain must be likely as LAB dropped back since 2012.
May explain why one family in my ancestry moved farms in MId Wales every few years, although the head of the family was described as a "farmer" not an agricultural labourer.
Got to do a lot more research, though.
I knew of someone in the UK who bought at Wartburg. His description of it was unrepeatable.
In Manchester for Ideal Homes Exhibition, Christmas Markets and to see the Voice at Beebs Media City.
Mrs BJ treat as she continues to slave away so i can have a life of leisure.
I am looking forward to the Voice bit though.
Will catch up on all EICIPM polls on Monday
Not surprised by the Wartburg mind.
Wonder why no one has complained why the audience looks horribly white?
Am pretty sure the Guardianistas at the BBC would have gladly pointed this out had it been the Tories or UKIP.
Do you have any ISAs?
Do you have an estate worth over the IHT threshold? And if so are you taking measures to reduce that bill, or would you if you don't but could?
And do you agree that someone with your views on tax avoidance should be hurrying to repay any gains they may have made out of the measures I've mentioned above or any like them, and insisting that people like Ed Miliband also should, to avoid the stench of hypocrisy?
https://twitter.com/Thatcherite4/status/530106184729378818
Michael Crick @MichaelLCrick
Cathy Newman has Nigel Farage on the ropes on #c4News on working mothers. Rarely seen him so flustered
1h Cathy Newman ✔ @cathynewman
Thanks many tweets about @Nigel_Farage interview. Sorry not to reply to every one. Rather surprised he still says mums worth less in city
Or did he forget to?
Not sure about the wheeze you refer to. He did a Q and A earlier i could have asked him if i had known.
Anyway i am definitely off now Mrs BJ has the front door open and is giving me that look.
But of course you knew
Taxes are for the proles.
I dont think you will get in at the Beeb i had to prove i was not right wing to get my free tickets.
BYE
Labour’s efforts to demonise the hostile anti-Ed media is working. At the Labour leader’s eighth ‘relaunch’ speech on Thursday at Senate House, every single question from journalists was greeted by boos, hisses and tuts.
One party member even saw fit to come over to the media corner and openly berate the gathered hacks: - The same woman was later heard by your humble correspondent shouting in the lobby those that had asked questions were ‘worse than Hitler’s henchmen stirring up hatred against the Jews’. Surely a late contender for the stupidest comment of the year?
http://blogs.spectator.co.uk/coffeehouse/2014/11/labours-war-on-the-media-is-working-as-activists-turn-on-hacks/
Al media is against them. All events are in their favour (if only the media would report them). They are on course for a glorious victory...
Oh, wait...
' At the Labour leader’s eighth ‘relaunch’ speech on Thursday at Senate House, every single question from journalists was greeted by boos, hisses and tuts.'
The hand picked audience of Labour party members didn't fool anyone.
The next desperate step will be to ban journalists from asking questions.
Why is that morally worse than ISAs?
Contrast this with Adenauer in West who build on the foundations of the Christian churches as they were the least compromised German institutions left.
'That depends whether the individual is a Leftie (good), the corporation donates to Labour (good) or the Tories (very, very bad)'
IHT is only paid by the small people and never by fully paid-up socialists.
How about pension payments by gran and grandad or mum and dad paying for pension contributions for a grandson/son who is a higher rate tax payer but can't afford to do so as he's Bobajob (£60k pa, kids and no child benefit)?
I would wager such views are also held by a large proportion of what was once Labour's traditional WWC base.
Miliband still preaching to the converted; the socially liberal metropolitan support.
Between house flipping, expense claims which mere mortals claiming them would have hmrc reaching for the red pencils etc. Of course all this is government sanctioned so perfectly justified.
We could make a damn good start by making all mp's subject to the same hmrc rules as the rest of us. My office has at least two people that have to rent a second place to live during the week to be close enough for work. If the company offered to pay for them then it is taxed as if it is pay.
Sun Politics @Sun_Politics 30s30 seconds ago
YouGov/Sun poll tonight — Tories have one point lead: CON 33%, LAB 32%, LD 8%, UKIP 15%, GRN 6%
1) Correlation doesn't imply causation
2) most of the fieldwork was done before Ed's awesome speech
Or are your principles in fact a little flexible?
How does Labour propose to encourage aspiration rather than a culture of handouts and distorted incomes topped up by tax credits? Just asking for my better half.
Oh no wait, we don't get excited by that anymore.
I've been looking at the data for a thread, and I found an astonishing stat.
Margaret Thatcher's net rating in November 1990, just before she was removed as Tory leader was -46.
Ed's rating yesterday was -44.
So he's on a par with Maggie at her demise.
Breakout by January still on the cards...
Charlie Webster (@CharlieCW)
10/09/2014 20:43
Just bumped into Mike Tyson in the hotel lobby as I was randomly talking about him! I chickened out on asking for a photo...damn ;-)
All that I am proposing is that tax is paid on earnings made in this country.
It does not discriminate against EU firms to do so. A tax on turnover for example.
Doesn't this devalue everything she has said on the issue ? I don't know if I am missing something obvious, but it's just breathtaking from where I am standing. I just don't get it!
Very few people dislike Ed Milliband; they just pity him.
(I didn't hear it myself, but heard it anecdotally, as you can imagine, it's a major topic in Sheffield)
A lot of people agree with Charlie Webster, it's a subject she's been campaigning on for years, given her history.
Buzz Aldin -looking good for 84 - wearing a 'Get Your Ass to Mars' jumper.