You read and see this all the time both inside the Westminster bubble and out of it. Ukip voters, so the pervasive narrative goes, are simply ex-CON voters who can, if Lynton Crosby plays his cards properly, be seduced back into the fold thus providing the blues with the platform to secure an overall majority next May.
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In 2010 Angus Reid was much lauded and we all remember how that ended.
The US has made its appeals to Sunni groups to turn on ISIS (there are half a dozen Sunni military factions) but though some of them have actually had territorial skirmishes in recent weeks with ISIS so far not one has signed up to the US/Iraqi government cause. Quite simply they bought the whole Awakening idea once before and got Maliki's sectarian government as a reward. They want significant concessions first.
In Syria on the other hand, ISIS appear to have effectively taken Taqba airbase from the exhausted Assad forces there. Countdown to US airstrikes in Syria is well on its way. Don't buy the bull about the highly sophisticated Assad air defence systems, its been well messed up during the conflict with huge gaps in coverage including in the Jordanian border region. The US quite happily sent choppers in without problem.
Funnily enough I posted maybe a month ago about ISIS funding and how the biggest source of funding was their own rackets and rather good at it they are too. The other night I mentioned why Mosul was so important practically and symbolically as one end of the Caliphate. One of those was indeed the cash and other stuff they got from the banks there. Its a major city so wasn't short of notes and other cash commodities.
Tracking of money flows is long underway but one problem you have is since much of their money is generated within the locales where they operate, equally comparatively little of the money transfers outside their zones of control so its not flowing through the International banking system where the intelligence services specialist accounting and banking teams can see it.
YOkel - as ever, thank you for your continued insight....
Tensions have erupted over Monday night's TV debate on independence, with the Yes and No camps locked in a furious battle over how many minutes Alistair Darling and Alex Salmond will be given to cross-examine each other.
......... behind the scenes a furious row erupted over the format of the BBC showdown. Better Together accused the First Minister's team of trying to dramatically cut the time set aside for interrogation. That charge was angrily denied by Yes Scotland sources, who described it as categorically untrue.
http://www.heraldscotland.com/politics/referendum-news/tensions-rise-over-time-for-questions-from-leaders-in-tv-debate.25126971
Alex Salmond wanting to cut down the time Darling questions him for? Nah - doesn't sound remotely credible.....
Secondly they appear to have taken a significant number of women and children as prisoners, who, it is alleged are being sold as slaves. Do we know where? And to whom?
you want to dismiss their supporters problems as meaningless and chuck in a few insults as you tell them to clear off.
meanwhile you're wringing your hands about low turnouts and "engagement" from the very people you denigrate.
If I remember correctly turnout in 2010 was slightly up on - or at least not lower than - what it was in 2005. Thus, even allowing for some churn, at best a lot of UKIP supporters will not have voted for a long time. They are going to have to be very motivated to change their minds next year. UKIP is going to need very strong on the ground operations for that and the knowledge of how to deploy them properly.
(1) It is natural to prefer one's own children to other people's. (2) It is morally good to prefer one's own children to other people's.
If it is "posho" to see a difference between them, then I must plead guilty. If it is "posho" to think that anger is always unjustifiable, then I must plead guilty.
I do not regard "respectable racism" as an insult. I regard it as a natural extension of proposition (1).
I invite you, Alanbrooke, to let us know whether you think it is also something to be proud of, and if so, to give evidence from your choice of the world's great religious leaders or philosophers as to why your opinion is correct/
My comments stand, now be off with you , you cut price Hyacinth Bucket.
Immigration IS the problem as our lesser skilled members of society are being displaced on the jobs ladder by better qualified people from overseas.
As my good friend tim used to regularly state immigrants are better qualified than the native population. The current UK approach is to let the market do its work but in this instance the market is failing the economy as a whole.
The low skilled we all moan about about need to be given prefernce to get in to starter jobs if they are to climb out of the benefits trap and if that means restricting immigtation so be it.
snobs speak their own language. maybe that's why they can't communicate with the rest of us.
;-)
;-)
I was pointing to the most recent historical example I could think of a similar thing taking place.
You're being slightly unfair to Innocent (but amusingly so).
There is always an element of disdain given to Ukip. At it's best, it sounds like they are being patronising to the Kippers and they are. We are well aware that ...'suspicion of the unknown' is a human trait and skin colour is one marker, but it's the cultural differences that are the real markers.
Even if the newcomers are white and Christian, they often work harder and are better qualified. They take jobs for that reason. And they're just as disliked - see Vilnius Central aka Boston.
But telling the Kippers that they wouldn't understand long words so we'll make it simple ... 'you're a thick racist bigot' doesn't convince many. Innocent is far too nice to do that but there seems to be an urge by 'PPE types' to lecture mere mortals.
I'm amused. They have a third of a degree in economics - a Mickey Mouse science - yet they know it all. And third of a degree in Politics - telling other people that you're better.
Ah bless.
And thank you for your kind words...
http://www.politicshome.com/uk/article/103580/daily_mirror_friday_22nd_august_2014.html
Sam, what's that big slippery creature that's just come out the sea?
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2014/aug/05/david-cameron-holiday-fish-market-photos
You see, the people I refer to that have concerns about immigration don't dislike anybody, regardless of colour or culture, but they do become concerned when a growing population directly affects their everyday lives. Perhaps you might like to discuss that at your dinner party this evening. Incidentally, I haven't mention English, Arab or any other nationality or race.
Don't you remember your mother telling you about "spoilt" little girls (they were usually girls)?
I am sorry that you are unable to understand the true nature of love.
There must have been British people who committed atrocities in Spain, but we didn't have to fear them coming back and committing acts of terrorism here.
UKIP address concerns and a proportion of the electorate that the Tories largely ignored and Labour took for granted for too long. The extent that they can deliver that vote at the polls remains to be seen but no real democrat can decry the fact that there is a chance that a significant and neglected part of our society might be engaged by this phenomenon. If they do vote in significant numbers the mainstream parties will be less inclined to ignore their concerns in future. That would be a good thing.
"Although there is precious little to be proud of in being English these days."
The most accurate observation so far. I can't recall a time of bigotry racism and hypocrisy like it. While the media are crucifying a football manager for a few ill chosen text messages we have Farage being hailed as the Messiah.
and you don't have to visit Guido...there was a time when the likes of Isam wouldn't have been allowed to post on 'Stormfront'
Trying to love every member of the human race equally (unless one is God) is an impossibility. In practice, it would mean loving nobody. Trying to organise a society along those lines results in Pol Pot's Cambodia.
I can see you now, Big Brother watching over us, Newspeak, and Emanuel Goldstein, your work and mission in life would be complete. Poor Winston and Julia, no rumpy pumpy in your world.
Eurasia has always been at war with Eastasia.
Apart from that there's probably quite a bit of pro-animal-welfare sentiment among UKIP supporters. One time the animal rights people managed to gain a bit of traction was when they were protesting against innocent British calves being sent abroad to be kept in little veal pens by evil foreign farmers. They ran a bunch of protests in the east-coast ports (now areas with a strong UKIP presence) and got quite a range of local support.
Then there's the halal angle...
Can I join in?
Fwee the weal Woger!
Let's assume ukip lose 25% of their support from the last election! which I'd say is an over estimate of loss! that would still mean 2010 kippers were over a third of the "DNV" section
This Ashcroft poll would therefore seem to be wrong based on those findings or perhaps some Tory voters are now having selective memory and thinking they voted UKIP in 2010. Yet, even with Ashcroft more Kippers are ex-Tories than any other party and where the ex-Tory Kippers go in my view will determine the next election, if they stay with UKIP it will be Ed Miliband in Downing Street, probably with an overall majority, if most vote for Cameron again then Cameron will likely lead another Tory-LD Coalition
It shows how far we have come as a society that virtually no one stands up for his right to privacy and free expression.
If he had made his homophobic and misogynist racist rants against Israel and the kaffirs he would have been cheered...
That's an outrageous slur, I've never once said anything racist I suggest you take it back.
What we need less of is out of touch champagne socialists like yourself you fucking mug
Murphy on his tour, Labour and BT proving very popular.............. not for the faint hearted
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=wPL1tbjD_lM&feature=youtu.be
This in Labour heartlands as well
Rather looking forward to qualifying today.
On the text business, I wonder what the reaction would be if he had spoken the messages in private rather than texted them. Reminds me of that American chap who said some unkind (shall we say) words in his own home, privately, got recorded and was then ostracised.
Meanwhile, handing out pro-ISIS leaflets on Oxford Street doesn't appear to get anyone in authority interested.
Too many texts make a tosser, perhaps...
Such views are best out in the open. Would it have been better if Malky had self censored and become manager at Crystal Palace?
How did these text messages come to light? I suppose one of the two parties could have revealled them... but otherwise how did they become known. I am not sure that texting someone strictly counts as being something done in private.
While you're editing my posts for me, maybe you can remember the rule about calling people racist?
http://cdn.yougov.com/cumulus_uploads/document/gvdufgez3p/YG-Archive-Pol-Sun-results-210814.pdf
http://www.standard.co.uk/news/london/radical-students-seen-handing-out-leaflets-on-oxford-street-encouraging-british-muslims-to-join-isis-9665280.html
Sounds like they're 'assessing' whether anything wrong happened. It's hardly Gene Hunt.
Edited extra bit: wet at Spa.
Now, how do you square that circle? Sens for Boris?
Salmond and Sturgeon are speaking most nights at public meetings , they do not resemble this however.
Where in England do you live and why did you expect to see them speaking there?
Personality will only do so much. Policies are what people latch on to.
All in the name of multiculturalism and not rocking the boat. The last few Police Chiefs of the Met have been nothing but blubber. But if you didn't pay your TV license, woe to you.