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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After a day dominated by two big polls IndyRef NO is the bi
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » After a day dominated by two big polls IndyRef NO is the biggest betting loser
Inevitably with only 15 days left to go before Scotland decides on partition there’s been a lot of betting activity on the referendum outcome with the money going on YES. YouGov’s 6% NO lead, down from 18% in July, has given partition campaigners real hope that what they’ve been campaigning for decades might just conceivably happen.
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Brown started a speaking tour of Scotland http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-29023267
Jim Murphy resumed his soap box campaign in Edinburgh http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-29019715
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2014/09/02/statutory-rape-victim-child-support/14953965/
Ashcroft - Clacton, general election:
Including only positive responses:
UKIP 48.8%
Con 27.5%
Lab 18.8%
LD 2.5%
Green 2.5%
twitter.com/UK_Together/status/506882670325149696/photo/1
The Union is fucked.
2.9.14 LAB331(333) CON261(259) LD24(34) Others24 (24) Ed is crap is PM
Last weeks BJESUS in brackets
BJESUS (Big John Election Service Uniform Swing)
Using current polling adjusted for 246 days left to go factor and using UKPR standard swingometer
Shaders of Romney’s people!
YG LAB 328 CON 279 LD 16 Other 27 Ed is crap is PM
ComRes LAB 365 CON 225 LD 32 Other 28 EICIPM
No bad thing.
If it's yes Ed should go, not Cameron, since his chaps failed to deliver the vote.
No will win by a wide margin.
At least that’s what several people here have said.
Scottish nationalism is good
Welsh nationalism is good
Irish nationalism is good
and
English nationalism is bad
To quote the great PJ O'Rourke: Giving money and power to government is like giving whiskey and car keys to teenage boys.
unlike us Irish of course.
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/frletj5cgx/YG-Archive-Pol-Sunday-Times-results-140829.pdf
Scotland or no Scotland at the moment Ed is PM!
02/09/2014 20:03
Tory MPs say they were "astonished" neither Cameron or Crosby raised Clacton in their prepared remarks at the 1922. Only raised in q and a
There's nothing like it on TV today. Brian Waldon remains my yardstick. John Humphres On The Record was also excellent. How long ago that was.
If you look at the big English speaking countries the national capital is rarely the largest city:
Washington
Ottowa
Canberra
Wellington
Pretoria
And for that matter Edinburgh.
I've read that Liverpool was in the Victorian era suggested as the best place for the British capital being pretty much centrally placed in the British Isles.
Which would have pleased RodC.
Keep watching the betting market over the next couple of weeks, as they are more likely to get it right than anyone else. The next few days should show if this trend continues. And keep a close eye on whether the Yes odds narrow beyond the 3/1 barrier or settle at that figure. As betting experts will know, that 3/1 level is often seen as decisive in determining whether a two-horse race is too close to call or has a clear favourite – I’ll update the latest odds daily at this link.
http://theconversation.com/are-bookies-having-a-change-of-heart-about-the-scottish-independence-referendum-31147?utm_content=bufferacff9&utm_medium=social&utm_source=facebook.com&utm_campaign=buffer
You could look for Neanderthals in the Harz mountains.
Try the Essen-Gelsenkirchen-Bochum area or the drabest parts of the Mecklenberg coast.
Nowadays, it has to make do with being the capital of itself...
For shock value, so you could ponce round the internet saying you had, cultivate that Fearless Journalist thing you're trying to carve out a bit more?
And at the £1000 stake level it is just 3.55 (5/2).
Nope in spades.
btw I'm a floating voter and love telly, ooh look a cat dancing!
Easy this innit?
I really should get out more!
And I think the original question was about English speaking countries. Which rules out all but the Irish Republic!
Start in Frankfurt and work your way down to Fuessen and mad Ludwigs castles.
Take in Wurzburg, Rothenburg ob der Tauber, Dinkelsbuehl, Augsburg Munich and then the Bavarian Alps with loads of fun countryside and rivers.
Or do the Alpenstrasse start in Salzburg, take in Berchtesgaden for the Hitlerana, Koenigsee. more mad Ludwigs castles, Oberammergau and end up at lake Constance in Lindau. If you have time do Lake Constance and head into the Black Forest at Freiburg.
Or border hop start in the Pfalz and criss cross the Rhine taking in Alsace and Baden.
Laugh yourself silly at Haguenau where the french pretend the Maginot line was a great success, enjoy Baden Baden and don't miss the spa ( Friedrichsthermen if you lie au naturel , Caracalla if you just like a hot spa ), take in the wine villages either side, France Riquwihr and Kaysersberg, Germany down by the Kaiserstuhl. Strassburg, Kolmar, Freiburg and Basel are the big towns but touring the countryside ( Black Forest and Vosges ) you'll find a lot of interplay along Europe's lingusitic border, from the Kaiser's Palace in Haut Koenigsbourg in France to snails being the regional delicacy in Baden
I went in mid-September eight years ago with Mrs Stodge - delightful place but bad for the wallet and the waistline (though no doubt you can carry off the lederhosen and the Tyrolean hat with aplomb).
Glasgow shortens from 14/1 to 9/1
FAV still Dundee: 4/5
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Offenbach_am_Main
Maybe scope there for a 'compare and contrast' article ?
Offenbach is also twinned with Tower Hamlets - what a joyous view of British local government those Germans must have.
http://www.lestroisrois.com/Grand-Hotel-Les-Trois-Rois.377+M5e34df5a01a.0.html
eat at the old guildhalls, then head for Luzern, take a late summer paddlesteamer ride, glance up at the mountains above the crystalline lakes, then head on to Lugano and find palm trees mingling with Swiss culture, maybe staying at http://www.splendide.ch/ .
I'm not saying its scrapping would solve all our problems, but I am saying we cannot afford its replacement. I believe Trident to be detectable to enemies, and inoperable without American consent. Therefore at best it is an expensive bauble of a premier league state (which we aren't any more), and at worst it is an American asset that we pay for, but that contrary to keeping us safe, actively places us in danger.
I believe that retaining a tactical nuclear capability (warheads of different yields) is probably the most sensible solution (and a much more real deterrent), but if that isn't an option, we should just go non nuke.
The Schleswig-Holstein coast is also to be recommended.
I belive Heligoland is worth a visit. It’s on the bucket list, but I fear it won’t reach the top!
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rügen
(same reason)
I think those UKIP supporters need to have a rethink. Why would they want to merge themselves with a party that has been incapable of defeating Labour decisively for nearly a generation and who show no signs of reversing that situation, whose brand is trashed possibly irrevocably, who repeatedly demonstrates how ill-disciplined, divided and dysfunctional it is, who are virtually dead in much of Scotland and large parts of urban Britain and who by offering a Coalition with the Libdems facilitated the destruction of that party as a serious force in British politics for the foreseeable future. It doesn't make sense. If UKIP continue to grow then any relationship with the Tories would likely be damaging.
Part of the reason UKIP exists is because the Tories have failed to oppose Labour adequately. If anything UKIP would be wise not to consider mergers and if the Tories do collapse then look to fill the void created. Whatever they do though they should remain distinct because all the evidence suggests the Tory brand is toxic and it taints other parties it works with.
Part of the reason UKIP exists is because the Tories have failed to oppose Labour adequately. If anything UKIP would be wise not to consider mergers and if the Tories do collapse then look to fill the void created. Whatever they do though they should remain distinct because all the evidence suggest the Tory brand is toxic and it taints other parties it works with.
They want to aim at a reverse takeover imo with a detour through Rotherham and Burnley.
You watched it because you wanted to, you told us you watched it to show that you can dare us to be as gritty and worldy as you.
Belfast and Dublin are not in the same country!
"The disturbing threat leaves the Prime Minister with the chilling prospect of a British national murdering another in the name of ISIS."
Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2741169/ISIS-executioner-Jihadi-John-threatens-execute-British-hostage-beheads-second-US-journalist.html#ixzz3CBzlglQa
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http://commonsense.websanon.com/?p=214
We should kill these b*stards.
And of course send Iran and Assad a bunch of flowers and box of choccies to apologise for being such arses with that whole "we might bomb you" thing, and ask for their help.
"Thus we learn about our enemy and thus we learn how to defeat them. And they can be defeated. But to do that we must kill most of them."
People are easily killed, the hard bit is destroying "ideas"
On ISIS - their desperate beheadings tell me that the US air strikes are being effective.
To that end, end all trade and diplomatic ties with Saudi Arabia and impose sanctions.
If the Conservatives win a majority next May will they have another vote on whether to bomb him ?
Perhaps if the Union had done a better job of befriending and assisting "the great uneducated masses" it wouldn't be in the mess it is in. And not calling them "the great uneducated masses" might be a nice start.
After that I would head for the Black Forest - particularly paying a visit to the horribly touristy town of Triberg mostly for a wander around the Schwarzwaldmuseum. You get a real sense of a lost world there - of a Germany before the war which has now pretty much disappeared.
Also if you are heading south through the Black Forest towards Triberg then it is worth stopping off at Kaltenbronn nature reserve right up on top of the hills/mountains. There is a short walk up to the Kaiser Wilhelm Tower from the top of which you can look west right across the Rhine valley to the Vosges mountains and France. It is a hell of a view and for anyone interested in the troubled history of that border it is a fascinating place to go and visit.
Can't recommend hotels I am afraid as we have always rented houses over there.
It might have of happened if there was a non sectarian government in Iraq, but we are where we are.
Fighting bushfires and wondering where the hell they are all coming from.