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  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,575
    Alanbrooke Though I see Heidi Allen, picked to succeed Andrew Lansley in S Cambridgeshire last weekend, has a degree in Astrophysics from UCL and is now managing director of a family manufacturing business http://www.conservativehome.com/parliament/2014/10/heidi-allen-wins-south-cambridgeshire-selection.html

    I suppose it is not too surprising though that would be politicians continue to study politics or PPE
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,575
    edited October 2014
    Rishi Sunak was head boy of Winchester College apparently, so a bit of a change from Hague's Wath on Dearne Comprehensive. Then followed by a 1st from Oxford, like Hague, Stanford and Goldman Sachs before founding his own investment firm, also seems to be involved with a number of charities
    http://www.rishisunak.com/
  • HYUFD said:

    Rishi Sunak was head boy of Winchester College apparently, so a bit of a change from Hague's Wath on Dean Comprehensive. Then followed by a 1st from Oxford, like Hague, Stanford and Goldman Sachs before founding his own investment firm, also seems to be involved with a number of charities
    http://www.rishisunak.com/

    And he's a Saints fan.

    So all in all, he's had a pretty good day.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 42,831
    Ishmael_X said:

    TOPPING said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    TOPPING said:

    Ishmael_X said:

    TOPPING said:

    "Topping

    Oh well, that's allright then Topping. Sure Her Maj is just fine with it. Btw, did she tell you so personally or is it something you just picked up from connexions?

    He didn't act 'gauchely'. He relayed details of conversations she was entitled to think were private. Most of us can understand how that feels.

    The Queen has been dealing all her life with people who are and continue to be gobsmacked to be able to say they have met the queen.

    Dave seems to have been no different which is a phenomenon I have noticed with people who you would have bet would have been as cool as you like.

    As I said, he was intoxicated by his place at the top table and that he was walking along with Mike B. It was gauche and crass but nothing the Queen hasn't seen happen many many times.
    A particularly pathetic and inept bit of stealth boasting.
    Calm down sunshine. I appreciate and sympathise with your personal circs but I have noticed an unnecessary barbed air to your posts of late.

    Which is a shame as you always seemed quite acute on things.

    We all bring here our various experiences in the world, whether it be sci-fi novels, the British Railway system, or our television preferences.

    I, likewise, bring my experiences.
    Sorry, but your theory is just silly since it requires DC after over 4 years as PM of the UK to come over all queer twice, once at talking to HM the Q for what must be at least the hundredth time, and again at meeting a fairly rich former Mayor of New York (not their first meeting). As for your hinted connections, I am privately certain you are the Duke of Norfolk. But keep it to yourself.

    Haha for god's sake man keep it quiet!
    Yes of course you are right but in this instance I think there is some slack as it wasn't egregious and it conveyed the mood more than was a betrayal of confidences so might be put in the 'happens all the time' category.

    As Bob Hope said to me...
    My first post to you requires an apology. Sorry.

    Not at all - you are very kind.

    PB is its own mad world and we all bang and crash around it at various times to various degrees.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,575
    PeterThePunter Indeed, though judging from his CV Richmond is lucky to have him, whether a Southampton fan will go down well in north Yorkshire is another matter, might be sensible to switch to Leeds Utd!
  • Peter_the_PunterPeter_the_Punter Posts: 14,304
    edited October 2014
    HYUFD said:

    PeterThePunter Indeed, though judging from his CV Richmond is lucky to have him, whether a Southampton fan will go down well in north Yorkshire is another matter, might be sensible to switch to Leeds Utd!

    It is NEVER sensible to switch to Leeds Utd, Hyufd.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,575
    PeterthePunter Well I assume they are the nearest big team to Richmond, otherwise Barnsley or Sheffield Utd?
  • HYUFD said:

    PeterthePunter Well I assume they are the nearest big team to Richmond, otherwise Barnsley or Sheffield Utd?

    Yes, they are the nearest team, but not the nearest football team.
  • Come back next week end for new intriguing selections in...

    Havant (Con)
    Swansea East (Lab)
    Sheffield Brightside and Hillsborough (Labour)
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,362
    HYUFD said:

    Rishi Sunak was head boy of Winchester College apparently, so a bit of a change from Hague's Wath on Dearne Comprehensive. Then followed by a 1st from Oxford, like Hague, Stanford and Goldman Sachs before founding his own investment firm, also seems to be involved with a number of charities
    http://www.rishisunak.com/

    so he ticks all the boxes of the people who got us in the shit in the first place.

    why should we expect a different outcome ?
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,362
    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,240

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    At this stage, Labour supporters regard the Tories as the main enemy. And vice versa. Many Tories regard UKIP as being on the same side as them, while many Labour supporters want to see the Tories get humiliated.

    At this stage there's little reason to expect widespread tactical voting against UKIP.

    That could change if either group of supporters came to see UKIP as the main threat, but we aren't there yet.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    Alanbrooke..Rishi is standing as a Conservative..not Labour
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,362
    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
    well if you think of your relaives in the Province that way.......
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,362

    Alanbrooke..Rishi is standing as a Conservative..not Labour

    I doubt it makes much difference Richard.
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    applying PR^2 to Fisher the outcome would be something like

    Con 291
    Lab 240
    UKIP 55
    LD 36
    Nats 10
    NI 18
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    AB..Yes it does...
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,362

    AB..Yes it does...

    he will feel more at home with nick palmer than he ever will with you.
  • HYUFD said:

    Rishi Sunak was head boy of Winchester College apparently, so a bit of a change from Hague's Wath on Dearne Comprehensive. Then followed by a 1st from Oxford, like Hague, Stanford and Goldman Sachs before founding his own investment firm, also seems to be involved with a number of charities
    http://www.rishisunak.com/

    so he ticks all the boxes of the people who got us in the shit in the first place.

    why should we expect a different outcome ?
    UKIP surge in richmond?
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,292
    Lord Ashcroft might be better holding off doing a survey of Scottish Westminster seats until after the New Year, rather than in the immediate aftermath of the Independence Referendum. I suspect that might give us a far clearer snapshot of Scots voting intentions, tactical or otherwise in key seats at the next GE.

    That projection looks short in terms of Others. How does that 30 break down? 18 NI so 12 GB. 6 SNP, 3 Plaid, 2 UKIP 1 Green? Strikes me as a bit mean to both the SNP and UKIP.

    You can see the SNP picking up some seats from the Lib Dems, so definitely mean.

    Hopefully the Lord A poll on Lab held seats in Scotland will tell us more soon.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
    well if you think of your relaives in the Province that way.......
    If the provincials keep up their irrational hatred of hardworking Londoners and seek to impose insane policies on them that cripple the strongest part of Britain's economy, sooner or later London will lose its sense of historical obligation to the rest of the UK. And the surplus funds we currently transfer from London could be used profitably in improving the world's most vital city.
  • I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,380
    fitalass said:

    Lord Ashcroft might be better holding off doing a survey of Scottish Westminster seats until after the New Year, rather than in the immediate aftermath of the Independence Referendum. I suspect that might give us a far clearer snapshot of Scots voting intentions, tactical or otherwise in key seats at the next GE.

    That projection looks short in terms of Others. How does that 30 break down? 18 NI so 12 GB. 6 SNP, 3 Plaid, 2 UKIP 1 Green? Strikes me as a bit mean to both the SNP and UKIP.

    You can see the SNP picking up some seats from the Lib Dems, so definitely mean.

    Hopefully the Lord A poll on Lab held seats in Scotland will tell us more soon.
    Well after the New Year I would suggest, for sensible results!
  • RodCrosbyRodCrosby Posts: 7,737
    edited October 2014
    RodCrosby said:

    applying PR^2 to Fisher the outcome would be something like

    Con 291
    Lab 240
    UKIP 55
    LD 36
    Nats 10
    NI 18

    although, take note that under PR^2 Labour would have every incentive to kick its lazy-ass supporters down to a polling-station, thereby increasing its vote and seat total...
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,240
    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    More that we see much of the criticism of UKIP as being paranoid or self-serving.

  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Sean_F said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    At this stage, Labour supporters regard the Tories as the main enemy. And vice versa. Many Tories regard UKIP as being on the same side as them, while many Labour supporters want to see the Tories get humiliated.

    At this stage there's little reason to expect widespread tactical voting against UKIP.

    That could change if either group of supporters came to see UKIP as the main threat, but we aren't there yet.
    The idea that Lab voters will explicitly vote for Cameron and Tories for Miliband is beyond ridiculous

    But I suppose if the people on here are stupid enough to swallow it, at least it will shut up the Tories who say voting UKIP gets you Miliband... hardly a plausible threat from people who are voting Miliband themselves
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,362
    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
    well if you think of your relaives in the Province that way.......
    If the provincials keep up their irrational hatred of hardworking Londoners and seek to impose insane policies on them that cripple the strongest part of Britain's economy, sooner or later London will lose its sense of historical obligation to the rest of the UK. And the surplus funds we currently transfer from London could be used profitably in improving the world's most vital city.
    probably one of the dafter things you've written.

    London has a fairly transient population. It sucks people in from the provinces and around the world, who then try to make their money and get out.

    as for hardworking, don't make me laugh.
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340
    Sean_F said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    More that we see much of the criticism of UKIP as being paranoid or self-serving.

    The tone of injured innocence of many kippers at the outrage and disdain they receive is weirdly like that of Frankie Boyle, and about as well-grounded.
  • richardDoddrichardDodd Posts: 5,472
    edited October 2014
    Alanbrooke..No idea what you mean by that..I dont think anyone could feel at home with NPXMP

    I work in London and work extremely hard...But get well paid for it..and why not
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,575
    Alanbrooke Indeed, but I suppose he was never a SPAD. As I also pointed out Heidi Allen, picked in S Cambridgeshire last weekend, has a degree in Astrophysics from UCL and is managing director of a family manufacturing business
  • AlastairMeeksAlastairMeeks Posts: 30,340

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
    well if you think of your relaives in the Province that way.......
    If the provincials keep up their irrational hatred of hardworking Londoners and seek to impose insane policies on them that cripple the strongest part of Britain's economy, sooner or later London will lose its sense of historical obligation to the rest of the UK. And the surplus funds we currently transfer from London could be used profitably in improving the world's most vital city.
    probably one of the dafter things you've written.

    London has a fairly transient population. It sucks people in from the provinces and around the world, who then try to make their money and get out.

    as for hardworking, don't make me laugh.
    It's ok. As good metropolitan liberals, we'll give generous overseas aid to the Impoverished provinces, though we'll attach strings to make sure that the government of rUK isn't too Neanderthal.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,362
    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
    well if you think of your relaives in the Province that way.......
    If the provincials keep up their irrational hatred of hardworking Londoners and seek to impose insane policies on them that cripple the strongest part of Britain's economy, sooner or later London will lose its sense of historical obligation to the rest of the UK. And the surplus funds we currently transfer from London could be used profitably in improving the world's most vital city.
    probably one of the dafter things you've written.

    London has a fairly transient population. It sucks people in from the provinces and around the world, who then try to make their money and get out.

    as for hardworking, don't make me laugh.
    It's ok. As good metropolitan liberals, we'll give generous overseas aid to the Impoverished provinces, though we'll attach strings to make sure that the government of rUK isn't too Neanderthal.
    LOL

    that's where Cameron gets it wrong too, he thinks that we vote on wealth rather than numbers of voters. Ultimately you'll do what you're told when we tire of bailing you out.
  • oldnatoldnat Posts: 136
    I agree that we'll not see much stability till after New Year, or till after the Burns Suppers. Once we all sober up though ..... :-)
    fitalass said:

    Lord Ashcroft might be better holding off doing a survey of Scottish Westminster seats until after the New Year, rather than in the immediate aftermath of the Independence Referendum. I suspect that might give us a far clearer snapshot of Scots voting intentions, tactical or otherwise in key seats at the next GE.

    That projection looks short in terms of Others. How does that 30 break down? 18 NI so 12 GB. 6 SNP, 3 Plaid, 2 UKIP 1 Green? Strikes me as a bit mean to both the SNP and UKIP.

    You can see the SNP picking up some seats from the Lib Dems, so definitely mean.

    Hopefully the Lord A poll on Lab held seats in Scotland will tell us more soon.
  • maaarshmaaarsh Posts: 3,585

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
    well if you think of your relaives in the Province that way.......
    If the provincials keep up their irrational hatred of hardworking Londoners and seek to impose insane policies on them that cripple the strongest part of Britain's economy, sooner or later London will lose its sense of historical obligation to the rest of the UK. And the surplus funds we currently transfer from London could be used profitably in improving the world's most vital city.
    probably one of the dafter things you've written.

    London has a fairly transient population. It sucks people in from the provinces and around the world, who then try to make their money and get out.

    as for hardworking, don't make me laugh.
    Antifrank has an obsession with accusing people or groups of being parasitic, which always makes me smile when I remember his profession.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,362
    maaarsh said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
    well if you think of your relaives in the Province that way.......
    If the provincials keep up their irrational hatred of hardworking Londoners and seek to impose insane policies on them that cripple the strongest part of Britain's economy, sooner or later London will lose its sense of historical obligation to the rest of the UK. And the surplus funds we currently transfer from London could be used profitably in improving the world's most vital city.
    probably one of the dafter things you've written.

    London has a fairly transient population. It sucks people in from the provinces and around the world, who then try to make their money and get out.

    as for hardworking, don't make me laugh.
    Antifrank has an obsession with accusing people or groups of being parasitic, which always makes me smile when I remember his profession.
    oh he's simply having his bit of fun.

    remember he's from Norfolk so he thinks Y fronts are swish :-)
  • HYUFD said:

    PeterthePunter Well I assume they are the nearest big team to Richmond, otherwise Barnsley or Sheffield Utd?

    Yes, they are the nearest team, but not the nearest football team.
    Oi, Ed Milliband is a Leeds fan don't ya know!

    Nearest "big" team to Richmond is Middlesbrough of course.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,575
    PeterThePunter I believe Richmond does have a football team, Richmond Town FC which plays in the Wearside League and was aptly known as Cameron United (1960'S) and Young Conservatives (1960's) http://www.richmondtownfc.org/club/History
  • saddenedsaddened Posts: 2,245
    All this endless UKIP wibble, makes me look back to AV discussion with the air of a golden age. There can't be much kool aid left in the country.
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,240
    antifrank said:

    Sean_F said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    More that we see much of the criticism of UKIP as being paranoid or self-serving.

    The tone of injured innocence of many kippers at the outrage and disdain they receive is weirdly like that of Frankie Boyle, and about as well-grounded.
    And yet, you've voted in the past for the looniest of the loons, the Green Party. Think what they'd do to London's economy.
  • manofkent2014manofkent2014 Posts: 1,543
    edited October 2014

    HYUFD said:

    Rishi Sunak was head boy of Winchester College apparently, so a bit of a change from Hague's Wath on Dearne Comprehensive. Then followed by a 1st from Oxford, like Hague, Stanford and Goldman Sachs before founding his own investment firm, also seems to be involved with a number of charities
    http://www.rishisunak.com/

    so he ticks all the boxes of the people who got us in the shit in the first place.

    why should we expect a different outcome ?
    UKIP surge in richmond?
    Doubt it . Even in the Euros the Tories won both council districts that the Richmond seat is made up from. It will be interesting to see how much UKIP eat into Hague's 23,000 majority but I think that one is a Con Hold......

    Hambleton Euro elections 2014

    Con 39%
    UKIP 29%
    Lab 12%
    Grn 8%
    LD 6%

    Richmondshire Euro Elections 2014

    Con 37%
    UKIP 32%
    Lab 11%
    Grn 9%.
    LD 6%

    UK General Election 2010

    Con 63%
    LD 19%
    Lab 15%
    Grn 3%
  • John Rentoul @JohnRentoul

    28% of Tory voters would "seriously consider" voting UKIP; & 21% of Labour voters could vote Green: ComRes @IndyOnSunday
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,292
    oldnat, have to agree with you there. :)
    oldnat said:

    HYUFD said:

    Unfortunately the new Scotland poll figures, giving an astonishing 21% swing from Labour to the SNP and a 13% swing from Labour to the Tories in Scotland mean these figures are now outdated, it is looking increasingly possible the SNP and UKIP could hold the balance of power on present numbers

    Let's wait for some actual Scottish polling over a series of polls, before leaping to conclusions. I suspect there is a lot of volatility in Scotland at the moment and, while I'd love to see SLab consigned to oblivion, I'm making no assumptions at the moment.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,735
    Good evening, everyone.
  • HYUFD said:

    Rishi Sunak was head boy of Winchester College apparently, so a bit of a change from Hague's Wath on Dearne Comprehensive. Then followed by a 1st from Oxford, like Hague, Stanford and Goldman Sachs before founding his own investment firm, also seems to be involved with a number of charities
    http://www.rishisunak.com/

    so he ticks all the boxes of the people who got us in the shit in the first place.

    why should we expect a different outcome ?
    UKIP surge in richmond?
    As an ex resident of the constituency of Richmond, it will be staunchly Tory next time around.

    That said, I do expect UKIP to go up a lot in the seat, mostly because William Hague was very popular (he made Richmond the safest Tory seat in the country at one point)
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,575
    The Woodpecker I tend to think of Middlesborough as North East, although it does lie in the ceremonial county of North Yorkshire
  • Been there Mr Rentoul, so I sympathise

    John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    Apologies. Fat Fingers here just broke my own embargo. Last tweet is for 7.30.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,575
    Alanbrooke Lehmans had a London HQ which was not bailed out of course, albeit a US government decision
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Post polling evidence which supports your hypothesis then.

    We've been here before....this is INDYREF all over again - the true believers oblivious to the data....inconvenient polls waved away as irrelevant.....
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    John Rentoul @JohnRentoul

    28% of Tory voters would "seriously consider" voting UKIP; & 21% of Labour voters could vote Green: ComRes @IndyOnSunday

    Broke his own embargo!
  • manofkent2014manofkent2014 Posts: 1,543
    edited October 2014
    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    No we understand perfectly. God after how many times they have banged on and on and on about it (do they talk about anything else?) we really do understand. The only thing is we don't give a flying fornication what they think and we treat such people with the disdain and total contempt they fully deserve.

  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,362
    HYUFD said:

    Alanbrooke Lehmans had a London HQ which was not bailed out of course, albeit a US government decision

    Oh I don't think that's just a single issue; it's bust banks, rigged interest rates, serial criminality, missold just about everything. The hard thing really, is it could all happen again today as Carney pointed out.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Post polling evidence which supports your hypothesis then.

    We've been here before....this is INDYREF all over again - the true believers oblivious to the data....inconvenient polls waved away as irrelevant.....
    With the difference being that in actual elections where people vote, tens of thousands of people who voted Labour or Tory in 2010 voted UKIP last week
  • John Rentoul @JohnRentoul

    28% of Tory voters would "seriously consider" voting UKIP; & 21% of Labour voters could vote Green: ComRes @IndyOnSunday

    " 21% of Labour voters could vote Green ".
    A cry for help.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Metropolitan liberals aren't even a majority in London. Its just the left have imported a hell of a lot of ethnic minorities that they have conned into believing you have the same beliefs.
    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
    well if you think of your relaives in the Province that way.......
    If the provincials keep up their irrational hatred of hardworking Londoners and seek to impose insane policies on them that cripple the strongest part of Britain's economy, sooner or later London will lose its sense of historical obligation to the rest of the UK. And the surplus funds we currently transfer from London could be used profitably in improving the world's most vital city.
    probably one of the dafter things you've written.

    London has a fairly transient population. It sucks people in from the provinces and around the world, who then try to make their money and get out.

    as for hardworking, don't make me laugh.
    It's ok. As good metropolitan liberals, we'll give generous overseas aid to the Impoverished provinces, though we'll attach strings to make sure that the government of rUK isn't too Neanderthal.
  • rcs1000rcs1000 Posts: 56,999

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
    well if you think of your relaives in the Province that way.......
    If the provincials keep up their irrational hatred of hardworking Londoners and seek to impose insane policies on them that cripple the strongest part of Britain's economy, sooner or later London will lose its sense of historical obligation to the rest of the UK. And the surplus funds we currently transfer from London could be used profitably in improving the world's most vital city.
    probably one of the dafter things you've written.

    London has a fairly transient population. It sucks people in from the provinces and around the world, who then try to make their money and get out.

    as for hardworking, don't make me laugh.
    It's ok. As good metropolitan liberals, we'll give generous overseas aid to the Impoverished provinces, though we'll attach strings to make sure that the government of rUK isn't too Neanderthal.
    LOL

    that's where Cameron gets it wrong too, he thinks that we vote on wealth rather than numbers of voters. Ultimately you'll do what you're told when we tire of bailing you out.
    Remind me which of the London banks were bailed out at the expense of the British taxpayer again?

    (I guess Lloyds is London based, and made the terrible error of helping out the government by buying HBoS. That'll teach them to try and help out.)
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    London only functions thanks to the more sensible voters that commute in every day from the home counties.
    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    All of them via quantitative easing.
    rcs1000 said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
    well if you think of your relaives in the Province that way.......
    If the provincials keep up their irrational hatred of hardworking Londoners and seek to impose insane policies on them that cripple the strongest part of Britain's economy, sooner or later London will lose its sense of historical obligation to the rest of the UK. And the surplus funds we currently transfer from London could be used profitably in improving the world's most vital city.
    probably one of the dafter things you've written.

    London has a fairly transient population. It sucks people in from the provinces and around the world, who then try to make their money and get out.

    as for hardworking, don't make me laugh.
    It's ok. As good metropolitan liberals, we'll give generous overseas aid to the Impoverished provinces, though we'll attach strings to make sure that the government of rUK isn't too Neanderthal.
    LOL

    that's where Cameron gets it wrong too, he thinks that we vote on wealth rather than numbers of voters. Ultimately you'll do what you're told when we tire of bailing you out.
    Remind me which of the London banks were bailed out at the expense of the British taxpayer again?

    (I guess Lloyds is London based, and made the terrible error of helping out the government by buying HBoS. That'll teach them to try and help out.)
  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,240

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Post polling evidence which supports your hypothesis then.

    We've been here before....this is INDYREF all over again - the true believers oblivious to the data....inconvenient polls waved away as irrelevant.....
    I suspect that tonight's ComRes poll will show that the proportion of Conservative supporters who'd consider voting Labour is far lower than the 28% who'd consider voting UKIP.
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    edited October 2014

    John Rentoul @JohnRentoul

    28% of Tory voters would "seriously consider" voting UKIP; & 21% of Labour voters could vote Green: ComRes @IndyOnSunday

    " 21% of Labour voters could vote Green ".
    A cry for help.
    Not many have "seriously considered" it in any by-elections/local elections/European elections yet.
  • I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,362
    rcs1000 said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
    well if you think of your relaives in the Province that way.......
    If the provincials keep up their irrational hatred of hardworking Londoners and seek to impose insane policies on them that cripple the strongest part of Britain's economy, sooner or later London will lose its sense of historical obligation to the rest of the UK. And the surplus funds we currently transfer from London could be used profitably in improving the world's most vital city.
    probably one of the dafter things you've written.

    London has a fairly transient population. It sucks people in from the provinces and around the world, who then try to make their money and get out.

    as for hardworking, don't make me laugh.
    It's ok. As good metropolitan liberals, we'll give generous overseas aid to the Impoverished provinces, though we'll attach strings to make sure that the government of rUK isn't too Neanderthal.
    LOL

    that's where Cameron gets it wrong too, he thinks that we vote on wealth rather than numbers of voters. Ultimately you'll do what you're told when we tire of bailing you out.
    Remind me which of the London banks were bailed out at the expense of the British taxpayer again?

    (I guess Lloyds is London based, and made the terrible error of helping out the government by buying HBoS. That'll teach them to try and help out.)
    Obviously none which is why we had over £1 tillion of financial sector intervention picked up by the tax payer.
  • EPGEPG Posts: 6,650
    Socrates said:

    Metropolitan liberals aren't even a majority in London. Its just the left have imported a hell of a lot of ethnic minorities that they have conned into believing you have the same beliefs.

    It's the left conning the liberals conning the metropolitans conning Labour conning the immigrants conning the left conning the (repeat ad infinitum; amend as required for left-wing false consciousness rant)
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    Haven't the polls been awful for us recently?
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    I wasn't going to point that out out of compassion for his embarrassment......
  • MyBurningEarsMyBurningEars Posts: 3,651
    edited October 2014
    FPT on how UKIP and Greens would fare in different electoral systems.


    My top-of-my-head thoughts:

    Full list PR. Labour do a good deal worse than FPTP, the Tories a little worse and the Lib Dems, SNP and Plaid a little better. UKIP end up with 100+ MPs and the Greens and other minority parties poll higher than at present. Parliament ends up with a whole profusion of fringe parties with 1-10 MPs but there are still four main blocks. c.40-60 Greens

    List PR operated regionally with a threshold. Zaps all the fringe parties but otherwise as above. With a high-ish threshold (say, 5%), the Greens may struggle in some regions. c.30-50 Greens

    AMS. Depends on the size of the constituencies but if, as in Scotland, we're looking at 15-20 MPs per area (half FPTP, half top-up), then that would also impose a high enough threshold to hit parties polling sub-5%. This effect hit the Scottish Greens in 2011, who were consistently at the cusp of picking up regional seats and only ended up with 2 MSPs (i.e. 1.5% of the parliament) on 4.4% of the vote. c.20-30 Greens.

    STV. Would need much smaller seats to be able to operate - probably 4-7 MPs per constituency. The higher threshold would not only hit the Greens very hard but would start to hit the Lib Dems widely too, and UKIP, Labour and the Tories more selectively. UKIP would particularly suffer from a lack of transfers with Labour probably gaining most due to other left-of-centre parties being eliminated. On current polling however, a Con-UKIP majority government would still be possible. c.10 Greens

    Open lists in STV-sized constituencies (my preferred option). Similar to the above except that the effect of transfers would be eliminated. c.10 Greens.

    Whatever system is used, PR would benefit the smaller parties but the specific choice would have a big impact on by how much each is assisted.

    @david_herdson Many thanks for the excellent top-of-the-head estimates and reasoning, on top of a fine thread header. And apologies for somewhat ballsing up the terminology...
  • isam said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    Haven't the polls been awful for us recently?
    As all the polling past and present shows, about half of the voters won't make up their mind until the campaign begins/are ready to change their mind, these supplementaries are useful to see how they will break closer to the election.
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    The only thing is we don't give a flying fornication what they think and we treat such people with the disdain and total contempt they fully deserve.
    Yep.....it's INDYREF 2......
  • I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    I wasn't going to point that out out of compassion for his embarrassment......
    We shouldn't point out the polling facts to these Cyber-Kippers, because you know, we're both out of touch, metropolitan elite, PB Tory fops, we have no idea what's going out on the ground.
  • John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    ComRes for @IndyOnSunday & @thesundaymirror Lab 34 -1 Con 31 +2 UKIP 19 LD 7 Green 4 Half sample prompted w UKIP in Q: Lab 31 Con 29 UKIP 24
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    Haven't the polls been awful for us recently?
    As all the polling past and present shows, about half of the voters won't make up their mind until the campaign begins/are ready to change their mind, these supplementaries are useful to see how they will break closer to the election.
    Would love it if half the voters do change their mind
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746

    John Rentoul @JohnRentoul

    28% of Tory voters would "seriously consider" voting UKIP; & 21% of Labour voters could vote Green: ComRes @IndyOnSunday

    Good news for UKIP and the Greens.

    2015 gets still harder to predict.
  • isam said:

    isam said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    Haven't the polls been awful for us recently?
    As all the polling past and present shows, about half of the voters won't make up their mind until the campaign begins/are ready to change their mind, these supplementaries are useful to see how they will break closer to the election.
    Would love it if half the voters do change their mind
    Bad news for you lot, is that history shows they tend to go back to the government of the day.
  • audreyanneaudreyanne Posts: 1,376

    isam said:

    isam said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    Haven't the polls been awful for us recently?
    As all the polling past and present shows, about half of the voters won't make up their mind until the campaign begins/are ready to change their mind, these supplementaries are useful to see how they will break closer to the election.
    Would love it if half the voters do change their mind
    Bad news for you lot, is that history shows they tend to go back to the government of the day.
    Yep
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    isam said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    Haven't the polls been awful for us recently?
    You really should just knuckle down, and vote for a proper political party iSam. UKIP are obviously finished.
  • audreyanneaudreyanne Posts: 1,376

    John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    ComRes for @IndyOnSunday & @thesundaymirror Lab 34 -1 Con 31 +2 UKIP 19 LD 7 Green 4

    See, for all the froth and breathlessness on pb that's hardly a massive UKIP breakthrough. It's only going to get tougher for them next year.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:

    isam said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    Haven't the polls been awful for us recently?
    As all the polling past and present shows, about half of the voters won't make up their mind until the campaign begins/are ready to change their mind, these supplementaries are useful to see how they will break closer to the election.
    Would love it if half the voters do change their mind
    Bad news for you lot, is that history shows they tend to go back to the government of the day.
    Swingback?!

    When you look at the breakdowns from Ashcroft polls of the % of voters from each party who would consider changing their mind, if they all did, it would be better for the small parties than the big 2

    Still the twisting on here that the polls are bad for UKIP at the moment is good value entertainment, keep it coming!
  • isam said:

    isam said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    Haven't the polls been awful for us recently?
    As all the polling past and present shows, about half of the voters won't make up their mind until the campaign begins/are ready to change their mind, these supplementaries are useful to see how they will break closer to the election.
    Would love it if half the voters do change their mind
    Bad news for you lot, is that history shows they tend to go back to the government of the day.
    What like they did in 2010?
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,362

    isam said:

    isam said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    Haven't the polls been awful for us recently?
    As all the polling past and present shows, about half of the voters won't make up their mind until the campaign begins/are ready to change their mind, these supplementaries are useful to see how they will break closer to the election.
    Would love it if half the voters do change their mind
    Bad news for you lot, is that history shows they tend to go back to the government of the day.
    Yep
    yes, but only over time. Give it a decade or so.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    Where are the ComRes figures ?
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    ComRes for @IndyOnSunday & @thesundaymirror Lab 34 -1 Con 31 +2 UKIP 19 LD 7 Green 4

    See, for all the froth and breathlessness on pb that's hardly a massive UKIP breakthrough. It's only going to get tougher for them next year.
    Yep, these record highs are a real disappointment
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    edited October 2014

    John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    ComRes for @IndyOnSunday & @thesundaymirror Lab 34 -1 Con 31 +2 UKIP 19 LD 7 Green 4

    See, for all the froth and breathlessness on pb that's hardly a massive UKIP breakthrough. It's only going to get tougher for them next year.
    Yes, and with only 28% of current-Con thinking about voting UKIP, they really can't hope for much over 30% on their best day. Doomed.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549

    John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    ComRes for @IndyOnSunday & @thesundaymirror Lab 34 -1 Con 31 +2 UKIP 19 LD 7 Green 4 Half sample prompted w UKIP in Q: Lab 31 Con 29 UKIP 24

    Baxterised ?
  • CarlottaVanceCarlottaVance Posts: 60,216

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    I wasn't going to point that out out of compassion for his embarrassment......
    We shouldn't point out the polling facts to these Cyber-Kippers, because you know, we're both out of touch, metropolitan elite, PB Tory fops, we have no idea what's going out on the ground.
    I expect we'll be wrong.....like last time......
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    isam said:

    John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    ComRes for @IndyOnSunday & @thesundaymirror Lab 34 -1 Con 31 +2 UKIP 19 LD 7 Green 4

    See, for all the froth and breathlessness on pb that's hardly a massive UKIP breakthrough. It's only going to get tougher for them next year.
    Yep, these record highs are a real disappointment
    Chin up iSam. Remember, this too shall pass.
  • EPG said:

    Socrates said:

    Metropolitan liberals aren't even a majority in London. Its just the left have imported a hell of a lot of ethnic minorities that they have conned into believing you have the same beliefs.

    It's the left conning the liberals conning the metropolitans conning Labour conning the immigrants conning the left conning the (repeat ad infinitum; amend as required for left-wing false consciousness rant)

    Import? You import goods and services. Does Socrates regard immigrants as somehow less than human? Of course, the immigrants arriving from EU countries do not get votes, while many immigrant communities in London are long-established.

  • Sean_FSean_F Posts: 37,240

    John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    ComRes for @IndyOnSunday & @thesundaymirror Lab 34 -1 Con 31 +2 UKIP 19 LD 7 Green 4

    See, for all the froth and breathlessness on pb that's hardly a massive UKIP breakthrough. It's only going to get tougher for them next year.
    Yes, and with only 28% of current-Con thinking about voting UKIP, they really can't hope for much over 30% on their best day. Doomed.
    Yea, it all goes to show how unpopular UKIP have become.
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    surbiton said:

    John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    ComRes for @IndyOnSunday & @thesundaymirror Lab 34 -1 Con 31 +2 UKIP 19 LD 7 Green 4 Half sample prompted w UKIP in Q: Lab 31 Con 29 UKIP 24

    Baxterised ?
    I suspect small but stable Labour majority.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    surbiton said:

    John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    ComRes for @IndyOnSunday & @thesundaymirror Lab 34 -1 Con 31 +2 UKIP 19 LD 7 Green 4 Half sample prompted w UKIP in Q: Lab 31 Con 29 UKIP 24

    Baxterised ?
    UKIP zero seats
  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    isam said:

    surbiton said:

    John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    ComRes for @IndyOnSunday & @thesundaymirror Lab 34 -1 Con 31 +2 UKIP 19 LD 7 Green 4 Half sample prompted w UKIP in Q: Lab 31 Con 29 UKIP 24

    Baxterised ?
    UKIP zero seats
    And fined for scruffy turnout.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    EPG said:

    Socrates said:

    Metropolitan liberals aren't even a majority in London. Its just the left have imported a hell of a lot of ethnic minorities that they have conned into believing you have the same beliefs.

    It's the left conning the liberals conning the metropolitans conning Labour conning the immigrants conning the left conning the (repeat ad infinitum; amend as required for left-wing false consciousness rant)

    Import? You import goods and services. Does Socrates regard immigrants as somehow less than human? Of course, the immigrants arriving from EU countries do not get votes, while many immigrant communities in London are long-established.

    Socrates is Lord Freud, and Southam is Angela Eagle!
  • surbitonsurbiton Posts: 13,549
    @Socrates: Are you an immigrant ? You have a foreign name.
  • HYUFDHYUFD Posts: 122,575
    edited October 2014
    Alanbrooke If there is a next time it would not just be the one bank going bust, I would imagine public opinion would be so strong the Tea Party or UKIP could win on a 'no bailouts' platform. Remember the US House of Representatives initially voted down the bailout
  • Paul_Mid_BedsPaul_Mid_Beds Posts: 1,409
    edited October 2014
    surbiton said:

    John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    ComRes for @IndyOnSunday & @thesundaymirror Lab 34 -1 Con 31 +2 UKIP 19 LD 7 Green 4 Half sample prompted w UKIP in Q: Lab 31 Con 29 UKIP 24

    Baxterised ?
    The 31/29/24 poll gives

    C 289
    L 307
    LD 20
    UKIP 5

    I think if UKIP get 24% they will get a lot more than 5 and they wont get any of the 5 seats Baxter suggests they will ie

    Argyll & Bute
    Cambridgeshire (Hupperts Seat !)
    Gordon
    Inverness Nairn Badenoch and Strathspey
    Devon North (well maybe)

    Baxters methodology seems to have UKIP as a some sort of Anti Liberal (in the sense of Antimatter) vote.
  • Socrates said:

    London only functions thanks to the more sensible voters that commute in every day from the home counties.

    antifrank said:

    antifrank said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    Those who think that UKIP is The Voice Of Reason seem unable to understand that a lot of other people think that UKIP are complete fruitloops, and unpleasant ones at that.
    so a bit like Londoners ?
    I'm sure Londoners aren't popular with the sponging classes of the provinces. It is the lot of those that sustain the lotus eaters in their lifestyles to be disliked.
    No, London mainly functions on the back of minimum wage men and women who wake up at the crack of dawn and get buses and tubes to work. The wealth creators tend to live in the places in inner London which a few decades ago were home to large working class communities.

  • anotherDaveanotherDave Posts: 6,746
    Sean_F said:

    John Rentoul ‏@JohnRentoul

    ComRes for @IndyOnSunday & @thesundaymirror Lab 34 -1 Con 31 +2 UKIP 19 LD 7 Green 4

    See, for all the froth and breathlessness on pb that's hardly a massive UKIP breakthrough. It's only going to get tougher for them next year.
    Yes, and with only 28% of current-Con thinking about voting UKIP, they really can't hope for much over 30% on their best day. Doomed.
    Yea, it all goes to show how unpopular UKIP have become.
    How foolish UKIP are to trudge on. Still they're all fruitcakes, so they probably just don't know better.
  • isam said:

    EPG said:

    Socrates said:

    Metropolitan liberals aren't even a majority in London. Its just the left have imported a hell of a lot of ethnic minorities that they have conned into believing you have the same beliefs.

    It's the left conning the liberals conning the metropolitans conning Labour conning the immigrants conning the left conning the (repeat ad infinitum; amend as required for left-wing false consciousness rant)

    Import? You import goods and services. Does Socrates regard immigrants as somehow less than human? Of course, the immigrants arriving from EU countries do not get votes, while many immigrant communities in London are long-established.

    Socrates is Lord Freud, and Southam is Angela Eagle!

    If Socrates did not mean to use the word import when he wrote it he can let us know. The fact is that import is a term that usually applies to goods and services.

  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,440
    edited October 2014
    isam said:

    isam said:

    isam said:

    I know Labour supporters did that in some places to keep out the BNP. however again. Holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out Neonazis is one thing, holding your nose and voting Tory to keep out a party thats on the same spectrum as the Tories but not full of upper class twits is another

    What polling evidence do you have that Lab voters think UKIP is "on the same spectrum as Tories"?

    This suggests not:

    Lab Voters think the party is extreme:
    Con:,37
    Lab: 84
    And do you seriously think that if Labour voters had been asked the question "Are the Tory Party extreme?" much less than 84% of people would say yes?

    Err they did ask that question.

    You Kippers are really into polling denial aren't you.
    Haven't the polls been awful for us recently?
    As all the polling past and present shows, about half of the voters won't make up their mind until the campaign begins/are ready to change their mind, these supplementaries are useful to see how they will break closer to the election.
    Would love it if half the voters do change their mind
    Bad news for you lot, is that history shows they tend to go back to the government of the day.
    Swingback?!

    When you look at the breakdowns from Ashcroft polls of the % of voters from each party who would consider changing their mind, if they all did, it would be better for the small parties than the big 2

    Still the twisting on here that the polls are bad for UKIP at the moment is good value entertainment, keep it coming!
    You keep on engaging in polling denying, I'm loving it, it reminds me of the Kippers in Kilts.

    http://may2015.com/ideas/what-does-history-suggest-will-happen-in-the-polls/
This discussion has been closed.