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politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tories equal their lowest ever YouGov rating in the latest
politicalbetting.com » Blog Archive » Tories equal their lowest ever YouGov rating in the latest daily poll
After last night’s different pictures from the YouGov and Survation polls the latest one from the former, just published, sees the blues drop sharply and Ukip rising 2.
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Tory/UKIP 43%
Labour 38%
Do we lay for him for Wimbledon?
Clay's not his best surface.
On the poll: who would have imagined public bickering (and potential smearing) would lead to such results.
Officially the list of approved candidates for the Iranian Prseidential elections in June is not due out until tomorrow but reports say these are the guys passing the Guardian Council's approval to run.
Saeed Jalili,
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf,
Gholamali Haddad-Adel,
Ali Akbar Velayati,
Hassan Rouhani,
Mohammad Gharazi,
Mohsen Rezaei,
Mohammad Reza Aref.
If this is confirmed, two things of note for the casual Western watcher. 1. No Rafsanjani, a kind of favourite of some in the West, who did indicate that he wanted to run and 2. no sign of Ahmadeni..yeah.... his favoured man, Rahim-Mashai, passing the Guardian Council either.
Sooooooooooo, when are Ladbrokes planning a market on this?
http://politicalbetting.blogspot.co.uk/2013/05/monaco-early-discussion.html
Ah, well.
It all adds to the gaiety of the nation.
You need fresh fish, Mr. Jones.
I recommend a good Dover Soul served au blue avec une sauce elphiquois.
Delicious.
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB 2s
The two pollsters that have so far reported this week have the Tories on record lows.
Who could have foreseen banging on about Europe would be a master strategy of unparallelled genius.
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-483746/We-dont-gays-Iran-Iranian-president-tells-Ivy-League-audience.html
Iraq has got plenty of coverage over the years. When was the last time you heard about people dying in the Congo?
http://www.rte.ie/news/business/2013/0521/451732-apple-ireland-cook/
http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/0/tennis/22540156
Sounded like a real humdinger.
A real pity that Ian Paisley is no longer an MP.
Actually the DUP and Sylvia Harman were pretty restrained as were most of the Tory opponents too (I dont think I noticed any Labour or Lib Dem opponents stick their heads above the parapet in the debate). Gerald Howarth's was probably the worst speech and that wasnt that bad. You really dont get a good class of homophobic comment in the Commons these days. I kinda miss the opportunity to be outraged. Hopefully Tebbit and O'Cathain wont let us down in the Lords.
Unless it's some long-lost Ulster cousin of Harriet?
A shame Lady Young is no longer around, her contribution would have been fun
And I entirely agree that the whole point of public broadcasting should be covering important stuff commercial stations wouldn't go near. Instead they spunk it crap like the Voice and Eastenders to chase ratings. It's outrageous really.
What I'd love is for there to be an independent panel handing out money in a competitive manner for public broadcasting on a program by program basis, after pitches from the broadcasting channel. That way every show that was funded by the television tax would have to fully demonstrate its worth on a clear basis.
Of course, she's Ulster's equivalent of Harriet Harman, being only very against gay rights is as liberal as it gets.
@TSE
I'm sure Baroness Young is contributing to the debate by turning repeatedly in her grave.
A number of people from the UK died in the New Zealand earthquake so it seems fair enough to have had some reporting of it.
Ulster factoid of the day - Lady Sylvia's maiden name is Paisley!
As Alanbrooke pointed out to me, The Catholic Church is praising the DUP for their stance on gays.
As so often, the beacon of sense in the whole debate is Lord Ashcroft:
http://conservativehome.blogs.com/platform/2013/05/from-lordashcroft-enough-time-to-behave-like-the-governing-party-we-all-want-to-be.html
Why is he not running Conservative Party strategy?
Because doing so is the hobby of our 'near perfect' chancellor.
But the underlying position remains healthy enough; Gordon's voters plus defecting LibDems will see us home. I think people will then be pleasantly surprised by Miliband, but we'll see.
I can't quite figure out whether Labour supporters are gritting their teeth and grimly hoping the prospect of being in government under the leadership of the two Eds won't be as bad as any sensible person would expect (as they did, famously, in the case of Gordon Brown), or whether they really don't have any idea what is coming. I imagine it's the former, mainly.
Lots of marginal constituency proles to have a photstunt with and its just down the road from SamCam's old house. Dave could call in there to have a round of golf with Avery.
If Osborne wants to tag along he could have a ride on the donkeys and paddle in the mud.
Con -4; Lab -1; UKIP +2; LibDem nc
Does this mean Others are +3?
What is it with politicians and insulting the voters these days?
I can't imagine he's impressed by Osborne's more recent strategic disasters either.
He will probably introduce a 60p tax rate on everyone over £50,000 or some such. Or a mansion tax on houses worth £500K or more. Or an annual wealth tax on everything you own. Or a super-VAT rate on luxury goods. Or a reduction in the inheritance tax threshold. Or possibly all of them at once.
Assuming he has his geography right this time.
If not the GloucesterOldSpot is the man/pig, a bit of grunting should suffice in a Lincolnshire seaside town.
Seeing there's a non-trivial chance the UK will leave the EU in the next decade, one presumes that it doesn't matter much for Fiat.
But let's take this conversation up again when/if Labour are back in power.
(Incidentally, my second was referring to a specific mansion tax in addition to new council tax bands which I agree with you are likely to happen. I also think that the IHT threshold will be lowered and some of the reliefs tightened up or abolished.)
Seeing that the BBC already runs a TV channel and makes its own programs with a good brand, it makes sense they should still do that. They could bid for their programs to get the funds. The commissioning panel should be newly established, and be politically balanced.
http://www.businessinsider.com/poll-gop-favorability-rating-obama-irs-tea-party-scandals-2013-5
So the next GOP presidential candidate will have to get 10% of Americans who dislike the GOP, and probably approve of Hilary Clinton, to vote for them, in a period when the GOP base won't allow anyone to deviate from GOP orthodoxy.
On other news for the sartorially challenged, I see that redmolotov have a "swivel eyed loons" shirt out. I am mighty tempted, and can vouch for the quality of their shirts, having let my inner Sheldon loose in their online store previously.
http://www.redmolotov.com/catalogue/tshirts/all/attack-of-the-swivel-eyed-loons-tshirt.html
If you did fancy that it would prob be best to back £2@7/2 10-15 and £1@5s 15-20, so you're on at 2/1 10-15% and EVS 15-20%
@GloucesterOldSpot said:
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Rotting kippers on Margate Sands.
You need fresh fish.
I recommend a good Dover Soul served au blue avec une sauce elphiquois.
Delicious.
Aah you mention El Phicko. Yes I read his absurd piece of hubris about the White Cliffs still being blue and all the fallacious reasons why Dover was safe. Of course what he failed to point out was that Labour gained two of the four wards outright and that UKIP didn't stand a candidate in Dover North and if they had and that candidate had done as well as the other UKIP candidates in the Dover area then Dover would probably have been highlighted as a three way marginal with 'El Phicko' being the Dover 'Soul' being served up on a platter..
Still with both Labour and UKIP targetting Dover there's as much chance of getting fresh Kippers there as Dover Sole.
Hollande has not backtracked on his 75% tax rate, as far as I'm aware.
The scary stat, he was only appointed 355 days ago
This might make you feel a bit better for voting Green in 2009 and letting the BNP in*
https://twitter.com/rustyrockets/status/336842605755236352/photo/1
* of course voting Green wasnt a bad strategy for keeping the BNP out, only UKIP came closer to stopping them
Haha well we are on at the current prices give or take
Rcs if you fancied the 13/8 have £22@7/2 and £16@5s sorry if this is patronising
http://www.hamhigh.co.uk/news/court-crime/should_controversial_barnet_and_camden_politician_brian_coleman_resign_as_a_councillor_1_2191250
The end result would be a freer market with private channels creating much more original programming (especially scripted), which would eventually make the BBC obsolete. A viable new funding model having been established, you could privatise parts of the BBC that would be self-sufficient (let's say BBC1 and BBC3, representing just under half of current BBC spending) and leave a much smaller, leaner and cheaper public service broadcaster under state control.
He became a Voodoo Pole!
EdM refuses to take part in the 2015 TV debate unless UKIP are included (death for the Tories if they are)
The Tories naturally refuse, so there's no debate, and the dork who's leading the Labour party gets to dodge the laser of the public spotlight.
Seems a logical strategy for Labour...
Under that situation, the broadcasters would rather do it with Nigel and Ed and no David than not at all.
I'm looking forward to seeing them next week at the 02 to see how the show works indoors.
As a matter of interest, would Sean Fear like to comment on why he's not switched to UKIP himself? It seems a more natural match than the Cameron Tories, and it'd be interesting to hear the viewpoint of right-wing loyalists.
Just don't see anybody there who would have the nuts to stand up and make a challenge for the leadership, so I guess Dave stays for a bit longer.
"The easiest thing to write about the next election is that “it’s completely unpredictable”. That’s only half-true, though. For sure, we don’t know if the Ukip-mania will last for another two years; and if it does quite how that will play out in relation to the Tory/Labour/Lib Dem votes. That is unpredictable. But we can be sure that Ukip won’t storm the House of Commons. The Ukip phenomenon is interesting in all sorts of ways. But as for the next House of Commons, Plaid Cymru is more significant than Ukip will be.
Looks to me very much like Dave has ruined his party and it won't get unruined until the chumocracy is replaced by a bunch of normal people. The Tory future belongs to the likes of Hammond and Davis and not to the 'elite'.
This will all come to pass either before or immediately after Redward becomes PM. The disaster of Redward's premiership will propel the 'real' Tory into office (maybe in coalition / pact / joint ticket with UKIP).
bit slow this morning aren't you? You haven't picked up on the Daily Mail story about Dave SamCam and his car.. Go to the back of the class!
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2328790/Sam-fell-car-says-Cameron-PM-says-able-woo-wife-drive-around.html
"As a matter of interest, would Sean Fear like to comment on why he's not switched to UKIP himself? It seems a more natural match than the Cameron Tories, and it'd be interesting to hear the viewpoint of right-wing loyalists"
The Conservative party remains a broad church and whilst Sean sits to the right he surely wouldn't formally want to join a party with even more loons than the Tories.