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RodCrosby said:Updated: exact 2009-2010 rerun would see Tories 5.6% ahead on polling day...
Updated: exact 2009-2010 rerun would see Tories 5.6% ahead on polling day...
Tim_B said:Cowboys touchdown - How 'bout them Cowboys!!!!
Cowboys touchdown - How 'bout them Cowboys!!!!
JBriskin said: RodCrosby said:Updated: exact 2009-2010 rerun would see Tories 5.6% ahead on polling day... While I await Tim B updates...Presumably that's only the infamous "swingback" factor?Or are you allowed to tell one more factor, hush hush etc. ?
Stickytroll said:As the GE approaches, Labour votes will drift back to the LDs and UKIP votes will drift back to the CONs.Tories will scrape through with a lead of 6%-7%.Amen.
As the GE approaches, Labour votes will drift back to the LDs and UKIP votes will drift back to the CONs.Tories will scrape through with a lead of 6%-7%.Amen.
AndyJS said:Last 20 polls: average Labour lead = 1.55%.http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election#2014
Last 20 polls: average Labour lead = 1.55%.http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election#2014
Comments
Presumably that's only the infamous "swingback" factor?
Or are you allowed to tell one more factor, hush hush etc. ?
http://www.parliament.uk/business/publications/hansard/commons/todays-commons-debates/read/unknown/416/
Tories will scrape through with a lead of 6%-7%.
Amen.
https://mobile.twitter.com/LordAshcroft
http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_United_Kingdom_general_election#2014
Around 9, about a week's worth is what I use. Weighted by sample size.
Use SUMPRODUCT(data, samplesize)/SUM(samplesize) in Excel.