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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Survation Indyref poll is out
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Survation Indyref poll is out
On what appears to be first of a few indyref polls out today, the first one is survation, which should relax those at Better Together, as it gives them a larger lead than the ICM phone poll yesterday showed.
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hucks67 said:
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Are people realising that the current Tories can't govern the UK ? The Tories have not won an election since 1992 and have been lucky that the Lib Dems were willing to let them implement most of their policies. The Lib Dems could have made it much more difficult for the Tories by blocking some policies. The bedroom tax which the Lib Dems voted for, is now opposed by them. Some of the discontent in Scotland relates to Tory policies they disagree with.
Th problem that the Tories have is that they have not persuaded a majority that their way of dealing with the countries problems is the best way forward. Margaret Thatcher would have been much more agressive in getting her message out. But Cameron can't do this, as he has portrayed himself as a touchy feely liberal Tory. Many Tory backbenchers given the opportunity would remove Cameron and choose another leader.
Talking of getting carried away by one poll - only yesterday Ipsos-Mori had the Tories ahead. Let the dust settle after Sindy ref and the conferences before we get close to any real idea about the GE
Of course, this is what Nationalism is all about. If you spend all your time dividing people into 'us and them' its no wonder the hate spills out.
It is a phone poll, conducted for Better together, conducted between Wednesday and Friday of this week
Data tables are available here
http://survation.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/09/Better-Together-Voting-Intention-Tables.pdf
"Stand by for a shitstorm, beeboid interviewer saying she came across widespread intimidation from Yes during the campaign. Interviewing reid and Murphy."
She probably didn't know the difference between a French Kiss and a Glaswegian one....
Join the 'Yes' parade or we'll toss bricks through your windows.
Front page of FT has Salmond, Sturgeon and Sillars together photo taken on Wednesday. Such a reassuring message to business, SNP stand by their man and send message of screw you to business communities.
http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/f9c5a500-3a98-11e4-a3f3-00144feabdc0.html#axzz3DCp5OQ1q
All is well with the SNP, as it divides Scotland into sheep and goats.
The whole thing stinks.
I'm sure there's no jiggery-pokery so it must just be that unfavourable polls are not shown to the public.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-29190302
But...
3.14pm BST
James Kelly, a pro-independence blogger, says this poll gives the yes camp their second highest ratings in a telephone poll.
There are no Unionist tanks in Edinburgh.
Would be interesting to know how man split households they found.
Edit: strictly speaking it may have been on the books of one of the regimental museums.
Perhaps The FT will now be added to the proscribed list of unfit reading.
Has Salmond disowned Sillars yet?"
Interesting if you compare Sillars comments with some of the posts on the last thread. The retribution he was calling for quite accurately reflects the punishment many of the NO supporters on here want meted out to the Scots.
I know he should no better than to behave as some on here behave but in the heat of battle I think he can be forgiven.
And been pilloried for my prescience by Sean "The Seer" Thomas.
Loser;-)
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mandy_Rice-Davies
" "Jim Sillars is a great campaigner who has put aside his personal grief over the loss of his wife Margo MacDonald to put his heart and soul into galvanising the Yes vote. He is fighting a fine campaign all over Scotland - but the day after a Yes vote will be a day of celebration for the people, not reckoning for big companies drawn into the No campaign by Downing Street.
Jim was simply trying to express the anger felt by so many people about the revelations that some supermarket statements were orchestrated by the Prime Minister himself.
However, we must rise above these underhand Tory tactics, and be confident of the new spirit in Scotland. The people are showing no signs whatsoever of being cowed. They are in no mood to be bullied by big Westminster Government putting pressure on big business to intimidate the people of Scotland. Indeed, just the opposite is happening.
We should also remember two things.
One is that many businesses have refused to be pressurised by Downing Street. For every supermarket drawn into it, there is a Tesco who are properly neutral. For every negativity from Bob Dudley of BP there is the positivity of Tim Martin of Wetherspoons.
Second, there are now almost 3,000 members of Business for Scotland led by some of the greatest job creators in the country. People like Jim McColl don’t just talk about Scotland’s prospects. They transform the position of workers at Ferguson’s to save shipbuilding on the lower Clyde."
But Sillars is still giving interviews. He has just finished one on News 24. I’ll post quotes from it later."
Will businesses fall for this spin hook, line and sinker? Sillars has landed Salmond in serious trouble, and Salmond has been too slow witted to unpick the damage. How does he expect to mend fences whatever the outcome next Thursday?
See any 'academic' paper on gay parents and their children.
'Convenience sample' is the technical name for it.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nonprobability_sampling
Though I hadn't seen much about it.
I shall return to my cave and cry :-)
"Tony Blair has spoken out in support of the union. According to the BBC, at an event in Kiev he said:
Obviously I hope that Scotland votes to stay part of the United Kingdom.
Blair has generally kept a low profile in this contest. The last time he spoke out in favour of a new, the SNP immediately issued a press release implying he was a war criminal and claiming his intervention was a huge boost for the yes side."
Trust the SNP to make that link.
Mike Smithson
@hugaufx Who commissioned the Survation 54% poll is irrelevant when it comes to assessing it. Methodology looks well thought out
Please do tell, as I know we're all dying to hear your insights on this.
In fact, Wikipedia disputes that as the exact quotation.
Staring at your picture provokes a question from me.
What will happen to Scottish officers not attached to regiments on independence?
I remember 6 regiments of the British Army were disbanded in 1922.
My own hunch is conventional polling methods work when the turnout is around 60-70%
The wheels fall off when turnout is mahoosive
Though he will enjoy receiving more traffic from The Guardian.
So the oil industry is f****d but we'll still sell you cheap curry and beer.
One of the quirks of PB is that posters who get the Kelly/Tim/Snowflake treatment are invariably the most interesting. Tell him to stop being a big Jessie and get back here
Sounds fishy...
Mike in the past has received letters from the Times threatening legal action about the violation of their copyright.
You were asked not to copy stuff from the Times in the past, and that still stands.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W6vDzf-wSbk
Is this a clue - Groundskeeper Willie on His Master's Voice?
Surely, with a massive turnout predicted this is not a good weighting?
They are reporting the Survation poll.
Strange article you linked to - he clearly has 'issues'.
Of course they flounced off! They were the virtuosos not like the rest of us journeymen