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  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    malcolmg said:

    'For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.'

    So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.

    More unemployed = More customers
    Exactly. Wetherspoons are hardly going to piss off their key demographic by coming out against independence. By the same token I'm astonished ANY supermarket has admitted prices will rise, not that one or two have decided to remain silent.
    Wetherspoons are great , had nice Arran Blonde today , only 2.35 a pint , unbelievable.
    Sounds like you've had a few judging by your comments. Are you questioning the accuracy of the Survation Poll and if so, on what grounds?

  • Hysteria doesn't have to be on one's own behalf, and yours seems entirely based on cockeyed media reports and vestigial knowledge.
    Try some objective analysis for yourself: how many verifiable reports of assaults, broken windows, threats of violence and acts of vandalism connected to the referendum can you find?

    It never occurred to me to count incidents so I could not say. I have a lot of friends in Scotland and I go by what they tell me. I have known them for 30+ years and I trust them.

    The media and bloggers and journos on the ground report a lot of the same. Salmond's press conferences have an air of the surreal about them as he ignores facts he dislikes and questions he does not want to hear. The whole thing conveys an impression and a bad one at that.

    People's feeling and moods are often set by impressions rather than facts - a technique that YES seems to be employing to a spectacular advantage - but it is a techniques that works both ways and it paints YES as nasty and intolerant.

    Obviously you disagree with me and I have no issues with that. All I am doing is responding with how I feel, how what I see affects me and why I worry for those who, unlike me, are caught in the middle of this.

    YES might be right Mr Divvie. This might be the best thing that could ever happen to Scotland, but how come no one else in the world seems to see it that way?. Whatever view the YES campaign has, it is not a balanced one, it cannot be because only victory matters. But surely you must acknowledge that it is a bit odd that only one small group with a vested interest is right compared to a much larger group of well-informed largely impartial people who say the opposite.

    Salmond does not even offer counter-arguments to those he disagrees with, he merely brushes their arguments aside as irrelevant or not worth discussing. Does that really not worry you?


    So no facts or evidence, just feelings, impressions and 2nd hand anecdotes? Good job you're not a scientist.
    "So no facts or evidence, just feelings, impressions"

    that;s just so funny in its own way.
    The future is unknown, the past immutable.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498
    Carnyx said:

    felix said:

    dr_spyn said:

    @Carnyx just about to look.

    But...

    3.14pm BST
    James Kelly, a pro-independence blogger, says this poll gives the yes camp their second highest ratings in a telephone poll.

    There are no Unionist tanks in Edinburgh.

    LOL. However, more seriously I have always felt that on-line polling has to be susceptible to organised infiltration - particularly so to something like Y/N referenda. I know the polling companies have methods to counter this but I remain sceptical.
    There was an occasion about 2 years back where the No side raised a chorus of worries of infiltration by the Yes side with the effect that one pollster's panel was frozen - or something of the sort. (Which raises questions about how it has kept up with tecent changes.) Others will know about 100x more than me about that.

    The polls are crap and loaded
  • JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400
    edited September 2014
    malcolmg said:

    'For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.'

    So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.

    More unemployed = More customers
    Pity that Scotland has less unemployed than England. You would know about that given you attend for your JSA.

    Wrong. As a believer in facts rather than opinions I'm sure you'll be interested to know that the last ONS unemployment data showed 6.3% of people were unemployed in England and 6.4% of people were unemployed in Scotland.

    I fear the SNP have been too busy with their campaigning and forgotten all about the public they are meant to be serving.

    http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/publications/re-reference-tables.html?edition=tcm:77-319703
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,514
    felix said:

    malcolmg said:

    'For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.'

    So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.

    More unemployed = More customers
    Exactly. Wetherspoons are hardly going to piss off their key demographic by coming out against independence. By the same token I'm astonished ANY supermarket has admitted prices will rise, not that one or two have decided to remain silent.
    Wetherspoons are great , had nice Arran Blonde today , only 2.35 a pint , unbelievable.
    Sounds like you've had a few judging by your comments. Are you questioning the accuracy of the Survation Poll and if so, on what grounds?
    malc always enjoys a good pint after a hard day's marching


  • Stay with the whatever the British Army becomes, and there's an opportunity to travel the globe, and possibly see some action or do something useful (which lets face it, is what soldiers train to do).

    Join the Defence Force and stay at home, occasionally peering at Spanish trawlers plundering fish stocks, through binoculars.

    Sounds better for your life expectancy/family life.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498
    Carnyx said:

    RobD said:

    Stand by for a shitstorm, beeboid interviewer saying she came across widespread intimidation from Yes during the campaign. Interviewing reid and Murphy.

    Like the planned Nat 'Intimidation' Parades on Election Day.
    Those are utterly disgusting, IMO.
    And you don't know anything about them except that there will be facepaint! and balloons!!

    Rob is a scaredy fanny Carnyx, he imagines that face painting which takes place every week at fairs etc is disgusting. What a serious halfwitted jessie erchie.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,514


    Hysteria doesn't have to be on one's own behalf, and yours seems entirely based on cockeyed media reports and vestigial knowledge.
    Try some objective analysis for yourself: how many verifiable reports of assaults, broken windows, threats of violence and acts of vandalism connected to the referendum can you find?

    It never occurred to me to count incidents so I could not say. I have a lot of friends in Scotland and I go by what they tell me. I have known them for 30+ years and I trust them.

    The media and bloggers and journos on the ground report a lot of the same. Salmond's press conferences have an air of the surreal about them as he ignores facts he dislikes and questions he does not want to hear. The whole thing conveys an impression and a bad one at that.

    People's feeling and moods are often set by impressions rather than facts - a technique that YES seems to be employing to a spectacular advantage - but it is a techniques that works both ways and it paints YES as nasty and intolerant.

    Obviously you disagree with me and I have no issues with that. All I am doing is responding with how I feel, how what I see affects me and why I worry for those who, unlike me, are caught in the middle of this.

    YES might be right Mr Divvie. This might be the best thing that could ever happen to Scotland, but how come no one else in the world seems to see it that way?. Whatever view the YES campaign has, it is not a balanced one, it cannot be because only victory matters. But surely you must acknowledge that it is a bit odd that only one small group with a vested interest is right compared to a much larger group of well-informed largely impartial people who say the opposite.

    Salmond does not even offer counter-arguments to those he disagrees with, he merely brushes their arguments aside as irrelevant or not worth discussing. Does that really not worry you?


    So no facts or evidence, just feelings, impressions and 2nd hand anecdotes? Good job you're not a scientist.
    "So no facts or evidence, just feelings, impressions"

    that;s just so funny in its own way.
    The future is unknown, the past immutable.
    you'll never make a Stalinist ;-)

  • Hysteria doesn't have to be on one's own behalf, and yours seems entirely based on cockeyed media reports and vestigial knowledge.
    Try some objective analysis for yourself: how many verifiable reports of assaults, broken windows, threats of violence and acts of vandalism connected to the referendum can you find?

    It never occurred to me to count incidents so I could not say. I have a lot of friends in Scotland and I go by what they tell me. I have known them for 30+ years and I trust them.

    The media and bloggers and journos on the ground report a lot of the same. Salmond's press conferences have an air of the surreal about them as he ignores facts he dislikes and questions he does not want to hear. The whole thing conveys an impression and a bad one at that.

    People's feeling and moods are often set by impressions rather than facts - a technique that YES seems to be employing to a spectacular advantage - but it is a techniques that works both ways and it paints YES as nasty and intolerant.

    Obviously you disagree with me and I have no issues with that. All I am doing is responding with how I feel, how what I see affects me and why I worry for those who, unlike me, are caught in the middle of this.

    YES might be right Mr Divvie. This might be the best thing that could ever happen to Scotland, but how come no one else in the world seems to see it that way?. Whatever view the YES campaign has, it is not a balanced one, it cannot be because only victory matters. But surely you must acknowledge that it is a bit odd that only one small group with a vested interest is right compared to a much larger group of well-informed largely impartial people who say the opposite.

    Salmond does not even offer counter-arguments to those he disagrees with, he merely brushes their arguments aside as irrelevant or not worth discussing. Does that really not worry you?


    So no facts or evidence, just feelings, impressions and 2nd hand anecdotes? Good job you're not a scientist.
    "So no facts or evidence, just feelings, impressions"

    that;s just so funny in its own way.
    The future is unknown, the past immutable.
    Well, under New Labour, the future was certain, it was the past that kept changing..
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498



    Stay with the whatever the British Army becomes, and there's an opportunity to travel the globe, and possibly see some action or do something useful (which lets face it, is what soldiers train to do).

    Join the Defence Force and stay at home, occasionally peering at Spanish trawlers plundering fish stocks, through binoculars.

    Sounds better for your life expectancy/family life.
    yes no illegal wars , no getting bits and pieces blown off trying to steal other people's oil, sounds all right. Bet watcher is just dying to give up his JSA and volunteer for service. More likely he prefers Call of Duty on his state funded 50" plasma.
  • DavidLDavidL Posts: 54,014
    Just over 5 hours on the streets of Dundee today handing out Labour material for a no vote. Their Indyref bus was in town and formed the base for operations. Roughly 50-60 people helping out including those on the bus who included Sarwar.

    The day involved a vaguely amusing and well behaved confrontation with a Yes march and a battle for the poor Dundee shoppers with competing stalls set up by the SNP and the Socialist Workers.

    Trying my best to be objective I would say the following:

    1. We were clearly outnumbered by the activists for Yes, probably about 3:2.
    2. Labour party material was received a lot better than BT material might have been. Quite a number of people volunteered that we were finally handing out the right material and it was about time.
    3. Very significant numbers of No supporters had already voted.
    4. Quite a number of people felt intimidated by the Yes demonstrators and clapped me and others on our backs for our "courage". I have to say that I did not face any personal intimidation all day and think that the fear of this is completely out of synch with the reality.
    5. It is hard to underestimate the scale of this. By the middle of the afternoon the majority of shoppers in Dundee were wearing badges for one side or the other with the odd comedian wearing both. I have never seen a political campaign that has got close to this intensity.
    6. Having spoken myself to several hundred people today it is difficult to give any more than a vague impression of the overall picture. My impression is that whilst Yes had the edge it was genuinely close. I spoke to over 200 people who were either voting or had voted no myself.
    7. I am ticked off that we have not been doing more of this earlier and that we have given the streets of Dundee to Yes too often. Those who were inclined to vote no were genuinely pleased we were there and making the effort.

    This week is now all about GOTV. It is going to be busy.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498
    felix said:

    malcolmg said:

    'For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.'

    So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.

    More unemployed = More customers
    Exactly. Wetherspoons are hardly going to piss off their key demographic by coming out against independence. By the same token I'm astonished ANY supermarket has admitted prices will rise, not that one or two have decided to remain silent.
    Wetherspoons are great , had nice Arran Blonde today , only 2.35 a pint , unbelievable.
    Sounds like you've had a few judging by your comments. Are you questioning the accuracy of the Survation Poll and if so, on what grounds?
    Go stick your head up your Erchie you pillock. One pint if it is any of your business you sour faced pile of puss.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498

    felix said:

    malcolmg said:

    'For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.'

    So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.

    More unemployed = More customers
    Exactly. Wetherspoons are hardly going to piss off their key demographic by coming out against independence. By the same token I'm astonished ANY supermarket has admitted prices will rise, not that one or two have decided to remain silent.
    Wetherspoons are great , had nice Arran Blonde today , only 2.35 a pint , unbelievable.
    Sounds like you've had a few judging by your comments. Are you questioning the accuracy of the Survation Poll and if so, on what grounds?
    malc always enjoys a good pint after a hard day's marching
    Did plenty of marching round shops Alan for sure. Sent out by the boss.
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    edited September 2014
    malcolmg said:

    Carnyx said:

    RobD said:

    Stand by for a shitstorm, beeboid interviewer saying she came across widespread intimidation from Yes during the campaign. Interviewing reid and Murphy.

    Like the planned Nat 'Intimidation' Parades on Election Day.
    Those are utterly disgusting, IMO.
    And you don't know anything about them except that there will be facepaint! and balloons!!

    Rob is a scaredy fanny Carnyx, he imagines that face painting which takes place every week at fairs etc is disgusting. What a serious halfwitted jessie erchie.
    Malcontent, we can all imagine the attractions at fairs that you attend.

    Braveheart facepainting, displays of intimidation marching, Wickerman burning etc
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498
    edited September 2014
    JonathanD said:

    malcolmg said:

    'For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.'

    So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.

    More unemployed = More customers
    Pity that Scotland has less unemployed than England. You would know about that given you attend for your JSA.

    Wrong. As a believer in facts rather than opinions I'm sure you'll be interested to know that the last ONS unemployment data showed 6.3% of people were unemployed in England and 6.4% of people were unemployed in Scotland.

    I fear the SNP have been too busy with their campaigning and forgotten all about the public they are meant to be serving.

    http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/publications/re-reference-tables.html?edition=tcm:77-319703
    Huge gap there eh , 6.3% of 60 million makes much bigger number than 6.4% of 5 million , so I was correct as usual.
  • dr_spyndr_spyn Posts: 11,300
    malcolmg said:

    dr_spyn said:

    Which way will Murdoch jump?

    http://www.youtube.com/watch
    ?v=W6vDzf-wSbk

    Is this a clue - Groundskeeper Willie on His Master's Voice?

    Willie knows how it is going
    I see that Rupert Murdoch is now in Scotland, whether The Sun in Scotland will take a Salmond leap is another matter. I don't know if Mayor Quimby has been encouraging voters to vote no. But Homer Simpson would probably vote both ways - D'Oh.
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    malcolmg said:

    felix said:

    malcolmg said:

    'For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.'

    So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.

    More unemployed = More customers
    Exactly. Wetherspoons are hardly going to piss off their key demographic by coming out against independence. By the same token I'm astonished ANY supermarket has admitted prices will rise, not that one or two have decided to remain silent.
    Wetherspoons are great , had nice Arran Blonde today , only 2.35 a pint , unbelievable.
    Sounds like you've had a few judging by your comments. Are you questioning the accuracy of the Survation Poll and if so, on what grounds?
    Go stick your head up your Erchie you pillock. One pint if it is any of your business you sour faced pile of puss.
    Have a few more - it might improve your vocabulary.
  • Mr. L, best of luck in your ongoing battle against Kim Jong-Salmond.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,031
    malcolmg said:

    JonathanD said:

    malcolmg said:

    'For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.'

    So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.

    More unemployed = More customers
    Pity that Scotland has less unemployed than England. You would know about that given you attend for your JSA.

    Wrong. As a believer in facts rather than opinions I'm sure you'll be interested to know that the last ONS unemployment data showed 6.3% of people were unemployed in England and 6.4% of people were unemployed in Scotland.

    I fear the SNP have been too busy with their campaigning and forgotten all about the public they are meant to be serving.

    http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/publications/re-reference-tables.html?edition=tcm:77-319703
    Huge gap there eh , 6.3% of 60 million makes much bigger number than 6.4% of 5 million , so I was correct as usual.
    On form, as usual!
  • fitalassfitalass Posts: 4,320
    Suspect we were all born at Raigmore. :)
    AllyM said:

    fitalass said:

    Look what happened to Fraser Nelson yesterday when he was trying to interview someone about the Indy Ref campaign, I think he was quite shocked to personally experience this kind of intimidation from Yes a activist. Fraser Nelson and I have one thing in common, we were both born in Inverness.

    Fraser Nelson in the Spectator Blogs - How Scotland’s ‘yes’ side mastered the art of mob politics

    Stand by for a shitstorm, beeboid interviewer saying she came across widespread intimidation from Yes during the campaign. Interviewing reid and Murphy.

    Makes 3. Me too!
    Beverley, I quite fancy a move to Yorkshire. :)

    fitalass said:

    Look what happened to Fraser Nelson yesterday when he was trying to interview someone about the Indy Ref campaign, I think he was quite shocked to personally experience this kind of intimidation from Yes a activist. Fraser Nelson and I have one thing in common, we were both born in Inverness.

    If YES wins then I really feel that all the elements are there for the creation of a fascist state. Simmering resentment & hatred at a strawman (the English / tories / FEB's), the cult of the Leader, the flying squads, the revenge policies, control of the legislature, intolerance of criticism, fantasy policies, "yes men" clapping the leader, slapping down of journalists, disrespect towards people.

    If I lived up there, I would not be waiting for the referendum. I would have gone already.

    But Mrs C in the White Paper it has been set out what the iScotland defence forces will be. I am merely exploring where the people will come from. If HMtQ cannot direct them to serve I think there might be a shortfall.

    Mr Llama, people are loyal to their paypackets. They have to be, you cannot eat ideals nor feed your family with them.

  • This might be the best thing that could ever happen to Scotland, but how come no one else in the world seems to see it that way?. Whatever view the YES campaign has, it is not a balanced one, it cannot be because only victory matters. But surely you must acknowledge that it is a bit odd that only one small group with a vested interest is right compared to a much larger group of well-informed largely impartial people who say the opposite.

    I bet plenty of Catalans, Slovakians, etc. see it that way. You are correct that a large group of folks with vested interests (those successful under present arrangements) and access to the media don't want this change. For the SNP and various fellow travellers it's a cause; for most of the high profile better togetherers it's better together for their income or party. That doesn't mean either side is necessarily correct in asserting what is better for Scotland.
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,514
    malcolmg said:

    felix said:

    malcolmg said:

    'For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.'

    So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.

    More unemployed = More customers
    Exactly. Wetherspoons are hardly going to piss off their key demographic by coming out against independence. By the same token I'm astonished ANY supermarket has admitted prices will rise, not that one or two have decided to remain silent.
    Wetherspoons are great , had nice Arran Blonde today , only 2.35 a pint , unbelievable.
    Sounds like you've had a few judging by your comments. Are you questioning the accuracy of the Survation Poll and if so, on what grounds?
    malc always enjoys a good pint after a hard day's marching
    Did plenty of marching round shops Alan for sure. Sent out by the boss.
    LOL Lackeys of Ayshire

    ( Loyal Orange Lodge )
  • NeilNeil Posts: 7,983


    Join the Defence Force and stay at home, occasionally peering at Spanish trawlers plundering fish stocks, through binoculars.

    Between them my relatives in the Irish Defence Forces have served in the Congo, Cyprus, Lebanon and Eritrea and currently Irish soldiers are deployed in Syria (thankfully none of my relatives are out there or due out there!).


  • Stay with the whatever the British Army becomes, and there's an opportunity to travel the globe, and possibly see some action or do something useful (which lets face it, is what soldiers train to do).

    Join the Defence Force and stay at home, occasionally peering at Spanish trawlers plundering fish stocks, through binoculars.

    Sounds better for your life expectancy/family life.
    An indie Scotland will still be in Nato?
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256


    So no facts or evidence, just feelings, impressions and 2nd hand anecdotes? Good job you're not a scientist.

    Actually, my Uni subjects were Physics, Applied Maths and Computer Science.

    One of the things that the Physics dept taught was that you should form a hypothesis based on impressions and prima-facie evidence and then conduct experiments to prove or disprove your hypothesis.

    My hypothesis is as stated above.
  • foxinsoxukfoxinsoxuk Posts: 23,548
    malcolmg said:

    'For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.'

    So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.

    More unemployed = More customers
    Exactly. Wetherspoons are hardly going to piss off their key demographic by coming out against independence. By the same token I'm astonished ANY supermarket has admitted prices will rise, not that one or two have decided to remain silent.
    Wetherspoons are great , had nice Arran Blonde today , only 2.35, unbelievable.
    Wetherspoons always seem to keep their beer well and their prices down.

    £2.35 for a pint sized Arran Blonde also sounds good value!
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256



    The future is unknown, the past immutable.

    you'll never make a Stalinist ;-)
    :-)
  • AlanbrookeAlanbrooke Posts: 25,514

    Mr. L, best of luck in your ongoing battle against Kim Jong-Salmond.

    Al Qaeda come out for Independent Scotland - tell Salmond they're not bluffing
  • @PeterfromPutney

    " iirc didn't you follow OGH in a couple of weeks ago with Ladbrokes' two pronged NO/<80% turnout bet?"

    Certainly did, PfP, but it was partly as a hedge.

    The No bit looks OK, as it has done throughout, but I reckon the 80% will fail. That was less obvious at the time.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498

    malcolmg said:

    Carnyx said:

    RobD said:

    Stand by for a shitstorm, beeboid interviewer saying she came across widespread intimidation from Yes during the campaign. Interviewing reid and Murphy.

    Like the planned Nat 'Intimidation' Parades on Election Day.
    Those are utterly disgusting, IMO.
    And you don't know anything about them except that there will be facepaint! and balloons!!

    Rob is a scaredy fanny Carnyx, he imagines that face painting which takes place every week at fairs etc is disgusting. What a serious halfwitted jessie erchie.
    Malcontent, we can all imagine the attractions at fairs that you attend.

    Braveheart facepainting, displays of intimidation marching, Wickerman burning etc
    sad sack , how did the shoplifting go today
  • audreyanneaudreyanne Posts: 1,376


    Hysteria doesn't have to be on one's own behalf, and yours seems entirely based on cockeyed media reports and vestigial knowledge.
    Try some objective analysis for yourself: how many verifiable reports of assaults, broken windows, threats of violence and acts of vandalism connected to the referendum can you find?

    It never occurred to me to count incidents so I could not say. I have a lot of friends in Scotland and I go by what they tell me. I have known them for 30+ years and I trust them.

    The media and bloggers and journos on the ground report a lot of the same. Salmond's press conferences have an air of the surreal about them as he ignores facts he dislikes and questions he does not want to hear. The whole thing conveys an impression and a bad one at that.

    People's feeling and moods are often set by impressions rather than facts - a technique that YES seems to be employing to a spectacular advantage - but it is a techniques that works both ways and it paints YES as nasty and intolerant.

    Obviously you disagree with me and I have no issues with that. All I am doing is responding with how I feel, how what I see affects me and why I worry for those who, unlike me, are caught in the middle of this.

    YES might be right Mr Divvie. This might be the best thing that could ever happen to Scotland, but how come no one else in the world seems to see it that way?. Whatever view the YES campaign has, it is not a balanced one, it cannot be because only victory matters. But surely you must acknowledge that it is a bit odd that only one small group with a vested interest is right compared to a much larger group of well-informed largely impartial people who say the opposite.

    Salmond does not even offer counter-arguments to those he disagrees with, he merely brushes their arguments aside as irrelevant or not worth discussing. Does that really not worry you?


    So no facts or evidence, just feelings, impressions and 2nd hand anecdotes? Good job you're not a scientist.
    "So no facts or evidence, just feelings, impressions"

    that;s just so funny in its own way.
    the past immutable.
    Even the present isn't immutable. Sit six people in a room and ask them to write a side of A4 about what is going on and no-one will be identical, and that's with the same apparent 'facts' in front of them. How much worse with the past. As a series of events it may appear fixed to one person but is wide open to interpretation. Politicians, economists, authors and even historians have rich field days.
  • alexalex Posts: 244
    I think this may be one of those votes where you can't draw easy conclusions about who higher turnout favours ie. You may find one side favoured as turnout rises from 60-70℅, which may then reverse as turnout approaches 80℅, and go back to the former as it goes even higher etc
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    fitalass said:


    Beverley, I quite fancy a move to Yorkshire. :)

    I was over there this morning. Cheshire is much nicer IMO, although the drive past the Derwent reservoir outside Sheffield was nice.

  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    malcolmg said:

    felix said:

    malcolmg said:

    'For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.'

    So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.

    More unemployed = More customers
    Exactly. Wetherspoons are hardly going to piss off their key demographic by coming out against independence. By the same token I'm astonished ANY supermarket has admitted prices will rise, not that one or two have decided to remain silent.
    Wetherspoons are great , had nice Arran Blonde today , only 2.35 a pint , unbelievable.
    Sounds like you've had a few judging by your comments. Are you questioning the accuracy of the Survation Poll and if so, on what grounds?
    malc always enjoys a good pint after a hard day's marching
    Did plenty of marching round shops Alan for sure. Sent out by the boss.
    Gave her a free afternoon to campaign for 'No'.
  • Morris_DancerMorris_Dancer Posts: 61,950
    edited September 2014
    Miss Fitalass, I always knew you were a woman of exquisite taste.

    Edited extra bit: blasphemy, Miss C!
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,959
    edited September 2014
    Indy ref Poll alert

    I think the Telegraph have commisssioned an ICM poll and if I read this piece correctly, YES ARE AHEAD BY AROUND 8 POINTS

    The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html
  • DavidL said:

    Just over 5 hours on the streets of Dundee today handing out Labour material for a no vote. Their Indyref bus was in town and formed the base for operations. Roughly 50-60 people helping out including those on the bus who included Sarwar.

    The day involved a vaguely amusing and well behaved confrontation with a Yes march and a battle for the poor Dundee shoppers with competing stalls set up by the SNP and the Socialist Workers.

    Trying my best to be objective I would say the following:

    1. We were clearly outnumbered by the activists for Yes, probably about 3:2.
    2. Labour party material was received a lot better than BT material might have been. Quite a number of people volunteered that we were finally handing out the right material and it was about time.
    3. Very significant numbers of No supporters had already voted.
    4. Quite a number of people felt intimidated by the Yes demonstrators and clapped me and others on our backs for our "courage". I have to say that I did not face any personal intimidation all day and think that the fear of this is completely out of synch with the reality.
    5. It is hard to underestimate the scale of this. By the middle of the afternoon the majority of shoppers in Dundee were wearing badges for one side or the other with the odd comedian wearing both. I have never seen a political campaign that has got close to this intensity.
    6. Having spoken myself to several hundred people today it is difficult to give any more than a vague impression of the overall picture. My impression is that whilst Yes had the edge it was genuinely close. I spoke to over 200 people who were either voting or had voted no myself.
    7. I am ticked off that we have not been doing more of this earlier and that we have given the streets of Dundee to Yes too often. Those who were inclined to vote no were genuinely pleased we were there and making the effort.

    This week is now all about GOTV. It is going to be busy.

    Thank you for everything you're doing.
    Your sanity is a blessed relief after yet another day of inane jabbering from your Ayrshire compatriot.
  • TheScreamingEaglesTheScreamingEagles Posts: 119,959
    edited September 2014

    Indy ref Poll alert

    I think the Telegraph have commisssioned an ICM poll and if I read this piece correctly, YES ARE AHEAD BY AROUND 8 POINTS

    The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    I'm going to make an assumption that is an ICM online poll for the telegraph.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498
    Neil said:


    Join the Defence Force and stay at home, occasionally peering at Spanish trawlers plundering fish stocks, through binoculars.

    Between them my relatives in the Irish Defence Forces have served in the Congo, Cyprus, Lebanon and Eritrea and currently Irish soldiers are deployed in Syria (thankfully none of my relatives are out there or due out there!).
    Watcher has done Tour of Duty on his erchie with a full clip of super lager and in 3D.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,031
    edited September 2014

    Poll alert

    I think the Telegraph have commisssioned an ICM poll and if I read this piece correctly, YES ARE AHEAD BY AROUND

    The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    I'm going to make an assumption that is an ICM online poll for the telegraph.
    So Yes lead of 8?
  • RobD said:

    Poll alert

    I think the Telegraph have commisssioned an ICM poll and if I read this piece correctly, YES ARE AHEAD BY AROUND

    The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    I'm going to make an assumption that is an ICM online poll for the telegraph.
    So Yes lead of 8?
    Something like that
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262
    malcolmg said:

    Neil said:


    Join the Defence Force and stay at home, occasionally peering at Spanish trawlers plundering fish stocks, through binoculars.

    Between them my relatives in the Irish Defence Forces have served in the Congo, Cyprus, Lebanon and Eritrea and currently Irish soldiers are deployed in Syria (thankfully none of my relatives are out there or due out there!).
    Watcher has done Tour of Duty on his erchie with a full clip of super lager and in 3D.
    If I could only understand what you're saying.
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042
    edited September 2014

    Indy ref Poll alert

    I think the Telegraph have commisssioned an ICM poll and if I read this piece correctly, YES ARE AHEAD BY AROUND 8 POINTS

    The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    Christ, has a journalist of that experience really leaked a poll so clumsily? And a Yes lead of 53/54% would put a lot of cats amongst a lot of pidgeons!

    Suspect he means "A Yougov poll" but that would also seem an odd error for him to make. Plus, would you call the YG lead "a similar margin"?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498

    malcolmg said:

    'For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.'

    So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.

    More unemployed = More customers
    Exactly. Wetherspoons are hardly going to piss off their key demographic by coming out against independence. By the same token I'm astonished ANY supermarket has admitted prices will rise, not that one or two have decided to remain silent.
    Wetherspoons are great , had nice Arran Blonde today , only 2.35, unbelievable.
    Wetherspoons always seem to keep their beer well and their prices down.

    £2.35 for a pint sized Arran Blonde also sounds good value!
    It was very nice and no more than you pay for a bottle in supermarkets. A really nice beer. Wetherspoons always have a great selection of real ales at bargain prices. Shows what a rip off lots of places are.

  • So no facts or evidence, just feelings, impressions and 2nd hand anecdotes? Good job you're not a scientist.

    Actually, my Uni subjects were Physics, Applied Maths and Computer Science.

    One of the things that the Physics dept taught was that you should form a hypothesis based on impressions and prima-facie evidence and then conduct experiments to prove or disprove your hypothesis.

    My hypothesis is as stated above.
    Prima facie means what appears to be evident from the available facts. You don't seem to have reached that stage yet, but when you do, I'll await the results of your subsequent experiments with interest.
  • audreyanneaudreyanne Posts: 1,376

    Indy ref Poll alert

    I think the Telegraph have commisssioned an ICM poll and if I read this piece correctly, YES ARE AHEAD BY AROUND 8 POINTS

    The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    Wow.

    I wish we could have some expectation and anti-hype management: why did RobD have to pump it up by proclaiming 8+ for yes? That would be sensational. But to be honest 1% lead for Yes at this stage would be a sensation.

    So this could be one of those tasty dilemmas where it's the battle of the polls. Accepting Mike's caveat about not discarding a poll simply because you don't happen to like it, I know which of those two pollsters, and which of those two methodologies, I trust more.

  • Quincel said:

    Indy ref Poll alert

    I think the Telegraph have commisssioned an ICM poll and if I read this piece correctly, YES ARE AHEAD BY AROUND 8 POINTS

    The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    Christ, has a journalist of that experience really leaked a poll so clumsily? And a Yes lead of 53/54% would put a lot of cats amongst a lot of pidgeons!
    It could be an ICM poll for the Telegraph
  • @DavidL – many thanks David, for keeping us informed and all the hard work.

    Carry on like this and you’ll earn your ‘man on the spot’ epithet ; )
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Indy ref Poll alert

    I think the Telegraph have commisssioned an ICM poll and if I read this piece correctly, YES ARE AHEAD BY AROUND 8 POINTS

    The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    Well, that's one way to announce the results of a poll. If true what a clanger of a way to announce it.
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042

    Quincel said:

    Indy ref Poll alert

    I think the Telegraph have commisssioned an ICM poll and if I read this piece correctly, YES ARE AHEAD BY AROUND 8 POINTS

    The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    Christ, has a journalist of that experience really leaked a poll so clumsily? And a Yes lead of 53/54% would put a lot of cats amongst a lot of pidgeons!
    It could be an ICM poll for the Telegraph
    True, but no tweet about it from them or the Telegraph. Even if it their poll surely they meant to announce it a bit more officially/dramatically than another article making an off-hand reference to it.
  • audreyanneaudreyanne Posts: 1,376
    Edit - oops ok I've just read the text of that properly.
    Please tell me ICM are not coming out with a large Yes lead. This would be sensational.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498

    DavidL said:

    Just over 5 hours on the streets of Dundee today handing out Labour material for a no vote. Their Indyref bus was in town and formed the base for operations. Roughly 50-60 people helping out including those on the bus who included Sarwar.

    The day involved a vaguely amusing and well behaved confrontation with a Yes march and a battle for the poor Dundee shoppers with competing stalls set up by the SNP and the Socialist Workers.

    Trying my best to be objective I would say the following:

    1. We were clearly outnumbered by the activists for Yes, probably about 3:2.
    2. Labour party material was received a lot better than BT material might have been. Quite a number of people volunteered that we were finally handing out the right material and it was about time.
    3. Very significant numbers of No supporters had already voted.
    4. Quite a number of people felt intimidated by the Yes demonstrators and clapped me and others on our backs for our "courage". I have to say that I did not face any personal intimidation all day and think that the fear of this is completely out of synch with the reality.
    5. It is hard to underestimate the scale of this. By the middle of the afternoon the majority of shoppers in Dundee were wearing badges for one side or the other with the odd comedian wearing both. I have never seen a political campaign that has got close to this intensity.
    6. Having spoken myself to several hundred people today it is difficult to give any more than a vague impression of the overall picture. My impression is that whilst Yes had the edge it was genuinely close. I spoke to over 200 people who were either voting or had voted no myself.
    7. I am ticked off that we have not been doing more of this earlier and that we have given the streets of Dundee to Yes too often. Those who were inclined to vote no were genuinely pleased we were there and making the effort.

    This week is now all about GOTV. It is going to be busy.

    Thank you for everything you're doing.
    Your sanity is a blessed relief after yet another day of inane jabbering from your Ayrshire compatriot.
    Much as it is admirable that David goes out in Dundee to bat for the losers of BT , it is a real waste of his time and talents. After suitable rehabilitation education he will be a valuable asset in an independent Scotland. I do not believe he is a lost cause unlike BT.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498


    So no facts or evidence, just feelings, impressions and 2nd hand anecdotes? Good job you're not a scientist.

    Actually, my Uni subjects were Physics, Applied Maths and Computer Science.

    One of the things that the Physics dept taught was that you should form a hypothesis based on impressions and prima-facie evidence and then conduct experiments to prove or disprove your hypothesis.

    My hypothesis is as stated above.
    Prima facie means what appears to be evident from the available facts. You don't seem to have reached that stage yet, but when you do, I'll await the results of your subsequent experiments with interest.
    In other words she just talks bollocks and lots of it.
  • Poll rumours: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    Key paragraph: "The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored. Cameron is right to warn the Scots that the leap from the precipice is not a bungee jump.
  • Quincel said:

    Quincel said:

    Indy ref Poll alert

    I think the Telegraph have commisssioned an ICM poll and if I read this piece correctly, YES ARE AHEAD BY AROUND 8 POINTS

    The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    Christ, has a journalist of that experience really leaked a poll so clumsily? And a Yes lead of 53/54% would put a lot of cats amongst a lot of pidgeons!
    It could be an ICM poll for the Telegraph
    True, but no tweet about it from them or the Telegraph. Even if it their poll surely they meant to announce it a bit more officially/dramatically than another article making an off-hand reference to it.
    Yeah, you would have thought a poll with Yes ahead around 8 points, would be greeted with more fanfare, but the Times did something similar a few days ago, mentioning the new poll in one sentence in a huge editorial
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498

    malcolmg said:

    Neil said:


    Join the Defence Force and stay at home, occasionally peering at Spanish trawlers plundering fish stocks, through binoculars.

    Between them my relatives in the Irish Defence Forces have served in the Congo, Cyprus, Lebanon and Eritrea and currently Irish soldiers are deployed in Syria (thankfully none of my relatives are out there or due out there!).
    Watcher has done Tour of Duty on his erchie with a full clip of super lager and in 3D.
    If I could only understand what you're saying.
    You need to go to school to be able to do that.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,031

    Indy ref Poll alert

    I think the Telegraph have commisssioned an ICM poll and if I read this piece correctly, YES ARE AHEAD BY AROUND 8 POINTS

    The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    Wow.

    I wish we could have some expectation and anti-hype management: why did RobD have to pump it up by proclaiming 8+ for yes? That would be sensational. But to be honest 1% lead for Yes at this stage would be a sensation.

    So this could be one of those tasty dilemmas where it's the battle of the polls. Accepting Mike's caveat about not discarding a poll simply because you don't happen to like it, I know which of those two pollsters, and which of those two methodologies, I trust more.

    I wasn't pumping, that is what the article said, a poll showing the same lead, but for yes.
  • taffystaffys Posts: 9,753
    This would be sensational

    Given its significance, it seems inconceivable such a poll could be announced like this.

    It seems equally inconceivable a slip of this magnitude could have got past the sub.
  • Bugger me, that's twice in a few days I've been the first person on the interweb to spot an Indyref poll
  • fitalass said:


    Beverley, I quite fancy a move to Yorkshire. :)

    I was over there this morning. Cheshire is much nicer IMO, although the drive past the Derwent reservoir outside Sheffield was nice.

    The Derwent reservoir is actually in Derbyshire, not Yorkshire!
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042
    Well one thing's for sure. If there is a lead of 53-47 or more for Yes then the 5.1 at Betfair won't last long!
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670

    Bugger me, that's twice in a few days I've been the first person on the interweb to spot an Indyref poll

    I lumped on Yes, I hope this wasn't a cock-up by the writer
  • QuincelQuincel Posts: 4,042

    Bugger me, that's twice in a few days I've been the first person on the interweb to spot an Indyref poll

    I trust this means you've got the greenest book of them all on Betfair.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    By which I mean I hope it's a cock up but it is accurate information
  • Quincel said:

    Bugger me, that's twice in a few days I've been the first person on the interweb to spot an Indyref poll

    I trust this means you've got the greenest book of them all on Betfair.
    Yeah, green either way
  • alexalex Posts: 244
    This Ancona piece doesn't make any sense. He doesn't just mention it in passing but as an afterthought to the Survation poll. I wonder if he's talking about some hypothetical poll and expressed himself clumsily?
  • felixfelix Posts: 15,173
    Quincel said:

    Well one thing's for sure. If there is a lead of 53-47 or more for Yes then the 5.1 at Betfair won't last long!

    Looks like a bumpy ride for the £ on Monday. And an even bumpier one for several of the pollsters after next week's vote.
  • DavidL the tory pretending he's a Labour man. No balls mate none at all.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118
    edited September 2014
    jam2809 said:

    Poll rumours: http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    Key paragraph: "The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored. Cameron is right to warn the Scots that the leap from the precipice is not a bungee jump.

    .
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256

    fitalass said:


    Beverley, I quite fancy a move to Yorkshire. :)

    I was over there this morning. Cheshire is much nicer IMO, although the drive past the Derwent reservoir outside Sheffield was nice.

    The Derwent reservoir is actually in Derbyshire, not Yorkshire!
    Yes, but the Snake Pass A623 goes past it. I went to Sheffield.

  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    alex said:

    This Ancona piece doesn't make any sense. He doesn't just mention it in passing but as an afterthought to the Survation poll. I wonder if he's talking about some hypothetical poll and expressed himself clumsily?

    I see what you mean but he named a company specifically. That doesn't add up to a hypothetical
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Right, now that we are all on could we let the rest of the Betfair market know about the article.
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    Bugger me, that's twice in a few days I've been the first person on the interweb to spot an Indyref poll

    Someone spotted it over two hours ago

    From the comments

    HansMartinMezger • 2 hours ago


    "That said, our ICM poll today, which shows support for independence now eight points ahead, cannot, and will not, be ignored."

    Should we therefore ignore the Survation poll, also from today (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/new... that tells the exact opposite story - No 54 / Yes 46 ?

    On edit ... interesting to see that the article was yanked almost immediately after I posted this, before being corrected and replaced with this:

    "The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign.But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored."

    Could Matthew D'A please provide a link to this poll. The ICM website shows that its last poll on this issue was yesterday, and showed No 51 / Yes 49.

  • JonathanDJonathanD Posts: 2,400
    Maybe the mystery ICM poll is one of their 'wisdom of the crowd' polls and has sampled lots of depressed Unionists and too many jubilant Nationalists!

    Its a strangely written article by Ancona, almost reads like the poll results were added after the rest of it was written.
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498
    LOL, just had Margaret Curran of labour ask me to help with a NO vote, I was tempted to say yes.
  • alexalex Posts: 244
    isam said:

    Bugger me, that's twice in a few days I've been the first person on the interweb to spot an Indyref poll

    Someone spotted it over two hours ago

    From the comments

    HansMartinMezger • 2 hours ago


    "That said, our ICM poll today, which shows support for independence now eight points ahead, cannot, and will not, be ignored."

    Should we therefore ignore the Survation poll, also from today (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/new... that tells the exact opposite story - No 54 / Yes 46 ?

    On edit ... interesting to see that the article was yanked almost immediately after I posted this, before being corrected and replaced with this:

    "The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign.But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored."

    Could Matthew D'A please provide a link to this poll. The ICM website shows that its last poll on this issue was yesterday, and showed No 51 / Yes 49.

    It's even stranger if an article was posted, pulled and then reworded as it has been.

  • TheuniondivvieTheuniondivvie Posts: 42,146
    edited September 2014
    Comment under the Ancona piece:

    '"That said, our ICM poll today, which shows support for independence now eight points ahead, cannot, and will not, be ignored."
    Should we therefore ignore the Survation poll, also from today (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/new... that tells the exact opposite story - No 54 / Yes 46 ?
    On edit ... interesting to see that the article was yanked almost immediately after I posted this, before being corrected and replaced with this:
    "The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign.But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored."'
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    Comment under the Ancona piece:

    '"That said, our ICM poll today, which shows support for independence now eight points ahead, cannot, and will not, be ignored."
    Should we therefore ignore the Survation poll, also from today (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/new... that tells the exact opposite story - No 54 / Yes 46 ?
    On edit ... interesting to see that the article was yanked almost immediately after I posted this, before being corrected and replaced with this:
    "The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign.But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored."'

    I WAS THE FIRST TO SPOT THAT!!!!!!
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256
    malcolmg said:


    In other words she just talks bollocks and lots of it.

    Interesting you say that. I was saying I believe that YES would win.


  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498

    malcolmg said:


    In other words she just talks bollocks and lots of it.

    Interesting you say that. I was saying I believe that YES would win.


    You talk sensible bollocks then
  • PAWPAW Posts: 1,074
    edited September 2014
    Seems to be on telegraph web page - no it doesn't have I gone daft
  • isam said:

    Comment under the Ancona piece:

    '"That said, our ICM poll today, which shows support for independence now eight points ahead, cannot, and will not, be ignored."
    Should we therefore ignore the Survation poll, also from today (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/new... that tells the exact opposite story - No 54 / Yes 46 ?
    On edit ... interesting to see that the article was yanked almost immediately after I posted this, before being corrected and replaced with this:
    "The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign.But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored."'

    I WAS THE FIRST TO SPOT THAT!!!!!!
    Fair does, I hesitated for a bit of formatting. :)

  • murali_smurali_s Posts: 3,067
    edited September 2014
    OK - Confused.com

    Are we expecting an ICM poll tonight?
  • malcolmgmalcolmg Posts: 43,498
    Would explain why BT rushed out their poll
  • isamisam Posts: 41,118

    isam said:

    Comment under the Ancona piece:

    '"That said, our ICM poll today, which shows support for independence now eight points ahead, cannot, and will not, be ignored."
    Should we therefore ignore the Survation poll, also from today (http://www.telegraph.co.uk/new... that tells the exact opposite story - No 54 / Yes 46 ?
    On edit ... interesting to see that the article was yanked almost immediately after I posted this, before being corrected and replaced with this:
    "The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign.But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored."'

    I WAS THE FIRST TO SPOT THAT!!!!!!
    Fair does, I hesitated for a bit of formatting. :)

    Haha just kidding, as if it matters enough to boast about!
  • Beverley_CBeverley_C Posts: 6,256


    Prima facie means what appears to be evident from the available facts.

    Not quite - it means "First sight" or "first glance". Impressions, not evidence

    You don't seem to have reached that stage yet, but when you do, I'll await the results of your subsequent experiments with interest.

    The "experiment" is in progress now. Results due next Friday....
  • Its worth noting that the Sunday Telegraph who D'Ancona's piece will appear in does use ICM for polling so perhaps they've got a poll under wraps for tonight tomorrow and D'Ancona's piece is the first sign of it.
  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Assuming this ICM poll exists, imagine the pandemonium it would have caused if it had first been revealed by the Telegraph's front page after the 3 scheduled polls had come out today.
  • murali_s said:

    OK - Confused.com

    Are we expecting an ICM poll tonight?

    Looks like it.

    Other polls coming tonight

    Opinium at 8pm and Panelbase at 9.30pm
  • Can't blame D'Ancona. It's the idiot who posted the article whose fault it is.

    Anyway, it's a devastating poll for the No side. Yes could not only win, but win handsomely on Thursday.
  • ArtistArtist Posts: 1,893
    edited September 2014
    Quincel said:

    Indy ref Poll alert

    I think the Telegraph have commisssioned an ICM poll and if I read this piece correctly, YES ARE AHEAD BY AROUND 8 POINTS

    The Survation poll this weekend put Unionists eight points ahead of the Yes campaign. But an ICM poll, which shows support for independence leading by a similar margin, cannot, and will not, be ignored

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/scottish-independence/11092495/Whatever-happens-nothing-will-ever-be-the-same-again.html

    Christ, has a journalist of that experience really leaked a poll so clumsily? And a Yes lead of 53/54% would put a lot of cats amongst a lot of pidgeons!

    Suspect he means "A Yougov poll" but that would also seem an odd error for him to make. Plus, would you call the YG lead "a similar margin"?

    I'd guess he meant to say 'smaller' margin and trailing instead of leading.

    Edit-Maybe not.
  • Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 1m

    ICM online poll for the S Telegraph has YES 8% ahead - the biggest seen from any pollster. Yesterday ICM phone poll had NO 2% ahead
  • weejonnieweejonnie Posts: 3,820

    fitalass said:


    Beverley, I quite fancy a move to Yorkshire. :)

    I was over there this morning. Cheshire is much nicer IMO, although the drive past the Derwent reservoir outside Sheffield was nice.

    The Derwent reservoir is actually in Derbyshire, not Yorkshire!
    Yes, but the Snake Pass A623 goes past it. I went to Sheffield.

    it is also in Northumberland - Clearly it can move around at will.
  • OldKingColeOldKingCole Posts: 33,704
    Interesting and thoughtful comment, reported on the BBC's website.

    In Germany's centre-left daily Sueddeutsche Zeitung, Christian Zaschke accuses Westminster of focusing on the financial impact instead of highlighting the "advantages of a union that has existed for 300 years... the political establishment in London has been shocked into realising that it has to present its arguments in a completely different way: positive, empathetic, emotional. It is quite possible that it is already too late."

    I agree. Trying to frighten people was never going to be a good idea. Then offering apparently panic driven, back of an envelope Devo-Max plans was worse.
  • We could have the wonderful scenario, come Friday, ICM could be both the most accurate and least accurate pollster in the indyref race
  • TheWatcherTheWatcher Posts: 5,262



    Anyway, it's a devastating poll for the No side

    A poll that has yet to be published even if it exists?

  • AlistairAlistair Posts: 23,670
    Market has heard.
  • RobDRobD Posts: 60,031

    Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 1m

    ICM online poll for the S Telegraph has YES 8% ahead - the biggest seen from any pollster. Yesterday ICM phone poll had NO 2% ahead

    Have the numbers been released? The article does say 'similar' and not the 'same' as I originally thought.
  • Time to pile on yes....
  • fitalass said:


    Beverley, I quite fancy a move to Yorkshire. :)

    I was over there this morning. Cheshire is much nicer IMO, although the drive past the Derwent reservoir outside Sheffield was nice.

    The Derwent reservoir is actually in Derbyshire, not Yorkshire!
    Yes, but the Snake Pass A623 goes past it. I went to Sheffield.

    The Snake Pass is also in Derbyshire ...... Sheffield is 10 miles away from the reservoir.
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