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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Local By-Election Preview: September 18th 2014 (Referendum

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  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    SeanT said:

    Whoah. Salmond looks broken. And he's gone.

    A bitter twilight awaits him.

    Karma for his fermenting of division and rancour.
  • Salmond doesn't endorse any successor.
  • Hugh said:

    A great shame that David Cameron and the Tories have decided to use the constitution to try and score some petty party political points against Labour.

    Predictable though, they have form like their boundary gerrymandering attempt.

    It stinks of Osborne. And it'll fail.

    Cameron has played a blinder. Hows it going to look when Labour opposes EV4EL?

  • AllyMAllyM Posts: 260
    Salmond going quicker than I thought.

    Thought he would he stay till GE2015.

    Slinging as much mud as he can on the way out.
  • David Cameron is Malleus Salmondtorum
  • PulpstarPulpstar Posts: 78,406
    edited September 2014
    Damn, knew I should have taken the 9-4 !

    Put the question on here, noone answered >< !
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    Salmond has been knifed - they have until November to find the wild horses to drag him off.
  • Socrates said:

    Socrates said:

    taffys said:

    Sounds fun - Telegraph

    These labour proposals won;t get tory support. This means the Scottish 'vows' won't go through. Scotland will be up in arms and we will be at constitutional deadlock.

    Ed is going to end up annoying everyone in....

    1. Scotland
    2. England

    purely for party reasons.

    Epic

    As opposed to the Tories, who have not considered party advantage at all. Let me tell you about an email I got the other day from the wife of a recently deceased Nigerian general ...

    Yes, but the Tories are backing something that is both in their advantage and logically fair. The Labour party is backing something is in their advantage and obviously completely unfair.

    What is Labour backing? I have not seen any proposals yet.

    More powers for Scotland with no action on England.

    I am not sure that's true. If it is, though, then clearly they will get hammered in the polls and deservedly so.

  • Danny565Danny565 Posts: 8,091
    edited September 2014
    Chortling at this idea that Labour will be "killed" in England for opposing "EV4EL". It's too complicated and seemingly irrelevant for the public to pick up on it. People outside the Westminster bubble just don't understand the arcane workings of Parliament -- we saw that with the boundaries issue, where the Tory commentariat were excitedly proclaiming how bad it was for Labour, but it made no impression on the public at all.

    What COULD be a fruitful issue for politicians is opposing the higher spending Scotland (allegedly) gets, since that IS something the "layman" can understand easily. And UKIP might well get some extra support if they push that angle (though it's hard to see how the Tories could given Cameron's "vow"). But even for English people who resent Scotland getting a better deal, it won't be immediately obvious to them why tinkering with parliamentary proceedures would deal with the issue at all, and it would involve some long technical explanation which would make most people switch off.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    edited September 2014
    Carnyx said:

    Neil said:

    Carnyx said:

    MattW said:

    "It wuz rigged. We demand a recount" petition now at 40,000+.

    There's a whole lotta lemmings-with-conspiracy-theories out there.

    https://www.change.org/p/alex-salmond-we-the-undersigned-demand-a-revote-of-the-scottish-referendum-counted-by-impartial-international-parties

    I have to say that I'm not at all impressed with UK election security, quite independent (so to speak) of the above. I'd very much like to see improvements made to it.

    What criticisms would you make of it in particular?

    Lack of identity checks, other than the postal card.
    No need even to produce the postal notification card.
    Possible need for restriction of postal voting (not just due to abuse by others but the sort of problem we saw with Messrs Cameron et al moving the goals in the middle of postal voting).

    Others will know the mechanics o sorting, but the Glenrothes disappearance of ballot box(es) suggests a lack of tracing of the kind routinely used for the delivery of the merest Amazon paperback: but as I say others would know better.


    Huge parts of electoral system are open to rampant abuse. Have a read of this article:

    http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/8655697.stm

    People are signing their votes over to "community leaders" in huge numbers. It's outrageous. You should have to present valid ID, be it a passport, driver's licence, or something equivalent to vote. It's very easy to intimidate someone into not turning up and to go and vote for them. Proxy voting should be banned, and postal voting should be restricted to those with very good reason (working abroad, disability etc).
  • Guido Fawkes ‏@GuidoFawkes · 2 mins
    That "vow" didn't last long: BBC reporting Miliband will not sign up to the PM's plan to give more powers to the Scottish Parliament.

    Backtracking quickly Mr Miliband....

    Brilliant. If he continues to be truly obstructive, the Tories might make a handful of gains in Scotland from Labour too.
  • TGOHF said:

    Salmond chewing a wasp - not much grace here.

    And he is standing down !

    No surprise after that result. He looks a broken man.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    Loyalists to other parties, all other parties, criticise ukip at almost every opportunity... Yet the public, if polls, membership numbers and elections are to be believed, are behind them in increasing numbers

    So who should they listen to?
  • @Nigel Farage letter - he needs to be careful to watch his tone and language on this, very carefully. Lest he cede the moral high ground.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322
    Danny565 said:

    Chortling at this idea that Labour will be "killed" in England for opposing "EV4EL". It's too complicated and seemingly irrelevant for the public to pick up on it. People outside the Westminster bubble just don't understand the arcane workings of Parliament -- we saw that with the boundaries issue, where the Tory commentariat were excitedly proclaiming how bad it was for Labour, but it made no impression on the public at all.

    What COULD be a fruitful issue for politicians is opposing the higher spending Scotland (allegedly) gets, since that IS something the "layman" can understand easily. And UKIP might well get some extra support if they push that angle (though it's hard to see how the Tories could given Cameron's "vow"). But even for English people who resent Scotland getting a better deal, it won't be immediately obvious to them why tinkering with parliamentary proceedures would deal with the issue at all, and it would involve some long technical explanation which would make most people switch off.

    How is it "alleged"? It's right there in the official statistics.
  • Salmond resigns - standing down at SNP conference.

    A good decision by him, all things considered - the union turnips proved right yet again..
  • Salmond isn't a failure. He nearly ended the Union.
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983

    Salmond isn't a failure.

    He has few equals in UK politics today.
  • Salmond isn't a failure. He nearly ended the Union.

    So, a good value loser ?
  • AllyMAllyM Posts: 260
    SeanT said:

    TGOHF said:

    SeanT said:

    Whoah. Salmond looks broken. And he's gone.

    A bitter twilight awaits him.

    Karma for his fermenting of division and rancour.
    I disagree entirely. Scots love the romantic failure. Bonnie Prince Charlie.

    He's done exactly the right thing. He will become the great revered elder statesman of Scottish politics, adored by millions as the Man Who Nearly Did That Amazing Thing.

    Correct. That's exactly what he is doing. The whole routine is fitting of that persona.
  • SocratesSocrates Posts: 10,322

    Socrates said:


    Do you see the "haven't got a clue" bit. That's the criticism. That's what you're not seeing. Now their richness probably explains the fact they haven't got a clue, so it's related, but it's not the criticism itself. You can have people who come from rich backgrounds that do "get it": FDR, as patrician as they come, was the classic example.

    One can argue about who has and hasn't got a clue, but one can't argue with the fact that the bit I quoted is a straightforward lie. The cabinet is not stacked with Old Etonians and their rich chums.
    According to the Mail, 21 of 23 in the 2010 cabinet are millionaires:

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/election/article-1280554/The-coalition-millionaires-23-29-member-new-cabinet-worth-1m--Lib-Dems-just-wealthy-Tories.html

    I can't imagine it's changed much since then. So Old Etonians + rich people who are friendly to Cameron clearly are stacked in the cabinet.
  • New thread.
  • GadflyGadfly Posts: 1,191
    New Salmond's Gone thread
  • TGOHFTGOHF Posts: 21,633
    SeanT said:

    TGOHF said:

    SeanT said:

    Whoah. Salmond looks broken. And he's gone.

    A bitter twilight awaits him.

    Karma for his fermenting of division and rancour.
    I disagree entirely. Scots love the romantic failure. Bonnie Prince Charlie.

    He's done exactly the right thing. He will become the great revered elder statesman of Scottish politics, adored by millions as the Man Who Nearly Did That Amazing Thing.

    More like the Ed McHeath - a huge sulking elephant watching the rain pour down outside his Aberdonian windows.

    Not going until after the Ryder Cup of course.

  • MaxPB said:

    taffys said:

    Sounds fun - Telegraph

    These labour proposals won;t get tory support. This means the Scottish 'vows' won't go through. Scotland will be up in arms and we will be at constitutional deadlock.

    Ed is going to end up annoying everyone in....

    1. Scotland
    2. England

    purely for party reasons.

    Epic

    As opposed to the Tories, who have not considered party advantage at all. Let me tell you about an email I got the other day from the wife of a recently deceased Nigerian general ...

    The Tory proposals are fair and have popular cross party support among English voters according to Comres. By opposing the PM's plan for devomax in Scotland and EV4EL he is playing politics because he knows Labour would beseverely weakened in Westminster. Worse still is that if Dave and Nick deliver devomax and EV4EL without Labour both of them could see some kind of relaunch in Scotland.

    Ed needs to get on board and then deal with the consequences after the election. Maybe split off English Labour from Scottish Labour.

    What are the Tory proposals? EV4EL is a principle - and a fair one - but as far as I know there have been no details so far.

    If EV4EL is merely a blocking mechanism that prevents the UK government passing legislation only applicable in England without the approval of a majority of English MPs I don't actually see what the big problem is. All it would mean is more cross-party consensus than we are used to at Westminster. It certainly would not stop MPs from non-English constituencies holding the great offices of state.

    I agree that Scottish labour should become a distinct organisation and suspect that this is what will end up happening. It will help labour north and south of the border.

  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,046
    Shame.

    Listening to him this morning he was and is the only person I can imagine taking the fight on to squeeze the most out of imminent negotiations with Westminster.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Golly! That's made this glorious day even better.

    Just shows what a narcissistic agenda he had.
    TGOHF said:

    SeanT said:

    Whoah. Salmond looks broken. And he's gone.

    A bitter twilight awaits him.

    Karma for his fermenting of division and rancour.
  • PlatoPlato Posts: 15,724
    Looks like Idi Amin managed to be King of Scotland where Alex Salmond failed.

    *titters*

    TGOHF said:

    Salmond chewing a wasp - not much grace here.

    And he is standing down !

    No surprise after that result. He looks a broken man.
  • TOPPINGTOPPING Posts: 43,046
    Plato said:

    Golly! That's made this glorious day even better.

    Just shows what a narcissistic agenda he had.

    TGOHF said:

    SeanT said:

    Whoah. Salmond looks broken. And he's gone.

    A bitter twilight awaits him.

    Karma for his fermenting of division and rancour.
    OK how bonkers was Scandal S2??

    Please don't mention what happens next but S3 is not yet available...hope that happens soon...
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,514

    Salmond isn't a failure. He nearly ended the Union.

    Hannibal Salmond - need I say more ?

This discussion has been closed.